CAP
Cap · Ethereum · gru_s0
- token id
- #71
- symbol
- CAP
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0x99991c6aabba5a096f24f250b73580f5179b9999
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-06-26
- predictions
- 330
Track record at +1d
assessed
109
of 110 predictions shown
direction hit
37.6%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0824
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0089
actual +0.0136
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | oos | 0.069027 | 0.068571 | -0.66% | – | pending | – | – | -0.47 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.06897 | 0.068566 | -0.58% | 0.069027 | +0.08% | 0.0079 | ✗ | -0.53 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.068735 | 0.068336 | -0.58% | 0.06897 | +0.34% | 0.0167 | ✗ | -0.57 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.066889 | 0.066513 | -0.56% | 0.068735 | +2.76% | 0.0407 | ✗ | -0.59 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.070477 | 0.070051 | -0.60% | 0.066889 | -5.09% | 0.0475 | ✓ | -0.62 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.073935 | 0.073448 | -0.66% | 0.070477 | -4.68% | 0.0367 | ✓ | -0.60 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.072748 | 0.072306 | -0.61% | 0.073935 | +1.63% | 0.0214 | ✗ | -0.59 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.07849 | 0.077953 | -0.68% | 0.072748 | -7.32% | 0.0738 | ✓ | -0.62 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.073752 | 0.073343 | -0.55% | 0.07849 | +6.42% | 0.0721 | ✗ | -0.63 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.088248 | 0.087583 | -0.75% | 0.073752 | -16.43% | 0.1857 | ✓ | -0.74 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.097059 | 0.09573 | -1.37% | 0.088248 | -9.08% | 0.0695 | ✓ | -0.72 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.092361 | 0.091536 | -0.89% | 0.097059 | +5.09% | 0.0384 | ✗ | -0.86 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.092402 | 0.091245 | -1.25% | 0.092361 | -0.04% | 0.0206 | ✗ | -0.92 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.086635 | 0.085777 | -0.99% | 0.092402 | +6.66% | 0.0785 | ✗ | -0.92 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.073139 | 0.072628 | -0.70% | 0.086635 | +18.45% | 0.1857 | ✗ | -0.90 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.07128 | 0.07081 | -0.66% | 0.073139 | +2.61% | 0.0143 | ✗ | -0.94 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.087975 | 0.0864 | -1.79% | 0.07128 | -18.98% | 0.2237 | ✓ | -1.17 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.073941 | 0.073388 | -0.75% | 0.087975 | +18.98% | 0.1784 | ✗ | -1.17 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.065278 | 0.06497 | -0.47% | 0.073941 | +13.27% | 0.1195 | ✗ | -1.12 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.069035 | 0.068607 | -0.62% | 0.065278 | -5.44% | 0.0271 | ✓ | -1.10 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.074028 | 0.073202 | -1.12% | 0.069035 | -6.74% | 0.0555 | ✓ | -1.10 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.069846 | 0.069137 | -1.01% | 0.074028 | +5.99% | 0.0640 | ✗ | -1.08 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.069306 | 0.068558 | -1.08% | 0.069846 | +0.78% | 0.0357 | ✗ | -1.12 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.059839 | 0.059345 | -0.83% | 0.069306 | +15.82% | 0.1540 | ✗ | -1.12 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.056407 | 0.05595 | -0.81% | 0.059839 | +6.09% | 0.0698 | ✗ | -1.20 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.053595 | 0.053238 | -0.67% | 0.056407 | +5.25% | 0.0433 | ✗ | -1.21 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.051578 | 0.051262 | -0.61% | 0.053595 | +3.91% | 0.0452 | ✗ | -1.20 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.052128 | 0.051776 | -0.67% | 0.051578 | -1.05% | 0.0007 | ✓ | -1.17 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.049949 | 0.04962 | -0.66% | 0.052128 | +4.36% | 0.0453 | ✗ | -1.15 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.053106 | 0.052599 | -0.95% | 0.049949 | -5.94% | 0.0516 | ✓ | -1.16 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.046809 | 0.046532 | -0.59% | 0.053106 | +13.45% | 0.1087 | ✗ | -1.10 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.045872 | 0.045606 | -0.58% | 0.046809 | +2.04% | 0.0210 | ✗ | -1.10 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.044741 | 0.044517 | -0.50% | 0.045872 | +2.53% | 0.1115 | ✗ | -1.26 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.047769 | 0.047441 | -0.69% | 0.044741 | -6.34% | 0.0598 | ✓ | -1.27 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.05581 | 0.055429 | -0.68% | 0.047769 | -14.41% | 0.1431 | ✓ | -1.26 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.054984 | 0.054602 | -0.70% | 0.05581 | +1.50% | 0.1026 | ✗ | -1.40 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.060022 | 0.059348 | -1.12% | 0.054984 | -8.39% | 0.0726 | ✓ | -1.40 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.057324 | 0.056626 | -1.22% | 0.060022 | +4.71% | 0.0686 | ✗ | -1.41 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.064413 | 0.062525 | -2.93% | 0.057324 | -11.01% | 0.1420 | ✓ | -1.64 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.047068 | 0.04687 | -0.42% | 0.064413 | +36.85% | 0.3499 | ✗ | -1.80 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.044869 | 0.044728 | -0.31% | 0.047068 | +4.90% | 0.0402 | ✗ | -1.80 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.04448 | 0.044346 | -0.30% | 0.044869 | +0.87% | 0.0130 | ✗ | -1.80 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.045466 | 0.045313 | -0.34% | 0.04448 | -2.17% | 0.0029 | ✓ | -1.79 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.047448 | 0.047233 | -0.45% | 0.045466 | -4.18% | 0.0806 | ✓ | -1.88 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.046785 | 0.046582 | -0.43% | 0.047448 | +1.42% | 0.0145 | ✗ | -1.88 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.046622 | 0.046413 | -0.45% | 0.046785 | +0.35% | 0.0075 | ✓ | -1.89 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.042957 | 0.042799 | -0.37% | 0.046622 | +8.53% | 0.0564 | ✗ | -1.86 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.044706 | 0.044549 | -0.35% | 0.042957 | -3.91% | 0.0246 | ✓ | -1.86 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.045241 | 0.045128 | -0.25% | 0.044706 | -1.18% | 0.0057 | ✓ | -1.86 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.04878 | 0.048693 | -0.18% | 0.045241 | -7.25% | 0.1126 | ✓ | -1.98 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.072695 | 0.07215 | -0.75% | 0.04878 | -32.90% | 0.3226 | ✓ | -1.38 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.070557 | 0.070045 | -0.73% | 0.072695 | +3.03% | 0.0355 | ✗ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.068387 | 0.067921 | -0.68% | 0.070557 | +3.17% | 0.0174 | ✗ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 0.068164 | 0.067673 | -0.72% | 0.068387 | +0.33% | 0.0264 | ✗ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 0.069214 | 0.068705 | -0.74% | 0.068164 | -1.52% | 0.0182 | ✓ | -1.41 |
| 2026-08-28 | oos | 0.069928 | 0.069397 | -0.76% | 0.069214 | -1.02% | 0.0045 | ✓ | -1.40 |
| 2026-08-27 | oos | 0.066045 | 0.065629 | -0.63% | 0.069928 | +5.88% | 0.0199 | ✗ | -1.41 |
| 2026-08-26 | oos | 0.070614 | 0.070086 | -0.75% | 0.066045 | -6.47% | 0.0377 | ✓ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-25 | oos | 0.069435 | 0.068905 | -0.76% | 0.070614 | +1.70% | 0.0333 | ✗ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-24 | oos | 0.068823 | 0.068329 | -0.72% | 0.069435 | +0.89% | 0.0080 | ✗ | -1.39 |
| 2026-08-23 | oos | 0.069367 | 0.068824 | -0.78% | 0.068823 | -0.78% | 0.0222 | ✗ | -1.39 |
| 2026-08-22 | oos | 0.070097 | 0.069511 | -0.84% | 0.069367 | -1.04% | 0.0100 | ✗ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-21 | oos | 0.067073 | 0.066584 | -0.73% | 0.070097 | +4.51% | 0.0288 | ✗ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-20 | oos | 0.064753 | 0.064184 | -0.88% | 0.067073 | +3.58% | 0.1710 | ✗ | -1.81 |
| 2026-08-19 | oos | 0.067798 | 0.067047 | -1.11% | 0.064753 | -4.49% | 0.0642 | ✗ | -1.90 |
| 2026-08-18 | oos | 0.068975 | 0.068151 | -1.19% | 0.067798 | -1.71% | 0.1666 | ✗ | -2.49 |
| 2026-08-17 | oos | 0.070634 | 0.069593 | -1.47% | 0.068975 | -2.35% | 0.0011 | ✓ | -2.48 |
| 2026-08-16 | oos | 0.067132 | 0.066203 | -1.38% | 0.070634 | +5.22% | 0.1349 | ✗ | -2.72 |
| 2026-08-15 | oos | 0.062121 | 0.0613 | -1.32% | 0.067132 | +8.07% | 0.0831 | ✗ | -2.70 |
| 2026-08-14 | oos | 0.065324 | 0.063638 | -2.58% | 0.062121 | -4.90% | 0.0223 | ✓ | -2.70 |
| 2026-08-13 | oos | 0.056743 | 0.055917 | -1.46% | 0.065324 | +15.12% | 0.1369 | ✗ | -2.62 |
| 2026-08-12 | oos | 0.055292 | 0.054416 | -1.58% | 0.056743 | +2.62% | 0.0424 | ✗ | -2.62 |
| 2026-08-11 | oos | 0.054776 | 0.05347 | -2.38% | 0.055292 | +0.94% | 0.0285 | ✗ | -2.62 |
| 2026-08-10 | oos | 0.046134 | 0.04507 | -2.31% | 0.054776 | +18.73% | 0.1800 | ✗ | -2.52 |
| 2026-08-09 | oos | 0.039386 | 0.03887 | -1.31% | 0.046134 | +17.13% | 0.1374 | ✗ | -2.33 |
| 2026-08-08 | oos | 0.036911 | 0.036401 | -1.38% | 0.039386 | +6.70% | 0.0767 | ✗ | -2.32 |
| 2026-08-07 | oos | 0.035967 | 0.035382 | -1.63% | 0.036911 | +2.62% | 0.0429 | ✗ | -2.31 |
| 2026-08-06 | oos | 0.030811 | 0.030292 | -1.69% | 0.035967 | +16.74% | 0.1955 | ✗ | -2.45 |
| 2026-08-05 | oos | 0.02783 | 0.027534 | -1.06% | 0.030811 | +10.71% | 0.1000 | ✗ | -2.39 |
| 2026-08-04 | oos | 0.025369 | 0.025141 | -0.90% | 0.02783 | +9.70% | 0.1228 | ✗ | -2.47 |
| 2026-08-03 | oos | 0.027598 | 0.027324 | -0.99% | 0.025369 | -8.08% | 0.0521 | ✓ | -2.42 |
| 2026-08-02 | oos | 0.029535 | 0.029161 | -1.26% | 0.027598 | -6.56% | 0.0564 | ✓ | -2.44 |
| 2026-08-01 | oos | 0.027282 | 0.027025 | -0.94% | 0.029535 | +8.26% | 0.1186 | ✗ | -2.55 |
| 2026-07-31 | oos | 0.039226 | 0.038229 | -2.54% | 0.027282 | -30.45% | 0.3400 | ✓ | -2.65 |
| 2026-07-30 | oos | 0.034526 | 0.03365 | -2.54% | 0.039226 | +13.61% | 0.0789 | ✗ | -2.50 |
| 2026-07-29 | oos | 0.026065 | 0.025781 | -1.09% | 0.034526 | +32.46% | 0.3294 | ✗ | -2.91 |
| 2026-07-28 | oos | 0.027298 | 0.026908 | -1.43% | 0.026065 | -4.52% | 0.0296 | ✓ | -2.92 |
| 2026-07-27 | oos | 0.024081 | 0.023824 | -1.07% | 0.027298 | +13.36% | 0.1432 | ✗ | -2.92 |
| 2026-07-26 | oos | 0.022534 | 0.02235 | -0.81% | 0.024081 | +6.87% | 0.0007 | ✓ | -2.95 |
| 2026-07-25 | oos | 0.020987 | 0.020834 | -0.73% | 0.022534 | +7.37% | 0.0623 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-24 | oos | 0.02708 | 0.026685 | -1.46% | 0.020987 | -22.50% | 0.2435 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-23 | oos | 0.023588 | 0.02335 | -1.01% | 0.02708 | +14.81% | 0.1632 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-22 | oos | 0.021176 | 0.021024 | -0.72% | 0.023588 | +11.39% | 0.1308 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-21 | oos | 0.019997 | 0.019874 | -0.61% | 0.021176 | +5.90% | 0.0699 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-20 | oos | 0.02103 | 0.020873 | -0.75% | 0.019997 | -4.91% | 0.0627 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-19 | oos | 0.018488 | 0.018375 | -0.61% | 0.02103 | +13.75% | 0.1268 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-18 | oos | 0.018888 | 0.018775 | -0.60% | 0.018488 | -2.12% | 0.0136 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-17 | oos | 0.018668 | 0.018559 | -0.58% | 0.018888 | +1.18% | 0.0035 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-16 | oos | 0.018416 | 0.018312 | -0.57% | 0.018668 | +1.37% | 0.0173 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-15 | oos | 0.018352 | 0.018256 | -0.52% | 0.018416 | +0.35% | 0.0235 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-14 | oos | 0.016452 | 0.016376 | -0.46% | 0.018352 | +11.55% | 0.1181 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-13 | oos | 0.019108 | 0.019 | -0.56% | 0.016452 | -13.90% | 0.1868 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-12 | oos | 0.017007 | 0.01693 | -0.45% | 0.019108 | +12.35% | 0.1444 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-11 | oos | 0.015945 | 0.015883 | -0.39% | 0.017007 | +6.66% | 0.0689 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-10 | oos | 0.019616 | 0.019553 | -0.32% | 0.015945 | -18.71% | 0.1984 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-09 | oos | 0.021747 | 0.021669 | -0.36% | 0.019616 | -9.80% | 0.1146 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-08 | oos | 0.022573 | 0.022475 | -0.43% | 0.021747 | -3.66% | 0.0479 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-07 | oos | 0.020944 | 0.020879 | -0.31% | 0.022573 | +7.78% | 0.0953 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-06 | oos | 0.02124 | 0.021175 | -0.31% | 0.020944 | -1.39% | 0.0003 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-05 | oos | 0.023265 | 0.023155 | -0.47% | 0.02124 | -8.70% | 0.0929 | ✓ | 1.00 |