NIULAI

? · · gru_s0

token id: #227
symbol: NIULAI
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-19
predictions: 168

Track record at +7d

assessed

49

of 56 predictions shown

direction hit

73.5%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1755

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0316

actual -0.0447

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.06274	0.060986	-2.80%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-21	oos	0.062305	0.060669	-2.63%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-20	oos	0.0625	0.060918	-2.53%	–	pending	–	–	1.55
2026-10-19	oos	0.05795	0.056605	-2.32%	–	pending	–	–	1.53
2026-10-18	oos	0.058765	0.057389	-2.34%	–	pending	–	–	1.53
2026-10-17	oos	0.059455	0.058242	-2.04%	–	pending	–	–	1.53
2026-10-16	oos	0.065015	0.063581	-2.21%	–	pending	–	–	1.52
2026-10-15	oos	0.06738	0.06582	-2.32%	0.06274	-6.89%	0.0859	✓	1.51
2026-10-14	oos	0.06963	0.068086	-2.22%	0.062305	-10.52%	0.1337	✓	1.51
2026-10-13	oos	0.07463	0.072572	-2.76%	0.0625	-16.25%	0.1465	✓	1.48
2026-10-12	oos	0.07206	0.070501	-2.16%	0.05795	-19.58%	0.1978	✓	1.47
2026-10-11	oos	0.07927	0.076858	-3.04%	0.058765	-25.87%	0.2402	✓	1.40
2026-10-10	oos	0.080075	0.077641	-3.04%	0.059455	-25.75%	0.2407	✓	1.41
2026-10-09	oos	0.07419	0.072439	-2.36%	0.065015	-12.37%	0.0902	✓	1.41
2026-10-08	oos	0.0731	0.071667	-1.96%	0.06738	-7.82%	0.0691	✓	1.41
2026-10-07	oos	0.071685	0.069978	-2.38%	0.06963	-2.87%	0.0250	✗	1.44
2026-10-06	oos	0.079075	0.076265	-3.55%	0.07463	-5.62%	0.0175	✓	1.36
2026-10-05	oos	0.0768	0.073978	-3.67%	0.07206	-6.17%	0.0390	✗	1.36
2026-10-04	oos	0.08235	0.07923	-3.79%	0.07927	-3.74%	0.0446	✗	1.32
2026-10-03	oos	0.08011	0.077025	-3.85%	0.080075	-0.04%	0.0679	✗	1.33
2026-10-02	oos	0.08755	0.084246	-3.77%	0.07419	-15.26%	0.0960	✓	1.32
2026-10-01	oos	0.09927	0.095827	-3.47%	0.0731	-26.36%	0.2225	✓	1.27
2026-09-30	oos	0.104825	0.101138	-3.52%	0.071685	-31.61%	0.3398	✓	1.32
2026-09-29	oos	0.10513	0.101421	-3.53%	0.079075	-24.78%	0.2784	✓	1.31
2026-09-28	oos	0.115845	0.111656	-3.62%	0.0768	-33.70%	0.4094	✓	1.30
2026-09-27	oos	0.10403	0.100307	-3.58%	0.08235	-20.84%	0.2302	✓	1.38
2026-09-26	oos	0.10584	0.102025	-3.60%	0.08011	-24.31%	0.2471	✓	1.37
2026-09-25	oos	0.104305	0.100466	-3.68%	0.08755	-16.06%	0.1443	✓	1.37
2026-09-24	oos	0.10064	0.096931	-3.69%	0.09927	-1.36%	0.0163	✓	1.38
2026-09-23	oos	0.10741	0.103613	-3.54%	0.104825	-2.41%	0.0249	✓	1.36
2026-09-22	oos	0.112325	0.108564	-3.35%	0.10513	-6.41%	0.0073	✓	1.31
2026-09-21	oos	0.10777	0.10417	-3.34%	0.115845	+7.49%	0.1551	✗	1.32
2026-09-20	oos	0.10109	0.097197	-3.85%	0.10403	+2.91%	0.0095	✓	1.47
2026-09-19	oos	0.107915	0.103937	-3.69%	0.10584	-1.92%	0.0371	✓	1.44
2026-09-18	oos	0.11962	0.114999	-3.86%	0.104305	-12.80%	0.1535	✓	1.43
2026-09-17	oos	0.10627	0.101604	-4.39%	0.10064	-5.30%	0.1096	✓	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.10055	0.096269	-4.26%	0.10741	+6.82%	0.0068	✓	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.11971	0.114214	-4.59%	0.112325	-6.17%	0.1481	✓	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.12225	0.117184	-4.14%	0.10777	-11.84%	0.1860	✓	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.11709	0.112216	-4.16%	0.10109	-13.66%	0.1596	✓	1.00
2026-09-12	oos	0.134925	0.128359	-4.87%	0.107915	-20.02%	0.2236	✓	1.00
2026-09-11	oos	0.125765	0.119813	-4.73%	0.11962	-4.89%	0.0480	✓	1.00
2026-09-10	oos	0.12138	0.114591	-5.59%	0.10627	-12.45%	0.0729	✓	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.078585	0.076941	-2.09%	0.10055	+27.95%	0.2953	✗	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.102125	0.098731	-3.32%	0.11971	+17.22%	0.2299	✗	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.08165	0.080188	-1.79%	0.12225	+49.72%	0.4334	✗	1.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.09102	0.089362	-1.82%	0.11709	+28.64%	0.3153	✗	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.12056	0.116102	-3.70%	0.134925	+11.92%	0.1830	✗	1.00
2026-09-04	oos	0.08412	0.083084	-1.23%	0.125765	+49.51%	0.4460	✗	1.00
2026-09-03	oos	0.09631	0.094761	-1.61%	0.12138	+26.03%	0.3075	✗	1.00
2026-09-02	oos	0.07782	0.076903	-1.18%	0.078585	+0.98%	0.0091	✓	1.00
2026-09-01	oos	0.08336	0.082167	-1.43%	0.102125	+22.51%	0.2040	✗	1.00
2026-08-31	oos	0.10287	0.100178	-2.62%	0.08165	-20.63%	0.2112	✓	1.00
2026-08-30	oos	0.10148	0.097412	-4.01%	0.09102	-10.31%	0.1017	✓	1.00
2026-08-29	oos	0.05494	0.055173	+0.42%	0.12056	+119.44%	0.7615	✓	1.00
2026-08-28	oos	0.05606	0.056214	+0.27%	0.08412	+50.05%	0.3798	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.