8=======>

2022-06-16 · +30d

gru_s0 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 174 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2193
172 of 174 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+5.30%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
40.1%
in alpha space · 32.0% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+4.01%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (174 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.1580.163239+3.32%0.2279+44.24%0.2757✓1.47191k2022-07-16
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash109.37112.7121+3.06%109.45+0.07%0.0771✗1.214.4M2022-07-16
AAVEAaveEthereum56.5158.2018+2.99%92.83+64.27%0.4010✓1.677.7M2022-07-16
STXStacksnative0.32860.33812+2.90%0.395+20.21%0.1035✓1.32175k2022-07-16
ETHEthereumEthereum1,066.871,094.15+2.56%1,355.70+27.07%0.1700✓1.13386.3M2022-07-16
XMRMoneroMonero106.33108.9335+2.45%139.03+30.75%0.1993✓1.131.7M2022-07-16
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.60.613446+2.24%0.4944-17.60%0.2618✗1.1771k2022-07-16
NEXONEXOEthereum0.6670.681+2.10%0.592-11.24%0.1866✗1.18979k2022-07-16
LTCLitecoinLitecoin44.7445.6532+2.04%55.09+23.13%0.1405✓1.2117.5M2022-07-16
ETCEthereum Classicnative13.8214.0843+1.91%17.26+24.89%0.1518✓1.312.3M2022-07-16
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000007950.000008099+1.88%0.00001104+38.87%0.2602✓1.26850k2022-07-16
BTCBitcoinBitcoin20,372.0020,752.85+1.87%21,189.68+4.01%0.0185✗1.00620.3M2022-07-16
NANOnanopayBase0.7981180.812804+1.84%0.922382+15.57%0.0827✓1.11119k2022-07-16
LPTLivepeerEthereum7.137.2508+1.69%8.77+23.00%0.1432✓1.20502k2022-07-16
XVGVergenative0.002860.002906+1.60%0.00372+30.07%0.1890✓1.47648k2022-07-16
SCSiacoinnative0.003410.003463+1.55%0.004+17.30%0.0839✓1.53239k2022-07-16
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.0850.086316+1.55%0.0821-3.41%0.1052✗1.404,0262022-07-16
ZENHorizenBase13.4813.6812+1.49%16.91+25.45%0.1541✓1.4760k2022-07-16
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.34e-73.39e-7+1.42%3.56e-7+6.70%0.0162✓0.88984k2022-07-16
COMPCompoundEthereum30.1630.5546+1.31%55.1+82.69%0.5320✓1.4627k2022-07-16
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2610840.264082+1.15%0.307861+17.92%0.0979✓1.412.4M2022-07-16
CRVCurve DAOEthereum0.6640.670885+1.04%1.1736+76.75%0.5046✓1.395.0M2022-07-16
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.1051.1158+0.98%2.13+92.76%0.5877✓1.4979k2022-07-16
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0551660.055705+0.98%0.064309+16.57%0.0937✓1.271.3M2022-07-16
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.8070.814678+0.95%0.616-23.67%0.3489✗1.76303k2022-07-16
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0007830.000790274+0.93%0.001022+30.46%0.2024✓1.382.0M2022-07-16
SOLSolanaSolana30.130.3663+0.88%39.6+31.56%0.2100✓1.41112.7M2022-07-16
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.19590.197621+0.88%0.2385+21.75%0.1330✓1.40480k2022-07-16
YFIyearn.financeEthereum4,598.444,635.01+0.80%6,261.84+36.17%0.2497✓1.303.6M2022-07-16
ZECZcashZcash58.9459.4003+0.78%63.24+7.30%0.0094✓1.353.4M2022-07-16
DASHDashDash41.8642.1781+0.76%44.83+7.10%0.0165✓1.13837k2022-07-16
BTTCBTTC7.60e-77.66e-7+0.76%9.00e-7+18.42%0.1267✓0.885.5M2022-07-16
STORJStorjEthereum0.427820.430189+0.55%0.691+61.52%0.4189✓1.4063k2022-07-16
GTGateEthereum3.95083.9717+0.53%4.1277+4.48%0.0114✓0.692.0M2022-07-16
SUNSun TokenTron0.006230.006258+0.45%0.0058-6.90%0.1180✗1.072,5622022-07-16
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche15.7715.8347+0.41%21.24+34.69%0.2359✓1.4749.3M2022-07-16
SUSHISushiEthereum0.960.96391+0.41%1.45+51.04%0.3461✓1.581.1M2022-07-16
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos6.3296.3533+0.38%9.237+45.95%0.3216✓1.3414.5M2022-07-16
ORCAOrcaSolana0.480.48184+0.38%0.8342+73.79%0.5024✓1.1856k2022-07-16
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum5.3115.3313+0.38%7.116+33.99%0.2327✓1.4311.1M2022-07-16
QNTQuantEthereum44.4244.5718+0.34%102.74+131.29%0.7954✓1.012.0M2022-07-16
APEApeCoinEthereum3.3723.3834+0.34%4.769+41.43%0.2699✓1.8617.0M2022-07-16
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.047180.047329+0.32%0.05205+10.32%0.0322✓1.601.7M2022-07-16
AMPAmpEthereum0.008770.008795+0.29%0.00905+3.19%0.0130✗1.061.5M2022-07-16
SNXSynthetixEthereum1.7431.7474+0.25%2.804+60.87%0.4046✓1.742.7M2022-07-16
NMRNumeraireEthereum7.917.9211+0.14%14.78+86.85%0.5836✓1.02281k2022-07-16
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum20,300.7020,328.86+0.14%21,072.80+3.80%0.0031✗0.9929k2022-07-16
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2530.253283+0.11%0.291+15.02%0.0966✓1.07847k2022-07-16
KCSKuCoinnative11.08711.0902+0.03%9.29-16.21%0.2198✗1.085.1M2022-07-16
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.117.1069-0.04%7.192+1.15%0.0413✓1.3513.5M2022-07-16
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.3025.2988-0.06%5.397+1.79%0.0341✓1.332.6M2022-07-16
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0119640.011954-0.08%0.012711+6.24%0.0267✗0.882.0M2022-07-16
MOVRMoonriverBase12.973612.9614-0.09%14.0567+8.35%0.0284✗1.34211k2022-07-16
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.4250.424432-0.13%0.513+20.71%0.1324✗1.45116k2022-07-16
TRXTRONTron0.0589940.058907-0.15%0.068911+16.81%0.1182✗0.98887k2022-07-16
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.620.619015-0.16%0.9435+52.18%0.3641✗1.46192k2022-07-16
QTUMQtumQtum2.64612.641-0.19%2.8867+9.10%0.0420✗1.1942k2022-07-16
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.231.2276-0.20%1.528+24.23%0.1540✗1.65231k2022-07-16
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.05810.057947-0.26%0.0537-7.57%0.1072✓0.79313k2022-07-16
IMXImmutableEthereum0.6850.683166-0.27%0.9278+35.45%0.2429✗1.613.2M2022-07-16
LSKLiskEthereum0.9544320.951866-0.27%1.076+12.74%0.0757✗1.1949k2022-07-16
CVCCivicEthereum0.1240.123657-0.28%0.1421+14.60%0.0849✗1.37166k2022-07-16
COTICOTIEthereum0.08690.086651-0.29%0.1011+16.34%0.0950✗1.511.2M2022-07-16
UNIUniswapEthereum3.8293.8162-0.33%7.375+92.61%0.6056✗1.353.3M2022-07-16
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.10160.101202-0.39%0.131+28.94%0.2024✗1.4149k2022-07-16
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.25510.254011-0.43%0.2788+9.29%0.0429✗1.285.6M2022-07-16
ASTRAstarEthereum0.0430.042805-0.45%0.0429-0.23%0.0587✓1.5518k2022-07-16
UOSUltraEthereum0.243440.24231-0.46%0.34099+40.07%0.2914✗1.28453k2022-07-16
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.3526.321-0.49%6.596+3.84%0.0093✓1.3241.5M2022-07-16
CHZChilizEthereum0.09220.091735-0.50%0.1106+19.96%0.1385✗1.23852k2022-07-16
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.6991.6903-0.51%2.267+33.43%0.2313✗1.5892k2022-07-16
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.11340.112788-0.54%0.1198+5.64%0.0208✗1.003.3M2022-07-16
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.125180.124489-0.55%0.13785+10.12%0.0392✗1.60247k2022-07-16
LCXLCXEthereum0.05580.055491-0.55%0.0733+31.36%0.2173✗1.55418k2022-07-16
CELLCellframeEthereum0.23140.230102-0.56%0.2597+12.23%0.0719✗1.2531k2022-07-16
XTZTezosTezos1.3551.346-0.66%1.6007+18.13%0.1212✗1.32914k2022-07-16
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.025550.025334-0.85%0.02772+8.49%0.0361✗1.3719k2022-07-16
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.30180.299132-0.88%0.3404+12.79%0.0804✗1.2414.6M2022-07-16
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0028010.002776-0.90%0.002859+2.07%0.0153✓1.142.2M2022-07-16
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.008890.008809-0.91%0.00924+3.94%0.0107✗0.9411.4M2022-07-16
FIDABonfidaSolana0.3240.321043-0.91%0.678+109.26%0.7021✗1.1615k2022-07-16
GALAGALAEthereum0.05520.054695-0.91%0.0509-7.79%0.1346✓1.59142k2022-07-16
AUCTIONBounceEthereum4.344.2996-0.93%5.81+33.87%0.2455✗1.41400k2022-07-16
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.2780.275385-0.94%0.4097+47.37%0.3363✗1.55383k2022-07-16
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.271.2576-0.98%1.47+15.75%0.0919✗1.63596k2022-07-16
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.03450.034147-1.02%0.0489+41.74%0.3036✗1.41368k2022-07-16
API3Api3Ethereum1.2841.2705-1.05%1.837+43.07%0.3088✗1.52879k2022-07-16
STEEMSteemnative0.18540.183455-1.05%0.2194+18.34%0.1302✗1.24656k2022-07-16
CTSICartesiEthereum0.14480.143262-1.06%0.1588+9.67%0.0456✗1.46917k2022-07-16
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.3810.376853-1.09%0.637+67.19%0.4632✗1.573,9802022-07-16
XECeCashnative0.000037020.000036599-1.14%0.00004029+8.83%0.0436✗1.332.9M2022-07-16
HIVEHivenative0.3450.341061-1.14%0.4543+31.68%0.2307✗1.421.2M2022-07-16
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum8.027.9277-1.15%9.7+20.95%0.1353✗1.692.6M2022-07-16
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.006410.006336-1.16%0.00669+4.37%0.0127✗1.06557k2022-07-16
WOOWOOEthereum0.14940.14758-1.22%0.187+25.17%0.1886✗1.223,2642022-07-16
FLOWFlownative1.3911.3741-1.22%1.601+15.10%0.1135✗1.00568k2022-07-16
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.05384.9918-1.23%5.4+6.85%0.0691✗0.24235k2022-07-16
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0032620.003222-1.24%–pending––1.114,6932022-07-16
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum13.6113.4404-1.25%14.36+5.51%0.0087✓1.462.3M2022-07-16
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.038380.037894-1.27%–pending––1.102,9602022-07-16
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.35991.3425-1.28%1.4063+3.41%0.0037✓1.271.7M2022-07-16
MINAMina Protocolnative0.5930.585185-1.32%0.687+15.85%0.1063✗1.37556k2022-07-16
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.09280.091536-1.36%0.1088+17.24%0.1265✗1.18721k2022-07-16
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.3442.3119-1.37%2.554+8.96%0.0604✗1.0075k2022-07-16
GLMGolemEthereum0.20520.202389-1.37%0.2416+17.74%0.1313✗1.16100k2022-07-16
ADACardanoCardano0.47560.468936-1.40%0.4579-3.72%0.0795✓1.4271.0M2022-07-16
KSMKusamaHydration49.248.5036-1.42%56.39+14.61%0.1015✗1.251.0M2022-07-16
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum1.9781.9493-1.45%2.23+12.74%0.0746✗1.5292k2022-07-16
SGBSongbirdnative0.02890.028461-1.52%0.0264-8.65%0.0912✓0.41138k2022-07-16
BORABORAKlay Token0.275750.271434-1.57%0.29418+6.68%0.0218✗1.4914k2022-07-16
BFCBifrostEthereum0.045580.044853-1.59%0.06043+32.58%0.2453✗1.3470k2022-07-16
DKAdKargoEthereum0.045770.045039-1.60%0.04627+1.09%0.0135✓1.0315k2022-07-16
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05260.051698-1.72%0.0516-1.90%0.0598✓1.471.7M2022-07-16
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.09730.095628-1.72%0.1013+4.11%0.0000✓1.465.2M2022-07-16
LRCLoopringEthereum0.3620.355548-1.78%0.3872+6.96%0.0251✗1.53160k2022-07-16
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.5740.56346-1.84%0.667+16.20%0.1280✗1.03372k2022-07-16
DEXEDeXeEthereum2.572.5225-1.85%3.177+23.62%0.1867✗1.12663k2022-07-16
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.0520.051008-1.91%0.0721+38.65%0.2999✗1.17132k2022-07-16
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0067220.006589-1.97%0.00693+3.09%0.0207✗0.75167k2022-07-16
XLMStellarStellar0.109050.106817-2.05%0.109556+0.46%0.0177✓1.0911.1M2022-07-16
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.79411.7549-2.19%1.8316+2.09%0.0104✓1.3568k2022-07-16
BANDBandEthereum1.3481.3184-2.20%1.421+5.42%0.0134✓1.56402k2022-07-16
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.8330.814407-2.23%1.253+50.42%0.3915✗1.001.6M2022-07-16
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.12370.120936-2.23%0.0961-22.31%0.2697✓1.01255k2022-07-16
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.292.2374-2.30%2.45+6.99%0.0248✗1.68311k2022-07-16
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.321270.31387-2.30%0.39774+23.80%0.1859✗1.29105k2022-07-16
XYMSymbolnative0.05010.048944-2.31%0.052325+4.44%0.0397✗0.6965k2022-07-16
FTTFTXEthereum23.2822.7305-2.36%28.01+20.32%0.1726✗0.929.9M2022-07-16
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10490.10229-2.49%0.1114+6.20%0.0430✗1.087,2892022-07-16
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.311.2766-2.55%1.306-0.31%0.0365✓1.505.1M2022-07-16
TRBTellor TributesEthereum10.8110.5334-2.56%16.75+54.95%0.3977✗1.68333k2022-07-16
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.50.487195-2.56%0.5194+3.88%0.0109✓1.35771k2022-07-16
XVSVenusEthereum4.053.946-2.57%5.18+27.90%0.2060✗1.681.6M2022-07-16
UMAUMAEthereum2.642.5719-2.58%2.664+0.91%0.0142✓1.251.1M2022-07-16
DODODODOEthereum0.12190.118753-2.58%0.1648+35.19%0.2713✗1.434.4M2022-07-16
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.39262.33-2.62%2.5538+6.74%0.0489✗1.093.0M2022-07-16
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08170.079485-2.71%0.091+11.38%0.0798✗1.41346k2022-07-16
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.061110.05945-2.72%0.07438+21.71%0.1847✗1.001,6002022-07-16
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain1.72941.6811-2.79%2.1124+22.15%0.1929✗0.903.0M2022-07-16
GMTGMTEthereum0.5930.575663-2.92%0.932+57.17%0.4120✗1.771.7M2022-07-16
RADRadworksEthereum1.521.4755-2.93%1.78+17.11%0.1403✗1.20270k2022-07-16
DIADIAEthereum0.379660.368497-2.94%0.42764+12.64%0.1218✗0.69276k2022-07-16
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.12022.0577-2.95%2.2955+8.27%0.0740✗0.903.3M2022-07-16
MANADecentralandEthereum0.808330.784269-2.98%0.86694+7.25%0.0454✗1.39743k2022-07-16
PROPropyEthereum0.860.833996-3.02%0.81-5.81%0.0589✓0.76187k2022-07-16
XEMNEMnative0.0380320.03688-3.03%0.041793+9.89%0.0734✗1.3126k2022-07-16
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.020590.019931-3.20%0.02384+15.78%0.1032✗1.9340.1M2022-07-16
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.019050.018422-3.30%0.02058+8.03%0.0682✗1.08144k2022-07-16
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.043.9033-3.38%4.83+19.55%0.1843✗0.731.5M2022-07-16
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0148960.014389-3.40%0.017372+16.62%0.1643✗0.61469k2022-07-16
ARPAARPAEthereum0.02750.026554-3.44%0.0368+33.82%0.2741✗1.33221k2022-07-16
CTKShentuOsmosis0.7850.757477-3.51%0.787+0.25%0.0007✓0.951.7M2022-07-16
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.61430.592342-3.57%0.8133+32.39%0.2709✗1.172.8M2022-07-16
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana6.055.8322-3.60%6.81+12.56%0.1349✗0.512.0M2022-07-16
CBKCobakEthereum0.841230.810745-3.62%1.0257+21.93%0.1864✗1.246,0082022-07-16
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017730.017081-3.66%0.01829+3.16%0.0407✗0.70631k2022-07-16
METRONOMEMETRONOME0.919950.885282-3.77%0.75449-17.99%0.1926✓0.838792022-07-16
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana2.8452.7348-3.87%3.406+19.72%0.1858✗0.861.8M2022-07-16
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.63.4533-4.07%3.957+9.92%0.1096✗0.676.7M2022-07-16
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0189880.018204-4.13%0.021122+11.24%0.1014✗1.208,7652022-07-16
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2120.20273-4.37%0.214+0.94%0.0102✓1.631.2M2022-07-16
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana3.863.6874-4.47%4.39+13.73%0.1471✗0.691.7M2022-07-16
OPTIMOptimism0.490.467147-4.66%0.52+6.12%0.0678✗1.006.4M2022-07-16
GITCOINGITCOIN2.26192.1548-4.74%2.4213+7.05%0.0464✓1.7817k2022-07-16
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV50.90148.4663-4.78%54.299+6.68%0.0789✗0.881.2M2022-07-16
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.496660.471769-5.01%0.46536-6.30%0.0850✓1.813.6M2022-07-16
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana3.573.3907-5.02%3.9+9.24%0.1162✗0.602.1M2022-07-16
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.112.9053-6.58%3.52+13.18%0.1605✗0.801.7M2022-07-16
AVTAventusEthereum1.471.3729-6.61%1.58+7.48%0.1134✗0.69166k2022-07-16
C98Coin98Ethereum0.46920.436956-6.87%0.4797+2.24%0.0540✓1.00162k2022-07-16
LUNATerraTerra 20.0000580.000053984-6.92%0.00010569+82.22%0.5862✗2.181.6M2022-07-16
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.0782.849-7.44%3.112+1.10%0.0602✓0.714.9M2022-07-16
OGOG Fan TokenSolana2.9092.6872-7.63%3.738+28.50%0.3079✗0.564.5M2022-07-16
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8220.751172-8.62%0.789-4.01%0.0305✓2.0229.5M2022-07-16
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.