8=======>

2021-12-22 · +30d

gru_s1 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 136 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.3911
136 of 136 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+19.28%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
61.8%
in alpha space · 77.2% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-25.00%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (136 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
SPELLSpellEthereum0.023880.019444-18.58%0.0092-61.47%0.4607✓1.0034.3M2022-01-21
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.67210.577444-14.08%0.6365-5.30%0.6263✗1.8412.6M2022-01-21
LRCLoopringEthereum2.19981.9203-12.71%0.8678-60.55%0.2180✓2.002.3M2022-01-21
HIVEHivenative1.50551.3171-12.51%0.906-39.82%0.0029✓1.3111.9M2022-01-21
BFCBifrostEthereum0.203510.180241-11.43%0.16704-17.92%0.3927✗1.6334k2022-01-21
BICOBiconomyEthereum3.593.1926-11.07%2.45-31.75%0.0229✓1.0011.9M2022-01-21
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche116.66105.2085-9.82%66.07-43.37%0.1331✓1.15158.3M2022-01-21
MASKMask NetworkEthereum11.089.9995-9.75%6.49-41.43%0.2856✓0.513.4M2022-01-21
MANADecentralandEthereum3.28952.9722-9.65%2.2219-32.45%0.0464✓0.859.3M2022-01-21
GTCGitcoinEthereum10.629.6108-9.50%7.97-24.95%0.2214✓-0.124.2M2022-01-21
UOSUltraEthereum1.60781.4558-9.46%0.91734-42.95%0.1727✓1.017.8M2022-01-21
LPTLivepeerEthereum41.4937.6559-9.24%24.86-40.08%0.0833✓1.735.2M2022-01-21
CTSICartesiEthereum0.68930.627652-8.94%0.4811-30.20%0.0888✓1.236.5M2022-01-21
CELLCellframeEthereum1.311.201-8.32%0.8913-31.96%0.0106✓1.00196k2022-01-21
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.0000350.000032119-8.23%0.00002226-36.40%0.0790✓1.001.9M2022-01-21
UMAUMAEthereum9.468.7273-7.74%6.6-30.23%0.0336✓1.094.1M2022-01-21
IMXImmutableEthereum4.534.183-7.66%2.71-40.18%0.1464✓1.002.8M2022-01-21
CVCCivicEthereum0.34090.314805-7.65%0.2396-29.72%0.0177✓0.89401k2022-01-21
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum5.455.0457-7.42%2.29-57.98%0.5023✓1.006.8M2022-01-21
API3Api3Ethereum5.044.6669-7.40%4.65-7.74%0.2840✗1.001.8M2022-01-21
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.211.121-7.35%0.73-39.67%0.1413✓1.002.3M2022-01-21
STORJStorjEthereum1.96551.8285-6.97%1.1848-39.72%0.2345✓0.691.3M2022-01-21
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum45.0341.8985-6.95%17.88-60.29%0.3186✓1.8510.6M2022-01-21
SCSiacoinnative0.016010.01492-6.81%0.01044-34.79%0.0915✓0.921.5M2022-01-21
LCXLCXEthereum0.21190.197783-6.66%0.0939-55.69%0.4149✓1.154.2M2022-01-21
AMPAmpEthereum0.050290.04705-6.44%0.0303-39.75%0.1678✓0.9516.3M2022-01-21
GITCOINGITCOIN10.589.9001-6.43%7.826-26.03%0.2856✓-0.18129k2022-01-21
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon1.76541.652-6.42%0.5186-70.62%1.0082✓0.528.5M2022-01-21
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.6340.593573-6.38%0.352-44.48%0.1706✓1.223.2M2022-01-21
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.7593.5281-6.14%2.795-25.65%0.0547✓1.003.6M2022-01-21
YFIyearn.financeEthereum31,630.7129,714.42-6.06%25,741.64-18.62%0.0112✓0.546.8M2022-01-21
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0368870.034689-5.96%0.022082-40.14%0.1583✓1.0213.9M2022-01-21
KCSKuCoinnative21.43520.1931-5.79%16.808-21.59%0.3023✗1.6922.7M2022-01-21
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.07120.067209-5.61%0.0363-49.02%0.2232✓1.372.7M2022-01-21
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum10.149.5783-5.54%5.957-41.25%0.2899✓0.64455k2022-01-21
CRVCurve DAOEthereum5.054.7719-5.51%3.31-34.46%0.0233✓1.3528.7M2022-01-21
ZENHorizenBase6864.3075-5.43%38.94-42.74%0.0649✓1.521.7M2022-01-21
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.5792.4393-5.42%1.738-32.61%0.0750✓0.922.8M2022-01-21
RADRadworksEthereum10.029.483-5.36%5.68-43.31%0.2397✓0.951.9M2022-01-21
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.27091.2044-5.24%0.857-32.57%0.0338✓1.0723.6M2022-01-21
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.01940.018403-5.14%0.01394-28.14%0.1193✓0.5561k2022-01-21
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.106020.100763-4.96%0.07197-32.12%0.1799✓0.54143k2022-01-21
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.45110.429128-4.87%0.5351+18.62%0.6290✗1.421.6M2022-01-21
MOVRMoonriverBase181.9072173.6248-4.55%95-47.78%0.2749✓1.14748k2022-01-21
ARPAARPAEthereum0.10260.098027-4.46%0.0619-39.67%0.0714✓1.353.3M2022-01-21
ZECZcashZcash165.84158.964-4.15%102.35-38.28%0.0485✓1.3613.6M2022-01-21
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.36411.3087-4.06%1.0303-24.47%0.0627✗1.0535.5M2022-01-21
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana15.7915.1487-4.06%13.42-15.01%0.0698✗0.661.5M2022-01-21
BATBasic AttentionEthereum1.18651.1385-4.04%0.81011-31.72%0.1616✗1.741.6M2022-01-21
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum6.54026.2784-4.00%4.7186-27.85%0.0556✗1.19833k2022-01-21
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.37740.362507-3.95%0.2523-33.15%0.0107✓1.306.6M2022-01-21
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.06554.8705-3.85%3.555-29.82%0.0782✗1.375.0M2022-01-21
METRONOMEMETRONOME5.00794.8234-3.68%3.2277-35.55%0.1831✓0.7631k2022-01-21
ETHEthereumEthereum3,981.123,840.47-3.53%2,569.01-35.47%0.0968✓1.06768.5M2022-01-21
DEXEDeXeEthereum12.1811.7514-3.52%6.72-44.83%0.6489✓-0.315.4M2022-01-21
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.36281.316-3.43%1.4321+5.09%0.3935✗1.071.5M2022-01-21
XVGVergenative0.017240.016655-3.39%0.01002-41.88%0.1694✓1.182.9M2022-01-21
GTGateEthereum6.1255.9176-3.39%6.243+1.93%0.2877✗0.814.7M2022-01-21
XTZTezosTezos4.54184.3948-3.24%3.3417-26.42%0.0998✗1.305.1M2022-01-21
COTICOTIEthereum0.32930.319099-3.10%0.2921-11.30%0.3295✗1.454.4M2022-01-21
TRACOriginTrailEthereum1.08891.0553-3.09%0.6747-38.04%0.0107✓1.523.0M2022-01-21
CHZChilizEthereum0.28560.276936-3.03%0.198-30.67%0.0270✓1.266.6M2022-01-21
MINAMina Protocolnative3.313.2138-2.91%2.9-12.39%0.1762✗0.97807k2022-01-21
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.13650.132538-2.90%0.0834-38.90%0.1521✓1.08508k2022-01-21
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.056850.055256-2.80%0.03977-30.04%0.0055✓1.1220k2022-01-21
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos27.3926.6388-2.74%34.64+26.47%0.5119✗0.8741.0M2022-01-21
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.3710.1011-2.59%9.4-9.35%0.1421✗0.741.6M2022-01-21
XYMSymbolnative0.24240.236209-2.55%0.1639-32.38%0.2341✓0.46428k2022-01-21
AUCTIONBounceEthereum24.5123.9012-2.48%15.55-36.56%0.1236✓1.062.7M2022-01-21
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.01790.01748-2.35%0.01111-37.93%0.0920✓1.263.6M2022-01-21
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum101.5699.1797-2.34%58.39-42.51%0.2548✓0.969.8M2022-01-21
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.69440.679317-2.17%0.4366-37.13%0.0722✓1.2914.9M2022-01-21
CTKShentuOsmosis1.8011.7642-2.04%1.209-32.87%0.0071✓1.296.8M2022-01-21
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0609370.059766-1.92%0.041641-31.67%0.0681✗1.4911.0M2022-01-21
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.8242080.808741-1.88%0.55846-32.24%0.0634✓1.074.7M2022-01-21
QTUMQtumQtum9.42999.2574-1.83%6.1225-35.07%0.0028✓1.45349k2022-01-21
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.393.331-1.74%2.46-27.43%0.0204✓0.981.3M2022-01-21
NANOnanopayBase3.47533.416-1.71%2.3265-33.06%0.0844✓1.04819k2022-01-21
DODODODOEthereum0.8980.882729-1.70%0.561-37.53%0.0302✓1.479.7M2022-01-21
LSKLiskEthereum2.45672.4191-1.53%1.6672-32.14%0.0260✓1.20147k2022-01-21
UNIUniswapEthereum16.2115.9736-1.46%12.63-22.09%0.1303✗1.2714.1M2022-01-21
XVSVenusEthereum15.5615.3336-1.46%9.94-36.12%0.1049✓1.145.7M2022-01-21
SKLSKALEEthereum0.20770.204788-1.40%0.1206-41.94%0.1861✓1.197.6M2022-01-21
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.08650.085301-1.39%0.0634-26.71%0.0199✗1.1022k2022-01-21
BANDBandEthereum5.365.2889-1.33%3.96-26.12%0.0508✗1.182.8M2022-01-21
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.09420.092953-1.32%0.05388-42.80%0.1112✓1.516.4M2022-01-21
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.59953.5537-1.27%3.5345-1.81%0.0312✓-0.09372k2022-01-21
KSMKusamaHydration273.22269.8628-1.23%213.87-21.72%0.0782✗1.081.5M2022-01-21
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.08770.086742-1.09%0.05552-36.69%0.0892✓1.2422.6M2022-01-21
SOLSolanaSolana178.45176.6609-1.00%112.32-37.06%0.1626✓1.01265.5M2022-01-21
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.535.478-0.94%4.17-24.59%0.0381✗1.085.3M2022-01-21
BTCBitcoinBitcoin48,608.6248,238.10-0.76%36,456.94-25.00%0.0077✗1.00750.8M2022-01-21
DASHDashDash135.16134.1431-0.75%105.73-21.77%0.1208✗1.252.2M2022-01-21
XEMNEMnative0.13050.129536-0.74%0.097-25.67%0.0231✗1.09202k2022-01-21
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.23723.2136-0.73%3.11-3.93%0.3139✗1.214.0M2022-01-21
NMRNumeraireEthereum33.0832.8531-0.69%23.31-29.53%0.1512✓0.67711k2022-01-21
AAVEAaveEthereum206.48205.1806-0.63%171.09-17.14%0.0961✗0.9711.4M2022-01-21
LINKChainlinkEthereum19.9219.804-0.58%17.44-12.45%0.2390✗1.2767.0M2022-01-21
XLMStellarStellar0.2677240.266193-0.57%0.202862-24.23%0.0123✗0.9939.0M2022-01-21
COMPCompoundEthereum206.65205.5537-0.53%139.37-32.56%0.0860✓1.05236k2022-01-21
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash438.3436.769-0.35%315.04-28.12%0.0299✓1.0314.2M2022-01-21
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV123.67123.2605-0.33%95.68-22.63%0.0299✗0.982.8M2022-01-21
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.2711.2677-0.26%0.764-39.89%0.2246✓0.984.4M2022-01-21
LTCLitecoinLitecoin155.44155.2034-0.15%114.51-26.33%0.0983✗1.4060.2M2022-01-21
ADACardanoCardano1.32791.3262-0.13%1.1211-15.57%0.1273✗1.03128.9M2022-01-21
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana8.838.8287-0.02%6.56-25.71%0.0751✓0.77934k2022-01-21
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana5.1515.1504-0.01%4.12-20.02%0.0412✓0.63936k2022-01-21
XMRMoneroMonero190.53190.6971+0.09%172.82-9.30%0.1752✓0.952.8M2022-01-21
XECeCashnative0.000110550.000110676+0.11%0.00007968-27.92%0.0431✗0.9912.0M2022-01-21
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.8623.8676+0.14%3.168-17.97%0.0039✗0.68487k2022-01-21
SUSHISushiEthereum6.366.3704+0.16%4.96-22.01%0.1278✓1.3113.8M2022-01-21
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.5691.5718+0.18%0.984-37.28%0.0900✗1.325.4M2022-01-21
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.61.603+0.19%0.97-39.38%0.0143✗1.701.6M2022-01-21
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.20780.208276+0.23%0.1474-29.07%0.0942✗0.87776k2022-01-21
FILFilecoinFilecoin35.6335.7448+0.32%21.98-38.31%0.1950✗1.0122.5M2022-01-21
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana8.798.8216+0.36%6.31-28.21%0.1464✗0.661.1M2022-01-21
DKAdKargoEthereum0.115070.11561+0.47%0.08324-27.66%0.0117✗1.1030k2022-01-21
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.2272.2385+0.52%1.445-35.11%0.1181✗1.113.4M2022-01-21
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.0244.045+0.52%3.392-15.71%0.0550✓0.80714k2022-01-21
RLCiExec RLCEthereum3.073.0875+0.57%2-34.85%0.0644✗1.293.2M2022-01-21
DOTPolkadotPolkadot27.2427.4284+0.69%19.67-27.79%0.0244✓1.2475.5M2022-01-21
FTTFTXEthereum41.3341.707+0.91%38.52-6.80%0.2261✓1.0623.4M2022-01-21
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana7.938.0029+0.92%5.64-28.88%0.1680✗0.631.1M2022-01-21
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.73670.743785+0.96%0.5619-23.73%0.0699✓1.227.7M2022-01-21
QNTQuantEthereum182.5184.4444+1.07%114.44-37.29%0.2142✗0.9112.1M2022-01-21
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum48,803.2049,353.40+1.13%36,607.80-24.99%0.0155✗0.9812k2022-01-21
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum23.3423.6593+1.37%24.19+3.64%0.4063✓1.3421.2M2022-01-21
DYDXdYdXCosmos8.2588.3825+1.51%8.351+1.13%0.3761✓1.32635k2022-01-21
CBKCobakEthereum2.9733.0228+1.68%2.197-26.10%0.0769✗0.84103k2022-01-21
SUNSun TokenTron0.0229890.023387+1.73%0.016171-29.66%0.0209✗1.212.0M2022-01-21
TRBTellor TributesEthereum33.7634.3449+1.73%21.23-37.11%0.0488✗1.501.6M2022-01-21
ETCEthereum Classicnative35.6736.3497+1.91%25.95-27.25%0.0366✗1.046.2M2022-01-21
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1731880.17652+1.92%0.142057-17.98%0.0988✓1.105.5M2022-01-21
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.472.5204+2.04%1.84-25.51%0.0422✗0.954.7M2022-01-21
TRXTRONTron0.0790460.081725+3.39%0.061109-22.69%0.0135✓0.96787k2022-01-21
PHAPHALAEthereum0.3570.378587+6.05%0.271-24.09%0.1205✗0.7449k2022-01-21
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.