PROS

Pharos · native · gru_s0

token id: #473
symbol: PROS
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-04-28
predictions: 504

Track record at +7d

assessed

161

of 168 predictions shown

direction hit

60.2%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0918

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0156

actual -0.0041

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.62925	0.61444	-2.35%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-20	oos	0.6195	0.606965	-2.02%	–	pending	–	–	0.67
2026-10-19	oos	0.63415	0.62062	-2.13%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-18	oos	0.6322	0.618977	-2.09%	–	pending	–	–	0.68
2026-10-17	oos	0.6148	0.60235	-2.03%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-16	oos	0.6534	0.63805	-2.35%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-15	oos	0.59205	0.581372	-1.80%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-14	oos	0.58455	0.573051	-1.97%	0.62925	+7.65%	0.0844	✗	0.66
2026-10-13	oos	0.62335	0.610915	-1.99%	0.6195	-0.62%	0.0152	✓	0.62
2026-10-12	oos	0.6167	0.603561	-2.13%	0.63415	+2.83%	0.0487	✗	0.62
2026-10-11	oos	0.6777	0.663288	-2.13%	0.6322	-6.71%	0.0378	✓	0.50
2026-10-10	oos	0.67945	0.664616	-2.18%	0.6148	-9.52%	0.0678	✓	0.55
2026-10-09	oos	0.6611	0.647087	-2.12%	0.6534	-1.16%	0.0167	✓	0.55
2026-10-08	oos	0.6411	0.627862	-2.06%	0.59205	-7.65%	0.0616	✓	0.54
2026-10-07	oos	0.6584	0.646252	-1.85%	0.58455	-11.22%	0.0891	✓	0.54
2026-10-06	oos	0.65775	0.648258	-1.44%	0.62335	-5.23%	0.0235	✓	0.54
2026-10-05	oos	0.74105	0.729331	-1.58%	0.6167	-16.78%	0.1419	✓	0.54
2026-10-04	oos	0.81385	0.796119	-2.18%	0.6777	-16.73%	0.1444	✓	0.50
2026-10-03	oos	0.71825	0.706682	-1.61%	0.67945	-5.40%	0.0295	✓	0.45
2026-10-02	oos	0.747	0.734535	-1.67%	0.6611	-11.50%	0.0951	✓	0.44
2026-10-01	oos	0.702	0.692295	-1.38%	0.6411	-8.68%	0.0599	✓	0.45
2026-09-30	oos	0.71695	0.704538	-1.73%	0.6584	-8.17%	0.0662	✓	0.46
2026-09-29	oos	0.6801	0.670425	-1.42%	0.65775	-3.29%	0.0294	✓	0.46
2026-09-28	oos	0.67065	0.660299	-1.54%	0.74105	+10.50%	0.1032	✗	0.45
2026-09-27	oos	0.6561	0.645308	-1.64%	0.81385	+24.04%	0.2195	✗	0.52
2026-09-26	oos	0.61765	0.612062	-0.90%	0.71825	+16.29%	0.1580	✗	0.52
2026-09-25	oos	0.66155	0.652231	-1.41%	0.747	+12.92%	0.1331	✗	0.52
2026-09-24	oos	0.6188	0.613448	-0.86%	0.702	+13.45%	0.1320	✗	0.53
2026-09-23	oos	0.5799	0.575859	-0.70%	0.71695	+23.63%	0.2244	✗	0.53
2026-09-22	oos	0.5784	0.575989	-0.42%	0.6801	+17.58%	0.1834	✗	0.57
2026-09-21	oos	0.57385	0.571472	-0.41%	0.67065	+16.87%	0.1834	✗	0.63
2026-09-20	oos	0.51255	0.510543	-0.39%	0.6561	+28.01%	0.2291	✗	0.54
2026-09-19	oos	0.53845	0.534967	-0.65%	0.61765	+14.71%	0.1232	✗	0.53
2026-09-18	oos	0.5385	0.534296	-0.78%	0.66155	+22.85%	0.1927	✗	0.54
2026-09-17	oos	0.5153	0.509126	-1.20%	0.6188	+20.09%	0.1444	✗	0.51
2026-09-16	oos	0.5154	0.509197	-1.20%	0.5799	+12.51%	0.0796	✗	0.49
2026-09-15	oos	0.48715	0.482635	-0.93%	0.5784	+18.73%	0.1285	✗	0.40
2026-09-14	oos	0.49675	0.492926	-0.77%	0.57385	+15.52%	0.1115	✗	0.40
2026-09-13	oos	0.4746	0.471549	-0.64%	0.51255	+8.00%	0.0618	✗	0.39
2026-09-12	oos	0.4807	0.477729	-0.62%	0.53845	+12.01%	0.1001	✗	0.39
2026-09-11	oos	0.49005	0.486695	-0.68%	0.5385	+9.89%	0.0837	✗	0.38
2026-09-10	oos	0.4923	0.486202	-1.24%	0.5153	+4.67%	0.0590	✗	0.36
2026-09-09	oos	0.47825	0.472947	-1.11%	0.5154	+7.77%	0.0966	✗	0.38
2026-09-08	oos	0.4381	0.437274	-0.19%	0.48715	+11.20%	0.1204	✗	0.33
2026-09-07	oos	0.4485	0.446066	-0.54%	0.49675	+10.76%	0.1114	✗	0.33
2026-09-06	oos	0.423	0.424406	+0.33%	0.4746	+12.20%	0.1289	✓	0.38
2026-09-05	oos	0.4154	0.417164	+0.42%	0.4807	+15.72%	0.1544	✓	0.39
2026-09-04	oos	0.4117	0.413626	+0.47%	0.49005	+19.03%	0.1810	✓	0.36
2026-09-03	oos	0.4087	0.412562	+0.94%	0.4923	+20.46%	0.1993	✓	0.38
2026-09-02	oos	0.4061	0.407052	+0.23%	0.47825	+17.77%	0.1577	✓	0.28
2026-09-01	oos	0.4139	0.414788	+0.21%	0.4381	+5.85%	0.0509	✓	0.28
2026-08-31	oos	0.41255	0.414648	+0.51%	0.4485	+8.71%	0.0767	✓	0.26
2026-08-30	oos	0.41705	0.418326	+0.31%	0.423	+1.43%	0.0011	✓	0.29
2026-08-29	oos	0.42505	0.426264	+0.29%	0.4154	-2.27%	0.0314	✗	0.27
2026-08-28	oos	0.4201	0.421717	+0.38%	0.4117	-2.00%	0.0304	✗	0.27
2026-08-27	oos	0.416	0.420384	+1.05%	0.4087	-1.75%	0.0317	✗	0.29
2026-08-26	oos	0.4084	0.412337	+0.96%	0.4061	-0.56%	0.0090	✓	0.29
2026-08-25	oos	0.42005	0.423664	+0.86%	0.4139	-1.46%	0.0191	✗	0.29
2026-08-24	oos	0.4475	0.450607	+0.69%	0.41255	-7.81%	0.0869	✗	0.25
2026-08-23	oos	0.4067	0.409849	+0.77%	0.41705	+2.54%	0.0176	✓	0.22
2026-08-22	oos	0.3926	0.395398	+0.71%	0.42505	+8.27%	0.0691	✓	0.21
2026-08-21	oos	0.4206	0.423578	+0.71%	0.4201	-0.12%	0.0071	✗	0.18
2026-08-20	oos	0.3974	0.396952	-0.11%	0.416	+4.68%	0.0379	✗	0.09
2026-08-19	oos	0.3977	0.394503	-0.80%	0.4084	+2.69%	0.0195	✗	0.12
2026-08-18	oos	0.3879	0.381527	-1.64%	0.42005	+8.29%	0.0837	✗	0.06
2026-08-17	oos	0.3685	0.363169	-1.45%	0.4475	+21.44%	0.1900	✗	0.09
2026-08-16	oos	0.36755	0.361171	-1.74%	0.4067	+10.65%	0.1000	✗	0.09
2026-08-15	oos	0.3763	0.370285	-1.60%	0.3926	+4.33%	0.0376	✗	0.10
2026-08-14	oos	0.3692	0.364135	-1.37%	0.4206	+13.92%	0.1197	✗	0.11
2026-08-13	oos	0.37805	0.372825	-1.38%	0.3974	+5.12%	0.0522	✗	0.08
2026-08-12	oos	0.3789	0.373788	-1.35%	0.3977	+4.96%	0.0526	✗	0.11
2026-08-11	oos	0.39165	0.385863	-1.48%	0.3879	-0.96%	0.0025	✓	0.16
2026-08-10	oos	0.40075	0.394378	-1.59%	0.3685	-8.05%	0.0695	✓	0.19
2026-08-09	oos	0.4089	0.401998	-1.69%	0.36755	-10.11%	0.0834	✓	0.20
2026-08-08	oos	0.39285	0.38665	-1.58%	0.3763	-4.21%	0.0210	✓	0.21
2026-08-07	oos	0.3932	0.386976	-1.58%	0.3692	-6.10%	0.0428	✓	0.14
2026-08-06	oos	0.39495	0.388503	-1.63%	0.37805	-4.28%	0.0249	✓	0.18
2026-08-05	oos	0.3944	0.388223	-1.57%	0.3789	-3.93%	0.0199	✓	0.23
2026-08-04	oos	0.4014	0.394711	-1.67%	0.39165	-2.43%	0.0058	✓	0.24
2026-08-03	oos	0.4148	0.406859	-1.91%	0.40075	-3.39%	0.0169	✓	0.26
2026-08-02	oos	0.4402	0.431338	-2.01%	0.4089	-7.11%	0.0587	✓	0.25
2026-08-01	oos	0.445	0.435978	-2.03%	0.39285	-11.72%	0.1117	✓	0.22
2026-07-31	oos	0.4356	0.427753	-1.80%	0.3932	-9.73%	0.0915	✓	0.22
2026-07-30	oos	0.45125	0.443644	-1.69%	0.39495	-12.48%	0.1148	✓	0.20
2026-07-29	oos	0.43425	0.427474	-1.56%	0.3944	-9.18%	0.0818	✓	0.12
2026-07-28	oos	0.4267	0.419378	-1.72%	0.4014	-5.93%	0.0441	✓	0.08
2026-07-27	oos	0.39845	0.394005	-1.12%	0.4148	+4.10%	0.0518	✗	0.10
2026-07-26	oos	0.3781	0.37517	-0.77%	0.4402	+16.42%	0.1641	✗	0.15
2026-07-25	oos	0.3859	0.382569	-0.86%	0.445	+15.31%	0.1550	✗	0.16
2026-07-24	oos	0.38545	0.382551	-0.75%	0.4356	+13.01%	0.1330	✗	0.16
2026-07-23	oos	0.38005	0.37737	-0.71%	0.45125	+18.73%	0.1796	✗	0.17
2026-07-22	oos	0.36415	0.362606	-0.42%	0.43425	+19.25%	0.1869	✗	0.20
2026-07-21	oos	0.3413	0.340316	-0.29%	0.4267	+25.02%	0.2347	✗	0.21
2026-07-20	oos	0.32435	0.323394	-0.29%	0.39845	+22.85%	0.2126	✗	0.16
2026-07-19	oos	0.3499	0.348127	-0.51%	0.3781	+8.06%	0.0807	✗	0.19
2026-07-18	oos	0.36655	0.364372	-0.59%	0.3859	+5.28%	0.0589	✗	0.19
2026-07-17	oos	0.3948	0.391538	-0.83%	0.38545	-2.37%	0.0163	✓	0.23
2026-07-16	oos	0.3936	0.390483	-0.79%	0.38005	-3.44%	0.0315	✓	0.22
2026-07-15	oos	0.38725	0.38434	-0.75%	0.36415	-5.97%	0.0589	✓	0.24
2026-07-14	oos	0.3841	0.380854	-0.84%	0.3413	-11.14%	0.1152	✓	0.24
2026-07-13	oos	0.39075	0.387014	-0.96%	0.32435	-16.99%	0.1890	✓	0.27
2026-07-12	oos	0.4157	0.411172	-1.09%	0.3499	-15.83%	0.1647	✓	0.23
2026-07-11	oos	0.4171	0.412391	-1.13%	0.36655	-12.12%	0.1215	✓	0.23
2026-07-10	oos	0.4142	0.40931	-1.18%	0.3948	-4.68%	0.0352	✓	0.23
2026-07-09	oos	0.393	0.388429	-1.16%	0.3936	+0.15%	0.0114	✓	0.19
2026-07-08	oos	0.3995	0.394926	-1.14%	0.38725	-3.07%	0.0273	✓	0.20
2026-07-07	oos	0.4145	0.409044	-1.32%	0.3841	-7.33%	0.0677	✓	0.18
2026-07-06	oos	0.4056	0.399568	-1.49%	0.39075	-3.66%	0.0170	✓	0.19
2026-07-05	oos	0.391	0.385421	-1.43%	0.4157	+6.32%	0.0752	✗	0.18
2026-07-04	oos	0.4201	0.413956	-1.46%	0.4171	-0.71%	0.0054	✓	0.20
2026-07-03	oos	0.4244	0.418048	-1.50%	0.4142	-2.40%	0.0144	✓	0.20
2026-07-02	oos	0.41635	0.410219	-1.47%	0.393	-5.61%	0.0478	✓	0.18
2026-07-01	oos	0.416	0.410108	-1.42%	0.3995	-3.97%	0.0326	✓	0.17
2026-06-30	oos	0.4175	0.411816	-1.36%	0.4145	-0.72%	0.0065	✓	0.17
2026-06-29	oos	0.4548	0.447643	-1.57%	0.4056	-10.82%	0.1041	✓	0.09
2026-06-28	oos	0.4599	0.451559	-1.81%	0.391	-14.98%	0.1500	✓	0.09
2026-06-27	oos	0.45985	0.451506	-1.81%	0.4201	-8.64%	0.0768	✓	0.09
2026-06-26	oos	0.4278	0.420256	-1.76%	0.4244	-0.79%	0.0065	✓	0.08
2026-06-25	oos	0.4346	0.427138	-1.72%	0.41635	-4.20%	0.0280	✓	0.08
2026-06-24	oos	0.4589	0.450645	-1.80%	0.416	-9.35%	0.0792	✓	0.05
2026-06-23	oos	0.50205	0.492153	-1.97%	0.4175	-16.84%	0.1672	✓	-0.04
2026-06-22	oos	0.54155	0.529845	-2.16%	0.4548	-16.02%	0.1586	✓	-0.10
2026-06-21	oos	0.551	0.539086	-2.16%	0.4599	-16.53%	0.1645	✓	-0.09
2026-06-20	oos	0.5585	0.545852	-2.26%	0.45985	-17.66%	0.1780	✓	-0.10
2026-06-19	oos	0.56415	0.551876	-2.18%	0.4278	-24.17%	0.2601	✓	-0.10
2026-06-18	oos	0.603	0.588179	-2.46%	0.4346	-27.93%	0.3056	✓	-0.06
2026-06-17	oos	0.5519	0.539812	-2.19%	0.4589	-16.85%	0.1596	✓	0.05
2026-06-16	oos	0.55775	0.544791	-2.32%	0.50205	-9.99%	0.0793	✓	0.05
2026-06-15	oos	0.58475	0.570387	-2.46%	0.54155	-7.39%	0.0506	✓	0.04
2026-06-14	oos	0.5825	0.568425	-2.42%	0.551	-5.41%	0.0300	✓	0.03
2026-06-13	oos	0.5929	0.578789	-2.38%	0.5585	-5.80%	0.0356	✓	0.04
2026-06-12	oos	0.6168	0.600949	-2.57%	0.56415	-8.54%	0.0631	✓	0.07
2026-06-11	oos	0.5536	0.541606	-2.17%	0.603	+8.92%	0.1079	✗	0.05
2026-06-10	oos	0.5864	0.574127	-2.09%	0.5519	-5.88%	0.0472	✓	0.16
2026-06-09	oos	0.5821	0.569934	-2.09%	0.55775	-4.18%	0.0315	✓	0.16
2026-06-08	oos	0.6027	0.588409	-2.37%	0.58475	-2.98%	0.0131	✓	0.14
2026-06-07	oos	0.6361	0.619383	-2.63%	0.5825	-8.43%	0.0666	✓	0.14
2026-06-06	oos	0.6441	0.628661	-2.40%	0.5929	-7.95%	0.0683	✓	0.17
2026-06-05	oos	0.6468	0.629665	-2.65%	0.6168	-4.64%	0.0275	✓	0.17
2026-06-04	oos	0.6134	0.598698	-2.40%	0.5536	-9.75%	0.0768	✓	0.39
2026-06-03	oos	0.6096	0.595213	-2.36%	0.5864	-3.81%	0.0013	✓	0.39
2026-06-02	oos	0.6055	0.588303	-2.84%	0.5821	-3.86%	0.0281	✓	0.50
2026-06-01	oos	0.6317	0.606614	-3.97%	0.6027	-4.59%	0.0567	✗	0.51
2026-05-31	oos	0.62555	0.599075	-4.23%	0.6361	+1.69%	0.1651	✗	0.70
2026-05-30	oos	0.6181	0.592028	-4.22%	0.6441	+4.21%	0.2202	✗	0.71
2026-05-29	oos	0.60905	0.584002	-4.11%	0.6468	+6.20%	0.2272	✗	0.68
2026-05-28	oos	0.6264	0.599953	-4.22%	0.6134	-2.08%	0.1181	✗	0.68
2026-05-27	oos	0.639	0.611498	-4.30%	0.6096	-4.60%	0.1457	✗	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.6087	0.58475	-3.93%	0.6055	-0.53%	0.1637	✗	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.6174	0.594481	-3.71%	0.6317	+2.32%	0.1407	✗	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.6173	0.595238	-3.57%	0.62555	+1.34%	0.0949	✗	1.00
2026-05-23	oos	0.6524	0.629103	-3.57%	0.6181	-5.26%	0.0206	✓	1.00
2026-05-22	oos	0.6387	0.616591	-3.46%	0.60905	-4.64%	0.0156	✓	1.00
2026-05-21	oos	0.6602	0.638551	-3.28%	0.6264	-5.12%	0.0342	✗	1.00
2026-05-20	oos	0.6316	0.612795	-2.98%	0.639	+1.17%	0.0835	✗	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	0.5749	0.55963	-2.66%	0.6087	+5.88%	0.0964	✗	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	0.6347	0.618049	-2.62%	0.6174	-2.73%	0.0050	✓	1.00
2026-05-17	oos	0.7222	0.703321	-2.61%	0.6173	-14.53%	0.1249	✓	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.763	0.743174	-2.60%	0.6524	-14.50%	0.1115	✓	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.7118	0.697116	-2.06%	0.6387	-10.27%	0.0407	✓	1.00
2026-05-14	oos	0.7403	0.726887	-1.81%	0.6602	-10.82%	0.0517	✓	1.00
2026-05-13	oos	0.7024	0.688993	-1.91%	0.6316	-10.08%	0.0639	✓	1.00
2026-05-12	oos	0.7669	0.753125	-1.80%	0.5749	-25.04%	0.2227	✓	1.00
2026-05-11	oos	0.8004	0.787699	-1.59%	0.6347	-20.70%	0.1557	✓	1.00
2026-05-10	oos	0.9108	0.890754	-2.20%	0.7222	-20.71%	0.1497	✓	1.00
2026-05-09	oos	1.0032	0.958299	-4.48%	0.763	-23.94%	0.1958	✓	1.00
2026-05-08	oos	0.8663	0.822247	-5.09%	0.7118	-17.83%	0.1300	✓	1.00
2026-05-07	oos	0.6322	0.622854	-1.48%	0.7403	+17.10%	0.1594	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.