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2021-12-30 · +30d

gru_s1 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 137 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.3305
137 of 137 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+16.99%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
81.0%
in alpha space · 92.7% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-18.95%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (137 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum47,186.0048,510.01+2.81%38,181.60-19.08%0.0342✗0.989,2042022-01-29
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1711830.172447+0.74%0.143169-16.36%0.0482✓1.115.5M2022-01-29
PHAPHALAEthereum0.4030.404753+0.44%0.251-37.72%0.3195✗0.7545k2022-01-29
TRXTRONTron0.0778530.078162+0.40%0.060341-22.49%0.0595✗0.95607k2022-01-29
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana7.137.156+0.36%5.16-27.63%0.1928✗0.641.1M2022-01-29
BTCBitcoinBitcoin47,122.0847,279.11+0.33%38,191.10-18.95%0.0033✓1.00750.8M2022-01-29
ETCEthereum Classicnative34.5734.6727+0.30%25.34-26.70%0.0934✗1.054.7M2022-01-29
LINKChainlinkEthereum19.9419.9157-0.12%16.24-18.56%0.0776✗1.3469.7M2022-01-29
FILFilecoinFilecoin34.9634.8577-0.29%20.29-41.96%0.3238✓1.0323.3M2022-01-29
NMRNumeraireEthereum32.0631.9575-0.32%26.24-18.15%0.0565✓0.67518k2022-01-29
DYDXdYdXCosmos8.3028.2624-0.48%6.128-26.19%0.0328✓1.27392k2022-01-29
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.0484.0229-0.62%3.009-25.67%0.1536✓0.65514k2022-01-29
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.70814.6768-0.66%3.1573-32.94%0.1198✓1.305.0M2022-01-29
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash431.58428.2451-0.77%299.03-30.71%0.1461✓1.019.8M2022-01-29
XYMSymbolnative0.1880.18645-0.82%0.1739-7.50%0.0434✗0.54393k2022-01-29
COMPCompoundEthereum199.64197.7576-0.94%123.06-38.36%0.2314✓1.16220k2022-01-29
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana5.0795.0304-0.96%4.042-20.42%0.0936✓0.60798k2022-01-29
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.462.4355-0.99%1.72-30.08%0.1271✓1.054.2M2022-01-29
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.0632.0423-1.00%1.493-27.63%0.0743✓1.143.2M2022-01-29
DOTPolkadotPolkadot27.5327.2539-1.00%18.75-31.89%0.1044✓1.2875.5M2022-01-29
QNTQuantEthereum178.71176.6291-1.16%97.51-45.44%0.3892✓0.979.8M2022-01-29
FTTFTXEthereum38.8938.3909-1.28%41.73+7.30%0.3045✗1.0520.7M2022-01-29
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana15.4515.2376-1.37%13.15-14.89%0.0036✓0.681.4M2022-01-29
SOLSolanaSolana172.52170.1352-1.38%96.25-44.21%0.3481✓1.05248.9M2022-01-29
DKAdKargoEthereum0.111260.109643-1.45%0.08979-19.30%0.0366✗1.1229k2022-01-29
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.6974.6266-1.50%3.258-30.64%0.2036✓0.701.0M2022-01-29
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.08280.081551-1.51%0.0653-21.14%0.0061✓1.0918k2022-01-29
XVSVenusEthereum15.3715.1301-1.56%8.22-46.52%0.3699✓1.144.7M2022-01-29
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.016530.01627-1.57%0.0104-37.08%0.1749✓1.302.4M2022-01-29
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV122.49120.5481-1.59%92.7-24.32%0.0601✓0.963.7M2022-01-29
RLCiExec RLCEthereum3.093.041-1.59%1.92-37.86%0.1862✓1.303.2M2022-01-29
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana8.878.7254-1.63%5.93-33.15%0.2580✓0.611.0M2022-01-29
XEMNEMnative0.12550.123369-1.70%0.1047-16.57%0.0684✗1.11158k2022-01-29
ADACardanoCardano1.35851.3349-1.74%1.0603-21.95%0.0034✓1.08114.6M2022-01-29
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum24.7824.3412-1.77%20.18-18.56%0.1138✗1.4324.1M2022-01-29
UNIUniswapEthereum17.8117.4859-1.82%11.16-37.34%0.1770✓1.2915.5M2022-01-29
XTZTezosTezos4.34074.2612-1.83%3.0915-28.78%0.0421✓1.334.9M2022-01-29
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.119.9063-2.02%9.17-9.30%0.0809✗0.751.4M2022-01-29
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.20070.19644-2.12%0.1205-39.96%0.2996✓0.90655k2022-01-29
SUNSun TokenTron0.0221420.021665-2.15%0.014518-34.43%0.1452✓1.212.4M2022-01-29
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.5331.4999-2.16%0.924-39.73%0.2144✓1.293.8M2022-01-29
LTCLitecoinLitecoin147.94144.7437-2.16%110.84-25.08%0.0186✓1.3649.4M2022-01-29
XMRMoneroMonero225.01219.9862-2.23%153.67-31.71%0.1530✓0.982.9M2022-01-29
ETHEthereumEthereum3,710.023,626.40-2.25%2,603.74-29.82%0.1111✓1.05752.6M2022-01-29
BANDBandEthereum5.135.0099-2.34%3.51-31.58%0.1015✓1.212.4M2022-01-29
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.2671.2365-2.41%0.731-42.30%0.3256✓0.952.8M2022-01-29
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.088510.08637-2.42%0.06396-27.74%0.0050✓1.454.0M2022-01-29
AUCTIONBounceEthereum24.0123.4124-2.49%14.12-41.19%0.2835✓1.061.5M2022-01-29
NANOnanopayBase3.48683.3985-2.53%2.3362-33.00%0.1519✓1.06819k2022-01-29
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.273.1859-2.57%2.42-25.99%0.0648✓1.001.1M2022-01-29
CTKShentuOsmosis1.6241.582-2.58%1.364-16.01%0.1360✗1.357.9M2022-01-29
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.7954090.773824-2.71%0.565434-28.91%0.0793✓1.122.8M2022-01-29
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.64660.628821-2.75%0.4104-36.53%0.1529✓1.3011.8M2022-01-29
XLMStellarStellar0.2680.260561-2.78%0.203491-24.07%0.0320✓1.0229.6M2022-01-29
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.555.3922-2.84%5.4-2.70%0.2432✗1.154.3M2022-01-29
CBKCobakEthereum2.912.8256-2.90%2.245-22.85%0.0454✓0.8865k2022-01-29
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana8.728.4559-3.03%6.08-30.28%0.1702✓0.761.1M2022-01-29
SKLSKALEEthereum0.2080.201334-3.20%0.121-41.83%0.2501✓1.235.7M2022-01-29
DASHDashDash133.04128.7234-3.24%96.55-27.43%0.0182✓1.282.0M2022-01-29
YFIyearn.financeEthereum30,177.9029,173.84-3.33%24,297.65-19.49%0.0589✓0.5910.4M2022-01-29
XECeCashnative0.000109590.000105894-3.37%0.00007692-29.81%0.1099✓1.009.0M2022-01-29
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.05490.053029-3.41%0.04089-25.52%0.0275✓1.1115k2022-01-29
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.80783.6777-3.42%3.4878-8.40%0.0786✓-0.12409k2022-01-29
QTUMQtumQtum8.83848.526-3.53%5.9616-32.55%0.0559✓1.44280k2022-01-29
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum95.0391.6643-3.54%49.58-47.83%0.4099✓0.977.4M2022-01-29
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.17713.0633-3.58%2.9824-6.13%0.2286✗1.223.3M2022-01-29
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.100850.097201-3.62%0.0727-27.91%0.1544✓0.6574k2022-01-29
TRBTellor TributesEthereum33.9932.7459-3.66%20.73-39.01%0.1350✓1.531.3M2022-01-29
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.32221.2725-3.76%1.7284+30.72%0.5332✗1.081.0M2022-01-29
DODODODOEthereum0.8630.830415-3.78%0.508-41.14%0.1795✓1.488.7M2022-01-29
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos30.1929.035-3.83%29.1-3.61%0.1926✗0.9141.9M2022-01-29
ZECZcashZcash153.9147.9315-3.88%96.39-37.37%0.1430✓1.3611.8M2022-01-29
GTGateEthereum6.81526.547-3.94%6.7736-0.61%0.2088✗0.834.0M2022-01-29
AAVEAaveEthereum262.93252.5264-3.96%154.04-41.41%0.2572✓1.1311.4M2022-01-29
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.370.354847-4.10%0.2425-34.46%0.1113✓1.284.3M2022-01-29
METRONOMEMETRONOME4.574.3759-4.25%3.0631-32.97%0.2013✓0.7425k2022-01-29
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum6.06545.8064-4.27%4.851-20.02%0.0732✗1.20653k2022-01-29
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.079110.075699-4.31%0.05052-36.14%0.1402✓1.2621.7M2022-01-29
ARPAARPAEthereum0.09810.093779-4.40%0.0636-35.17%0.0983✓1.381.9M2022-01-29
API3Api3Ethereum4.424.225-4.41%3.69-16.52%0.0747✗1.001.2M2022-01-29
COTICOTIEthereum0.37130.354612-4.49%0.31-16.51%0.1750✗1.474.4M2022-01-29
XVGVergenative0.017110.016341-4.50%0.01002-41.44%0.2377✓1.202.5M2022-01-29
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0617870.058942-4.60%0.039999-35.26%0.0889✓1.427.9M2022-01-29
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000033760.000032155-4.76%0.00002166-35.84%0.1281✓1.272.1M2022-01-29
KSMKusamaHydration280.04266.1458-4.96%171.16-38.88%0.2071✓1.121.5M2022-01-29
LCXLCXEthereum0.18560.176306-5.01%0.11-40.73%0.2294✓1.152.9M2022-01-29
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.691.6051-5.02%0.85-49.70%0.2738✓1.721.2M2022-01-29
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.13170.125042-5.06%0.0817-37.97%0.2007✓1.07344k2022-01-29
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum9.3298.8554-5.08%6.001-35.67%0.2650✓0.59368k2022-01-29
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.019450.018446-5.16%0.01347-30.75%0.1829✓0.6343k2022-01-29
DEXEDeXeEthereum12.0411.4163-5.18%6.65-44.77%0.5779✓-0.183.7M2022-01-29
MOVRMoonriverBase185.6988175.9785-5.23%79.3124-57.29%0.5530✓1.16648k2022-01-29
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.42661.3517-5.25%0.8302-41.81%0.2912✓0.9323.6M2022-01-29
CELLCellframeEthereum0.91990.869095-5.52%0.9037-1.76%0.2492✗1.00146k2022-01-29
IMXImmutableEthereum5.144.851-5.62%2.83-44.94%0.3288✓1.002.8M2022-01-29
LSKLiskEthereum2.44172.3042-5.63%1.6081-34.14%0.1193✓1.14147k2022-01-29
ZENHorizenBase61.5858.0968-5.66%41.64-32.38%0.0156✓1.511.0M2022-01-29
KCSKuCoinnative21.04819.844-5.72%17.542-16.66%0.2240✗1.6517.5M2022-01-29
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.41890.394535-5.82%0.5693+35.90%0.6633✗1.41793k2022-01-29
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.131.0639-5.85%0.66-41.59%0.2674✓1.002.3M2022-01-29
AMPAmpEthereum0.048920.046028-5.91%0.03035-37.96%0.2245✓0.919.1M2022-01-29
STORJStorjEthereum1.7551.648-6.10%1.154-34.24%0.1900✓0.79946k2022-01-29
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.72830.683895-6.10%0.5251-27.90%0.0031✓1.276.2M2022-01-29
BATBasic AttentionEthereum1.19471.1191-6.33%0.84787-29.03%0.0983✗1.791.4M2022-01-29
TRACOriginTrailEthereum1.2031.1268-6.34%0.5968-50.39%0.3396✓1.412.3M2022-01-29
SUSHISushiEthereum10.259.5872-6.47%4.19-59.12%0.5489✓1.3316.5M2022-01-29
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.5793.3465-6.50%2.667-25.48%0.0168✓1.002.7M2022-01-29
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum39.0636.4885-6.58%20.07-48.62%0.2140✓1.836.8M2022-01-29
RADRadworksEthereum10.8310.1025-6.72%5.34-50.69%0.4576✓0.861.3M2022-01-29
CRVCurve DAOEthereum5.114.7561-6.92%2.99-41.49%0.1849✓1.3328.7M2022-01-29
SCSiacoinnative0.015310.014243-6.97%0.01015-33.70%0.1365✓0.96910k2022-01-29
MINAMina Protocolnative3.593.3324-7.18%2.31-35.65%0.1417✓1.07787k2022-01-29
UOSUltraEthereum1.48451.3771-7.23%1.0479-29.41%0.0675✓0.984.8M2022-01-29
CVCCivicEthereum0.33490.309999-7.44%0.2671-20.24%0.0494✓0.94293k2022-01-29
LUNATerraTerra 284.8478.2684-7.75%50.93-39.97%0.2196✓1.005.3M2022-01-29
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum4.333.987-7.92%2.34-45.96%0.3228✓1.003.6M2022-01-29
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.72991.5925-7.94%0.9693-43.97%0.2621✓1.1231.7M2022-01-29
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.6432.4319-7.99%1.758-33.48%0.1098✓1.022.2M2022-01-29
CHZChilizEthereum0.28960.266448-7.99%0.1844-36.33%0.0931✓1.315.6M2022-01-29
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche101.7393.5712-8.02%71.95-29.27%0.0260✓1.13127.7M2022-01-29
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.6340.580875-8.38%0.333-47.48%0.2898✓1.272.8M2022-01-29
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon1.69111.5419-8.83%0.4988-70.50%0.9571✓0.824.7M2022-01-29
GITCOINGITCOIN12.77511.6195-9.05%7.324-42.67%0.4838✓-0.11119k2022-01-29
MASKMask NetworkEthereum11.9810.8887-9.11%6.1-49.08%0.4597✓0.571.4M2022-01-29
CTSICartesiEthereum0.69560.631308-9.24%0.4637-33.34%0.0293✓1.333.2M2022-01-29
UMAUMAEthereum9.328.4342-9.50%6.08-34.76%0.0914✓1.124.1M2022-01-29
MANADecentralandEthereum3.28792.9605-9.96%2.372-27.86%0.0229✓0.957.1M2022-01-29
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.07870.070714-10.15%0.0362-54.00%0.3780✓1.391.7M2022-01-29
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0337990.030339-10.24%0.022029-34.82%0.1002✓1.058.9M2022-01-29
LRCLoopringEthereum1.99751.7927-10.25%0.9684-51.52%0.2096✓1.931.5M2022-01-29
BFCBifrostEthereum0.20.179367-10.32%0.18677-6.62%0.3748✗1.599,2352022-01-29
LPTLivepeerEthereum40.3235.6339-11.62%27.09-32.81%0.0777✓1.673.0M2022-01-29
GTCGitcoinEthereum12.9311.4181-11.69%7.35-43.16%0.4505✓-0.054.6M2022-01-29
BICOBiconomyEthereum4.724.1268-12.57%2.36-50.00%0.3487✓1.0015.2M2022-01-29
HIVEHivenative1.51791.3229-12.84%0.952-37.28%0.0356✓1.406.4M2022-01-29
SPELLSpellEthereum0.021660.018652-13.89%0.00723-66.62%0.7376✓1.0034.3M2022-01-29
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.94030.78434-16.59%0.6022-35.96%0.0919✓1.6929.3M2022-01-29
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.