8=======>

2022-08-31 · +30d

gru_s0 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 187 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1094
187 of 187 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-1.73%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
73.3%
in alpha space · 80.7% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-3.10%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (187 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.4750.467207-1.64%0.346-27.16%0.2624✓1.202,7102022-09-30
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum19,990.4019,606.56-1.92%19,846.80-0.72%0.0419✗0.9415k2022-09-30
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.155680.152548-2.01%0.16779+7.78%0.1594✗2.035722022-09-30
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.020260.019844-2.05%0.02279+12.49%0.1645✗0.8311.1M2022-09-30
TRXTRONTron0.0634280.061893-2.42%0.061037-3.77%0.0052✓0.61142k2022-09-30
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.024550.023948-2.45%0.02333-4.97%0.0141✓1.283,4352022-09-30
AAVEAaveEthereum84.8582.5994-2.65%74.57-12.12%0.0543✓1.526.2M2022-09-30
GTGateEthereum4.30084.1831-2.74%4.2716-0.68%0.0453✗0.77798k2022-09-30
LTCLitecoinLitecoin53.8452.3648-2.74%53.48-0.67%0.0519✗0.9812.6M2022-09-30
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.066180.06435-2.77%0.0629-4.96%0.0046✓0.877702022-09-30
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.80145.6294-2.97%4.1679-28.16%0.2973✓0.10115k2022-09-30
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0131760.012784-2.97%0.011753-10.80%0.0642✓0.63932k2022-09-30
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03490.033753-3.29%0.0337-3.44%0.0272✓0.9186k2022-09-30
XMRMoneroMonero149.22144.2841-3.31%147.45-1.19%0.0538✗1.021.3M2022-09-30
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.34620.334685-3.33%0.321-7.28%0.0024✓1.25176k2022-09-30
XYMSymbolnative0.0431280.041684-3.35%0.037509-13.03%0.0893✓0.5227k2022-09-30
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012080.000011672-3.38%0.00001131-6.37%0.0016✓0.95776k2022-09-30
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13240.127907-3.39%0.1183-10.65%0.0616✓0.523.5M2022-09-30
BFCBifrostEthereum0.072740.070266-3.40%0.0606-16.69%0.1113✓1.1626k2022-09-30
BTCBitcoinBitcoin20,048.2619,364.97-3.41%19,426.11-3.10%0.0347✓1.00504.7M2022-09-30
CHRChromiaEthereum0.18240.176148-3.43%0.1525-16.39%0.1007✓1.382,2912022-09-30
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4180.403623-3.44%0.472+12.92%0.1885✗1.027,9102022-09-30
SOLSolanaSolana31.530.4071-3.47%33.26+5.59%0.1263✗1.1665.9M2022-09-30
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.038450.037093-3.53%0.03783-1.61%0.0452✗0.812,7072022-09-30
TRBTellor TributesEthereum19.0318.3556-3.54%16.37-13.98%0.0923✓0.701.6M2022-09-30
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.9592.8526-3.59%2.377-19.67%0.1339✓1.543.7M2022-09-30
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08210.079142-3.60%0.082-0.12%0.0650✗0.9411k2022-09-30
STEEMSteemnative0.22910.220823-3.61%0.2181-4.80%0.0160✓0.90489k2022-09-30
CBKCobakEthereum0.896560.863509-3.69%0.78889-12.01%0.0585✓1.0113k2022-09-30
RARESuperRareEthereum0.2010.193571-3.70%0.1637-18.56%0.1361✓1.00116k2022-09-30
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.317940.306095-3.73%0.40262+26.63%0.2995✗0.81340k2022-09-30
BTTBitTorrentEthereum8.70e-78.37e-7-3.75%7.90e-7-9.20%0.0332✓0.7916k2022-09-30
NANOnanopayBase0.8946030.860253-3.84%0.770263-13.90%0.0843✓0.8360k2022-09-30
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.6286.3691-3.91%7.586+14.45%0.2080✗1.0517.4M2022-09-30
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.2470.23735-3.91%0.1171-52.59%0.7065✓-0.0091k2022-09-30
HIVEHivenative0.55730.535489-3.91%0.4837-13.21%0.0752✓0.841.1M2022-09-30
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.95350.915989-3.93%0.8963-6.00%0.0061✓0.493.6M2022-09-30
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05740.055125-3.96%0.0514-10.45%0.0407✓0.9398k2022-09-30
AVTAventusEthereum1.521.4593-3.99%1.44-5.26%0.0173✓-0.13128k2022-09-30
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0015030.001443-4.01%0.001547+2.93%0.1003✗0.97424k2022-09-30
ADACardanoCardano0.44580.427406-4.13%0.4348-2.47%0.0467✗0.9437.1M2022-09-30
DIADIAEthereum0.37170.356295-4.14%0.38467+3.49%0.1067✗0.9540k2022-09-30
ZECZcashZcash59.8857.3577-4.21%55.65-7.06%0.0062✓1.161.7M2022-09-30
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.28090.269029-4.23%0.2876+2.39%0.0967✗0.953.1M2022-09-30
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.031.9438-4.25%2.31+13.79%0.1886✗0.5193k2022-09-30
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.12360.118348-4.25%0.1259+1.86%0.0947✗1.0423k2022-09-30
LPTLivepeerEthereum10.19.665-4.31%9-10.89%0.0327✓1.22313k2022-09-30
LCXLCXEthereum0.05770.0552-4.33%0.0455-21.14%0.1576✓1.13258k2022-09-30
BORABORAKlay Token0.311720.298203-4.34%0.23673-24.06%0.1978✓1.0512k2022-09-30
ETHEthereumEthereum1,554.001,485.68-4.40%1,328.95-14.48%0.0681✓1.38660.9M2022-09-30
OPTIMOptimism1.1291.0789-4.44%0.911-19.31%0.1151✓1.713.2M2022-09-30
SGBSongbirdnative0.02570.024553-4.46%0.0199-22.57%0.1919✓0.5849k2022-09-30
GITCOINGITCOIN2.15942.0615-4.53%1.8009-16.60%0.1000✓1.1213k2022-09-30
STORJStorjEthereum0.551180.526183-4.54%0.44894-18.55%0.1173✓1.3135k2022-09-30
QNTQuantEthereum96.4792.0022-4.63%141.89+47.08%0.4603✗0.863.5M2022-09-30
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6730.641681-4.65%0.593-11.89%0.0409✓1.214.1M2022-09-30
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.21840.208213-4.66%0.1725-21.02%0.1471✓1.30135k2022-09-30
DODODODOEthereum0.12760.121634-4.68%0.1271-0.39%0.0765✗1.031.7M2022-09-30
KCSKuCoinnative9.0018.5801-4.68%9.167+1.84%0.0961✗0.951.4M2022-09-30
ASTRAstarEthereum0.03570.03403-4.68%0.0377+5.60%0.1272✗0.799,5472022-09-30
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.0440.041935-4.69%0.0427-2.95%0.0484✗0.96147k2022-09-30
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.008580.008176-4.70%0.00657-23.43%0.1959✓0.725.5M2022-09-30
APEApeCoinEthereum4.7614.5364-4.72%5.408+13.59%0.2179✗1.348.5M2022-09-30
DKAdKargoEthereum0.045930.04376-4.72%0.04057-11.67%0.0532✓0.7115k2022-09-30
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.21120.201157-4.76%0.1931-8.57%0.0085✓1.0358k2022-09-30
MOVRMoonriverBase12.3811.787-4.79%11.1383-10.03%0.0261✓0.9730k2022-09-30
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.72761.6446-4.81%1.1834-31.50%0.2988✓0.961.2M2022-09-30
API3Api3Ethereum1.651.5704-4.82%1.64-0.61%0.0726✗0.93579k2022-09-30
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.2051.1468-4.83%1.056-12.37%0.0513✓0.991.6M2022-09-30
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash115.16109.5915-4.84%120.1+4.29%0.1275✗1.144.6M2022-09-30
DASHDashDash44.5542.3886-4.85%41.94-5.86%0.0198✓0.97438k2022-09-30
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.05950.056593-4.89%0.0647+8.74%0.1612✗0.87101k2022-09-30
GLMGolemEthereum0.24470.232737-4.89%0.2604+6.42%0.1420✗0.9475k2022-09-30
CVCCivicEthereum0.14450.137433-4.89%0.1275-11.76%0.0428✓1.02130k2022-09-30
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.45940.436891-4.90%0.4309-6.20%0.0222✓1.14383k2022-09-30
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.255.9425-4.92%6.071-2.86%0.0484✓0.864.9M2022-09-30
SUSHISushiEthereum1.03470.983688-4.93%1.1027+6.57%0.1527✗1.22996k2022-09-30
SUNSun TokenTron0.0056680.005388-4.94%0.005197-8.32%0.0145✓0.692,1952022-09-30
COTICOTIEthereum0.08990.085452-4.95%0.1076+19.69%0.2606✗0.95381k2022-09-30
FORTFortaEthereum0.23250.220732-5.06%0.1432-38.41%0.4043✓0.9076k2022-09-30
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum12.511.8559-5.15%16.08+28.64%0.3381✗1.061.9M2022-09-30
XEMNEMnative0.0439410.041675-5.16%0.040717-7.34%0.0034✓0.8529k2022-09-30
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.021520.020406-5.18%0.01929-10.36%0.0308✓0.8113k2022-09-30
UNIUniswapEthereum6.1425.824-5.18%6.467+5.29%0.1458✗1.308.9M2022-09-30
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06220.058968-5.20%0.0576-7.40%0.0168✓1.28908k2022-09-30
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.28850.273488-5.20%0.3535+22.53%0.2850✗0.906.0M2022-09-30
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10030.09496-5.32%0.0911-9.17%0.0189✓0.722,5272022-09-30
UMAUMAEthereum2.7282.5827-5.33%2.336-14.37%0.0729✓0.87706k2022-09-30
CELLCellframeEthereum0.30410.287821-5.35%0.2602-14.44%0.0671✓1.07107k2022-09-30
ZENHorizenBase15.5314.6965-5.37%14.11-9.14%0.0057✓1.11107k2022-09-30
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0064950.006141-5.46%0.006298-3.03%0.0384✓0.4158k2022-09-30
AMPAmpEthereum0.006190.005852-5.46%0.00487-21.32%0.1635✓0.641.0M2022-09-30
BTTCBTTC8.80e-78.32e-7-5.47%7.70e-7-12.50%0.0523✓0.791.9M2022-09-30
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.79391.6949-5.52%1.7056-4.92%0.0404✓1.0830k2022-09-30
PROPropyEthereum0.730.689583-5.54%0.62-15.07%0.0971✓0.2979k2022-09-30
KSMKusamaHydration47.4244.7734-5.58%42.06-11.30%0.0314✓0.99522k2022-09-30
XVSVenusEthereum4.864.5869-5.62%4.78-1.65%0.0679✗0.851.5M2022-09-30
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.848.3432-5.62%8.52-3.62%0.0364✓0.491.9M2022-09-30
MANADecentralandEthereum0.771910.728435-5.63%0.69854-9.50%0.0143✓0.88509k2022-09-30
WOOWOOEthereum0.15310.144417-5.67%0.1386-9.47%0.0059✓1.121,5282022-09-30
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.023040.021729-5.69%0.01866-19.01%0.1269✓0.81459k2022-09-30
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.82511.1481-5.72%13.03+10.19%0.1910✗1.1111.4M2022-09-30
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.334160.314985-5.74%0.30317-9.27%0.0070✓0.9945k2022-09-30
STXStacksnative0.3650.343996-5.75%0.3244-11.12%0.0221✓1.16384k2022-09-30
RADRadworksEthereum2.132.0055-5.84%2-6.10%0.0211✓0.76287k2022-09-30
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.001560.001469-5.86%0.001435-8.01%0.0012✓0.709,0932022-09-30
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10330.097226-5.88%0.0987-4.45%0.0421✓0.86188k2022-09-30
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04840.045542-5.90%0.0392-19.01%0.1187✓0.99781k2022-09-30
NEXONEXOEthereum1.0781.0143-5.91%0.923-14.38%0.0546✓1.261.5M2022-09-30
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2820.265314-5.92%0.251-10.99%0.0327✓0.72668k2022-09-30
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.136980.128835-5.95%0.12823-6.39%0.0330✓1.20190k2022-09-30
QTUMQtumQtum3.1492.9615-5.95%2.8524-9.42%0.0057✓1.0125k2022-09-30
DEXEDeXeEthereum2.9222.748-5.95%3.081+5.44%0.1301✗0.50650k2022-09-30
SCSiacoinnative0.004040.003799-5.96%0.00347-14.11%0.0594✓0.99144k2022-09-30
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.0336.6113-6.00%6.322-10.11%0.0121✓1.0410.9M2022-09-30
CTSICartesiEthereum0.13950.131056-6.05%0.1421+1.86%0.1127✗1.01509k2022-09-30
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.14631.0768-6.06%0.917-20.00%0.1124✓1.534.5M2022-09-30
ELAElastosEthereum1.8181.7075-6.08%1.485-18.32%0.1109✓0.91121k2022-09-30
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0029940.002811-6.10%0.001987-33.63%0.3181✓0.921.1M2022-09-30
XLMStellarStellar0.1043650.097795-6.29%0.114648+9.85%0.1845✗0.817.0M2022-09-30
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.007990.007486-6.31%0.00692-13.39%0.0432✓1.12477k2022-09-30
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.298090.279264-6.32%0.267208-10.36%0.0098✓1.09547k2022-09-30
FTTFTXEthereum26.7325.0259-6.38%24.25-9.28%0.0008✓0.977.3M2022-09-30
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.794.4835-6.40%4.68-2.30%0.0597✓0.531.1M2022-09-30
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV51.91548.5773-6.43%48.976-5.66%0.0316✓0.74302k2022-09-30
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6630.62035-6.43%0.576-13.12%0.0434✓0.98207k2022-09-30
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5150.481824-6.44%0.453-12.04%0.0257✓1.1483k2022-09-30
IMXImmutableEthereum0.83270.778509-6.51%0.7579-8.98%0.0059✓1.041.7M2022-09-30
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.0121.881-6.51%1.701-15.46%0.0649✓1.1342k2022-09-30
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0612770.057275-6.53%0.061628+0.57%0.1066✗1.061.5M2022-09-30
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche19.1317.8753-6.56%17.2-10.09%0.0023✓1.2922.5M2022-09-30
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.32030.299056-6.63%0.288-10.08%0.0009✓1.17138k2022-09-30
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.431.3339-6.72%1.475+3.15%0.1374✗1.17116k2022-09-30
ETCEthereum Classicnative32.4130.2273-6.73%27.75-14.38%0.0380✓1.5112.7M2022-09-30
XTZTezosTezos1.51081.409-6.74%1.4221-5.87%0.0447✓1.12296k2022-09-30
METISMetisEthereum31.0328.9275-6.78%24.07-22.43%0.1240✓1.90288k2022-09-30
C98Coin98Ethereum0.4390.409168-6.80%0.3611-17.74%0.0886✓1.15100k2022-09-30
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.152.0037-6.81%1.82-15.35%0.0601✓1.14217k2022-09-30
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.9151.7844-6.82%1.591-16.92%0.0617✓1.6883k2022-09-30
XECeCashnative0.000044520.000041474-6.84%0.00004111-7.66%0.0184✓0.861.7M2022-09-30
LSKLiskEthereum1.07080.997404-6.85%0.953-11.00%0.0184✓0.8644k2022-09-30
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.667.1329-6.88%6.46-15.67%0.0650✓1.08430k2022-09-30
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.615.223-6.90%5.08-9.45%0.0134✓0.452.0M2022-09-30
FLOWFlownative2.0721.9261-7.04%1.686-18.63%0.0905✓1.351.3M2022-09-30
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.013580.012623-7.05%0.0098-27.84%0.2321✓0.67201k2022-09-30
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.10260.095347-7.07%0.0987-3.80%0.0684✓1.073.1M2022-09-30
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.4494.1315-7.14%3.848-13.51%0.0634✓0.242.3M2022-09-30
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.081490.075544-7.30%0.07392-9.29%0.0202✓0.05451k2022-09-30
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.5280.489434-7.30%0.444-15.91%0.0644✓1.0576k2022-09-30
CTKShentuOsmosis0.910.843521-7.31%0.865-4.95%0.0368✓0.374.0M2022-09-30
CHZChilizEthereum0.21790.201942-7.32%0.2353+7.99%0.1794✗0.843.1M2022-09-30
GALAGALAEthereum0.05030.046559-7.44%0.0405-19.48%0.1087✓0.97217k2022-09-30
YFIyearn.financeEthereum9,021.078,343.33-7.51%8,121.81-9.97%0.0166✓1.386.0M2022-09-30
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.035190.032531-7.56%0.03032-13.84%0.0387✓1.0140k2022-09-30
BANDBandEthereum1.2751.1784-7.57%1.227-3.76%0.0778✓1.19460k2022-09-30
GMTGMTEthereum0.67230.620784-7.66%0.6408-4.69%0.0755✓1.39226k2022-09-30
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0013420.001239-7.67%0.001016-24.30%0.1738✓0.792.1M2022-09-30
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.3374.0006-7.76%3.882-10.49%0.0150✓0.482.0M2022-09-30
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6630.61156-7.76%0.589-11.16%0.0104✓0.86228k2022-09-30
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.0475.5743-7.82%5.44-10.04%0.0094✓0.484.4M2022-09-30
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.1680.154694-7.92%0.14624-12.95%0.0257✓0.97324k2022-09-30
UOSUltraEthereum0.350.322267-7.92%0.33003-5.71%0.0533✓0.94347k2022-09-30
LRCLoopringEthereum0.35130.323442-7.93%0.2956-15.86%0.0561✓1.07116k2022-09-30
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum3.7433.4451-7.96%3.842+2.64%0.1395✗0.97259k2022-09-30
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0303140.027899-7.97%0.02996-1.17%0.0753✓0.13280k2022-09-30
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.05163.7259-8.04%3.8918-3.94%0.0625✓0.604.2M2022-09-30
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.94270.866805-8.05%0.8437-10.50%0.0110✓1.21912k2022-09-30
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.76.1573-8.10%6.53-2.54%0.0739✓0.481.7M2022-09-30
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.50540.46415-8.16%0.4164-17.61%0.0848✓0.75544k2022-09-30
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.062110.057031-8.18%0.0611-1.63%0.1026✗1.072.0M2022-09-30
XVGVergenative0.003350.003073-8.26%0.00328-2.09%0.0969✗1.01486k2022-09-30
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.13941.0448-8.30%1.194+4.79%0.1613✗0.881.3M2022-09-30
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.5221.3906-8.63%1.257-17.41%0.0640✓1.1870k2022-09-30
ORCAOrcaSolana0.90230.824008-8.68%0.8477-6.05%0.0741✓1.45167k2022-09-30
COMPCompoundEthereum47.1443.008-8.77%61.22+29.87%0.3925✗1.259,8512022-09-30
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.7465.2402-8.80%5.682-1.11%0.1080✗0.869.1M2022-09-30
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.1412.8892-8.85%12.57-11.10%0.0097✓1.10909k2022-09-30
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.11610.105747-8.92%0.0758-34.71%0.3099✓0.73216k2022-09-30
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain13.00511.843-8.94%17.233+32.51%0.3915✗0.529.7M2022-09-30
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.45.8259-8.97%6.03-5.78%0.0500✓0.502.1M2022-09-30
NMRNumeraireEthereum17.2715.6974-9.11%14.8-14.30%0.0372✓0.69818k2022-09-30
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.311.1892-9.22%1.16-11.45%0.0038✓0.91111k2022-09-30
LUNATerraTerra 20.000221560.000200002-9.73%0.00030441+37.39%0.4435✗0.74429k2022-09-30
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain6.62945.9759-9.86%5.6941-14.11%0.0411✓0.235.4M2022-09-30
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.82764.3481-9.93%5.85+21.18%0.3282✗1.00150k2022-09-30
BRISEBitgertEthereum9.25e-78.25e-7-10.86%5.44e-7-41.20%0.3900✓0.831.3M2022-09-30
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain7.86116.9978-10.98%6.6182-15.81%0.0446✓0.367.0M2022-09-30
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.