8=======>

2022-02-15 · +30d

gru_s0 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 150 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2224
150 of 150 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+23.36%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
40.0%
in alpha space · 36.7% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-8.15%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (150 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
GLMRMoonbeamBase5.1794.6928-9.39%2.404-53.58%0.5816✓1.03709k2022-03-17
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0290390.026425-9.00%0.016549-43.01%0.3573✓1.3091k2022-03-17
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum1.30141.1993-7.85%0.7164-44.95%0.4368✓0.921.5M2022-03-17
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.046680.043271-7.30%0.03458-25.92%0.1547✓0.822.4M2022-03-17
SUSHISushiEthereum4.434.1444-6.45%3.17-28.44%0.1490✓1.408.0M2022-03-17
PROPropyEthereum2.372.2428-5.37%1.45-38.82%0.2701✓1.95870k2022-03-17
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.03430.032496-5.26%0.02476-27.81%0.1467✓1.47499k2022-03-17
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.921.8228-5.06%1.283-33.18%0.2329✓1.392.9M2022-03-17
SUNSun TokenTron0.0173060.016477-4.79%0.011603-32.95%0.2523✓1.16503k2022-03-17
CRVCurve DAOEthereum3.183.0334-4.61%2.129-33.05%0.2317✓1.4417.3M2022-03-17
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.63930.610619-4.49%0.4235-33.76%0.2015✓1.931.8M2022-03-17
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1210.115608-4.46%0.108-10.74%0.0169✓1.0070k2022-03-17
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.46690.447987-4.05%0.3225-30.93%0.1787✓1.7624.6M2022-03-17
GTCGitcoinEthereum7.997.6945-3.70%5.63-29.54%0.2820✓0.361.7M2022-03-17
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.94745.7834-2.76%6.2395+4.91%0.1040✗0.33441k2022-03-17
SPELLSpellEthereum0.006130.005978-2.48%0.00345-43.72%0.3784✓2.0218.1M2022-03-17
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.59570.581379-2.40%0.5058-15.09%0.0494✓1.06948k2022-03-17
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos29.0128.3306-2.34%28.17-2.90%0.0898✗1.1268.5M2022-03-17
METRONOMEMETRONOME3.7763.6909-2.25%2.0515-45.67%0.5113✓0.8930k2022-03-17
GITCOINGITCOIN7.8897.7171-2.18%5.612-28.86%0.2898✓0.3437k2022-03-17
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.96394.8721-1.85%4.139-16.62%0.0581✓1.23343k2022-03-17
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum2.17482.1365-1.76%3.112+43.09%0.4300✗0.632.9M2022-03-17
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum21.7821.4008-1.74%16.56-23.97%0.1578✓1.1624.7M2022-03-17
YFIyearn.financeEthereum24,489.0224,075.04-1.69%19,412.72-20.73%0.1344✓0.957.4M2022-03-17
BTTCBTTC0.000002220.000002184-1.62%0.00000182-18.02%0.0973✓1.0014.5M2022-03-17
MOVRMoonriverBase98.652897.1164-1.56%50.138-49.18%0.5319✓1.52315k2022-03-17
MANADecentralandEthereum3.3353.2834-1.55%2.4389-26.87%0.2041✓1.103.1M2022-03-17
FIDABonfidaSolana2.462.4301-1.21%1.654-32.76%0.2997✓1.0085k2022-03-17
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.07290.072087-1.12%0.0603-17.28%0.0288✓1.7664.3M2022-03-17
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.111.098-1.08%0.6-45.95%0.4326✓2.021.1M2022-03-17
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.5813.544-1.03%3.752+4.78%0.1320✗0.88502k2022-03-17
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain4.01373.9745-0.98%3.8006-5.31%0.0381✗0.972.3M2022-03-17
API3Api3Ethereum4.654.6075-0.91%4.595-1.18%0.0279✗0.361.8M2022-03-17
RADRadworksEthereum5.665.6109-0.87%4.34-23.32%0.1649✓1.08682k2022-03-17
FTTFTXEthereum47.1746.7715-0.84%43.06-8.71%0.0165✗1.1730.8M2022-03-17
DIADIAEthereum0.990.981818-0.83%0.93-6.06%0.0308✗1.00270k2022-03-17
CELLCellframeEthereum1.38641.3751-0.82%1.5251+10.00%0.2392✗1.60131k2022-03-17
ORCAOrcaSolana3.233.204-0.80%2.06-36.22%0.3567✓1.00882k2022-03-17
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.66050.657258-0.49%0.4096-37.99%0.3431✓1.53709k2022-03-17
STXStacksnative1.581.573-0.44%1.27-19.62%0.1289✓1.00997k2022-03-17
NANOnanopayBase2.33572.327-0.37%2.599+11.27%0.2182✗1.27436k2022-03-17
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.095.0734-0.33%4.399-13.58%0.0359✓1.262.6M2022-03-17
TRBTellor TributesEthereum23.723.6322-0.29%19.15-19.20%0.0781✓1.56383k2022-03-17
BANDBandEthereum4.654.6371-0.28%3.529-24.11%0.1659✓1.261.9M2022-03-17
AAVEAaveEthereum172.28171.8732-0.24%155.68-9.64%0.0210✗1.418.0M2022-03-17
AVTAventusEthereum2.852.8446-0.19%2.12-25.61%0.2090✓1.00639k2022-03-17
UMAUMAEthereum6.396.3802-0.15%7.738+21.10%0.2824✗1.051.9M2022-03-17
COMPCompoundEthereum136.04136.0132-0.02%111.36-18.14%0.0877✓1.3258k2022-03-17
ARPAARPAEthereum0.09290.092919+0.02%0.0683-26.48%0.1903✗1.38784k2022-03-17
STORJStorjEthereum1.22641.2267+0.03%1.0593-13.62%0.0580✗1.04211k2022-03-17
FILFilecoinFilecoin22.3322.3422+0.05%17.44-21.90%0.1436✗1.2210.4M2022-03-17
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.626.624+0.06%8.25+24.62%0.2903✓0.83482k2022-03-17
DYDXdYdXCosmos7.5587.5678+0.13%4.762-36.99%0.3799✗0.98407k2022-03-17
GTGateEthereum6.93116.9416+0.15%6.3086-8.98%0.0209✗0.883.9M2022-03-17
LCXLCXEthereum0.10780.107999+0.18%0.0857-20.50%0.0987✗1.561.1M2022-03-17
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV97.6197.816+0.21%77.91-20.18%0.1506✗0.911.2M2022-03-17
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.7113.7189+0.21%4.3389+16.92%0.2461✓1.082.5M2022-03-17
SKLSKALEEthereum0.16280.163189+0.24%0.12-26.29%0.1934✗1.343.3M2022-03-17
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.034470.034566+0.28%0.02401-30.35%0.2615✗1.2110.4M2022-03-17
CVCCivicEthereum0.31390.314861+0.31%0.2838-9.59%0.0069✗1.14538k2022-03-17
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.89850.90145+0.33%0.7159-20.32%0.1354✗1.1212.4M2022-03-17
CTKShentuOsmosis1.331.3351+0.38%1.176-11.58%0.0221✗1.233.4M2022-03-17
LUNATerraTerra 256.8557.0957+0.43%86.84+52.75%0.5401✓1.426.9M2022-03-17
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.055860.056109+0.45%0.04974-10.96%0.0008✓1.411.2M2022-03-17
KCSKuCoinnative20.57720.6783+0.49%18.162-11.74%0.0187✗1.3110.2M2022-03-17
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.8872.9018+0.51%6.185+114.24%0.8711✓1.341.1M2022-03-17
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche93.0793.553+0.52%79.47-14.61%0.0398✗1.45102.9M2022-03-17
LINKChainlinkEthereum17.3517.4484+0.57%14.41-16.95%0.0881✗1.2170.2M2022-03-17
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana17.3617.463+0.59%13.04-24.88%0.2341✗0.681.2M2022-03-17
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.16660.167668+0.64%0.1508-9.48%0.0188✗1.03470k2022-03-17
COTICOTIEthereum0.28640.288407+0.70%0.2023-29.36%0.2229✗1.554.2M2022-03-17
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0223130.022506+0.86%0.01684-24.53%0.1851✗1.232.4M2022-03-17
MINAMina Protocolnative2.772.7945+0.88%2.13-23.10%0.1632✗1.27390k2022-03-17
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.013980.014105+0.90%0.01199-14.23%0.0975✗0.7613k2022-03-17
ZECZcashZcash126.04127.1897+0.91%153.41+21.72%0.2908✓1.227.2M2022-03-17
UOSUltraEthereum1.33181.3446+0.97%1.1607-12.84%0.0381✗1.282.3M2022-03-17
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum6.1156.178+1.03%5.114-16.37%0.1162✗0.8672k2022-03-17
XTZTezosTezos4.14834.1915+1.04%3.0843-25.65%0.1966✗1.302.4M2022-03-17
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.7671.7859+1.07%1.515-14.26%0.0636✗1.192.1M2022-03-17
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.211.223+1.08%1.131-6.53%0.0392✓1.38751k2022-03-17
XMRMoneroMonero182.65184.6376+1.09%187.84+2.84%0.1036✓1.021.2M2022-03-17
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.27920.282258+1.10%0.2446-12.39%0.0533✗1.061.7M2022-03-17
BTCBitcoinBitcoin44,583.5245,073.92+1.10%40,950.33-8.15%0.0109✓1.00642.7M2022-03-17
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0549530.055583+1.15%0.039784-27.60%0.2248✗1.297.4M2022-03-17
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.7724.8284+1.18%4.833+1.28%0.0725✓0.84383k2022-03-17
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1517840.153579+1.18%0.116426-23.29%0.1903✗1.026.4M2022-03-17
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.2863.3263+1.23%3.389+3.13%0.0877✓0.81218k2022-03-17
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.9711.9967+1.30%1.408-28.56%0.2349✗1.351.1M2022-03-17
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.162.1885+1.32%1.81-16.20%0.0764✗1.332.2M2022-03-17
BFCBifrostEthereum0.179390.181954+1.43%0.14773-17.65%0.0726✗1.6034k2022-03-17
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.725.8046+1.48%6.56+14.69%0.1901✓0.80407k2022-03-17
ETCEthereum Classicnative33.4933.9974+1.52%27.15-18.93%0.1351✗1.065.5M2022-03-17
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.58120.590209+1.55%0.7893+35.81%0.4062✓1.362.4M2022-03-17
NMRNumeraireEthereum29.0929.5431+1.56%27.9-4.09%0.0234✓0.951.2M2022-03-17
XVGVergenative0.011910.0121+1.60%0.00913-23.34%0.1638✗1.391.2M2022-03-17
HIVEHivenative1.13271.1519+1.69%0.9169-19.05%0.0873✗1.661.9M2022-03-17
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.07470.075971+1.70%0.072-3.61%0.0405✓1.1117k2022-03-17
CBKCobakEthereum2.4752.5172+1.70%2.148-13.21%0.0650✗1.1020k2022-03-17
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.97060.987338+1.72%0.7417-23.58%0.1901✗1.1326.7M2022-03-17
LSKLiskEthereum1.86341.8975+1.83%2.0943+12.39%0.1954✓1.1469k2022-03-17
DASHDashDash109.33111.3668+1.86%96.42-11.81%0.0489✗1.122.0M2022-03-17
XYMSymbolnative0.17610.179384+1.87%0.1349-23.40%0.2254✗0.70388k2022-03-17
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana11.1511.3634+1.91%12.5+12.11%0.1537✓0.69760k2022-03-17
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.917.0432+1.93%6.38-7.67%0.0231✗0.89449k2022-03-17
LPTLivepeerEthereum28.6729.2313+1.96%24.69-13.88%0.0361✗1.562.0M2022-03-17
DOTPolkadotPolkadot20.1920.5919+1.99%18.75-7.13%0.0226✓1.3734.9M2022-03-17
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.6423940.655512+2.04%0.516324-19.63%0.1394✗1.173.5M2022-03-17
ETHEthereumEthereum3,186.243,252.42+2.08%2,814.67-11.66%0.0480✗1.14581.4M2022-03-17
UNIUniswapEthereum11.4811.73+2.18%9.23-19.60%0.1256✗1.3412.2M2022-03-17
XLMStellarStellar0.2210860.225906+2.18%0.189695-14.20%0.0874✗1.0321.9M2022-03-17
XEMNEMnative0.11430.116966+2.33%0.0982-14.09%0.0857✗1.0539k2022-03-17
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.01360.013919+2.34%0.01102-18.97%0.0995✗1.581.8M2022-03-17
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000031220.000031958+2.36%0.00002221-28.86%0.2445✗1.402.4M2022-03-17
LRCLoopringEthereum0.98591.0093+2.38%0.7071-28.28%0.2253✗1.54588k2022-03-17
XECeCashnative0.000087920.000090075+2.45%0.00007845-10.77%0.0404✗1.154.8M2022-03-17
ADACardanoCardano1.10871.1369+2.54%0.8365-24.55%0.2110✗1.13107.6M2022-03-17
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.732.802+2.64%2.31-15.38%0.1051✗1.03388k2022-03-17
CHZChilizEthereum0.22170.227676+2.70%0.2105-5.05%0.0431✓1.433.7M2022-03-17
MASKMask NetworkEthereum6.266.4346+2.79%4.13-34.03%0.3506✗1.09590k2022-03-17
SCSiacoinnative0.011070.011391+2.90%0.00886-19.96%0.1631✗1.04483k2022-03-17
SOLSolanaSolana105.61108.7223+2.95%87.88-16.79%0.1034✗1.29179.7M2022-03-17
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum44,051.4045,357.35+2.96%40,887.40-7.18%0.0208✓0.9851k2022-03-17
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum63.3165.2531+3.07%50.31-20.53%0.1518✗1.278.8M2022-03-17
IMXImmutableEthereum2.482.5579+3.14%1.578-36.37%0.3975✗1.013.2M2022-03-17
QNTQuantEthereum132.67136.8556+3.15%114.23-13.90%0.0927✗1.037.8M2022-03-17
DODODODOEthereum0.540.557374+3.22%0.389-27.96%0.2371✗1.444.5M2022-03-17
LTCLitecoinLitecoin131.74136.0314+3.26%110.26-16.30%0.1033✗1.2634.8M2022-03-17
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2960.305699+3.28%0.239-19.26%0.1655✗0.9577k2022-03-17
KSMKusamaHydration176.23182.0559+3.31%133.2-24.42%0.2107✗1.20930k2022-03-17
AUCTIONBounceEthereum16.1716.7049+3.31%13.15-18.68%0.1499✗1.05483k2022-03-17
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.860240.88874+3.31%0.85272-0.87%0.0870✓1.51334k2022-03-17
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.49320.510303+3.47%0.4095-16.97%0.1012✗1.408.9M2022-03-17
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.982.0513+3.60%1.06-46.46%0.5580✗1.201.4M2022-03-17
AMPAmpEthereum0.030920.032048+3.65%0.02502-19.08%0.1748✗0.866.2M2022-03-17
CTSICartesiEthereum0.48640.504368+3.69%0.3179-34.64%0.3338✗1.502.0M2022-03-17
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.3880.402414+3.72%0.411+5.93%0.1348✓1.342.3M2022-03-17
ZENHorizenBase43.1244.7286+3.73%38.72-10.20%0.0128✓1.55400k2022-03-17
TRXTRONTron0.0668370.06938+3.81%0.060788-9.05%0.0575✗0.88327k2022-03-17
DEXEDeXeEthereum7.47.6843+3.84%6.05-18.24%0.2136✗0.301.2M2022-03-17
XVSVenusEthereum9.8710.2517+3.87%8.77-11.14%0.0428✗1.333.0M2022-03-17
QTUMQtumQtum7.56347.8696+4.05%5.9375-21.50%0.1555✗1.48145k2022-03-17
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.081320.084719+4.18%0.07231-11.08%0.0932✗0.7786k2022-03-17
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.81.876+4.22%1.483-17.61%0.1276✗1.261.3M2022-03-17
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash343.69358.834+4.41%296.36-13.77%0.1066✗1.008.9M2022-03-17
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.0051.0504+4.52%0.794-21.00%0.1622✗1.382.5M2022-03-17
DKAdKargoEthereum0.098270.102735+4.54%0.09418-4.16%0.0103✓1.1451k2022-03-17
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.045420.047703+5.03%0.04027-11.34%0.0700✗1.1730k2022-03-17
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum18.4419.4088+5.25%15.07-18.28%0.1043✗1.753.6M2022-03-17
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.8260.87146+5.50%0.639-22.64%0.2158✗1.111.8M2022-03-17
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.08720.093461+7.18%0.0711-18.46%0.1688✗1.23195k2022-03-17
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.