MEGA

MegaETH · Megaeth · gru_s0

token id: #156
symbol: MEGA
variant: –
chain: Megaeth
address: 0x28b7e77f82b25b95953825f1e3ea0e36c1c29861
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-04-30
predictions: 501

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +30d

assessed

137

of 167 predictions shown

direction hit

86.1%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1728

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0287

actual -0.1607

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.04613	0.044584	-3.35%	–	pending	–	–	1.58
2026-10-21	oos	0.04599	0.044573	-3.08%	–	pending	–	–	1.56
2026-10-20	oos	0.043355	0.041911	-3.33%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-19	oos	0.04405	0.042387	-3.78%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-18	oos	0.043835	0.042311	-3.48%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-17	oos	0.045285	0.04356	-3.81%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-16	oos	0.046835	0.045077	-3.75%	–	pending	–	–	1.53
2026-10-15	oos	0.04549	0.044037	-3.19%	–	pending	–	–	1.55
2026-10-14	oos	0.04571	0.04405	-3.63%	–	pending	–	–	1.55
2026-10-13	oos	0.04441	0.043187	-2.75%	–	pending	–	–	1.60
2026-10-12	oos	0.04366	0.042174	-3.40%	–	pending	–	–	1.60
2026-10-11	oos	0.04673	0.045483	-2.67%	–	pending	–	–	1.55
2026-10-10	oos	0.04303	0.041832	-2.78%	–	pending	–	–	1.49
2026-10-09	oos	0.04147	0.040323	-2.77%	–	pending	–	–	1.49
2026-10-08	oos	0.041015	0.039738	-3.11%	–	pending	–	–	1.49
2026-10-07	oos	0.044345	0.043227	-2.52%	–	pending	–	–	1.46
2026-10-06	oos	0.04624	0.045422	-1.77%	–	pending	–	–	1.46
2026-10-05	oos	0.05004	0.048864	-2.35%	–	pending	–	–	1.46
2026-10-04	oos	0.049155	0.048264	-1.81%	–	pending	–	–	1.46
2026-10-03	oos	0.049975	0.048749	-2.45%	–	pending	–	–	1.48
2026-10-02	oos	0.04632	0.045577	-1.60%	–	pending	–	–	1.47
2026-10-01	oos	0.050135	0.049033	-2.20%	–	pending	–	–	1.46
2026-09-30	oos	0.04177	0.041236	-1.28%	–	pending	–	–	1.41
2026-09-29	oos	0.04198	0.04159	-0.93%	–	pending	–	–	1.45
2026-09-28	oos	0.042205	0.041938	-0.63%	–	pending	–	–	1.43
2026-09-27	oos	0.0439	0.043742	-0.36%	–	pending	–	–	1.44
2026-09-26	oos	0.04483	0.044647	-0.41%	–	pending	–	–	1.45
2026-09-25	oos	0.046525	0.046337	-0.40%	–	pending	–	–	1.45
2026-09-24	oos	0.04491	0.045045	+0.30%	–	pending	–	–	1.46
2026-09-23	oos	0.04363	0.044069	+1.01%	–	pending	–	–	1.46
2026-09-22	oos	0.046545	0.047187	+1.38%	0.04613	-0.89%	0.0117	✓	1.48
2026-09-21	oos	0.045275	0.046211	+2.07%	0.04599	+1.58%	0.0410	✓	1.52
2026-09-20	oos	0.04299	0.042783	-0.48%	0.043355	+0.85%	0.0207	✓	1.57
2026-09-19	oos	0.042385	0.042368	-0.04%	0.04405	+3.93%	0.0274	✗	1.56
2026-09-18	oos	0.04088	0.041055	+0.43%	0.043835	+7.23%	0.0442	✓	1.53
2026-09-17	oos	0.03529	0.034979	-0.88%	0.045285	+28.32%	0.1687	✗	1.40
2026-09-16	oos	0.03452	0.034403	-0.34%	0.046835	+35.67%	0.2146	✗	1.38
2026-09-15	oos	0.03408	0.033937	-0.42%	0.04549	+33.48%	0.1870	✗	1.28
2026-09-14	oos	0.03571	0.036019	+0.87%	0.04571	+28.00%	0.1845	✓	1.27
2026-09-13	oos	0.03547	0.035507	+0.10%	0.04441	+25.20%	0.1227	✓	1.28
2026-09-12	oos	0.037075	0.037214	+0.37%	0.04366	+17.76%	0.0885	✓	1.26
2026-09-11	oos	0.037625	0.037847	+0.59%	0.04673	+24.20%	0.1097	✓	1.26
2026-09-10	oos	0.036865	0.037117	+0.68%	0.04303	+16.72%	0.0393	✓	1.36
2026-09-09	oos	0.038645	0.039404	+1.96%	0.04147	+7.31%	0.0202	✗	1.35
2026-09-08	oos	0.042145	0.042626	+1.14%	0.041015	-2.68%	0.0942	✗	1.37
2026-09-07	oos	0.04017	0.040975	+2.00%	0.044345	+10.39%	0.0062	✓	1.41
2026-09-06	oos	0.03958	0.04074	+2.93%	0.04624	+16.83%	0.0355	✓	1.45
2026-09-05	oos	0.04015	0.041133	+2.45%	0.05004	+24.63%	0.0926	✓	1.45
2026-09-04	oos	0.03859	0.039839	+3.24%	0.049155	+27.38%	0.0882	✓	1.48
2026-09-03	oos	0.04007	0.041772	+4.25%	0.049975	+24.72%	0.1171	✓	1.48
2026-09-02	oos	0.03669	0.037368	+1.85%	0.04632	+26.25%	0.0827	✓	1.48
2026-09-01	oos	0.03744	0.038054	+1.64%	0.050135	+33.91%	0.1386	✓	1.49
2026-08-31	oos	0.03794	0.038882	+2.48%	0.04177	+10.09%	0.0163	✓	1.43
2026-08-30	oos	0.036695	0.037471	+2.11%	0.04198	+14.40%	0.0112	✓	1.38
2026-08-29	oos	0.03841	0.039356	+2.46%	0.042205	+9.88%	0.0181	✓	1.36
2026-08-28	oos	0.03741	0.038422	+2.70%	0.0439	+17.35%	0.0222	✓	1.36
2026-08-27	oos	0.03913	0.041021	+4.83%	0.04483	+14.57%	0.0201	✓	1.37
2026-08-26	oos	0.03951	0.041129	+4.10%	0.046525	+17.75%	0.0377	✓	1.38
2026-08-25	oos	0.0389	0.040541	+4.22%	0.04491	+15.45%	0.0026	✓	1.39
2026-08-24	oos	0.04019	0.042049	+4.63%	0.04363	+8.56%	0.0535	✗	1.37
2026-08-23	oos	0.04286	0.044307	+3.38%	0.046545	+8.60%	0.0980	✗	1.42
2026-08-22	oos	0.04024	0.041612	+3.41%	0.045275	+12.51%	0.0801	✗	1.41
2026-08-21	oos	0.04248	0.044319	+4.33%	0.04299	+1.20%	0.0800	✗	1.40
2026-08-20	oos	0.03781	0.037878	+0.18%	0.042385	+12.10%	0.0302	✗	1.34
2026-08-19	oos	0.03489	0.033786	-3.16%	0.04088	+17.17%	0.0156	✓	1.33
2026-08-18	oos	0.03205	0.030216	-5.72%	0.03529	+10.11%	0.0668	✓	1.34
2026-08-17	oos	0.0322	0.03033	-5.81%	0.03452	+7.20%	0.0934	✓	1.34
2026-08-16	oos	0.03155	0.029696	-5.88%	0.03408	+8.02%	0.1109	✓	1.35
2026-08-15	oos	0.03123	0.029415	-5.81%	0.03571	+14.35%	0.0971	✓	1.35
2026-08-14	oos	0.03115	0.029365	-5.73%	0.03547	+13.87%	0.0793	✓	1.35
2026-08-13	oos	0.032655	0.030864	-5.49%	0.037075	+13.54%	0.0860	✓	1.36
2026-08-12	oos	0.03322	0.031421	-5.42%	0.037625	+13.26%	0.0896	✓	1.37
2026-08-11	oos	0.03314	0.031294	-5.57%	0.036865	+11.24%	0.0910	✓	1.37
2026-08-10	oos	0.0364	0.034276	-5.83%	0.038645	+6.17%	0.1584	✓	1.37
2026-08-09	oos	0.03598	0.033754	-6.19%	0.042145	+17.13%	0.0463	✓	1.41
2026-08-08	oos	0.036165	0.033818	-6.49%	0.04017	+11.07%	0.1074	✓	1.41
2026-08-07	oos	0.03528	0.03289	-6.78%	0.03958	+12.19%	0.1154	✓	1.41
2026-08-06	oos	0.03555	0.033037	-7.07%	0.04015	+12.94%	0.1129	✓	1.42
2026-08-05	oos	0.03607	0.033426	-7.33%	0.03859	+6.99%	0.1548	✓	1.42
2026-08-04	oos	0.03584	0.033162	-7.47%	0.04007	+11.80%	0.1502	✓	1.43
2026-08-03	oos	0.03669	0.033955	-7.46%	0.03669	+0.00%	0.2050	✓	1.43
2026-08-02	oos	0.03651	0.033783	-7.47%	0.03744	+2.55%	0.1813	✓	1.43
2026-08-01	oos	0.0365	0.033812	-7.37%	0.03794	+3.95%	0.2075	✓	1.44
2026-07-31	oos	0.03654	0.033971	-7.03%	0.036695	+0.42%	0.2269	✓	1.43
2026-07-30	oos	0.037	0.034879	-5.73%	0.03841	+3.81%	0.1757	✓	1.44
2026-07-29	oos	0.036395	0.034397	-5.49%	0.03741	+2.79%	0.1861	✓	1.37
2026-07-28	oos	0.03957	0.03775	-4.60%	0.03913	-1.11%	0.2789	✓	1.37
2026-07-27	oos	0.03972	0.038016	-4.29%	0.03951	-0.53%	0.2578	✓	1.37
2026-07-26	oos	0.04325	0.041776	-3.41%	0.0389	-10.06%	0.3184	✓	1.34
2026-07-25	oos	0.042525	0.041129	-3.28%	0.04019	-5.49%	0.2986	✓	1.34
2026-07-24	oos	0.04349	0.042176	-3.02%	0.04286	-1.45%	0.2429	✓	1.34
2026-07-23	oos	0.043165	0.042186	-2.27%	0.04024	-6.78%	0.2775	✓	1.36
2026-07-22	oos	0.04369	0.042997	-1.59%	0.04248	-2.77%	0.2451	✓	1.37
2026-07-21	oos	0.04336	0.0428	-1.29%	0.03781	-12.80%	0.2522	✓	1.38
2026-07-20	oos	0.04278	0.042148	-1.48%	0.03489	-18.44%	0.2726	✓	1.38
2026-07-19	oos	0.04405	0.043297	-1.71%	0.03205	-27.24%	0.3008	✓	1.39
2026-07-18	oos	0.04448	0.04386	-1.39%	0.0322	-27.61%	0.3022	✓	1.39
2026-07-17	oos	0.0433	0.042665	-1.47%	0.03155	-27.14%	0.2789	✓	1.37
2026-07-16	oos	0.0461	0.045383	-1.56%	0.03123	-32.26%	0.3574	✓	1.38
2026-07-15	oos	0.048025	0.047343	-1.42%	0.03115	-35.14%	0.3810	✓	1.38
2026-07-14	oos	0.04904	0.048367	-1.37%	0.032655	-33.41%	0.3593	✓	1.38
2026-07-13	oos	0.04726	0.04625	-2.14%	0.03322	-29.71%	0.3563	✓	1.39
2026-07-12	oos	0.046095	0.045244	-1.85%	0.03314	-28.11%	0.3066	✓	1.45
2026-07-11	oos	0.04668	0.045861	-1.75%	0.0364	-22.02%	0.2342	✓	1.45
2026-07-10	oos	0.04743	0.046678	-1.58%	0.03598	-24.14%	0.2765	✓	1.45
2026-07-09	oos	0.04796	0.047181	-1.62%	0.036165	-24.59%	0.3056	✓	1.47
2026-07-08	oos	0.04733	0.046523	-1.71%	0.03528	-25.46%	0.3377	✓	1.46
2026-07-07	oos	0.05032	0.049414	-1.80%	0.03555	-29.35%	0.3507	✓	1.45
2026-07-06	oos	0.04941	0.048594	-1.65%	0.03607	-27.00%	0.3117	✓	1.46
2026-07-05	oos	0.05132	0.050412	-1.77%	0.03584	-30.16%	0.3520	✓	1.48
2026-07-04	oos	0.05242	0.051437	-1.88%	0.03669	-30.01%	0.3468	✓	1.49
2026-07-03	oos	0.05103	0.050061	-1.90%	0.03651	-28.45%	0.3385	✓	1.47
2026-07-02	oos	0.04957	0.04862	-1.92%	0.0365	-26.37%	0.3167	✓	1.46
2026-07-01	oos	0.04514	0.044353	-1.74%	0.03654	-19.05%	0.2575	✓	1.37
2026-06-30	oos	0.04523	0.044354	-1.94%	0.037	-18.20%	0.3212	✓	1.39
2026-06-29	oos	0.04809	0.047083	-2.09%	0.036395	-24.32%	0.3407	✓	1.38
2026-06-28	oos	0.04569	0.044756	-2.04%	0.03957	-13.39%	0.2185	✓	1.34
2026-06-27	oos	0.04725	0.046333	-1.94%	0.03972	-15.94%	0.2357	✓	1.34
2026-06-26	oos	0.04671	0.04594	-1.65%	0.04325	-7.41%	0.1745	✓	1.34
2026-06-25	oos	0.04651	0.045829	-1.46%	0.042525	-8.57%	0.1736	✓	1.33
2026-06-24	oos	0.05069	0.049861	-1.64%	0.04349	-14.20%	0.2011	✓	1.30
2026-06-23	oos	0.05551	0.05431	-2.16%	0.043165	-22.24%	0.2769	✓	1.25
2026-06-22	oos	0.055825	0.05455	-2.28%	0.04369	-21.74%	0.2642	✓	1.28
2026-06-21	oos	0.05648	0.055147	-2.36%	0.04336	-23.23%	0.3058	✓	1.29
2026-06-20	oos	0.0547	0.05343	-2.32%	0.04278	-21.79%	0.2427	✓	1.33
2026-06-19	oos	0.05704	0.055616	-2.50%	0.04405	-22.77%	0.2589	✓	1.37
2026-06-18	oos	0.06217	0.060185	-3.19%	0.04448	-28.45%	0.3452	✓	1.42
2026-06-17	oos	0.05711	0.055413	-2.97%	0.0433	-24.18%	0.2331	✓	1.58
2026-06-16	oos	0.05749	0.055582	-3.32%	0.0461	-19.81%	0.1412	✓	1.61
2026-06-15	oos	0.06028	0.057911	-3.93%	0.048025	-20.33%	0.1490	✓	1.60
2026-06-14	oos	0.06287	0.060015	-4.54%	0.04904	-22.00%	0.1841	✓	1.63
2026-06-13	oos	0.06271	0.059603	-4.95%	0.04726	-24.64%	0.1758	✓	1.65
2026-06-12	oos	0.04665	0.045476	-2.52%	0.046095	-1.19%	0.0093	✓	1.34
2026-06-11	oos	0.04609	0.044882	-2.62%	0.04668	+1.28%	0.0349	✗	1.33
2026-06-10	oos	0.04252	0.04176	-1.79%	0.04743	+11.55%	0.0767	✗	1.19
2026-06-09	oos	0.04721	0.046095	-2.36%	0.04796	+1.59%	0.0112	✓	1.19
2026-06-08	oos	0.0501	0.04846	-3.27%	0.04733	-5.53%	0.0080	✓	1.18
2026-06-07	oos	0.04848	0.04686	-3.34%	0.05032	+3.80%	0.0709	✗	1.18
2026-06-06	oos	0.0446	0.043549	-2.36%	0.04941	+10.78%	0.0776	✗	0.96
2026-06-05	oos	0.04611	0.044873	-2.68%	0.05132	+11.30%	0.0947	✗	0.96
2026-06-04	oos	0.05057	0.048515	-4.06%	0.05242	+3.66%	0.0876	✗	0.90
2026-06-03	oos	0.05429	0.051791	-4.60%	0.05103	-6.00%	0.0069	✓	0.90
2026-06-02	oos	0.05456	0.05146	-5.68%	0.04957	-9.15%	0.0518	✓	1.10
2026-06-01	oos	0.05913	0.054257	-8.24%	0.04514	-23.66%	0.0478	✓	1.34
2026-05-31	oos	0.06097	0.055181	-9.50%	0.04523	-25.82%	0.1559	✗	1.55
2026-05-30	oos	0.06306	0.056964	-9.67%	0.04809	-23.74%	0.1467	✗	1.55
2026-05-29	oos	0.061625	0.05597	-9.18%	0.04569	-25.86%	0.0070	✓	1.00
2026-05-28	oos	0.0634	0.057589	-9.17%	0.04725	-25.47%	0.0063	✓	1.00
2026-05-27	oos	0.06753	0.061076	-9.56%	0.04671	-30.83%	0.0542	✓	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.0677	0.061195	-9.61%	0.04651	-31.30%	0.0354	✓	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.073915	0.066742	-9.70%	0.05069	-31.42%	0.0387	✓	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.07738	0.070027	-9.50%	0.05551	-28.26%	0.0263	✓	1.00
2026-05-23	oos	0.08015	0.07272	-9.27%	0.055825	-30.35%	0.0833	✓	1.00
2026-05-22	oos	0.08032	0.072845	-9.31%	0.05648	-29.68%	0.0779	✓	1.00
2026-05-21	oos	0.087	0.079773	-8.31%	0.0547	-37.13%	0.1888	✓	1.00
2026-05-20	oos	0.081605	0.075223	-7.82%	0.05704	-30.10%	0.0774	✓	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	0.08112	0.07478	-7.82%	0.06217	-23.36%	0.0149	✓	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	0.086	0.079875	-7.12%	0.05711	-33.59%	0.1582	✓	1.00
2026-05-17	oos	0.08994	0.084125	-6.47%	0.05749	-36.08%	0.2154	✓	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.09273	0.087539	-5.60%	0.06028	-34.99%	0.2089	✓	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.10026	0.095674	-4.57%	0.06287	-37.29%	0.2349	✓	1.00
2026-05-14	oos	0.10538	0.102118	-3.10%	0.06271	-40.49%	0.2578	✓	1.00
2026-05-13	oos	0.10337	0.099202	-4.03%	0.04665	-54.87%	0.5330	✓	1.00
2026-05-12	oos	0.10977	0.106532	-2.95%	0.04609	-58.01%	0.6018	✓	1.00
2026-05-11	oos	0.11857	0.116197	-2.00%	0.04252	-64.14%	0.7201	✓	1.00
2026-05-10	oos	0.12692	0.124845	-1.63%	0.04721	-62.80%	0.6854	✓	1.00
2026-05-09	oos	0.12551	0.122546	-2.36%	0.0501	-60.08%	0.6484	✓	1.00