BTW
Bitway · Ethereum · gru_s0
- token id
- #40
- symbol
- BTW
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0x3a63de3572c69a1307ff08394f3ee7702c16d25d
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-24
- predictions
- 150
Track record at +30d
assessed
20
of 50 predictions shown
direction hit
70.0%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
1.0336
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
+0.0086
actual +1.0422
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 2.1044 | 1.9502 | -7.33% | – | pending | – | – | -1.48 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 2.0432 | 1.8957 | -7.22% | – | pending | – | – | -1.48 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 1.9664 | 1.8159 | -7.65% | – | pending | – | – | -1.50 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 2.4152 | 2.2249 | -7.88% | – | pending | – | – | -1.54 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 2.4383 | 2.2277 | -8.64% | – | pending | – | – | -1.53 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 1.9279 | 1.7688 | -8.25% | – | pending | – | – | -1.51 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 1.8166 | 1.6695 | -8.10% | – | pending | – | – | -1.50 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 2.3803 | 2.1699 | -8.84% | – | pending | – | – | -1.40 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 2.0884 | 1.9083 | -8.62% | – | pending | – | – | -1.32 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 1.7495 | 1.6074 | -8.12% | – | pending | – | – | -1.47 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 1.6258 | 1.5107 | -7.07% | – | pending | – | – | -1.46 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 1.5842 | 1.4689 | -7.28% | – | pending | – | – | -1.46 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 1.5753 | 1.4563 | -7.55% | – | pending | – | – | -1.46 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 1.3928 | 1.2883 | -7.50% | – | pending | – | – | -1.52 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 1.2975 | 1.2126 | -6.55% | – | pending | – | – | -1.50 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 1.2135 | 1.1496 | -5.27% | – | pending | – | – | -1.50 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 1.2336 | 1.1718 | -5.01% | – | pending | – | – | -1.51 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 1.2458 | 1.1875 | -4.68% | – | pending | – | – | -1.55 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 1.0377 | 0.987408 | -4.85% | – | pending | – | – | -1.77 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 1.3815 | 1.2997 | -5.92% | – | pending | – | – | -1.75 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 1.4183 | 1.3355 | -5.84% | – | pending | – | – | -1.78 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 1.329 | 1.2506 | -5.90% | – | pending | – | – | -1.83 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 1.3887 | 1.3017 | -6.27% | – | pending | – | – | -1.85 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 1.1192 | 1.0671 | -4.66% | – | pending | – | – | -1.85 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 1.2207 | 1.1602 | -4.96% | – | pending | – | – | -1.98 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 1.0015 | 0.970232 | -3.13% | – | pending | – | – | -1.96 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 1.3154 | 1.2343 | -6.16% | – | pending | – | – | -1.93 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.9544 | 0.933063 | -2.24% | – | pending | – | – | -1.82 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 1.0378 | 1.0043 | -3.23% | – | pending | – | – | -1.84 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.8978 | 0.890856 | -0.77% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.8007 | 0.811152 | +1.31% | 2.1044 | +162.82% | 0.9994 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.74705 | 0.738129 | -1.19% | 2.0432 | +173.50% | 0.9965 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.5903 | 0.59407 | +0.64% | 1.9664 | +233.12% | 1.1896 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.6302 | 0.629268 | -0.15% | 2.4152 | +283.24% | 1.3311 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.7199 | 0.695893 | -3.33% | 2.4383 | +238.69% | 1.1900 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.7502 | 0.723887 | -3.51% | 1.9279 | +156.98% | 0.9116 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.70505 | 0.683529 | -3.05% | 1.8166 | +157.66% | 0.8945 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.5826 | 0.585403 | +0.48% | 2.3803 | +308.57% | 1.3602 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.73445 | 0.71388 | -2.80% | 2.0884 | +184.34% | 0.9945 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.5503 | 0.552283 | +0.36% | 1.7495 | +217.93% | 1.0967 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.5088 | 0.512364 | +0.70% | 1.6258 | +219.53% | 1.0742 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.50005 | 0.503936 | +0.78% | 1.5842 | +216.81% | 1.0654 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.4511 | 0.459674 | +1.90% | 1.5753 | +249.20% | 1.1787 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.43775 | 0.447453 | +2.22% | 1.3928 | +218.17% | 1.0950 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.45105 | 0.46521 | +3.14% | 1.2975 | +187.67% | 0.9742 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.4474 | 0.465374 | +4.02% | 1.2135 | +171.23% | 0.8957 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.4522 | 0.47005 | +3.95% | 1.2336 | +172.81% | 0.8934 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.45655 | 0.475587 | +4.17% | 1.2458 | +172.87% | 0.8807 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.4544 | 0.482155 | +6.11% | 1.0377 | +128.37% | 0.7246 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.4896 | 0.50096 | +2.32% | 1.3815 | +182.17% | 0.9254 | ✓ | 1.00 |