MEGA

MegaETH · Megaeth · gru_s0

token id: #156
symbol: MEGA
variant: –
chain: Megaeth
address: 0x28b7e77f82b25b95953825f1e3ea0e36c1c29861
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-04-30
predictions: 498

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

165

of 166 predictions shown

direction hit

63.6%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0326

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0030

actual -0.0071

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.04289	0.042705	-0.43%	–	pending	–	–	1.55
2026-10-20	oos	0.043355	0.043194	-0.37%	0.04289	-1.07%	0.0026	✓	1.54
2026-10-19	oos	0.04405	0.043872	-0.40%	0.043355	-1.58%	0.0325	✓	1.54
2026-10-18	oos	0.043835	0.043648	-0.43%	0.04405	+0.49%	0.0123	✗	1.54
2026-10-17	oos	0.045285	0.04508	-0.45%	0.043835	-3.20%	0.0398	✓	1.54
2026-10-16	oos	0.046835	0.046589	-0.52%	0.045285	-3.31%	0.0262	✓	1.53
2026-10-15	oos	0.04549	0.045235	-0.56%	0.046835	+2.96%	0.0466	✗	1.55
2026-10-14	oos	0.04571	0.045479	-0.51%	0.04549	-0.48%	0.0103	✓	1.55
2026-10-13	oos	0.04441	0.044245	-0.37%	0.04571	+2.93%	0.0624	✗	1.60
2026-10-12	oos	0.04366	0.043495	-0.38%	0.04441	+1.72%	0.0056	✓	1.60
2026-10-11	oos	0.04673	0.046397	-0.71%	0.04366	-6.57%	0.0244	✓	1.55
2026-10-10	oos	0.04303	0.04287	-0.37%	0.04673	+8.60%	0.0724	✗	1.49
2026-10-09	oos	0.04147	0.041344	-0.30%	0.04303	+3.76%	0.0334	✗	1.49
2026-10-08	oos	0.041015	0.04091	-0.25%	0.04147	+1.11%	0.0019	✓	1.49
2026-10-07	oos	0.044345	0.0442	-0.33%	0.041015	-7.51%	0.0469	✓	1.46
2026-10-06	oos	0.04624	0.0461	-0.30%	0.044345	-4.10%	0.0003	✓	1.46
2026-10-05	oos	0.05004	0.049775	-0.53%	0.04624	-7.59%	0.0701	✓	1.46
2026-10-04	oos	0.049155	0.048947	-0.42%	0.05004	+1.80%	0.0349	✗	1.46
2026-10-03	oos	0.049975	0.049691	-0.57%	0.049155	-1.64%	0.0413	✓	1.48
2026-10-02	oos	0.04632	0.046078	-0.52%	0.049975	+7.89%	0.0770	✗	1.47
2026-10-01	oos	0.050135	0.049256	-1.75%	0.04632	-7.61%	0.0555	✓	1.46
2026-09-30	oos	0.04177	0.041663	-0.26%	0.050135	+20.03%	0.1634	✗	1.41
2026-09-29	oos	0.04198	0.041884	-0.23%	0.04177	-0.50%	0.0013	✓	1.45
2026-09-28	oos	0.042205	0.042096	-0.26%	0.04198	-0.53%	0.0059	✓	1.43
2026-09-27	oos	0.0439	0.043781	-0.27%	0.042205	-3.86%	0.0194	✓	1.44
2026-09-26	oos	0.04483	0.044707	-0.27%	0.0439	-2.07%	0.0190	✓	1.45
2026-09-25	oos	0.046525	0.046325	-0.43%	0.04483	-3.64%	0.0384	✓	1.45
2026-09-24	oos	0.04491	0.044768	-0.32%	0.046525	+3.60%	0.0436	✗	1.46
2026-09-23	oos	0.04363	0.043519	-0.25%	0.04491	+2.93%	0.0313	✗	1.46
2026-09-22	oos	0.046545	0.046329	-0.46%	0.04363	-6.26%	0.0285	✓	1.48
2026-09-21	oos	0.045275	0.045028	-0.54%	0.046545	+2.81%	0.0401	✗	1.52
2026-09-20	oos	0.04299	0.042801	-0.44%	0.045275	+5.32%	0.0454	✓	1.57
2026-09-19	oos	0.042385	0.042174	-0.50%	0.04299	+1.43%	0.0206	✗	1.56
2026-09-18	oos	0.04088	0.040638	-0.59%	0.042385	+3.68%	0.0353	✗	1.53
2026-09-17	oos	0.03529	0.035249	-0.11%	0.04088	+15.84%	0.0674	✗	1.40
2026-09-16	oos	0.03452	0.03451	-0.03%	0.03529	+2.23%	0.0187	✗	1.38
2026-09-15	oos	0.03408	0.034091	+0.03%	0.03452	+1.29%	0.0031	✓	1.28
2026-09-14	oos	0.03571	0.035703	-0.02%	0.03408	-4.56%	0.0038	✓	1.27
2026-09-13	oos	0.03547	0.035479	+0.03%	0.03571	+0.68%	0.0163	✗	1.28
2026-09-12	oos	0.037075	0.037075	+0.00%	0.03547	-4.33%	0.0367	✗	1.26
2026-09-11	oos	0.037625	0.037626	+0.00%	0.037075	-1.46%	0.0156	✗	1.26
2026-09-10	oos	0.036865	0.036886	+0.06%	0.037625	+2.06%	0.0080	✓	1.36
2026-09-09	oos	0.038645	0.038654	+0.02%	0.036865	-4.61%	0.0170	✗	1.35
2026-09-08	oos	0.042145	0.042038	-0.25%	0.038645	-8.30%	0.0813	✓	1.37
2026-09-07	oos	0.04017	0.040146	-0.06%	0.042145	+4.92%	0.0602	✗	1.41
2026-09-06	oos	0.03958	0.039587	+0.02%	0.04017	+1.49%	0.0373	✓	1.45
2026-09-05	oos	0.04015	0.040139	-0.03%	0.03958	-1.42%	0.0232	✓	1.45
2026-09-04	oos	0.03859	0.038601	+0.03%	0.04015	+4.04%	0.0364	✓	1.48
2026-09-03	oos	0.04007	0.040032	-0.10%	0.03859	-3.69%	0.0074	✓	1.48
2026-09-02	oos	0.03669	0.03671	+0.06%	0.04007	+9.21%	0.0135	✓	1.48
2026-09-01	oos	0.03744	0.037443	+0.01%	0.03669	-2.00%	0.0185	✗	1.49
2026-08-31	oos	0.03794	0.037945	+0.01%	0.03744	-1.32%	0.0079	✓	1.43
2026-08-30	oos	0.036695	0.036706	+0.03%	0.03794	+3.39%	0.0172	✓	1.38
2026-08-29	oos	0.03841	0.038409	-0.00%	0.036695	-4.46%	0.0357	✓	1.36
2026-08-28	oos	0.03741	0.03742	+0.03%	0.03841	+2.67%	0.0192	✓	1.36
2026-08-27	oos	0.03913	0.039143	+0.03%	0.03741	-4.40%	0.0032	✗	1.37
2026-08-26	oos	0.03951	0.039501	-0.02%	0.03913	-0.96%	0.0310	✓	1.38
2026-08-25	oos	0.0389	0.038892	-0.02%	0.03951	+1.57%	0.0070	✗	1.39
2026-08-24	oos	0.04019	0.040161	-0.07%	0.0389	-3.21%	0.0240	✓	1.37
2026-08-23	oos	0.04286	0.042729	-0.31%	0.04019	-6.23%	0.0840	✓	1.42
2026-08-22	oos	0.04024	0.04016	-0.20%	0.04286	+6.51%	0.0528	✗	1.41
2026-08-21	oos	0.04248	0.042275	-0.48%	0.04024	-5.27%	0.0265	✓	1.40
2026-08-20	oos	0.03781	0.037593	-0.57%	0.04248	+12.35%	0.0283	✗	1.34
2026-08-19	oos	0.03489	0.034684	-0.59%	0.03781	+8.37%	0.0167	✗	1.33
2026-08-18	oos	0.03205	0.031858	-0.60%	0.03489	+8.86%	0.0014	✓	1.34
2026-08-17	oos	0.0322	0.031978	-0.69%	0.03205	-0.47%	0.0020	✓	1.34
2026-08-16	oos	0.03155	0.031356	-0.62%	0.0322	+2.06%	0.0081	✓	1.35
2026-08-15	oos	0.03123	0.031076	-0.49%	0.03155	+1.02%	0.0191	✗	1.35
2026-08-14	oos	0.03115	0.031017	-0.43%	0.03123	+0.26%	0.0059	✗	1.35
2026-08-13	oos	0.032655	0.0325	-0.48%	0.03115	-4.61%	0.0327	✓	1.36
2026-08-12	oos	0.03322	0.03305	-0.51%	0.032655	-1.70%	0.0123	✓	1.37
2026-08-11	oos	0.03314	0.032989	-0.46%	0.03322	+0.24%	0.0096	✗	1.37
2026-08-10	oos	0.0364	0.03617	-0.63%	0.03314	-8.96%	0.0793	✓	1.37
2026-08-09	oos	0.03598	0.03574	-0.67%	0.0364	+1.17%	0.0388	✗	1.41
2026-08-08	oos	0.036165	0.035919	-0.68%	0.03598	-0.51%	0.0030	✓	1.41
2026-08-07	oos	0.03528	0.035048	-0.66%	0.036165	+2.51%	0.0310	✗	1.41
2026-08-06	oos	0.03555	0.035308	-0.68%	0.03528	-0.76%	0.0145	✓	1.42
2026-08-05	oos	0.03607	0.035816	-0.70%	0.03555	-1.44%	0.0000	✓	1.42
2026-08-04	oos	0.03584	0.035613	-0.63%	0.03607	+0.64%	0.0005	✓	1.43
2026-08-03	oos	0.03669	0.036452	-0.65%	0.03584	-2.32%	0.0300	✓	1.43
2026-08-02	oos	0.03651	0.036294	-0.59%	0.03669	+0.49%	0.0116	✗	1.43
2026-08-01	oos	0.0365	0.036322	-0.49%	0.03651	+0.03%	0.0116	✓	1.44
2026-07-31	oos	0.03654	0.036395	-0.40%	0.0365	-0.11%	0.0043	✗	1.43
2026-07-30	oos	0.037	0.036851	-0.40%	0.03654	-1.24%	0.0342	✗	1.44
2026-07-29	oos	0.036395	0.036294	-0.28%	0.037	+1.66%	0.0017	✓	1.37
2026-07-28	oos	0.03957	0.039411	-0.40%	0.036395	-8.02%	0.0807	✓	1.37
2026-07-27	oos	0.03972	0.039598	-0.31%	0.03957	-0.38%	0.0040	✓	1.37
2026-07-26	oos	0.04325	0.043117	-0.31%	0.03972	-8.16%	0.0478	✓	1.34
2026-07-25	oos	0.042525	0.042412	-0.27%	0.04325	+1.70%	0.0020	✓	1.34
2026-07-24	oos	0.04349	0.043373	-0.27%	0.042525	-2.22%	0.0242	✓	1.34
2026-07-23	oos	0.043165	0.043083	-0.19%	0.04349	+0.75%	0.0298	✗	1.36
2026-07-22	oos	0.04369	0.043633	-0.13%	0.043165	-1.20%	0.0109	✗	1.37
2026-07-21	oos	0.04336	0.043325	-0.08%	0.04369	+0.76%	0.0173	✗	1.38
2026-07-20	oos	0.04278	0.042744	-0.08%	0.04336	+1.36%	0.0129	✓	1.38
2026-07-19	oos	0.04405	0.044003	-0.11%	0.04278	-2.88%	0.0395	✓	1.39
2026-07-18	oos	0.04448	0.044443	-0.08%	0.04405	-0.97%	0.0064	✓	1.39
2026-07-17	oos	0.0433	0.043278	-0.05%	0.04448	+2.73%	0.0081	✗	1.37
2026-07-16	oos	0.0461	0.046045	-0.12%	0.0433	-6.07%	0.0641	✓	1.38
2026-07-15	oos	0.048025	0.047959	-0.14%	0.0461	-4.01%	0.0193	✓	1.38
2026-07-14	oos	0.04904	0.048936	-0.21%	0.048025	-2.07%	0.0130	✓	1.38
2026-07-13	oos	0.04726	0.047132	-0.27%	0.04904	+3.77%	0.0200	✓	1.39
2026-07-12	oos	0.046095	0.046024	-0.15%	0.04726	+2.53%	0.0605	✗	1.45
2026-07-11	oos	0.04668	0.046609	-0.15%	0.046095	-1.25%	0.0104	✓	1.45
2026-07-10	oos	0.04743	0.047364	-0.14%	0.04668	-1.58%	0.0065	✓	1.45
2026-07-09	oos	0.04796	0.04789	-0.15%	0.04743	-1.11%	0.0316	✓	1.47
2026-07-08	oos	0.04733	0.047261	-0.15%	0.04796	+1.33%	0.0072	✓	1.46
2026-07-07	oos	0.05032	0.050217	-0.20%	0.04733	-5.94%	0.0342	✓	1.45
2026-07-06	oos	0.04941	0.049328	-0.17%	0.05032	+1.84%	0.0355	✗	1.46
2026-07-05	oos	0.05132	0.051207	-0.22%	0.04941	-3.72%	0.0454	✓	1.48
2026-07-04	oos	0.05242	0.052261	-0.30%	0.05132	-2.10%	0.0298	✓	1.49
2026-07-03	oos	0.05103	0.050883	-0.29%	0.05242	+2.72%	0.0165	✗	1.47
2026-07-02	oos	0.04957	0.049419	-0.30%	0.05103	+2.95%	0.0077	✗	1.46
2026-07-01	oos	0.04514	0.045066	-0.16%	0.04957	+9.81%	0.0610	✗	1.37
2026-06-30	oos	0.04523	0.045137	-0.21%	0.04514	-0.20%	0.0337	✓	1.39
2026-06-29	oos	0.04809	0.047964	-0.26%	0.04523	-5.95%	0.0205	✓	1.38
2026-06-28	oos	0.04569	0.045606	-0.18%	0.04809	+5.25%	0.0376	✗	1.34
2026-06-27	oos	0.04725	0.047164	-0.18%	0.04569	-3.30%	0.0214	✓	1.34
2026-06-26	oos	0.04671	0.046649	-0.13%	0.04725	+1.16%	0.0143	✗	1.34
2026-06-25	oos	0.04651	0.04648	-0.06%	0.04671	+0.43%	0.0017	✓	1.33
2026-06-24	oos	0.05069	0.050614	-0.15%	0.04651	-8.25%	0.0570	✓	1.30
2026-06-23	oos	0.05551	0.055348	-0.29%	0.05069	-8.68%	0.0542	✓	1.25
2026-06-22	oos	0.055825	0.055648	-0.32%	0.05551	-0.56%	0.0240	✗	1.28
2026-06-21	oos	0.05648	0.056288	-0.34%	0.055825	-1.16%	0.0228	✓	1.29
2026-06-20	oos	0.0547	0.054553	-0.27%	0.05648	+3.25%	0.0554	✗	1.33
2026-06-19	oos	0.05704	0.056838	-0.35%	0.0547	-4.10%	0.0544	✓	1.37
2026-06-18	oos	0.06217	0.06173	-0.71%	0.05704	-8.25%	0.0925	✓	1.42
2026-06-17	oos	0.05711	0.056873	-0.41%	0.06217	+8.86%	0.1279	✗	1.58
2026-06-16	oos	0.05749	0.05721	-0.49%	0.05711	-0.66%	0.0272	✗	1.61
2026-06-15	oos	0.06028	0.059856	-0.70%	0.05749	-4.63%	0.0243	✓	1.60
2026-06-14	oos	0.06287	0.062085	-1.25%	0.06028	-4.12%	0.0436	✓	1.63
2026-06-13	oos	0.06271	0.061458	-2.00%	0.06287	+0.26%	0.0096	✓	1.65
2026-06-12	oos	0.04665	0.046534	-0.25%	0.06271	+34.43%	0.2796	✗	1.34
2026-06-11	oos	0.04609	0.04597	-0.26%	0.04665	+1.22%	0.0152	✗	1.33
2026-06-10	oos	0.04252	0.042552	+0.08%	0.04609	+8.40%	0.0397	✓	1.19
2026-06-09	oos	0.04721	0.047188	-0.05%	0.04252	-9.93%	0.0995	✓	1.19
2026-06-08	oos	0.0501	0.049952	-0.30%	0.04721	-5.77%	0.0303	✓	1.18
2026-06-07	oos	0.04848	0.048392	-0.18%	0.0501	+3.34%	0.0392	✗	1.18
2026-06-06	oos	0.0446	0.044757	+0.35%	0.04848	+8.70%	0.0418	✓	0.96
2026-06-05	oos	0.04611	0.046304	+0.42%	0.0446	-3.27%	0.0346	✗	0.96
2026-06-04	oos	0.05057	0.050657	+0.17%	0.04611	-8.82%	0.0541	✗	0.90
2026-06-03	oos	0.05429	0.05437	+0.15%	0.05057	-6.85%	0.0691	✗	0.90
2026-06-02	oos	0.05456	0.054607	+0.09%	0.05429	-0.49%	0.0384	✓	1.10
2026-06-01	oos	0.05913	0.058945	-0.31%	0.05456	-7.73%	0.0129	✗	1.34
2026-05-31	oos	0.06097	0.060736	-0.38%	0.05913	-3.02%	0.0216	✗	1.55
2026-05-30	oos	0.06306	0.062838	-0.35%	0.06097	-3.31%	0.0261	✓	1.55
2026-05-29	oos	0.061625	0.061544	-0.13%	0.06306	+2.33%	0.0188	✗	1.00
2026-05-28	oos	0.0634	0.063343	-0.09%	0.061625	-2.80%	0.0255	✓	1.00
2026-05-27	oos	0.06753	0.067457	-0.11%	0.0634	-6.12%	0.0512	✓	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.0677	0.067635	-0.10%	0.06753	-0.25%	0.0186	✗	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.073915	0.073673	-0.33%	0.0677	-8.41%	0.0660	✓	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.07738	0.077145	-0.30%	0.073915	-4.48%	0.0463	✓	1.00
2026-05-23	oos	0.08015	0.079944	-0.26%	0.07738	-3.46%	0.0368	✓	1.00
2026-05-22	oos	0.08032	0.08028	-0.05%	0.08015	-0.21%	0.0175	✓	1.00
2026-05-21	oos	0.087	0.086455	-0.63%	0.08032	-7.68%	0.0461	✓	1.00
2026-05-20	oos	0.081605	0.081355	-0.31%	0.087	+6.61%	0.0662	✗	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	0.08112	0.080984	-0.17%	0.081605	+0.60%	0.0016	✓	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	0.086	0.08576	-0.28%	0.08112	-5.67%	0.0533	✓	1.00
2026-05-17	oos	0.08994	0.089631	-0.34%	0.086	-4.38%	0.0353	✓	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.09273	0.092407	-0.35%	0.08994	-3.01%	0.0181	✓	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.10026	0.099872	-0.39%	0.09273	-7.51%	0.0621	✓	1.00
2026-05-14	oos	0.10538	0.105016	-0.35%	0.10026	-4.86%	0.0211	✓	1.00
2026-05-13	oos	0.10337	0.103029	-0.33%	0.10538	+1.94%	0.0002	✓	1.00
2026-05-12	oos	0.10977	0.109456	-0.29%	0.10337	-5.83%	0.0422	✓	1.00
2026-05-11	oos	0.11857	0.118226	-0.29%	0.10977	-7.42%	0.0589	✓	1.00
2026-05-10	oos	0.12692	0.126453	-0.37%	0.11857	-6.58%	0.0586	✓	1.00
2026-05-09	oos	0.12551	0.124983	-0.42%	0.12692	+1.12%	0.0036	✓	1.00