UPROBINHOOD

? · · gru_s0

token id: #949
symbol: UPROBINHOOD
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-11
predictions: 189

Track record at +30d

assessed

33

of 63 predictions shown

direction hit

87.9%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.6511

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.1173

actual -0.3070

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.276795	0.245565	-11.28%	–	pending	–	–	2.34
2026-10-20	oos	0.277585	0.247232	-10.93%	–	pending	–	–	2.35
2026-10-19	oos	0.24885	0.220019	-11.59%	–	pending	–	–	2.32
2026-10-18	oos	0.21966	0.190792	-13.14%	–	pending	–	–	2.35
2026-10-17	oos	0.23107	0.201722	-12.70%	–	pending	–	–	2.35
2026-10-16	oos	0.28208	0.24964	-11.50%	–	pending	–	–	2.32
2026-10-15	oos	0.279945	0.245366	-12.35%	–	pending	–	–	2.33
2026-10-14	oos	0.27437	0.238717	-12.99%	–	pending	–	–	2.33
2026-10-13	oos	0.297375	0.254024	-14.58%	–	pending	–	–	2.31
2026-10-12	oos	0.198445	0.173549	-12.55%	–	pending	–	–	2.16
2026-10-11	oos	0.23632	0.201625	-14.68%	–	pending	–	–	2.06
2026-10-10	oos	0.20848	0.181236	-13.07%	–	pending	–	–	2.04
2026-10-09	oos	0.20578	0.179585	-12.73%	–	pending	–	–	2.04
2026-10-08	oos	0.19801	0.173974	-12.14%	–	pending	–	–	2.03
2026-10-07	oos	0.22919	0.198326	-13.47%	–	pending	–	–	1.96
2026-10-06	oos	0.24363	0.207025	-15.02%	–	pending	–	–	1.96
2026-10-05	oos	0.266405	0.223777	-16.00%	–	pending	–	–	1.94
2026-10-04	oos	0.28781	0.238393	-17.17%	–	pending	–	–	1.92
2026-10-03	oos	0.290305	0.240656	-17.10%	–	pending	–	–	1.94
2026-10-02	oos	0.27341	0.226362	-17.21%	–	pending	–	–	1.95
2026-10-01	oos	0.29989	0.243882	-18.68%	–	pending	–	–	1.92
2026-09-30	oos	0.40591	0.332737	-18.03%	–	pending	–	–	2.04
2026-09-29	oos	0.39374	0.31891	-19.01%	–	pending	–	–	2.05
2026-09-28	oos	0.291185	0.237862	-18.31%	–	pending	–	–	2.08
2026-09-27	oos	0.31507	0.251184	-20.28%	–	pending	–	–	2.06
2026-09-26	oos	0.36447	0.28878	-20.77%	–	pending	–	–	2.03
2026-09-25	oos	0.33586	0.261733	-22.07%	–	pending	–	–	2.04
2026-09-24	oos	0.33996	0.260993	-23.23%	–	pending	–	–	2.04
2026-09-23	oos	0.39528	0.308646	-21.92%	–	pending	–	–	2.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.482965	0.392037	-18.83%	–	pending	–	–	1.84
2026-09-21	oos	0.55709	0.469982	-15.64%	0.276795	-50.31%	0.4475	✓	1.78
2026-09-20	oos	0.46212	0.37579	-18.68%	0.277585	-39.93%	0.3375	✓	1.60
2026-09-19	oos	0.485615	0.396058	-18.44%	0.24885	-48.76%	0.4764	✓	1.58
2026-09-18	oos	0.58476	0.483635	-17.29%	0.21966	-62.44%	0.8110	✓	1.56
2026-09-17	oos	0.47322	0.394934	-16.54%	0.23107	-51.17%	0.6166	✓	1.26
2026-09-16	oos	0.37378	0.32406	-13.30%	0.28208	-24.53%	0.2264	✓	1.29
2026-09-15	oos	0.318955	0.279283	-12.44%	0.279945	-12.23%	0.1031	✓	1.27
2026-09-14	oos	0.37084	0.318656	-14.07%	0.27437	-26.01%	0.1941	✓	1.05
2026-09-13	oos	0.379015	0.325869	-14.02%	0.297375	-21.54%	0.1762	✓	1.07
2026-09-12	oos	0.353985	0.302497	-14.55%	0.198445	-43.94%	0.4849	✓	1.12
2026-09-11	oos	0.382085	0.325238	-14.88%	0.23632	-38.15%	0.4079	✓	1.10
2026-09-10	oos	0.396465	0.335929	-15.27%	0.20848	-47.42%	0.5656	✓	1.11
2026-09-09	oos	0.41882	0.353893	-15.50%	0.20578	-50.87%	0.5952	✓	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.50196	0.429731	-14.39%	0.19801	-60.55%	0.8154	✓	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.55791	0.48233	-13.55%	0.22919	-58.92%	0.7956	✓	1.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.679235	0.596036	-12.25%	0.24363	-64.13%	0.9574	✓	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.790295	0.690962	-12.57%	0.266405	-66.29%	1.0246	✓	1.00
2026-09-04	oos	0.63101	0.55899	-11.41%	0.28781	-54.39%	0.7461	✓	1.00
2026-09-03	oos	0.76968	0.686993	-10.74%	0.290305	-62.28%	0.9033	✓	1.00
2026-09-02	oos	0.838135	0.728781	-13.05%	0.27341	-67.38%	1.0694	✓	1.00
2026-09-01	oos	0.87428	0.754361	-13.72%	0.29989	-65.70%	1.0144	✓	1.00
2026-08-31	oos	0.91438	0.756351	-17.28%	0.40591	-55.61%	0.6840	✓	1.00
2026-08-30	oos	0.52462	0.460896	-12.15%	0.39374	-24.95%	0.2316	✓	1.00
2026-08-29	oos	0.32435	0.305191	-5.91%	0.291185	-10.23%	0.1116	✓	1.00
2026-08-28	oos	0.24126	0.233201	-3.34%	0.31507	+30.59%	0.2192	✗	1.00
2026-08-27	oos	0.26469	0.259469	-1.97%	0.36447	+37.70%	0.2895	✗	1.00
2026-08-26	oos	0.37223	0.341278	-8.32%	0.33586	-9.77%	0.0781	✓	1.00
2026-08-25	oos	0.15754	0.158352	+0.52%	0.33996	+115.79%	0.6921	✓	1.00
2026-08-24	oos	0.19865	0.199714	+0.54%	0.39528	+98.98%	0.6166	✓	1.00
2026-08-23	oos	0.1409	0.142034	+0.80%	0.482965	+242.77%	1.1205	✓	1.00
2026-08-22	oos	0.0851	0.081226	-4.55%	0.55709	+554.63%	1.8088	✗	1.00
2026-08-21	oos	0.1107	0.111439	+0.67%	0.46212	+317.45%	1.3868	✓	1.00
2026-08-20	oos	0.1054	0.099375	-5.72%	0.485615	+360.74%	1.4798	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.