CAP
Cap · Ethereum · gru_s0
- token id
- #71
- symbol
- CAP
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0x99991c6aabba5a096f24f250b73580f5179b9999
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-06-26
- predictions
- 327
Track record at +30d
assessed
79
of 109 predictions shown
direction hit
13.9%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.7269
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0637
actual +0.6198
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.066581 | 0.062386 | -6.30% | – | pending | – | – | -0.52 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.068735 | 0.064621 | -5.99% | – | pending | – | – | -0.57 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.066889 | 0.062572 | -6.45% | – | pending | – | – | -0.59 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.070477 | 0.065959 | -6.41% | – | pending | – | – | -0.62 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.073935 | 0.069037 | -6.62% | – | pending | – | – | -0.60 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.072748 | 0.067913 | -6.65% | – | pending | – | – | -0.59 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.07849 | 0.073619 | -6.21% | – | pending | – | – | -0.62 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.073752 | 0.06899 | -6.46% | – | pending | – | – | -0.63 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.088248 | 0.0833 | -5.61% | – | pending | – | – | -0.74 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.097059 | 0.090782 | -6.47% | – | pending | – | – | -0.72 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.092361 | 0.08765 | -5.10% | – | pending | – | – | -0.86 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.092402 | 0.087334 | -5.48% | – | pending | – | – | -0.92 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.086635 | 0.082178 | -5.14% | – | pending | – | – | -0.92 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.073139 | 0.069735 | -4.66% | – | pending | – | – | -0.90 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.07128 | 0.068758 | -3.54% | – | pending | – | – | -0.94 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.087975 | 0.084362 | -4.11% | – | pending | – | – | -1.17 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.073941 | 0.07219 | -2.37% | – | pending | – | – | -1.17 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.065278 | 0.064482 | -1.22% | – | pending | – | – | -1.12 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.069035 | 0.067618 | -2.05% | – | pending | – | – | -1.10 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.074028 | 0.072161 | -2.52% | – | pending | – | – | -1.10 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.069846 | 0.068297 | -2.22% | – | pending | – | – | -1.08 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.069306 | 0.067359 | -2.81% | – | pending | – | – | -1.12 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.059839 | 0.058456 | -2.31% | – | pending | – | – | -1.12 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.056407 | 0.055129 | -2.26% | – | pending | – | – | -1.20 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.053595 | 0.052607 | -1.84% | – | pending | – | – | -1.21 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.051578 | 0.050527 | -2.04% | – | pending | – | – | -1.20 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.052128 | 0.051078 | -2.01% | – | pending | – | – | -1.17 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.049949 | 0.048889 | -2.12% | – | pending | – | – | -1.15 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.053106 | 0.051767 | -2.52% | – | pending | – | – | -1.16 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.046809 | 0.045429 | -2.95% | – | pending | – | – | -1.10 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.045872 | 0.044584 | -2.81% | 0.066581 | +45.14% | 0.3505 | ✗ | -1.10 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.044741 | 0.041728 | -6.73% | 0.068735 | +53.63% | 0.5263 | ✗ | -1.26 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.047769 | 0.045009 | -5.78% | 0.066889 | +40.02% | 0.4056 | ✗ | -1.27 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.05581 | 0.05279 | -5.41% | 0.070477 | +26.28% | 0.3065 | ✗ | -1.26 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.054984 | 0.05128 | -6.74% | 0.073935 | +34.47% | 0.4553 | ✗ | -1.40 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.060022 | 0.056082 | -6.56% | 0.072748 | +21.20% | 0.3554 | ✗ | -1.40 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.057324 | 0.053362 | -6.91% | 0.07849 | +36.92% | 0.5027 | ✗ | -1.41 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.064413 | 0.059369 | -7.83% | 0.073752 | +14.50% | 0.2864 | ✗ | -1.64 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.047068 | 0.044041 | -6.43% | 0.088248 | +87.49% | 0.8373 | ✗ | -1.80 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.044869 | 0.042089 | -6.20% | 0.097059 | +116.32% | 0.9367 | ✗ | -1.80 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.04448 | 0.041862 | -5.89% | 0.092361 | +107.64% | 0.9358 | ✗ | -1.80 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.045466 | 0.042871 | -5.71% | 0.092402 | +103.23% | 0.9113 | ✗ | -1.79 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.047448 | 0.045073 | -5.01% | 0.086635 | +82.59% | 0.7531 | ✗ | -1.88 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.046785 | 0.044501 | -4.88% | 0.073139 | +56.33% | 0.5731 | ✗ | -1.88 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.046622 | 0.044461 | -4.64% | 0.07128 | +52.89% | 0.5696 | ✗ | -1.89 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.042957 | 0.040799 | -5.02% | 0.087975 | +104.80% | 0.8854 | ✗ | -1.86 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.044706 | 0.042399 | -5.16% | 0.073941 | +65.39% | 0.6892 | ✗ | -1.86 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.045241 | 0.043131 | -4.66% | 0.065278 | +44.29% | 0.5677 | ✗ | -1.86 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.04878 | 0.047439 | -2.75% | 0.069035 | +41.52% | 0.4580 | ✗ | -1.98 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.072695 | 0.07048 | -3.05% | 0.074028 | +1.83% | 0.1720 | ✗ | -1.38 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.070557 | 0.068341 | -3.14% | 0.069846 | -1.01% | 0.1484 | ✗ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.068387 | 0.066412 | -2.89% | 0.069306 | +1.34% | 0.1279 | ✗ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 0.068164 | 0.066048 | -3.10% | 0.059839 | -12.21% | 0.0039 | ✓ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 0.069214 | 0.067161 | -2.97% | 0.056407 | -18.50% | 0.0837 | ✓ | -1.41 |
| 2026-08-28 | oos | 0.069928 | 0.067836 | -2.99% | 0.053595 | -23.36% | 0.1210 | ✓ | -1.40 |
| 2026-08-27 | oos | 0.066045 | 0.064573 | -2.23% | 0.051578 | -21.90% | 0.1536 | ✓ | -1.41 |
| 2026-08-26 | oos | 0.070614 | 0.068741 | -2.65% | 0.052128 | -26.18% | 0.1908 | ✓ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-25 | oos | 0.069435 | 0.067436 | -2.88% | 0.049949 | -28.06% | 0.2007 | ✓ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-24 | oos | 0.068823 | 0.067025 | -2.61% | 0.053106 | -22.84% | 0.1408 | ✓ | -1.39 |
| 2026-08-23 | oos | 0.069367 | 0.067104 | -3.26% | 0.046809 | -32.52% | 0.2167 | ✓ | -1.39 |
| 2026-08-22 | oos | 0.070097 | 0.067459 | -3.76% | 0.045872 | -34.56% | 0.2241 | ✓ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-21 | oos | 0.067073 | 0.064935 | -3.19% | 0.044741 | -33.30% | 0.3233 | ✓ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-20 | oos | 0.064753 | 0.06134 | -5.27% | 0.047769 | -26.23% | 0.0572 | ✓ | -1.81 |
| 2026-08-19 | oos | 0.067798 | 0.0633 | -6.63% | 0.05581 | -17.68% | 0.1672 | ✗ | -1.90 |
| 2026-08-18 | oos | 0.068975 | 0.063637 | -7.74% | 0.054984 | -20.28% | 0.2669 | ✗ | -2.49 |
| 2026-08-17 | oos | 0.070634 | 0.064862 | -8.17% | 0.060022 | -15.02% | 0.3357 | ✗ | -2.48 |
| 2026-08-16 | oos | 0.067132 | 0.061563 | -8.30% | 0.057324 | -14.61% | 0.4310 | ✗ | -2.72 |
| 2026-08-15 | oos | 0.062121 | 0.056921 | -8.37% | 0.064413 | +3.69% | 0.7056 | ✗ | -2.70 |
| 2026-08-14 | oos | 0.065324 | 0.058723 | -10.11% | 0.047068 | -27.95% | 0.3150 | ✗ | -2.70 |
| 2026-08-13 | oos | 0.056743 | 0.051974 | -8.40% | 0.044869 | -20.93% | 0.3693 | ✗ | -2.62 |
| 2026-08-12 | oos | 0.055292 | 0.05048 | -8.70% | 0.04448 | -19.55% | 0.3883 | ✗ | -2.62 |
| 2026-08-11 | oos | 0.054776 | 0.049337 | -9.93% | 0.045466 | -17.00% | 0.4061 | ✗ | -2.62 |
| 2026-08-10 | oos | 0.046134 | 0.0416 | -9.83% | 0.047448 | +2.85% | 0.6417 | ✗ | -2.52 |
| 2026-08-09 | oos | 0.039386 | 0.036088 | -8.37% | 0.046785 | +18.79% | 0.7035 | ✗ | -2.33 |
| 2026-08-08 | oos | 0.036911 | 0.033726 | -8.63% | 0.046622 | +26.31% | 0.7816 | ✗ | -2.32 |
| 2026-08-07 | oos | 0.035967 | 0.032681 | -9.14% | 0.042957 | +19.43% | 0.7674 | ✗ | -2.31 |
| 2026-08-06 | oos | 0.030811 | 0.027866 | -9.56% | 0.044706 | +45.10% | 1.0050 | ✗ | -2.45 |
| 2026-08-05 | oos | 0.02783 | 0.025274 | -9.18% | 0.045241 | +62.57% | 1.0839 | ✗ | -2.39 |
| 2026-08-04 | oos | 0.025369 | 0.022835 | -9.99% | 0.04878 | +92.28% | 1.3477 | ✗ | -2.47 |
| 2026-08-03 | oos | 0.027598 | 0.024894 | -9.80% | 0.072695 | +163.41% | 1.5495 | ✗ | -2.42 |
| 2026-08-02 | oos | 0.029535 | 0.026645 | -9.78% | 0.070557 | +138.90% | 1.4563 | ✗ | -2.44 |
| 2026-08-01 | oos | 0.027282 | 0.024469 | -10.31% | 0.068387 | +150.67% | 1.6013 | ✗ | -2.55 |
| 2026-07-31 | oos | 0.039226 | 0.034501 | -12.04% | 0.068164 | +73.77% | 1.2419 | ✗ | -2.65 |
| 2026-07-30 | oos | 0.034526 | 0.030696 | -11.09% | 0.069214 | +100.47% | 1.2874 | ✗ | -2.50 |
| 2026-07-29 | oos | 0.026065 | 0.023991 | -7.96% | 0.069928 | +168.28% | 1.6440 | ✗ | -2.91 |
| 2026-07-28 | oos | 0.027298 | 0.025068 | -8.17% | 0.066045 | +141.93% | 1.6363 | ✗ | -2.92 |
| 2026-07-27 | oos | 0.024081 | 0.022327 | -7.29% | 0.070614 | +193.23% | 1.7819 | ✗ | -2.92 |
| 2026-07-26 | oos | 0.022534 | 0.021129 | -6.23% | 0.069435 | +208.14% | 1.7324 | ✗ | -2.95 |
| 2026-07-25 | oos | 0.020987 | 0.019633 | -6.45% | 0.068823 | +227.92% | 1.0486 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-24 | oos | 0.02708 | 0.025058 | -7.47% | 0.069367 | +156.16% | 0.8252 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-23 | oos | 0.023588 | 0.022181 | -5.96% | 0.070097 | +197.18% | 0.9813 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-22 | oos | 0.021176 | 0.020104 | -5.06% | 0.067073 | +216.74% | 1.0349 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-21 | oos | 0.019997 | 0.019045 | -4.76% | 0.064753 | +223.81% | 1.1306 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-20 | oos | 0.02103 | 0.019928 | -5.24% | 0.067798 | +222.39% | 1.1636 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-19 | oos | 0.018488 | 0.01749 | -5.39% | 0.068975 | +273.09% | 1.3721 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-18 | oos | 0.018888 | 0.017895 | -5.26% | 0.070634 | +273.96% | 1.3779 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-17 | oos | 0.018668 | 0.017647 | -5.47% | 0.067132 | +259.62% | 1.3528 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-16 | oos | 0.018416 | 0.017401 | -5.51% | 0.062121 | +237.32% | 1.2844 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-15 | oos | 0.018352 | 0.017401 | -5.18% | 0.065324 | +255.95% | 1.3501 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-14 | oos | 0.016452 | 0.015497 | -5.80% | 0.056743 | +244.90% | 1.3222 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-13 | oos | 0.019108 | 0.01802 | -5.69% | 0.055292 | +189.36% | 1.1029 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-12 | oos | 0.017007 | 0.015976 | -6.06% | 0.054776 | +222.08% | 1.2355 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-11 | oos | 0.015945 | 0.014834 | -6.97% | 0.046134 | +189.33% | 1.1324 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-10 | oos | 0.019616 | 0.018703 | -4.65% | 0.039386 | +100.79% | 0.7336 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-09 | oos | 0.021747 | 0.020792 | -4.39% | 0.036911 | +69.73% | 0.5469 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-08 | oos | 0.022573 | 0.021538 | -4.59% | 0.035967 | +59.34% | 0.4711 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-07 | oos | 0.020944 | 0.02002 | -4.41% | 0.030811 | +47.11% | 0.4164 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-06 | oos | 0.02124 | 0.020378 | -4.06% | 0.02783 | +31.02% | 0.3023 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-05 | oos | 0.023265 | 0.022277 | -4.25% | 0.025369 | +9.04% | 0.1226 | ✗ | 1.00 |