2022-03-01 · +30d

gru_s0 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 151 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.0830

151 of 151 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+4.02%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

31.1%

in alpha space · 28.5% on raw price

BTC over horizon

+2.45%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (151 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00002713	0.000027612	+1.78%	0.00002586	-4.68%	0.0958	✗	1.25	3.9M	2022-03-31
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	112.65	114.1843	+1.36%	123.87	+9.96%	0.0543	✓	1.12	29.5M	2022-03-31
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.062179	0.062955	+1.25%	0.073796	+18.68%	0.1403	✓	0.77	299k	2022-03-31
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	6.51	6.5897	+1.22%	6.53	+0.31%	0.0304	✗	0.88	452k	2022-03-31
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	6.72	6.7993	+1.18%	6.73	+0.15%	0.0227	✗	0.51	1.2M	2022-03-31
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.7553	6.8339	+1.16%	6.6752	-1.19%	0.0405	✗	0.70	2.8M	2022-03-31
XEM	NEM	native	0.1097	0.110948	+1.14%	0.1183	+7.84%	0.0407	✓	0.97	41k	2022-03-31
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	328.78	331.9414	+0.96%	384.15	+16.84%	0.1226	✓	0.97	7.6M	2022-03-31
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	119.02	120.1549	+0.95%	178.39	+49.88%	0.3679	✓	1.13	7.2M	2022-03-31
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.0922	3.1213	+0.94%	4.2237	+36.59%	0.2811	✓	0.88	2.4M	2022-03-31
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	30.35	30.5974	+0.82%	47.48	+56.44%	0.4133	✓	1.08	5.2M	2022-03-31
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.16553	0.166814	+0.78%	0.16325	-1.38%	0.0504	✗	1.19	24k	2022-03-31
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	44,139.10	44,480.46	+0.77%	45,846.40	+3.87%	0.0067	✓	0.97	52k	2022-03-31
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.617	1.629	+0.74%	2.033	+25.73%	0.1938	✓	1.15	1.8M	2022-03-31
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		87.68	88.2878	+0.69%	94.5	+7.78%	0.0477	✓	0.84	905k	2022-03-31
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.133991	0.134915	+0.69%	0.138112	+3.08%	0.0007	✓	0.94	3.7M	2022-03-31
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		6.823	6.8695	+0.68%	7.189	+5.36%	0.0117	✓	1.39	27k	2022-03-31
NANO	nanopay	Base	1.9211	1.934	+0.67%	2.4796	+29.07%	0.2201	✓	1.18	179k	2022-03-31
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.502	4.5307	+0.64%	8.197	+82.07%	0.5725	✓	0.84	435k	2022-03-31
SOL	Solana	Solana	98.7	99.2924	+0.60%	122.86	+24.48%	0.1825	✓	1.26	131.2M	2022-03-31
METRONOME	METRONOME		2.2579	2.2689	+0.49%	2.8148	+24.66%	0.1984	✓	0.71	26k	2022-03-31
KCS	KuCoin	native	20.746	20.8438	+0.47%	20.465	-1.35%	0.0424	✗	0.99	9.5M	2022-03-31
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	119.35	119.8867	+0.45%	137.61	+15.30%	0.1140	✓	0.99	6.4M	2022-03-31
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0729	0.073126	+0.31%	0.09183	+25.97%	0.2033	✓	1.01	12k	2022-03-31
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	0.697	0.698782	+0.26%	0.915	+31.28%	0.2437	✓	1.07	2.5M	2022-03-31
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.0743	0.074473	+0.23%	0.0836	+12.52%	0.0917	✓	0.99	155k	2022-03-31
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	5.771	5.7844	+0.23%	6.001	+3.99%	0.0114	✓	1.05	181k	2022-03-31
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	5.9499	5.9583	+0.14%	5.834	-1.95%	0.0285	✗	0.31	433k	2022-03-31
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	5.52	5.5271	+0.13%	7.78	+40.94%	0.3212	✓	0.86	510k	2022-03-31
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.09224	0.092355	+0.13%	0.12603	+36.63%	0.2852	✓	1.06	43k	2022-03-31
DASH	Dash	Dash	100.01	100.1102	+0.10%	127.13	+27.12%	0.2116	✓	1.13	1.5M	2022-03-31
SC	Siacoin	native	0.00979	0.009798	+0.08%	0.01207	+23.29%	0.1782	✓	1.25	563k	2022-03-31
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.396	2.3974	+0.06%	2.756	+15.03%	0.1174	✓	0.91	23k	2022-03-31
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	15.79	15.795	+0.03%	13.89	-12.03%	0.1457	✗	0.71	2.2M	2022-03-31
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	0.9643	0.964326	+0.00%	1.1417	+18.40%	0.1419	✓	1.11	97.3M	2022-03-31
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	2,977.72	2,974.83	-0.10%	3,283.08	+10.25%	0.0733	✗	1.04	561.7M	2022-03-31
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.04187	0.041824	-0.11%	0.05271	+25.89%	0.2073	✗	0.99	29k	2022-03-31
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.242	0.241718	-0.12%	0.283	+16.94%	0.1370	✗	0.86	59k	2022-03-31
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	9.35	9.3388	-0.12%	11.81	+26.31%	0.2054	✗	1.21	3.4M	2022-03-31
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.2576	0.257272	-0.13%	0.2695	+4.62%	0.0243	✗	0.91	2.0M	2022-03-31
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	5.445	5.4379	-0.13%	6.029	+10.73%	0.0811	✗	0.91	71k	2022-03-31
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.193	3.1888	-0.13%	6.061	+89.82%	0.6192	✗	0.95	741k	2022-03-31
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	15.36	15.3207	-0.26%	16.93	+10.22%	0.0713	✗	1.18	52.2M	2022-03-31
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	14.09	14.0473	-0.30%	15.65	+11.07%	0.0816	✗	1.09	331k	2022-03-31
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1523	0.151757	-0.36%	0.1461	-4.07%	0.0577	✓	0.81	294k	2022-03-31
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	44,439.95	44,274.94	-0.37%	45,528.45	+2.45%	0.0037	✗	1.00	632.3M	2022-03-31
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.1954	0.194455	-0.48%	0.2832	+44.93%	0.3429	✗	1.37	2.8M	2022-03-31
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01223	0.012166	-0.52%	0.01312	+7.28%	0.0576	✗	0.74	13k	2022-03-31
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	0.89	0.884991	-0.56%	1.212	+36.18%	0.2834	✗	1.28	2.3M	2022-03-31
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.224	1.2168	-0.59%	1.51	+23.37%	0.1870	✗	1.20	2.9M	2022-03-31
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	3.071	3.0512	-0.65%	3.891	+26.70%	0.2216	✗	0.89	218k	2022-03-31
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	6.7053	6.66	-0.68%	8.2842	+23.55%	0.1858	✗	1.34	226k	2022-03-31
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.3058	0.303715	-0.68%	0.3602	+17.79%	0.1387	✗	1.32	328k	2022-03-31
ZEN	Horizen	Base	39.34	39.0289	-0.79%	48.75	+23.92%	0.1874	✗	1.45	280k	2022-03-31
HIVE	Hive	native	1.0352	1.0269	-0.80%	1.2151	+17.38%	0.1394	✗	1.19	2.1M	2022-03-31
XEC	eCash	native	0.00007896	0.000078287	-0.85%	0.00009285	+17.59%	0.1441	✗	1.10	4.5M	2022-03-31
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1615	0.160111	-0.86%	0.1579	-2.23%	0.0387	✓	1.03	446k	2022-03-31
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	143.34	142.0782	-0.88%	207	+44.41%	0.3439	✗	1.34	6.8M	2022-03-31
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	30.86	30.586	-0.89%	31.27	+1.33%	0.0003	✓	0.93	1.5M	2022-03-31
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.02885	0.028591	-0.90%	0.02695	-6.59%	0.0778	✓	0.77	4.1M	2022-03-31
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.049485	0.048993	-0.99%	0.041867	-15.39%	0.1830	✓	1.07	8.1M	2022-03-31
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.573577	0.567582	-1.05%	0.773803	+34.91%	0.2825	✗	1.13	2.8M	2022-03-31
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.0846	1.0732	-1.05%	1.3386	+23.42%	0.1887	✗	1.33	175k	2022-03-31
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.1048	0.103669	-1.08%	0.1229	+17.27%	0.1340	✗	1.50	613k	2022-03-31
XMR	Monero	Monero	177.8	175.8248	-1.11%	212.94	+19.76%	0.1673	✗	1.00	1.1M	2022-03-31
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	2.18	2.1547	-1.16%	2.65	+21.56%	0.1787	✗	1.17	354k	2022-03-31
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	10.14	10.0207	-1.18%	16.52	+62.92%	0.4839	✗	0.66	928k	2022-03-31
DIA	DIA	Ethereum	1.06	1.0474	-1.19%	1.1	+3.77%	0.0425	✗	0.27	286k	2022-03-31
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.3996	0.39465	-1.24%	0.4674	+16.97%	0.1346	✗	1.43	1.3M	2022-03-31
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	1.582	1.5623	-1.25%	2.352	+48.67%	0.3837	✗	1.05	3.4M	2022-03-31
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	3.1217	3.0809	-1.31%	4.4084	+41.22%	0.3371	✗	0.88	3.6M	2022-03-31
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	3.203	3.1608	-1.32%	4.122	+28.69%	0.2449	✗	0.85	477k	2022-03-31
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	18.9	18.648	-1.33%	21.35	+12.96%	0.1059	✗	1.21	29.4M	2022-03-31
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	0.8569	0.845383	-1.34%	0.9295	+8.47%	0.0675	✗	1.13	20.7M	2022-03-31
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	138.55	136.6663	-1.36%	188.49	+36.04%	0.2936	✗	1.15	973k	2022-03-31
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.75556	0.744301	-1.49%	0.86577	+14.59%	0.1180	✗	1.37	206k	2022-03-31
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.8371	2.7948	-1.49%	2.6098	-8.01%	0.0976	✓	1.20	3.3M	2022-03-31
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.318	0.31289	-1.61%	0.609	+91.51%	0.6344	✗	1.31	2.2M	2022-03-31
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	22.02	21.6656	-1.61%	25.7	+16.71%	0.1360	✗	1.44	328k	2022-03-31
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	1.9861	1.9538	-1.63%	2.5204	+26.90%	0.2294	✗	1.04	75k	2022-03-31
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	27.26	26.7963	-1.70%	27.75	+1.80%	0.0016	✓	1.38	1.6M	2022-03-31
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.5765	0.566584	-1.72%	0.5966	+3.49%	0.0296	✗	0.91	642k	2022-03-31
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.2318	0.227797	-1.73%	0.2732	+17.86%	0.1462	✗	1.47	2.6M	2022-03-31
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01146	0.01126	-1.74%	0.01361	+18.76%	0.1558	✗	1.39	2.8M	2022-03-31
BTTC	BTTC		0.00000199	0.000001955	-1.74%	0.00000214	+7.54%	0.0742	✗	0.66	14.0M	2022-03-31
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	10.34	10.1576	-1.76%	11.29	+9.19%	0.0772	✗	1.18	10.8M	2022-03-31
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.022682	0.02228	-1.77%	0.03269	+44.12%	0.3625	✗	0.86	124k	2022-03-31
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	2.46	2.4159	-1.79%	2.68	+8.94%	0.0795	✗	1.00	263k	2022-03-31
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	0.8	0.785575	-1.80%	0.8523	+6.54%	0.0551	✗	1.09	9.7M	2022-03-31
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	5.12	5.0267	-1.82%	5.41	+5.66%	0.0491	✗	1.01	828k	2022-03-31
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	1.99	1.9536	-1.83%	2.24	+12.56%	0.1047	✗	1.33	2.0M	2022-03-31
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	4.2804	4.1991	-1.90%	5.4868	+28.18%	0.2398	✗	1.14	244k	2022-03-31
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	2.5724	2.5218	-1.97%	3.2595	+26.71%	0.2352	✗	0.88	2.7M	2022-03-31
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.04868	0.047722	-1.97%	0.05488	+12.74%	0.1106	✗	1.20	681k	2022-03-31
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.198927	0.194891	-2.03%	0.228422	+14.83%	0.1329	✗	1.07	20.5M	2022-03-31
XVG	Verge	native	0.01044	0.010227	-2.04%	0.01339	+28.26%	0.2393	✗	1.24	1.3M	2022-03-31
ASTR	Astar	Ethereum	0.123	0.120481	-2.05%	0.174	+41.46%	0.3544	✗	0.54	44k	2022-03-31
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0786	0.076968	-2.08%	0.0852	+8.40%	0.0700	✗	1.31	1.0M	2022-03-31
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	86.96	85.1459	-2.09%	97.42	+12.03%	0.1000	✗	1.43	118.3M	2022-03-31
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.3652	1.336	-2.14%	1.2649	-7.34%	0.0877	✓	1.36	2.8M	2022-03-31
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.07633	0.074695	-2.14%	0.09501	+24.47%	0.2104	✗	1.25	69k	2022-03-31
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.5253	0.513839	-2.18%	0.6676	+27.09%	0.2285	✗	1.37	484k	2022-03-31
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.7582	0.741351	-2.22%	1.1908	+57.06%	0.4402	✗	1.39	2.5M	2022-03-31
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	46.25	45.2165	-2.23%	48.83	+5.58%	0.0510	✗	1.07	22.8M	2022-03-31
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	15.26	14.9074	-2.31%	18.07	+18.41%	0.1566	✗	1.48	2.4M	2022-03-31
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	1.522	1.4866	-2.33%	1.775	+16.62%	0.1503	✗	1.12	939k	2022-03-31
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.01656	0.016168	-2.37%	0.03531	+113.22%	0.7444	✗	1.52	12.5M	2022-03-31
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	4.177	4.0774	-2.38%	6.818	+63.23%	0.4842	✗	1.23	2.3M	2022-03-31
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.245	1.2152	-2.39%	2.101	+68.76%	0.5218	✗	1.06	1.3M	2022-03-31
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1362	0.132922	-2.41%	0.2417	+77.46%	0.5668	✗	1.29	3.1M	2022-03-31
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	1.607	1.5679	-2.43%	1.795	+11.70%	0.1003	✗	1.45	863k	2022-03-31
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.3753	0.366064	-2.46%	0.4698	+25.18%	0.2166	✗	1.36	8.7M	2022-03-31
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	57.19	55.767	-2.49%	63.53	+11.09%	0.0990	✗	1.30	6.7M	2022-03-31
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	1.7018	1.659	-2.51%	1.3868	-18.51%	0.2099	✓	1.27	278k	2022-03-31
FIDA	Bonfida	Solana	1.81	1.764	-2.54%	1.839	+1.60%	0.0209	✓	0.86	76k	2022-03-31
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	125.94	122.6807	-2.59%	149.85	+18.99%	0.1706	✗	1.22	58k	2022-03-31
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.479	0.466159	-2.68%	0.518	+8.14%	0.0743	✗	1.29	4.2M	2022-03-31
AVT	Aventus	Ethereum	2.33	2.2646	-2.81%	2.68	+15.02%	0.1442	✗	1.00	443k	2022-03-31
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	8.27	8.0362	-2.83%	9.25	+11.85%	0.1185	✗	0.92	461k	2022-03-31
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	20.98	20.3845	-2.84%	24.45	+16.54%	0.1548	✗	1.12	9.1M	2022-03-31
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.02045	0.019851	-2.93%	0.02088	+2.10%	0.0242	✓	1.09	2.2M	2022-03-31
STX	Stacks	native	1.29	1.2522	-2.93%	1.44	+11.63%	0.1107	✗	1.20	596k	2022-03-31
BAND	Band	Ethereum	4.227	4.1014	-2.97%	4.893	+15.76%	0.1449	✗	1.30	1.8M	2022-03-31
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.78	0.75659	-3.00%	0.82	+5.13%	0.0390	✗	1.71	1.0M	2022-03-31
API3	Api3	Ethereum	8.094	7.8473	-3.05%	5.195	-35.82%	0.4243	✓	0.49	2.9M	2022-03-31
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0703	0.067995	-3.28%	0.0684	-2.70%	0.0368	✓	1.76	76.7M	2022-03-31
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	3.47	3.3536	-3.35%	4.41	+27.09%	0.2433	✗	1.26	6.8M	2022-03-31
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	4.86	4.6942	-3.41%	6	+23.46%	0.2089	✗	1.51	456k	2022-03-31
ORCA	Orca	Solana	2.58	2.492	-3.41%	2.3	-10.85%	0.1044	✓	1.00	488k	2022-03-31
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	0.8359	0.806862	-3.47%	1.1619	+39.00%	0.3296	✗	1.45	270k	2022-03-31
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	89.72	86.4814	-3.61%	102.96	+14.76%	0.1397	✗	1.43	4.8M	2022-03-31
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	3.4918	3.364	-3.66%	3.7255	+6.69%	0.0710	✗	1.28	2.1M	2022-03-31
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	1.328	1.2775	-3.81%	1.594	+20.03%	0.1897	✗	1.31	2.0M	2022-03-31
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	21,756.24	20,927.91	-3.81%	22,229.80	+2.18%	0.0366	✓	0.98	5.9M	2022-03-31
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	2.546	2.4476	-3.87%	2.638	+3.61%	0.0395	✗	1.46	13.6M	2022-03-31
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	6.82	6.5489	-3.98%	7.31	+7.18%	0.0757	✗	1.41	942k	2022-03-31
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.00471	0.004521	-4.02%	0.00431	-8.49%	0.0874	✓	1.64	9.6M	2022-03-31
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	31.14	29.8713	-4.07%	28.9	-7.19%	0.0607	✓	1.14	50.3M	2022-03-31
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.4218	0.403127	-4.43%	0.4968	+17.78%	0.1691	✗	1.64	14.7M	2022-03-31
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	19.34	18.4524	-4.59%	21	+8.58%	0.1014	✗	1.16	20.6M	2022-03-31
BRISE	Bitgert	Ethereum	6.11e-7	5.82e-7	-4.73%	8.72e-7	+42.71%	0.3799	✗	1.00	1.1M	2022-03-31
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	1.29	1.2289	-4.74%	1.41	+9.30%	0.1122	✗	1.04	885k	2022-03-31
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0282	0.026751	-5.14%	0.03408	+20.85%	0.2100	✗	1.33	500k	2022-03-31
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	9.447	8.9501	-5.26%	7.803	-17.40%	0.1714	✓	1.42	1.9M	2022-03-31
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	66.4156	62.6312	-5.70%	66.8749	+0.69%	0.0321	✓	1.38	223k	2022-03-31
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.01249	0.011729	-6.09%	0.016106	+28.95%	0.2921	✗	1.03	15k	2022-03-31
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.5394	0.504189	-6.53%	0.5827	+8.03%	0.0961	✗	2.01	2.1M	2022-03-31
GLMR	Moonbeam	Base	2.626	2.4393	-7.11%	3.115	+18.62%	0.2124	✗	1.33	584k	2022-03-31
PRO	Propy	Ethereum	1.84	1.6955	-7.85%	1.57	-14.67%	0.1062	✓	1.21	452k	2022-03-31
NCT	PolySwarm	Ethereum	0.03426	0.031546	-7.92%	0.0405	+18.21%	0.2281	✗	0.90	1.2M	2022-03-31
POKT	Pocket Network	Ethereum	0.7268	0.658377	-9.41%	1.071	+47.36%	0.4782	✗	0.35	1.2M	2022-03-31

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.