CAP
Cap · Ethereum · gru_s0
- token id
- #71
- symbol
- CAP
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0x99991c6aabba5a096f24f250b73580f5179b9999
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-06-26
- predictions
- 327
Track record at +7d
assessed
102
of 109 predictions shown
direction hit
32.4%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.2537
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0218
actual +0.1246
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.066581 | 0.06523 | -2.03% | – | pending | – | – | -0.52 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.068735 | 0.067399 | -1.94% | – | pending | – | – | -0.57 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.066889 | 0.065502 | -2.07% | – | pending | – | – | -0.59 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.070477 | 0.068984 | -2.12% | – | pending | – | – | -0.62 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.073935 | 0.072278 | -2.24% | – | pending | – | – | -0.60 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.072748 | 0.071132 | -2.22% | – | pending | – | – | -0.59 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.07849 | 0.076779 | -2.18% | – | pending | – | – | -0.62 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.073752 | 0.0722 | -2.10% | 0.066581 | -9.72% | 0.0724 | ✓ | -0.63 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.088248 | 0.086498 | -1.98% | 0.068735 | -22.11% | 0.2313 | ✓ | -0.74 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.097059 | 0.094165 | -2.98% | 0.066889 | -31.08% | 0.3412 | ✓ | -0.72 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.092361 | 0.090589 | -1.92% | 0.070477 | -23.69% | 0.2685 | ✓ | -0.86 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.092402 | 0.090087 | -2.51% | 0.073935 | -19.99% | 0.2146 | ✓ | -0.92 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.086635 | 0.084923 | -1.98% | 0.072748 | -16.03% | 0.1665 | ✓ | -0.92 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.073139 | 0.072065 | -1.47% | 0.07849 | +7.31% | 0.0901 | ✗ | -0.90 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.07128 | 0.07047 | -1.14% | 0.073752 | +3.47% | 0.0260 | ✗ | -0.94 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.087975 | 0.085304 | -3.04% | 0.088248 | +0.31% | 0.0001 | ✓ | -1.17 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.073941 | 0.073204 | -1.00% | 0.097059 | +31.27% | 0.2263 | ✗ | -1.17 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.065278 | 0.065046 | -0.35% | 0.092361 | +41.49% | 0.3135 | ✗ | -1.12 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.069035 | 0.068548 | -0.71% | 0.092402 | +33.85% | 0.2746 | ✗ | -1.10 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.074028 | 0.07295 | -1.46% | 0.086635 | +17.03% | 0.1461 | ✗ | -1.10 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.069846 | 0.068973 | -1.25% | 0.073139 | +4.72% | 0.0179 | ✗ | -1.08 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.069306 | 0.068332 | -1.40% | 0.07128 | +2.85% | 0.0385 | ✗ | -1.12 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.059839 | 0.059213 | -1.05% | 0.087975 | +47.02% | 0.4211 | ✗ | -1.12 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.056407 | 0.055827 | -1.03% | 0.073941 | +31.08% | 0.3135 | ✗ | -1.20 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.053595 | 0.053211 | -0.72% | 0.065278 | +21.80% | 0.2334 | ✗ | -1.21 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.051578 | 0.051189 | -0.76% | 0.069035 | +33.85% | 0.3037 | ✗ | -1.20 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.052128 | 0.051692 | -0.84% | 0.074028 | +42.01% | 0.3649 | ✗ | -1.17 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.049949 | 0.049501 | -0.90% | 0.069846 | +39.83% | 0.3506 | ✗ | -1.15 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.053106 | 0.052356 | -1.41% | 0.069306 | +30.50% | 0.2691 | ✗ | -1.16 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.046809 | 0.046274 | -1.14% | 0.059839 | +27.84% | 0.2240 | ✗ | -1.10 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.045872 | 0.045381 | -1.07% | 0.056407 | +22.97% | 0.1770 | ✗ | -1.10 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.044741 | 0.043695 | -2.34% | 0.053595 | +19.79% | 0.2544 | ✗ | -1.26 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.047769 | 0.046682 | -2.28% | 0.051578 | +7.97% | 0.1485 | ✗ | -1.27 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.05581 | 0.054767 | -1.87% | 0.052128 | -6.60% | 0.0001 | ✓ | -1.26 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.054984 | 0.053905 | -1.96% | 0.049949 | -9.16% | 0.0640 | ✗ | -1.40 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.060022 | 0.058658 | -2.27% | 0.053106 | -11.52% | 0.0445 | ✗ | -1.40 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.057324 | 0.056026 | -2.26% | 0.046809 | -18.34% | 0.0053 | ✓ | -1.41 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.064413 | 0.061052 | -5.22% | 0.045872 | -28.78% | 0.1186 | ✓ | -1.64 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.047068 | 0.046582 | -1.03% | 0.044741 | -4.94% | 0.0593 | ✗ | -1.80 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.044869 | 0.044559 | -0.69% | 0.047769 | +6.46% | 0.1596 | ✗ | -1.80 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.04448 | 0.044228 | -0.57% | 0.05581 | +25.47% | 0.3159 | ✗ | -1.80 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.045466 | 0.045224 | -0.53% | 0.054984 | +20.93% | 0.1910 | ✗ | -1.79 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.047448 | 0.046982 | -0.98% | 0.060022 | +26.50% | 0.1928 | ✗ | -1.88 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.046785 | 0.046331 | -0.97% | 0.057324 | +22.53% | 0.1429 | ✗ | -1.88 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.046622 | 0.04614 | -1.04% | 0.064413 | +38.16% | 0.3116 | ✗ | -1.89 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.042957 | 0.042445 | -1.19% | 0.047068 | +9.57% | 0.0194 | ✗ | -1.86 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.044706 | 0.044121 | -1.31% | 0.044869 | +0.37% | 0.0441 | ✓ | -1.86 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.045241 | 0.044692 | -1.21% | 0.04448 | -1.68% | 0.0633 | ✓ | -1.86 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.04878 | 0.04849 | -0.59% | 0.045466 | -6.79% | 0.1829 | ✓ | -1.98 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.072695 | 0.072017 | -0.93% | 0.047448 | -34.73% | 0.3999 | ✓ | -1.38 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.070557 | 0.069893 | -0.94% | 0.046785 | -33.69% | 0.3828 | ✓ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.068387 | 0.067813 | -0.84% | 0.046622 | -31.83% | 0.3654 | ✓ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 0.068164 | 0.067527 | -0.93% | 0.042957 | -36.98% | 0.4055 | ✓ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 0.069214 | 0.068572 | -0.93% | 0.044706 | -35.41% | 0.3994 | ✓ | -1.41 |
| 2026-08-28 | oos | 0.069928 | 0.069244 | -0.98% | 0.045241 | -35.30% | 0.3929 | ✓ | -1.40 |
| 2026-08-27 | oos | 0.066045 | 0.065595 | -0.68% | 0.04878 | -26.14% | 0.2789 | ✓ | -1.41 |
| 2026-08-26 | oos | 0.070614 | 0.069942 | -0.95% | 0.072695 | +2.95% | 0.0082 | ✓ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-25 | oos | 0.069435 | 0.06871 | -1.05% | 0.070557 | +1.62% | 0.0065 | ✓ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-24 | oos | 0.068823 | 0.068147 | -0.98% | 0.068387 | -0.63% | 0.0039 | ✓ | -1.39 |
| 2026-08-23 | oos | 0.069367 | 0.068459 | -1.31% | 0.068164 | -1.73% | 0.0055 | ✓ | -1.39 |
| 2026-08-22 | oos | 0.070097 | 0.068994 | -1.57% | 0.069214 | -1.26% | 0.0242 | ✗ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-21 | oos | 0.067073 | 0.066134 | -1.40% | 0.069928 | +4.26% | 0.0472 | ✗ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-20 | oos | 0.064753 | 0.063347 | -2.17% | 0.066045 | +2.00% | 0.2131 | ✗ | -1.81 |
| 2026-08-19 | oos | 0.067798 | 0.065855 | -2.87% | 0.070614 | +4.15% | 0.3190 | ✗ | -1.90 |
| 2026-08-18 | oos | 0.068975 | 0.066751 | -3.22% | 0.069435 | +0.67% | 0.5225 | ✗ | -2.49 |
| 2026-08-17 | oos | 0.070634 | 0.068013 | -3.71% | 0.068823 | -2.56% | 0.5160 | ✗ | -2.48 |
| 2026-08-16 | oos | 0.067132 | 0.064744 | -3.56% | 0.069367 | +3.33% | 0.6475 | ✗ | -2.72 |
| 2026-08-15 | oos | 0.062121 | 0.059968 | -3.47% | 0.070097 | +12.84% | 0.6990 | ✗ | -2.70 |
| 2026-08-14 | oos | 0.065324 | 0.061618 | -5.67% | 0.067073 | +2.68% | 0.6742 | ✗ | -2.70 |
| 2026-08-13 | oos | 0.056743 | 0.054669 | -3.65% | 0.064753 | +14.12% | 0.5376 | ✗ | -2.62 |
| 2026-08-12 | oos | 0.055292 | 0.053167 | -3.84% | 0.067798 | +22.62% | 0.4753 | ✗ | -2.62 |
| 2026-08-11 | oos | 0.054776 | 0.051928 | -5.20% | 0.068975 | +25.92% | 0.3309 | ✗ | -2.62 |
| 2026-08-10 | oos | 0.046134 | 0.043716 | -5.24% | 0.070634 | +53.11% | 0.5019 | ✗ | -2.52 |
| 2026-08-09 | oos | 0.039386 | 0.037985 | -3.56% | 0.067132 | +70.45% | 0.4960 | ✗ | -2.33 |
| 2026-08-08 | oos | 0.036911 | 0.03553 | -3.74% | 0.062121 | +68.30% | 0.4903 | ✗ | -2.32 |
| 2026-08-07 | oos | 0.035967 | 0.034459 | -4.19% | 0.065324 | +81.62% | 0.5702 | ✗ | -2.31 |
| 2026-08-06 | oos | 0.030811 | 0.029397 | -4.59% | 0.056743 | +84.16% | 0.6253 | ✗ | -2.45 |
| 2026-08-05 | oos | 0.02783 | 0.026779 | -3.78% | 0.055292 | +98.68% | 0.6805 | ✗ | -2.39 |
| 2026-08-04 | oos | 0.025369 | 0.024366 | -3.95% | 0.054776 | +115.92% | 0.7899 | ✗ | -2.47 |
| 2026-08-03 | oos | 0.027598 | 0.026528 | -3.87% | 0.046134 | +67.17% | 0.5703 | ✗ | -2.42 |
| 2026-08-02 | oos | 0.029535 | 0.02832 | -4.11% | 0.039386 | +33.36% | 0.3811 | ✗ | -2.44 |
| 2026-08-01 | oos | 0.027282 | 0.026184 | -4.02% | 0.036911 | +35.30% | 0.4292 | ✗ | -2.55 |
| 2026-07-31 | oos | 0.039226 | 0.036915 | -5.89% | 0.035967 | -8.31% | 0.0596 | ✓ | -2.65 |
| 2026-07-30 | oos | 0.034526 | 0.032465 | -5.97% | 0.030811 | -10.76% | 0.0699 | ✓ | -2.50 |
| 2026-07-29 | oos | 0.026065 | 0.025242 | -3.16% | 0.02783 | +6.77% | 0.1296 | ✗ | -2.91 |
| 2026-07-28 | oos | 0.027298 | 0.026328 | -3.55% | 0.025369 | -7.07% | 0.0278 | ✓ | -2.92 |
| 2026-07-27 | oos | 0.024081 | 0.023388 | -2.88% | 0.027598 | +14.60% | 0.1550 | ✗ | -2.92 |
| 2026-07-26 | oos | 0.022534 | 0.022007 | -2.34% | 0.029535 | +31.07% | 0.2098 | ✗ | -2.95 |
| 2026-07-25 | oos | 0.020987 | 0.0205 | -2.32% | 0.027282 | +29.99% | 0.3099 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-24 | oos | 0.02708 | 0.026173 | -3.35% | 0.039226 | +44.85% | 0.4244 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-23 | oos | 0.023588 | 0.023015 | -2.43% | 0.034526 | +46.37% | 0.4107 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-22 | oos | 0.021176 | 0.020786 | -1.84% | 0.026065 | +23.09% | 0.2600 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-21 | oos | 0.019997 | 0.019663 | -1.67% | 0.027298 | +36.51% | 0.3691 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-20 | oos | 0.02103 | 0.020619 | -1.95% | 0.024081 | +14.51% | 0.1788 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-19 | oos | 0.018488 | 0.018144 | -1.86% | 0.022534 | +21.89% | 0.2065 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-18 | oos | 0.018888 | 0.01854 | -1.84% | 0.020987 | +11.12% | 0.1318 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-17 | oos | 0.018668 | 0.018313 | -1.90% | 0.02708 | +45.06% | 0.3882 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-16 | oos | 0.018416 | 0.018062 | -1.92% | 0.023588 | +28.08% | 0.2470 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-15 | oos | 0.018352 | 0.018017 | -1.83% | 0.021176 | +15.39% | 0.1406 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-14 | oos | 0.016452 | 0.01612 | -2.02% | 0.019997 | +21.55% | 0.1923 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-13 | oos | 0.019108 | 0.018727 | -2.00% | 0.02103 | +10.06% | 0.0697 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-12 | oos | 0.017007 | 0.016648 | -2.11% | 0.018488 | +8.71% | 0.0901 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-11 | oos | 0.015945 | 0.015548 | -2.49% | 0.018888 | +18.46% | 0.1787 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-10 | oos | 0.019616 | 0.019315 | -1.53% | 0.018668 | -4.83% | 0.0304 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-09 | oos | 0.021747 | 0.02143 | -1.46% | 0.018416 | -15.32% | 0.1610 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-08 | oos | 0.022573 | 0.022214 | -1.59% | 0.018352 | -18.70% | 0.2300 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-07 | oos | 0.020944 | 0.020642 | -1.44% | 0.016452 | -21.45% | 0.2529 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-06 | oos | 0.02124 | 0.020949 | -1.37% | 0.019108 | -10.04% | 0.0645 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-05 | oos | 0.023265 | 0.022882 | -1.64% | 0.017007 | -26.90% | 0.2992 | ✓ | 1.00 |