2021-12-28 · +30d

gru_s1 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 137 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.3095

137 of 137 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+27.00%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

75.2%

in alpha space · 80.3% on raw price

BTC over horizon

-21.78%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (137 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.077218	0.080114	+3.75%	0.056453	-26.89%	0.1168	✗	0.95	648k	2022-01-27
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.423	0.437675	+3.47%	0.243	-42.55%	0.4041	✗	0.75	46k	2022-01-27
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	47,383.60	48,464.11	+2.28%	37,269.30	-21.35%	0.0186	✓	0.99	10k	2022-01-27
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	34.96	35.6048	+1.84%	24.33	-30.41%	0.1233	✗	1.05	5.1M	2022-01-27
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.021978	0.022381	+1.84%	0.014097	-35.86%	0.1631	✗	1.22	2.4M	2022-01-27
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.173745	0.176846	+1.78%	0.141443	-18.59%	0.0497	✓	1.11	6.0M	2022-01-27
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	2.54	2.5817	+1.64%	1.59	-37.40%	0.2289	✗	1.04	4.4M	2022-01-27
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	7.57	7.6633	+1.23%	5.12	-32.36%	0.2467	✗	0.64	1.1M	2022-01-27
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	2.108	2.1319	+1.14%	1.399	-33.63%	0.1437	✗	1.13	3.3M	2022-01-27
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.98	3.0108	+1.03%	2.121	-28.83%	0.1361	✗	0.87	92k	2022-01-27
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	3.03	3.0577	+0.91%	1.76	-41.91%	0.2306	✗	1.31	3.0M	2022-01-27
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.11446	0.115396	+0.82%	0.08437	-26.29%	0.0397	✗	1.11	29k	2022-01-27
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	145.67	146.732	+0.73%	106.92	-26.60%	0.0194	✓	1.37	53.2M	2022-01-27
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	36.25	36.4915	+0.67%	19.21	-47.01%	0.3903	✗	1.02	22.1M	2022-01-27
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	40.01	40.246	+0.59%	38.35	-4.15%	0.2097	✓	1.05	20.7M	2022-01-27
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	27.84	27.9984	+0.57%	18.13	-34.88%	0.1205	✗	1.28	77.1M	2022-01-27
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	24.71	24.7912	+0.33%	19.61	-20.64%	0.1175	✓	1.43	22.9M	2022-01-27
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.7165	0.718686	+0.31%	0.5092	-28.93%	0.0329	✗	1.27	6.6M	2022-01-27
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	35.02	35.1161	+0.27%	18.67	-46.69%	0.2564	✗	1.53	1.3M	2022-01-27
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	1.537	1.541	+0.26%	0.861	-43.98%	0.2601	✗	1.31	4.1M	2022-01-27
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1998	0.200283	+0.24%	0.1146	-42.64%	0.3375	✗	0.90	701k	2022-01-27
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	188.78	189.2174	+0.23%	93.16	-50.65%	0.4726	✗	0.96	11.5M	2022-01-27
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		121.77	121.9197	+0.12%	89.31	-26.66%	0.0730	✗	0.97	3.7M	2022-01-27
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.07538	0.075327	-0.07%	0.04646	-38.37%	0.1796	✓	1.24	21.1M	2022-01-27
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	438.74	437.8418	-0.20%	289.64	-33.98%	0.1634	✓	1.02	10.8M	2022-01-27
XEM	NEM	native	0.1284	0.128111	-0.23%	0.0984	-23.36%	0.0079	✗	1.11	175k	2022-01-27
XEC	eCash	native	0.00010951	0.000109091	-0.38%	0.00007022	-35.88%	0.1953	✓	1.00	9.9M	2022-01-27
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	9.08	9.044	-0.40%	5.9	-35.02%	0.2426	✓	0.75	1.1M	2022-01-27
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	209	208.0766	-0.44%	121.94	-41.66%	0.2523	✓	1.15	236k	2022-01-27
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	47,543.09	47,299.23	-0.51%	37,188.37	-21.78%	0.0051	✓	1.00	750.8M	2022-01-27
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.274101	0.272179	-0.70%	0.194019	-29.22%	0.0866	✓	1.03	32.3M	2022-01-27
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	5.695	5.6543	-0.71%	3.89	-31.69%	0.2322	✓	0.58	798k	2022-01-27
XYM	Symbol	native	0.2158	0.214099	-0.79%	0.1614	-25.21%	0.1531	✓	0.53	392k	2022-01-27
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	20.36	20.1879	-0.85%	15.23	-25.20%	0.0479	✗	1.34	69.7M	2022-01-27
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.664	1.6495	-0.87%	1.42	-14.66%	0.1813	✗	1.35	8.3M	2022-01-27
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.3998	1.3875	-0.88%	1.0428	-25.50%	0.0223	✓	1.07	120.2M	2022-01-27
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	9.7	9.6115	-0.91%	5.84	-39.79%	0.3506	✓	0.60	1.1M	2022-01-27
SOL	Solana	Solana	177.27	175.6207	-0.93%	89.55	-49.48%	0.4152	✓	1.05	257.1M	2022-01-27
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	3.6	3.5644	-0.99%	3.4851	-3.19%	0.0512	✓	-0.12	405k	2022-01-27
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0838	0.082911	-1.06%	0.0638	-23.87%	0.0050	✓	1.09	16k	2022-01-27
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	33.51	33.1468	-1.08%	26.76	-20.14%	0.0526	✓	0.66	572k	2022-01-27
DASH	Dash	Dash	134.75	133.2138	-1.14%	91.73	-31.93%	0.0558	✓	1.29	2.0M	2022-01-27
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.08977	0.088731	-1.16%	0.04978	-44.55%	0.2195	✓	1.46	4.1M	2022-01-27
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	9.0923	8.9855	-1.18%	5.5654	-38.79%	0.1254	✓	1.44	285k	2022-01-27
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	1.28	1.2639	-1.25%	0.725	-43.36%	0.3249	✓	0.94	3.1M	2022-01-27
BAND	Band	Ethereum	5.34	5.273	-1.25%	3.38	-36.70%	0.1485	✓	1.21	2.5M	2022-01-27
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	3.3661	3.3232	-1.27%	2.7628	-17.92%	0.1158	✗	1.22	3.3M	2022-01-27
NANO	nanopay	Base	3.7465	3.698	-1.29%	2.3156	-38.19%	0.2098	✓	1.05	819k	2022-01-27
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.798687	0.788094	-1.33%	0.530399	-33.59%	0.1254	✓	1.10	3.0M	2022-01-27
XMR	Monero	Monero	208.62	205.6003	-1.45%	144.6	-30.69%	0.1103	✓	0.98	2.8M	2022-01-27
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.05923	0.058357	-1.47%	0.038232	-35.45%	0.0677	✓	1.45	8.2M	2022-01-27
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	15.54	15.304	-1.52%	8.39	-46.01%	0.3213	✓	1.14	4.8M	2022-01-27
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	4.564	4.4935	-1.55%	2.955	-35.25%	0.2634	✓	0.63	502k	2022-01-27
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.911	0.892349	-2.05%	0.482	-47.09%	0.2515	✓	1.48	9.2M	2022-01-27
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	3.34	3.2707	-2.07%	2.3	-31.14%	0.1070	✓	1.00	1.2M	2022-01-27
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	5.85	5.7266	-2.11%	4.57	-21.88%	0.0538	✗	1.14	5.1M	2022-01-27
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.6659	0.651847	-2.11%	0.4054	-39.12%	0.1565	✓	1.30	12.5M	2022-01-27
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01651	0.016152	-2.17%	0.01041	-36.95%	0.1249	✓	1.28	2.7M	2022-01-27
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	99.74	97.1845	-2.56%	47.47	-52.41%	0.4798	✓	0.96	7.6M	2022-01-27
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.2199	0.214206	-2.59%	0.1127	-48.75%	0.3408	✓	1.23	6.1M	2022-01-27
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	294.8	287.1128	-2.61%	164.64	-44.15%	0.2813	✓	1.12	1.5M	2022-01-27
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.77	1.7224	-2.69%	0.81	-54.24%	0.3304	✓	1.73	1.5M	2022-01-27
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	18.4	17.8864	-2.79%	10.32	-43.91%	0.2359	✓	1.28	15.5M	2022-01-27
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.3011	1.2644	-2.82%	1.8043	+38.67%	0.6218	✗	1.08	1.1M	2022-01-27
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	3,793.67	3,684.77	-2.87%	2,425.82	-36.06%	0.1624	✓	1.04	766.3M	2022-01-27
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.05427	0.052709	-2.88%	0.0403	-25.74%	0.0041	✓	1.11	16k	2022-01-27
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	4.4909	4.3595	-2.93%	2.9095	-35.21%	0.0766	✓	1.33	5.4M	2022-01-27
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	149.45	144.9404	-3.02%	88.89	-40.52%	0.1564	✓	1.35	11.8M	2022-01-27
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	10.128	9.8187	-3.05%	5.722	-43.50%	0.2333	✓	1.25	411k	2022-01-27
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	6.2683	6.0672	-3.21%	4.2126	-32.79%	0.0715	✓	1.19	724k	2022-01-27
XVG	Verge	native	0.0176	0.017024	-3.27%	0.00965	-45.17%	0.2744	✓	1.19	2.8M	2022-01-27
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	26.57	25.6838	-3.34%	30	+12.91%	0.3787	✗	0.91	40.2M	2022-01-27
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.1358	0.131128	-3.44%	0.0794	-41.53%	0.2417	✓	1.06	344k	2022-01-27
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	10.76	10.3891	-3.45%	8.93	-17.01%	0.0341	✓	0.76	1.4M	2022-01-27
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	2.4846	2.3988	-3.45%	1.5616	-37.15%	0.1500	✓	1.14	147k	2022-01-27
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.3842	0.36964	-3.79%	0.2343	-39.02%	0.1405	✓	1.28	4.4M	2022-01-27
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	252.64	242.6375	-3.96%	144.54	-42.79%	0.2490	✓	1.09	11.4M	2022-01-27
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.459	6.1974	-4.05%	6.5312	+1.12%	0.2527	✗	0.82	4.3M	2022-01-27
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.3033	0.290941	-4.07%	0.1754	-42.17%	0.1857	✓	1.30	5.8M	2022-01-27
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.033967	0.03256	-4.14%	0.020242	-40.41%	0.2180	✓	1.05	9.3M	2022-01-27
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	5.0292	4.8205	-4.15%	3.0464	-39.43%	0.1375	✓	1.31	5.2M	2022-01-27
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	25.42	24.3647	-4.15%	13.95	-45.12%	0.2995	✓	1.05	1.6M	2022-01-27
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.4301	0.411874	-4.24%	0.5303	+23.30%	0.5980	✗	1.41	1.0M	2022-01-27
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	12.05	11.5303	-4.31%	6.37	-47.14%	0.6425	✓	-0.20	4.3M	2022-01-27
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	1.2203	1.1665	-4.41%	0.83214	-31.81%	0.0996	✗	1.78	1.5M	2022-01-27
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	5.349	5.1108	-4.45%	3.107	-41.91%	0.3298	✓	0.68	734k	2022-01-27
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.10316	0.098565	-4.45%	0.07195	-30.25%	0.1590	✓	0.63	92k	2022-01-27
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	28,691.22	27,360.35	-4.64%	23,910.78	-16.66%	0.0079	✓	0.58	9.0M	2022-01-27
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.1045	0.099616	-4.67%	0.065	-37.80%	0.0879	✓	1.38	2.0M	2022-01-27
ZEN	Horizen	Base	63.32	60.2846	-4.79%	36.7	-42.04%	0.1229	✓	1.52	1.2M	2022-01-27
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.8135	1.7252	-4.86%	1.0754	-40.70%	0.2819	✓	0.78	1.1M	2022-01-27
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	16.17	15.3825	-4.87%	12.75	-21.15%	0.0204	✓	0.68	1.4M	2022-01-27
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	3.52	3.3477	-4.90%	2.26	-35.80%	0.1355	✓	1.05	787k	2022-01-27
METRONOME	METRONOME		4.8047	4.5678	-4.93%	2.7225	-43.34%	0.3385	✓	0.73	26k	2022-01-27
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0659	0.062624	-4.97%	0.0357	-45.83%	0.2357	✓	1.33	1.9M	2022-01-27
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	4.72	4.4776	-5.14%	2.79	-40.89%	0.1449	✓	1.34	26.8M	2022-01-27
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	9.06	8.5947	-5.14%	4.05	-55.30%	0.4283	✓	1.32	15.8M	2022-01-27
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.3781	0.358345	-5.22%	0.2772	-26.69%	0.1085	✗	1.49	4.7M	2022-01-27
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	9.798	9.2697	-5.39%	5.873	-40.06%	0.3111	✓	0.59	455k	2022-01-27
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01993	0.01882	-5.57%	0.01439	-27.80%	0.1152	✓	0.62	45k	2022-01-27
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	1.4667	1.3838	-5.65%	0.9364	-36.16%	0.1144	✓	1.12	31.7M	2022-01-27
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	2.0752	1.9564	-5.72%	0.9645	-53.52%	0.2325	✓	1.93	1.5M	2022-01-27
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	39.7	37.4173	-5.75%	16.82	-57.63%	0.3489	✓	1.83	7.2M	2022-01-27
KCS	KuCoin	native	21.506	20.2657	-5.77%	16.064	-25.30%	0.1737	✗	1.65	18.6M	2022-01-27
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.1923	0.181032	-5.86%	0.0947	-50.75%	0.3672	✓	1.14	3.6M	2022-01-27
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	2.754	2.5903	-5.94%	1.58	-42.63%	0.2436	✓	1.02	2.2M	2022-01-27
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.64	0.601903	-5.95%	0.314	-50.94%	0.3379	✓	1.27	2.9M	2022-01-27
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	1.2569	1.1818	-5.98%	0.5781	-54.01%	0.3626	✓	1.43	2.3M	2022-01-27
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.05063	0.047451	-6.28%	0.02909	-42.54%	0.2643	✓	0.92	10.4M	2022-01-27
SC	Siacoin	native	0.01563	0.014632	-6.38%	0.00962	-38.45%	0.1833	✓	0.96	1.2M	2022-01-27
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	190.178	177.4049	-6.72%	73.6045	-61.30%	0.5936	✓	1.16	674k	2022-01-27
API3	Api3	Ethereum	4.56	4.2519	-6.76%	3.97	-12.94%	0.1770	✗	1.00	1.2M	2022-01-27
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	1.027	0.957354	-6.78%	0.8569	-16.56%	0.1348	✗	1.00	151k	2022-01-27
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00003492	0.000032519	-6.88%	0.00002125	-39.15%	0.1798	✓	1.00	2.2M	2022-01-27
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	1.4291	1.3307	-6.88%	0.8032	-43.80%	0.2687	✓	0.96	23.6M	2022-01-27
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	1.18	1.0962	-7.10%	0.65	-44.92%	0.2770	✓	1.00	2.4M	2022-01-27
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.891	3.6125	-7.16%	2.637	-32.23%	0.0691	✓	1.00	3.0M	2022-01-27
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	1.71	1.5862	-7.24%	0.4535	-73.48%	1.0544	✓	0.80	5.9M	2022-01-27
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.6826	1.5601	-7.28%	0.99692	-40.75%	0.2086	✓	0.97	5.3M	2022-01-27
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.342	0.316788	-7.37%	0.2367	-30.79%	0.0603	✓	0.94	328k	2022-01-27
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	9.59	8.8778	-7.43%	5.67	-40.88%	0.1722	✓	1.12	4.1M	2022-01-27
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	4.5	4.1647	-7.45%	2.23	-50.44%	0.3790	✓	1.00	4.4M	2022-01-27
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	4.87	4.4933	-7.74%	2.65	-45.59%	0.2824	✓	1.00	2.5M	2022-01-27
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	38.45	35.4587	-7.78%	24.3	-36.80%	0.0471	✓	1.73	3.0M	2022-01-27
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	85.17	78.2821	-8.09%	54.08	-36.50%	0.1242	✓	1.00	7.4M	2022-01-27
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	11.66	10.7099	-8.15%	5.07	-56.52%	0.5387	✓	0.85	1.3M	2022-01-27
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	107.05	97.9272	-8.52%	64.73	-39.53%	0.1363	✓	1.13	136.0M	2022-01-27
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	3.3399	3.0437	-8.87%	2.2527	-32.55%	0.0687	✓	0.95	8.0M	2022-01-27
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.7106	0.639794	-9.96%	0.4474	-37.04%	0.0320	✓	1.33	3.4M	2022-01-27
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		14.59	13.1145	-10.11%	6.745	-53.77%	0.6927	✓	-0.11	129k	2022-01-27
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	11.57	10.339	-10.64%	5.62	-51.43%	0.4669	✓	0.58	1.5M	2022-01-27
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.2085	0.184305	-11.60%	0.17087	-18.05%	0.3189	✗	1.61	13k	2022-01-27
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	14.64	12.7102	-13.18%	6.75	-53.89%	0.6469	✓	-0.06	4.8M	2022-01-27
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	4.38	3.799	-13.27%	1.95	-55.48%	0.4213	✓	1.00	15.2M	2022-01-27
HIVE	Hive	native	1.6115	1.3976	-13.27%	0.8838	-45.16%	0.1181	✓	1.38	7.1M	2022-01-27
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.7896	0.6811	-13.74%	0.6525	-17.36%	0.3940	✗	1.78	28.3M	2022-01-27
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.02187	0.018487	-15.47%	0.00534	-75.58%	0.9962	✓	1.00	39.8M	2022-01-27

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.