8=======>

2022-09-11 · +30d

gru_s0 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 191 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1890
191 of 191 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+3.77%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
75.4%
in alpha space · 93.7% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-12.70%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (191 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
TRXTRONTron0.064190.064013-0.28%0.06166-3.94%0.0292✗0.49123k2022-10-11
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum21,663.6021,577.60-0.40%19,028.40-12.16%0.0011✓0.9213k2022-10-11
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.174140.173315-0.47%0.15473-11.15%0.0070✓0.783512022-10-11
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.073070.07259-0.66%0.05605-23.29%0.1264✓0.977022022-10-11
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.02550.025322-0.70%0.02204-13.57%0.0147✗1.132,9142022-10-11
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.06275.0267-0.71%4.1004-19.01%0.1952✓0.06117k2022-10-11
CHRChromiaEthereum0.1830.181667-0.73%0.148-19.13%0.0462✓1.171,7442022-10-11
GTGateEthereum4.33014.2847-1.05%4.365+0.81%0.1182✗0.73690k2022-10-11
FISStafiEthereum0.35010.345867-1.21%0.3202-8.54%0.0657✗1.057782022-10-11
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012990.000012814-1.35%0.00001023-21.25%0.0869✓1.021.0M2022-10-11
LTCLitecoinLitecoin62.1861.2993-1.42%52.01-16.36%0.0225✓1.0413.5M2022-10-11
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.5150.506923-1.57%0.336-34.76%0.2442✓1.234,2692022-10-11
TRBTellor TributesEthereum16.5816.3195-1.57%14.48-12.67%0.0129✓0.791.5M2022-10-11
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09410.092452-1.75%0.0796-15.41%0.0152✓0.9914k2022-10-11
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.10e-78.94e-7-1.76%7.70e-7-15.38%0.0474✓0.7515k2022-10-11
AAVEAaveEthereum91.6389.9037-1.88%71.42-22.06%0.0218✓1.535.6M2022-10-11
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03930.038559-1.88%0.0324-17.56%0.0353✓1.0288k2022-10-11
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.03960.038823-1.96%0.03308-16.46%0.0663✓0.692,1832022-10-11
XMRMoneroMonero159.22155.9501-2.05%144.57-9.20%0.0576✗0.981.3M2022-10-11
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13780.134946-2.07%0.1203-12.70%0.0373✗1.122.9M2022-10-11
STEEMSteemnative0.2350.230016-2.12%0.2305-1.91%0.1202✗0.87503k2022-10-11
BFCBifrostEthereum0.075460.073848-2.14%0.06085-19.36%0.0558✓1.0124k2022-10-11
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0131930.012893-2.27%0.010365-21.44%0.1034✓0.85920k2022-10-11
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.023320.022749-2.45%0.0222-4.80%0.1199✗1.069.7M2022-10-11
AVTAventusEthereum1.421.3842-2.52%1.52+7.04%0.0743✗-0.14124k2022-10-11
LINKChainlinkEthereum8.037.8272-2.53%7.132-11.18%0.0605✗1.1317.5M2022-10-11
NANOnanopayBase0.9277880.904055-2.56%0.762754-17.79%0.0517✓0.8749k2022-10-11
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06110.05953-2.57%0.0499-18.33%0.0601✓0.8682k2022-10-11
STORJStorjEthereum0.555060.540231-2.67%0.42218-23.94%0.0644✓1.3439k2022-10-11
RARESuperRareEthereum0.21060.20497-2.67%0.1451-31.10%0.1887✓1.15108k2022-10-11
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum2.00771.9528-2.73%1.0218-49.11%0.5321✓0.851.4M2022-10-11
BTCBitcoinBitcoin21,831.7221,228.13-2.76%19,058.11-12.70%0.0280✓1.00473.4M2022-10-11
HIVEHivenative0.57920.56317-2.77%0.5306-8.39%0.0249✓0.62826k2022-10-11
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.331390.322214-2.77%0.33684+1.64%0.1398✗0.70326k2022-10-11
DKAdKargoEthereum0.046640.045345-2.78%0.03846-17.54%0.0771✓0.6414k2022-10-11
ZECZcashZcash64.2762.4755-2.79%51.54-19.81%0.0322✓1.181.2M2022-10-11
DIADIAEthereum0.405260.393818-2.82%0.38304-5.48%0.1101✗1.0132k2022-10-11
KCSKuCoinnative9.7559.4784-2.84%8.744-10.36%0.0368✗0.861.2M2022-10-11
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.012930.012562-2.84%0.0104-19.57%0.0993✓0.66233k2022-10-11
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.5120.497433-2.85%0.4268-16.64%0.0070✓1.18384k2022-10-11
SOLSolanaSolana35.0134.012-2.85%30.8-12.03%0.0648✗1.2154.5M2022-10-11
ETHEthereumEthereum1,766.951,715.79-2.90%1,279.94-27.56%0.1067✓1.37575.8M2022-10-11
ASTRAstarEthereum0.03720.036079-3.01%0.0355-4.57%0.1026✗0.877,8252022-10-11
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9740.944578-3.02%0.833-14.48%0.0374✗1.201.5M2022-10-11
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.02750.996378-3.03%0.9454-7.99%0.0252✓0.572.6M2022-10-11
SUNSun TokenTron0.0065370.006338-3.04%0.005604-14.27%0.0320✓0.672,0442022-10-11
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0015580.001511-3.04%0.001486-4.62%0.0879✗0.77353k2022-10-11
QNTQuantEthereum108.82105.5087-3.04%153.96+41.48%0.5074✗0.953.5M2022-10-11
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.02130.020641-3.10%0.0178-16.43%0.0666✓0.60206k2022-10-11
SCSiacoinnative0.004190.004059-3.12%0.00336-19.81%0.0606✓0.95103k2022-10-11
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.9632.8703-3.13%2.062-30.41%0.1180✓1.572.9M2022-10-11
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04970.048133-3.15%0.0383-22.94%0.1129✓0.85138k2022-10-11
UMAUMAEthereum2.7822.6942-3.16%2.134-23.29%0.1263✓0.79586k2022-10-11
CVCCivicEthereum0.15180.146914-3.22%0.122-19.63%0.0494✓1.00110k2022-10-11
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.21410.207197-3.22%0.1798-16.02%0.0061✓1.09138k2022-10-11
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.2310.8654-3.25%8.81-21.55%0.0246✓1.36298k2022-10-11
ADACardanoCardano0.51010.493512-3.25%0.3906-23.43%0.0969✓1.0138.3M2022-10-11
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.23030.222751-3.28%0.1864-19.06%0.0566✓0.8957k2022-10-11
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.42550.411137-3.38%0.313-26.44%0.1223✓1.11202k2022-10-11
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash130.35125.8959-3.42%111.17-14.71%0.0367✗1.194.4M2022-10-11
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.29230.282287-3.43%0.2614-10.57%0.0611✗1.022.6M2022-10-11
BTTCBTTC9.10e-78.79e-7-3.44%7.60e-7-16.48%0.0439✓0.741.7M2022-10-11
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.06450.062274-3.45%0.0631-2.17%0.1534✗1.0379k2022-10-11
XYMSymbolnative0.0423220.040849-3.48%0.036015-14.90%0.0542✓0.5323k2022-10-11
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0016360.001579-3.51%0.001366-16.50%0.0520✓0.686,5532022-10-11
API3Api3Ethereum1.8381.773-3.53%1.592-13.38%0.0316✓1.02627k2022-10-11
XEMNEMnative0.0467850.045104-3.59%0.039437-15.71%0.0128✓0.8928k2022-10-11
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0063090.006081-3.61%0.006021-4.56%0.0423✗0.3830k2022-10-11
GLMGolemEthereum0.33080.31873-3.65%0.255-22.91%0.1194✓0.7684k2022-10-11
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5130.494117-3.68%0.383-25.34%0.1103✓1.067,7812022-10-11
DASHDashDash48.3546.5694-3.68%41.25-14.68%0.0252✓1.08321k2022-10-11
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.988.6486-3.69%7.02-21.83%0.1271✓0.602.4M2022-10-11
OPTIMOptimism1.4021.349-3.78%0.738-47.36%0.3687✓1.732.7M2022-10-11
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6760.650359-3.79%0.553-18.20%0.0066✓1.153.5M2022-10-11
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.2511.2029-3.85%1.022-18.31%0.0360✓0.931.1M2022-10-11
XECeCashnative0.000045620.000043864-3.85%0.000038-16.70%0.0234✓0.882.5M2022-10-11
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0637030.061193-3.94%0.060216-5.47%0.1212✗1.011.3M2022-10-11
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.644.454-4.01%3.71-20.04%0.0988✓0.621.4M2022-10-11
MOVRMoonriverBase12.886612.3692-4.02%10.4764-18.70%0.0271✓1.0222k2022-10-11
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0218870.021006-4.03%0.018475-15.59%0.0441✓0.6212k2022-10-11
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.1270.121857-4.05%0.1155-9.06%0.0529✓0.0183k2022-10-11
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.3544.1775-4.05%3.34-23.29%0.1732✓0.372.2M2022-10-11
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos15.69915.0484-4.14%12.174-22.45%0.0358✓1.3018.7M2022-10-11
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.32640.312873-4.14%0.3177-2.67%0.1494✗0.995.9M2022-10-11
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.4054.222-4.15%3.254-26.13%0.1870✓0.542.3M2022-10-11
FORTFortaEthereum0.23120.221574-4.16%0.1522-34.17%0.2713✓0.7766k2022-10-11
CELRCeler NetworkEthereum0.018280.017515-4.18%0.014339-21.56%0.0642✓1.008742022-10-11
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009440.009043-4.21%0.00556-41.10%0.3554✓0.963.2M2022-10-11
LSKLiskEthereum1.08631.0404-4.22%0.922593-15.07%0.0156✓0.7734k2022-10-11
LCXLCXEthereum0.05080.048653-4.23%0.0515+1.38%0.1850✗0.94234k2022-10-11
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008440.008081-4.25%0.00619-26.66%0.1063✓1.18406k2022-10-11
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.1736.8666-4.27%5.226-27.14%0.1358✓1.014.3M2022-10-11
CBKCobakEthereum0.85180.815373-4.28%0.75273-11.63%0.0275✓0.7913k2022-10-11
BORABORAKlay Token0.291460.278716-4.37%0.21515-26.18%0.1370✓0.9015k2022-10-11
PONDMarlinEthereum0.0113140.010818-4.38%0.009663-14.59%0.0229✓1.006302022-10-11
KSMKusamaHydration51.949.5975-4.44%40.86-21.27%0.0558✓1.02395k2022-10-11
CHZChilizEthereum0.20830.199048-4.44%0.1946-6.58%0.1134✗1.003.2M2022-10-11
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.143820.137431-4.44%0.12111-15.79%0.0383✓1.21151k2022-10-11
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.1831.1301-4.47%0.8192-30.75%0.1099✓1.564.4M2022-10-11
DODODODOEthereum0.13330.127342-4.47%0.118-11.48%0.0850✗1.191.4M2022-10-11
ZENHorizenBase16.4715.7319-4.48%12.5-24.10%0.0597✓1.2584k2022-10-11
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11560.110414-4.49%0.0922-20.24%0.0612✓0.88169k2022-10-11
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0239730.022892-4.51%0.025016+4.35%0.0986✗0.07455k2022-10-11
SUSHISushiEthereum1.30291.2441-4.51%1.2564-3.57%0.1660✗1.151.1M2022-10-11
C98Coin98Ethereum0.44450.424444-4.51%0.355-20.13%0.0196✓1.1781k2022-10-11
PROPropyEthereum0.720.687387-4.53%0.56-22.22%0.1735✓0.2346k2022-10-11
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.435.1838-4.53%4.18-23.02%0.1254✓0.662.0M2022-10-11
COTICOTIEthereum0.09970.095174-4.54%0.105+5.32%0.2351✗1.01336k2022-10-11
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.92411.8366-4.55%1.6014-16.77%0.0151✓1.1223k2022-10-11
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood1.91.8133-4.57%2.27+19.47%0.2895✗0.4861k2022-10-11
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV54.45451.8885-4.71%47.915-12.01%0.0381✓0.87275k2022-10-11
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.736.4124-4.72%5.78-14.12%0.0356✓0.502.1M2022-10-11
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10270.097851-4.72%0.0794-22.69%0.1045✓0.772,6892022-10-11
FTTFTXEthereum27.8926.5727-4.72%23.25-16.64%0.0049✓1.026.8M2022-10-11
AMPAmpEthereum0.006610.006293-4.79%0.00472-28.59%0.2007✓0.64911k2022-10-11
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5430.516967-4.79%0.426-21.55%0.0272✓1.2274k2022-10-11
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.714.944-4.82%16.63+5.92%0.2447✗1.011.8M2022-10-11
NEARNEAR ProtocolNEAR4.8964.6593-4.83%3.171-35.23%0.2489✓1.001.4M2022-10-11
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0029040.002763-4.85%0.002081-28.34%0.1615✓0.901.2M2022-10-11
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06620.062927-4.94%0.0548-17.22%0.0285✓1.23555k2022-10-11
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.7027.3147-5.03%6.18-19.76%0.0099✓1.1710.0M2022-10-11
WOOWOOEthereum0.1680.1595-5.06%0.1567-6.73%0.1623✗1.321,0012022-10-11
CELLCellframeEthereum0.29290.277962-5.10%0.2043-30.25%0.1612✓1.0883k2022-10-11
XLMStellarStellar0.1143870.108503-5.14%0.116096+1.49%0.1879✗0.896.4M2022-10-11
XVSVenusEthereum5.14.8365-5.17%4.82-5.49%0.1141✗0.86859k2022-10-11
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.5014.2676-5.18%3.85-14.46%0.0255✓0.95286k2022-10-11
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.351690.333358-5.21%0.2823-19.73%0.0197✓1.0834k2022-10-11
UNIUniswapEthereum6.4916.1526-5.21%5.992-7.69%0.1636✗1.406.9M2022-10-11
APEApeCoinEthereum5.6825.3815-5.29%4.693-17.41%0.0546✗1.416.4M2022-10-11
CBETHCoinbase Wrapped Staked ETHEthereum1,656.911,569.28-5.29%1,240.98-25.10%0.0988✓1.003.4M2022-10-11
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.67894.4311-5.30%3.1333-33.03%0.2643✓0.618.1M2022-10-11
MANADecentralandEthereum0.803760.761101-5.31%0.64753-19.44%0.0070✓1.14584k2022-10-11
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3137870.297096-5.32%0.252068-19.67%0.0304✓0.99471k2022-10-11
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.31451.2445-5.33%1.105-15.94%0.0268✓1.071.0M2022-10-11
GITCOINGITCOIN2.30572.1828-5.33%1.6843-26.95%0.1048✓1.1413k2022-10-11
ORCAOrcaSolana0.88850.84077-5.37%0.8294-6.65%0.1995✗1.5794k2022-10-11
UOSUltraEthereum0.456780.432191-5.38%0.30021-34.28%0.2277✓1.01379k2022-10-11
QTUMQtumQtum3.30663.1284-5.39%2.6817-18.90%0.0121✓1.0419k2022-10-11
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2850.269594-5.41%0.233-18.25%0.0397✓0.78563k2022-10-11
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6490.613574-5.46%0.562-13.41%0.0520✓1.03178k2022-10-11
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05010.047344-5.50%0.0362-27.74%0.1101✓1.17536k2022-10-11
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.576.2067-5.53%4.92-25.11%0.1586✓0.542.1M2022-10-11
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.074140.070015-5.56%0.07114-4.05%0.0343✓0.14378k2022-10-11
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.037810.035704-5.57%0.02814-25.58%0.0927✓1.0745k2022-10-11
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.5171.4322-5.59%1.432-5.60%0.1525✗1.1271k2022-10-11
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.33280.314067-5.63%0.2783-16.38%0.0214✓1.0575k2022-10-11
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0013670.00129-5.66%0.000927-32.21%0.2160✓0.842.2M2022-10-11
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.1395.79-5.68%4.3-29.96%0.2078✓0.663.1M2022-10-11
XTZTezosTezos1.68551.5892-5.71%1.3396-20.52%0.0264✓1.06241k2022-10-11
CTKShentuOsmosis1.0240.963956-5.86%0.853-16.70%0.0671✓0.412.7M2022-10-11
FLOWFlownative2.1161.9917-5.88%1.581-25.28%0.0371✓1.43967k2022-10-11
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.2022.0705-5.97%1.57-28.70%0.1026✓1.2832k2022-10-11
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.8474.5513-6.10%3.9604-18.29%0.0693✗1.53129k2022-10-11
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.26110.244979-6.17%0.1306-49.98%0.5199✓0.8024k2022-10-11
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.2783.0754-6.18%2.858-12.81%0.0224✓0.38720k2022-10-11
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche20.6919.3986-6.24%15.96-22.86%0.0088✓1.3718.0M2022-10-11
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain7.14686.7006-6.24%4.4242-38.10%0.4009✓0.109.1M2022-10-11
STXStacksnative0.39030.36592-6.25%0.3122-20.01%0.0123✓1.08324k2022-10-11
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.51570.48269-6.40%0.3748-27.32%0.1368✓0.85418k2022-10-11
XVGVergenative0.003810.003566-6.41%0.00325-14.70%0.0448✓1.01481k2022-10-11
RADRadworksEthereum2.632.4602-6.46%1.94-26.24%0.1531✓0.62262k2022-10-11
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.12540.117274-6.48%0.0677-46.01%0.4651✓0.62191k2022-10-11
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain7.60947.1157-6.49%5.0794-33.25%0.3029✓0.2511.9M2022-10-11
IMXImmutableEthereum0.86630.809366-6.57%0.6867-20.73%0.0041✓1.18946k2022-10-11
ELAElastosEthereum1.6551.5458-6.60%1.496-9.61%0.0687✗0.7536k2022-10-11
LUNATerraTerra 20.000431380.00040278-6.63%0.00028097-34.87%0.3097✓0.372.1M2022-10-11
GALAGALAEthereum0.0520.04854-6.65%0.0393-24.42%0.0523✓1.17190k2022-10-11
CTSICartesiEthereum0.15450.144193-6.67%0.1354-12.36%0.0753✗1.02336k2022-10-11
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.177890.166014-6.68%0.14363-19.26%0.0001✓1.07268k2022-10-11
BANDBandEthereum1.3691.2764-6.76%1.115-18.55%0.0374✓1.27343k2022-10-11
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.11670.108775-6.79%0.0886-24.08%0.0370✓1.242.5M2022-10-11
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain12.59411.7354-6.82%14.164+12.47%0.2391✗0.3816.0M2022-10-11
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.991.8534-6.87%1.515-23.87%0.0320✓1.7260k2022-10-11
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.5950.553619-6.95%0.454-23.70%0.0410✓1.1664k2022-10-11
COMPCompoundEthereum55.2551.3913-6.98%55.84+1.07%0.2581✗1.298,9662022-10-11
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.97480.90638-7.02%0.7788-20.11%0.0209✓1.27899k2022-10-11
ETCEthereum Classicnative38.5635.8437-7.04%23.73-38.46%0.1971✓1.5910.6M2022-10-11
NMRNumeraireEthereum18.9317.5937-7.06%14.03-25.88%0.1521✓0.55384k2022-10-11
YFIyearn.financeEthereum10,194.939,460.43-7.20%7,823.46-23.26%0.0057✓1.444.2M2022-10-11
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.332.1606-7.27%1.67-28.33%0.0823✓1.29227k2022-10-11
GMTGMTEthereum0.73510.680805-7.39%0.6398-12.96%0.1464✗1.53226k2022-10-11
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6860.635009-7.43%0.555-19.10%0.0118✓1.08111k2022-10-11
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.5613.4486-7.63%11.52-20.88%0.0070✓1.19925k2022-10-11
LRCLoopringEthereum0.36190.333836-7.75%0.2662-26.44%0.0659✓1.1872k2022-10-11
METISMetisEthereum31.9829.3457-8.24%24.24-24.20%0.0403✓1.70168k2022-10-11
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.636.9965-8.30%5.83-23.59%0.0324✓1.10230k2022-10-11
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.461.3241-9.31%1.09-25.34%0.0492✓1.0779k2022-10-11
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.6481.4835-9.98%1.424-13.59%0.1277✗1.2443k2022-10-11
BRISEBitgertEthereum7.30e-76.53e-7-10.46%4.94e-7-32.35%0.1630✓0.862.3M2022-10-11
FILFilecoinFilecoin6.4175.7168-10.91%5.133-20.01%0.0233✓0.966.2M2022-10-11
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.065210.057647-11.60%0.05586-14.34%0.1385✗1.251.3M2022-10-11
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.