BTW
Bitway · Ethereum · gru_s0
- token id
- #40
- symbol
- BTW
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0x3a63de3572c69a1307ff08394f3ee7702c16d25d
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-24
- predictions
- 153
Track record at +7d
assessed
44
of 51 predictions shown
direction hit
34.1%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.2625
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0174
actual +0.2213
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | oos | 1.6621 | 1.6104 | -3.11% | – | pending | – | – | -1.63 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 1.6423 | 1.5924 | -3.04% | – | pending | – | – | -1.63 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 2.0432 | 1.9834 | -2.93% | – | pending | – | – | -1.48 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 1.9664 | 1.9079 | -2.98% | – | pending | – | – | -1.50 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 2.4152 | 2.3331 | -3.40% | – | pending | – | – | -1.54 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 2.4383 | 2.3351 | -4.23% | – | pending | – | – | -1.53 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 1.9279 | 1.8562 | -3.72% | – | pending | – | – | -1.51 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 1.8166 | 1.7603 | -3.10% | 1.6621 | -8.51% | 0.0198 | ✓ | -1.50 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 2.3803 | 2.275 | -4.42% | 1.6423 | -31.00% | 0.2843 | ✓ | -1.40 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 2.0884 | 1.984 | -5.00% | 2.0432 | -2.16% | 0.0268 | ✓ | -1.32 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 1.7495 | 1.6798 | -3.99% | 1.9664 | +12.39% | 0.1592 | ✗ | -1.47 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 1.6258 | 1.5696 | -3.45% | 2.4152 | +48.56% | 0.4015 | ✗ | -1.46 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 1.5842 | 1.5332 | -3.22% | 2.4383 | +53.91% | 0.4368 | ✗ | -1.46 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 1.5753 | 1.52 | -3.51% | 1.9279 | +22.38% | 0.2191 | ✗ | -1.46 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 1.3928 | 1.3496 | -3.10% | 1.8166 | +30.43% | 0.3051 | ✗ | -1.52 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 1.2975 | 1.2622 | -2.73% | 2.3803 | +83.45% | 0.6033 | ✗ | -1.50 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 1.2135 | 1.1883 | -2.07% | 2.0884 | +72.09% | 0.5205 | ✗ | -1.50 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 1.2336 | 1.2076 | -2.11% | 1.7495 | +41.82% | 0.2984 | ✗ | -1.51 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 1.2458 | 1.2172 | -2.29% | 1.6258 | +30.50% | 0.2380 | ✗ | -1.55 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 1.0377 | 1.0204 | -1.67% | 1.5842 | +52.66% | 0.4011 | ✗ | -1.77 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 1.3815 | 1.3456 | -2.60% | 1.5753 | +14.02% | 0.1164 | ✗ | -1.75 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 1.4183 | 1.3799 | -2.71% | 1.3928 | -1.80% | 0.0581 | ✓ | -1.78 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 1.329 | 1.2939 | -2.64% | 1.2975 | -2.36% | 0.0033 | ✓ | -1.83 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 1.3887 | 1.3446 | -3.18% | 1.2135 | -12.62% | 0.0611 | ✓ | -1.85 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 1.1192 | 1.0946 | -2.20% | 1.2336 | +10.23% | 0.1698 | ✗ | -1.85 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 1.2207 | 1.1903 | -2.49% | 1.2458 | +2.06% | 0.0929 | ✗ | -1.98 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 1.0015 | 0.988116 | -1.34% | 1.0377 | +3.61% | 0.0565 | ✗ | -1.96 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 1.3154 | 1.2572 | -4.42% | 1.3815 | +5.03% | 0.1037 | ✗ | -1.93 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.9544 | 0.940636 | -1.44% | 1.4183 | +48.61% | 0.4206 | ✗ | -1.82 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 1.0378 | 1.0107 | -2.61% | 1.329 | +28.05% | 0.2557 | ✗ | -1.84 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.8978 | 0.886872 | -1.22% | 1.3887 | +54.68% | 0.4786 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.8007 | 0.793445 | -0.91% | 1.1192 | +39.78% | 0.3809 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.74705 | 0.732476 | -1.95% | 1.2207 | +63.40% | 0.4709 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.5903 | 0.589376 | -0.16% | 1.0015 | +69.67% | 0.4918 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.6302 | 0.627826 | -0.38% | 1.3154 | +108.72% | 0.7006 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.7199 | 0.708914 | -1.53% | 0.9544 | +32.57% | 0.1973 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.7502 | 0.736494 | -1.83% | 1.0378 | +38.34% | 0.2403 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.70505 | 0.6923 | -1.81% | 0.8978 | +27.34% | 0.1285 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.5826 | 0.580714 | -0.32% | 0.8007 | +37.44% | 0.2189 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.73445 | 0.710378 | -3.28% | 0.74705 | +1.72% | 0.0049 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.5503 | 0.547677 | -0.48% | 0.5903 | +7.27% | 0.0248 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.5088 | 0.508247 | -0.11% | 0.6302 | +23.86% | 0.1687 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.50005 | 0.498222 | -0.37% | 0.7199 | +43.97% | 0.3705 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.4511 | 0.453095 | +0.44% | 0.7502 | +66.30% | 0.5319 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.43775 | 0.440488 | +0.63% | 0.70505 | +61.06% | 0.5076 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.45105 | 0.454205 | +0.70% | 0.5826 | +29.17% | 0.2606 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.4474 | 0.451827 | +0.99% | 0.73445 | +64.16% | 0.5309 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.4522 | 0.456474 | +0.95% | 0.5503 | +21.69% | 0.2196 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.45655 | 0.460682 | +0.91% | 0.5088 | +11.44% | 0.1308 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.4544 | 0.4592 | +1.06% | 0.50005 | +10.05% | 0.1452 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.4896 | 0.488553 | -0.21% | 0.4511 | -7.86% | 0.0923 | ✓ | 1.00 |