NIULAI
? · · gru_s0
- token id
- #227
- symbol
- NIULAI
- variant
- –
- chain
- address
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-19
- predictions
- 168
Track record at +30d
assessed
26
of 56 predictions shown
direction hit
92.3%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.3715
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0427
actual -0.3105
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | oos | 0.06274 | 0.059163 | -5.70% | – | pending | – | – | 1.54 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.062305 | 0.058644 | -5.88% | – | pending | – | – | 1.54 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.0625 | 0.058788 | -5.94% | – | pending | – | – | 1.55 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.05795 | 0.054451 | -6.04% | – | pending | – | – | 1.53 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.058765 | 0.055019 | -6.37% | – | pending | – | – | 1.53 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.059455 | 0.055705 | -6.31% | – | pending | – | – | 1.53 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.065015 | 0.060699 | -6.64% | – | pending | – | – | 1.52 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.06738 | 0.062617 | -7.07% | – | pending | – | – | 1.51 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.06963 | 0.064606 | -7.22% | – | pending | – | – | 1.51 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.07463 | 0.069143 | -7.35% | – | pending | – | – | 1.48 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.07206 | 0.066685 | -7.46% | – | pending | – | – | 1.47 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.07927 | 0.07367 | -7.06% | – | pending | – | – | 1.40 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.080075 | 0.074375 | -7.12% | – | pending | – | – | 1.41 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.07419 | 0.068689 | -7.41% | – | pending | – | – | 1.41 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.0731 | 0.067677 | -7.42% | – | pending | – | – | 1.41 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.071685 | 0.066505 | -7.23% | – | pending | – | – | 1.44 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.079075 | 0.074574 | -5.69% | – | pending | – | – | 1.36 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.0768 | 0.072416 | -5.71% | – | pending | – | – | 1.36 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.08235 | 0.078449 | -4.74% | – | pending | – | – | 1.32 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.08011 | 0.075623 | -5.60% | – | pending | – | – | 1.33 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.08755 | 0.083104 | -5.08% | – | pending | – | – | 1.32 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.09927 | 0.09489 | -4.41% | – | pending | – | – | 1.27 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.104825 | 0.099872 | -4.72% | – | pending | – | – | 1.32 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.10513 | 0.100201 | -4.69% | – | pending | – | – | 1.31 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.115845 | 0.110459 | -4.65% | – | pending | – | – | 1.30 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.10403 | 0.099543 | -4.31% | – | pending | – | – | 1.38 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.10584 | 0.101297 | -4.29% | – | pending | – | – | 1.37 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.104305 | 0.099736 | -4.38% | – | pending | – | – | 1.37 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.10064 | 0.096349 | -4.26% | – | pending | – | – | 1.38 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.10741 | 0.102981 | -4.12% | – | pending | – | – | 1.36 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.112325 | 0.108428 | -3.47% | 0.06274 | -44.14% | 0.5167 | ✓ | 1.31 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.10777 | 0.104249 | -3.27% | 0.062305 | -42.19% | 0.4749 | ✓ | 1.32 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.10109 | 0.095848 | -5.19% | 0.0625 | -38.17% | 0.4594 | ✓ | 1.47 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.107915 | 0.102491 | -5.03% | 0.05795 | -46.30% | 0.5808 | ✓ | 1.44 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.11962 | 0.113367 | -5.23% | 0.058765 | -50.87% | 0.6770 | ✓ | 1.43 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.10627 | 0.098903 | -6.93% | 0.059455 | -44.05% | 0.5728 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.10055 | 0.093505 | -7.01% | 0.065015 | -35.34% | 0.4314 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.11971 | 0.110985 | -7.29% | 0.06738 | -43.71% | 0.5820 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.12225 | 0.114675 | -6.20% | 0.06963 | -43.04% | 0.5414 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.11709 | 0.109388 | -6.58% | 0.07463 | -36.26% | 0.4612 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.134925 | 0.125492 | -6.99% | 0.07206 | -46.59% | 0.6111 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.125765 | 0.117377 | -6.67% | 0.07927 | -36.97% | 0.4730 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.12138 | 0.112703 | -7.15% | 0.080075 | -34.03% | 0.4218 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.078585 | 0.075772 | -3.58% | 0.07419 | -5.59% | 0.0741 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.102125 | 0.097543 | -4.49% | 0.0731 | -28.42% | 0.3290 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.08165 | 0.079204 | -3.00% | 0.071685 | -12.20% | 0.1513 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.09102 | 0.088566 | -2.70% | 0.079075 | -13.12% | 0.1761 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.12056 | 0.115079 | -4.55% | 0.0768 | -36.30% | 0.4759 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.08412 | 0.082404 | -2.04% | 0.08235 | -2.10% | 0.0829 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.09631 | 0.094423 | -1.96% | 0.08011 | -16.82% | 0.2063 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.07782 | 0.076129 | -2.17% | 0.08755 | +12.50% | 0.0508 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.08336 | 0.081556 | -2.16% | 0.09927 | +19.09% | 0.1047 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.10287 | 0.099822 | -2.96% | 0.104825 | +1.90% | 0.0127 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 0.10148 | 0.097475 | -3.95% | 0.10513 | +3.60% | 0.0015 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 0.05494 | 0.055664 | +1.32% | 0.115845 | +110.86% | 0.6683 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-28 | oos | 0.05606 | 0.056815 | +1.35% | 0.10403 | +85.57% | 0.5232 | ✓ | 1.00 |