PRL

Pearl · native · gru_s0

token id: #318
symbol: PRL
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-03-25
predictions: 606

Track record at +1d

assessed

201

of 202 predictions shown

direction hit

48.3%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0534

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0054

actual -0.0030

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.09683	0.096413	-0.43%	–	pending	–	–	-0.49
2026-10-20	oos	0.09595	0.095477	-0.49%	0.09683	+0.92%	0.0126	✗	-0.49
2026-10-19	oos	0.086455	0.086157	-0.35%	0.09595	+10.98%	0.1146	✗	-0.52
2026-10-18	oos	0.089395	0.089139	-0.29%	0.086455	-3.29%	0.0316	✓	-0.51
2026-10-17	oos	0.09256	0.092282	-0.30%	0.089395	-3.42%	0.0279	✓	-0.50
2026-10-16	oos	0.09638	0.096043	-0.35%	0.09256	-3.96%	0.0377	✓	-0.51
2026-10-15	oos	0.098895	0.098466	-0.43%	0.09638	-2.54%	0.0253	✓	-0.51
2026-10-14	oos	0.10321	0.102741	-0.45%	0.098895	-4.18%	0.0347	✓	-0.50
2026-10-13	oos	0.1071	0.106533	-0.53%	0.10321	-3.63%	0.0415	✓	-0.52
2026-10-12	oos	0.10897	0.108238	-0.67%	0.1071	-1.72%	0.0021	✓	-0.52
2026-10-11	oos	0.11286	0.112094	-0.68%	0.10897	-3.45%	0.0389	✓	-0.46
2026-10-10	oos	0.11281	0.11198	-0.74%	0.11286	+0.04%	0.0118	✗	-0.43
2026-10-09	oos	0.112985	0.112161	-0.73%	0.11281	-0.15%	0.0077	✗	-0.43
2026-10-08	oos	0.112445	0.111586	-0.76%	0.112985	+0.48%	0.0169	✗	-0.43
2026-10-07	oos	0.112855	0.111902	-0.84%	0.112445	-0.36%	0.0032	✓	-0.42
2026-10-06	oos	0.114295	0.11358	-0.63%	0.112855	-1.26%	0.0182	✓	-0.44
2026-10-05	oos	0.1153	0.114562	-0.64%	0.114295	-0.87%	0.0033	✓	-0.38
2026-10-04	oos	0.115245	0.114606	-0.55%	0.1153	+0.05%	0.0027	✓	-0.38
2026-10-03	oos	0.11641	0.115574	-0.72%	0.115245	-1.00%	0.0048	✓	-0.37
2026-10-02	oos	0.1163	0.115389	-0.78%	0.11641	+0.09%	0.0099	✗	-0.38
2026-10-01	oos	0.117695	0.116758	-0.80%	0.1163	-1.19%	0.0055	✓	-0.38
2026-09-30	oos	0.11663	0.115556	-0.92%	0.117695	+0.91%	0.0238	✗	-0.35
2026-09-29	oos	0.116075	0.115026	-0.90%	0.11663	+0.48%	0.0135	✗	-0.34
2026-09-28	oos	0.115385	0.11434	-0.91%	0.116075	+0.60%	0.0157	✗	-0.31
2026-09-27	oos	0.12233	0.121262	-0.87%	0.115385	-5.68%	0.0534	✓	-0.31
2026-09-26	oos	0.12269	0.121585	-0.90%	0.12233	-0.29%	0.0063	✓	-0.29
2026-09-25	oos	0.12086	0.119771	-0.90%	0.12269	+1.51%	0.0252	✗	-0.30
2026-09-24	oos	0.11888	0.11781	-0.90%	0.12086	+1.67%	0.0245	✗	-0.30
2026-09-23	oos	0.11387	0.112862	-0.89%	0.11888	+4.40%	0.0520	✗	-0.30
2026-09-22	oos	0.12082	0.119959	-0.71%	0.11387	-5.75%	0.0599	✓	-0.36
2026-09-21	oos	0.118115	0.117302	-0.69%	0.12082	+2.29%	0.0280	✗	-0.33
2026-09-20	oos	0.11549	0.114538	-0.82%	0.118115	+2.27%	0.0583	✗	-0.43
2026-09-19	oos	0.11687	0.115777	-0.93%	0.11549	-1.18%	0.0029	✓	-0.43
2026-09-18	oos	0.11423	0.113548	-0.60%	0.11687	+2.31%	0.0307	✗	-0.42
2026-09-17	oos	0.1089	0.108717	-0.17%	0.11423	+4.89%	0.0809	✗	-0.55
2026-09-16	oos	0.1093	0.109207	-0.09%	0.1089	-0.37%	0.0013	✓	-0.55
2026-09-15	oos	0.107435	0.10755	+0.11%	0.1093	+1.74%	0.0200	✓	-0.52
2026-09-14	oos	0.113295	0.113296	+0.00%	0.107435	-5.17%	0.0720	✗	-0.56
2026-09-13	oos	0.110605	0.110814	+0.19%	0.113295	+2.43%	0.0317	✓	-0.54
2026-09-12	oos	0.117375	0.117519	+0.12%	0.110605	-5.77%	0.0640	✗	-0.56
2026-09-11	oos	0.1145	0.114845	+0.30%	0.117375	+2.51%	0.0222	✓	-0.56
2026-09-10	oos	0.10966	0.11027	+0.56%	0.1145	+4.41%	0.0425	✓	-0.56
2026-09-09	oos	0.117875	0.11828	+0.34%	0.10966	-6.97%	0.0897	✗	-0.62
2026-09-08	oos	0.125695	0.125954	+0.21%	0.117875	-6.22%	0.0673	✗	-0.49
2026-09-07	oos	0.13255	0.132221	-0.25%	0.125695	-5.17%	0.0547	✓	-0.50
2026-09-06	oos	0.12763	0.127924	+0.23%	0.13255	+3.85%	0.0286	✓	-0.44
2026-09-05	oos	0.12613	0.126499	+0.29%	0.12763	+1.19%	0.0118	✓	-0.46
2026-09-04	oos	0.12391	0.124317	+0.33%	0.12613	+1.79%	0.0153	✓	-0.41
2026-09-03	oos	0.12911	0.129481	+0.29%	0.12391	-4.03%	0.0526	✗	-0.44
2026-09-02	oos	0.13655	0.136863	+0.23%	0.12911	-5.45%	0.0450	✗	-0.27
2026-09-01	oos	0.14876	0.148861	+0.07%	0.13655	-8.21%	0.0866	✗	-0.26
2026-08-31	oos	0.15862	0.158691	+0.05%	0.14876	-6.22%	0.0699	✗	-0.35
2026-08-30	oos	0.17393	0.173766	-0.09%	0.15862	-8.80%	0.0881	✓	-0.27
2026-08-29	oos	0.18234	0.182123	-0.12%	0.17393	-4.61%	0.0478	✓	-0.25
2026-08-28	oos	0.187175	0.186892	-0.15%	0.18234	-2.58%	0.0234	✓	-0.25
2026-08-27	oos	0.20275	0.202564	-0.09%	0.187175	-7.68%	0.0883	✓	-0.30
2026-08-26	oos	0.20398	0.20372	-0.13%	0.20275	-0.60%	0.0000	✓	-0.30
2026-08-25	oos	0.21216	0.211849	-0.15%	0.20398	-3.86%	0.0357	✓	-0.34
2026-08-24	oos	0.219885	0.219577	-0.14%	0.21216	-3.51%	0.0362	✓	-0.32
2026-08-23	oos	0.2312	0.230794	-0.18%	0.219885	-4.89%	0.0443	✓	-0.26
2026-08-22	oos	0.2294	0.229106	-0.13%	0.2312	+0.78%	0.0114	✗	-0.27
2026-08-21	oos	0.25231	0.252172	-0.05%	0.2294	-9.08%	0.0998	✓	-0.31
2026-08-20	oos	0.25681	0.256417	-0.15%	0.25231	-1.75%	0.0056	✗	-0.31
2026-08-19	oos	0.31667	0.315742	-0.29%	0.25681	-18.90%	0.2091	✓	0.05
2026-08-18	oos	0.44811	0.441818	-1.40%	0.31667	-29.33%	0.3972	✓	0.93
2026-08-17	oos	0.39028	0.387033	-0.83%	0.44811	+14.82%	0.1437	✗	0.90
2026-08-16	oos	0.39762	0.393397	-1.06%	0.39028	-1.85%	0.0325	✓	0.95
2026-08-15	oos	0.354585	0.349667	-1.39%	0.39762	+12.14%	0.1313	✗	0.95
2026-08-14	oos	0.35075	0.346556	-1.20%	0.354585	+1.09%	0.0222	✗	0.95
2026-08-13	oos	0.300195	0.298653	-0.51%	0.35075	+16.84%	0.1680	✗	1.01
2026-08-12	oos	0.323825	0.321479	-0.72%	0.300195	-7.30%	0.0687	✓	1.10
2026-08-11	oos	0.330115	0.326851	-0.99%	0.323825	-1.91%	0.0073	✓	1.06
2026-08-10	oos	0.304755	0.302206	-0.84%	0.330115	+8.32%	0.0947	✗	1.07
2026-08-09	oos	0.2748	0.27323	-0.57%	0.304755	+10.90%	0.1258	✗	1.14
2026-08-08	oos	0.300765	0.298351	-0.80%	0.2748	-8.63%	0.0812	✓	1.15
2026-08-07	oos	0.284025	0.281531	-0.88%	0.300765	+5.89%	0.0658	✗	1.08
2026-08-06	oos	0.279705	0.277738	-0.70%	0.284025	+1.54%	0.0120	✗	1.08
2026-08-05	oos	0.27185	0.270072	-0.65%	0.279705	+2.89%	0.0407	✗	1.09
2026-08-04	oos	0.257085	0.255607	-0.57%	0.27185	+5.74%	0.0526	✗	1.05
2026-08-03	oos	0.25844	0.256575	-0.72%	0.257085	-0.52%	0.0075	✓	1.03
2026-08-02	oos	0.2655	0.262575	-1.10%	0.25844	-2.66%	0.0153	✓	1.06
2026-08-01	oos	0.24187	0.240357	-0.63%	0.2655	+9.77%	0.0873	✗	1.04
2026-07-31	oos	0.24613	0.243736	-0.97%	0.24187	-1.73%	0.0067	✓	1.04
2026-07-30	oos	0.24718	0.243482	-1.50%	0.24613	-0.42%	0.0428	✗	1.08
2026-07-29	oos	0.2118	0.209813	-0.94%	0.24718	+16.70%	0.1525	✗	0.89
2026-07-28	oos	0.18124	0.180636	-0.33%	0.2118	+16.86%	0.1585	✗	0.84
2026-07-27	oos	0.180795	0.179927	-0.48%	0.18124	+0.25%	0.0052	✗	0.86
2026-07-26	oos	0.19156	0.188827	-1.43%	0.180795	-5.62%	0.0233	✓	0.79
2026-07-25	oos	0.180655	0.179927	-0.40%	0.19156	+6.04%	0.0536	✗	0.56
2026-07-24	oos	0.17977	0.178882	-0.49%	0.180655	+0.49%	0.0079	✗	0.59
2026-07-23	oos	0.17194	0.171464	-0.28%	0.17977	+4.55%	0.0565	✗	0.61
2026-07-22	oos	0.170375	0.169999	-0.22%	0.17194	+0.92%	0.0211	✗	0.61
2026-07-21	oos	0.176875	0.176421	-0.26%	0.170375	-3.67%	0.0310	✓	0.60
2026-07-20	oos	0.17387	0.173403	-0.27%	0.176875	+1.73%	0.0078	✗	0.61
2026-07-19	oos	0.17227	0.17185	-0.24%	0.17387	+0.93%	0.0067	✗	0.61
2026-07-18	oos	0.1727	0.172243	-0.26%	0.17227	-0.25%	0.0015	✓	0.74
2026-07-17	oos	0.17012	0.16972	-0.23%	0.1727	+1.52%	0.0079	✗	0.68
2026-07-16	oos	0.168865	0.16855	-0.19%	0.17012	+0.74%	0.0077	✗	0.84
2026-07-15	oos	0.16945	0.169223	-0.13%	0.168865	-0.35%	0.0078	✗	0.67
2026-07-14	oos	0.175085	0.174744	-0.19%	0.16945	-3.22%	0.0276	✓	0.76
2026-07-13	oos	0.165275	0.164926	-0.21%	0.175085	+5.94%	0.0287	✗	0.73
2026-07-12	oos	0.170995	0.170633	-0.21%	0.165275	-3.35%	0.0153	✓	0.71
2026-07-11	oos	0.16921	0.168921	-0.17%	0.170995	+1.05%	0.0125	✗	0.57
2026-07-10	oos	0.173995	0.173659	-0.19%	0.16921	-2.75%	0.0233	✓	0.48
2026-07-09	oos	0.16962	0.169311	-0.18%	0.173995	+2.58%	0.0202	✗	0.47
2026-07-08	oos	0.172195	0.171821	-0.22%	0.16962	-1.50%	0.0197	✓	0.46
2026-07-07	oos	0.18963	0.188924	-0.37%	0.172195	-9.19%	0.0858	✓	0.40
2026-07-06	oos	0.19	0.1893	-0.37%	0.18963	-0.19%	0.0059	✗	0.39
2026-07-05	oos	0.172495	0.172016	-0.28%	0.19	+10.15%	0.0971	✗	0.35
2026-07-04	oos	0.184115	0.183014	-0.60%	0.172495	-6.31%	0.0621	✓	0.37
2026-07-03	oos	0.17919	0.178442	-0.42%	0.184115	+2.75%	0.0270	✗	0.47
2026-07-02	oos	0.167965	0.167334	-0.38%	0.17919	+6.68%	0.0606	✗	0.47
2026-07-01	oos	0.16593	0.165229	-0.42%	0.167965	+1.23%	0.0047	✗	0.47
2026-06-30	oos	0.15907	0.15842	-0.41%	0.16593	+4.31%	0.0350	✗	0.47
2026-06-29	oos	0.16325	0.16232	-0.57%	0.15907	-2.56%	0.0077	✓	0.45
2026-06-28	oos	0.154175	0.153534	-0.42%	0.16325	+5.89%	0.0577	✗	0.32
2026-06-27	oos	0.150835	0.150151	-0.45%	0.154175	+2.21%	0.0283	✗	0.24
2026-06-26	oos	0.14411	0.143583	-0.37%	0.150835	+4.67%	0.0495	✗	0.23
2026-06-25	oos	0.14418	0.14358	-0.42%	0.14411	-0.05%	0.0025	✓	0.23
2026-06-24	oos	0.1387	0.138196	-0.36%	0.14418	+3.95%	0.0526	✗	0.48
2026-06-23	oos	0.14184	0.141086	-0.53%	0.1387	-2.21%	0.0100	✓	0.26
2026-06-22	oos	0.13865	0.138183	-0.34%	0.14184	+2.30%	0.0319	✗	0.28
2026-06-21	oos	0.14252	0.142042	-0.34%	0.13865	-2.72%	0.0274	✓	0.29
2026-06-20	oos	0.14479	0.144331	-0.32%	0.14252	-1.57%	0.0082	✓	0.29
2026-06-19	oos	0.144445	0.144026	-0.29%	0.14479	+0.24%	0.0019	✓	0.29
2026-06-18	oos	0.151155	0.150712	-0.29%	0.144445	-4.44%	0.0453	✓	0.30
2026-06-17	oos	0.15744	0.156845	-0.38%	0.151155	-3.99%	0.0301	✓	0.28
2026-06-16	oos	0.16476	0.164054	-0.43%	0.15744	-4.44%	0.0365	✓	0.26
2026-06-15	oos	0.18421	0.183521	-0.37%	0.16476	-10.56%	0.1056	✓	0.23
2026-06-14	oos	0.19015	0.189328	-0.43%	0.18421	-3.12%	0.0295	✓	0.24
2026-06-13	oos	0.195935	0.194923	-0.52%	0.19015	-2.95%	0.0299	✓	0.26
2026-06-12	oos	0.191665	0.190608	-0.55%	0.195935	+2.23%	0.0240	✗	0.25
2026-06-11	oos	0.1988	0.196763	-1.02%	0.191665	-3.59%	0.0261	✓	0.25
2026-06-10	oos	0.17579	0.175173	-0.35%	0.1988	+13.09%	0.1223	✗	0.13
2026-06-09	oos	0.179975	0.179304	-0.37%	0.17579	-2.33%	0.0193	✓	0.12
2026-06-08	oos	0.18887	0.188006	-0.46%	0.179975	-4.71%	0.0416	✓	0.09
2026-06-07	oos	0.178	0.177386	-0.34%	0.18887	+6.11%	0.0631	✗	0.10
2026-06-06	oos	0.17343	0.173264	-0.10%	0.178	+2.64%	0.0244	✗	0.07
2026-06-05	oos	0.17492	0.174931	+0.01%	0.17343	-0.85%	0.0084	✗	0.07
2026-06-04	oos	0.18829	0.187925	-0.19%	0.17492	-7.10%	0.0739	✓	-0.05
2026-06-03	oos	0.20735	0.206641	-0.34%	0.18829	-9.19%	0.0932	✓	-0.06
2026-06-02	oos	0.19479	0.193902	-0.46%	0.20735	+6.45%	0.0683	✗	0.03
2026-06-01	oos	0.19786	0.19676	-0.56%	0.19479	-1.55%	0.0114	✓	-0.02
2026-05-31	oos	0.20331	0.201436	-0.92%	0.19786	-2.68%	0.0200	✓	-0.07
2026-05-30	oos	0.20295	0.200714	-1.10%	0.20331	+0.18%	0.0127	✗	-0.07
2026-05-29	oos	0.181715	0.181115	-0.33%	0.20295	+11.69%	0.1144	✗	-0.10
2026-05-28	oos	0.17852	0.176385	-1.20%	0.181715	+1.79%	0.0296	✗	-0.09
2026-05-27	oos	0.15387	0.154476	+0.39%	0.17852	+16.02%	0.1446	✓	-0.01
2026-05-26	oos	0.16026	0.1609	+0.40%	0.15387	-3.99%	0.0457	✗	-0.05
2026-05-25	oos	0.17268	0.172965	+0.17%	0.16026	-7.19%	0.0787	✗	-0.13
2026-05-24	oos	0.17963	0.179922	+0.16%	0.17268	-3.87%	0.0406	✗	-0.13
2026-05-23	oos	0.191655	0.191829	+0.09%	0.17963	-6.27%	0.0652	✗	-0.12
2026-05-22	oos	0.18882	0.189402	+0.31%	0.191655	+1.50%	0.0138	✓	-0.13
2026-05-21	oos	0.19739	0.197464	+0.04%	0.18882	-4.34%	0.0505	✗	-0.21
2026-05-20	oos	0.200525	0.200651	+0.06%	0.19739	-1.56%	0.0162	✗	-0.21
2026-05-19	oos	0.200605	0.201041	+0.22%	0.200525	-0.04%	0.0007	✓	-0.21
2026-05-18	oos	0.206865	0.207211	+0.17%	0.200605	-3.03%	0.0329	✗	-0.21
2026-05-17	oos	0.19963	0.200144	+0.26%	0.206865	+3.62%	0.0318	✓	-0.20
2026-05-16	oos	0.20361	0.203891	+0.14%	0.19963	-1.95%	0.0231	✗	-0.22
2026-05-15	oos	0.219995	0.219675	-0.15%	0.20361	-7.45%	0.0794	✓	-0.29
2026-05-14	oos	0.2512	0.250106	-0.44%	0.219995	-12.42%	0.1416	✓	-0.53
2026-05-13	oos	0.25513	0.253865	-0.50%	0.2512	-1.54%	0.0009	✓	-0.51
2026-05-12	oos	0.25496	0.253789	-0.46%	0.25513	+0.07%	0.0027	✓	-0.53
2026-05-11	oos	0.27403	0.272499	-0.56%	0.25496	-6.96%	0.0763	✓	-0.64
2026-05-10	oos	0.27135	0.269976	-0.51%	0.27403	+0.99%	0.0112	✗	-0.64
2026-05-09	oos	0.28986	0.287623	-0.77%	0.27135	-6.39%	0.0475	✓	-0.57
2026-05-08	oos	0.28383	0.281664	-0.76%	0.28986	+2.12%	0.0320	✗	-0.57
2026-05-07	oos	0.27438	0.272442	-0.71%	0.28383	+3.44%	0.0423	✗	-0.57
2026-05-06	oos	0.26746	0.265746	-0.64%	0.27438	+2.59%	0.0219	✗	-0.57
2026-05-05	oos	0.283635	0.279601	-1.42%	0.26746	-5.70%	0.0408	✓	-0.55
2026-05-04	oos	0.26549	0.263684	-0.68%	0.283635	+6.83%	0.0807	✗	-0.59
2026-05-03	oos	0.25235	0.250852	-0.59%	0.26549	+5.21%	0.0671	✗	-0.64
2026-05-02	oos	0.26266	0.260911	-0.67%	0.25235	-3.93%	0.0344	✓	-0.65
2026-05-01	oos	0.25282	0.251448	-0.54%	0.26266	+3.89%	0.0474	✗	-0.66
2026-04-30	oos	0.28061	0.278341	-0.81%	0.25282	-9.90%	0.0839	✓	-0.49
2026-04-29	oos	0.31369	0.30959	-1.31%	0.28061	-10.55%	0.0951	✓	-0.44
2026-04-28	oos	0.35463	0.344791	-2.77%	0.31369	-11.54%	0.0986	✓	-0.54
2026-04-27	oos	0.3251	0.307706	-5.35%	0.35463	+9.08%	0.1354	✗	-0.48
2026-04-26	oos	0.22072	0.219481	-0.56%	0.3251	+47.29%	0.3938	✗	0.06
2026-04-25	oos	0.20786	0.206872	-0.48%	0.22072	+6.19%	0.0646	✗	0.02
2026-04-24	oos	0.205465	0.204572	-0.43%	0.20786	+1.17%	0.0159	✗	0.02
2026-04-23	oos	0.20197	0.201343	-0.31%	0.205465	+1.73%	0.0308	✗	1.00
2026-04-22	oos	0.23358	0.231629	-0.84%	0.20197	-13.53%	0.1379	✓	1.00
2026-04-21	oos	0.22605	0.22427	-0.79%	0.23358	+3.33%	0.0166	✗	1.00
2026-04-20	oos	0.22024	0.217968	-1.03%	0.22605	+2.64%	0.0301	✗	1.00
2026-04-19	oos	0.19005	0.188907	-0.60%	0.22024	+15.89%	0.1262	✗	1.00
2026-04-18	oos	0.18005	0.17928	-0.43%	0.19005	+5.55%	0.0839	✗	1.00
2026-04-17	oos	0.24832	0.24339	-1.99%	0.18005	-27.49%	0.2836	✓	1.00
2026-04-16	oos	0.29724	0.277592	-6.61%	0.24832	-16.46%	0.1369	✓	1.00
2026-04-15	oos	0.18078	0.17985	-0.51%	0.29724	+64.42%	0.4981	✗	1.00
2026-04-14	oos	0.17941	0.178393	-0.57%	0.18078	+0.76%	0.0045	✓	1.00
2026-04-13	oos	0.17572	0.174754	-0.55%	0.17941	+2.10%	0.0299	✗	1.00
2026-04-12	oos	0.18519	0.183223	-1.06%	0.17572	-5.11%	0.0927	✓	1.00
2026-04-11	oos	0.17241	0.171226	-0.69%	0.18519	+7.41%	0.1108	✗	1.00
2026-04-10	oos	0.16176	0.160825	-0.58%	0.17241	+6.58%	0.0683	✗	1.00
2026-04-09	oos	0.16878	0.167624	-0.68%	0.16176	-4.16%	0.0522	✓	1.00
2026-04-08	oos	0.17473	0.173339	-0.80%	0.16878	-3.41%	0.0366	✓	1.00
2026-04-07	oos	0.17153	0.170325	-0.70%	0.17473	+1.87%	0.0371	✗	1.00
2026-04-06	oos	0.17115	0.169694	-0.85%	0.17153	+0.22%	0.0327	✓	1.00
2026-04-05	oos	0.19287	0.190286	-1.34%	0.17115	-11.26%	0.1038	✓	1.00
2026-04-04	oos	0.16536	0.163501	-1.12%	0.19287	+16.64%	0.1401	✗	1.00
2026-04-03	oos	0.14425	0.143226	-0.71%	0.16536	+14.63%	0.1388	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.