PRL

Pearl · native · gru_s0

token id: #318
symbol: PRL
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-03-25
predictions: 609

Track record at +7d

assessed

196

of 203 predictions shown

direction hit

52.0%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1632

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0223

actual -0.0304

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.099715	0.098035	-1.69%	–	pending	–	–	-0.46
2026-10-21	oos	0.099215	0.097625	-1.60%	–	pending	–	–	-0.48
2026-10-20	oos	0.09595	0.09416	-1.87%	–	pending	–	–	-0.49
2026-10-19	oos	0.086455	0.084626	-2.12%	–	pending	–	–	-0.52
2026-10-18	oos	0.089395	0.087162	-2.50%	–	pending	–	–	-0.51
2026-10-17	oos	0.09256	0.089875	-2.90%	–	pending	–	–	-0.50
2026-10-16	oos	0.09638	0.09335	-3.14%	–	pending	–	–	-0.51
2026-10-15	oos	0.098895	0.095689	-3.24%	0.099715	+0.83%	0.0539	✗	-0.51
2026-10-14	oos	0.10321	0.099554	-3.54%	0.099215	-3.87%	0.0115	✓	-0.50
2026-10-13	oos	0.1071	0.103456	-3.40%	0.09595	-10.41%	0.0763	✓	-0.52
2026-10-12	oos	0.10897	0.104733	-3.89%	0.086455	-20.66%	0.1912	✓	-0.52
2026-10-11	oos	0.11286	0.109044	-3.38%	0.089395	-20.79%	0.2079	✓	-0.46
2026-10-10	oos	0.11281	0.108734	-3.61%	0.09256	-17.95%	0.1690	✓	-0.43
2026-10-09	oos	0.112985	0.108679	-3.81%	0.09638	-14.70%	0.1256	✓	-0.43
2026-10-08	oos	0.112445	0.107889	-4.05%	0.098895	-12.05%	0.0848	✓	-0.43
2026-10-07	oos	0.112855	0.108877	-3.52%	0.10321	-8.55%	0.0621	✓	-0.42
2026-10-06	oos	0.114295	0.111417	-2.52%	0.1071	-6.30%	0.0522	✓	-0.44
2026-10-05	oos	0.1153	0.112509	-2.42%	0.10897	-5.49%	0.0502	✓	-0.38
2026-10-04	oos	0.115245	0.11309	-1.87%	0.11286	-2.07%	0.0147	✓	-0.38
2026-10-03	oos	0.11641	0.113288	-2.68%	0.11281	-3.09%	0.0123	✓	-0.37
2026-10-02	oos	0.1163	0.113014	-2.83%	0.112985	-2.85%	0.0091	✓	-0.38
2026-10-01	oos	0.117695	0.114386	-2.81%	0.112445	-4.46%	0.0313	✓	-0.38
2026-09-30	oos	0.11663	0.112619	-3.44%	0.112855	-3.24%	0.0009	✓	-0.35
2026-09-29	oos	0.116075	0.112145	-3.39%	0.114295	-1.53%	0.0266	✓	-0.34
2026-09-28	oos	0.115385	0.111398	-3.46%	0.1153	-0.07%	0.0428	✗	-0.31
2026-09-27	oos	0.12233	0.118739	-2.94%	0.115245	-5.79%	0.0225	✓	-0.31
2026-09-26	oos	0.12269	0.119097	-2.93%	0.11641	-5.12%	0.0217	✓	-0.29
2026-09-25	oos	0.12086	0.117346	-2.91%	0.1163	-3.77%	0.0075	✓	-0.30
2026-09-24	oos	0.11888	0.115498	-2.84%	0.117695	-1.00%	0.0205	✓	-0.30
2026-09-23	oos	0.11387	0.110655	-2.82%	0.11663	+2.42%	0.0497	✗	-0.30
2026-09-22	oos	0.12082	0.118476	-1.94%	0.116075	-3.93%	0.0315	✓	-0.36
2026-09-21	oos	0.118115	0.116073	-1.73%	0.115385	-2.31%	0.0183	✓	-0.33
2026-09-20	oos	0.11549	0.111825	-3.17%	0.12233	+5.92%	0.1068	✗	-0.43
2026-09-19	oos	0.11687	0.11375	-2.67%	0.12269	+4.98%	0.0923	✗	-0.43
2026-09-18	oos	0.11423	0.112316	-1.68%	0.12086	+5.80%	0.0898	✗	-0.42
2026-09-17	oos	0.1089	0.107379	-1.40%	0.11888	+9.16%	0.1563	✗	-0.55
2026-09-16	oos	0.1093	0.108087	-1.11%	0.11387	+4.18%	0.1090	✗	-0.55
2026-09-15	oos	0.107435	0.107181	-0.24%	0.12082	+12.46%	0.1877	✗	-0.52
2026-09-14	oos	0.113295	0.113028	-0.24%	0.118115	+4.25%	0.1012	✗	-0.56
2026-09-13	oos	0.110605	0.11081	+0.19%	0.11549	+4.42%	0.0710	✓	-0.54
2026-09-12	oos	0.117375	0.117467	+0.08%	0.11687	-0.43%	0.0227	✓	-0.56
2026-09-11	oos	0.1145	0.115235	+0.64%	0.11423	-0.24%	0.0173	✓	-0.56
2026-09-10	oos	0.10966	0.111299	+1.49%	0.1089	-0.69%	0.0232	✗	-0.56
2026-09-09	oos	0.117875	0.119443	+1.33%	0.1093	-7.27%	0.1059	✗	-0.62
2026-09-08	oos	0.125695	0.126891	+0.95%	0.107435	-14.53%	0.1846	✗	-0.49
2026-09-07	oos	0.13255	0.133561	+0.76%	0.113295	-14.53%	0.1704	✗	-0.50
2026-09-06	oos	0.12763	0.129303	+1.31%	0.110605	-13.34%	0.1761	✗	-0.44
2026-09-05	oos	0.12613	0.128124	+1.58%	0.117375	-6.94%	0.1025	✗	-0.46
2026-09-04	oos	0.12391	0.125551	+1.32%	0.1145	-7.59%	0.1049	✗	-0.41
2026-09-03	oos	0.12911	0.131295	+1.69%	0.10966	-15.06%	0.2062	✗	-0.44
2026-09-02	oos	0.13655	0.137269	+0.53%	0.117875	-13.68%	0.1490	✗	-0.27
2026-09-01	oos	0.14876	0.148885	+0.08%	0.125695	-15.50%	0.1658	✗	-0.26
2026-08-31	oos	0.15862	0.158755	+0.08%	0.13255	-16.44%	0.1780	✗	-0.35
2026-08-30	oos	0.17393	0.172831	-0.63%	0.12763	-26.62%	0.2942	✓	-0.27
2026-08-29	oos	0.18234	0.180668	-0.92%	0.12613	-30.83%	0.3543	✓	-0.25
2026-08-28	oos	0.187175	0.184765	-1.29%	0.12391	-33.80%	0.3938	✓	-0.25
2026-08-27	oos	0.20275	0.200808	-0.96%	0.12911	-36.32%	0.4380	✓	-0.30
2026-08-26	oos	0.20398	0.201109	-1.41%	0.13655	-33.06%	0.3938	✓	-0.30
2026-08-25	oos	0.21216	0.208772	-1.60%	0.14876	-29.88%	0.3438	✓	-0.34
2026-08-24	oos	0.219885	0.216121	-1.71%	0.15862	-27.86%	0.3110	✓	-0.32
2026-08-23	oos	0.2312	0.226296	-2.12%	0.17393	-24.77%	0.2634	✓	-0.26
2026-08-22	oos	0.2294	0.224402	-2.18%	0.18234	-20.51%	0.2035	✓	-0.27
2026-08-21	oos	0.25231	0.248035	-1.69%	0.187175	-25.82%	0.2835	✓	-0.31
2026-08-20	oos	0.25681	0.250003	-2.65%	0.20275	-21.05%	0.1801	✓	-0.31
2026-08-19	oos	0.31667	0.306726	-3.14%	0.20398	-35.59%	0.4142	✓	0.05
2026-08-18	oos	0.44811	0.43052	-3.93%	0.21216	-52.65%	0.8880	✓	0.93
2026-08-17	oos	0.39028	0.375846	-3.70%	0.219885	-43.66%	0.7187	✓	0.90
2026-08-16	oos	0.39762	0.381892	-3.96%	0.2312	-41.85%	0.7042	✓	0.95
2026-08-15	oos	0.354585	0.340012	-4.11%	0.2294	-35.30%	0.5845	✓	0.95
2026-08-14	oos	0.35075	0.336684	-4.01%	0.25231	-28.07%	0.4966	✓	0.95
2026-08-13	oos	0.300195	0.289922	-3.42%	0.25681	-14.45%	0.2628	✓	1.01
2026-08-12	oos	0.323825	0.312058	-3.63%	0.31667	-2.21%	0.0833	✓	1.10
2026-08-11	oos	0.330115	0.31732	-3.88%	0.44811	+35.74%	0.3260	✗	1.06
2026-08-10	oos	0.304755	0.293449	-3.71%	0.39028	+28.06%	0.2757	✗	1.07
2026-08-09	oos	0.2748	0.265529	-3.37%	0.39762	+44.69%	0.4398	✗	1.14
2026-08-08	oos	0.300765	0.289934	-3.60%	0.354585	+17.89%	0.2352	✗	1.15
2026-08-07	oos	0.284025	0.273902	-3.56%	0.35075	+23.49%	0.2795	✗	1.08
2026-08-06	oos	0.279705	0.270042	-3.45%	0.300195	+7.33%	0.1201	✗	1.08
2026-08-05	oos	0.27185	0.262773	-3.34%	0.323825	+19.12%	0.2291	✗	1.09
2026-08-04	oos	0.257085	0.248873	-3.19%	0.330115	+28.41%	0.2910	✗	1.05
2026-08-03	oos	0.25844	0.2496	-3.42%	0.304755	+17.92%	0.1924	✗	1.03
2026-08-02	oos	0.2655	0.25546	-3.78%	0.2748	+3.50%	0.0507	✗	1.06
2026-08-01	oos	0.24187	0.233864	-3.31%	0.300765	+24.35%	0.2165	✗	1.04
2026-07-31	oos	0.24613	0.237018	-3.70%	0.284025	+15.40%	0.1472	✗	1.04
2026-07-30	oos	0.24718	0.237458	-3.93%	0.279705	+13.16%	0.1713	✗	1.08
2026-07-29	oos	0.2118	0.204845	-3.28%	0.27185	+28.35%	0.2732	✗	0.89
2026-07-28	oos	0.18124	0.176658	-2.53%	0.257085	+41.85%	0.3725	✗	0.84
2026-07-27	oos	0.180795	0.175871	-2.72%	0.25844	+42.95%	0.3880	✗	0.86
2026-07-26	oos	0.19156	0.185032	-3.41%	0.2655	+38.60%	0.3837	✗	0.79
2026-07-25	oos	0.180655	0.175781	-2.70%	0.24187	+33.89%	0.3327	✗	0.56
2026-07-24	oos	0.17977	0.175168	-2.56%	0.24613	+36.91%	0.3518	✗	0.59
2026-07-23	oos	0.17194	0.16833	-2.10%	0.24718	+43.76%	0.3873	✗	0.61
2026-07-22	oos	0.170375	0.167536	-1.67%	0.2118	+24.31%	0.2552	✗	0.61
2026-07-21	oos	0.176875	0.174102	-1.57%	0.18124	+2.47%	0.0646	✗	0.60
2026-07-20	oos	0.17387	0.171308	-1.47%	0.180795	+3.98%	0.0682	✗	0.61
2026-07-19	oos	0.17227	0.170104	-1.26%	0.19156	+11.20%	0.1126	✗	0.61
2026-07-18	oos	0.1727	0.170748	-1.13%	0.180655	+4.61%	0.0621	✗	0.74
2026-07-17	oos	0.17012	0.168491	-0.96%	0.17977	+5.67%	0.0628	✗	0.68
2026-07-16	oos	0.168865	0.167537	-0.79%	0.17194	+1.82%	0.0093	✗	0.84
2026-07-15	oos	0.16945	0.168266	-0.70%	0.170375	+0.55%	0.0016	✓	0.67
2026-07-14	oos	0.175085	0.173782	-0.74%	0.176875	+1.02%	0.0001	✓	0.76
2026-07-13	oos	0.165275	0.16385	-0.86%	0.17387	+5.20%	0.0258	✗	0.73
2026-07-12	oos	0.170995	0.169565	-0.84%	0.17227	+0.75%	0.0054	✓	0.71
2026-07-11	oos	0.16921	0.168006	-0.71%	0.1727	+2.06%	0.0186	✗	0.57
2026-07-10	oos	0.173995	0.172628	-0.79%	0.17012	-2.23%	0.0129	✓	0.48
2026-07-09	oos	0.16962	0.168289	-0.78%	0.168865	-0.45%	0.0010	✓	0.47
2026-07-08	oos	0.172195	0.170771	-0.83%	0.16945	-1.59%	0.0256	✓	0.46
2026-07-07	oos	0.18963	0.187514	-1.12%	0.175085	-7.67%	0.0789	✓	0.40
2026-07-06	oos	0.19	0.187812	-1.15%	0.165275	-13.01%	0.1170	✓	0.39
2026-07-05	oos	0.172495	0.170918	-0.91%	0.170995	-0.87%	0.0004	✓	0.35
2026-07-04	oos	0.184115	0.181861	-1.22%	0.16921	-8.10%	0.0761	✓	0.37
2026-07-03	oos	0.17919	0.17694	-1.26%	0.173995	-2.90%	0.0288	✓	0.47
2026-07-02	oos	0.167965	0.165938	-1.21%	0.16962	+0.99%	0.0092	✓	0.47
2026-07-01	oos	0.16593	0.163832	-1.26%	0.172195	+3.78%	0.0323	✗	0.47
2026-06-30	oos	0.15907	0.157028	-1.28%	0.18963	+19.21%	0.1520	✗	0.47
2026-06-29	oos	0.16325	0.161024	-1.36%	0.19	+16.39%	0.1375	✗	0.45
2026-06-28	oos	0.154175	0.152219	-1.27%	0.172495	+11.88%	0.1037	✗	0.32
2026-06-27	oos	0.150835	0.149017	-1.20%	0.184115	+22.06%	0.1991	✗	0.24
2026-06-26	oos	0.14411	0.142447	-1.15%	0.17919	+24.34%	0.2199	✗	0.23
2026-06-25	oos	0.14418	0.142464	-1.19%	0.167965	+16.50%	0.1578	✗	0.23
2026-06-24	oos	0.1387	0.137131	-1.13%	0.16593	+19.63%	0.1988	✗	0.48
2026-06-23	oos	0.14184	0.140041	-1.27%	0.15907	+12.15%	0.1453	✗	0.26
2026-06-22	oos	0.13865	0.136849	-1.30%	0.16325	+17.74%	0.1934	✗	0.28
2026-06-21	oos	0.14252	0.140591	-1.35%	0.154175	+8.18%	0.1100	✗	0.29
2026-06-20	oos	0.14479	0.142887	-1.31%	0.150835	+4.18%	0.0739	✗	0.29
2026-06-19	oos	0.144445	0.142707	-1.20%	0.14411	-0.23%	0.0258	✗	0.29
2026-06-18	oos	0.151155	0.149216	-1.28%	0.14418	-4.61%	0.0188	✓	0.30
2026-06-17	oos	0.15744	0.155128	-1.47%	0.1387	-11.90%	0.0966	✓	0.28
2026-06-16	oos	0.16476	0.161948	-1.71%	0.14184	-13.91%	0.1207	✓	0.26
2026-06-15	oos	0.18421	0.180355	-2.09%	0.13865	-24.73%	0.2549	✓	0.23
2026-06-14	oos	0.19015	0.1859	-2.24%	0.14252	-25.05%	0.2566	✓	0.24
2026-06-13	oos	0.195935	0.191178	-2.43%	0.14479	-26.10%	0.2771	✓	0.26
2026-06-12	oos	0.191665	0.186871	-2.50%	0.144445	-24.64%	0.2573	✓	0.25
2026-06-11	oos	0.1988	0.192802	-3.02%	0.151155	-23.97%	0.2406	✓	0.25
2026-06-10	oos	0.17579	0.171768	-2.29%	0.15744	-10.44%	0.0931	✓	0.13
2026-06-09	oos	0.179975	0.175611	-2.42%	0.16476	-8.45%	0.0714	✓	0.12
2026-06-08	oos	0.18887	0.183591	-2.80%	0.18421	-2.47%	0.0012	✓	0.09
2026-06-07	oos	0.178	0.173408	-2.58%	0.19015	+6.83%	0.0886	✗	0.10
2026-06-06	oos	0.17343	0.16979	-2.10%	0.195935	+12.98%	0.1395	✗	0.07
2026-06-05	oos	0.17492	0.171436	-1.99%	0.191665	+9.57%	0.1089	✗	0.07
2026-06-04	oos	0.18829	0.183224	-2.69%	0.1988	+5.58%	0.0814	✗	-0.05
2026-06-03	oos	0.20735	0.200429	-3.34%	0.17579	-15.22%	0.1335	✓	-0.06
2026-06-02	oos	0.19479	0.188211	-3.38%	0.179975	-7.61%	0.0423	✓	0.03
2026-06-01	oos	0.19786	0.190011	-3.97%	0.18887	-4.54%	0.0085	✓	-0.02
2026-05-31	oos	0.20331	0.193707	-4.72%	0.178	-12.45%	0.0948	✓	-0.07
2026-05-30	oos	0.20295	0.193235	-4.79%	0.17343	-14.55%	0.1213	✓	-0.07
2026-05-29	oos	0.181715	0.176559	-2.84%	0.17492	-3.74%	0.0269	✓	-0.10
2026-05-28	oos	0.17852	0.172909	-3.14%	0.18829	+5.47%	0.0720	✗	-0.09
2026-05-27	oos	0.15387	0.154262	+0.25%	0.20735	+34.76%	0.2945	✓	-0.01
2026-05-26	oos	0.16026	0.159551	-0.44%	0.19479	+21.55%	0.1929	✗	-0.05
2026-05-25	oos	0.17268	0.169929	-1.59%	0.19786	+14.58%	0.1417	✗	-0.13
2026-05-24	oos	0.17963	0.176467	-1.76%	0.20331	+13.18%	0.1359	✗	-0.13
2026-05-23	oos	0.191655	0.187431	-2.20%	0.20295	+5.89%	0.0751	✗	-0.12
2026-05-22	oos	0.18882	0.185979	-1.50%	0.181715	-3.76%	0.0267	✓	-0.13
2026-05-21	oos	0.19739	0.192725	-2.36%	0.17852	-9.56%	0.0877	✓	-0.21
2026-05-20	oos	0.200525	0.19594	-2.29%	0.15387	-23.27%	0.2504	✓	-0.21
2026-05-19	oos	0.200605	0.19696	-1.82%	0.16026	-20.11%	0.2088	✓	-0.21
2026-05-18	oos	0.206865	0.202836	-1.95%	0.17268	-16.53%	0.1601	✓	-0.21
2026-05-17	oos	0.19963	0.196416	-1.61%	0.17963	-10.02%	0.0905	✓	-0.20
2026-05-16	oos	0.20361	0.199932	-1.81%	0.191655	-5.87%	0.0464	✓	-0.22
2026-05-15	oos	0.219995	0.214596	-2.45%	0.18882	-14.17%	0.1413	✓	-0.29
2026-05-14	oos	0.2512	0.244278	-2.76%	0.19739	-21.42%	0.2367	✓	-0.53
2026-05-13	oos	0.25513	0.247081	-3.15%	0.200525	-21.40%	0.2206	✓	-0.51
2026-05-12	oos	0.25496	0.247747	-2.83%	0.200605	-21.32%	0.2362	✓	-0.53
2026-05-11	oos	0.27403	0.266433	-2.77%	0.206865	-24.51%	0.2914	✓	-0.64
2026-05-10	oos	0.27135	0.264552	-2.51%	0.19963	-26.43%	0.3200	✓	-0.64
2026-05-09	oos	0.28986	0.280661	-3.17%	0.20361	-29.76%	0.3392	✓	-0.57
2026-05-08	oos	0.28383	0.274801	-3.18%	0.219995	-22.49%	0.2305	✓	-0.57
2026-05-07	oos	0.27438	0.266092	-3.02%	0.2512	-8.45%	0.0500	✓	-0.57
2026-05-06	oos	0.26746	0.260939	-2.44%	0.25513	-4.61%	0.0377	✓	-0.57
2026-05-05	oos	0.283635	0.275226	-2.96%	0.25496	-10.11%	0.0794	✓	-0.55
2026-05-04	oos	0.26549	0.257976	-2.83%	0.27403	+3.22%	0.0741	✗	-0.59
2026-05-03	oos	0.25235	0.244989	-2.92%	0.27135	+7.53%	0.1311	✗	-0.64
2026-05-02	oos	0.26266	0.255224	-2.83%	0.28986	+10.36%	0.1434	✗	-0.65
2026-05-01	oos	0.25282	0.245939	-2.72%	0.28383	+12.27%	0.1595	✗	-0.66
2026-04-30	oos	0.28061	0.270666	-3.54%	0.27438	-2.22%	0.0370	✗	-0.49
2026-04-29	oos	0.31369	0.300215	-4.30%	0.26746	-14.74%	0.0834	✓	-0.44
2026-04-28	oos	0.35463	0.334613	-5.64%	0.283635	-20.02%	0.1336	✓	-0.54
2026-04-27	oos	0.3251	0.304866	-6.22%	0.26549	-18.34%	0.1232	✓	-0.48
2026-04-26	oos	0.22072	0.216456	-1.93%	0.25235	+14.33%	0.1535	✗	0.06
2026-04-25	oos	0.20786	0.203865	-1.92%	0.26266	+26.36%	0.2532	✗	0.02
2026-04-24	oos	0.205465	0.201651	-1.86%	0.25282	+23.05%	0.2260	✗	0.02
2026-04-23	oos	0.20197	0.199089	-1.43%	0.28061	+38.94%	0.3688	✗	1.00
2026-04-22	oos	0.23358	0.228923	-1.99%	0.31369	+34.30%	0.3469	✗	1.00
2026-04-21	oos	0.22605	0.220483	-2.46%	0.35463	+56.88%	0.4757	✗	1.00
2026-04-20	oos	0.22024	0.214499	-2.61%	0.3251	+47.61%	0.3963	✗	1.00
2026-04-19	oos	0.19005	0.185129	-2.59%	0.22072	+16.14%	0.1122	✗	1.00
2026-04-18	oos	0.18005	0.176796	-1.81%	0.20786	+15.45%	0.1369	✗	1.00
2026-04-17	oos	0.24832	0.240711	-3.06%	0.205465	-17.26%	0.1630	✓	1.00
2026-04-16	oos	0.29724	0.276413	-7.01%	0.20197	-32.05%	0.3544	✓	1.00
2026-04-15	oos	0.18078	0.176993	-2.09%	0.23358	+29.21%	0.2333	✗	1.00
2026-04-14	oos	0.17941	0.175455	-2.20%	0.22605	+26.00%	0.2245	✗	1.00
2026-04-13	oos	0.17572	0.17212	-2.05%	0.22024	+25.34%	0.2276	✗	1.00
2026-04-12	oos	0.18519	0.179041	-3.32%	0.19005	+2.62%	0.0172	✓	1.00
2026-04-11	oos	0.17241	0.168098	-2.50%	0.18005	+4.43%	0.0331	✗	1.00
2026-04-10	oos	0.16176	0.157995	-2.33%	0.24832	+53.51%	0.3975	✗	1.00
2026-04-09	oos	0.16878	0.164475	-2.55%	0.29724	+76.11%	0.5460	✗	1.00
2026-04-08	oos	0.17473	0.16999	-2.71%	0.18078	+3.46%	0.0101	✓	1.00
2026-04-07	oos	0.17153	0.16739	-2.41%	0.17941	+4.59%	0.0383	✗	1.00
2026-04-06	oos	0.17115	0.166041	-2.98%	0.17572	+2.67%	0.0214	✓	1.00
2026-04-05	oos	0.19287	0.186023	-3.55%	0.18519	-3.98%	0.0295	✓	1.00
2026-04-04	oos	0.16536	0.159896	-3.30%	0.17241	+4.26%	0.0072	✓	1.00
2026-04-03	oos	0.14425	0.13993	-2.99%	0.16176	+12.14%	0.0586	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.