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2021-12-29 · +30d

gru_s1 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 137 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.3359
137 of 137 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+26.32%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
81.0%
in alpha space · 91.2% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-18.78%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (137 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum48,010.0049,264.63+2.61%37,761.00-21.35%0.0611✗0.9810k2022-01-28
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1679740.169185+0.72%0.141603-15.70%0.0537✓1.115.5M2022-01-28
TRXTRONTron0.0763950.07667+0.36%0.057631-24.56%0.0885✗0.95632k2022-01-28
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana7.257.2754+0.35%5.14-29.10%0.2136✗0.641.1M2022-01-28
PHAPHALAEthereum0.4050.406337+0.33%0.247-39.01%0.3406✗0.7646k2022-01-28
ETCEthereum Classicnative34.1334.2076+0.23%25.23-26.08%0.0865✗1.054.7M2022-01-28
BTCBitcoinBitcoin46,471.2446,546.41+0.16%37,741.90-18.78%0.0016✓1.00750.8M2022-01-28
LINKChainlinkEthereum19.7419.7176-0.11%16.16-18.14%0.0803✗1.3469.7M2022-01-28
NMRNumeraireEthereum31.6731.5847-0.27%27.6-12.85%0.0041✗0.67534k2022-01-28
FILFilecoinFilecoin34.2134.0801-0.38%19.63-42.62%0.3371✓1.0322.7M2022-01-28
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.1154.0924-0.55%3.011-26.83%0.1704✓0.66564k2022-01-28
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash430.11426.9153-0.74%296.79-31.00%0.1522✓1.0210.5M2022-01-28
DYDXdYdXCosmos8.6788.6106-0.78%5.923-31.75%0.1079✓1.28411k2022-01-28
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana5.145.0954-0.87%3.923-23.68%0.1368✓0.60846k2022-01-28
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.83414.79-0.91%3.1165-35.53%0.1580✓1.315.2M2022-01-28
DOTPolkadotPolkadot26.8126.5478-0.98%18.34-31.59%0.1034✓1.2877.1M2022-01-28
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.0151.9948-1.00%1.438-28.64%0.0912✓1.133.3M2022-01-28
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.412.3858-1.01%1.65-31.54%0.1507✓1.054.4M2022-01-28
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.015590.015425-1.06%0.01046-32.91%0.1211✓1.282.6M2022-01-28
DKAdKargoEthereum0.108180.107033-1.06%0.08808-18.58%0.0385✗1.1229k2022-01-28
COMPCompoundEthereum197194.7656-1.13%124.2-36.95%0.2093✓1.16228k2022-01-28
FTTFTXEthereum38.5438.0785-1.20%40.01+3.81%0.2686✗1.0520.7M2022-01-28
XYMSymbolnative0.19550.193056-1.25%0.177-9.46%0.0272✗0.55393k2022-01-28
QNTQuantEthereum175.55173.2981-1.28%97.25-44.60%0.3753✓0.9710.5M2022-01-28
SOLSolanaSolana170.64168.2945-1.37%91.35-46.47%0.3913✓1.06255.1M2022-01-28
XVSVenusEthereum15.0114.8007-1.39%8.42-43.90%0.3270✓1.144.7M2022-01-28
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana15.5215.3014-1.41%12.86-17.14%0.0309✓0.691.4M2022-01-28
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.7964.7274-1.43%3.294-31.32%0.2141✓0.71842k2022-01-28
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV121.4119.577-1.50%90.37-25.56%0.0793✓0.963.7M2022-01-28
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.08170.080441-1.54%0.0647-20.81%0.0084✓1.0918k2022-01-28
UNIUniswapEthereum17.1316.8552-1.60%10.67-37.71%0.1889✓1.2916.1M2022-01-28
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana9.028.8736-1.62%5.81-35.59%0.2956✓0.611.1M2022-01-28
RLCiExec RLCEthereum3.032.9807-1.63%1.82-39.93%0.2224✓1.303.2M2022-01-28
ADACardanoCardano1.33221.3104-1.63%1.0486-21.29%0.0014✓1.08120.2M2022-01-28
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum24.0523.6471-1.68%20.31-15.55%0.1455✗1.4324.1M2022-01-28
XEMNEMnative0.12440.122153-1.81%0.0999-19.69%0.0294✗1.11160k2022-01-28
XTZTezosTezos4.37594.2949-1.85%3.0264-30.84%0.0727✓1.335.2M2022-01-28
LTCLitecoinLitecoin145.62142.7572-1.97%109.49-24.81%0.0176✓1.3651.4M2022-01-28
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.19650.192574-2.00%0.1177-40.10%0.3056✓0.90688k2022-01-28
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.2231.1984-2.01%0.736-39.82%0.2908✓0.953.0M2022-01-28
XMRMoneroMonero214.5210.0955-2.05%149.15-30.47%0.1406✓0.972.9M2022-01-28
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.087840.085805-2.32%0.05152-41.35%0.2070✓1.464.0M2022-01-28
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.310.0612-2.32%9.05-12.14%0.0525✗0.761.4M2022-01-28
ETHEthereumEthereum3,630.593,545.79-2.34%2,546.84-29.85%0.1131✓1.05766.3M2022-01-28
SUNSun TokenTron0.0217260.021217-2.34%0.014181-34.73%0.1504✓1.212.4M2022-01-28
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.7596470.741563-2.38%0.544057-28.38%0.0791✓1.113.0M2022-01-28
BANDBandEthereum5.084.9565-2.43%3.46-31.89%0.1074✓1.212.5M2022-01-28
CTKShentuOsmosis1.5891.5494-2.49%1.436-9.63%0.2055✗1.358.3M2022-01-28
AUCTIONBounceEthereum23.9323.3288-2.51%14.23-40.53%0.2741✓1.061.5M2022-01-28
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.5761.5359-2.55%0.899-42.96%0.2658✓1.304.1M2022-01-28
CBKCobakEthereum2.8622.7868-2.63%2.181-23.79%0.0626✓0.8880k2022-01-28
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.63290.616148-2.65%0.4141-34.57%0.1265✓1.3012.2M2022-01-28
NANOnanopayBase3.48273.39-2.66%2.3494-32.54%0.1452✓1.06819k2022-01-28
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.233.144-2.66%2.4-25.70%0.0618✓1.001.1M2022-01-28
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.445.2934-2.69%4.57-15.99%0.0921✗1.154.6M2022-01-28
YFIyearn.financeEthereum28,569.8927,763.08-2.82%23,506.67-17.72%0.0461✓0.589.2M2022-01-28
XLMStellarStellar0.2668030.259237-2.84%0.198646-25.55%0.0527✓1.0330.9M2022-01-28
AAVEAaveEthereum236.52229.588-2.93%149.11-36.96%0.2015✓1.1111.4M2022-01-28
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana8.648.3843-2.96%6.04-30.09%0.1701✓0.761.1M2022-01-28
XECeCashnative0.000107630.000104189-3.20%0.00007277-32.39%0.1517✓1.009.9M2022-01-28
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.053810.052079-3.22%0.04014-25.40%0.0304✓1.1115k2022-01-28
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos27.9827.0731-3.24%29.5+5.43%0.2711✗0.8941.0M2022-01-28
SKLSKALEEthereum0.20680.200056-3.26%0.1183-42.79%0.2684✓1.246.0M2022-01-28
ZECZcashZcash146.64141.8571-3.26%91.3-37.74%0.1594✓1.3511.8M2022-01-28
DASHDashDash133.27128.9224-3.26%95.64-28.24%0.0309✓1.292.0M2022-01-28
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.07240.070003-3.31%0.04731-34.65%0.1336✓1.2421.1M2022-01-28
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.098310.094923-3.45%0.07192-26.84%0.1435✓0.6483k2022-01-28
GTGateEthereum6.32736.109-3.45%6.5861+4.09%0.2453✗0.824.0M2022-01-28
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum93.890.5102-3.51%47.09-49.80%0.4507✓0.977.5M2022-01-28
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.74113.609-3.53%3.4691-7.27%0.0657✓-0.13405k2022-01-28
TRBTellor TributesEthereum33.231.9593-3.74%20.08-39.52%0.1459✓1.531.3M2022-01-28
METRONOMEMETRONOME4.53214.3613-3.77%3.0715-32.23%0.1966✓0.7426k2022-01-28
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.29521.2453-3.85%1.7954+38.62%0.5903✗1.081.0M2022-01-28
DODODODOEthereum0.8620.828408-3.90%0.491-43.04%0.2133✓1.498.7M2022-01-28
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum5.91485.6827-3.92%4.5826-22.52%0.0345✓1.20673k2022-01-28
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.23263.1057-3.92%2.7962-13.50%0.1494✗1.223.3M2022-01-28
QTUMQtumQtum8.78538.4233-4.12%5.7966-34.02%0.0741✓1.44280k2022-01-28
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.36980.354143-4.23%0.2434-34.18%0.1073✓1.294.4M2022-01-28
XVGVergenative0.016910.016178-4.33%0.00986-41.69%0.2460✓1.202.6M2022-01-28
API3Api3Ethereum4.494.284-4.59%3.75-16.48%0.0749✗1.001.2M2022-01-28
ARPAARPAEthereum0.09880.094259-4.60%0.0629-36.34%0.1160✓1.391.9M2022-01-28
KSMKusamaHydration283.66270.1135-4.78%169-40.42%0.2354✓1.121.5M2022-01-28
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.06170.058735-4.81%0.038917-36.93%0.1144✓1.438.2M2022-01-28
COTICOTIEthereum0.3750.356786-4.86%0.3094-17.49%0.1656✗1.484.7M2022-01-28
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000033650.000032005-4.89%0.00002134-36.58%0.1972✓1.002.4M2022-01-28
DEXEDeXeEthereum11.5811.0033-4.98%6.49-43.96%0.5673✓-0.194.0M2022-01-28
LCXLCXEthereum0.18170.172649-4.98%0.0927-48.98%0.3830✓1.153.3M2022-01-28
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.12850.121987-5.07%0.0812-36.81%0.1850✓1.07344k2022-01-28
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.691.6038-5.10%0.85-49.70%0.2755✓1.731.3M2022-01-28
MOVRMoonriverBase185.3722175.6463-5.25%77.0062-58.46%0.5825✓1.16648k2022-01-28
SUSHISushiEthereum9.268.774-5.25%4.16-55.08%0.4744✓1.3115.8M2022-01-28
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum9.4858.9868-5.25%6.131-35.36%0.2582✓0.60455k2022-01-28
LSKLiskEthereum2.38032.2543-5.29%1.6203-31.93%0.0928✓1.14152k2022-01-28
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.019390.01836-5.31%0.01255-35.28%0.2499✓0.6344k2022-01-28
ZENHorizenBase61.8858.4921-5.48%38.97-37.02%0.0904✓1.521.1M2022-01-28
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.4821.4002-5.52%0.8173-44.85%0.3412✓0.9523.6M2022-01-28
IMXImmutableEthereum4.844.5689-5.60%2.82-41.74%0.2745✓1.002.5M2022-01-28
CELLCellframeEthereum0.9610.906101-5.71%0.8915-7.23%0.1918✗1.00149k2022-01-28
KCSKuCoinnative20.66619.4841-5.72%16.846-18.48%0.1993✗1.6617.8M2022-01-28
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.41070.387085-5.75%0.5555+35.26%0.6536✗1.41898k2022-01-28
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.70060.660136-5.78%0.5223-25.45%0.0294✓1.276.4M2022-01-28
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.131.0626-5.96%0.64-43.36%0.2990✓1.002.4M2022-01-28
STORJStorjEthereum1.71011.608-5.97%1.1266-34.12%0.1915✓0.791.0M2022-01-28
MINAMina Protocolnative3.343.1338-6.17%2.29-31.44%0.0940✓1.06787k2022-01-28
AMPAmpEthereum0.049180.046142-6.18%0.03024-38.51%0.2313✓0.929.8M2022-01-28
BATBasic AttentionEthereum1.15081.0775-6.38%0.86446-24.89%0.1520✗1.791.5M2022-01-28
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum38.5136.0454-6.40%17.9-53.52%0.3187✓1.837.0M2022-01-28
CRVCurve DAOEthereum4.854.5316-6.56%2.93-39.59%0.1606✓1.3228.7M2022-01-28
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.6533.4095-6.67%2.647-27.54%0.0451✓1.002.8M2022-01-28
SCSiacoinnative0.015160.014127-6.81%0.0101-33.38%0.1351✓0.961.1M2022-01-28
RADRadworksEthereum10.9610.2055-6.88%5.11-53.38%0.5122✓0.861.3M2022-01-28
TRACOriginTrailEthereum1.25371.1661-6.98%0.5887-53.04%0.3871✓1.422.3M2022-01-28
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.58281.4686-7.21%0.9591-39.40%0.1976✓1.1031.7M2022-01-28
UOSUltraEthereum1.53981.427-7.33%1.0442-32.19%0.1052✓1.005.2M2022-01-28
CVCCivicEthereum0.3310.30666-7.35%0.2523-23.78%0.0012✓0.94328k2022-01-28
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.06510.06015-7.60%0.0353-45.78%0.2580✓1.321.7M2022-01-28
LUNATerraTerra 284.3277.7987-7.73%50.6-39.99%0.2221✓1.006.3M2022-01-28
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum4.33.9607-7.89%2.25-47.67%0.3574✓1.003.9M2022-01-28
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.6442.4304-8.08%1.639-38.01%0.1801✓1.032.1M2022-01-28
CHZChilizEthereum0.2870.263808-8.08%0.1798-37.35%0.1104✓1.315.6M2022-01-28
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.6280.575751-8.32%0.328-47.77%0.2982✓1.272.8M2022-01-28
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche103.1194.3457-8.50%67.06-34.96%0.1048✓1.14136.0M2022-01-28
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon1.63981.4991-8.58%0.482-70.61%0.9655✓0.815.2M2022-01-28
CTSICartesiEthereum0.68240.619846-9.17%0.4527-33.66%0.0377✓1.333.3M2022-01-28
MASKMask NetworkEthereum11.910.7981-9.26%5.91-50.34%0.4838✓0.571.5M2022-01-28
UMAUMAEthereum9.38.434-9.31%6.01-35.38%0.1046✓1.134.1M2022-01-28
GITCOINGITCOIN13.51212.1771-9.88%7.091-47.52%0.5598✓-0.09129k2022-01-28
MANADecentralandEthereum3.25692.9348-9.89%2.2835-29.89%0.0526✓0.957.6M2022-01-28
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.033310.029891-10.27%0.020623-38.09%0.1532✓1.059.0M2022-01-28
BFCBifrostEthereum0.204230.183031-10.38%0.1835-10.15%0.3360✗1.609,9442022-01-28
LRCLoopringEthereum1.96621.7577-10.60%0.9906-49.62%0.1691✓1.941.5M2022-01-28
LPTLivepeerEthereum42.5337.3723-12.13%25.85-39.22%0.0155✓1.703.0M2022-01-28
GTCGitcoinEthereum13.5411.8663-12.36%7.1-47.56%0.5210✓-0.044.8M2022-01-28
HIVEHivenative1.49181.3028-12.67%0.931-37.59%0.0445✓1.407.0M2022-01-28
BICOBiconomyEthereum4.844.2112-12.99%1.97-59.30%0.5517✓1.0018.1M2022-01-28
SPELLSpellEthereum0.021150.018198-13.96%0.00547-74.14%0.9940✓1.0035.6M2022-01-28
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.98190.818671-16.62%0.6272-36.12%0.0913✓1.7228.8M2022-01-28
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.