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2021-12-19 · +30d

gru_s1 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 135 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2693
135 of 135 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+13.47%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
54.8%
in alpha space · 75.6% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-9.25%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (135 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
PHAPHALAEthereum0.3630.371311+2.29%0.376+3.58%0.0851✓0.7554k2022-01-18
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum47,160.0048,135.46+2.07%42,495.40-9.89%0.0283✗0.9915k2022-01-18
DYDXdYdXCosmos7.9088.0542+1.85%7-11.48%0.0086✓1.36640k2022-01-18
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.8893.9471+1.49%4.117+5.86%0.1218✓0.82780k2022-01-18
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana6.646.7041+0.97%6.43-3.16%0.0205✓0.641.1M2022-01-18
SUSHISushiEthereum5.335.3674+0.70%6.21+16.51%0.2721✓1.3012.7M2022-01-18
ETCEthereum Classicnative34.8935.0932+0.58%32.64-6.45%0.0304✓1.066.9M2022-01-18
LINKChainlinkEthereum18.8818.9326+0.28%22.98+21.72%0.3187✓1.2969.7M2022-01-18
BTCBitcoinBitcoin46,687.1946,783.80+0.21%42,369.74-9.25%0.0021✓1.00744.5M2022-01-18
TRXTRONTron0.0795040.079574+0.09%0.068419-13.94%0.0553✗0.99735k2022-01-18
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana13.4513.4559+0.04%14.74+9.59%0.1566✓0.671.6M2022-01-18
AAVEAaveEthereum183.44183.4534+0.01%232.45+26.72%0.3315✓0.9810.9M2022-01-18
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.169530.169382-0.09%0.165155-2.58%0.0832✗1.125.3M2022-01-18
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.553.542-0.22%3.727+4.99%0.1160✗0.67532k2022-01-18
NMRNumeraireEthereum32.2532.1535-0.30%27.26-15.47%0.1009✓0.66754k2022-01-18
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash432.94431.5859-0.31%381.47-11.89%0.0215✓1.0514.2M2022-01-18
DOTPolkadotPolkadot24.7824.6881-0.37%25.15+1.49%0.1399✗1.2575.1M2022-01-18
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.7224.7037-0.39%4.936+4.53%0.1094✗0.63961k2022-01-18
COMPCompoundEthereum195.44194.6199-0.42%178.35-8.74%0.0162✗1.07228k2022-01-18
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.2191.2133-0.46%1.008-17.31%0.0888✓1.005.1M2022-01-18
ADACardanoCardano1.24431.2365-0.63%1.4589+17.25%0.2656✗1.03131.8M2022-01-18
FILFilecoinFilecoin35.835.5541-0.69%28.48-20.45%0.1215✓1.0320.8M2022-01-18
XMRMoneroMonero183.97182.5013-0.80%204.44+11.13%0.2082✗0.982.9M2022-01-18
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana7.967.8964-0.80%7.79-2.14%0.0505✗0.661.1M2022-01-18
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.4531.4409-0.83%1.273-12.39%0.0047✓1.335.6M2022-01-18
FTTFTXEthereum39.7439.3452-0.99%44.97+13.16%0.2370✗1.0726.1M2022-01-18
UNIUniswapEthereum14.9714.8175-1.02%15.98+6.75%0.2004✗1.2914.2M2022-01-18
XVSVenusEthereum15.4815.3074-1.11%13.04-15.76%0.0480✓1.166.6M2022-01-18
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.712.6752-1.28%2.55-5.90%0.0763✗1.282.9M2022-01-18
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum22.6722.3709-1.32%29.38+29.60%0.4021✗1.3320.5M2022-01-18
DKAdKargoEthereum0.111040.109574-1.32%0.10541-5.07%0.0700✗1.1231k2022-01-18
SKLSKALEEthereum0.19220.189643-1.33%0.1541-19.82%0.0905✓1.218.9M2022-01-18
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.1312.101-1.41%1.794-15.81%0.0491✓1.123.4M2022-01-18
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.422.3848-1.45%2.19-9.50%0.0079✓0.964.9M2022-01-18
QNTQuantEthereum182.22179.5419-1.47%146.04-19.86%0.1195✓0.9012.3M2022-01-18
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos22.1821.8526-1.48%38.27+72.54%0.6411✗0.8342.5M2022-01-18
CBKCobakEthereum2.9842.9396-1.49%2.691-9.82%0.0050✓0.86105k2022-01-18
METRONOMEMETRONOME4.93344.8594-1.50%4.0803-17.29%0.0995✓0.7831k2022-01-18
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.20120.198157-1.51%0.1749-13.07%0.0398✓0.88776k2022-01-18
XTZTezosTezos4.13834.0725-1.59%4.1162-0.53%0.1387✗1.324.2M2022-01-18
LTCLitecoinLitecoin153.31150.7317-1.68%141.53-7.68%0.0763✗1.4463.2M2022-01-18
TRBTellor TributesEthereum31.8431.2624-1.81%27.84-12.56%0.0313✗1.521.6M2022-01-18
BANDBandEthereum5.125.0251-1.85%5.05-1.37%0.1197✗1.182.8M2022-01-18
DODODODOEthereum0.8260.810502-1.88%0.739-10.53%0.0504✗1.4712.1M2022-01-18
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV123.02120.6805-1.90%108.41-11.88%0.0103✓1.002.3M2022-01-18
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.017610.01727-1.93%0.01425-19.08%0.0702✓1.263.6M2022-01-18
XEMNEMnative0.12880.126273-1.96%0.1142-11.34%0.0069✓1.11191k2022-01-18
XLMStellarStellar0.2538850.248797-2.00%0.253995+0.04%0.1165✗0.9939.3M2022-01-18
SOLSolanaSolana179.95176.3025-2.03%141.35-21.45%0.1215✓1.02281.0M2022-01-18
NANOnanopayBase3.35563.2874-2.03%2.9248-12.84%0.0155✓1.04781k2022-01-18
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.770370.754588-2.05%0.720057-6.53%0.0579✗1.084.8M2022-01-18
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.08460.082822-2.10%0.0796-5.91%0.0685✗1.1124k2022-01-18
DASHDashDash129.18126.4355-2.12%130.54+1.05%0.1535✗1.252.2M2022-01-18
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.215.0987-2.14%5.03-3.45%0.0912✗1.085.5M2022-01-18
SUNSun TokenTron0.0231720.022666-2.18%0.019469-15.98%0.0319✓1.241.9M2022-01-18
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana8.348.1546-2.22%7.81-6.35%0.0331✗0.79824k2022-01-18
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.64820.633662-2.24%0.5309-18.10%0.0570✓1.2414.9M2022-01-18
LSKLiskEthereum2.33162.278-2.30%2.0816-10.73%0.0252✗1.19191k2022-01-18
AUCTIONBounceEthereum24.7324.1282-2.43%19.56-20.91%0.1064✓1.073.0M2022-01-18
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.223.1395-2.50%3.02-6.21%0.0574✗0.991.3M2022-01-18
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.055640.054173-2.64%0.04814-13.48%0.0079✓1.1422k2022-01-18
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.73624.6079-2.71%4.1197-13.02%0.0209✓1.375.2M2022-01-18
COTICOTIEthereum0.30630.297731-2.80%0.4092+33.59%0.4610✗1.474.9M2022-01-18
QTUMQtumQtum9.08398.8257-2.84%7.8307-13.80%0.0236✓1.48356k2022-01-18
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana8.588.3319-2.89%10.34+20.51%0.2838✗0.701.9M2022-01-18
XECeCashnative0.000108670.000105394-3.01%0.00009565-11.98%0.0004✓1.0014.3M2022-01-18
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.47743.3657-3.21%3.6709+5.56%0.0770✗-0.10372k2022-01-18
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.06411.0298-3.22%1.1015+3.51%0.1599✗0.9523.6M2022-01-18
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.27851.2367-3.27%1.473+15.21%0.2805✗1.091.6M2022-01-18
ETHEthereumEthereum3,925.793,795.37-3.32%3,160.81-19.49%0.0778✓1.08768.5M2022-01-18
GTGateEthereum5.79835.6054-3.33%7.0464+21.53%0.3081✗0.825.2M2022-01-18
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.07090.068518-3.36%0.06479-8.62%0.0416✗1.0123.2M2022-01-18
YFIyearn.financeEthereum31,997.5130,875.95-3.51%32,596.41+1.87%0.1100✗0.575.5M2022-01-18
XYMSymbolnative0.25770.248492-3.57%0.1864-27.67%0.2418✓0.47434k2022-01-18
CTKShentuOsmosis1.7551.6916-3.61%1.348-23.19%0.1012✓1.307.6M2022-01-18
ARPAARPAEthereum0.09470.091273-3.62%0.0808-14.68%0.0101✓1.363.6M2022-01-18
XVGVergenative0.016740.016119-3.71%0.01322-21.03%0.0834✓1.183.6M2022-01-18
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum95.2991.7473-3.72%73.86-22.49%0.1241✓0.9610.9M2022-01-18
MOVRMoonriverBase183.3809176.4393-3.79%126.385-31.08%0.2223✓1.151.2M2022-01-18
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum5.95595.7259-3.86%5.9429-0.22%0.1524✗1.19876k2022-01-18
ZENHorizenBase65.5262.964-3.90%52.32-20.15%0.0352✓1.552.2M2022-01-18
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.551.4886-3.96%1.28-17.42%0.0133✓1.692.1M2022-01-18
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.36580.351131-4.01%0.3129-14.46%0.0120✓1.317.0M2022-01-18
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.092060.088251-4.14%0.07514-18.38%0.0192✓1.467.0M2022-01-18
KSMKusamaHydration274.31262.9185-4.15%253.4-7.62%0.0710✗1.111.5M2022-01-18
DEXEDeXeEthereum11.8811.3834-4.18%8.79-26.01%0.2910✓-0.335.9M2022-01-18
ZECZcashZcash157.78151.1386-4.21%131.97-16.36%0.0011✓1.3915.2M2022-01-18
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.100480.096009-4.45%0.08843-11.99%0.0308✓0.53143k2022-01-18
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.02332.8859-4.55%3.2233+6.62%0.2283✗1.214.7M2022-01-18
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.69090.658428-4.70%0.6816-1.35%0.1517✗1.218.2M2022-01-18
CRVCurve DAOEthereum4.173.9667-4.88%4.56+9.35%0.2681✗1.3328.7M2022-01-18
MINAMina Protocolnative3.183.0245-4.89%3.45+8.49%0.2271✗0.98821k2022-01-18
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.35641.2889-4.98%1.3179-2.84%0.1247✗1.0638.2M2022-01-18
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0608960.057853-5.00%0.052076-14.48%0.0410✓1.5113.9M2022-01-18
RADRadworksEthereum9.99.3904-5.15%7.44-24.85%0.1392✓0.971.9M2022-01-18
SCSiacoinnative0.015370.014566-5.23%0.0133-13.47%0.0018✓0.922.1M2022-01-18
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000030760.000029136-5.28%0.00002811-8.62%0.0612✗1.001.8M2022-01-18
API3Api3Ethereum4.23.9779-5.29%4.64+10.48%0.2510✗1.001.7M2022-01-18
TRACOriginTrailEthereum1.07691.0183-5.44%0.9593-10.92%0.0882✗1.523.6M2022-01-18
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.13650.128588-5.80%0.105-23.08%0.0959✓1.10648k2022-01-18
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum10.3229.707-5.96%7.355-28.74%0.2129✓0.67374k2022-01-18
AMPAmpEthereum0.0480.045108-6.02%0.03887-19.02%0.0558✓0.9615.8M2022-01-18
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum40.8338.3433-6.09%23.4-42.69%0.3054✓1.9413.8M2022-01-18
IMXImmutableEthereum4.54.2259-6.09%3.72-17.33%0.0305✓1.003.1M2022-01-18
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.6283.3975-6.35%3.378-6.89%0.0913✗1.003.8M2022-01-18
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.43510.407323-6.38%0.6027+38.52%0.4888✗1.001.8M2022-01-18
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.020350.019049-6.39%0.01679-17.49%0.0719✓0.5661k2022-01-18
CVCCivicEthereum0.32520.304364-6.41%0.3128-3.81%0.1129✗0.88775k2022-01-18
KCSKuCoinnative21.2319.8611-6.45%20.371-4.05%0.1930✗1.7324.3M2022-01-18
GITCOINGITCOIN9.2798.6802-6.45%11.382+22.66%0.2502✗-0.21119k2022-01-18
CHZChilizEthereum0.26310.245435-6.71%0.259-1.56%0.1766✗1.277.4M2022-01-18
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.171.0906-6.79%0.98-16.24%0.0099✓1.002.4M2022-01-18
BFCBifrostEthereum0.203670.1891-7.15%0.19779-2.89%0.2048✗1.6537k2022-01-18
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.6040.558748-7.49%0.499-17.38%0.0074✓1.243.4M2022-01-18
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.3352.1529-7.80%2.277-2.48%0.1452✗0.923.4M2022-01-18
CTSICartesiEthereum0.64580.594941-7.88%0.6093-5.65%0.1432✗1.238.7M2022-01-18
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum5.725.2621-8.01%3.25-43.18%0.3848✓1.0011.5M2022-01-18
STORJStorjEthereum1.68471.5475-8.14%1.5502-7.98%0.0651✓0.651.4M2022-01-18
MASKMask NetworkEthereum10.69.7287-8.22%8.78-17.17%0.0542✓0.504.2M2022-01-18
UMAUMAEthereum9.098.3243-8.42%7.94-12.65%0.0604✓1.114.1M2022-01-18
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.07070.064733-8.44%0.0499-29.42%0.1261✓1.383.5M2022-01-18
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon1.65181.509-8.64%0.8648-47.64%0.5097✓0.489.0M2022-01-18
GTCGitcoinEthereum9.28.3823-8.89%11.41+24.02%0.2929✗-0.163.7M2022-01-18
BATBasic AttentionEthereum1.13121.0299-8.95%1.0043-11.22%0.1474✗1.781.6M2022-01-18
UOSUltraEthereum1.47011.3342-9.25%1.236-15.92%0.0212✓1.017.8M2022-01-18
BICOBiconomyEthereum3.533.1909-9.61%3.54+0.28%0.2009✗1.0012.1M2022-01-18
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche107.697.1752-9.69%86.02-20.06%0.0119✓1.13164.3M2022-01-18
LPTLivepeerEthereum35.1431.4265-10.57%34.09-2.99%0.2519✗1.766.8M2022-01-18
HIVEHivenative1.46421.2904-11.87%1.2149-17.03%0.0693✓1.3312.4M2022-01-18
SPELLSpellEthereum0.016890.014824-12.23%0.01274-24.57%0.0545✓1.0033.0M2022-01-18
MANADecentralandEthereum3.25672.8572-12.27%2.859-12.21%0.0861✓0.8812.2M2022-01-18
LCXLCXEthereum0.27680.240284-13.19%0.1293-53.29%0.5017✓1.223.7M2022-01-18
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.4290.369254-13.93%0.9154+113.38%1.0830✗1.8010.2M2022-01-18
LRCLoopringEthereum2.05191.7444-14.99%1.1612-43.41%0.2158✓1.972.3M2022-01-18
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0384950.032575-15.38%0.027164-29.43%0.0828✓1.0215.0M2022-01-18
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.