NIULAI

? · · gru_s0

token id: #227
symbol: NIULAI
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-19
predictions: 165

Track record at +1d

assessed

54

of 55 predictions shown

direction hit

61.1%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0925

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0069

actual +0.0006

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.06254	0.062159	-0.61%	–	pending	–	–	1.55
2026-10-20	oos	0.0625	0.062087	-0.66%	0.06254	+0.06%	0.0118	✗	1.55
2026-10-19	oos	0.05795	0.057709	-0.42%	0.0625	+7.85%	0.0593	✗	1.53
2026-10-18	oos	0.058765	0.058534	-0.39%	0.05795	-1.39%	0.0069	✓	1.53
2026-10-17	oos	0.059455	0.059303	-0.26%	0.058765	-1.16%	0.0209	✓	1.53
2026-10-16	oos	0.065015	0.064818	-0.30%	0.059455	-8.55%	0.0842	✓	1.52
2026-10-15	oos	0.06738	0.067185	-0.29%	0.065015	-3.51%	0.0213	✓	1.51
2026-10-14	oos	0.06963	0.069473	-0.23%	0.06738	-3.23%	0.0409	✓	1.51
2026-10-13	oos	0.07463	0.074337	-0.39%	0.06963	-6.70%	0.0379	✓	1.48
2026-10-12	oos	0.07206	0.071988	-0.10%	0.07463	+3.57%	0.0117	✗	1.47
2026-10-11	oos	0.07927	0.078971	-0.38%	0.07206	-9.10%	0.0588	✓	1.40
2026-10-10	oos	0.080075	0.079788	-0.36%	0.07927	-1.01%	0.0195	✓	1.41
2026-10-09	oos	0.07419	0.07422	+0.04%	0.080075	+7.93%	0.0697	✓	1.41
2026-10-08	oos	0.0731	0.073249	+0.20%	0.07419	+1.49%	0.0018	✓	1.41
2026-10-07	oos	0.071685	0.071834	+0.21%	0.0731	+1.97%	0.0452	✓	1.44
2026-10-06	oos	0.079075	0.078881	-0.25%	0.071685	-9.35%	0.0593	✓	1.36
2026-10-05	oos	0.0768	0.076681	-0.15%	0.079075	+2.96%	0.0341	✗	1.36
2026-10-04	oos	0.08235	0.082088	-0.32%	0.0768	-6.74%	0.0549	✓	1.32
2026-10-03	oos	0.08011	0.079964	-0.18%	0.08235	+2.80%	0.0020	✗	1.33
2026-10-02	oos	0.08755	0.087286	-0.30%	0.08011	-8.50%	0.0895	✓	1.32
2026-10-01	oos	0.09927	0.098831	-0.44%	0.08755	-11.81%	0.1160	✓	1.27
2026-09-30	oos	0.104825	0.104275	-0.52%	0.09927	-5.30%	0.0694	✓	1.32
2026-09-29	oos	0.10513	0.104581	-0.52%	0.104825	-0.29%	0.0036	✓	1.31
2026-09-28	oos	0.115845	0.114959	-0.77%	0.10513	-9.25%	0.0922	✓	1.30
2026-09-27	oos	0.10403	0.103457	-0.55%	0.115845	+11.36%	0.1296	✗	1.38
2026-09-26	oos	0.10584	0.105218	-0.59%	0.10403	-1.71%	0.0121	✓	1.37
2026-09-25	oos	0.104305	0.103694	-0.59%	0.10584	+1.47%	0.0152	✗	1.37
2026-09-24	oos	0.10064	0.100121	-0.52%	0.104305	+3.64%	0.0457	✗	1.38
2026-09-23	oos	0.10741	0.106776	-0.59%	0.10064	-6.30%	0.0593	✓	1.36
2026-09-22	oos	0.112325	0.111613	-0.63%	0.10741	-4.38%	0.0104	✓	1.31
2026-09-21	oos	0.10777	0.107135	-0.59%	0.112325	+4.23%	0.0534	✗	1.32
2026-09-20	oos	0.10109	0.100482	-0.60%	0.10777	+6.61%	0.0250	✓	1.47
2026-09-19	oos	0.107915	0.107198	-0.66%	0.10109	-6.32%	0.0574	✓	1.44
2026-09-18	oos	0.11962	0.118497	-0.94%	0.107915	-9.79%	0.0999	✓	1.43
2026-09-17	oos	0.10627	0.105443	-0.78%	0.11962	+12.56%	0.0686	✗	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.10055	0.099934	-0.61%	0.10627	+5.69%	0.0588	✗	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.11971	0.118656	-0.88%	0.10055	-16.01%	0.1730	✓	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.12225	0.121072	-0.96%	0.11971	-2.08%	0.0224	✗	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.11709	0.116135	-0.82%	0.12225	+4.41%	0.0336	✗	1.00
2026-09-12	oos	0.134925	0.133296	-1.21%	0.11709	-13.22%	0.1236	✓	1.00
2026-09-11	oos	0.125765	0.124226	-1.22%	0.134925	+7.28%	0.0819	✗	1.00
2026-09-10	oos	0.12138	0.118633	-2.26%	0.125765	+3.61%	0.0496	✗	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.078585	0.078288	-0.38%	0.12138	+54.46%	0.4611	✗	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.102125	0.100933	-1.17%	0.078585	-23.05%	0.2482	✓	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.08165	0.081247	-0.49%	0.102125	+25.08%	0.2369	✗	1.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.09102	0.09039	-0.69%	0.08165	-10.29%	0.0860	✓	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.12056	0.118195	-1.96%	0.09102	-24.50%	0.2676	✓	1.00
2026-09-04	oos	0.08412	0.083564	-0.66%	0.12056	+43.32%	0.3646	✗	1.00
2026-09-03	oos	0.09631	0.095213	-1.14%	0.08412	-12.66%	0.1041	✓	1.00
2026-09-02	oos	0.07782	0.077314	-0.65%	0.09631	+23.76%	0.1698	✗	1.00
2026-09-01	oos	0.08336	0.082652	-0.85%	0.07782	-6.65%	0.0591	✓	1.00
2026-08-31	oos	0.10287	0.100982	-1.84%	0.08336	-18.97%	0.1768	✓	1.00
2026-08-30	oos	0.10148	0.097146	-4.27%	0.10287	+1.37%	0.0458	✗	1.00
2026-08-29	oos	0.05494	0.054659	-0.51%	0.10148	+84.71%	0.6260	✗	1.00
2026-08-28	oos	0.05606	0.055657	-0.72%	0.05494	-2.00%	0.0180	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.