8=======>

2021-12-22 · +30d

gru_s1 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 136 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.3446
136 of 136 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+29.25%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
70.6%
in alpha space · 89.7% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-25.00%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (136 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum48,803.2049,937.43+2.32%36,607.80-24.99%0.0290✗0.9812k2022-01-21
PHAPHALAEthereum0.3570.365091+2.27%0.271-24.09%0.0886✗0.7349k2022-01-21
DYDXdYdXCosmos8.2588.4373+2.17%8.351+1.13%0.3552✓1.27635k2022-01-21
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.0244.0973+1.82%3.392-15.71%0.0362✓0.78714k2022-01-21
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana7.937.9793+0.62%5.64-28.88%0.1659✗0.631.1M2022-01-21
BTCBitcoinBitcoin48,608.6248,816.30+0.43%36,456.94-25.00%0.0043✓1.00750.8M2022-01-21
TRXTRONTron0.0790460.07934+0.37%0.061109-22.69%0.0111✓0.95787k2022-01-21
SUSHISushiEthereum6.366.3721+0.19%4.96-22.01%0.1216✓1.2913.8M2022-01-21
LINKChainlinkEthereum19.9219.9479+0.14%17.44-12.45%0.2076✓1.1967.0M2022-01-21
ETCEthereum Classicnative35.6735.7078+0.11%25.95-27.25%0.0328✗1.006.2M2022-01-21
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.8623.858-0.10%3.168-17.97%0.0020✓0.68487k2022-01-21
NMRNumeraireEthereum33.0833.0294-0.15%23.31-29.53%0.1666✓0.63711k2022-01-21
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1731880.172666-0.30%0.142057-17.98%0.1169✗1.085.5M2022-01-21
FILFilecoinFilecoin35.6335.5216-0.30%21.98-38.31%0.1915✓1.0022.5M2022-01-21
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash438.3436.854-0.33%315.04-28.12%0.0369✓1.0114.2M2022-01-21
XMRMoneroMonero190.53189.699-0.44%172.82-9.30%0.1575✗0.872.8M2022-01-21
DOTPolkadotPolkadot27.2427.1091-0.48%19.67-27.79%0.0268✗1.2175.5M2022-01-21
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana5.1515.1201-0.60%4.12-20.02%0.0405✓0.61936k2022-01-21
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana15.7915.6923-0.62%13.42-15.01%0.0315✗0.651.5M2022-01-21
COMPCompoundEthereum206.65205.0403-0.78%139.37-32.56%0.0936✓1.02236k2022-01-21
UNIUniswapEthereum16.2116.0631-0.91%12.63-22.09%0.1155✗1.2414.1M2022-01-21
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana8.798.7087-0.92%6.31-28.21%0.1371✓0.641.1M2022-01-21
QNTQuantEthereum182.5180.776-0.94%114.44-37.29%0.2008✓0.8912.1M2022-01-21
AAVEAaveEthereum206.48204.4416-0.99%171.09-17.14%0.0871✗0.9211.4M2022-01-21
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.2272.2042-1.02%1.445-35.11%0.1065✓1.103.4M2022-01-21
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.2711.2579-1.03%0.764-39.89%0.2236✓0.964.4M2022-01-21
FTTFTXEthereum41.3340.8614-1.13%38.52-6.80%0.2305✗1.0123.4M2022-01-21
RLCiExec RLCEthereum3.073.0344-1.16%2-34.85%0.0521✓1.273.2M2022-01-21
ADACardanoCardano1.32791.3123-1.18%1.1211-15.57%0.1285✗0.99128.9M2022-01-21
XVSVenusEthereum15.5615.3715-1.21%9.94-36.12%0.1115✓1.135.7M2022-01-21
SOLSolanaSolana178.45175.9471-1.40%112.32-37.06%0.1890✓0.90265.5M2022-01-21
METRONOMEMETRONOME5.00794.9371-1.41%3.2277-35.55%0.2271✓0.6931k2022-01-21
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.20780.204758-1.46%0.1474-29.07%0.0837✓0.85776k2022-01-21
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.5691.5459-1.47%0.984-37.28%0.0764✓1.305.4M2022-01-21
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.472.4322-1.53%1.84-25.51%0.0193✓0.904.7M2022-01-21
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV123.67121.7505-1.55%95.68-22.63%0.0360✗0.962.8M2022-01-21
CBKCobakEthereum2.9732.9256-1.60%2.197-26.10%0.0465✓0.83103k2022-01-21
DKAdKargoEthereum0.115070.113227-1.60%0.08324-27.66%0.0024✓1.0830k2022-01-21
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum23.3422.9168-1.81%24.19+3.64%0.4301✗1.3121.2M2022-01-21
XTZTezosTezos4.54184.4556-1.90%3.3417-26.42%0.0803✗1.285.1M2022-01-21
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.06554.963-2.02%3.555-29.82%0.0594✗1.375.0M2022-01-21
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos27.3926.8352-2.03%34.64+26.47%0.5033✗0.8641.0M2022-01-21
SUNSun TokenTron0.0229890.022509-2.09%0.016171-29.66%0.0220✗1.232.0M2022-01-21
LTCLitecoinLitecoin155.44152.1911-2.09%114.51-26.33%0.1111✗1.3760.2M2022-01-21
AUCTIONBounceEthereum24.5123.9976-2.09%15.55-36.56%0.2357✓0.692.7M2022-01-21
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.08650.084688-2.09%0.0634-26.71%0.0147✓1.0622k2022-01-21
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana8.838.643-2.12%6.56-25.71%0.0649✓0.73934k2022-01-21
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.393.3178-2.13%2.46-27.43%0.0241✓0.961.3M2022-01-21
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.01790.017493-2.28%0.01111-37.93%0.1009✓1.233.6M2022-01-21
XEMNEMnative0.13050.127469-2.32%0.097-25.67%0.0258✗1.04202k2022-01-21
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.3710.1255-2.36%9.4-9.35%0.1397✗0.741.6M2022-01-21
BANDBandEthereum5.365.2242-2.53%3.96-26.12%0.0499✗1.142.8M2022-01-21
XYMSymbolnative0.24240.236254-2.54%0.1639-32.38%0.2293✓0.47428k2022-01-21
XLMStellarStellar0.2677240.260862-2.56%0.202862-24.23%0.0296✗0.9839.0M2022-01-21
SKLSKALEEthereum0.20770.202377-2.56%0.1206-41.94%0.1856✓1.157.6M2022-01-21
ETHEthereumEthereum3,981.123,878.38-2.58%2,569.01-35.47%0.1143✓1.03768.5M2022-01-21
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.535.3872-2.58%4.17-24.59%0.0504✗1.075.3M2022-01-21
TRBTellor TributesEthereum33.7632.8701-2.64%21.23-37.11%0.0272✓1.431.6M2022-01-21
DASHDashDash135.16131.5252-2.69%105.73-21.77%0.1291✗1.212.2M2022-01-21
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.056850.055262-2.79%0.03977-30.04%0.0234✓1.0620k2022-01-21
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.59953.4968-2.85%3.5345-1.81%0.0155✓-0.09372k2022-01-21
XECeCashnative0.000110550.000107326-2.92%0.00007968-27.92%0.0156✓0.9812.0M2022-01-21
GTGateEthereum6.1255.9329-3.14%6.243+1.93%0.2666✗0.754.7M2022-01-21
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.69440.67164-3.28%0.4366-37.13%0.0942✓1.1714.9M2022-01-21
YFIyearn.financeEthereum31,630.7130,567.22-3.36%25,741.64-18.62%0.0128✓0.556.8M2022-01-21
NANOnanopayBase3.47533.3576-3.38%2.3265-33.06%0.0736✓1.02819k2022-01-21
DODODODOEthereum0.8980.867531-3.39%0.561-37.53%0.0260✓1.439.7M2022-01-21
CTKShentuOsmosis1.8011.7393-3.43%1.209-32.87%0.0032✓1.286.8M2022-01-21
COTICOTIEthereum0.32930.31766-3.53%0.2921-11.30%0.3108✗1.374.4M2022-01-21
KSMKusamaHydration273.22263.3496-3.61%213.87-21.72%0.0932✗1.051.5M2022-01-21
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.8242080.794253-3.63%0.55846-32.24%0.0607✓1.014.7M2022-01-21
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.09420.090744-3.67%0.05388-42.80%0.0871✓1.516.4M2022-01-21
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.27091.2236-3.72%0.857-32.57%0.0597✓1.0323.6M2022-01-21
QTUMQtumQtum9.42999.0749-3.76%6.1225-35.07%0.0009✓1.37349k2022-01-21
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.36281.3111-3.79%1.4321+5.09%0.3917✗1.051.5M2022-01-21
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum101.5697.6939-3.81%58.39-42.51%0.2376✓0.969.8M2022-01-21
DEXEDeXeEthereum12.1811.6956-3.98%6.72-44.83%0.6386✓-0.295.4M2022-01-21
LSKLiskEthereum2.45672.3582-4.01%1.6672-32.14%0.0280✓1.11147k2022-01-21
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.23723.1024-4.16%3.11-3.93%0.3491✗1.214.0M2022-01-21
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.37740.361088-4.32%0.2523-33.15%0.0140✓1.296.6M2022-01-21
XVGVergenative0.017240.016457-4.54%0.01002-41.88%0.1586✓1.172.9M2022-01-21
MOVRMoonriverBase181.9072173.3292-4.72%95-47.78%0.3212✓0.97748k2022-01-21
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.106020.100917-4.81%0.07197-32.12%0.1784✓0.56143k2022-01-21
ZECZcashZcash165.84157.801-4.85%102.35-38.28%0.0661✓1.2813.6M2022-01-21
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.01940.018459-4.85%0.01394-28.14%0.1446✓0.4761k2022-01-21
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum10.149.6362-4.97%5.957-41.25%0.2850✓0.68455k2022-01-21
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.61.5194-5.04%0.97-39.38%0.0280✓1.661.6M2022-01-21
ARPAARPAEthereum0.10260.09742-5.05%0.0619-39.67%0.0619✓1.363.3M2022-01-21
ZENHorizenBase6864.454-5.21%38.94-42.74%0.0972✓1.411.7M2022-01-21
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0609370.057759-5.22%0.041641-31.67%0.0872✗1.4411.0M2022-01-21
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.36411.2927-5.24%1.0303-24.47%0.0614✗1.0035.5M2022-01-21
RADRadworksEthereum10.029.4883-5.31%5.68-43.31%0.2409✓0.951.9M2022-01-21
API3Api3Ethereum5.044.7707-5.34%4.65-7.74%0.2620✗1.001.8M2022-01-21
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum6.54026.1829-5.46%4.7186-27.85%0.0507✓1.12833k2022-01-21
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.13650.128982-5.51%0.0834-38.90%0.1249✓1.08508k2022-01-21
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.0000350.000033043-5.59%0.00002226-36.40%0.1073✓1.001.9M2022-01-21
TRACOriginTrailEthereum1.08891.0268-5.70%0.6747-38.04%0.0166✓1.523.0M2022-01-21
IMXImmutableEthereum4.534.2714-5.71%2.71-40.18%0.1673✓1.002.8M2022-01-21
MINAMina Protocolnative3.313.1183-5.79%2.9-12.39%0.1979✗0.94807k2022-01-21
KCSKuCoinnative21.43520.1554-5.97%16.808-21.59%0.2966✗1.6622.7M2022-01-21
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.73670.692445-6.01%0.5619-23.73%0.1338✗1.197.7M2022-01-21
AMPAmpEthereum0.050290.047195-6.15%0.0303-39.75%0.1782✓0.9216.3M2022-01-21
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.08770.082269-6.19%0.05552-36.69%0.0415✓1.2222.6M2022-01-21
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.211.1343-6.25%0.73-39.67%0.1531✓1.002.3M2022-01-21
CRVCurve DAOEthereum5.054.7323-6.29%3.31-34.46%0.0227✓1.3228.7M2022-01-21
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.45110.421386-6.59%0.5351+18.62%0.6472✗1.421.6M2022-01-21
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.7593.5056-6.74%2.795-25.65%0.0611✓1.003.6M2022-01-21
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum45.0341.9683-6.80%17.88-60.29%0.3203✓1.8510.6M2022-01-21
SCSiacoinnative0.016010.014919-6.82%0.01044-34.79%0.0940✓0.911.5M2022-01-21
GITCOINGITCOIN10.589.8166-7.22%7.826-26.03%0.2635✓-0.13129k2022-01-21
CELLCellframeEthereum1.311.2112-7.54%0.8913-31.96%0.0190✓1.00196k2022-01-21
LCXLCXEthereum0.21190.195827-7.59%0.0939-55.69%0.4049✓1.154.2M2022-01-21
CVCCivicEthereum0.34090.314852-7.64%0.2396-29.72%0.0179✓0.89401k2022-01-21
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum5.455.028-7.74%2.29-57.98%0.4988✓1.006.8M2022-01-21
BATBasic AttentionEthereum1.18651.0936-7.83%0.81011-31.72%0.1885✗1.701.6M2022-01-21
CHZChilizEthereum0.28560.261499-8.44%0.198-30.67%0.0783✓1.246.6M2022-01-21
CTSICartesiEthereum0.68930.629054-8.74%0.4811-30.20%0.0856✓1.236.5M2022-01-21
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.6340.578567-8.74%0.352-44.48%0.1516✓1.203.2M2022-01-21
STORJStorjEthereum1.96551.7933-8.76%1.1848-39.72%0.2115✓0.711.3M2022-01-21
BFCBifrostEthereum0.203510.185559-8.82%0.16704-17.92%0.3554✗1.6034k2022-01-21
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.5792.3475-8.98%1.738-32.61%0.0404✓0.902.8M2022-01-21
UMAUMAEthereum9.468.602-9.07%6.6-30.23%0.0489✓1.094.1M2022-01-21
MASKMask NetworkEthereum11.0810.0699-9.12%6.49-41.43%0.2940✓0.513.4M2022-01-21
UOSUltraEthereum1.60781.4574-9.36%0.91734-42.95%0.1735✓1.017.8M2022-01-21
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche116.66105.3337-9.71%66.07-43.37%0.1538✓1.09158.3M2022-01-21
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.07120.064209-9.82%0.0363-49.02%0.1775✓1.372.7M2022-01-21
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon1.76541.5831-10.33%0.5186-70.62%0.9463✓0.598.5M2022-01-21
GTCGitcoinEthereum10.629.5184-10.37%7.97-24.95%0.1979✓-0.074.2M2022-01-21
BICOBiconomyEthereum3.593.209-10.61%2.45-31.75%0.0178✓1.0011.9M2022-01-21
LPTLivepeerEthereum41.4936.4369-12.18%24.86-40.08%0.1137✓1.725.2M2022-01-21
MANADecentralandEthereum3.28952.8808-12.42%2.2219-32.45%0.0130✓0.869.3M2022-01-21
HIVEHivenative1.50551.318-12.46%0.906-39.82%0.0041✓1.2911.9M2022-01-21
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0368870.031471-14.68%0.022082-40.14%0.0597✓1.0213.9M2022-01-21
LRCLoopringEthereum2.19981.8627-15.32%0.8678-60.55%0.1954✓1.982.3M2022-01-21
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.67210.56618-15.76%0.6365-5.30%0.6369✗1.8112.6M2022-01-21
SPELLSpellEthereum0.023880.019871-16.79%0.0092-61.47%0.4824✓1.0034.3M2022-01-21
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.