8=======>

2022-07-06 · +30d

gru_s0 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 181 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1087
181 of 181 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+10.24%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
62.4%
in alpha space · 77.3% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+13.52%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (181 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LUNATerraTerra 20.00011220.000103713-7.56%0.00010097-10.01%0.2707✓1.92920k2022-08-05
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.240490.224764-6.54%0.19602-18.49%0.2637✓1.008412022-08-05
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.6940.650159-6.32%0.824+18.73%0.0459✓1.512,9032022-08-05
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.09490.089679-5.50%0.0689-27.40%0.4123✓1.1794k2022-08-05
ORCAOrcaSolana0.79990.767214-4.09%0.9869+23.38%0.0426✗1.65101k2022-08-05
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8490.814755-4.03%0.875+3.06%0.1769✓1.9615.6M2022-08-05
STORJStorjEthereum0.7020.673718-4.03%0.69514-0.98%0.1769✓1.6499k2022-08-05
FORTFortaEthereum0.25040.240417-3.99%0.3054+21.96%0.1124✗1.00650k2022-08-05
NMRNumeraireEthereum17.2516.6209-3.65%21.35+23.77%0.1156✗1.06336k2022-08-05
AVTAventusEthereum1.481.4388-2.78%1.58+6.76%0.0549✗0.30648k2022-08-05
GITCOINGITCOIN2.4982.4292-2.76%3.1425+25.80%0.0435✗1.695,9182022-08-05
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.4493.3602-2.58%5.341+54.86%0.3865✗0.612.6M2022-08-05
C98Coin98Ethereum0.50930.499409-1.94%0.5966+17.14%0.0510✗1.0093k2022-08-05
FISStafiEthereum0.35930.353543-1.60%0.3903+8.63%0.0279✓1.006412022-08-05
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03710.036516-1.57%0.0451+21.56%0.0487✗1.28168k2022-08-05
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.9552.9133-1.41%3.911+32.35%0.2131✗0.643.6M2022-08-05
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.193.1529-1.16%5.02+57.37%0.3763✗0.70846k2022-08-05
CBKCobakEthereum0.94080.930439-1.10%1.1532+22.58%0.0654✗1.182,3312022-08-05
GMTGMTEthereum0.9650.954551-1.08%0.939-2.69%0.2490✓1.83774k2022-08-05
TRBTellor TributesEthereum11.911.7787-1.02%32.59+173.87%0.8129✗1.61463k2022-08-05
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.043.0126-0.90%3.17+4.28%0.0759✓1.0082k2022-08-05
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.025120.024896-0.89%0.03628+44.43%0.1562✗1.7421.5M2022-08-05
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26130.259347-0.75%0.2615+0.08%0.1186✓1.0067k2022-08-05
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana3.843.812-0.73%5.69+48.18%0.3196✗0.641.0M2022-08-05
CHRChromiaEthereum0.18160.180382-0.67%0.2201+21.20%0.0722✗1.002,7282022-08-05
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.8261.8155-0.58%2.333+27.77%0.0620✗1.49127k2022-08-05
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.2611.2539-0.56%1.432+13.56%0.0439✓1.393.3M2022-08-05
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.6122.5976-0.55%4.061+55.47%0.2180✗1.803.7M2022-08-05
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.12142.1106-0.51%3.2379+52.63%0.3204✗0.851.5M2022-08-05
METRONOMEMETRONOME0.778160.774583-0.46%1.0569+35.82%0.2060✗0.832702022-08-05
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0206570.02057-0.42%0.023038+11.53%0.0203✓1.059552022-08-05
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.0020.998785-0.32%1.0748+7.27%0.0890✓1.28252k2022-08-05
WOOWOOEthereum0.18660.186002-0.32%0.2306+23.58%0.0384✗1.393,3092022-08-05
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.02040.020349-0.25%0.01819-10.83%0.2098✓0.77417k2022-08-05
FIDABonfidaSolana0.3930.39203-0.25%0.57+45.04%0.2319✗1.1211k2022-08-05
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.80465.7908-0.24%4.9519-14.69%0.1838✓0.22291k2022-08-05
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.064.0523-0.19%5.7+40.39%0.2582✗0.65916k2022-08-05
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.441390.441061-0.07%0.42676-3.31%0.1950✓1.28155k2022-08-05
API3Api3Ethereum2.0842.0837-0.02%2.195+5.33%0.1242✓1.391.1M2022-08-05
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.44970.449631-0.02%0.4587+2.00%0.1946✓1.69205k2022-08-05
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.713.7098-0.01%4.72+27.22%0.1568✗0.662.2M2022-08-05
OPTIMOptimism0.5430.543353+0.07%1.946+258.38%1.0578✓1.721.6M2022-08-05
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.442.445+0.21%2.47+1.23%0.1101✗0.95157k2022-08-05
IMXImmutableEthereum1.01391.0169+0.30%1.1864+17.01%0.0383✗1.522.2M2022-08-05
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.75810.760475+0.31%1.1895+56.91%0.3123✓1.064.0M2022-08-05
XVSVenusEthereum5.065.076+0.32%6.65+31.42%0.0776✓1.521.5M2022-08-05
CRVCurve DAOEthereum0.960.963036+0.32%1.4417+50.18%0.2268✓1.394.4M2022-08-05
LCXLCXEthereum0.06070.060896+0.32%0.0624+2.80%0.1616✗1.47329k2022-08-05
RADRadworksEthereum1.661.6659+0.35%2.51+51.20%0.2656✓1.14133k2022-08-05
BFCBifrostEthereum0.055720.055926+0.37%0.0866+55.42%0.2632✓1.3728k2022-08-05
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2820.283203+0.43%0.228-19.15%0.4235✗1.631.1M2022-08-05
XYMSymbolnative0.05170.051923+0.43%0.055256+6.88%0.0204✗0.6519k2022-08-05
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.512.5211+0.44%3.17+26.29%0.0244✓1.61298k2022-08-05
HIVEHivenative0.45550.457805+0.51%0.5908+29.70%0.0903✓1.301.1M2022-08-05
CTSICartesiEthereum0.15260.15342+0.54%0.1787+17.10%0.0209✗1.37437k2022-08-05
MANADecentralandEthereum0.914590.919772+0.57%1.0756+17.60%0.0183✗1.38586k2022-08-05
DEXEDeXeEthereum2.792.8065+0.59%4.154+48.89%0.2489✓1.13577k2022-08-05
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.070490.070964+0.67%0.07814+10.85%0.0086✗0.832,3812022-08-05
BORABORAKlay Token0.298480.30058+0.70%0.3677+23.19%0.0250✓1.393,1392022-08-05
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.2972.3134+0.71%2.845+23.86%0.0260✓1.4367k2022-08-05
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8850.891364+0.72%1.159+30.96%0.1551✓0.851.6M2022-08-05
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.028860.029082+0.77%0.03111+7.80%0.0594✗1.002,0362022-08-05
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.010250.01033+0.78%0.0103+0.49%0.1384✗1.075.9M2022-08-05
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.09910.099962+0.87%0.0907-8.48%0.2678✗1.34171k2022-08-05
CVCCivicEthereum0.14280.144091+0.90%0.164+14.85%0.0366✗1.31112k2022-08-05
DIADIAEthereum0.394340.398141+0.96%0.47865+21.38%0.0941✓0.7157k2022-08-05
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana2.832.8575+0.97%3.946+39.43%0.2223✓0.79742k2022-08-05
BANDBandEthereum1.3471.3623+1.14%1.831+35.93%0.1091✓1.47471k2022-08-05
XEMNEMnative0.0407620.041231+1.15%0.052815+29.57%0.0958✓1.2014k2022-08-05
APEApeCoinEthereum5.0145.0724+1.16%7.573+51.04%0.1718✓1.8116.6M2022-08-05
FTTFTXEthereum26.2826.5871+1.17%30.76+17.05%0.0262✓0.9412.9M2022-08-05
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.422.4493+1.21%3.0096+24.36%0.0702✓1.071.5M2022-08-05
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.83761.8616+1.30%2.3513+27.95%0.0726✓1.2760k2022-08-05
ELAElastosEthereum1.4671.4863+1.31%3.073+109.48%0.5996✓1.00167k2022-08-05
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.2611.2777+1.32%1.35+7.06%0.0976✗1.201.7M2022-08-05
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.2912.3244+1.46%2.752+20.12%0.0473✗1.7097k2022-08-05
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0160490.016286+1.48%0.020288+26.41%0.1469✓0.57357k2022-08-05
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.019580.019875+1.51%0.02241+14.45%0.0065✓1.0094k2022-08-05
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.040920.041543+1.52%0.04533+10.78%0.0400✗1.003,1732022-08-05
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana6.256.3476+1.56%8.9+42.40%0.2741✓0.50910k2022-08-05
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos8.8869.0252+1.57%10.966+23.41%0.0232✓1.3516.6M2022-08-05
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.11680.118647+1.58%0.1507+29.02%0.1125✓1.004.0M2022-08-05
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10610.10785+1.65%0.1255+18.28%0.0097✓1.12437k2022-08-05
LSKLiskEthereum1.0591.0765+1.66%1.196+12.94%0.0372✗1.1259k2022-08-05
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV54.63655.5511+1.67%62.05+13.57%0.0027✓0.85756k2022-08-05
COMPCompoundEthereum4646.7715+1.68%61.31+33.28%0.0912✓1.4128k2022-08-05
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.79e-73.85e-7+1.68%3.48e-7-8.12%0.2402✗1.09590k2022-08-05
DKAdKargoEthereum0.044410.045163+1.69%0.05101+14.86%0.0007✓0.957,5132022-08-05
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0069250.007044+1.72%0.006749-2.54%0.1217✗0.62114k2022-08-05
SOLSolanaSolana37.0137.6667+1.77%40.54+9.54%0.0962✗1.3492.9M2022-08-05
SPELLSpellEthereum0.00095920.000978152+1.98%0.001125+17.32%0.0288✗1.332.8M2022-08-05
UNIUniswapEthereum5.3425.4494+2.01%8.972+67.95%0.3261✓1.365.5M2022-08-05
UMAUMAEthereum2.6422.6953+2.02%3.047+15.33%0.0304✗1.211.0M2022-08-05
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum5.6245.7377+2.02%8.382+49.04%0.2108✓1.335.5M2022-08-05
NANOnanopayBase0.9111820.929916+2.06%1.0527+15.53%0.0112✓1.07100k2022-08-05
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.441920.451328+2.13%0.42795-3.16%0.2554✗1.591.8M2022-08-05
AUCTIONBounceEthereum5.645.7692+2.29%10.63+88.48%0.4414✓1.34323k2022-08-05
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.540.552577+2.33%0.708+31.11%0.0683✓1.4299k2022-08-05
ASTRAstarEthereum0.0430.044016+2.36%0.0495+15.12%0.0601✗1.4011k2022-08-05
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.006680.00684+2.40%0.00904+35.33%0.1504✓1.01417k2022-08-05
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6720.688307+2.43%0.848+26.19%0.0411✓1.32169k2022-08-05
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.50550.517998+2.47%0.6718+32.90%0.1012✓1.25634k2022-08-05
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.3276.4853+2.50%7.878+24.51%0.0303✓1.2926.6M2022-08-05
SCSiacoinnative0.003870.003969+2.55%0.0047+21.45%0.0077✓1.39167k2022-08-05
KSMKusamaHydration51.2552.5707+2.58%63.5+23.90%0.0365✓1.20472k2022-08-05
SKLSKALEEthereum0.0470.048214+2.58%0.0674+43.40%0.1605✓1.381.0M2022-08-05
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.461.4984+2.63%1.77+21.23%0.0227✓1.49386k2022-08-05
SUSHISushiEthereum1.151.1808+2.68%1.51+31.30%0.0501✓1.54749k2022-08-05
UOSUltraEthereum0.281130.288695+2.69%0.32566+15.84%0.0430✗1.29467k2022-08-05
BTTCBTTC8.70e-78.94e-7+2.73%9.80e-7+12.64%0.0153✓0.855.5M2022-08-05
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.27550.283032+2.73%0.3403+23.52%0.0300✓1.223.0M2022-08-05
DASHDashDash44.245.4088+2.73%52.4+18.55%0.0026✓1.11739k2022-08-05
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10610.109011+2.74%0.1296+22.15%0.0451✓1.016,3732022-08-05
YFIyearn.financeEthereum6,308.796,484.46+2.78%12,281.30+94.67%0.4701✓1.334.5M2022-08-05
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain1.79611.8461+2.79%3.4602+92.65%0.5215✓0.841.1M2022-08-05
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.31060.319267+2.79%0.3589+15.55%0.0357✗1.209.6M2022-08-05
QNTQuantEthereum61.9763.7068+2.80%107.26+73.08%0.3966✓0.982.2M2022-08-05
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche19.1519.6892+2.82%24.97+30.39%0.0440✓1.5330.2M2022-08-05
LPTLivepeerEthereum8.698.9363+2.83%12.03+38.43%0.1468✓1.19374k2022-08-05
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.7715.1903+2.85%18.43+24.78%0.0182✓1.381.5M2022-08-05
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.3771.4164+2.86%2.025+47.06%0.1686✓1.49169k2022-08-05
LRCLoopringEthereum0.40740.419095+2.87%0.438+7.51%0.1338✗1.4096k2022-08-05
COTICOTIEthereum0.09280.095481+2.89%0.1139+22.74%0.0024✓1.41762k2022-08-05
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.22320.229791+2.95%0.2612+17.03%0.0376✗1.31233k2022-08-05
BTCBitcoinBitcoin20,542.6721,156.79+2.99%23,320.81+13.52%0.0295✗1.00493.8M2022-08-05
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3076780.316992+3.03%0.358859+16.63%0.0378✗1.282.2M2022-08-05
AMPAmpEthereum0.009130.009408+3.04%0.00843-7.67%0.2325✗0.971.2M2022-08-05
DODODODOEthereum0.13350.137606+3.08%0.1844+38.13%0.1273✓1.302.9M2022-08-05
PROPropyEthereum0.850.876157+3.08%0.74-12.94%0.2623✗0.74152k2022-08-05
STEEMSteemnative0.21510.221744+3.09%0.2623+21.94%0.0155✓1.20695k2022-08-05
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0685160.070636+3.09%0.069799+1.87%0.1677✗1.232.1M2022-08-05
ADACardanoCardano0.46190.476419+3.14%0.5176+12.06%0.0830✗1.3162.0M2022-08-05
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.12510.129083+3.18%0.1383+10.55%0.1058✗1.3832k2022-08-05
CHZChilizEthereum0.09960.102795+3.21%0.1459+46.49%0.2046✓1.15560k2022-08-05
ETCEthereum Classicnative15.1815.6807+3.30%38.27+152.11%0.7409✓1.192.0M2022-08-05
XLMStellarStellar0.1092830.112891+3.30%0.118541+8.47%0.0809✗1.029.5M2022-08-05
XECeCashnative0.000042620.000044057+3.37%0.00004553+6.83%0.1276✗1.272.6M2022-08-05
FLOWFlownative1.61.6542+3.39%2.732+70.75%0.3485✓1.21304k2022-08-05
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04750.049111+3.39%0.0559+17.68%0.0300✓1.26255k2022-08-05
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum10.2610.6081+3.39%17.22+67.84%0.2960✓1.491.2M2022-08-05
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.5595.7507+3.45%8.341+50.04%0.2226✓1.182.3M2022-08-05
GLMGolemEthereum0.24290.251369+3.49%0.2713+11.69%0.0706✗1.1671k2022-08-05
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.002720.002815+3.51%0.003213+18.12%0.0035✓1.071.4M2022-08-05
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000010470.000010843+3.56%0.00001212+15.76%0.0485✗1.261.0M2022-08-05
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.051580.05344+3.61%0.08336+61.61%0.2532✓1.511.0M2022-08-05
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.09270.096046+3.61%0.0739-20.28%0.3628✗0.79183k2022-08-05
XTZTezosTezos1.54331.6013+3.76%1.8665+20.94%0.0112✓1.30654k2022-08-05
GTGateEthereum4.01424.1655+3.77%4.7375+18.02%0.0355✓0.731.2M2022-08-05
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.12610.130868+3.78%0.17777+40.98%0.0986✓1.64169k2022-08-05
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0120590.012519+3.81%0.016324+35.37%0.1590✓0.841.5M2022-08-05
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.54.6802+4.00%6.06+34.67%0.1745✓0.66914k2022-08-05
DOTPolkadotPolkadot6.9157.1956+4.06%8.81+27.40%0.0433✓1.2512.9M2022-08-05
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2830.294692+4.13%0.337+19.08%0.0023✓1.04639k2022-08-05
GALAGALAEthereum0.05420.056479+4.20%0.061+12.55%0.1154✗1.52136k2022-08-05
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.09860.102865+4.33%0.131+32.86%0.0688✓1.362.9M2022-08-05
ZENHorizenBase15.2915.9611+4.39%18.43+20.54%0.0360✓1.4267k2022-08-05
ZECZcashZcash58.1660.7399+4.44%69.15+18.90%0.0423✓1.361.9M2022-08-05
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum20,413.5021,329.68+4.49%23,205.30+13.68%0.0407✓0.9943k2022-08-05
TRXTRONTron0.0675040.070595+4.58%0.069837+3.46%0.1195✗0.86546k2022-08-05
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.028340.029647+4.61%0.03358+18.49%0.0431✓1.3224k2022-08-05
AAVEAaveEthereum62.9465.8686+4.65%103.27+64.08%0.2428✓1.637.6M2022-08-05
ETHEthereumEthereum1,185.611,242.66+4.81%1,736.79+46.49%0.1859✓1.17339.3M2022-08-05
KCSKuCoinnative8.9799.4132+4.84%10.44+16.27%0.0411✓1.143.1M2022-08-05
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.05110.053583+4.86%0.0745+45.79%0.2313✓0.77213k2022-08-05
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.19060.199876+4.87%0.2419+26.92%0.0045✓1.47155k2022-08-05
XVGVergenative0.003090.00324+4.87%0.00385+24.60%0.0017✓1.37664k2022-08-05
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.39261.4626+5.03%1.6+14.89%0.0761✗1.31750k2022-08-05
CELLCellframeEthereum0.25980.272984+5.07%0.4379+68.55%0.3179✓1.2227k2022-08-05
SUNSun TokenTron0.0060970.006413+5.18%0.006334+3.88%0.1420✗1.023,9102022-08-05
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.6770.712631+5.26%0.758+11.96%0.1442✗1.62242k2022-08-05
STXStacksnative0.3980.419088+5.30%0.4918+23.57%0.0038✓1.29318k2022-08-05
XMRMoneroMonero125.33132.157+5.45%161.87+29.16%0.0542✓1.171.4M2022-08-05
MOVRMoonriverBase12.311112.9957+5.56%15.3166+24.41%0.0091✓1.22316k2022-08-05
QTUMQtumQtum2.87733.042+5.72%4.0794+41.78%0.1505✓1.1332k2022-08-05
LTCLitecoinLitecoin50.2953.2772+5.94%62.49+24.26%0.0090✓1.1918.8M2022-08-05
NEXONEXOEthereum0.6370.675428+6.03%0.753+18.21%0.0457✓1.22952k2022-08-05
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6240.665941+6.72%0.833+33.49%0.1053✓0.93412k2022-08-05
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash105.86114.0492+7.74%141.93+34.07%0.0742✓1.146.0M2022-08-05
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0015880.001718+8.17%0.001677+5.60%0.1549✗1.0312k2022-08-05
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.07570.082064+8.41%0.1005+32.76%0.0434✓1.267,2862022-08-05
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.4920.551553+12.10%0.5836+18.62%0.0878✓1.14208k2022-08-05
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.