2022-01-17 · +30d

gru_s0 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 139 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.2352

139 of 139 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+25.14%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

71.9%

in alpha space · 69.1% on raw price

BTC over horizon

+3.97%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (139 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▴	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	12.58	11.3307	-9.93%	8.24	-34.50%	0.3246	✓	0.16	2.6M	2022-02-16
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.9432	0.864292	-8.37%	0.4482	-52.48%	0.7258	✓	1.77	46.2M	2022-02-16
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	4.78	4.4115	-7.71%	3.17	-33.68%	0.3853	✓	1.41	32.4M	2022-02-16
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		12.477	11.5698	-7.27%	8.239	-33.97%	0.3431	✓	0.09	44k	2022-02-16
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0676	0.062739	-7.19%	0.0695	+2.81%	0.0634	✓	1.00	25.5M	2022-02-16
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	3.53	3.2858	-6.92%	1.86	-47.31%	0.6188	✓	1.28	8.5M	2022-02-16
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.01358	0.012684	-6.60%	0.00601	-55.74%	0.8420	✓	2.44	24.2M	2022-02-16
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.078972	0.07395	-6.36%	0.028284	-64.18%	1.0001	✓	1.00	1.6M	2022-02-16
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.3204	0.302367	-5.63%	0.3067	-4.28%	0.0260	✓	1.03	397k	2022-02-16
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	39.15	37.006	-5.48%	28.51	-27.18%	0.2986	✓	0.97	98.5M	2022-02-16
METRONOME	METRONOME		4.195	3.9686	-5.40%	3.7402	-10.84%	0.0885	✓	0.75	2,257	2022-02-16
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.6214	0.588643	-5.27%	0.602	-3.12%	0.0319	✓	1.39	1.5M	2022-02-16
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	34.44	32.7182	-5.00%	28.63	-16.87%	0.1984	✓	1.67	2.7M	2022-02-16
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	6.44	6.1185	-4.99%	4.3	-33.23%	0.4033	✓	1.30	17.7M	2022-02-16
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	2.0079	1.909	-4.93%	1.8241	-9.15%	0.0888	✓	1.11	89k	2022-02-16
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.20625	0.196708	-4.63%	0.17624	-14.55%	0.1713	✓	1.58	6,350	2022-02-16
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	7.89	7.549	-4.32%	6.07	-23.07%	0.2526	✓	0.89	1.1M	2022-02-16
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.1315	0.125901	-4.26%	0.1052	-20.00%	0.2297	✓	1.29	2.4M	2022-02-16
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.6018	1.5376	-4.01%	1.1915	-25.62%	0.2896	✓	0.89	445k	2022-02-16
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	77.06	74.0036	-3.97%	56.02	-27.30%	0.3513	✓	1.87	7.5M	2022-02-16
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	3.76	3.6121	-3.93%	2.4	-36.17%	0.4653	✓	1.45	2.2M	2022-02-16
HIVE	Hive	native	1.2561	1.2068	-3.92%	1.1125	-11.43%	0.1360	✓	1.40	3.7M	2022-02-16
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.51	0.49014	-3.89%	0.373	-26.86%	0.3241	✓	1.31	1.8M	2022-02-16
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.3888	0.374628	-3.65%	0.285	-26.70%	0.3312	✓	1.48	3.9M	2022-02-16
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	8.77	8.4571	-3.57%	6.08	-30.67%	0.3582	✓	0.72	995k	2022-02-16
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.294	3.1777	-3.53%	2.809	-14.72%	0.1903	✓	1.72	1.1M	2022-02-16
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	7.405	7.1445	-3.52%	7.454	+0.66%	0.0084	✓	1.30	271k	2022-02-16
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	7.359	7.1013	-3.50%	6.358	-13.60%	0.1377	✓	0.70	178k	2022-02-16
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.06638	0.064065	-3.49%	0.03198	-51.82%	0.7428	✓	1.23	13.3M	2022-02-16
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	9.38	9.0615	-3.40%	7.24	-22.81%	0.2240	✓	-0.01	1.4M	2022-02-16
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0533	0.051507	-3.36%	0.0335	-37.15%	0.4839	✓	1.38	1.4M	2022-02-16
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	3.41	3.2979	-3.29%	2.65	-22.29%	0.2611	✓	1.09	808k	2022-02-16
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.8095	0.783255	-3.24%	0.625	-22.79%	0.2656	✓	1.02	2.7M	2022-02-16
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	2.325	2.2502	-3.22%	1.952	-16.04%	0.1863	✓	1.13	2.0M	2022-02-16
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.6191	0.599724	-3.13%	0.4754	-23.21%	0.2863	✓	1.39	2.7M	2022-02-16
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	4.1906	4.0608	-3.10%	3.6017	-14.05%	0.1691	✓	1.26	4.1M	2022-02-16
SC	Siacoin	native	0.01352	0.013103	-3.09%	0.01078	-20.27%	0.2340	✓	1.00	654k	2022-02-16
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.9053	2.8158	-3.08%	3.2632	+12.32%	0.1072	✗	1.03	4.9M	2022-02-16
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	1.3415	1.3013	-3.00%	0.9791	-27.01%	0.3305	✓	1.18	30.5M	2022-02-16
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	1.02	0.989572	-2.98%	1.05	+2.94%	0.0156	✓	1.92	1.5M	2022-02-16
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	86.68	84.1833	-2.88%	95.39	+10.05%	0.0786	✗	1.19	100.4M	2022-02-16
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	1.1616	1.1284	-2.86%	0.8933	-23.10%	0.2722	✓	0.99	23.2M	2022-02-16
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.02786	0.027074	-2.82%	0.021773	-21.85%	0.2581	✓	1.03	5.7M	2022-02-16
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.35	1.3136	-2.70%	1.12	-17.04%	0.2245	✓	1.67	556k	2022-02-16
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	6.2731	6.1051	-2.68%	4.8292	-23.02%	0.2821	✓	1.22	457k	2022-02-16
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	137.7719	134.0913	-2.67%	95.5515	-30.65%	0.3831	✓	1.13	489k	2022-02-16
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	3.36	3.2717	-2.63%	1.86	-44.64%	0.6133	✓	1.25	2.9M	2022-02-16
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	0.9802	0.954855	-2.59%	1.6305	+66.34%	0.4936	✗	1.06	108k	2022-02-16
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	31,588.07	30,782.27	-2.55%	23,690.00	-25.00%	0.2883	✓	0.68	22.2M	2022-02-16
KCS	KuCoin	native	20.851	20.3261	-2.52%	20.855	+0.02%	0.0371	✓	1.61	10.7M	2022-02-16
BAND	Band	Ethereum	5.3	5.1689	-2.47%	4.87	-8.11%	0.1030	✓	1.11	2.1M	2022-02-16
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	1.0077	0.983751	-2.38%	0.6989	-30.64%	0.3967	✓	1.41	1.5M	2022-02-16
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1595	0.155718	-2.37%	0.1562	-2.07%	0.0463	✓	1.27	4.2M	2022-02-16
API3	Api3	Ethereum	4	3.9064	-2.34%	4.58	+14.50%	0.1232	✗	0.92	471k	2022-02-16
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	1.0163	0.993894	-2.20%	0.83537	-17.80%	0.2434	✓	1.79	896k	2022-02-16
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0824	0.080646	-2.13%	0.09	+9.22%	0.0553	✗	1.40	990k	2022-02-16
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01652	0.016171	-2.11%	0.01389	-15.92%	0.1808	✓	0.74	24k	2022-02-16
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.2267	1.2012	-2.08%	1.4263	+16.27%	0.1306	✗	1.06	2.7M	2022-02-16
ZEN	Horizen	Base	53.27	52.1691	-2.07%	40.62	-23.75%	0.3084	✓	1.49	642k	2022-02-16
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	138.84	135.989	-2.05%	125.58	-9.55%	0.1302	✓	1.30	10.6M	2022-02-16
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.727776	0.713808	-1.92%	0.677091	-6.96%	0.0976	✓	1.15	2.4M	2022-02-16
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	3.3409	3.2806	-1.80%	3.9514	+18.27%	0.1399	✗	1.18	2.3M	2022-02-16
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.312	0.306448	-1.78%	0.2693	-13.69%	0.1792	✓	1.28	2.1M	2022-02-16
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.6076	1.5799	-1.72%	2.2822	+41.96%	0.3343	✗	0.86	1.1M	2022-02-16
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.04011	0.039438	-1.68%	0.03216	-19.82%	0.2396	✓	0.91	8.4M	2022-02-16
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	4.98	4.9032	-1.54%	4.9	-1.61%	0.0472	✓	1.19	3.2M	2022-02-16
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	3.7699	3.7119	-1.54%	5.8668	+55.62%	0.4601	✗	-0.06	361k	2022-02-16
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.07748	0.076334	-1.48%	0.05759	-25.67%	0.3375	✓	1.43	2.4M	2022-02-16
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	4.188	4.1283	-1.43%	3.514	-16.09%	0.1920	✓	0.79	1.1M	2022-02-16
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	28.92	28.5157	-1.40%	24.03	-16.91%	0.2316	✓	1.55	1.0M	2022-02-16
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	8.13	8.0166	-1.40%	6.53	-19.68%	0.2429	✓	0.97	4.1M	2022-02-16
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.9968	6.9057	-1.30%	6.8827	-1.63%	0.0368	✓	0.86	4.1M	2022-02-16
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.735	2.7005	-1.26%	2.452	-10.35%	0.1319	✓	0.91	25k	2022-02-16
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.984	4.9213	-1.26%	4.803	-3.63%	0.0505	✓	0.67	469k	2022-02-16
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	44.38	43.8223	-1.26%	46.38	+4.51%	0.0133	✗	1.11	22.8M	2022-02-16
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.6916	0.683225	-1.21%	0.5683	-17.83%	0.2342	✓	1.28	3.5M	2022-02-16
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	15.03	14.8616	-1.12%	16.75	+11.44%	0.0930	✗	0.68	998k	2022-02-16
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.0145	0.014339	-1.11%	0.01344	-7.31%	0.1159	✓	1.31	2.2M	2022-02-16
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	226.66	224.2744	-1.05%	170.44	-24.80%	0.3209	✓	1.19	16.2M	2022-02-16
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.2569	0.254205	-1.05%	0.2202	-14.29%	0.1956	✓	1.33	3.9M	2022-02-16
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.391	1.3771	-1.00%	1.274	-8.41%	0.1313	✓	1.37	4.0M	2022-02-16
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	6.55	6.4846	-1.00%	5.47	-16.49%	0.1959	✓	0.66	564k	2022-02-16
XVG	Verge	native	0.01314	0.01301	-0.99%	0.01171	-10.88%	0.1537	✓	1.24	2.0M	2022-02-16
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	13.59	13.4601	-0.96%	11.78	-13.32%	0.1780	✓	1.15	2.9M	2022-02-16
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.054069	0.053568	-0.93%	0.056084	+3.73%	0.0012	✓	1.21	7.9M	2022-02-16
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.829	1.8121	-0.92%	1.688	-7.71%	0.1161	✓	1.16	2.0M	2022-02-16
DASH	Dash	Dash	135.73	134.5552	-0.87%	115.33	-15.03%	0.2008	✓	1.20	2.8M	2022-02-16
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1755	0.174034	-0.84%	0.1678	-4.39%	0.0721	✓	0.91	403k	2022-02-16
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	7.77	7.7052	-0.83%	6.52	-16.09%	0.1917	✓	0.63	720k	2022-02-16
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	7.96	7.8953	-0.81%	6.76	-15.08%	0.1851	✓	0.77	682k	2022-02-16
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.08878	0.088061	-0.81%	0.08117	-8.57%	0.1100	✓	0.73	45k	2022-02-16
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	19.46	19.3027	-0.81%	15.91	-18.24%	0.2345	✓	1.06	841k	2022-02-16
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.6027	1.5899	-0.80%	1.0833	-32.41%	0.4275	✓	1.12	97.1M	2022-02-16
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	29.62	29.4096	-0.71%	22.08	-25.46%	0.3417	✓	1.41	34.3M	2022-02-16
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0826	0.082071	-0.64%	0.0757	-8.35%	0.1236	✓	1.10	20k	2022-02-16
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.04979	0.049486	-0.61%	0.04466	-10.30%	0.1454	✓	1.10	21k	2022-02-16
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	23.8	23.6593	-0.59%	17.14	-27.98%	0.3691	✓	1.20	70.4M	2022-02-16
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	2.6	2.5847	-0.59%	2.13	-18.08%	0.2451	✓	1.32	3.1M	2022-02-16
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	3.798	3.7795	-0.49%	3.217	-15.30%	0.1888	✓	0.71	526k	2022-02-16
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.5478	0.546002	-0.33%	0.4872	-11.06%	0.1652	✓	1.31	12.2M	2022-02-16
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	27.95	27.8584	-0.33%	28.31	+1.29%	0.0117	✓	0.71	353k	2022-02-16
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	31	30.9048	-0.31%	32.25	+4.03%	0.0010	✓	1.07	2.9M	2022-02-16
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	76.55	76.3227	-0.30%	63.42	-17.15%	0.2274	✓	1.08	6.4M	2022-02-16
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	1.246	1.2439	-0.17%	0.983	-21.11%	0.2886	✓	1.36	2.4M	2022-02-16
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	3.07	3.0651	-0.16%	2.67	-13.03%	0.1766	✓	0.99	891k	2022-02-16
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		109.78	109.6112	-0.15%	94.6	-13.83%	0.1846	✓	0.96	1.9M	2022-02-16
XMR	Monero	Monero	214.7	214.4253	-0.13%	179.36	-16.46%	0.2172	✓	0.99	3.1M	2022-02-16
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.768	0.767266	-0.10%	0.539	-29.82%	0.4113	✓	1.49	8.0M	2022-02-16
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.256133	0.255903	-0.09%	0.21874	-14.60%	0.1973	✓	1.04	24.2M	2022-02-16
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	42,218.01	42,218.73	+0.00%	43,895.56	+3.97%	0.0000	✗	1.00	636.6M	2022-02-16
SOL	Solana	Solana	139.85	139.9055	+0.04%	101.94	-27.11%	0.3608	✗	1.13	152.8M	2022-02-16
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.35	0.350273	+0.08%	0.288	-17.71%	0.2257	✗	0.77	45k	2022-02-16
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	181.47	181.752	+0.16%	136.01	-25.05%	0.3356	✗	1.17	123k	2022-02-16
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	10.47	10.4868	+0.16%	10.78	+2.96%	0.0017	✗	0.75	808k	2022-02-16
XEM	NEM	native	0.1148	0.114985	+0.16%	0.1142	-0.52%	0.0481	✗	1.06	49k	2022-02-16
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	16.64	16.6679	+0.17%	11.22	-32.57%	0.4471	✗	1.32	12.2M	2022-02-16
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	3,210.98	3,217.91	+0.22%	3,124.45	-2.69%	0.0714	✗	1.08	478.4M	2022-02-16
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	1.016	1.0197	+0.36%	0.787	-22.54%	0.2970	✗	0.97	2.2M	2022-02-16
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	28.99	29.1435	+0.53%	23.08	-20.39%	0.2758	✗	1.09	15.1M	2022-02-16
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	4.0538	4.0778	+0.59%	4.0382	-0.38%	0.0633	✗	1.37	3.3M	2022-02-16
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	259.34	260.9416	+0.62%	166.77	-35.69%	0.4942	✗	1.19	1.4M	2022-02-16
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.170944	0.172005	+0.62%	0.148737	-12.99%	0.1882	✗	1.10	5.6M	2022-02-16
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	25.68	25.841	+0.63%	19.78	-22.98%	0.3201	✗	1.35	60.5M	2022-02-16
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00002883	0.000029077	+0.86%	0.00003095	+7.35%	0.0094	✓	1.36	1.8M	2022-02-16
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	159.74	161.1114	+0.86%	129.55	-18.90%	0.2546	✗	0.94	6.4M	2022-02-16
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	1.2289	1.2398	+0.89%	0.9602	-21.87%	0.3306	✗	1.92	1.3M	2022-02-16
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1906	0.192372	+0.93%	0.1747	-8.34%	0.1228	✗	0.68	536k	2022-02-16
XEC	eCash	native	0.00009954	0.000100633	+1.10%	0.00008539	-14.22%	0.2040	✗	1.02	6.5M	2022-02-16
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.1064	0.107677	+1.20%	0.0851	-20.02%	0.2792	✗	1.13	269k	2022-02-16
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.020723	0.020982	+1.25%	0.016969	-18.12%	0.2603	✗	1.23	2.7M	2022-02-16
NANO	nanopay	Base	3.0126	3.0524	+1.32%	2.2584	-25.04%	0.3459	✗	1.15	665k	2022-02-16
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	41,814.50	42,476.01	+1.58%	43,960.80	+5.13%	0.0041	✓	0.99	14k	2022-02-16
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	380.79	387.7755	+1.83%	334.55	-12.14%	0.1872	✗	1.02	6.6M	2022-02-16
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	151.19	153.9862	+1.85%	127.84	-15.44%	0.2390	✗	1.36	31.1M	2022-02-16
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	7.6879	7.8491	+2.10%	7.8678	+2.34%	0.0537	✗	1.44	263k	2022-02-16
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.10718	0.109656	+2.31%	0.09789	-8.67%	0.1579	✗	1.14	27k	2022-02-16
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	24.33	24.9924	+2.72%	17.65	-27.46%	0.4208	✗	1.87	3.9M	2022-02-16
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.070851	0.072831	+2.80%	0.066472	-6.18%	0.1286	✗	0.95	511k	2022-02-16
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	2.25	2.3383	+3.92%	1.81	-19.56%	0.2979	✗	1.07	2.7M	2022-02-16

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.