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2022-08-12 · +30d

gru_s0 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 186 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0015
185 of 186 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-17.60%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
59.5%
in alpha space · 65.9% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-10.58%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (186 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
ORCAOrcaSolana1.02480.972579-5.10%0.8885-13.30%0.0886✗1.60296k2022-09-11
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche29.3527.9474-4.78%20.69-29.51%0.1440✓1.4030.7M2022-09-11
NMRNumeraireEthereum21.1520.2173-4.41%18.93-10.50%0.0140✓0.712.4M2022-09-11
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.42311.3663-3.99%1.183-16.87%0.0172✓1.446.7M2022-09-11
FORTFortaEthereum0.30940.297078-3.98%0.2312-25.27%0.1295✓1.08203k2022-09-11
YFIyearn.financeEthereum11,508.5711,057.34-3.92%10,194.93-11.41%0.0679✗1.336.2M2022-09-11
LUNATerraTerra 20.000098090.000094288-3.88%0.00043138+339.78%1.6079✗0.78353k2022-09-11
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum8.3948.0754-3.80%7.173-14.55%0.0004✓1.065.5M2022-09-11
GMTGMTEthereum0.9830.945882-3.78%0.7351-25.22%0.0871✓1.48440k2022-09-11
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.100470.096677-3.78%0.06521-35.10%0.2515✓1.272.0M2022-09-11
OPTIMOptimism1.6511.59-3.69%1.402-15.08%0.0887✗1.923.6M2022-09-11
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.44433.3243-3.48%7.1468+107.50%0.8189✗0.481.9M2022-09-11
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.048430.046784-3.40%0.03781-21.93%0.0985✓1.0219k2022-09-11
RADRadworksEthereum2.592.505-3.28%2.63+1.54%0.1530✗0.93636k2022-09-11
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.14720.142412-3.25%0.1167-20.72%0.0714✓1.143.8M2022-09-11
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.1270.122989-3.16%0.1254-1.26%0.1142✗0.85209k2022-09-11
AUCTIONBounceEthereum10.710.3702-3.08%7.63-28.69%0.1835✓1.10638k2022-09-11
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.084.9267-3.02%4.64-8.66%0.0143✓0.411.3M2022-09-11
SKLSKALEEthereum0.07330.071093-3.01%0.0501-31.65%0.2249✓1.12877k2022-09-11
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.154.0253-3.00%2.963-28.60%0.1255✓1.625.3M2022-09-11
ETCEthereum Classicnative43.4142.1407-2.92%38.56-11.17%0.0654✗1.3816.2M2022-09-11
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.7920.769426-2.85%0.515-34.97%0.2603✓1.262,9182022-09-11
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos12.06111.7175-2.85%15.699+30.16%0.4287✗1.2214.4M2022-09-11
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum16.0315.5742-2.84%15.7-2.06%0.1431✗1.212.6M2022-09-11
HIGHHighstreetEthereum2.0341.9766-2.82%1.517-25.42%0.1332✓1.18220k2022-09-11
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.880.855547-2.78%0.649-26.25%0.1712✓0.94377k2022-09-11
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.5946.4116-2.77%6.139-6.90%0.0268✓0.153.5M2022-09-11
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.42591.3869-2.74%1.3145-7.81%0.0591✗1.01907k2022-09-11
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.326.1495-2.70%6.57+3.96%0.1057✗0.351.2M2022-09-11
DODODODOEthereum0.18090.176063-2.67%0.1333-26.31%0.1620✓1.042.7M2022-09-11
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0045230.004403-2.65%0.002904-35.79%0.3194✓0.87994k2022-09-11
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.535.3853-2.62%5.43-1.81%0.0429✗0.312.1M2022-09-11
TRBTellor TributesEthereum39.3838.3756-2.55%16.58-57.90%0.7074✓1.181.5M2022-09-11
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0015090.001471-2.55%0.001367-9.40%0.0244✓0.871.4M2022-09-11
APEApeCoinEthereum7.0356.8562-2.54%5.682-19.23%0.0339✓1.3811.9M2022-09-11
ELAElastosEthereum2.0752.0228-2.52%1.655-20.24%0.0898✓0.99261k2022-09-11
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.3341.3006-2.51%0.9748-26.93%0.1503✓1.231.1M2022-09-11
METISMetisEthereum49.0747.8624-2.46%31.98-34.83%0.1881✓1.92385k2022-09-11
DEXEDeXeEthereum4.174.0701-2.40%3.278-21.39%0.1339✓0.741.3M2022-09-11
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum18.6618.215-2.38%14.56-21.97%0.0869✓1.231.4M2022-09-11
FLOWFlownative2.9452.8767-2.32%2.116-28.15%0.1646✓1.27711k2022-09-11
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.6440.629171-2.30%0.5157-19.92%0.1065✓0.83755k2022-09-11
UNIUniswapEthereum9.219.0008-2.27%6.491-29.52%0.1792✓1.3210.0M2022-09-11
COMPCompoundEthereum65.1263.6527-2.25%55.25-15.16%0.0018✓1.2838k2022-09-11
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.1764.0845-2.19%4.354+4.26%0.0925✗0.262.3M2022-09-11
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.31093.2395-2.16%7.6094+129.83%0.8930✗0.351.5M2022-09-11
QNTQuantEthereum128.24125.5323-2.11%108.82-15.14%0.0447✓0.884.0M2022-09-11
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.55310.54144-2.11%0.3328-39.83%0.3388✓1.32232k2022-09-11
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008920.008733-2.10%0.00844-5.38%0.0920✗1.13463k2022-09-11
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.1514.064-2.10%4.405+6.12%0.1185✗0.341.7M2022-09-11
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.7518.5695-2.07%6.417-26.67%0.1902✓0.896.2M2022-09-11
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.9440.924719-2.04%0.676-28.39%0.1492✓1.474.4M2022-09-11
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.47640.466699-2.04%0.4255-10.68%0.0577✗1.34242k2022-09-11
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.0513.969-2.02%4.501+11.11%0.2219✗0.86102k2022-09-11
MOVRMoonriverBase17.124116.7794-2.01%12.8866-24.75%0.1488✓1.0359k2022-09-11
CTSICartesiEthereum0.1960.19206-2.01%0.1545-21.17%0.0949✓1.10570k2022-09-11
COTICOTIEthereum0.12370.121224-2.00%0.0997-19.40%0.0747✓1.08529k2022-09-11
XLMStellarStellar0.1264130.123917-1.97%0.114387-9.51%0.0225✗0.927.2M2022-09-11
XTZTezosTezos1.92491.8874-1.95%1.6855-12.44%0.0144✓1.14467k2022-09-11
XVSVenusEthereum6.666.5378-1.83%5.1-23.42%0.1267✓1.091.4M2022-09-11
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.136.0193-1.81%6.73+9.79%0.1508✗0.351.0M2022-09-11
HIVEHivenative0.63480.623454-1.79%0.5792-8.76%0.0387✗1.002.4M2022-09-11
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.868.7021-1.78%8.98+1.35%0.0494✗0.161.8M2022-09-11
ETHEthereumEthereum1,959.911,925.24-1.77%1,766.95-9.85%0.0617✗1.32522.8M2022-09-11
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2360.231936-1.72%0.17789-24.62%0.1279✓1.23657k2022-09-11
SUSHISushiEthereum1.561.5334-1.71%1.3029-16.48%0.0166✓1.311.2M2022-09-11
CELLCellframeEthereum0.44490.437422-1.68%0.2929-34.16%0.2754✓1.1295k2022-09-11
KSMKusamaHydration61.1460.1286-1.65%51.9-15.11%0.0281✓1.06551k2022-09-11
MINAMina Protocolnative0.9380.922937-1.61%0.686-26.87%0.1861✓0.99280k2022-09-11
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.07270.071555-1.57%0.0611-15.96%0.0677✓0.81128k2022-09-11
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04450.043809-1.55%0.0393-11.69%0.0080✓1.0476k2022-09-11
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.36560.359936-1.55%0.3264-10.72%0.0117✓0.988.4M2022-09-11
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.13040.128447-1.50%0.1156-11.35%0.0089✓0.86350k2022-09-11
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05690.056051-1.49%0.0497-12.65%0.0052✓1.03254k2022-09-11
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.9642.9212-1.44%1.99-32.86%0.1884✓1.75143k2022-09-11
LRCLoopringEthereum0.4760.469425-1.38%0.3619-23.97%0.1305✓1.16174k2022-09-11
UOSUltraEthereum0.392780.387384-1.37%0.45678+16.29%0.2654✗0.90439k2022-09-11
AAVEAaveEthereum114.79113.2292-1.36%91.63-20.18%0.0360✓1.577.9M2022-09-11
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.032620.032182-1.34%0.02332-28.51%0.2081✓1.0213.8M2022-09-11
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.08270.081636-1.29%0.0662-19.95%0.0833✓1.131.4M2022-09-11
BFCBifrostEthereum0.09160.090443-1.26%0.07546-17.62%0.0563✓1.1229k2022-09-11
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0200890.019841-1.24%0.023973+19.33%0.2092✗0.18223k2022-09-11
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.15641.1428-1.18%1.0275-11.15%0.0258✓0.723.9M2022-09-11
DIADIAEthereum0.482460.476822-1.17%0.40526-16.00%0.1062✓0.5070k2022-09-11
CHZChilizEthereum0.1640.162086-1.17%0.2083+27.01%0.3508✗0.891.1M2022-09-11
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.91.8781-1.15%1.46-23.16%0.1345✓1.05190k2022-09-11
FTTFTXEthereum31.2230.8622-1.15%27.89-10.67%0.0023✓0.9310.8M2022-09-11
C98Coin98Ethereum0.55740.551054-1.14%0.4445-20.25%0.0881✓1.1358k2022-09-11
DOTPolkadotPolkadot9.4849.3771-1.13%7.702-18.79%0.0756✓1.0813.2M2022-09-11
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.68511.6664-1.11%2.0077+19.14%0.3287✗1.27540k2022-09-11
BTCBitcoinBitcoin24,415.1824,148.30-1.09%21,831.72-10.58%0.0110✓1.00472.7M2022-09-11
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.087260.08636-1.03%0.07414-15.04%0.1267✓0.231.1M2022-09-11
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0021910.002169-1.01%0.001558-28.89%0.2190✓1.001.0M2022-09-11
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV63.53662.8977-1.00%54.454-14.29%0.0634✓0.72344k2022-09-11
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.026640.026373-1.00%0.0213-20.05%0.1235✓0.81186k2022-09-11
STORJStorjEthereum0.726560.719422-0.98%0.55506-23.60%0.1074✓1.3659k2022-09-11
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.01682.9872-0.98%4.6789+55.09%0.5093✗0.541.3M2022-09-11
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.7410.733742-0.98%0.595-19.70%0.0609✓1.33135k2022-09-11
XECeCashnative0.000047840.000047386-0.95%0.00004562-4.64%0.0572✗0.852.0M2022-09-11
MANADecentralandEthereum1.06861.0586-0.94%0.80376-24.78%0.1616✓1.02543k2022-09-11
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.70.693494-0.93%0.543-22.43%0.1086✓1.22100k2022-09-11
WOOWOOEthereum0.24340.241159-0.92%0.168-30.98%0.2381✓1.101,7402022-09-11
RARESuperRareEthereum0.30240.29966-0.91%0.2106-30.36%0.2408✓1.00108k2022-09-11
AVTAventusEthereum1.591.576-0.88%1.42-10.69%0.0997✓0.04143k2022-09-11
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.010390.010299-0.88%0.00944-9.14%0.0050✓0.735.5M2022-09-11
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.36310.359928-0.87%0.2923-19.50%0.0931✓1.033.6M2022-09-11
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3883630.38503-0.86%0.313787-19.20%0.0814✓1.10916k2022-09-11
ADACardanoCardano0.54070.53613-0.85%0.5101-5.66%0.0719✗1.0942.0M2022-09-11
IMXImmutableEthereum1.14671.1373-0.82%0.8663-24.45%0.1327✓1.252.3M2022-09-11
LINKChainlinkEthereum9.3339.2565-0.82%8.03-13.96%0.0157✓1.1319.3M2022-09-11
SOLSolanaSolana45.545.1275-0.82%35.01-23.05%0.1147✓1.2481.1M2022-09-11
GTCGitcoinEthereum3.253.2238-0.81%2.33-28.31%0.1832✓1.27269k2022-09-11
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.182990.181532-0.80%0.14382-21.41%0.0854✓1.32236k2022-09-11
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.426970.42364-0.78%0.33139-22.39%0.1293✓1.04502k2022-09-11
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood32.9771-0.76%1.9-36.67%0.3906✓0.5296k2022-09-11
LPTLivepeerEthereum12.412.3116-0.71%11.23-9.44%0.0369✗1.15313k2022-09-11
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5540.550131-0.70%0.513-7.40%0.0416✗1.0015k2022-09-11
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017810.017697-0.63%0.01293-27.40%0.2347✓0.71159k2022-09-11
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.8754.8462-0.59%12.594+158.34%0.9824✗0.251.1M2022-09-11
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.3412.3286-0.53%1.648-29.60%0.2172✓1.15172k2022-09-11
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.39812.3856-0.52%1.9241-19.77%0.0938✓1.0838k2022-09-11
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.9472.9316-0.52%2.202-25.28%0.1515✓1.2059k2022-09-11
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.09190.09147-0.47%0.0645-29.82%0.2562✓0.83127k2022-09-11
QTUMQtumQtum4.29254.2736-0.44%3.3066-22.97%0.1435✓1.0153k2022-09-11
BANDBandEthereum1.8011.7936-0.41%1.369-23.99%0.1204✓1.34432k2022-09-11
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.20e-73.19e-7-0.34%7.30e-7+128.03%0.9034✗0.68150k2022-09-11
XVGVergenative0.003920.003907-0.32%0.00381-2.81%0.0991✗1.11534k2022-09-11
BTTCBTTC0.000001030.000001027-0.32%9.10e-7-11.65%0.0337✓0.785.9M2022-09-11
GALAGALAEthereum0.0660.065801-0.30%0.052-21.21%0.1129✓1.09207k2022-09-11
XEMNEMnative0.0556990.055557-0.26%0.046785-16.00%0.0593✓1.0144k2022-09-11
STEEMSteemnative0.27770.277149-0.20%0.235-15.38%0.0643✓0.90629k2022-09-11
GITCOINGITCOIN3.23543.2298-0.17%2.3057-28.74%0.1889✓1.3313k2022-09-11
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0017060.001703-0.15%0.001636-4.10%0.0486✗0.809,0932022-09-11
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.22931.2282-0.09%–pending––1.1013k2022-09-11
CTKShentuOsmosis1.0131.0121-0.09%1.024+1.09%0.0730✗0.554.2M2022-09-11
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0068320.006831-0.02%0.006309-7.66%0.0236✓0.5053k2022-09-11
ZENHorizenBase21.3521.3461-0.02%16.47-22.86%0.1261✓1.19118k2022-09-11
KCSKuCoinnative10.65410.6619+0.07%9.755-8.44%0.0231✓1.002.0M2022-09-11
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.016280.016297+0.11%0.013193-18.96%0.1325✗0.702.1M2022-09-11
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.25370.254174+0.19%0.2141-15.61%0.0180✗1.37116k2022-09-11
ZECZcashZcash77.3477.4975+0.20%64.27-16.90%0.0562✗1.172.2M2022-09-11
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4961.4997+0.25%1.251-16.38%0.0608✗1.082.6M2022-09-11
SCSiacoinnative0.005110.005123+0.26%0.00419-18.00%0.0778✗1.10112k2022-09-11
XMRMoneroMonero166.92167.3544+0.26%159.22-4.61%0.0645✓1.021.1M2022-09-11
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9420.9446+0.28%0.974+3.40%0.1643✓1.201.1M2022-09-11
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.15350.15394+0.29%0.2611+70.10%0.6494✓1.0850k2022-09-11
DASHDashDash56.1656.3563+0.35%48.35-13.91%0.0423✗0.99544k2022-09-11
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.198510.199322+0.41%0.17414-12.28%0.1147✓2.238742022-09-11
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.27870.279952+0.45%0.2303-17.37%0.0824✗1.0191k2022-09-11
API3Api3Ethereum2.4262.4376+0.48%1.838-24.24%0.1729✗0.98588k2022-09-11
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.60740.610449+0.50%0.512-15.71%0.0497✗1.13332k2022-09-11
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.466350.468998+0.57%0.35169-24.59%0.1728✗1.03107k2022-09-11
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash143.1143.924+0.58%130.35-8.91%0.0266✓1.125.1M2022-09-11
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.17450.175509+0.58%0.1378-21.03%0.1636✗0.704.4M2022-09-11
UMAUMAEthereum3.2233.2421+0.59%2.782-13.68%0.0563✗0.86587k2022-09-11
GLMGolemEthereum0.29560.297509+0.65%0.3308+11.91%0.2126✓0.9570k2022-09-11
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3290.33114+0.65%0.285-13.37%0.0550✗0.851.1M2022-09-11
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.00001270.00001279+0.71%0.00001299+2.28%0.1254✓0.98744k2022-09-11
CBKCobakEthereum1.23181.2411+0.76%0.8518-30.85%0.2680✗0.9714k2022-09-11
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0723220.072933+0.84%0.063703-11.92%0.0198✗1.031.7M2022-09-11
LSKLiskEthereum1.28781.2993+0.89%1.0863-15.65%0.0744✗0.9456k2022-09-11
LTCLitecoinLitecoin62.9563.5151+0.90%62.18-1.22%0.0962✓1.0513.7M2022-09-11
LCXLCXEthereum0.07390.074587+0.93%0.0508-31.26%0.2479✗1.22367k2022-09-11
PHAPHALAEthereum0.1390.140327+0.95%0.1027-26.12%0.2148✗0.874,5542022-09-11
XYMSymbolnative0.0564110.056987+1.02%0.042322-24.98%0.2397✗0.5233k2022-09-11
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0254660.025728+1.03%0.021887-14.05%0.0681✗0.8413k2022-09-11
GTGateEthereum5.0445.1037+1.18%4.3301-14.15%0.0842✗0.72911k2022-09-11
CHRChromiaEthereum0.22240.225085+1.21%0.183-17.72%0.0477✗1.421,3132022-09-11
BORABORAKlay Token0.370960.375486+1.22%0.29146-21.43%0.1313✗1.0913k2022-09-11
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.083310.08433+1.22%0.07307-12.29%0.0572✗0.779772022-09-11
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum24,153.8024,452.83+1.24%21,663.60-10.31%0.0130✗0.9711k2022-09-11
CVCCivicEthereum0.17520.177402+1.26%0.1518-13.36%0.0405✗1.03131k2022-09-11
DKAdKargoEthereum0.053960.054642+1.26%0.04664-13.57%0.0746✗0.7516k2022-09-11
STXStacksnative0.50990.516558+1.31%0.3903-23.46%0.1499✗1.17808k2022-09-11
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.033630.034086+1.36%0.0255-24.17%0.1454✗1.292,7512022-09-11
BTTBitTorrentEthereum0.000001030.000001045+1.42%9.10e-7-11.65%0.0517✗0.7721k2022-09-11
NANOnanopayBase1.10831.1243+1.44%0.927788-16.28%0.1043✗0.7963k2022-09-11
TRXTRONTron0.0704870.071518+1.46%0.06419-8.93%0.0404✗0.61182k2022-09-11
PROPropyEthereum0.830.843686+1.65%0.72-13.25%0.1084✗0.4591k2022-09-11
AMPAmpEthereum0.008380.008525+1.73%0.00661-21.12%0.1821✗0.651.6M2022-09-11
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.049530.050423+1.80%0.0396-20.05%0.1494✗0.822,5822022-09-11
ASTRAstarEthereum0.05020.051112+1.82%0.0372-25.90%0.2092✗0.9711k2022-09-11
SUNSun TokenTron0.0068930.007035+2.07%0.006537-5.17%0.0074✓0.723,4592022-09-11
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.1040.106411+2.32%0.0941-9.52%0.0095✓1.019,1182022-09-11
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26140.268109+2.57%0.127-51.42%0.7457✗0.0144k2022-09-11
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.79724.9455+3.09%5.0627+5.53%0.0381✓0.13307k2022-09-11
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.