MEGA

MegaETH · Megaeth · gru_s0

token id: #156
symbol: MEGA
variant: –
chain: Megaeth
address: 0x28b7e77f82b25b95953825f1e3ea0e36c1c29861
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-04-30
predictions: 498

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

159

of 166 predictions shown

direction hit

71.7%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0829

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0086

actual -0.0435

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.04289	0.042331	-1.30%	–	pending	–	–	1.55
2026-10-20	oos	0.043355	0.042842	-1.18%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-19	oos	0.04405	0.043463	-1.33%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-18	oos	0.043835	0.043278	-1.27%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-17	oos	0.045285	0.044666	-1.37%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-16	oos	0.046835	0.046177	-1.41%	–	pending	–	–	1.53
2026-10-15	oos	0.04549	0.044913	-1.27%	–	pending	–	–	1.55
2026-10-14	oos	0.04571	0.045107	-1.32%	0.04289	-6.17%	0.0718	✓	1.55
2026-10-13	oos	0.04441	0.04398	-0.97%	0.043355	-2.38%	0.0112	✓	1.60
2026-10-12	oos	0.04366	0.04316	-1.15%	0.04405	+0.89%	0.0186	✗	1.60
2026-10-11	oos	0.04673	0.046138	-1.27%	0.043835	-6.20%	0.0199	✓	1.55
2026-10-10	oos	0.04303	0.042619	-0.96%	0.045285	+5.24%	0.0885	✗	1.49
2026-10-09	oos	0.04147	0.041105	-0.88%	0.046835	+12.94%	0.1495	✗	1.49
2026-10-08	oos	0.041015	0.040637	-0.92%	0.04549	+10.91%	0.1050	✗	1.49
2026-10-07	oos	0.044345	0.043962	-0.86%	0.04571	+3.08%	0.0692	✗	1.46
2026-10-06	oos	0.04624	0.045927	-0.68%	0.04441	-3.96%	0.0086	✗	1.46
2026-10-05	oos	0.05004	0.049513	-1.05%	0.04366	-12.75%	0.0557	✓	1.46
2026-10-04	oos	0.049155	0.048751	-0.82%	0.04673	-4.93%	0.0062	✓	1.46
2026-10-03	oos	0.049975	0.049413	-1.12%	0.04303	-13.90%	0.1060	✓	1.48
2026-10-02	oos	0.04632	0.04592	-0.86%	0.04147	-10.47%	0.0673	✓	1.47
2026-10-01	oos	0.050135	0.049101	-2.06%	0.041015	-18.19%	0.1245	✓	1.46
2026-09-30	oos	0.04177	0.041568	-0.48%	0.044345	+6.16%	0.0694	✗	1.41
2026-09-29	oos	0.04198	0.041821	-0.38%	0.04624	+10.15%	0.0678	✗	1.45
2026-09-28	oos	0.042205	0.042063	-0.34%	0.05004	+18.56%	0.1348	✗	1.43
2026-09-27	oos	0.0439	0.043772	-0.29%	0.049155	+11.97%	0.0815	✗	1.44
2026-09-26	oos	0.04483	0.044691	-0.31%	0.049975	+11.48%	0.1062	✗	1.45
2026-09-25	oos	0.046525	0.046314	-0.45%	0.04632	-0.44%	0.0070	✓	1.45
2026-09-24	oos	0.04491	0.04483	-0.18%	0.050135	+11.63%	0.1039	✗	1.46
2026-09-23	oos	0.04363	0.043647	+0.04%	0.04177	-4.26%	0.0296	✗	1.46
2026-09-22	oos	0.046545	0.046506	-0.08%	0.04198	-9.81%	0.0579	✓	1.48
2026-09-21	oos	0.045275	0.045278	+0.01%	0.042205	-6.78%	0.0141	✗	1.52
2026-09-20	oos	0.04299	0.0428	-0.44%	0.0439	+2.12%	0.0371	✓	1.57
2026-09-19	oos	0.042385	0.042225	-0.38%	0.04483	+5.77%	0.0003	✓	1.56
2026-09-18	oos	0.04088	0.04075	-0.32%	0.046525	+13.81%	0.0728	✗	1.53
2026-09-17	oos	0.03529	0.035289	-0.00%	0.04491	+27.26%	0.1008	✗	1.40
2026-09-16	oos	0.03452	0.034607	+0.25%	0.04363	+26.39%	0.0899	✓	1.38
2026-09-15	oos	0.03408	0.034198	+0.35%	0.046545	+36.58%	0.1404	✓	1.28
2026-09-14	oos	0.03571	0.035878	+0.47%	0.045275	+26.79%	0.1030	✓	1.27
2026-09-13	oos	0.03547	0.035608	+0.39%	0.04299	+21.20%	0.1177	✓	1.28
2026-09-12	oos	0.037075	0.037214	+0.37%	0.042385	+14.32%	0.0668	✓	1.26
2026-09-11	oos	0.037625	0.037782	+0.42%	0.04088	+8.65%	0.0205	✓	1.26
2026-09-10	oos	0.036865	0.037059	+0.53%	0.03529	-4.27%	0.0456	✗	1.36
2026-09-09	oos	0.038645	0.03892	+0.71%	0.03452	-10.67%	0.0827	✗	1.35
2026-09-08	oos	0.042145	0.042234	+0.21%	0.03408	-19.14%	0.1635	✗	1.37
2026-09-07	oos	0.04017	0.040408	+0.59%	0.03571	-11.10%	0.1071	✗	1.41
2026-09-06	oos	0.03958	0.039921	+0.86%	0.03547	-10.38%	0.0527	✗	1.45
2026-09-05	oos	0.04015	0.040429	+0.69%	0.037075	-7.66%	0.0393	✗	1.45
2026-09-04	oos	0.03859	0.038946	+0.92%	0.037625	-2.50%	0.0121	✓	1.48
2026-09-03	oos	0.04007	0.040473	+1.01%	0.036865	-8.00%	0.0044	✓	1.48
2026-09-02	oos	0.03669	0.036927	+0.65%	0.038645	+5.33%	0.0268	✓	1.48
2026-09-01	oos	0.03744	0.037635	+0.52%	0.042145	+12.57%	0.0931	✓	1.49
2026-08-31	oos	0.03794	0.038204	+0.70%	0.04017	+5.88%	0.0406	✓	1.43
2026-08-30	oos	0.036695	0.036921	+0.62%	0.03958	+7.86%	0.0228	✓	1.38
2026-08-29	oos	0.03841	0.038656	+0.64%	0.04015	+4.53%	0.0104	✓	1.36
2026-08-28	oos	0.03741	0.037671	+0.70%	0.03859	+3.15%	0.0076	✗	1.36
2026-08-27	oos	0.03913	0.039576	+1.14%	0.04007	+2.40%	0.0043	✓	1.37
2026-08-26	oos	0.03951	0.039864	+0.90%	0.03669	-7.14%	0.0527	✗	1.38
2026-08-25	oos	0.0389	0.039248	+0.90%	0.03744	-3.75%	0.0271	✗	1.39
2026-08-24	oos	0.04019	0.040553	+0.90%	0.03794	-5.60%	0.0593	✗	1.37
2026-08-23	oos	0.04286	0.043036	+0.41%	0.036695	-14.38%	0.1582	✗	1.42
2026-08-22	oos	0.04024	0.040437	+0.49%	0.03841	-4.55%	0.0728	✗	1.41
2026-08-21	oos	0.04248	0.042658	+0.42%	0.03741	-11.94%	0.1226	✗	1.40
2026-08-20	oos	0.03781	0.037587	-0.59%	0.03913	+3.49%	0.0865	✓	1.34
2026-08-19	oos	0.03489	0.034371	-1.49%	0.03951	+13.24%	0.0359	✓	1.33
2026-08-18	oos	0.03205	0.031332	-2.24%	0.0389	+21.37%	0.0433	✓	1.34
2026-08-17	oos	0.0322	0.031449	-2.33%	0.04019	+24.81%	0.0265	✓	1.34
2026-08-16	oos	0.03155	0.030853	-2.21%	0.04286	+35.85%	0.0424	✗	1.35
2026-08-15	oos	0.03123	0.030586	-2.06%	0.04024	+28.85%	0.0028	✓	1.35
2026-08-14	oos	0.03115	0.030537	-1.97%	0.04248	+36.37%	0.0353	✗	1.35
2026-08-13	oos	0.032655	0.032021	-1.94%	0.03781	+15.79%	0.0259	✓	1.36
2026-08-12	oos	0.03322	0.032577	-1.93%	0.03489	+5.03%	0.0531	✓	1.37
2026-08-11	oos	0.03314	0.032502	-1.93%	0.03205	-3.29%	0.0385	✓	1.37
2026-08-10	oos	0.0364	0.035608	-2.18%	0.0322	-11.54%	0.1127	✓	1.37
2026-08-09	oos	0.03598	0.035132	-2.36%	0.03155	-12.31%	0.0631	✓	1.41
2026-08-08	oos	0.036165	0.035271	-2.47%	0.03123	-13.65%	0.0799	✓	1.41
2026-08-07	oos	0.03528	0.034372	-2.57%	0.03115	-11.71%	0.0562	✓	1.41
2026-08-06	oos	0.03555	0.034604	-2.66%	0.032655	-8.14%	0.0393	✓	1.42
2026-08-05	oos	0.03607	0.03507	-2.77%	0.03322	-7.90%	0.0277	✓	1.42
2026-08-04	oos	0.03584	0.034868	-2.71%	0.03314	-7.53%	0.0392	✓	1.43
2026-08-03	oos	0.03669	0.03571	-2.67%	0.0364	-0.79%	0.0091	✓	1.43
2026-08-02	oos	0.03651	0.035566	-2.58%	0.03598	-1.45%	0.0186	✓	1.43
2026-08-01	oos	0.0365	0.03564	-2.36%	0.036165	-0.92%	0.0337	✓	1.44
2026-07-31	oos	0.03654	0.03576	-2.13%	0.03528	-3.45%	0.0599	✓	1.43
2026-07-30	oos	0.037	0.036317	-1.85%	0.03555	-3.92%	0.0112	✓	1.44
2026-07-29	oos	0.036395	0.035819	-1.58%	0.03607	-0.89%	0.0081	✓	1.37
2026-07-28	oos	0.03957	0.038986	-1.48%	0.03584	-9.43%	0.0885	✓	1.37
2026-07-27	oos	0.03972	0.03921	-1.28%	0.03669	-7.63%	0.0615	✓	1.37
2026-07-26	oos	0.04325	0.042776	-1.10%	0.03651	-15.58%	0.1200	✓	1.34
2026-07-25	oos	0.042525	0.042101	-1.00%	0.0365	-14.17%	0.1105	✓	1.34
2026-07-24	oos	0.04349	0.043088	-0.92%	0.03654	-15.98%	0.1382	✓	1.34
2026-07-23	oos	0.043165	0.042878	-0.66%	0.037	-14.28%	0.1405	✓	1.36
2026-07-22	oos	0.04369	0.043495	-0.45%	0.036395	-16.70%	0.1320	✓	1.37
2026-07-21	oos	0.04336	0.043213	-0.34%	0.03957	-8.74%	0.0317	✓	1.38
2026-07-20	oos	0.04278	0.042619	-0.38%	0.03972	-7.15%	0.0380	✓	1.38
2026-07-19	oos	0.04405	0.043849	-0.46%	0.04325	-1.82%	0.0278	✓	1.39
2026-07-18	oos	0.04448	0.044318	-0.36%	0.042525	-4.40%	0.0305	✓	1.39
2026-07-17	oos	0.0433	0.04315	-0.35%	0.04349	+0.44%	0.0038	✗	1.37
2026-07-16	oos	0.0461	0.045901	-0.43%	0.043165	-6.37%	0.0889	✓	1.38
2026-07-15	oos	0.048025	0.047821	-0.43%	0.04369	-9.03%	0.1192	✓	1.38
2026-07-14	oos	0.04904	0.048803	-0.48%	0.04336	-11.58%	0.1503	✓	1.38
2026-07-13	oos	0.04726	0.04693	-0.70%	0.04278	-9.48%	0.1570	✓	1.39
2026-07-12	oos	0.046095	0.045845	-0.54%	0.04405	-4.44%	0.0612	✓	1.45
2026-07-11	oos	0.04668	0.046434	-0.53%	0.04448	-4.71%	0.0661	✓	1.45
2026-07-10	oos	0.04743	0.047199	-0.49%	0.0433	-8.71%	0.0809	✓	1.45
2026-07-09	oos	0.04796	0.047717	-0.51%	0.0461	-3.88%	0.0482	✓	1.47
2026-07-08	oos	0.04733	0.047081	-0.53%	0.048025	+1.47%	0.0372	✓	1.46
2026-07-07	oos	0.05032	0.050009	-0.62%	0.04904	-2.54%	0.0572	✓	1.45
2026-07-06	oos	0.04941	0.049131	-0.56%	0.04726	-4.35%	0.0015	✓	1.46
2026-07-05	oos	0.05132	0.050991	-0.64%	0.046095	-10.18%	0.1046	✓	1.48
2026-07-04	oos	0.05242	0.052032	-0.74%	0.04668	-10.95%	0.1246	✓	1.49
2026-07-03	oos	0.05103	0.050657	-0.73%	0.04743	-7.05%	0.1032	✓	1.47
2026-07-02	oos	0.04957	0.049204	-0.74%	0.04796	-3.25%	0.0651	✓	1.46
2026-07-01	oos	0.04514	0.044892	-0.55%	0.04733	+4.85%	0.0020	✓	1.37
2026-06-30	oos	0.04523	0.044956	-0.61%	0.05032	+11.25%	0.0031	✓	1.39
2026-06-29	oos	0.04809	0.04774	-0.73%	0.04941	+2.74%	0.0511	✓	1.38
2026-06-28	oos	0.04569	0.045399	-0.64%	0.05132	+12.32%	0.0328	✗	1.34
2026-06-27	oos	0.04725	0.046961	-0.61%	0.05242	+10.94%	0.0411	✗	1.34
2026-06-26	oos	0.04671	0.04648	-0.49%	0.05103	+9.25%	0.0384	✗	1.34
2026-06-25	oos	0.04651	0.046333	-0.38%	0.04957	+6.58%	0.0284	✗	1.33
2026-06-24	oos	0.05069	0.050424	-0.53%	0.04514	-10.95%	0.0888	✓	1.30
2026-06-23	oos	0.05551	0.055065	-0.80%	0.04523	-18.52%	0.1115	✓	1.25
2026-06-22	oos	0.055825	0.055339	-0.87%	0.04809	-13.86%	0.0620	✓	1.28
2026-06-21	oos	0.05648	0.055969	-0.91%	0.04569	-19.10%	0.1237	✓	1.29
2026-06-20	oos	0.0547	0.054231	-0.86%	0.04725	-13.62%	0.0456	✓	1.33
2026-06-19	oos	0.05704	0.056487	-0.97%	0.04671	-18.11%	0.1132	✓	1.37
2026-06-18	oos	0.06217	0.06128	-1.43%	0.04651	-25.19%	0.2020	✓	1.42
2026-06-17	oos	0.05711	0.05645	-1.16%	0.05069	-11.24%	0.0206	✓	1.58
2026-06-16	oos	0.05749	0.056721	-1.34%	0.05551	-3.44%	0.0529	✗	1.61
2026-06-15	oos	0.06028	0.059256	-1.70%	0.055825	-7.39%	0.0024	✓	1.60
2026-06-14	oos	0.06287	0.061425	-2.30%	0.05648	-10.16%	0.0215	✓	1.63
2026-06-13	oos	0.06271	0.060845	-2.97%	0.0547	-12.77%	0.1012	✓	1.65
2026-06-12	oos	0.04665	0.046251	-0.85%	0.05704	+22.27%	0.2110	✗	1.34
2026-06-11	oos	0.04609	0.04569	-0.87%	0.06217	+34.89%	0.3224	✗	1.33
2026-06-10	oos	0.04252	0.042422	-0.23%	0.05711	+34.31%	0.2408	✗	1.19
2026-06-09	oos	0.04721	0.046987	-0.47%	0.05749	+21.78%	0.1281	✗	1.19
2026-06-08	oos	0.0501	0.049631	-0.94%	0.06028	+20.32%	0.1356	✗	1.18
2026-06-07	oos	0.04848	0.048119	-0.74%	0.06287	+29.68%	0.2235	✗	1.18
2026-06-06	oos	0.0446	0.044791	+0.43%	0.06271	+40.61%	0.2814	✓	0.96
2026-06-05	oos	0.04611	0.046362	+0.55%	0.04665	+1.17%	0.0326	✗	0.96
2026-06-04	oos	0.05057	0.050435	-0.27%	0.04609	-8.86%	0.0867	✓	0.90
2026-06-03	oos	0.05429	0.054079	-0.39%	0.04252	-21.68%	0.2031	✓	0.90
2026-06-02	oos	0.05456	0.054114	-0.82%	0.04721	-13.47%	0.0509	✓	1.10
2026-06-01	oos	0.05913	0.057793	-2.26%	0.0501	-15.27%	0.0215	✓	1.34
2026-05-31	oos	0.06097	0.059296	-2.74%	0.04848	-20.49%	0.0317	✗	1.55
2026-05-30	oos	0.06306	0.061379	-2.67%	0.0446	-29.27%	0.0209	✓	1.55
2026-05-29	oos	0.061625	0.060356	-2.06%	0.04611	-25.18%	0.0852	✓	1.00
2026-05-28	oos	0.0634	0.062203	-1.89%	0.05057	-20.24%	0.0654	✓	1.00
2026-05-27	oos	0.06753	0.066154	-2.04%	0.05429	-19.61%	0.0488	✓	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.0677	0.066309	-2.05%	0.05456	-19.41%	0.0662	✓	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.073915	0.072012	-2.57%	0.05913	-20.00%	0.1172	✓	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.07738	0.075476	-2.46%	0.06097	-21.21%	0.1682	✓	1.00
2026-05-23	oos	0.08015	0.07831	-2.30%	0.06306	-21.32%	0.1783	✓	1.00
2026-05-22	oos	0.08032	0.078855	-1.82%	0.061625	-23.28%	0.2186	✓	1.00
2026-05-21	oos	0.087	0.084817	-2.51%	0.0634	-27.13%	0.2376	✓	1.00
2026-05-20	oos	0.081605	0.080045	-1.91%	0.06753	-17.25%	0.1284	✓	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	0.08112	0.079766	-1.67%	0.0677	-16.54%	0.1517	✓	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	0.086	0.084524	-1.72%	0.073915	-14.05%	0.1381	✓	1.00
2026-05-17	oos	0.08994	0.088393	-1.72%	0.07738	-13.96%	0.1275	✓	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.09273	0.091259	-1.59%	0.08015	-13.57%	0.1110	✓	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.10026	0.098846	-1.41%	0.08032	-19.89%	0.1607	✓	1.00
2026-05-14	oos	0.10538	0.104309	-1.02%	0.087	-17.44%	0.1369	✓	1.00
2026-05-13	oos	0.10337	0.102077	-1.25%	0.081605	-21.06%	0.2007	✓	1.00
2026-05-12	oos	0.10977	0.10874	-0.94%	0.08112	-26.10%	0.2457	✓	1.00
2026-05-11	oos	0.11857	0.117742	-0.70%	0.086	-27.47%	0.2538	✓	1.00
2026-05-10	oos	0.12692	0.126063	-0.67%	0.08994	-29.14%	0.2776	✓	1.00
2026-05-09	oos	0.12551	0.124381	-0.90%	0.09273	-26.12%	0.2615	✓	1.00