UPROBINHOOD

? · · gru_s0

token id: #949
symbol: UPROBINHOOD
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-11
predictions: 192

Track record at +7d

assessed

57

of 64 predictions shown

direction hit

57.9%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.4219

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0558

actual +0.0597

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.28138	0.267546	-4.92%	–	pending	–	–	2.34
2026-10-21	oos	0.281425	0.26702	-5.12%	–	pending	–	–	2.34
2026-10-20	oos	0.277585	0.264055	-4.87%	–	pending	–	–	2.35
2026-10-19	oos	0.24885	0.236348	-5.02%	–	pending	–	–	2.32
2026-10-18	oos	0.21966	0.207582	-5.50%	–	pending	–	–	2.35
2026-10-17	oos	0.23107	0.219162	-5.15%	–	pending	–	–	2.35
2026-10-16	oos	0.28208	0.268375	-4.86%	–	pending	–	–	2.32
2026-10-15	oos	0.279945	0.265157	-5.28%	0.28138	+0.51%	0.0006	✓	2.33
2026-10-14	oos	0.27437	0.259384	-5.46%	0.281425	+2.57%	0.0123	✓	2.33
2026-10-13	oos	0.297375	0.275534	-7.34%	0.277585	-6.65%	0.0120	✓	2.31
2026-10-12	oos	0.198445	0.191888	-3.30%	0.24885	+25.40%	0.2574	✗	2.16
2026-10-11	oos	0.23632	0.223233	-5.54%	0.21966	-7.05%	0.0254	✓	2.06
2026-10-10	oos	0.20848	0.201648	-3.28%	0.23107	+10.84%	0.1742	✗	2.04
2026-10-09	oos	0.20578	0.200439	-2.60%	0.28208	+37.08%	0.3677	✗	2.04
2026-10-08	oos	0.19801	0.194983	-1.53%	0.279945	+41.38%	0.3510	✗	2.03
2026-10-07	oos	0.22919	0.221362	-3.42%	0.27437	+19.71%	0.2553	✗	1.96
2026-10-06	oos	0.24363	0.231449	-5.00%	0.297375	+22.06%	0.3074	✗	1.96
2026-10-05	oos	0.266405	0.250079	-6.13%	0.198445	-25.51%	0.1382	✓	1.94
2026-10-04	oos	0.28781	0.266848	-7.28%	0.23632	-17.89%	0.0576	✓	1.92
2026-10-03	oos	0.290305	0.269713	-7.09%	0.20848	-28.19%	0.2151	✓	1.94
2026-10-02	oos	0.27341	0.255438	-6.57%	0.20578	-24.74%	0.1705	✓	1.95
2026-10-01	oos	0.29989	0.276331	-7.86%	0.19801	-33.97%	0.2605	✓	1.92
2026-09-30	oos	0.40591	0.371888	-8.38%	0.22919	-43.54%	0.4772	✓	2.04
2026-09-29	oos	0.39374	0.357324	-9.25%	0.24363	-38.12%	0.4290	✓	2.05
2026-09-28	oos	0.291185	0.270213	-7.20%	0.266405	-8.51%	0.0707	✓	2.08
2026-09-27	oos	0.31507	0.287201	-8.85%	0.28781	-8.65%	0.0471	✓	2.06
2026-09-26	oos	0.36447	0.329458	-9.61%	0.290305	-20.35%	0.1343	✓	2.03
2026-09-25	oos	0.33586	0.302168	-10.03%	0.27341	-18.59%	0.1100	✓	2.04
2026-09-24	oos	0.33996	0.303871	-10.62%	0.29989	-11.79%	0.0243	✓	2.04
2026-09-23	oos	0.39528	0.355407	-10.09%	0.40591	+2.69%	0.1525	✗	2.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.482965	0.44037	-8.82%	0.39374	-18.47%	0.0565	✓	1.84
2026-09-21	oos	0.55709	0.514737	-7.60%	0.291185	-47.73%	0.5041	✓	1.78
2026-09-20	oos	0.46212	0.425059	-8.02%	0.31507	-31.82%	0.3631	✓	1.60
2026-09-19	oos	0.485615	0.447563	-7.84%	0.36447	-24.95%	0.2661	✓	1.58
2026-09-18	oos	0.58476	0.536689	-8.22%	0.33586	-42.56%	0.5297	✓	1.56
2026-09-17	oos	0.47322	0.445927	-5.77%	0.33996	-28.16%	0.3977	✓	1.26
2026-09-16	oos	0.37378	0.365928	-2.10%	0.39528	+5.75%	0.0552	✓	1.29
2026-09-15	oos	0.318955	0.317316	-0.51%	0.482965	+51.42%	0.2530	✗	1.27
2026-09-14	oos	0.37084	0.362312	-2.30%	0.55709	+50.22%	0.3231	✗	1.05
2026-09-13	oos	0.379015	0.370884	-2.15%	0.46212	+21.93%	0.1606	✗	1.07
2026-09-12	oos	0.353985	0.345022	-2.53%	0.485615	+37.19%	0.2855	✗	1.12
2026-09-11	oos	0.382085	0.369109	-3.40%	0.58476	+53.04%	0.4091	✗	1.10
2026-09-10	oos	0.396465	0.380292	-4.08%	0.47322	+19.36%	0.2213	✗	1.11
2026-09-09	oos	0.41882	0.396426	-5.35%	0.37378	-10.75%	0.0311	✓	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.50196	0.473911	-5.59%	0.318955	-36.46%	0.3588	✓	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.55791	0.527117	-5.52%	0.37084	-33.53%	0.3400	✓	1.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.679235	0.643629	-5.24%	0.379015	-44.20%	0.4845	✓	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.790295	0.742221	-6.08%	0.353985	-55.21%	0.7077	✓	1.00
2026-09-04	oos	0.63101	0.600964	-4.76%	0.382085	-39.45%	0.4214	✓	1.00
2026-09-03	oos	0.76968	0.732486	-4.83%	0.396465	-48.49%	0.5539	✓	1.00
2026-09-02	oos	0.838135	0.787839	-6.00%	0.41882	-50.03%	0.6444	✓	1.00
2026-09-01	oos	0.87428	0.814181	-6.87%	0.50196	-42.59%	0.4971	✓	1.00
2026-08-31	oos	0.91438	0.814408	-10.93%	0.55791	-38.98%	0.3850	✓	1.00
2026-08-30	oos	0.52462	0.483919	-7.76%	0.679235	+29.47%	0.3052	✗	1.00
2026-08-29	oos	0.32435	0.311749	-3.89%	0.790295	+143.66%	0.9100	✗	1.00
2026-08-28	oos	0.24126	0.236628	-1.92%	0.63101	+161.55%	0.9575	✗	1.00
2026-08-27	oos	0.26469	0.25941	-1.99%	0.76968	+190.79%	1.0753	✗	1.00
2026-08-26	oos	0.37223	0.344414	-7.47%	0.838135	+125.17%	0.9113	✗	1.00
2026-08-25	oos	0.15754	0.156889	-0.41%	0.87428	+454.96%	1.7323	✗	1.00
2026-08-24	oos	0.19865	0.195656	-1.51%	0.91438	+360.30%	1.5472	✗	1.00
2026-08-23	oos	0.1409	0.139625	-0.91%	0.52462	+272.33%	1.3245	✗	1.00
2026-08-22	oos	0.0851	0.083129	-2.32%	0.32435	+281.14%	1.3462	✗	1.00
2026-08-21	oos	0.1107	0.110487	-0.19%	0.24126	+117.94%	0.7872	✗	1.00
2026-08-20	oos	0.1054	0.10277	-2.50%	0.26469	+151.13%	0.8512	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.