BTW
Bitway · Ethereum · gru_s0
- token id
- #40
- symbol
- BTW
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0x3a63de3572c69a1307ff08394f3ee7702c16d25d
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-24
- predictions
- 150
Track record at +1d
assessed
49
of 50 predictions shown
direction hit
36.7%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.1134
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0107
actual +0.0275
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 2.1044 | 2.0841 | -0.96% | – | pending | – | – | -1.48 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 2.0432 | 2.0251 | -0.89% | 2.1044 | +3.00% | 0.0341 | ✗ | -1.48 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 1.9664 | 1.951 | -0.78% | 2.0432 | +3.91% | 0.0663 | ✗ | -1.50 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 2.4152 | 2.3865 | -1.18% | 1.9664 | -18.58% | 0.1968 | ✓ | -1.54 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 2.4383 | 2.3923 | -1.88% | 2.4152 | -0.95% | 0.0212 | ✗ | -1.53 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 1.9279 | 1.9006 | -1.41% | 2.4383 | +26.48% | 0.2469 | ✗ | -1.51 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 1.8166 | 1.803 | -0.75% | 1.9279 | +6.12% | 0.0556 | ✗ | -1.50 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 2.3803 | 2.3316 | -2.05% | 1.8166 | -23.68% | 0.2400 | ✓ | -1.40 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 2.0884 | 2.0303 | -2.78% | 2.3803 | +13.98% | 0.1344 | ✗ | -1.32 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 1.7495 | 1.7189 | -1.75% | 2.0884 | +19.36% | 0.2189 | ✗ | -1.47 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 1.6258 | 1.601 | -1.52% | 1.7495 | +7.61% | 0.0547 | ✗ | -1.46 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 1.5842 | 1.5652 | -1.20% | 1.6258 | +2.62% | 0.0514 | ✗ | -1.46 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 1.5753 | 1.5526 | -1.44% | 1.5842 | +0.57% | 0.0266 | ✗ | -1.46 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 1.3928 | 1.3783 | -1.04% | 1.5753 | +13.10% | 0.1493 | ✗ | -1.52 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 1.2975 | 1.2851 | -0.96% | 1.3928 | +7.34% | 0.0517 | ✗ | -1.50 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 1.2135 | 1.2053 | -0.68% | 1.2975 | +6.93% | 0.0336 | ✗ | -1.50 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 1.2336 | 1.2239 | -0.79% | 1.2135 | -1.63% | 0.0122 | ✓ | -1.51 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 1.2458 | 1.2323 | -1.09% | 1.2336 | -0.98% | 0.0125 | ✓ | -1.55 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 1.0377 | 1.0333 | -0.43% | 1.2458 | +20.05% | 0.2236 | ✗ | -1.77 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 1.3815 | 1.3675 | -1.01% | 1.0377 | -24.89% | 0.2711 | ✓ | -1.75 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 1.4183 | 1.4018 | -1.16% | 1.3815 | -2.59% | 0.0218 | ✓ | -1.78 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 1.329 | 1.3145 | -1.09% | 1.4183 | +6.72% | 0.1042 | ✗ | -1.83 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 1.3887 | 1.3669 | -1.57% | 1.329 | -4.31% | 0.0300 | ✓ | -1.85 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 1.1192 | 1.1074 | -1.05% | 1.3887 | +24.08% | 0.2304 | ✗ | -1.85 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 1.2207 | 1.2053 | -1.26% | 1.1192 | -8.31% | 0.0978 | ✓ | -1.98 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 1.0015 | 0.995532 | -0.60% | 1.2207 | +21.88% | 0.2050 | ✗ | -1.96 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 1.3154 | 1.2744 | -3.11% | 1.0015 | -23.86% | 0.2336 | ✓ | -1.93 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.9544 | 0.945213 | -0.96% | 1.3154 | +37.82% | 0.3241 | ✗ | -1.82 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 1.0378 | 1.0175 | -1.96% | 0.9544 | -8.04% | 0.0638 | ✓ | -1.84 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.8978 | 0.887836 | -1.11% | 1.0378 | +15.59% | 0.1774 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.8007 | 0.790116 | -1.32% | 0.8978 | +12.13% | 0.1324 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.74705 | 0.733308 | -1.84% | 0.8007 | +7.18% | 0.0231 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.5903 | 0.58803 | -0.38% | 0.74705 | +26.55% | 0.2403 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.6302 | 0.62766 | -0.40% | 0.5903 | -6.33% | 0.0658 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.7199 | 0.714328 | -0.77% | 0.6302 | -12.46% | 0.1829 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.7502 | 0.742206 | -1.07% | 0.7199 | -4.04% | 0.0332 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.70505 | 0.696432 | -1.22% | 0.7502 | +6.40% | 0.0670 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.5826 | 0.579475 | -0.54% | 0.70505 | +21.02% | 0.2298 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.73445 | 0.712354 | -3.01% | 0.5826 | -20.68% | 0.2188 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.5503 | 0.546468 | -0.70% | 0.73445 | +33.46% | 0.3017 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.5088 | 0.50672 | -0.41% | 0.5503 | +8.16% | 0.0818 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.50005 | 0.496356 | -0.74% | 0.5088 | +1.75% | 0.0160 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.4511 | 0.45038 | -0.16% | 0.50005 | +10.85% | 0.1272 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.43775 | 0.437498 | -0.06% | 0.4511 | +3.05% | 0.0327 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.45105 | 0.450282 | -0.17% | 0.43775 | -2.95% | 0.0201 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.4474 | 0.447156 | -0.05% | 0.45105 | +0.82% | 0.0243 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.4522 | 0.451817 | -0.08% | 0.4474 | -1.06% | 0.0162 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.45655 | 0.455815 | -0.16% | 0.4522 | -0.95% | 0.0099 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.4544 | 0.452606 | -0.39% | 0.45655 | +0.47% | 0.0284 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.4896 | 0.48495 | -0.95% | 0.4544 | -7.19% | 0.1150 | ✓ | 1.00 |