PRL

Pearl · native · gru_s0

token id: #318
symbol: PRL
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-03-25
predictions: 609

Track record at +30d

assessed

173

of 203 predictions shown

direction hit

61.3%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.3616

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0539

actual -0.1645

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.099715	0.096878	-2.85%	–	pending	–	–	-0.46
2026-10-21	oos	0.099215	0.096628	-2.61%	–	pending	–	–	-0.48
2026-10-20	oos	0.09595	0.092361	-3.74%	–	pending	–	–	-0.49
2026-10-19	oos	0.086455	0.082057	-5.09%	–	pending	–	–	-0.52
2026-10-18	oos	0.089395	0.083882	-6.17%	–	pending	–	–	-0.51
2026-10-17	oos	0.09256	0.085884	-7.21%	–	pending	–	–	-0.50
2026-10-16	oos	0.09638	0.088954	-7.70%	–	pending	–	–	-0.51
2026-10-15	oos	0.098895	0.091214	-7.77%	–	pending	–	–	-0.51
2026-10-14	oos	0.10321	0.094368	-8.57%	–	pending	–	–	-0.50
2026-10-13	oos	0.1071	0.098514	-8.02%	–	pending	–	–	-0.52
2026-10-12	oos	0.10897	0.099044	-9.11%	–	pending	–	–	-0.52
2026-10-11	oos	0.11286	0.103999	-7.85%	–	pending	–	–	-0.46
2026-10-10	oos	0.11281	0.103391	-8.35%	–	pending	–	–	-0.43
2026-10-09	oos	0.112985	0.102946	-8.89%	–	pending	–	–	-0.43
2026-10-08	oos	0.112445	0.101873	-9.40%	–	pending	–	–	-0.43
2026-10-07	oos	0.112855	0.103865	-7.97%	–	pending	–	–	-0.42
2026-10-06	oos	0.114295	0.107924	-5.57%	–	pending	–	–	-0.44
2026-10-05	oos	0.1153	0.109296	-5.21%	–	pending	–	–	-0.38
2026-10-04	oos	0.115245	0.111054	-3.64%	–	pending	–	–	-0.38
2026-10-03	oos	0.11641	0.109698	-5.77%	–	pending	–	–	-0.37
2026-10-02	oos	0.1163	0.109314	-6.01%	–	pending	–	–	-0.38
2026-10-01	oos	0.117695	0.110766	-5.89%	–	pending	–	–	-0.38
2026-09-30	oos	0.11663	0.10797	-7.43%	–	pending	–	–	-0.35
2026-09-29	oos	0.116075	0.107643	-7.26%	–	pending	–	–	-0.34
2026-09-28	oos	0.115385	0.106846	-7.40%	–	pending	–	–	-0.31
2026-09-27	oos	0.12233	0.115149	-5.87%	–	pending	–	–	-0.31
2026-09-26	oos	0.12269	0.115635	-5.75%	–	pending	–	–	-0.29
2026-09-25	oos	0.12086	0.114008	-5.67%	–	pending	–	–	-0.30
2026-09-24	oos	0.11888	0.112452	-5.41%	–	pending	–	–	-0.30
2026-09-23	oos	0.11387	0.107763	-5.36%	–	pending	–	–	-0.30
2026-09-22	oos	0.12082	0.117503	-2.75%	0.099715	-17.47%	0.1726	✓	-0.36
2026-09-21	oos	0.118115	0.115677	-2.06%	0.099215	-16.00%	0.1636	✓	-0.33
2026-09-20	oos	0.11549	0.107508	-6.91%	0.09595	-16.92%	0.1045	✓	-0.43
2026-09-19	oos	0.11687	0.110635	-5.34%	0.086455	-26.02%	0.2434	✓	-0.43
2026-09-18	oos	0.11423	0.110423	-3.33%	0.089395	-21.74%	0.2054	✓	-0.42
2026-09-17	oos	0.1089	0.103491	-4.97%	0.09256	-15.00%	0.0768	✓	-0.55
2026-09-16	oos	0.1093	0.104212	-4.65%	0.09638	-11.82%	0.0405	✓	-0.55
2026-09-15	oos	0.107435	0.10442	-2.81%	0.098895	-7.95%	0.0115	✓	-0.52
2026-09-14	oos	0.113295	0.112193	-0.97%	0.10321	-8.90%	0.0597	✓	-0.56
2026-09-13	oos	0.110605	0.109139	-1.33%	0.1071	-3.17%	0.0234	✗	-0.54
2026-09-12	oos	0.117375	0.116038	-1.14%	0.10897	-7.16%	0.0316	✓	-0.56
2026-09-11	oos	0.1145	0.113919	-0.51%	0.11286	-1.43%	0.0359	✗	-0.56
2026-09-10	oos	0.10966	0.109826	+0.15%	0.11281	+2.87%	0.0716	✓	-0.56
2026-09-09	oos	0.117875	0.120018	+1.82%	0.112985	-4.15%	0.0276	✗	-0.62
2026-09-08	oos	0.125695	0.126608	+0.73%	0.112445	-10.54%	0.0988	✗	-0.49
2026-09-07	oos	0.13255	0.133693	+0.86%	0.112855	-14.86%	0.1436	✗	-0.50
2026-09-06	oos	0.12763	0.12991	+1.79%	0.114295	-10.45%	0.1004	✗	-0.44
2026-09-05	oos	0.12613	0.12886	+2.16%	0.1153	-8.59%	0.0786	✗	-0.46
2026-09-04	oos	0.12391	0.125709	+1.45%	0.115245	-6.99%	0.0536	✗	-0.41
2026-09-03	oos	0.12911	0.133647	+3.51%	0.11641	-9.84%	0.1198	✗	-0.44
2026-09-02	oos	0.13655	0.135854	-0.51%	0.1163	-14.83%	0.1317	✓	-0.27
2026-09-01	oos	0.14876	0.147383	-0.93%	0.117695	-20.88%	0.2012	✓	-0.26
2026-08-31	oos	0.15862	0.158638	+0.01%	0.11663	-26.47%	0.2858	✗	-0.35
2026-08-30	oos	0.17393	0.17161	-1.33%	0.116075	-33.26%	0.3712	✓	-0.27
2026-08-29	oos	0.18234	0.179569	-1.52%	0.115385	-36.72%	0.4262	✓	-0.25
2026-08-28	oos	0.187175	0.18325	-2.10%	0.12233	-34.64%	0.3840	✓	-0.25
2026-08-27	oos	0.20275	0.201565	-0.58%	0.12269	-39.49%	0.4812	✓	-0.30
2026-08-26	oos	0.20398	0.200728	-1.59%	0.12086	-40.75%	0.4885	✓	-0.30
2026-08-25	oos	0.21216	0.208168	-1.88%	0.11888	-43.97%	0.5359	✓	-0.34
2026-08-24	oos	0.219885	0.215498	-1.99%	0.11387	-48.21%	0.6168	✓	-0.32
2026-08-23	oos	0.2312	0.223759	-3.22%	0.12082	-47.74%	0.5893	✓	-0.26
2026-08-22	oos	0.2294	0.221745	-3.34%	0.118115	-48.51%	0.5988	✓	-0.27
2026-08-21	oos	0.25231	0.247847	-1.77%	0.11549	-54.23%	0.7524	✓	-0.31
2026-08-20	oos	0.25681	0.243033	-5.36%	0.11687	-54.49%	0.6991	✓	-0.31
2026-08-19	oos	0.31667	0.293524	-7.31%	0.11423	-63.93%	0.9511	✓	0.05
2026-08-18	oos	0.44811	0.409585	-8.60%	0.1089	-75.70%	1.4789	✓	0.93
2026-08-17	oos	0.39028	0.356565	-8.64%	0.1093	-71.99%	1.3322	✓	0.90
2026-08-16	oos	0.39762	0.361538	-9.07%	0.107435	-72.98%	1.3892	✓	0.95
2026-08-15	oos	0.354585	0.322666	-9.00%	0.113295	-68.05%	1.2513	✓	0.95
2026-08-14	oos	0.35075	0.318823	-9.10%	0.110605	-68.47%	1.2480	✓	0.95
2026-08-13	oos	0.300195	0.274674	-8.50%	0.117375	-60.90%	1.0486	✓	1.01
2026-08-12	oos	0.323825	0.295525	-8.74%	0.1145	-64.64%	1.1654	✓	1.10
2026-08-11	oos	0.330115	0.300382	-9.01%	0.10966	-66.78%	1.2059	✓	1.06
2026-08-10	oos	0.304755	0.278033	-8.77%	0.117875	-61.32%	1.0750	✓	1.07
2026-08-09	oos	0.2748	0.252263	-8.20%	0.125695	-54.26%	0.9141	✓	1.14
2026-08-08	oos	0.300765	0.275121	-8.53%	0.13255	-55.93%	0.9568	✓	1.15
2026-08-07	oos	0.284025	0.26039	-8.32%	0.12763	-55.06%	0.9427	✓	1.08
2026-08-06	oos	0.279705	0.25647	-8.31%	0.12613	-54.91%	0.9435	✓	1.08
2026-08-05	oos	0.27185	0.250189	-7.97%	0.12391	-54.42%	0.9303	✓	1.09
2026-08-04	oos	0.257085	0.237462	-7.63%	0.12911	-49.78%	0.8587	✓	1.05
2026-08-03	oos	0.25844	0.237924	-7.94%	0.13655	-47.16%	0.7591	✓	1.03
2026-08-02	oos	0.2655	0.243258	-8.38%	0.14876	-43.97%	0.7019	✓	1.06
2026-08-01	oos	0.24187	0.222941	-7.83%	0.15862	-34.42%	0.5748	✓	1.04
2026-07-31	oos	0.24613	0.225915	-8.21%	0.17393	-29.33%	0.4828	✓	1.04
2026-07-30	oos	0.24718	0.227209	-8.08%	0.18234	-26.23%	0.4239	✓	1.08
2026-07-29	oos	0.2118	0.196744	-7.11%	0.187175	-11.63%	0.2249	✓	0.89
2026-07-28	oos	0.18124	0.170485	-5.93%	0.20275	+11.87%	0.0184	✓	0.84
2026-07-27	oos	0.180795	0.16973	-6.12%	0.20398	+12.82%	0.0010	✓	0.86
2026-07-26	oos	0.19156	0.178786	-6.67%	0.21216	+10.75%	0.0257	✓	0.79
2026-07-25	oos	0.180655	0.169064	-6.42%	0.219885	+21.72%	0.1475	✗	0.56
2026-07-24	oos	0.17977	0.169065	-5.96%	0.2312	+28.61%	0.1996	✗	0.59
2026-07-23	oos	0.17194	0.16336	-4.99%	0.2294	+33.42%	0.2358	✗	0.61
2026-07-22	oos	0.170375	0.16393	-3.78%	0.25231	+48.09%	0.3268	✗	0.61
2026-07-21	oos	0.176875	0.17086	-3.40%	0.25681	+45.19%	0.3520	✗	0.60
2026-07-20	oos	0.17387	0.168385	-3.15%	0.31667	+82.13%	0.5946	✗	0.61
2026-07-19	oos	0.17227	0.167898	-2.54%	0.44811	+160.12%	0.9817	✗	0.61
2026-07-18	oos	0.1727	0.16906	-2.11%	0.39028	+125.99%	0.8403	✗	0.74
2026-07-17	oos	0.17012	0.16734	-1.63%	0.39762	+133.73%	0.8768	✗	0.68
2026-07-16	oos	0.168865	0.166962	-1.13%	0.354585	+109.98%	0.7631	✗	0.84
2026-07-15	oos	0.16945	0.167991	-0.86%	0.35075	+106.99%	0.7544	✗	0.67
2026-07-14	oos	0.175085	0.173485	-0.91%	0.300195	+71.46%	0.5669	✗	0.76
2026-07-13	oos	0.165275	0.162926	-1.42%	0.323825	+95.93%	0.6737	✗	0.73
2026-07-12	oos	0.170995	0.168897	-1.23%	0.330115	+93.06%	0.6725	✗	0.71
2026-07-11	oos	0.16921	0.16781	-0.83%	0.304755	+80.10%	0.5954	✗	0.57
2026-07-10	oos	0.173995	0.17223	-1.01%	0.2748	+57.94%	0.4619	✗	0.48
2026-07-09	oos	0.16962	0.167835	-1.05%	0.300765	+77.32%	0.5705	✗	0.47
2026-07-08	oos	0.172195	0.170156	-1.18%	0.284025	+64.94%	0.4933	✗	0.46
2026-07-07	oos	0.18963	0.186021	-1.90%	0.279705	+47.50%	0.4020	✗	0.40
2026-07-06	oos	0.19	0.186245	-1.98%	0.27185	+43.08%	0.3745	✗	0.39
2026-07-05	oos	0.172495	0.170266	-1.29%	0.257085	+49.04%	0.4095	✗	0.35
2026-07-04	oos	0.184115	0.180469	-1.98%	0.25844	+40.37%	0.3569	✗	0.37
2026-07-03	oos	0.17919	0.175111	-2.28%	0.2655	+48.17%	0.4088	✗	0.47
2026-07-02	oos	0.167965	0.164272	-2.20%	0.24187	+44.00%	0.3772	✗	0.47
2026-07-01	oos	0.16593	0.161927	-2.41%	0.24613	+48.33%	0.3968	✗	0.47
2026-06-30	oos	0.15907	0.15495	-2.59%	0.24718	+55.39%	0.4202	✗	0.47
2026-06-29	oos	0.16325	0.159003	-2.60%	0.2118	+29.74%	0.2595	✗	0.45
2026-06-28	oos	0.154175	0.150181	-2.59%	0.18124	+17.55%	0.1653	✗	0.32
2026-06-27	oos	0.150835	0.147216	-2.40%	0.180795	+19.86%	0.1907	✗	0.24
2026-06-26	oos	0.14411	0.140609	-2.43%	0.19156	+32.93%	0.2894	✗	0.23
2026-06-25	oos	0.14418	0.140457	-2.58%	0.180655	+25.30%	0.2343	✗	0.23
2026-06-24	oos	0.1387	0.135328	-2.43%	0.17977	+29.61%	0.2600	✗	0.48
2026-06-23	oos	0.14184	0.138217	-2.55%	0.17194	+21.22%	0.2084	✗	0.26
2026-06-22	oos	0.13865	0.134843	-2.75%	0.170375	+22.88%	0.2247	✗	0.28
2026-06-21	oos	0.14252	0.138266	-2.98%	0.176875	+24.11%	0.2316	✗	0.29
2026-06-20	oos	0.14479	0.140709	-2.82%	0.17387	+20.08%	0.2072	✗	0.29
2026-06-19	oos	0.144445	0.140597	-2.66%	0.17227	+19.26%	0.1978	✗	0.29
2026-06-18	oos	0.151155	0.146616	-3.00%	0.1727	+14.25%	0.1547	✗	0.30
2026-06-17	oos	0.15744	0.152218	-3.32%	0.17012	+8.05%	0.1136	✗	0.28
2026-06-16	oos	0.16476	0.158287	-3.93%	0.168865	+2.49%	0.0720	✗	0.26
2026-06-15	oos	0.18421	0.174958	-5.02%	0.16945	-8.01%	0.0266	✓	0.23
2026-06-14	oos	0.19015	0.179928	-5.38%	0.175085	-7.92%	0.0247	✓	0.24
2026-06-13	oos	0.195935	0.184471	-5.85%	0.165275	-15.65%	0.1010	✓	0.26
2026-06-12	oos	0.191665	0.180062	-6.05%	0.170995	-10.78%	0.0525	✓	0.25
2026-06-11	oos	0.1988	0.184981	-6.95%	0.16921	-14.88%	0.0900	✓	0.25
2026-06-10	oos	0.17579	0.165186	-6.03%	0.173995	-1.02%	0.0466	✓	0.13
2026-06-09	oos	0.179975	0.168448	-6.40%	0.16962	-5.75%	0.0040	✓	0.12
2026-06-08	oos	0.18887	0.175276	-7.20%	0.172195	-8.83%	0.0165	✓	0.09
2026-06-07	oos	0.178	0.165452	-7.05%	0.18963	+6.53%	0.1364	✗	0.10
2026-06-06	oos	0.17343	0.16183	-6.69%	0.19	+9.55%	0.1572	✗	0.07
2026-06-05	oos	0.17492	0.162818	-6.92%	0.172495	-1.39%	0.0551	✓	0.07
2026-06-04	oos	0.18829	0.172679	-8.29%	0.184115	-2.22%	0.0636	✓	-0.05
2026-06-03	oos	0.20735	0.187391	-9.63%	0.17919	-13.58%	0.0461	✓	-0.06
2026-06-02	oos	0.19479	0.175043	-10.14%	0.167965	-13.77%	0.0387	✓	0.03
2026-06-01	oos	0.19786	0.175112	-11.50%	0.16593	-16.14%	0.0573	✓	-0.02
2026-05-31	oos	0.20331	0.177456	-12.72%	0.15907	-21.76%	0.1250	✓	-0.07
2026-05-30	oos	0.20295	0.176155	-13.20%	0.16325	-19.56%	0.0900	✓	-0.07
2026-05-29	oos	0.181715	0.160135	-11.88%	0.154175	-15.16%	0.0580	✓	-0.10
2026-05-28	oos	0.17852	0.155957	-12.64%	0.150835	-15.51%	0.0525	✓	-0.09
2026-05-27	oos	0.15387	0.137303	-10.77%	0.14411	-6.34%	0.0466	✓	-0.01
2026-05-26	oos	0.16026	0.142493	-11.09%	0.14418	-10.03%	0.0006	✓	-0.05
2026-05-25	oos	0.17268	0.153505	-11.10%	0.1387	-19.68%	0.1323	✓	-0.13
2026-05-24	oos	0.17963	0.159685	-11.10%	0.14184	-21.04%	0.1444	✓	-0.13
2026-05-23	oos	0.191655	0.170545	-11.01%	0.13865	-27.66%	0.2279	✓	-0.12
2026-05-22	oos	0.18882	0.168697	-10.66%	0.14252	-24.52%	0.1910	✓	-0.13
2026-05-21	oos	0.19739	0.176727	-10.47%	0.14479	-26.65%	0.2385	✓	-0.21
2026-05-20	oos	0.200525	0.180308	-10.08%	0.144445	-27.97%	0.2633	✓	-0.21
2026-05-19	oos	0.200605	0.181661	-9.44%	0.151155	-24.65%	0.2252	✓	-0.21
2026-05-18	oos	0.206865	0.188311	-8.97%	0.15744	-23.89%	0.2171	✓	-0.21
2026-05-17	oos	0.19963	0.183004	-8.33%	0.16476	-17.47%	0.1384	✓	-0.20
2026-05-16	oos	0.20361	0.18779	-7.77%	0.18421	-9.53%	0.0550	✓	-0.22
2026-05-15	oos	0.219995	0.202843	-7.80%	0.19015	-13.57%	0.1175	✓	-0.29
2026-05-14	oos	0.2512	0.233084	-7.21%	0.195935	-22.00%	0.2951	✓	-0.53
2026-05-13	oos	0.25513	0.234178	-8.21%	0.191665	-24.88%	0.3137	✓	-0.51
2026-05-12	oos	0.25496	0.236389	-7.28%	0.1988	-22.03%	0.2984	✓	-0.53
2026-05-11	oos	0.27403	0.255526	-6.75%	0.17579	-35.85%	0.5553	✓	-0.64
2026-05-10	oos	0.27135	0.255002	-6.02%	0.179975	-33.67%	0.5320	✓	-0.64
2026-05-09	oos	0.28986	0.268147	-7.49%	0.18887	-34.84%	0.4905	✓	-0.57
2026-05-08	oos	0.28383	0.262481	-7.52%	0.178	-37.29%	0.5234	✓	-0.57
2026-05-07	oos	0.27438	0.254802	-7.14%	0.17343	-36.79%	0.5409	✓	-0.57
2026-05-06	oos	0.26746	0.252859	-5.46%	0.17492	-34.60%	0.5322	✓	-0.57
2026-05-05	oos	0.283635	0.266705	-5.97%	0.18829	-33.62%	0.4792	✓	-0.55
2026-05-04	oos	0.26549	0.247747	-6.68%	0.20735	-21.90%	0.3087	✓	-0.59
2026-05-03	oos	0.25235	0.234578	-7.04%	0.19479	-22.81%	0.2905	✓	-0.64
2026-05-02	oos	0.26266	0.245285	-6.61%	0.19786	-24.67%	0.2790	✓	-0.65
2026-05-01	oos	0.25282	0.236522	-6.45%	0.20331	-19.58%	0.1917	✓	-0.66
2026-04-30	oos	0.28061	0.257131	-8.37%	0.20295	-27.68%	0.2533	✓	-0.49
2026-04-29	oos	0.31369	0.283909	-9.49%	0.181715	-42.07%	0.4604	✓	-0.44
2026-04-28	oos	0.35463	0.316625	-10.72%	0.17852	-49.66%	0.5933	✓	-0.54
2026-04-27	oos	0.3251	0.293503	-9.72%	0.15387	-52.67%	0.6649	✓	-0.48
2026-04-26	oos	0.22072	0.212538	-3.71%	0.16026	-27.39%	0.2803	✓	0.06
2026-04-25	oos	0.20786	0.200125	-3.72%	0.17268	-16.92%	0.1474	✓	0.02
2026-04-24	oos	0.205465	0.198329	-3.47%	0.17963	-12.57%	0.0989	✓	0.02
2026-04-23	oos	0.20197	0.197716	-2.11%	0.191655	-5.11%	0.0101	✓	1.00
2026-04-22	oos	0.23358	0.226543	-3.01%	0.18882	-19.16%	0.1462	✓	1.00
2026-04-21	oos	0.22605	0.215588	-4.63%	0.19739	-12.68%	0.1038	✓	1.00
2026-04-20	oos	0.22024	0.209865	-4.71%	0.200525	-8.95%	0.0665	✓	1.00
2026-04-19	oos	0.19005	0.179708	-5.44%	0.200605	+5.55%	0.0709	✗	1.00
2026-04-18	oos	0.18005	0.17449	-3.09%	0.206865	+14.89%	0.1544	✗	1.00
2026-04-17	oos	0.24832	0.2372	-4.48%	0.19963	-19.61%	0.1764	✓	1.00
2026-04-16	oos	0.29724	0.265692	-10.61%	0.20361	-31.50%	0.3045	✓	1.00
2026-04-15	oos	0.18078	0.173117	-4.24%	0.219995	+21.69%	0.1847	✗	1.00
2026-04-14	oos	0.17941	0.171319	-4.51%	0.2512	+40.01%	0.2938	✗	1.00
2026-04-13	oos	0.17572	0.168631	-4.03%	0.25513	+45.19%	0.3510	✗	1.00
2026-04-12	oos	0.18519	0.171862	-7.20%	0.25496	+37.67%	0.2656	✗	1.00
2026-04-11	oos	0.17241	0.163348	-5.26%	0.27403	+58.94%	0.4056	✗	1.00
2026-04-10	oos	0.16176	0.153888	-4.87%	0.27135	+67.75%	0.4485	✗	1.00
2026-04-09	oos	0.16878	0.159638	-5.42%	0.28986	+71.74%	0.4802	✗	1.00
2026-04-08	oos	0.17473	0.164672	-5.76%	0.28383	+62.44%	0.4239	✗	1.00
2026-04-07	oos	0.17153	0.163079	-4.93%	0.27438	+59.96%	0.4136	✗	1.00
2026-04-06	oos	0.17115	0.159937	-6.55%	0.26746	+56.27%	0.3463	✗	1.00
2026-04-05	oos	0.19287	0.178572	-7.41%	0.283635	+47.06%	0.3036	✗	1.00
2026-04-04	oos	0.16536	0.153245	-7.33%	0.26549	+60.55%	0.3784	✗	1.00
2026-04-03	oos	0.14425	0.133951	-7.14%	0.25235	+74.94%	0.4736	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.