GENIUS

Genius · Binance Smart Chain · gru_s0

token id: #408
symbol: GENIUS
variant: –
chain: Binance Smart Chain
address: 0x1f12b85aac097e43aa1555b2881e98a51090e9a6
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-15
predictions: 453

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

150

of 151 predictions shown

direction hit

55.3%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0339

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0032

actual -0.0049

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.3071	0.306195	-0.29%	–	pending	–	–	-0.10
2026-10-20	oos	0.3057	0.304948	-0.25%	0.3071	+0.46%	0.0067	✗	-0.10
2026-10-19	oos	0.30015	0.299543	-0.20%	0.3057	+1.85%	0.0217	✗	-0.10
2026-10-18	oos	0.3024	0.301847	-0.18%	0.30015	-0.74%	0.0057	✓	-0.04
2026-10-17	oos	0.29965	0.299284	-0.12%	0.3024	+0.92%	0.0107	✗	-0.04
2026-10-16	oos	0.3056	0.305269	-0.11%	0.29965	-1.95%	0.0186	✓	-0.04
2026-10-15	oos	0.30045	0.300117	-0.11%	0.3056	+1.71%	0.0178	✗	-0.04
2026-10-14	oos	0.31885	0.318077	-0.24%	0.30045	-5.77%	0.0568	✓	-0.03
2026-10-13	oos	0.3176	0.317194	-0.13%	0.31885	+0.39%	0.0046	✗	-0.03
2026-10-12	oos	0.32945	0.328642	-0.25%	0.3176	-3.60%	0.0339	✓	-0.02
2026-10-11	oos	0.3359	0.335209	-0.21%	0.32945	-1.92%	0.0177	✓	-0.02
2026-10-10	oos	0.346	0.344967	-0.30%	0.3359	-2.92%	0.0268	✓	0.01
2026-10-09	oos	0.3428	0.341709	-0.32%	0.346	+0.93%	0.0124	✗	0.01
2026-10-08	oos	0.3213	0.320365	-0.29%	0.3428	+6.69%	0.0677	✗	0.00
2026-10-07	oos	0.324	0.323233	-0.24%	0.3213	-0.83%	0.0060	✓	-0.00
2026-10-06	oos	0.32765	0.327135	-0.16%	0.324	-1.11%	0.0101	✓	-0.02
2026-10-05	oos	0.32845	0.327963	-0.15%	0.32765	-0.24%	0.0009	✓	0.01
2026-10-04	oos	0.31975	0.319513	-0.07%	0.32845	+2.72%	0.0278	✗	0.02
2026-10-03	oos	0.32535	0.324768	-0.18%	0.31975	-1.72%	0.0162	✓	0.03
2026-10-02	oos	0.32695	0.326192	-0.23%	0.32535	-0.49%	0.0027	✓	0.03
2026-10-01	oos	0.31835	0.317741	-0.19%	0.32695	+2.70%	0.0287	✗	0.04
2026-09-30	oos	0.3226	0.321718	-0.27%	0.31835	-1.32%	0.0111	✓	0.04
2026-09-29	oos	0.31945	0.318756	-0.22%	0.3226	+0.99%	0.0120	✗	0.03
2026-09-28	oos	0.3168	0.315914	-0.28%	0.31945	+0.84%	0.0111	✗	0.03
2026-09-27	oos	0.3292	0.328455	-0.23%	0.3168	-3.77%	0.0360	✓	0.01
2026-09-26	oos	0.34275	0.341847	-0.26%	0.3292	-3.95%	0.0377	✓	0.02
2026-09-25	oos	0.349	0.348007	-0.28%	0.34275	-1.79%	0.0153	✓	0.01
2026-09-24	oos	0.35475	0.35373	-0.29%	0.349	-1.62%	0.0134	✓	0.02
2026-09-23	oos	0.3426	0.341609	-0.29%	0.35475	+3.55%	0.0377	✗	0.02
2026-09-22	oos	0.35245	0.350141	-0.66%	0.3426	-2.79%	0.0221	✓	-0.02
2026-09-21	oos	0.35885	0.356635	-0.62%	0.35245	-1.78%	0.0118	✓	-0.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.3747	0.369197	-1.47%	0.35885	-4.23%	0.0342	✓	0.09
2026-09-19	oos	0.34085	0.338455	-0.70%	0.3747	+9.93%	0.1018	✗	0.09
2026-09-18	oos	0.3402	0.336397	-1.12%	0.34085	+0.19%	0.0127	✗	0.10
2026-09-17	oos	0.3605	0.35095	-2.65%	0.3402	-5.63%	0.0433	✓	0.21
2026-09-16	oos	0.3024	0.301932	-0.15%	0.3605	+19.21%	0.1767	✗	0.23
2026-09-15	oos	0.3036	0.303198	-0.13%	0.3024	-0.40%	0.0049	✓	0.31
2026-09-14	oos	0.2988	0.298666	-0.04%	0.3036	+1.61%	0.0282	✗	0.35
2026-09-13	oos	0.29545	0.295372	-0.03%	0.2988	+1.13%	0.0053	✗	0.35
2026-09-12	oos	0.29705	0.297027	-0.01%	0.29545	-0.54%	0.0034	✓	0.33
2026-09-11	oos	0.30415	0.303888	-0.09%	0.29705	-2.33%	0.0230	✓	0.38
2026-09-10	oos	0.2871	0.287323	+0.08%	0.30415	+5.94%	0.0538	✓	0.36
2026-09-09	oos	0.28855	0.288807	+0.09%	0.2871	-0.50%	0.0024	✓	0.37
2026-09-08	oos	0.30395	0.303951	+0.00%	0.28855	-5.07%	0.0512	✗	0.36
2026-09-07	oos	0.2922	0.292424	+0.08%	0.30395	+4.02%	0.0416	✓	0.37
2026-09-06	oos	0.2962	0.296382	+0.06%	0.2922	-1.35%	0.0084	✗	0.37
2026-09-05	oos	0.30035	0.300384	+0.01%	0.2962	-1.38%	0.0164	✗	0.37
2026-09-04	oos	0.2933	0.293545	+0.08%	0.30035	+2.40%	0.0219	✓	0.52
2026-09-03	oos	0.29125	0.291727	+0.16%	0.2933	+0.70%	0.0161	✓	0.54
2026-09-02	oos	0.2859	0.286334	+0.15%	0.29125	+1.87%	0.0073	✗	0.49
2026-09-01	oos	0.2773	0.27781	+0.18%	0.2859	+3.10%	0.0293	✓	0.51
2026-08-31	oos	0.2837	0.284388	+0.24%	0.2773	-2.26%	0.0172	✗	0.54
2026-08-30	oos	0.28175	0.282459	+0.25%	0.2837	+0.69%	0.0016	✓	0.24
2026-08-29	oos	0.2845	0.285226	+0.26%	0.28175	-0.97%	0.0105	✗	0.24
2026-08-28	oos	0.28265	0.283392	+0.26%	0.2845	+0.65%	0.0027	✓	0.24
2026-08-27	oos	0.3045	0.305206	+0.23%	0.28265	-7.18%	0.0706	✗	0.20
2026-08-26	oos	0.30725	0.30791	+0.21%	0.3045	-0.90%	0.0147	✗	0.22
2026-08-25	oos	0.3083	0.309027	+0.24%	0.30725	-0.34%	0.0074	✗	0.26
2026-08-24	oos	0.3126	0.313326	+0.23%	0.3083	-1.38%	0.0149	✗	0.22
2026-08-23	oos	0.324	0.324632	+0.20%	0.3126	-3.52%	0.0410	✗	0.20
2026-08-22	oos	0.3344	0.334965	+0.17%	0.324	-3.11%	0.0350	✗	0.20
2026-08-21	oos	0.34135	0.341874	+0.15%	0.3344	-2.04%	0.0188	✗	0.20
2026-08-20	oos	0.3111	0.311627	+0.17%	0.34135	+9.72%	0.0871	✓	0.06
2026-08-19	oos	0.3291	0.329125	+0.01%	0.3111	-5.47%	0.0491	✗	-0.14
2026-08-18	oos	0.36445	0.363501	-0.26%	0.3291	-9.70%	0.1053	✓	0.09
2026-08-17	oos	0.36775	0.366774	-0.27%	0.36445	-0.90%	0.0067	✓	0.10
2026-08-16	oos	0.36445	0.363441	-0.28%	0.36775	+0.91%	0.0094	✗	0.09
2026-08-15	oos	0.3723	0.370911	-0.37%	0.36445	-2.11%	0.0173	✓	0.09
2026-08-14	oos	0.3686	0.367525	-0.29%	0.3723	+1.00%	0.0128	✗	0.11
2026-08-13	oos	0.3931	0.391571	-0.39%	0.3686	-6.23%	0.0598	✓	0.09
2026-08-12	oos	0.376	0.374498	-0.40%	0.3931	+4.55%	0.0485	✗	0.08
2026-08-11	oos	0.3729	0.370718	-0.59%	0.376	+0.83%	0.0143	✗	0.08
2026-08-10	oos	0.36395	0.361629	-0.64%	0.3729	+2.46%	0.0312	✗	0.09
2026-08-09	oos	0.34505	0.343947	-0.32%	0.36395	+5.48%	0.0581	✗	0.11
2026-08-08	oos	0.34625	0.345002	-0.36%	0.34505	-0.35%	0.0002	✓	0.11
2026-08-07	oos	0.3416	0.340444	-0.34%	0.34625	+1.36%	0.0169	✗	0.11
2026-08-06	oos	0.33865	0.337537	-0.33%	0.3416	+0.87%	0.0110	✗	0.10
2026-08-05	oos	0.3583	0.356758	-0.43%	0.33865	-5.48%	0.0516	✓	0.10
2026-08-04	oos	0.34955	0.347701	-0.53%	0.3583	+2.50%	0.0293	✗	0.09
2026-08-03	oos	0.3431	0.340921	-0.63%	0.34955	+1.88%	0.0243	✗	0.08
2026-08-02	oos	0.32795	0.326432	-0.46%	0.3431	+4.62%	0.0498	✗	0.07
2026-08-01	oos	0.3215	0.320265	-0.38%	0.32795	+2.01%	0.0230	✗	0.06
2026-07-31	oos	0.3287	0.327355	-0.41%	0.3215	-2.19%	0.0180	✓	0.06
2026-07-30	oos	0.3309	0.329463	-0.43%	0.3287	-0.66%	0.0004	✓	0.06
2026-07-29	oos	0.32935	0.328306	-0.32%	0.3309	+0.47%	0.0071	✗	0.06
2026-07-28	oos	0.35	0.348809	-0.34%	0.32935	-5.90%	0.0575	✓	0.07
2026-07-27	oos	0.36775	0.366267	-0.40%	0.35	-4.83%	0.0456	✓	0.08
2026-07-26	oos	0.37585	0.373851	-0.53%	0.36775	-2.16%	0.0149	✓	0.06
2026-07-25	oos	0.37075	0.367481	-0.88%	0.37585	+1.38%	0.0217	✗	0.05
2026-07-24	oos	0.3617	0.360114	-0.44%	0.37075	+2.50%	0.0290	✗	0.04
2026-07-23	oos	0.3527	0.351212	-0.42%	0.3617	+2.55%	0.0303	✗	0.06
2026-07-22	oos	0.35555	0.353783	-0.50%	0.3527	-0.80%	0.0022	✓	0.05
2026-07-21	oos	0.36335	0.359103	-1.17%	0.35555	-2.15%	0.0096	✓	0.05
2026-07-20	oos	0.3239	0.322626	-0.39%	0.36335	+12.18%	0.1200	✗	-0.06
2026-07-19	oos	0.31675	0.315642	-0.35%	0.3239	+2.26%	0.0264	✗	-0.07
2026-07-18	oos	0.31925	0.318066	-0.37%	0.31675	-0.78%	0.0043	✓	-0.07
2026-07-17	oos	0.3248	0.323539	-0.39%	0.31925	-1.71%	0.0124	✓	-0.06
2026-07-16	oos	0.33275	0.331328	-0.43%	0.3248	-2.39%	0.0198	✓	-0.06
2026-07-15	oos	0.3329	0.331063	-0.55%	0.33275	-0.05%	0.0042	✓	-0.06
2026-07-14	oos	0.33125	0.330365	-0.27%	0.3329	+0.50%	0.0074	✗	-0.06
2026-07-13	oos	0.32705	0.32615	-0.28%	0.33125	+1.28%	0.0199	✗	-0.10
2026-07-12	oos	0.3384	0.337693	-0.21%	0.32705	-3.35%	0.0351	✓	-0.13
2026-07-11	oos	0.3452	0.344625	-0.17%	0.3384	-1.97%	0.0183	✓	-0.13
2026-07-10	oos	0.34765	0.347199	-0.13%	0.3452	-0.70%	0.0065	✓	-0.13
2026-07-09	oos	0.3484	0.347977	-0.12%	0.34765	-0.22%	0.0011	✓	-0.13
2026-07-08	oos	0.35555	0.354808	-0.21%	0.3484	-2.01%	0.0164	✓	-0.12
2026-07-07	oos	0.3748	0.37435	-0.12%	0.35555	-5.14%	0.0542	✓	-0.15
2026-07-06	oos	0.3765	0.376112	-0.10%	0.3748	-0.45%	0.0051	✓	-0.15
2026-07-05	oos	0.38175	0.381292	-0.12%	0.3765	-1.38%	0.0117	✓	-0.15
2026-07-04	oos	0.3877	0.387148	-0.14%	0.38175	-1.53%	0.0129	✓	-0.14
2026-07-03	oos	0.384	0.383421	-0.15%	0.3877	+0.96%	0.0125	✗	-0.16
2026-07-02	oos	0.3888	0.388076	-0.19%	0.384	-1.23%	0.0081	✓	-0.15
2026-07-01	oos	0.3947	0.393663	-0.26%	0.3888	-1.49%	0.0090	✓	-0.14
2026-06-30	oos	0.3947	0.393575	-0.28%	0.3947	+0.00%	0.0066	✗	-0.15
2026-06-29	oos	0.39385	0.392691	-0.29%	0.3947	+0.22%	0.0010	✓	-0.15
2026-06-28	oos	0.3783	0.377234	-0.28%	0.39385	+4.11%	0.0454	✗	-0.20
2026-06-27	oos	0.37735	0.376325	-0.27%	0.3783	+0.25%	0.0037	✗	-0.20
2026-06-26	oos	0.39065	0.389484	-0.30%	0.37735	-3.40%	0.0319	✓	-0.19
2026-06-25	oos	0.3913	0.390075	-0.31%	0.39065	-0.17%	0.0024	✓	-0.19
2026-06-24	oos	0.3809	0.379805	-0.29%	0.3913	+2.73%	0.0263	✗	-0.17
2026-06-23	oos	0.3911	0.389988	-0.28%	0.3809	-2.61%	0.0289	✓	-0.20
2026-06-22	oos	0.39995	0.398766	-0.30%	0.3911	-2.21%	0.0239	✓	-0.22
2026-06-21	oos	0.411	0.409669	-0.32%	0.39995	-2.69%	0.0218	✓	-0.20
2026-06-20	oos	0.4169	0.415444	-0.35%	0.411	-1.42%	0.0139	✓	-0.21
2026-06-19	oos	0.40235	0.400949	-0.35%	0.4169	+3.62%	0.0420	✗	-0.26
2026-06-18	oos	0.3724	0.371025	-0.37%	0.40235	+8.04%	0.0844	✗	-0.35
2026-06-17	oos	0.415	0.413569	-0.34%	0.3724	-10.27%	0.1168	✓	-0.49
2026-06-16	oos	0.4273	0.425804	-0.35%	0.415	-2.88%	0.0349	✓	-0.51
2026-06-15	oos	0.4357	0.434159	-0.35%	0.4273	-1.93%	0.0211	✓	-0.52
2026-06-14	oos	0.4935	0.490999	-0.51%	0.4357	-11.71%	0.1160	✓	-0.40
2026-06-13	oos	0.44765	0.445873	-0.40%	0.4935	+10.24%	0.0819	✗	1.00
2026-06-12	oos	0.45495	0.452965	-0.44%	0.44765	-1.60%	0.0257	✓	1.00
2026-06-11	oos	0.4724	0.470164	-0.47%	0.45495	-3.69%	0.0325	✓	1.00
2026-06-10	oos	0.4711	0.468508	-0.55%	0.4724	+0.28%	0.0256	✓	1.00
2026-06-09	oos	0.4527	0.450757	-0.43%	0.4711	+4.06%	0.0480	✗	1.00
2026-06-08	oos	0.4637	0.461399	-0.50%	0.4527	-2.37%	0.0030	✓	1.00
2026-06-07	oos	0.4677	0.464808	-0.62%	0.4637	-0.86%	0.0014	✓	1.00
2026-06-06	oos	0.4055	0.404503	-0.25%	0.4677	+15.34%	0.1057	✗	1.00
2026-06-05	oos	0.4356	0.434614	-0.23%	0.4055	-6.91%	0.0664	✓	1.00
2026-06-04	oos	0.4301	0.428741	-0.32%	0.4356	+1.28%	0.0603	✗	1.00
2026-06-03	oos	0.4796	0.477715	-0.39%	0.4301	-10.32%	0.1013	✓	1.00
2026-06-02	oos	0.509	0.504878	-0.81%	0.4796	-5.78%	0.0113	✓	1.00
2026-06-01	oos	0.4463	0.443537	-0.62%	0.509	+14.05%	0.2052	✗	1.00
2026-05-31	oos	0.4511	0.448675	-0.54%	0.4463	-1.06%	0.0259	✗	1.00
2026-05-30	oos	0.47675	0.474027	-0.57%	0.4511	-5.38%	0.0469	✓	1.00
2026-05-29	oos	0.45355	0.451266	-0.50%	0.47675	+5.12%	0.0494	✗	1.00
2026-05-28	oos	0.62785	0.622554	-0.84%	0.45355	-27.76%	0.3147	✓	1.00
2026-05-27	oos	0.71265	0.706115	-0.92%	0.62785	-11.90%	0.1066	✓	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.67035	0.662422	-1.18%	0.71265	+6.31%	0.0932	✗	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.6361	0.6298	-0.99%	0.67035	+5.38%	0.0810	✗	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.72305	0.708034	-2.08%	0.6361	-12.03%	0.1107	✓	1.00