2022-02-14 · +30d

gru_s0 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 150 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.2417

150 of 150 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+26.21%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

50.0%

in alpha space · 47.3% on raw price

BTC over horizon

-3.34%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (150 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▴	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
GLMR	Moonbeam	Base	4.666	4.0492	-13.22%	2.572	-44.88%	0.4225	✓	0.92	709k	2022-03-16
POKT	Pocket Network	Ethereum	1.226	1.0945	-10.72%	0.7108	-42.02%	0.4019	✓	0.88	1.6M	2022-03-16
NCT	PolySwarm	Ethereum	0.04361	0.039525	-9.37%	0.03622	-16.95%	0.0627	✓	0.72	2.6M	2022-03-16
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.028657	0.026259	-8.37%	0.017177	-40.06%	0.3800	✓	1.31	102k	2022-03-16
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	4.07	3.7609	-7.59%	3.12	-23.34%	0.1397	✓	1.39	8.0M	2022-03-16
PRO	Propy	Ethereum	2.23	2.0636	-7.46%	1.46	-34.53%	0.2784	✓	1.99	923k	2022-03-16
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	2.91	2.715	-6.70%	2.091	-28.14%	0.2124	✓	1.44	18.3M	2022-03-16
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0338	0.031583	-6.56%	0.02474	-26.80%	0.1935	✓	1.49	490k	2022-03-16
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.545	0.510277	-6.37%	0.3835	-29.63%	0.2206	✓	1.91	1.8M	2022-03-16
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.4399	0.414977	-5.67%	0.3368	-23.44%	0.1481	✓	1.79	26.1M	2022-03-16
ASTR	Astar	Ethereum	0.114	0.107623	-5.59%	0.105	-7.89%	0.0093	✓	1.00	71k	2022-03-16
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	1.81	1.7125	-5.39%	1.322	-26.96%	0.2119	✓	1.38	2.9M	2022-03-16
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.016621	0.015774	-5.09%	0.011683	-29.71%	0.2608	✓	1.16	535k	2022-03-16
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	7.17	6.811	-5.01%	5.8	-19.11%	0.1501	✓	0.31	1.7M	2022-03-16
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	83.68	80.3599	-3.97%	51.8123	-38.08%	0.3891	✓	1.47	315k	2022-03-16
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	27.16	26.1218	-3.82%	28.97	+6.66%	0.1415	✗	1.12	71.8M	2022-03-16
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	23,089.90	22,216.56	-3.78%	19,215.35	-16.78%	0.1131	✓	0.94	7.6M	2022-03-16
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	20.74	20.0055	-3.54%	16.49	-20.49%	0.1538	✓	1.16	24.7M	2022-03-16
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	5.8399	5.6373	-3.47%	6.0499	+3.60%	0.0820	✗	0.33	430k	2022-03-16
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.5644	0.546042	-3.25%	0.5055	-10.44%	0.0414	✓	1.05	1.0M	2022-03-16
BTTC	BTTC		0.00000213	0.000002069	-2.88%	0.00000185	-13.15%	0.0777	✓	1.00	14.3M	2022-03-16
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		7.128	6.9513	-2.48%	5.736	-19.53%	0.1822	✓	0.29	38k	2022-03-16
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	4.6155	4.5065	-2.36%	4.1763	-9.52%	0.0345	✓	1.22	349k	2022-03-16
FIDA	Bonfida	Solana	2.355	2.2999	-2.34%	1.611	-31.59%	0.3221	✓	1.00	84k	2022-03-16
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	3.33	3.253	-2.31%	3.975	+19.37%	0.2298	✗	0.86	502k	2022-03-16
METRONOME	METRONOME		3.4806	3.4006	-2.30%	2.1072	-39.46%	0.4490	✓	0.87	30k	2022-03-16
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.00566	0.00553	-2.30%	0.00348	-38.52%	0.3946	✓	2.02	18.8M	2022-03-16
DIA	DIA	Ethereum	0.94	0.92107	-2.01%	0.92	-2.13%	0.0328	✗	1.00	271k	2022-03-16
ORCA	Orca	Solana	3.09	3.0346	-1.79%	2.1	-32.04%	0.3342	✓	1.00	914k	2022-03-16
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	6	5.8995	-1.67%	7.808	+30.13%	0.3156	✗	1.04	1.9M	2022-03-16
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0688	0.067699	-1.60%	0.0619	-10.03%	0.0293	✓	1.78	64.3M	2022-03-16
STX	Stacks	native	1.47	1.4469	-1.57%	1.28	-12.93%	0.0886	✓	1.00	1.0M	2022-03-16
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	3.9552	3.8971	-1.47%	4.0815	+3.19%	0.0793	✗	0.97	2.3M	2022-03-16
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.9224	1.8942	-1.46%	3.0607	+59.21%	0.4998	✗	0.59	2.8M	2022-03-16
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	161.11	158.8195	-1.42%	141.71	-12.04%	0.0661	✓	1.41	8.1M	2022-03-16
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.02976	0.029373	-1.30%	0.02106	-29.23%	0.2937	✓	1.15	10.0M	2022-03-16
AVT	Aventus	Ethereum	2.84	2.8037	-1.28%	2.28	-19.72%	0.1728	✓	1.00	693k	2022-03-16
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	44.85	44.2885	-1.25%	42.72	-4.75%	0.0038	✓	1.17	31.2M	2022-03-16
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	21.2	20.9546	-1.16%	19.73	-6.93%	0.0082	✓	1.53	375k	2022-03-16
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	5.39	5.3325	-1.07%	4.47	-17.07%	0.1395	✓	1.09	682k	2022-03-16
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.6376	0.63112	-1.02%	0.4194	-34.22%	0.3564	✓	1.54	718k	2022-03-16
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	4.58	4.5337	-1.01%	4.216	-7.95%	0.0308	✓	1.23	2.6M	2022-03-16
API3	Api3	Ethereum	4.35	4.3073	-0.98%	4.743	+9.03%	0.1073	✗	0.32	2.0M	2022-03-16
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.8438	2.8225	-0.75%	2.4922	-12.36%	0.0891	✓	1.04	2.8M	2022-03-16
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	20.75	20.5997	-0.72%	17.42	-16.05%	0.1265	✓	1.21	10.5M	2022-03-16
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.94	0.933211	-0.72%	0.62	-34.04%	0.3422	✓	1.96	1.0M	2022-03-16
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	0.8459	0.840146	-0.68%	0.7237	-14.45%	0.1112	✓	1.12	12.4M	2022-03-16
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	1.2512	1.2429	-0.66%	1.413	+12.93%	0.1817	✗	1.57	123k	2022-03-16
BAND	Band	Ethereum	4.21	4.1839	-0.62%	3.642	-13.49%	0.0966	✓	1.24	1.9M	2022-03-16
XMR	Monero	Monero	176.38	175.3414	-0.59%	189.66	+7.53%	0.1133	✗	1.02	1.2M	2022-03-16
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	17.92	17.8216	-0.55%	13.13	-26.73%	0.2812	✓	0.72	1.1M	2022-03-16
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.1301	1.1245	-0.50%	1.053	-6.82%	0.0307	✓	1.03	211k	2022-03-16
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.0983	0.097814	-0.49%	0.0882	-10.27%	0.0512	✓	1.54	1.1M	2022-03-16
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	6.47	6.4392	-0.48%	8.59	+32.77%	0.3166	✗	0.84	463k	2022-03-16
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	53.94	53.7328	-0.38%	89.17	+65.31%	0.5552	✗	1.43	6.9M	2022-03-16
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	123.15	122.7057	-0.36%	110	-10.68%	0.0652	✓	1.30	59k	2022-03-16
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	2.68	2.6718	-0.30%	1.86	-30.60%	0.3184	✓	1.29	390k	2022-03-16
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.5401	3.53	-0.29%	4.461	+26.01%	0.2707	✗	1.08	2.5M	2022-03-16
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	7.402	7.3836	-0.25%	4.733	-36.06%	0.4108	✓	1.00	407k	2022-03-16
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	15.9	15.861	-0.25%	14.68	-7.67%	0.0367	✓	1.20	70.2M	2022-03-16
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.6557	6.6397	-0.24%	6.5078	-2.22%	0.0099	✗	0.88	3.9M	2022-03-16
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1573	0.156955	-0.22%	0.128	-18.63%	0.1579	✓	1.36	3.2M	2022-03-16
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.05226	0.052154	-0.20%	0.04945	-5.38%	0.0055	✓	1.40	1.2M	2022-03-16
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0868	0.086681	-0.14%	0.0703	-19.01%	0.1627	✓	1.38	674k	2022-03-16
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	6.017	6.0094	-0.13%	5.005	-16.82%	0.1535	✓	0.87	72k	2022-03-16
NANO	nanopay	Base	2.1432	2.1406	-0.12%	2.3037	+7.49%	0.1159	✗	1.25	436k	2022-03-16
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.2886	0.288337	-0.09%	0.2713	-5.99%	0.0226	✓	1.13	538k	2022-03-16
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1748	0.174763	-0.02%	0.1357	-22.37%	0.2287	✓	0.72	388k	2022-03-16
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.021238	0.021242	+0.02%	0.01695	-20.19%	0.1841	✗	1.22	2.5M	2022-03-16
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.793	2.7944	+0.05%	6.401	+129.18%	0.8749	✓	1.36	1.1M	2022-03-16
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.259	1.2597	+0.05%	1.181	-6.20%	0.0225	✗	1.23	3.2M	2022-03-16
KCS	KuCoin	native	19.607	19.6356	+0.15%	18.299	-6.67%	0.0256	✗	1.32	10.2M	2022-03-16
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01366	0.013683	+0.17%	0.01185	-13.25%	0.1177	✗	0.77	13k	2022-03-16
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	3.225	3.2307	+0.18%	3.572	+10.76%	0.1283	✓	0.82	218k	2022-03-16
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.2742	0.2747	+0.18%	0.2051	-25.20%	0.2390	✗	1.57	4.2M	2022-03-16
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		93.76	93.9505	+0.20%	78.23	-16.56%	0.1524	✗	0.90	1.2M	2022-03-16
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	1.94	1.944	+0.21%	1.81	-6.70%	0.0269	✗	1.31	2.2M	2022-03-16
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1626	0.162973	+0.23%	0.1519	-6.58%	0.0352	✗	1.04	470k	2022-03-16
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	120.62	121.0124	+0.33%	154.1	+27.76%	0.2831	✓	1.22	7.2M	2022-03-16
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.631	4.6507	+0.43%	4.679	+1.04%	0.0347	✓	0.84	379k	2022-03-16
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	81.84	82.2501	+0.50%	74.12	-9.43%	0.0556	✗	1.43	98.9M	2022-03-16
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	42,548.71	42,797.33	+0.58%	41,127.97	-3.34%	0.0058	✗	1.00	642.7M	2022-03-16
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	3.9473	3.9766	+0.74%	3.1013	-21.43%	0.2044	✗	1.30	2.4M	2022-03-16
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	1.753	1.7665	+0.77%	1.428	-18.54%	0.1678	✗	1.32	1.1M	2022-03-16
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.61	1.6227	+0.79%	1.529	-5.03%	0.0197	✗	1.17	1.9M	2022-03-16
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.268	0.270243	+0.84%	0.2435	-9.14%	0.0682	✗	1.06	1.6M	2022-03-16
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	1.7556	1.7706	+0.85%	2.0762	+18.26%	0.1978	✓	1.14	67k	2022-03-16
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.046133	0.046532	+0.86%	0.040705	-11.77%	0.0922	✗	1.22	6.5M	2022-03-16
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	0.9001	0.90809	+0.89%	0.7371	-18.11%	0.1708	✗	1.11	26.7M	2022-03-16
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	11.42	11.5275	+0.94%	11.83	+3.59%	0.0502	✓	0.71	706k	2022-03-16
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.12	1.1306	+0.95%	1.186	+5.89%	0.0945	✓	1.38	694k	2022-03-16
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.145821	0.147218	+0.96%	0.116967	-19.79%	0.1953	✗	1.02	6.7M	2022-03-16
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	5.47	5.5234	+0.98%	6.66	+21.76%	0.2140	✓	0.79	404k	2022-03-16
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	26.44	26.7123	+1.03%	24.32	-8.02%	0.0413	✗	1.55	2.0M	2022-03-16
XVG	Verge	native	0.01132	0.011443	+1.09%	0.009	-20.49%	0.1926	✗	1.40	1.2M	2022-03-16
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01219	0.012325	+1.11%	0.01117	-8.37%	0.0457	✗	1.55	1.7M	2022-03-16
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	18.7	18.9189	+1.17%	19.04	+1.82%	0.0527	✓	1.36	34.9M	2022-03-16
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.341	2.3686	+1.18%	2.135	-8.80%	0.0663	✗	1.10	21k	2022-03-16
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	0.9283	0.93925	+1.18%	0.7151	-22.97%	0.2205	✗	1.54	588k	2022-03-16
HIVE	Hive	native	1.0452	1.0578	+1.21%	0.8746	-16.32%	0.1340	✗	1.65	1.9M	2022-03-16
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	28.49	28.8361	+1.21%	28.13	-1.26%	0.0078	✓	0.96	1.2M	2022-03-16
DASH	Dash	Dash	103.84	105.1585	+1.27%	98.4	-5.24%	0.0285	✗	1.12	2.0M	2022-03-16
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.5481	0.555084	+1.27%	0.7347	+34.04%	0.3265	✓	1.36	2.4M	2022-03-16
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	31.42	31.8551	+1.38%	27.36	-12.92%	0.1165	✗	1.05	5.1M	2022-03-16
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0708	0.071784	+1.39%	0.0732	+3.39%	0.0573	✓	1.11	19k	2022-03-16
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.593972	0.602286	+1.40%	0.511443	-13.89%	0.1242	✗	1.16	3.5M	2022-03-16
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	6.76	6.8557	+1.42%	6.49	-3.99%	0.0243	✗	0.90	426k	2022-03-16
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.1719	0.174427	+1.47%	0.1473	-14.31%	0.1138	✗	1.63	34k	2022-03-16
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	5.66	5.7436	+1.48%	4.14	-26.86%	0.2912	✗	1.06	590k	2022-03-16
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	10.62	10.7841	+1.55%	9.09	-14.41%	0.1256	✗	1.33	12.5M	2022-03-16
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.210709	0.213969	+1.55%	0.18936	-10.13%	0.0873	✗	1.03	21.9M	2022-03-16
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.039	1.0568	+1.71%	1.174	+12.99%	0.1458	✓	1.20	2.3M	2022-03-16
SC	Siacoin	native	0.01033	0.010524	+1.87%	0.00895	-13.36%	0.1270	✗	1.03	483k	2022-03-16
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	2,931.01	2,986.61	+1.90%	2,774.89	-5.33%	0.0354	✗	1.12	572.6M	2022-03-16
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	2.56	2.6109	+1.99%	2.32	-9.38%	0.0833	✗	1.03	406k	2022-03-16
XEM	NEM	native	0.1094	0.111594	+2.01%	0.099	-9.51%	0.0839	✗	1.06	39k	2022-03-16
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.05	1.0718	+2.08%	0.8393	-20.07%	0.2063	✗	1.13	115.7M	2022-03-16
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	167.33	170.8526	+2.11%	130.7	-21.89%	0.2272	✗	1.20	930k	2022-03-16
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.502	0.512665	+2.12%	0.399	-20.52%	0.2019	✗	1.44	4.5M	2022-03-16
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00002958	0.000030228	+2.19%	0.00002273	-23.16%	0.2371	✗	1.41	2.3M	2022-03-16
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	2.29	2.3409	+2.22%	1.646	-28.12%	0.3192	✗	0.97	3.2M	2022-03-16
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.2046	0.209284	+2.29%	0.2037	-0.44%	0.0212	✓	1.42	3.7M	2022-03-16
XEC	eCash	native	0.00008178	0.000083721	+2.37%	0.00008028	-1.83%	0.0033	✓	1.14	5.1M	2022-03-16
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.80709	0.826564	+2.41%	0.82098	+1.72%	0.0447	✓	1.51	299k	2022-03-16
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.4039	0.414133	+2.53%	0.455	+12.65%	0.1391	✓	1.33	8.7M	2022-03-16
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.02945	0.030198	+2.54%	0.02522	-14.36%	0.1513	✗	0.85	6.2M	2022-03-16
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.285	0.292573	+2.66%	0.228	-20.00%	0.2171	✗	0.95	77k	2022-03-16
SOL	Solana	Solana	96.43	99.02	+2.69%	87.82	-8.93%	0.0770	✗	1.27	179.7M	2022-03-16
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	56.82	58.3676	+2.72%	50.45	-11.21%	0.1035	✗	1.25	8.8M	2022-03-16
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	15.4	15.826	+2.77%	13.23	-14.09%	0.1436	✗	1.05	483k	2022-03-16
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	1.84	1.891	+2.77%	1.08	-41.30%	0.5201	✗	1.18	1.4M	2022-03-16
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	42,156.20	43,333.27	+2.79%	41,103.10	-2.50%	0.0197	✓	0.98	51k	2022-03-16
ZEN	Horizen	Base	41.27	42.493	+2.96%	38.67	-6.30%	0.0412	✗	1.56	400k	2022-03-16
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.4478	0.46117	+2.99%	0.3185	-28.87%	0.3192	✗	1.50	2.0M	2022-03-16
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.064484	0.066446	+3.04%	0.061066	-5.30%	0.0545	✗	0.88	327k	2022-03-16
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.364	0.375386	+3.13%	0.447	+22.80%	0.2201	✓	1.34	2.3M	2022-03-16
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	7.22	7.4465	+3.14%	6.02	-16.62%	0.2028	✗	0.29	1.2M	2022-03-16
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	124.62	128.5908	+3.19%	111.35	-10.65%	0.1013	✗	1.26	34.8M	2022-03-16
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	9.58	9.8915	+3.25%	8.55	-10.75%	0.1000	✗	1.35	2.9M	2022-03-16
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	121.35	125.3586	+3.30%	117.28	-3.35%	0.0323	✓	1.01	7.8M	2022-03-16
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.07495	0.077487	+3.38%	0.07308	-2.49%	0.0333	✓	0.74	84k	2022-03-16
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.09436	0.097915	+3.77%	0.09466	+0.32%	0.0053	✓	1.15	51k	2022-03-16
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	1.7	1.7647	+3.80%	1.51	-11.18%	0.1129	✗	1.26	1.3M	2022-03-16
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.0437	0.045396	+3.88%	0.04049	-7.35%	0.0741	✗	1.19	30k	2022-03-16
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	330.66	343.5724	+3.91%	299.84	-9.32%	0.1022	✗	1.00	8.9M	2022-03-16
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	0.909	0.944953	+3.96%	0.819	-9.90%	0.0967	✗	1.36	2.4M	2022-03-16
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	17.04	17.7516	+4.18%	14.44	-15.26%	0.1471	✗	1.75	3.7M	2022-03-16
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	6.5803	6.8583	+4.22%	6.0075	-8.71%	0.0834	✗	1.45	130k	2022-03-16
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	0.759	0.79418	+4.64%	0.635	-16.34%	0.1866	✗	1.09	1.6M	2022-03-16
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.0819	0.087294	+6.59%	0.0705	-13.92%	0.1720	✗	1.23	195k	2022-03-16

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.