PROS

Pharos · native · gru_s0

token id: #473
symbol: PROS
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-04-28
predictions: 504

Track record at +30d

assessed

138

of 168 predictions shown

direction hit

64.5%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1910

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0403

actual +0.0189

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.62925	0.58676	-6.75%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-20	oos	0.6195	0.581939	-6.06%	–	pending	–	–	0.67
2026-10-19	oos	0.63415	0.593741	-6.37%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-18	oos	0.6322	0.593999	-6.04%	–	pending	–	–	0.68
2026-10-17	oos	0.6148	0.575996	-6.31%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-16	oos	0.6534	0.612384	-6.28%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-15	oos	0.59205	0.558006	-5.75%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-14	oos	0.58455	0.547482	-6.34%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-13	oos	0.62335	0.587369	-5.77%	–	pending	–	–	0.62
2026-10-12	oos	0.6167	0.57781	-6.31%	–	pending	–	–	0.62
2026-10-11	oos	0.6777	0.638371	-5.80%	–	pending	–	–	0.50
2026-10-10	oos	0.67945	0.639128	-5.93%	–	pending	–	–	0.55
2026-10-09	oos	0.6611	0.622122	-5.90%	–	pending	–	–	0.55
2026-10-08	oos	0.6411	0.603475	-5.87%	–	pending	–	–	0.54
2026-10-07	oos	0.6584	0.626427	-4.86%	–	pending	–	–	0.54
2026-10-06	oos	0.65775	0.631775	-3.95%	–	pending	–	–	0.54
2026-10-05	oos	0.74105	0.712265	-3.88%	–	pending	–	–	0.54
2026-10-04	oos	0.81385	0.783627	-3.71%	–	pending	–	–	0.50
2026-10-03	oos	0.71825	0.688631	-4.12%	–	pending	–	–	0.45
2026-10-02	oos	0.747	0.717644	-3.93%	–	pending	–	–	0.44
2026-10-01	oos	0.702	0.678424	-3.36%	–	pending	–	–	0.45
2026-09-30	oos	0.71695	0.690753	-3.65%	–	pending	–	–	0.46
2026-09-29	oos	0.6801	0.657025	-3.39%	–	pending	–	–	0.46
2026-09-28	oos	0.67065	0.650484	-3.01%	–	pending	–	–	0.45
2026-09-27	oos	0.6561	0.641788	-2.18%	–	pending	–	–	0.52
2026-09-26	oos	0.61765	0.606596	-1.79%	–	pending	–	–	0.52
2026-09-25	oos	0.66155	0.651214	-1.56%	–	pending	–	–	0.52
2026-09-24	oos	0.6188	0.612209	-1.07%	–	pending	–	–	0.53
2026-09-23	oos	0.5799	0.578842	-0.18%	–	pending	–	–	0.53
2026-09-22	oos	0.5784	0.579831	+0.25%	–	pending	–	–	0.57
2026-09-21	oos	0.57385	0.581663	+1.36%	0.62925	+9.65%	0.1078	✓	0.63
2026-09-20	oos	0.51255	0.510926	-0.32%	0.6195	+20.87%	0.1809	✗	0.54
2026-09-19	oos	0.53845	0.533944	-0.84%	0.63415	+17.77%	0.1680	✗	0.53
2026-09-18	oos	0.5385	0.532403	-1.13%	0.6322	+17.40%	0.1644	✗	0.54
2026-09-17	oos	0.5153	0.498558	-3.25%	0.6148	+19.31%	0.1772	✗	0.51
2026-09-16	oos	0.5154	0.498345	-3.31%	0.6534	+26.78%	0.2375	✗	0.49
2026-09-15	oos	0.48715	0.473357	-2.83%	0.59205	+21.53%	0.1906	✗	0.40
2026-09-14	oos	0.49675	0.489943	-1.37%	0.58455	+17.67%	0.1597	✗	0.40
2026-09-13	oos	0.4746	0.465221	-1.98%	0.62335	+31.34%	0.2618	✗	0.39
2026-09-12	oos	0.4807	0.471541	-1.91%	0.6167	+28.29%	0.2464	✗	0.39
2026-09-11	oos	0.49005	0.482341	-1.57%	0.6777	+38.29%	0.3098	✗	0.38
2026-09-10	oos	0.4923	0.483635	-1.76%	0.67945	+38.02%	0.3110	✗	0.36
2026-09-09	oos	0.47825	0.476459	-0.37%	0.6611	+38.23%	0.3072	✗	0.38
2026-09-08	oos	0.4381	0.440046	+0.44%	0.6411	+46.34%	0.3628	✓	0.33
2026-09-07	oos	0.4485	0.451313	+0.63%	0.6584	+46.80%	0.3609	✓	0.33
2026-09-06	oos	0.423	0.428514	+1.30%	0.65775	+55.50%	0.4047	✓	0.38
2026-09-05	oos	0.4154	0.42213	+1.62%	0.74105	+78.39%	0.5351	✓	0.39
2026-09-04	oos	0.4117	0.418688	+1.70%	0.81385	+97.68%	0.6347	✓	0.36
2026-09-03	oos	0.4087	0.422933	+3.48%	0.71825	+75.74%	0.5138	✓	0.38
2026-09-02	oos	0.4061	0.409847	+0.92%	0.747	+83.94%	0.5752	✓	0.28
2026-09-01	oos	0.4139	0.417353	+0.83%	0.702	+69.61%	0.4944	✓	0.28
2026-08-31	oos	0.41255	0.420915	+2.03%	0.71695	+73.78%	0.5167	✓	0.26
2026-08-30	oos	0.41705	0.423398	+1.52%	0.6801	+63.07%	0.4521	✓	0.29
2026-08-29	oos	0.42505	0.431365	+1.49%	0.67065	+57.78%	0.4236	✓	0.27
2026-08-28	oos	0.4201	0.42848	+1.99%	0.6561	+56.18%	0.4040	✓	0.27
2026-08-27	oos	0.416	0.436962	+5.04%	0.61765	+48.47%	0.3315	✓	0.29
2026-08-26	oos	0.4084	0.4279	+4.77%	0.66155	+61.99%	0.4180	✓	0.29
2026-08-25	oos	0.42005	0.440269	+4.81%	0.6188	+47.32%	0.3194	✓	0.29
2026-08-24	oos	0.4475	0.471487	+5.36%	0.5799	+29.59%	0.1902	✓	0.25
2026-08-23	oos	0.4067	0.425606	+4.65%	0.5784	+42.22%	0.2841	✓	0.22
2026-08-22	oos	0.3926	0.408148	+3.96%	0.57385	+46.17%	0.3161	✓	0.21
2026-08-21	oos	0.4206	0.439186	+4.42%	0.51255	+21.86%	0.1480	✓	0.18
2026-08-20	oos	0.3974	0.399117	+0.43%	0.53845	+35.49%	0.2893	✓	0.09
2026-08-19	oos	0.3977	0.390859	-1.72%	0.5385	+35.40%	0.3026	✗	0.12
2026-08-18	oos	0.3879	0.370752	-4.42%	0.5153	+32.84%	0.3185	✗	0.06
2026-08-17	oos	0.3685	0.352677	-4.29%	0.5154	+39.86%	0.3639	✗	0.09
2026-08-16	oos	0.36755	0.348401	-5.21%	0.48715	+32.54%	0.3190	✗	0.09
2026-08-15	oos	0.3763	0.358269	-4.79%	0.49675	+32.01%	0.3044	✗	0.10
2026-08-14	oos	0.3692	0.353513	-4.25%	0.4746	+28.55%	0.2723	✗	0.11
2026-08-13	oos	0.37805	0.362504	-4.11%	0.4807	+27.15%	0.2659	✗	0.08
2026-08-12	oos	0.3789	0.363413	-4.09%	0.49005	+29.33%	0.2781	✗	0.11
2026-08-11	oos	0.39165	0.374701	-4.33%	0.4923	+25.70%	0.2440	✗	0.16
2026-08-10	oos	0.40075	0.382887	-4.46%	0.47825	+19.34%	0.1844	✗	0.19
2026-08-09	oos	0.4089	0.39066	-4.46%	0.4381	+7.14%	0.0770	✗	0.20
2026-08-08	oos	0.39285	0.375227	-4.49%	0.4485	+14.17%	0.1374	✗	0.21
2026-08-07	oos	0.3932	0.375669	-4.46%	0.423	+7.58%	0.0886	✗	0.14
2026-08-06	oos	0.39495	0.376589	-4.65%	0.4154	+5.18%	0.0585	✗	0.18
2026-08-05	oos	0.3944	0.376911	-4.43%	0.4117	+4.39%	0.0391	✓	0.23
2026-08-04	oos	0.4014	0.382659	-4.67%	0.4087	+1.82%	0.0086	✓	0.24
2026-08-03	oos	0.4148	0.392902	-5.28%	0.4061	-2.10%	0.0175	✓	0.26
2026-08-02	oos	0.4402	0.416916	-5.29%	0.4139	-5.97%	0.0574	✓	0.25
2026-08-01	oos	0.445	0.420583	-5.49%	0.41255	-7.29%	0.0695	✓	0.22
2026-07-31	oos	0.4356	0.414242	-4.90%	0.41705	-4.26%	0.0407	✓	0.22
2026-07-30	oos	0.45125	0.432316	-4.20%	0.42505	-5.81%	0.0551	✓	0.20
2026-07-29	oos	0.43425	0.418431	-3.64%	0.4201	-3.26%	0.0187	✓	0.12
2026-07-28	oos	0.4267	0.412724	-3.28%	0.416	-2.51%	0.0103	✓	0.08
2026-07-27	oos	0.39845	0.386691	-2.95%	0.4084	+2.50%	0.0334	✗	0.10
2026-07-26	oos	0.3781	0.370254	-2.08%	0.42005	+11.09%	0.0986	✗	0.15
2026-07-25	oos	0.3859	0.376973	-2.31%	0.4475	+15.96%	0.1390	✗	0.16
2026-07-24	oos	0.38545	0.378634	-1.77%	0.4067	+5.51%	0.0413	✗	0.16
2026-07-23	oos	0.38005	0.376195	-1.01%	0.3926	+3.30%	0.0142	✗	0.17
2026-07-22	oos	0.36415	0.361566	-0.71%	0.4206	+15.50%	0.1180	✗	0.20
2026-07-21	oos	0.3413	0.338831	-0.72%	0.3974	+16.44%	0.1400	✗	0.21
2026-07-20	oos	0.32435	0.321459	-0.89%	0.3977	+22.61%	0.2029	✗	0.16
2026-07-19	oos	0.3499	0.344592	-1.52%	0.3879	+10.86%	0.1184	✗	0.19
2026-07-18	oos	0.36655	0.360515	-1.65%	0.3685	+0.53%	0.0228	✗	0.19
2026-07-17	oos	0.3948	0.385095	-2.46%	0.36755	-6.90%	0.0429	✓	0.23
2026-07-16	oos	0.3936	0.384393	-2.34%	0.3763	-4.40%	0.0186	✓	0.22
2026-07-15	oos	0.38725	0.378893	-2.16%	0.3692	-4.66%	0.0194	✓	0.24
2026-07-14	oos	0.3841	0.374894	-2.40%	0.37805	-1.58%	0.0142	✓	0.24
2026-07-13	oos	0.39075	0.379776	-2.81%	0.3789	-3.03%	0.0072	✓	0.27
2026-07-12	oos	0.4157	0.403057	-3.04%	0.39165	-5.79%	0.0280	✓	0.23
2026-07-11	oos	0.4171	0.404246	-3.08%	0.40075	-3.92%	0.0092	✓	0.23
2026-07-10	oos	0.4142	0.401033	-3.18%	0.4089	-1.28%	0.0168	✓	0.23
2026-07-09	oos	0.393	0.380549	-3.17%	0.39285	-0.04%	0.0267	✓	0.19
2026-07-08	oos	0.3995	0.387404	-3.03%	0.3932	-1.58%	0.0067	✓	0.20
2026-07-07	oos	0.4145	0.401109	-3.23%	0.39495	-4.72%	0.0182	✓	0.18
2026-07-06	oos	0.4056	0.391988	-3.36%	0.3944	-2.76%	0.0043	✓	0.19
2026-07-05	oos	0.391	0.377683	-3.41%	0.4014	+2.66%	0.0596	✗	0.18
2026-07-04	oos	0.4201	0.403025	-4.06%	0.4148	-1.26%	0.0276	✓	0.20
2026-07-03	oos	0.4244	0.406792	-4.15%	0.4402	+3.72%	0.0758	✗	0.20
2026-07-02	oos	0.41635	0.399068	-4.15%	0.445	+6.88%	0.1052	✗	0.18
2026-07-01	oos	0.416	0.398971	-4.09%	0.4356	+4.71%	0.0799	✗	0.17
2026-06-30	oos	0.4175	0.400073	-4.17%	0.45125	+8.08%	0.1037	✗	0.17
2026-06-29	oos	0.4548	0.435316	-4.28%	0.43425	-4.52%	0.0078	✓	0.09
2026-06-28	oos	0.4599	0.439374	-4.46%	0.4267	-7.22%	0.0356	✓	0.09
2026-06-27	oos	0.45985	0.437661	-4.83%	0.39845	-13.35%	0.0994	✓	0.09
2026-06-26	oos	0.4278	0.405642	-5.18%	0.3781	-11.62%	0.0771	✓	0.08
2026-06-25	oos	0.4346	0.412374	-5.11%	0.3859	-11.21%	0.0724	✓	0.08
2026-06-24	oos	0.4589	0.434787	-5.25%	0.38545	-16.01%	0.1228	✓	0.05
2026-06-23	oos	0.50205	0.473848	-5.62%	0.38005	-24.30%	0.2191	✓	-0.04
2026-06-22	oos	0.54155	0.508918	-6.03%	0.36415	-32.76%	0.3315	✓	-0.10
2026-06-21	oos	0.551	0.517921	-6.00%	0.3413	-38.06%	0.4124	✓	-0.09
2026-06-20	oos	0.5585	0.524134	-6.15%	0.32435	-41.92%	0.4785	✓	-0.10
2026-06-19	oos	0.56415	0.530593	-5.95%	0.3499	-37.98%	0.4145	✓	-0.10
2026-06-18	oos	0.603	0.566746	-6.01%	0.36655	-39.21%	0.4340	✓	-0.06
2026-06-17	oos	0.5519	0.51851	-6.05%	0.3948	-28.47%	0.2721	✓	0.05
2026-06-16	oos	0.55775	0.522213	-6.37%	0.3936	-29.43%	0.2813	✓	0.05
2026-06-15	oos	0.58475	0.546971	-6.46%	0.38725	-33.78%	0.3444	✓	0.04
2026-06-14	oos	0.5825	0.543889	-6.63%	0.3841	-34.06%	0.3475	✓	0.03
2026-06-13	oos	0.5929	0.554141	-6.54%	0.39075	-34.10%	0.3480	✓	0.04
2026-06-12	oos	0.6168	0.576066	-6.60%	0.4157	-32.60%	0.3265	✓	0.07
2026-06-11	oos	0.5536	0.518602	-6.32%	0.4171	-24.66%	0.2180	✓	0.05
2026-06-10	oos	0.5864	0.549509	-6.29%	0.4142	-29.37%	0.2896	✓	0.16
2026-06-09	oos	0.5821	0.544628	-6.44%	0.393	-32.49%	0.3301	✓	0.16
2026-06-08	oos	0.6027	0.55989	-7.10%	0.3995	-33.71%	0.3357	✓	0.14
2026-06-07	oos	0.6361	0.587419	-7.65%	0.4145	-34.84%	0.3487	✓	0.14
2026-06-06	oos	0.6441	0.595332	-7.57%	0.4056	-37.03%	0.3924	✓	0.17
2026-06-05	oos	0.6468	0.596122	-7.84%	0.391	-39.55%	0.4287	✓	0.17
2026-06-04	oos	0.6134	0.56496	-7.90%	0.4201	-31.51%	0.2918	✓	0.39
2026-06-03	oos	0.6096	0.560383	-8.07%	0.4244	-30.38%	0.2685	✓	0.39
2026-06-02	oos	0.6055	0.551189	-8.97%	0.41635	-31.24%	0.2402	✓	0.50
2026-06-01	oos	0.6317	0.564547	-10.63%	0.416	-34.15%	0.2163	✓	0.51
2026-05-31	oos	0.62555	0.555573	-11.19%	0.4175	-33.26%	0.1258	✓	0.70
2026-05-30	oos	0.6181	0.548171	-11.31%	0.4548	-26.42%	0.0428	✓	0.71
2026-05-29	oos	0.60905	0.539742	-11.38%	0.4599	-24.49%	0.0175	✓	0.68
2026-05-28	oos	0.6264	0.554763	-11.44%	0.45985	-26.59%	0.0493	✓	0.68
2026-05-27	oos	0.639	0.566521	-11.34%	0.4278	-33.05%	0.0669	✓	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.6087	0.542371	-10.90%	0.4346	-28.60%	0.0175	✓	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.6174	0.554844	-10.13%	0.4589	-25.67%	0.0466	✓	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.6173	0.555528	-10.01%	0.50205	-18.67%	0.1048	✓	1.00
2026-05-23	oos	0.6524	0.588881	-9.74%	0.54155	-16.99%	0.0974	✓	1.00
2026-05-22	oos	0.6387	0.574186	-10.10%	0.551	-13.73%	0.1353	✗	1.00
2026-05-21	oos	0.6602	0.602345	-8.76%	0.5585	-15.40%	0.1130	✗	1.00
2026-05-20	oos	0.6316	0.576641	-8.70%	0.56415	-10.68%	0.1774	✗	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	0.5749	0.521705	-9.25%	0.603	+4.89%	0.3444	✗	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	0.6347	0.581287	-8.42%	0.5519	-13.05%	0.1254	✗	1.00
2026-05-17	oos	0.7222	0.667125	-7.63%	0.55775	-22.77%	0.0138	✓	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.763	0.710765	-6.85%	0.58475	-23.36%	0.0309	✓	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.7118	0.669269	-5.98%	0.5825	-18.17%	0.0461	✓	1.00
2026-05-14	oos	0.7403	0.707625	-4.41%	0.5929	-19.91%	0.0530	✗	1.00
2026-05-13	oos	0.7024	0.663129	-5.59%	0.6168	-12.19%	0.1490	✗	1.00
2026-05-12	oos	0.7669	0.729277	-4.91%	0.5536	-27.81%	0.0396	✓	1.00
2026-05-11	oos	0.8004	0.768356	-4.00%	0.5864	-26.74%	0.0150	✓	1.00
2026-05-10	oos	0.9108	0.871265	-4.34%	0.5821	-36.09%	0.1162	✓	1.00
2026-05-09	oos	1.0032	0.930534	-7.24%	0.6027	-39.92%	0.1883	✓	1.00
2026-05-08	oos	0.8663	0.809827	-6.52%	0.6361	-26.57%	0.0050	✓	1.00
2026-05-07	oos	0.6322	0.60748	-3.91%	0.6441	+1.88%	0.3322	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.