PROS

Pharos · native · gru_s0

token id: #473
symbol: PROS
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-04-28
predictions: 507

Track record at +1d

assessed

168

of 169 predictions shown

direction hit

52.4%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0381

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0035

actual +0.0003

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.59875	0.596346	-0.40%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-21	oos	0.59595	0.594077	-0.31%	0.59875	+0.47%	0.0063	✗	0.68
2026-10-20	oos	0.6195	0.617066	-0.39%	0.59595	-3.80%	0.0435	✓	0.67
2026-10-19	oos	0.63415	0.631242	-0.46%	0.6195	-2.31%	0.0277	✓	0.66
2026-10-18	oos	0.6322	0.629014	-0.50%	0.63415	+0.31%	0.0095	✗	0.68
2026-10-17	oos	0.6148	0.611872	-0.48%	0.6322	+2.83%	0.0276	✗	0.66
2026-10-16	oos	0.6534	0.648862	-0.69%	0.6148	-5.91%	0.0530	✓	0.66
2026-10-15	oos	0.59205	0.589447	-0.44%	0.6534	+10.36%	0.1081	✗	0.66
2026-10-14	oos	0.58455	0.581997	-0.44%	0.59205	+1.28%	0.0126	✗	0.66
2026-10-13	oos	0.62335	0.620185	-0.51%	0.58455	-6.22%	0.0476	✓	0.62
2026-10-12	oos	0.6167	0.613359	-0.54%	0.62335	+1.08%	0.0060	✗	0.62
2026-10-11	oos	0.6777	0.673377	-0.64%	0.6167	-9.00%	0.0761	✓	0.50
2026-10-10	oos	0.67945	0.675079	-0.64%	0.6777	-0.26%	0.0012	✓	0.55
2026-10-09	oos	0.6611	0.657224	-0.59%	0.67945	+2.78%	0.0308	✗	0.55
2026-10-08	oos	0.6411	0.637738	-0.52%	0.6611	+3.12%	0.0304	✗	0.54
2026-10-07	oos	0.6584	0.65484	-0.54%	0.6411	-2.63%	0.0108	✓	0.54
2026-10-06	oos	0.65775	0.654897	-0.43%	0.6584	+0.10%	0.0199	✗	0.54
2026-10-05	oos	0.74105	0.73679	-0.57%	0.65775	-11.24%	0.1122	✓	0.54
2026-10-04	oos	0.81385	0.805949	-0.97%	0.74105	-8.95%	0.0796	✓	0.50
2026-10-03	oos	0.71825	0.714329	-0.55%	0.81385	+13.31%	0.1212	✗	0.45
2026-10-02	oos	0.747	0.742244	-0.64%	0.71825	-3.85%	0.0341	✓	0.44
2026-10-01	oos	0.702	0.69826	-0.53%	0.747	+6.41%	0.0693	✗	0.45
2026-09-30	oos	0.71695	0.711742	-0.73%	0.702	-2.09%	0.0209	✓	0.46
2026-09-29	oos	0.6801	0.676243	-0.57%	0.71695	+5.42%	0.0589	✗	0.46
2026-09-28	oos	0.67065	0.665842	-0.72%	0.6801	+1.41%	0.0202	✗	0.45
2026-09-27	oos	0.6561	0.650723	-0.82%	0.67065	+2.22%	0.0364	✗	0.52
2026-09-26	oos	0.61765	0.61499	-0.43%	0.6561	+6.23%	0.0644	✗	0.52
2026-09-25	oos	0.66155	0.656364	-0.78%	0.61765	-6.64%	0.0628	✓	0.52
2026-09-24	oos	0.6188	0.615578	-0.52%	0.66155	+6.91%	0.0739	✗	0.53
2026-09-23	oos	0.5799	0.577192	-0.47%	0.6188	+6.71%	0.0696	✗	0.53
2026-09-22	oos	0.5784	0.57622	-0.38%	0.5799	+0.26%	0.0185	✗	0.57
2026-09-21	oos	0.57385	0.571197	-0.46%	0.5784	+0.79%	0.0154	✗	0.63
2026-09-20	oos	0.51255	0.511297	-0.24%	0.57385	+11.96%	0.0801	✗	0.54
2026-09-19	oos	0.53845	0.536528	-0.36%	0.51255	-4.81%	0.0452	✓	0.53
2026-09-18	oos	0.5385	0.53633	-0.40%	0.53845	-0.01%	0.0016	✓	0.54
2026-09-17	oos	0.5153	0.513115	-0.42%	0.5385	+4.50%	0.0191	✗	0.51
2026-09-16	oos	0.5154	0.513079	-0.45%	0.5153	-0.02%	0.0030	✓	0.49
2026-09-15	oos	0.48715	0.485381	-0.36%	0.5154	+5.80%	0.0571	✗	0.40
2026-09-14	oos	0.49675	0.494649	-0.42%	0.48715	-1.93%	0.0019	✓	0.40
2026-09-13	oos	0.4746	0.473047	-0.33%	0.49675	+4.67%	0.0420	✗	0.39
2026-09-12	oos	0.4807	0.478979	-0.36%	0.4746	-1.27%	0.0068	✓	0.39
2026-09-11	oos	0.49005	0.487553	-0.51%	0.4807	-1.91%	0.0144	✓	0.38
2026-09-10	oos	0.4923	0.487853	-0.90%	0.49005	-0.46%	0.0013	✓	0.36
2026-09-09	oos	0.47825	0.474184	-0.85%	0.4923	+2.94%	0.0462	✗	0.38
2026-09-08	oos	0.4381	0.43653	-0.36%	0.47825	+9.16%	0.0920	✗	0.33
2026-09-07	oos	0.4485	0.446275	-0.50%	0.4381	-2.32%	0.0158	✓	0.33
2026-09-06	oos	0.423	0.42262	-0.09%	0.4485	+6.03%	0.0654	✗	0.38
2026-09-05	oos	0.4154	0.415105	-0.07%	0.423	+1.83%	0.0164	✗	0.39
2026-09-04	oos	0.4117	0.411434	-0.06%	0.4154	+0.90%	0.0089	✗	0.36
2026-09-03	oos	0.4087	0.408647	-0.01%	0.4117	+0.73%	0.0149	✗	0.38
2026-09-02	oos	0.4061	0.405718	-0.09%	0.4087	+0.64%	0.0068	✓	0.28
2026-09-01	oos	0.4139	0.413456	-0.11%	0.4061	-1.88%	0.0176	✓	0.28
2026-08-31	oos	0.41255	0.412292	-0.06%	0.4139	+0.33%	0.0077	✗	0.26
2026-08-30	oos	0.41705	0.41669	-0.09%	0.41255	-1.08%	0.0134	✓	0.29
2026-08-29	oos	0.42505	0.424623	-0.10%	0.41705	-1.88%	0.0160	✓	0.27
2026-08-28	oos	0.4201	0.419831	-0.06%	0.42505	+1.18%	0.0110	✗	0.27
2026-08-27	oos	0.416	0.415955	-0.01%	0.4201	+0.99%	0.0189	✗	0.29
2026-08-26	oos	0.4084	0.408374	-0.01%	0.416	+1.86%	0.0140	✗	0.29
2026-08-25	oos	0.42005	0.419797	-0.06%	0.4084	-2.77%	0.0294	✓	0.29
2026-08-24	oos	0.4475	0.446614	-0.20%	0.42005	-6.13%	0.0599	✓	0.25
2026-08-23	oos	0.4067	0.406578	-0.03%	0.4475	+10.03%	0.0924	✗	0.22
2026-08-22	oos	0.3926	0.392705	+0.03%	0.4067	+3.59%	0.0332	✓	0.21
2026-08-21	oos	0.4206	0.42043	-0.04%	0.3926	-6.66%	0.0655	✓	0.18
2026-08-20	oos	0.3974	0.397154	-0.06%	0.4206	+5.84%	0.0507	✗	0.09
2026-08-19	oos	0.3977	0.397039	-0.17%	0.3974	-0.08%	0.0051	✓	0.12
2026-08-18	oos	0.3879	0.386717	-0.30%	0.3977	+2.53%	0.0236	✗	0.06
2026-08-17	oos	0.3685	0.36771	-0.21%	0.3879	+5.26%	0.0532	✗	0.09
2026-08-16	oos	0.36755	0.366612	-0.26%	0.3685	+0.26%	0.0029	✗	0.09
2026-08-15	oos	0.3763	0.375431	-0.23%	0.36755	-2.33%	0.0209	✓	0.10
2026-08-14	oos	0.3692	0.368581	-0.17%	0.3763	+1.92%	0.0206	✗	0.11
2026-08-13	oos	0.37805	0.37737	-0.18%	0.3692	-2.34%	0.0213	✓	0.08
2026-08-12	oos	0.3789	0.378222	-0.18%	0.37805	-0.22%	0.0005	✓	0.11
2026-08-11	oos	0.39165	0.390762	-0.23%	0.3789	-3.26%	0.0305	✓	0.16
2026-08-10	oos	0.40075	0.399729	-0.25%	0.39165	-2.27%	0.0193	✓	0.19
2026-08-09	oos	0.4089	0.407667	-0.30%	0.40075	-1.99%	0.0142	✓	0.20
2026-08-08	oos	0.39285	0.391921	-0.24%	0.4089	+4.09%	0.0426	✗	0.21
2026-08-07	oos	0.3932	0.392318	-0.22%	0.39285	-0.09%	0.0013	✓	0.14
2026-08-06	oos	0.39495	0.394017	-0.24%	0.3932	-0.44%	0.0038	✓	0.18
2026-08-05	oos	0.3944	0.393608	-0.20%	0.39495	+0.14%	0.0046	✗	0.23
2026-08-04	oos	0.4014	0.400546	-0.21%	0.3944	-1.74%	0.0175	✓	0.24
2026-08-03	oos	0.4148	0.413609	-0.29%	0.4014	-3.23%	0.0323	✓	0.26
2026-08-02	oos	0.4402	0.438555	-0.37%	0.4148	-5.77%	0.0556	✓	0.25
2026-08-01	oos	0.445	0.443176	-0.41%	0.4402	-1.08%	0.0093	✓	0.22
2026-07-31	oos	0.4356	0.434036	-0.36%	0.445	+2.16%	0.0252	✗	0.22
2026-07-30	oos	0.45125	0.449429	-0.40%	0.4356	-3.47%	0.0253	✓	0.20
2026-07-29	oos	0.43425	0.432445	-0.42%	0.45125	+3.91%	0.0411	✗	0.12
2026-07-28	oos	0.4267	0.424608	-0.49%	0.43425	+1.77%	0.0224	✗	0.08
2026-07-27	oos	0.39845	0.397496	-0.24%	0.4267	+7.09%	0.0707	✗	0.10
2026-07-26	oos	0.3781	0.377636	-0.12%	0.39845	+5.38%	0.0575	✗	0.15
2026-07-25	oos	0.3859	0.385287	-0.16%	0.3781	-2.02%	0.0214	✓	0.16
2026-07-24	oos	0.38545	0.384861	-0.15%	0.3859	+0.12%	0.0022	✗	0.16
2026-07-23	oos	0.38005	0.379445	-0.16%	0.38545	+1.42%	0.0182	✗	0.17
2026-07-22	oos	0.36415	0.364051	-0.03%	0.38005	+4.37%	0.0461	✗	0.20
2026-07-21	oos	0.3413	0.3415	+0.06%	0.36415	+6.69%	0.0656	✓	0.21
2026-07-20	oos	0.32435	0.324679	+0.10%	0.3413	+5.23%	0.0467	✓	0.16
2026-07-19	oos	0.3499	0.350007	+0.03%	0.32435	-7.30%	0.0777	✗	0.19
2026-07-18	oos	0.36655	0.366515	-0.01%	0.3499	-4.54%	0.0461	✓	0.19
2026-07-17	oos	0.3948	0.39437	-0.11%	0.36655	-7.16%	0.0763	✓	0.23
2026-07-16	oos	0.3936	0.393258	-0.09%	0.3948	+0.30%	0.0035	✗	0.22
2026-07-15	oos	0.38725	0.387087	-0.04%	0.3936	+1.64%	0.0202	✗	0.24
2026-07-14	oos	0.3841	0.383992	-0.03%	0.38725	+0.82%	0.0094	✗	0.24
2026-07-13	oos	0.39075	0.390473	-0.07%	0.3841	-1.70%	0.0279	✓	0.27
2026-07-12	oos	0.4157	0.415156	-0.13%	0.39075	-6.00%	0.0552	✓	0.23
2026-07-11	oos	0.4171	0.416552	-0.13%	0.4157	-0.34%	0.0019	✓	0.23
2026-07-10	oos	0.4142	0.413694	-0.12%	0.4171	+0.70%	0.0095	✗	0.23
2026-07-09	oos	0.393	0.392778	-0.06%	0.4142	+5.39%	0.0503	✗	0.19
2026-07-08	oos	0.3995	0.399336	-0.04%	0.393	-1.63%	0.0189	✓	0.20
2026-07-07	oos	0.4145	0.414117	-0.09%	0.3995	-3.62%	0.0328	✓	0.18
2026-07-06	oos	0.4056	0.405202	-0.10%	0.4145	+2.19%	0.0248	✗	0.19
2026-07-05	oos	0.391	0.390792	-0.05%	0.4056	+3.73%	0.0360	✗	0.18
2026-07-04	oos	0.4201	0.419614	-0.12%	0.391	-6.93%	0.0722	✓	0.20
2026-07-03	oos	0.4244	0.423942	-0.11%	0.4201	-1.01%	0.0109	✓	0.20
2026-07-02	oos	0.41635	0.416103	-0.06%	0.4244	+1.93%	0.0167	✗	0.18
2026-07-01	oos	0.416	0.415951	-0.01%	0.41635	+0.08%	0.0033	✓	0.17
2026-06-30	oos	0.4175	0.417581	+0.02%	0.416	-0.36%	0.0078	✗	0.17
2026-06-29	oos	0.4548	0.454464	-0.07%	0.4175	-8.20%	0.0824	✓	0.09
2026-06-28	oos	0.4599	0.459191	-0.15%	0.4548	-1.11%	0.0106	✓	0.09
2026-06-27	oos	0.45985	0.459514	-0.07%	0.4599	+0.01%	0.0015	✗	0.09
2026-06-26	oos	0.4278	0.428088	+0.07%	0.45985	+7.49%	0.0717	✓	0.08
2026-06-25	oos	0.4346	0.434838	+0.05%	0.4278	-1.56%	0.0167	✗	0.08
2026-06-24	oos	0.4589	0.458875	-0.01%	0.4346	-5.30%	0.0533	✓	0.05
2026-06-23	oos	0.50205	0.501431	-0.12%	0.4589	-8.59%	0.0897	✓	-0.04
2026-06-22	oos	0.54155	0.540297	-0.23%	0.50205	-7.29%	0.0754	✓	-0.10
2026-06-21	oos	0.551	0.549655	-0.24%	0.54155	-1.72%	0.0138	✓	-0.09
2026-06-20	oos	0.5585	0.557087	-0.25%	0.551	-1.34%	0.0125	✓	-0.10
2026-06-19	oos	0.56415	0.562863	-0.23%	0.5585	-1.00%	0.0067	✓	-0.10
2026-06-18	oos	0.603	0.600401	-0.43%	0.56415	-6.44%	0.0617	✓	-0.06
2026-06-17	oos	0.5519	0.550817	-0.20%	0.603	+9.26%	0.0918	✗	0.05
2026-06-16	oos	0.55775	0.556562	-0.21%	0.5519	-1.05%	0.0075	✓	0.05
2026-06-15	oos	0.58475	0.583073	-0.29%	0.55775	-4.62%	0.0440	✓	0.04
2026-06-14	oos	0.5825	0.580944	-0.27%	0.58475	+0.39%	0.0063	✗	0.03
2026-06-13	oos	0.5929	0.591256	-0.28%	0.5825	-1.75%	0.0157	✓	0.04
2026-06-12	oos	0.6168	0.614222	-0.42%	0.5929	-3.87%	0.0363	✓	0.07
2026-06-11	oos	0.5536	0.552745	-0.15%	0.6168	+11.42%	0.1097	✗	0.05
2026-06-10	oos	0.5864	0.584926	-0.25%	0.5536	-5.59%	0.0605	✓	0.16
2026-06-09	oos	0.5821	0.580722	-0.24%	0.5864	+0.74%	0.0104	✗	0.16
2026-06-08	oos	0.6027	0.600795	-0.32%	0.5821	-3.42%	0.0286	✓	0.14
2026-06-07	oos	0.6361	0.633247	-0.45%	0.6027	-5.25%	0.0489	✓	0.14
2026-06-06	oos	0.6441	0.640866	-0.50%	0.6361	-1.24%	0.0142	✓	0.17
2026-06-05	oos	0.6468	0.642181	-0.71%	0.6441	-0.42%	0.0035	✓	0.17
2026-06-04	oos	0.6134	0.610795	-0.42%	0.6468	+5.45%	0.0748	✗	0.39
2026-06-03	oos	0.6096	0.607111	-0.41%	0.6134	+0.62%	0.0117	✗	0.39
2026-06-02	oos	0.6055	0.602777	-0.45%	0.6096	+0.68%	0.0312	✗	0.50
2026-06-01	oos	0.6317	0.627157	-0.72%	0.6055	-4.15%	0.0005	✓	0.51
2026-05-31	oos	0.62555	0.621174	-0.70%	0.6317	+0.98%	0.0386	✗	0.70
2026-05-30	oos	0.6181	0.61418	-0.63%	0.62555	+1.21%	0.0202	✗	0.71
2026-05-29	oos	0.60905	0.605556	-0.57%	0.6181	+1.49%	0.0168	✗	0.68
2026-05-28	oos	0.6264	0.622024	-0.70%	0.60905	-2.77%	0.0197	✓	0.68
2026-05-27	oos	0.639	0.633887	-0.80%	0.6264	-1.97%	0.0010	✓	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.6087	0.604771	-0.65%	0.639	+4.98%	0.0752	✗	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.6174	0.613571	-0.62%	0.6087	-1.41%	0.0106	✗	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.6173	0.613688	-0.59%	0.6174	+0.02%	0.0025	✓	1.00
2026-05-23	oos	0.6524	0.648166	-0.65%	0.6173	-5.38%	0.0530	✓	1.00
2026-05-22	oos	0.6387	0.634522	-0.65%	0.6524	+2.14%	0.0119	✗	1.00
2026-05-21	oos	0.6602	0.655784	-0.67%	0.6387	-3.26%	0.0011	✓	1.00
2026-05-20	oos	0.6316	0.627821	-0.60%	0.6602	+4.53%	0.0494	✗	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	0.5749	0.571936	-0.52%	0.6316	+9.86%	0.0900	✗	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	0.6347	0.631776	-0.46%	0.5749	-9.42%	0.0920	✓	1.00
2026-05-17	oos	0.7222	0.718476	-0.52%	0.6347	-12.12%	0.1180	✓	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.763	0.758236	-0.62%	0.7222	-5.35%	0.0397	✓	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.7118	0.709102	-0.38%	0.763	+7.19%	0.0854	✗	1.00
2026-05-14	oos	0.7403	0.737336	-0.40%	0.7118	-3.85%	0.0100	✓	1.00
2026-05-13	oos	0.7024	0.700167	-0.32%	0.7403	+5.40%	0.0334	✗	1.00
2026-05-12	oos	0.7669	0.76377	-0.41%	0.7024	-8.41%	0.0688	✓	1.00
2026-05-11	oos	0.8004	0.796708	-0.46%	0.7669	-4.19%	0.0228	✓	1.00
2026-05-10	oos	0.9108	0.902356	-0.93%	0.8004	-12.12%	0.1141	✓	1.00
2026-05-09	oos	1.0032	0.98235	-2.08%	0.9108	-9.21%	0.0946	✓	1.00
2026-05-08	oos	0.8663	0.848049	-2.11%	1.0032	+15.80%	0.1622	✗	1.00
2026-05-07	oos	0.6322	0.63053	-0.26%	0.8663	+37.03%	0.3154	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.