GENIUS

Genius · Binance Smart Chain · gru_s0

token id: #408
symbol: GENIUS
variant: –
chain: Binance Smart Chain
address: 0x1f12b85aac097e43aa1555b2881e98a51090e9a6
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-15
predictions: 453

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

144

of 151 predictions shown

direction hit

62.5%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0846

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0083

actual -0.0284

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.3071	0.30461	-0.81%	–	pending	–	–	-0.10
2026-10-20	oos	0.3057	0.303476	-0.73%	–	pending	–	–	-0.10
2026-10-19	oos	0.30015	0.297901	-0.75%	–	pending	–	–	-0.10
2026-10-18	oos	0.3024	0.300324	-0.69%	–	pending	–	–	-0.04
2026-10-17	oos	0.29965	0.297714	-0.65%	–	pending	–	–	-0.04
2026-10-16	oos	0.3056	0.304101	-0.49%	–	pending	–	–	-0.04
2026-10-15	oos	0.30045	0.299423	-0.34%	–	pending	–	–	-0.04
2026-10-14	oos	0.31885	0.31696	-0.59%	0.3071	-3.69%	0.0311	✓	-0.03
2026-10-13	oos	0.3176	0.31669	-0.29%	0.3057	-3.75%	0.0354	✓	-0.03
2026-10-12	oos	0.32945	0.327414	-0.62%	0.30015	-8.89%	0.0869	✓	-0.02
2026-10-11	oos	0.3359	0.33464	-0.38%	0.3024	-9.97%	0.1017	✓	-0.02
2026-10-10	oos	0.346	0.343994	-0.58%	0.29965	-13.40%	0.1378	✓	0.01
2026-10-09	oos	0.3428	0.340725	-0.61%	0.3056	-10.85%	0.1086	✓	0.01
2026-10-08	oos	0.3213	0.319412	-0.59%	0.30045	-6.49%	0.0612	✓	0.00
2026-10-07	oos	0.324	0.323089	-0.28%	0.31885	-1.59%	0.0133	✓	-0.00
2026-10-06	oos	0.32765	0.327798	+0.05%	0.3176	-3.07%	0.0321	✗	-0.02
2026-10-05	oos	0.32845	0.328697	+0.08%	0.32945	+0.30%	0.0029	✓	0.01
2026-10-04	oos	0.31975	0.320728	+0.31%	0.3359	+5.05%	0.0470	✓	0.02
2026-10-03	oos	0.32535	0.325409	+0.02%	0.346	+6.35%	0.0620	✓	0.03
2026-10-02	oos	0.32695	0.326716	-0.07%	0.3428	+4.85%	0.0487	✗	0.03
2026-10-01	oos	0.31835	0.318438	+0.03%	0.3213	+0.93%	0.0103	✓	0.04
2026-09-30	oos	0.3226	0.322102	-0.15%	0.324	+0.43%	0.0060	✗	0.04
2026-09-29	oos	0.31945	0.319142	-0.10%	0.32765	+2.57%	0.0257	✗	0.03
2026-09-28	oos	0.3168	0.316287	-0.16%	0.32845	+3.68%	0.0369	✗	0.03
2026-09-27	oos	0.3292	0.3291	-0.03%	0.31975	-2.87%	0.0291	✓	0.01
2026-09-26	oos	0.34275	0.342523	-0.07%	0.32535	-5.08%	0.0515	✓	0.02
2026-09-25	oos	0.349	0.348722	-0.08%	0.32695	-6.32%	0.0645	✓	0.01
2026-09-24	oos	0.35475	0.354718	-0.01%	0.31835	-10.26%	0.1083	✓	0.02
2026-09-23	oos	0.3426	0.342918	+0.09%	0.3226	-5.84%	0.0609	✗	0.02
2026-09-22	oos	0.35245	0.352765	+0.09%	0.31945	-9.36%	0.0997	✗	-0.02
2026-09-21	oos	0.35885	0.359542	+0.19%	0.3168	-11.72%	0.1266	✗	-0.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.3747	0.36974	-1.32%	0.3292	-12.14%	0.1197	✓	0.09
2026-09-19	oos	0.34085	0.339215	-0.48%	0.34275	+0.56%	0.0068	✗	0.09
2026-09-18	oos	0.3402	0.337071	-0.92%	0.349	+2.59%	0.0310	✗	0.10
2026-09-17	oos	0.3605	0.349092	-3.16%	0.35475	-1.60%	0.0052	✓	0.21
2026-09-16	oos	0.3024	0.300959	-0.48%	0.3426	+13.29%	0.1063	✗	0.23
2026-09-15	oos	0.3036	0.302496	-0.36%	0.35245	+16.09%	0.1126	✗	0.31
2026-09-14	oos	0.2988	0.299108	+0.10%	0.35885	+20.10%	0.1461	✓	0.35
2026-09-13	oos	0.29545	0.295579	+0.04%	0.3747	+26.82%	0.2178	✓	0.35
2026-09-12	oos	0.29705	0.297434	+0.13%	0.34085	+14.74%	0.1199	✓	0.33
2026-09-11	oos	0.30415	0.304683	+0.18%	0.3402	+11.85%	0.0928	✓	0.38
2026-09-10	oos	0.2871	0.28834	+0.43%	0.3605	+25.57%	0.2242	✓	0.36
2026-09-09	oos	0.28855	0.290527	+0.69%	0.3024	+4.80%	0.0503	✓	0.37
2026-09-08	oos	0.30395	0.305516	+0.52%	0.3036	-0.12%	0.0071	✓	0.36
2026-09-07	oos	0.2922	0.294406	+0.75%	0.2988	+2.26%	0.0191	✓	0.37
2026-09-06	oos	0.2962	0.2988	+0.88%	0.29545	-0.25%	0.0055	✓	0.37
2026-09-05	oos	0.30035	0.302628	+0.76%	0.29705	-1.10%	0.0064	✓	0.37
2026-09-04	oos	0.2933	0.29603	+0.93%	0.30415	+3.70%	0.0433	✓	0.52
2026-09-03	oos	0.29125	0.295248	+1.37%	0.2871	-1.42%	0.0045	✓	0.54
2026-09-02	oos	0.2859	0.289085	+1.11%	0.28855	+0.93%	0.0080	✓	0.49
2026-09-01	oos	0.2773	0.280948	+1.32%	0.30395	+9.61%	0.0719	✓	0.51
2026-08-31	oos	0.2837	0.28767	+1.40%	0.2922	+3.00%	0.0120	✓	0.54
2026-08-30	oos	0.28175	0.285672	+1.39%	0.2962	+5.13%	0.0280	✓	0.24
2026-08-29	oos	0.2845	0.28869	+1.47%	0.30035	+5.57%	0.0348	✓	0.24
2026-08-28	oos	0.28265	0.286916	+1.51%	0.2933	+3.77%	0.0164	✓	0.24
2026-08-27	oos	0.3045	0.309453	+1.63%	0.29125	-4.35%	0.0631	✗	0.20
2026-08-26	oos	0.30725	0.311811	+1.48%	0.2859	-6.95%	0.0818	✗	0.22
2026-08-25	oos	0.3083	0.31316	+1.58%	0.2773	-10.06%	0.1179	✗	0.26
2026-08-24	oos	0.3126	0.317747	+1.65%	0.2837	-9.25%	0.1122	✗	0.22
2026-08-23	oos	0.324	0.32877	+1.47%	0.28175	-13.04%	0.1542	✗	0.20
2026-08-22	oos	0.3344	0.338812	+1.32%	0.2845	-14.92%	0.1777	✗	0.20
2026-08-21	oos	0.34135	0.346142	+1.40%	0.28265	-17.20%	0.2014	✗	0.20
2026-08-20	oos	0.3111	0.31396	+0.92%	0.3045	-2.12%	0.0359	✗	0.06
2026-08-19	oos	0.3291	0.329373	+0.08%	0.30725	-6.64%	0.0514	✗	-0.14
2026-08-18	oos	0.36445	0.360941	-0.96%	0.3083	-15.41%	0.1742	✓	0.09
2026-08-17	oos	0.36775	0.364106	-0.99%	0.3126	-15.00%	0.1728	✓	0.10
2026-08-16	oos	0.36445	0.36019	-1.17%	0.324	-11.10%	0.1255	✓	0.09
2026-08-15	oos	0.3723	0.36773	-1.23%	0.3344	-10.18%	0.1123	✓	0.09
2026-08-14	oos	0.3686	0.364469	-1.12%	0.34135	-7.39%	0.0895	✓	0.11
2026-08-13	oos	0.3931	0.388431	-1.19%	0.3111	-20.86%	0.2342	✓	0.09
2026-08-12	oos	0.376	0.371379	-1.23%	0.3291	-12.47%	0.1281	✓	0.08
2026-08-11	oos	0.3729	0.367698	-1.40%	0.36445	-2.27%	0.0103	✓	0.08
2026-08-10	oos	0.36395	0.358668	-1.45%	0.36775	+1.04%	0.0243	✗	0.09
2026-08-09	oos	0.34505	0.341243	-1.10%	0.36445	+5.62%	0.0693	✗	0.11
2026-08-08	oos	0.34625	0.341856	-1.27%	0.3723	+7.52%	0.0886	✗	0.11
2026-08-07	oos	0.3416	0.337194	-1.29%	0.3686	+7.90%	0.0923	✗	0.11
2026-08-06	oos	0.33865	0.333986	-1.38%	0.3931	+16.08%	0.1643	✗	0.10
2026-08-05	oos	0.3583	0.352799	-1.54%	0.376	+4.94%	0.0655	✗	0.10
2026-08-04	oos	0.34955	0.343395	-1.76%	0.3729	+6.68%	0.0831	✗	0.09
2026-08-03	oos	0.3431	0.336338	-1.97%	0.36395	+6.08%	0.0783	✗	0.08
2026-08-02	oos	0.32795	0.321865	-1.86%	0.34505	+5.21%	0.0680	✗	0.07
2026-08-01	oos	0.3215	0.315438	-1.89%	0.34625	+7.70%	0.0911	✗	0.06
2026-07-31	oos	0.3287	0.322641	-1.84%	0.3416	+3.92%	0.0551	✗	0.06
2026-07-30	oos	0.3309	0.325118	-1.75%	0.33865	+2.34%	0.0412	✗	0.06
2026-07-29	oos	0.32935	0.32418	-1.57%	0.3583	+8.79%	0.0994	✗	0.06
2026-07-28	oos	0.35	0.344886	-1.46%	0.34955	-0.13%	0.0132	✓	0.07
2026-07-27	oos	0.36775	0.362184	-1.51%	0.3431	-6.70%	0.0539	✓	0.08
2026-07-26	oos	0.37585	0.370134	-1.52%	0.32795	-12.74%	0.1193	✓	0.06
2026-07-25	oos	0.37075	0.363623	-1.92%	0.3215	-13.28%	0.1220	✓	0.05
2026-07-24	oos	0.3617	0.356419	-1.46%	0.3287	-9.12%	0.0801	✓	0.04
2026-07-23	oos	0.3527	0.347761	-1.40%	0.3309	-6.18%	0.0494	✓	0.06
2026-07-22	oos	0.35555	0.350533	-1.41%	0.32935	-7.37%	0.0605	✓	0.05
2026-07-21	oos	0.36335	0.355914	-2.05%	0.35	-3.67%	0.0146	✓	0.05
2026-07-20	oos	0.3239	0.319112	-1.48%	0.36775	+13.54%	0.1405	✗	-0.06
2026-07-19	oos	0.31675	0.312212	-1.43%	0.37585	+18.66%	0.1862	✗	-0.07
2026-07-18	oos	0.31925	0.314341	-1.54%	0.37075	+16.13%	0.1645	✗	-0.07
2026-07-17	oos	0.3248	0.319506	-1.63%	0.3617	+11.36%	0.1242	✗	-0.06
2026-07-16	oos	0.33275	0.327537	-1.57%	0.3527	+6.00%	0.0752	✗	-0.06
2026-07-15	oos	0.3329	0.327989	-1.48%	0.35555	+6.80%	0.0819	✗	-0.06
2026-07-14	oos	0.33125	0.327689	-1.07%	0.36335	+9.69%	0.1046	✗	-0.06
2026-07-13	oos	0.32705	0.323041	-1.23%	0.3239	-0.96%	0.0074	✓	-0.10
2026-07-12	oos	0.3384	0.335264	-0.93%	0.31675	-6.40%	0.0549	✓	-0.13
2026-07-11	oos	0.3452	0.342516	-0.78%	0.31925	-7.52%	0.0683	✓	-0.13
2026-07-10	oos	0.34765	0.34547	-0.63%	0.3248	-6.57%	0.0622	✓	-0.13
2026-07-09	oos	0.3484	0.346216	-0.63%	0.33275	-4.49%	0.0384	✓	-0.13
2026-07-08	oos	0.35555	0.353031	-0.71%	0.3329	-6.37%	0.0539	✓	-0.12
2026-07-07	oos	0.3748	0.372754	-0.55%	0.33125	-11.62%	0.1140	✓	-0.15
2026-07-06	oos	0.3765	0.374591	-0.51%	0.32705	-13.13%	0.1400	✓	-0.15
2026-07-05	oos	0.38175	0.379652	-0.55%	0.3384	-11.36%	0.1147	✓	-0.15
2026-07-04	oos	0.3877	0.385363	-0.60%	0.3452	-10.96%	0.1085	✓	-0.14
2026-07-03	oos	0.384	0.38146	-0.66%	0.34765	-9.47%	0.0889	✓	-0.16
2026-07-02	oos	0.3888	0.385889	-0.75%	0.3484	-10.39%	0.0981	✓	-0.15
2026-07-01	oos	0.3947	0.391207	-0.88%	0.35555	-9.92%	0.0904	✓	-0.14
2026-06-30	oos	0.3947	0.390845	-0.98%	0.3748	-5.04%	0.0299	✓	-0.15
2026-06-29	oos	0.39385	0.38997	-0.99%	0.3765	-4.41%	0.0259	✓	-0.15
2026-06-28	oos	0.3783	0.374264	-1.07%	0.38175	+0.91%	0.0331	✗	-0.20
2026-06-27	oos	0.37735	0.373159	-1.11%	0.3877	+2.74%	0.0484	✗	-0.20
2026-06-26	oos	0.39065	0.386226	-1.13%	0.384	-1.70%	0.0020	✓	-0.19
2026-06-25	oos	0.3913	0.386632	-1.19%	0.3888	-0.64%	0.0113	✓	-0.19
2026-06-24	oos	0.3809	0.375994	-1.29%	0.3947	+3.62%	0.0457	✗	-0.17
2026-06-23	oos	0.3911	0.3861	-1.28%	0.3947	+0.92%	0.0085	✓	-0.20
2026-06-22	oos	0.39995	0.394825	-1.28%	0.39385	-1.53%	0.0158	✓	-0.22
2026-06-21	oos	0.411	0.405731	-1.28%	0.3783	-7.96%	0.0821	✓	-0.20
2026-06-20	oos	0.4169	0.411386	-1.32%	0.37735	-9.49%	0.1005	✓	-0.21
2026-06-19	oos	0.40235	0.39643	-1.47%	0.39065	-2.91%	0.0291	✓	-0.26
2026-06-18	oos	0.3724	0.36547	-1.86%	0.3913	+5.08%	0.0502	✗	-0.35
2026-06-17	oos	0.415	0.408829	-1.49%	0.3809	-8.22%	0.0976	✓	-0.49
2026-06-16	oos	0.4273	0.420995	-1.48%	0.3911	-8.47%	0.0974	✓	-0.51
2026-06-15	oos	0.4357	0.429215	-1.49%	0.39995	-8.21%	0.0892	✓	-0.52
2026-06-14	oos	0.4935	0.486503	-1.42%	0.411	-16.72%	0.1839	✓	-0.40
2026-06-13	oos	0.44765	0.440636	-1.57%	0.4169	-6.87%	0.0522	✓	1.00
2026-06-12	oos	0.45495	0.447565	-1.62%	0.40235	-11.56%	0.1055	✓	1.00
2026-06-11	oos	0.4724	0.464575	-1.66%	0.3724	-21.17%	0.2103	✓	1.00
2026-06-10	oos	0.4711	0.462742	-1.77%	0.415	-11.91%	0.1565	✓	1.00
2026-06-09	oos	0.4527	0.444523	-1.81%	0.4273	-5.61%	0.1013	✓	1.00
2026-06-08	oos	0.4637	0.454521	-1.98%	0.4357	-6.04%	0.0920	✓	1.00
2026-06-07	oos	0.4677	0.457485	-2.18%	0.4935	+5.52%	0.0385	✗	1.00
2026-06-06	oos	0.4055	0.397111	-2.07%	0.44765	+10.39%	0.0626	✗	1.00
2026-06-05	oos	0.4356	0.427471	-1.87%	0.45495	+4.44%	0.0221	✗	1.00
2026-06-04	oos	0.4301	0.419529	-2.46%	0.4724	+9.83%	0.1225	✗	1.00
2026-06-03	oos	0.4796	0.468967	-2.22%	0.4711	-1.77%	0.0459	✗	1.00
2026-06-02	oos	0.509	0.495547	-2.64%	0.4527	-11.06%	0.0129	✓	1.00
2026-06-01	oos	0.4463	0.432415	-3.11%	0.4637	+3.90%	0.1928	✗	1.00
2026-05-31	oos	0.4511	0.437754	-2.96%	0.4677	+3.68%	0.2166	✗	1.00
2026-05-30	oos	0.47675	0.463697	-2.74%	0.4055	-14.94%	0.0584	✗	1.00
2026-05-29	oos	0.45355	0.43975	-3.04%	0.4356	-3.96%	0.1746	✗	1.00
2026-05-28	oos	0.62785	0.611845	-2.55%	0.4301	-31.50%	0.2109	✓	1.00
2026-05-27	oos	0.71265	0.693944	-2.62%	0.4796	-32.70%	0.2206	✓	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.67035	0.652543	-2.66%	0.509	-24.07%	0.1196	✓	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.6361	0.622349	-2.16%	0.4463	-29.84%	0.2526	✓	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.72305	0.697978	-3.47%	0.4511	-37.61%	0.3913	✓	1.00