GENIUS

Genius · Binance Smart Chain · gru_s0

token id: #408
symbol: GENIUS
variant: –
chain: Binance Smart Chain
address: 0x1f12b85aac097e43aa1555b2881e98a51090e9a6
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-15
predictions: 453

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +30d

assessed

121

of 151 predictions shown

direction hit

82.6%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1206

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0255

actual -0.0865

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.3071	0.298311	-2.86%	–	pending	–	–	-0.10
2026-10-20	oos	0.3057	0.297497	-2.68%	–	pending	–	–	-0.10
2026-10-19	oos	0.30015	0.291398	-2.92%	–	pending	–	–	-0.10
2026-10-18	oos	0.3024	0.294225	-2.70%	–	pending	–	–	-0.04
2026-10-17	oos	0.29965	0.291103	-2.85%	–	pending	–	–	-0.04
2026-10-16	oos	0.3056	0.298496	-2.32%	–	pending	–	–	-0.04
2026-10-15	oos	0.30045	0.29512	-1.77%	–	pending	–	–	-0.04
2026-10-14	oos	0.31885	0.311442	-2.32%	–	pending	–	–	-0.03
2026-10-13	oos	0.3176	0.312585	-1.58%	–	pending	–	–	-0.03
2026-10-12	oos	0.32945	0.32135	-2.46%	–	pending	–	–	-0.02
2026-10-11	oos	0.3359	0.330435	-1.63%	–	pending	–	–	-0.02
2026-10-10	oos	0.346	0.338815	-2.08%	–	pending	–	–	0.01
2026-10-09	oos	0.3428	0.335484	-2.13%	–	pending	–	–	0.01
2026-10-08	oos	0.3213	0.314324	-2.17%	–	pending	–	–	0.00
2026-10-07	oos	0.324	0.320148	-1.19%	–	pending	–	–	-0.00
2026-10-06	oos	0.32765	0.327338	-0.10%	–	pending	–	–	-0.02
2026-10-05	oos	0.32845	0.328498	+0.01%	–	pending	–	–	0.01
2026-10-04	oos	0.31975	0.322215	+0.77%	–	pending	–	–	0.02
2026-10-03	oos	0.32535	0.325157	-0.06%	–	pending	–	–	0.03
2026-10-02	oos	0.32695	0.326189	-0.23%	–	pending	–	–	0.03
2026-10-01	oos	0.31835	0.318504	+0.05%	–	pending	–	–	0.04
2026-09-30	oos	0.3226	0.321498	-0.34%	–	pending	–	–	0.04
2026-09-29	oos	0.31945	0.31845	-0.31%	–	pending	–	–	0.03
2026-09-28	oos	0.3168	0.31586	-0.30%	–	pending	–	–	0.03
2026-09-27	oos	0.3292	0.329272	+0.02%	–	pending	–	–	0.01
2026-09-26	oos	0.34275	0.342855	+0.03%	–	pending	–	–	0.02
2026-09-25	oos	0.349	0.34938	+0.11%	–	pending	–	–	0.01
2026-09-24	oos	0.35475	0.356471	+0.49%	–	pending	–	–	0.02
2026-09-23	oos	0.3426	0.346395	+1.11%	–	pending	–	–	0.02
2026-09-22	oos	0.35245	0.361919	+2.69%	–	pending	–	–	-0.02
2026-09-21	oos	0.35885	0.369596	+2.99%	0.3071	-14.42%	0.1853	✗	-0.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.3747	0.37248	-0.59%	0.3057	-18.41%	0.1995	✓	0.09
2026-09-19	oos	0.34085	0.341243	+0.12%	0.30015	-11.94%	0.1290	✗	0.09
2026-09-18	oos	0.3402	0.339578	-0.18%	0.3024	-11.11%	0.1173	✓	0.10
2026-09-17	oos	0.3605	0.346321	-3.93%	0.29965	-16.88%	0.1583	✓	0.21
2026-09-16	oos	0.3024	0.295164	-2.39%	0.3056	+1.06%	0.0193	✓	0.23
2026-09-15	oos	0.3036	0.296965	-2.19%	0.30045	-1.04%	0.0137	✓	0.31
2026-09-14	oos	0.2988	0.297203	-0.53%	0.31885	+6.71%	0.0554	✗	0.35
2026-09-13	oos	0.29545	0.292285	-1.07%	0.3176	+7.50%	0.0554	✗	0.35
2026-09-12	oos	0.29705	0.294621	-0.82%	0.32945	+10.91%	0.0934	✗	0.33
2026-09-11	oos	0.30415	0.303396	-0.25%	0.3359	+10.44%	0.0714	✗	0.38
2026-09-10	oos	0.2871	0.286618	-0.17%	0.346	+20.52%	0.1596	✗	0.36
2026-09-09	oos	0.28855	0.291962	+1.18%	0.3428	+18.80%	0.1410	✓	0.37
2026-09-08	oos	0.30395	0.307004	+1.00%	0.3213	+5.71%	0.0310	✓	0.36
2026-09-07	oos	0.2922	0.297182	+1.70%	0.324	+10.88%	0.0676	✓	0.37
2026-09-06	oos	0.2962	0.303513	+2.47%	0.32765	+10.62%	0.0532	✓	0.37
2026-09-05	oos	0.30035	0.306727	+2.12%	0.32845	+9.36%	0.0417	✓	0.37
2026-09-04	oos	0.2933	0.30084	+2.57%	0.31975	+9.02%	0.0186	✓	0.52
2026-09-03	oos	0.29125	0.304381	+4.51%	0.32535	+11.71%	0.0439	✓	0.54
2026-09-02	oos	0.2859	0.294922	+3.16%	0.32695	+14.36%	0.0598	✓	0.49
2026-09-01	oos	0.2773	0.288459	+4.02%	0.31835	+14.80%	0.0520	✓	0.51
2026-08-31	oos	0.2837	0.295961	+4.32%	0.3226	+13.71%	0.0528	✓	0.54
2026-08-30	oos	0.28175	0.293862	+4.30%	0.31945	+13.38%	0.0657	✓	0.24
2026-08-29	oos	0.2845	0.29826	+4.84%	0.3168	+11.35%	0.0449	✓	0.24
2026-08-28	oos	0.28265	0.297029	+5.09%	0.3292	+16.47%	0.0831	✓	0.24
2026-08-27	oos	0.3045	0.323267	+6.16%	0.34275	+12.56%	0.0485	✓	0.20
2026-08-26	oos	0.30725	0.324252	+5.53%	0.349	+13.59%	0.0596	✓	0.22
2026-08-25	oos	0.3083	0.32702	+6.07%	0.35475	+15.07%	0.0629	✓	0.26
2026-08-24	oos	0.3126	0.333289	+6.62%	0.3426	+9.60%	0.0132	✓	0.22
2026-08-23	oos	0.324	0.343232	+5.94%	0.35245	+8.78%	0.0058	✓	0.20
2026-08-22	oos	0.3344	0.352035	+5.27%	0.35885	+7.31%	0.0036	✓	0.20
2026-08-21	oos	0.34135	0.36153	+5.91%	0.3747	+9.77%	0.0286	✓	0.20
2026-08-20	oos	0.3111	0.320991	+3.18%	0.34085	+9.56%	0.0540	✓	0.06
2026-08-19	oos	0.3291	0.329376	+0.08%	0.3402	+3.37%	0.0537	✓	-0.14
2026-08-18	oos	0.36445	0.353662	-2.96%	0.3605	-1.08%	0.0050	✓	0.09
2026-08-17	oos	0.36775	0.356763	-2.99%	0.3024	-17.77%	0.1819	✓	0.10
2026-08-16	oos	0.36445	0.351569	-3.53%	0.3036	-16.70%	0.1637	✓	0.09
2026-08-15	oos	0.3723	0.359481	-3.44%	0.2988	-19.74%	0.2034	✓	0.09
2026-08-14	oos	0.3686	0.356258	-3.35%	0.29545	-19.85%	0.2089	✓	0.11
2026-08-13	oos	0.3931	0.379954	-3.34%	0.29705	-24.43%	0.2632	✓	0.09
2026-08-12	oos	0.376	0.363299	-3.38%	0.30415	-19.11%	0.1939	✓	0.08
2026-08-11	oos	0.3729	0.360171	-3.41%	0.2871	-23.01%	0.2420	✓	0.08
2026-08-10	oos	0.36395	0.35133	-3.47%	0.28855	-20.72%	0.2141	✓	0.09
2026-08-09	oos	0.34505	0.334114	-3.17%	0.30395	-11.91%	0.1156	✓	0.11
2026-08-08	oos	0.34625	0.334026	-3.53%	0.2922	-15.61%	0.1556	✓	0.11
2026-08-07	oos	0.3416	0.329312	-3.60%	0.2962	-13.29%	0.1292	✓	0.11
2026-08-06	oos	0.33865	0.325681	-3.83%	0.30035	-11.31%	0.1035	✓	0.10
2026-08-05	oos	0.3583	0.34381	-4.04%	0.2933	-18.14%	0.1796	✓	0.10
2026-08-04	oos	0.34955	0.334083	-4.42%	0.29125	-16.68%	0.1581	✓	0.09
2026-08-03	oos	0.3431	0.326567	-4.82%	0.2859	-16.67%	0.1485	✓	0.08
2026-08-02	oos	0.32795	0.311961	-4.88%	0.2773	-15.44%	0.1325	✓	0.07
2026-08-01	oos	0.3215	0.304894	-5.17%	0.2837	-11.76%	0.0860	✓	0.06
2026-07-31	oos	0.3287	0.312304	-4.99%	0.28175	-14.28%	0.1164	✓	0.06
2026-07-30	oos	0.3309	0.315863	-4.54%	0.2845	-14.02%	0.1165	✓	0.06
2026-07-29	oos	0.32935	0.314784	-4.42%	0.28265	-14.18%	0.1191	✓	0.06
2026-07-28	oos	0.35	0.335472	-4.15%	0.3045	-13.00%	0.1119	✓	0.07
2026-07-27	oos	0.36775	0.352228	-4.22%	0.30725	-16.45%	0.1528	✓	0.08
2026-07-26	oos	0.37585	0.361524	-3.81%	0.3083	-17.97%	0.1703	✓	0.06
2026-07-25	oos	0.37075	0.354988	-4.25%	0.3126	-15.68%	0.1371	✓	0.05
2026-07-24	oos	0.3617	0.347024	-4.06%	0.324	-10.42%	0.0767	✓	0.04
2026-07-23	oos	0.3527	0.339307	-3.80%	0.3344	-5.19%	0.0240	✓	0.06
2026-07-22	oos	0.35555	0.34298	-3.54%	0.34135	-3.99%	0.0140	✓	0.05
2026-07-21	oos	0.36335	0.349696	-3.76%	0.3111	-14.38%	0.1217	✓	0.05
2026-07-20	oos	0.3239	0.310394	-4.17%	0.3291	+1.61%	0.0620	✗	-0.06
2026-07-19	oos	0.31675	0.303418	-4.21%	0.36445	+15.06%	0.1833	✗	-0.07
2026-07-18	oos	0.31925	0.305123	-4.42%	0.36775	+15.19%	0.1863	✗	-0.07
2026-07-17	oos	0.3248	0.30965	-4.66%	0.36445	+12.21%	0.1619	✗	-0.06
2026-07-16	oos	0.33275	0.318132	-4.39%	0.3723	+11.89%	0.1565	✗	-0.06
2026-07-15	oos	0.3329	0.320463	-3.74%	0.3686	+10.72%	0.1384	✗	-0.06
2026-07-14	oos	0.33125	0.320189	-3.34%	0.3931	+18.67%	0.2038	✗	-0.06
2026-07-13	oos	0.32705	0.314044	-3.98%	0.376	+14.97%	0.1819	✗	-0.10
2026-07-12	oos	0.3384	0.327928	-3.09%	0.3729	+10.20%	0.1281	✗	-0.13
2026-07-11	oos	0.3452	0.335939	-2.68%	0.36395	+5.43%	0.0804	✗	-0.13
2026-07-10	oos	0.34765	0.339962	-2.21%	0.34505	-0.75%	0.0163	✓	-0.13
2026-07-09	oos	0.3484	0.340331	-2.32%	0.34625	-0.62%	0.0209	✓	-0.13
2026-07-08	oos	0.35555	0.346974	-2.41%	0.3416	-3.92%	0.0105	✓	-0.12
2026-07-07	oos	0.3748	0.366822	-2.13%	0.33865	-9.65%	0.0776	✓	-0.15
2026-07-06	oos	0.3765	0.368972	-2.00%	0.3583	-4.83%	0.0279	✓	-0.15
2026-07-05	oos	0.38175	0.373701	-2.11%	0.34955	-8.43%	0.0657	✓	-0.15
2026-07-04	oos	0.3877	0.379006	-2.24%	0.3431	-11.50%	0.0987	✓	-0.14
2026-07-03	oos	0.384	0.374711	-2.42%	0.32795	-14.60%	0.1309	✓	-0.16
2026-07-02	oos	0.3888	0.378457	-2.66%	0.3215	-17.31%	0.1600	✓	-0.15
2026-07-01	oos	0.3947	0.382956	-2.98%	0.3287	-16.72%	0.1463	✓	-0.14
2026-06-30	oos	0.3947	0.381516	-3.34%	0.3309	-16.16%	0.1270	✓	-0.15
2026-06-29	oos	0.39385	0.381058	-3.25%	0.32935	-16.38%	0.1369	✓	-0.15
2026-06-28	oos	0.3783	0.364638	-3.61%	0.35	-7.48%	0.0268	✓	-0.20
2026-06-27	oos	0.37735	0.363204	-3.75%	0.36775	-2.54%	0.0245	✓	-0.20
2026-06-26	oos	0.39065	0.376085	-3.73%	0.37585	-3.79%	0.0155	✓	-0.19
2026-06-25	oos	0.3913	0.376076	-3.89%	0.37075	-5.25%	0.0000	✓	-0.19
2026-06-24	oos	0.3809	0.365205	-4.12%	0.3617	-5.04%	0.0014	✓	-0.17
2026-06-23	oos	0.3911	0.375653	-3.95%	0.3527	-9.82%	0.0555	✓	-0.20
2026-06-22	oos	0.39995	0.384548	-3.85%	0.35555	-11.10%	0.0712	✓	-0.22
2026-06-21	oos	0.411	0.3952	-3.84%	0.36335	-11.59%	0.0740	✓	-0.20
2026-06-20	oos	0.4169	0.400796	-3.86%	0.3239	-22.31%	0.2099	✓	-0.21
2026-06-19	oos	0.40235	0.385057	-4.30%	0.31675	-21.28%	0.1905	✓	-0.26
2026-06-18	oos	0.3724	0.352891	-5.24%	0.31925	-14.27%	0.0897	✓	-0.35
2026-06-17	oos	0.415	0.397162	-4.30%	0.3248	-21.73%	0.2053	✓	-0.49
2026-06-16	oos	0.4273	0.409292	-4.21%	0.33275	-22.13%	0.2217	✓	-0.51
2026-06-15	oos	0.4357	0.417375	-4.21%	0.3329	-23.59%	0.2385	✓	-0.52
2026-06-14	oos	0.4935	0.47499	-3.75%	0.33125	-32.88%	0.3648	✓	-0.40
2026-06-13	oos	0.44765	0.427753	-4.44%	0.32705	-26.94%	0.2343	✓	1.00
2026-06-12	oos	0.45495	0.434246	-4.55%	0.3384	-25.62%	0.2526	✓	1.00
2026-06-11	oos	0.4724	0.450579	-4.62%	0.3452	-26.93%	0.2697	✓	1.00
2026-06-10	oos	0.4711	0.447771	-4.95%	0.34765	-26.20%	0.2958	✓	1.00
2026-06-09	oos	0.4527	0.428402	-5.37%	0.3484	-23.04%	0.2306	✓	1.00
2026-06-08	oos	0.4637	0.437634	-5.62%	0.35555	-23.32%	0.1945	✓	1.00
2026-06-07	oos	0.4677	0.439846	-5.96%	0.3748	-19.86%	0.1604	✓	1.00
2026-06-06	oos	0.4055	0.376943	-7.04%	0.3765	-7.15%	0.0517	✓	1.00
2026-06-05	oos	0.4356	0.406436	-6.70%	0.38175	-12.36%	0.1036	✓	1.00
2026-06-04	oos	0.4301	0.397393	-7.60%	0.3877	-9.86%	0.0134	✓	1.00
2026-06-03	oos	0.4796	0.446634	-6.87%	0.384	-19.93%	0.1271	✓	1.00
2026-06-02	oos	0.509	0.473953	-6.89%	0.3888	-23.61%	0.1172	✓	1.00
2026-06-01	oos	0.4463	0.410856	-7.94%	0.3947	-11.56%	0.1333	✗	1.00
2026-05-31	oos	0.4511	0.417039	-7.55%	0.3947	-12.50%	0.1738	✗	1.00
2026-05-30	oos	0.47675	0.443526	-6.97%	0.39385	-17.39%	0.0851	✗	1.00
2026-05-29	oos	0.45355	0.417828	-7.88%	0.3783	-16.59%	0.1106	✗	1.00
2026-05-28	oos	0.62785	0.587269	-6.46%	0.37735	-39.90%	0.2381	✓	1.00
2026-05-27	oos	0.71265	0.664825	-6.71%	0.39065	-45.18%	0.3178	✓	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.67035	0.629534	-6.09%	0.3913	-41.63%	0.2365	✓	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.6361	0.603934	-5.06%	0.3809	-40.12%	0.2245	✓	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.72305	0.676225	-6.48%	0.3911	-45.91%	0.3416	✓	1.00