2022-01-11 · +30d

gru_s0 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 139 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.3110

139 of 139 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+34.00%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

84.9%

in alpha space · 83.3% on raw price

BTC over horizon

+1.81%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (139 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▴	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.086423	0.078535	-9.13%	0.035501	-58.92%	0.8119	✓	1.00	2.8M	2022-02-10
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	3.57	3.2478	-9.03%	2.07	-42.02%	0.4731	✓	1.26	9.3M	2022-02-10
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.6826	0.624724	-8.48%	0.5138	-24.73%	0.2271	✓	1.76	38.7M	2022-02-10
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	11.23	10.3211	-8.09%	8.52	-24.13%	0.1946	✓	0.16	2.8M	2022-02-10
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.01458	0.013405	-8.06%	0.00696	-52.26%	0.6978	✓	2.36	26.8M	2022-02-10
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.766	3.4876	-7.39%	2.821	-25.09%	0.2444	✓	1.80	1.2M	2022-02-10
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	4.61	4.2742	-7.29%	3.2	-30.59%	0.3142	✓	1.38	30.4M	2022-02-10
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	9.67	8.973	-7.21%	6.43	-33.51%	0.3453	✓	0.67	1.2M	2022-02-10
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.516	0.479408	-7.09%	0.408	-20.93%	0.1841	✓	1.27	2.1M	2022-02-10
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	89.66	83.8684	-6.46%	91.18	+1.70%	0.0639	✓	1.10	115.7M	2022-02-10
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.6261	0.586493	-6.33%	0.5753	-8.11%	0.0454	✓	1.45	736k	2022-02-10
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	8.01	7.5173	-6.15%	5.69	-28.96%	0.2945	✓	0.89	1.1M	2022-02-10
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.5799	0.545044	-6.01%	0.5118	-11.74%	0.0871	✓	1.35	2.7M	2022-02-10
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	38.71	36.3899	-5.99%	29.1	-24.83%	0.2400	✓	0.92	65.3M	2022-02-10
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	73.57	69.1953	-5.95%	52.32	-28.88%	0.2975	✓	1.00	7.4M	2022-02-10
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.9312	2.7578	-5.92%	3.1401	+7.13%	0.1119	✗	1.00	5.4M	2022-02-10
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.17303	0.162938	-5.83%	0.2098	+21.25%	0.2252	✗	1.54	5,360	2022-02-10
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		11.203	10.5626	-5.72%	8.495	-24.17%	0.2196	✓	0.10	56k	2022-02-10
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.077	0.072605	-5.71%	0.0744	-3.38%	0.0065	✓	1.00	30.6M	2022-02-10
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	3.61	3.4048	-5.68%	2.59	-28.25%	0.2980	✓	1.36	2.4M	2022-02-10
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	36.84	34.7831	-5.58%	33.86	-8.09%	0.0563	✓	1.64	2.8M	2022-02-10
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	2.311	2.183	-5.54%	1.987	-14.02%	0.1132	✓	1.07	1.9M	2022-02-10
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.9389	0.887078	-5.52%	0.6635	-29.33%	0.3071	✓	0.93	3.1M	2022-02-10
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0574	0.054252	-5.49%	0.035	-39.02%	0.4623	✓	1.34	1.5M	2022-02-10
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.2365	1.1688	-5.48%	1.2095	-2.18%	0.0159	✓	1.02	3.3M	2022-02-10
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	32,768.96	30,991.22	-5.43%	24,454.91	-25.37%	0.2485	✓	0.65	26.4M	2022-02-10
XVG	Verge	native	0.01386	0.013116	-5.37%	0.01219	-12.05%	0.0949	✓	1.21	2.1M	2022-02-10
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.029265	0.027713	-5.30%	0.023319	-20.32%	0.1911	✓	1.03	6.3M	2022-02-10
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	2.93	2.775	-5.29%	2.07	-29.35%	0.3146	✓	1.19	3.2M	2022-02-10
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	6.99	6.6221	-5.26%	4.41	-36.91%	0.4298	✓	1.29	18.2M	2022-02-10
HIVE	Hive	native	1.3102	1.2414	-5.25%	1.1096	-15.31%	0.1367	✓	1.36	4.5M	2022-02-10
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.3363	0.318657	-5.25%	0.3093	-8.03%	0.0556	✓	1.44	3.8M	2022-02-10
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	2.1025	1.9925	-5.23%	1.8836	-10.42%	0.0749	✓	1.04	83k	2022-02-10
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	165.565	157.03	-5.16%	94.3677	-43.00%	0.5270	✓	0.99	540k	2022-02-10
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.36	1.29	-5.15%	1.22	-10.29%	0.0853	✓	1.64	738k	2022-02-10
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	1.025	0.97282	-5.09%	0.7205	-29.71%	0.3252	✓	1.39	1.6M	2022-02-10
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	1.4467	1.3746	-4.98%	0.9822	-32.11%	0.3561	✓	1.11	32.1M	2022-02-10
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	10.19	9.7001	-4.81%	10.6	+4.02%	0.0753	✗	0.75	994k	2022-02-10
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.3228	0.307465	-4.75%	0.3045	-5.67%	0.0277	✓	1.00	397k	2022-02-10
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	0.8921	0.850088	-4.71%	1.3202	+47.99%	0.4255	✗	0.82	122k	2022-02-10
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.96	0.914972	-4.69%	1	+4.17%	0.0577	✗	1.73	1.6M	2022-02-10
ZEN	Horizen	Base	56.11	53.4941	-4.66%	45.02	-19.76%	0.1977	✓	1.41	736k	2022-02-10
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	3.1857	3.0377	-4.64%	3.654	+14.70%	0.1630	✗	1.21	2.5M	2022-02-10
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01644	0.015702	-4.49%	0.01369	-16.73%	0.1484	✓	0.63	27k	2022-02-10
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.3101	0.296324	-4.44%	0.2774	-10.54%	0.0886	✓	1.26	2.2M	2022-02-10
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	1.4915	1.4255	-4.42%	1.0404	-30.24%	0.3487	✓	1.88	1.4M	2022-02-10
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	1.141	1.0907	-4.41%	0.9488	-16.84%	0.1565	✓	0.95	23.2M	2022-02-10
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	5.328	5.0959	-4.36%	5.0692	-4.86%	0.0257	✓	1.14	446k	2022-02-10
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	4.1752	3.9939	-4.34%	4.1273	-1.15%	0.0089	✓	1.33	4.6M	2022-02-10
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0824	0.078829	-4.33%	0.1041	+26.33%	0.2532	✗	1.38	1.2M	2022-02-10
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	3.45	3.3038	-4.24%	2.76	-20.00%	0.1983	✓	1.03	715k	2022-02-10
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	1.0548	1.0107	-4.18%	0.88264	-16.32%	0.1666	✓	1.74	1.0M	2022-02-10
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.09134	0.087532	-4.17%	0.0828	-9.35%	0.0681	✓	0.70	52k	2022-02-10
SC	Siacoin	native	0.0135	0.012943	-4.12%	0.01138	-15.70%	0.1462	✓	0.97	756k	2022-02-10
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.1471	0.141063	-4.10%	0.1163	-20.94%	0.2154	✓	1.24	2.1M	2022-02-10
API3	Api3	Ethereum	3.54	3.3953	-4.09%	4.48	+26.55%	0.2650	✗	0.68	486k	2022-02-10
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.263177	0.252543	-4.04%	0.23172	-11.95%	0.1043	✓	1.01	24.9M	2022-02-10
BAND	Band	Ethereum	5.14	4.9329	-4.03%	3.9	-24.12%	0.2543	✓	1.08	2.2M	2022-02-10
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	9.73	9.3383	-4.03%	7.67	-21.17%	0.1959	✓	-0.05	1.6M	2022-02-10
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.5924	1.5291	-3.98%	1.2595	-20.91%	0.2095	✓	0.86	610k	2022-02-10
METRONOME	METRONOME		3.8424	3.6908	-3.95%	3.5386	-7.91%	0.0545	✓	0.69	3,116	2022-02-10
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	8.221	7.8966	-3.95%	6.466	-21.35%	0.2123	✓	0.69	221k	2022-02-10
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	39.78	38.2434	-3.86%	44.55	+11.99%	0.1338	✗	1.05	20.7M	2022-02-10
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		110.22	105.9723	-3.85%	98.35	-10.77%	0.0915	✓	0.94	2.6M	2022-02-10
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.5691	0.547322	-3.83%	0.4615	-18.91%	0.1922	✓	1.20	12.5M	2022-02-10
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.064925	0.062465	-3.79%	0.050395	-22.38%	0.2362	✓	1.20	7.3M	2022-02-10
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.814	4.6341	-3.74%	4.61	-4.24%	0.0167	✓	0.64	481k	2022-02-10
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.6511	0.626816	-3.73%	0.6038	-7.26%	0.0595	✓	1.23	4.4M	2022-02-10
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1605	0.154529	-3.72%	0.1482	-7.66%	0.0633	✓	1.20	4.2M	2022-02-10
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	4.1768	4.024	-3.66%	3.5527	-14.94%	0.1476	✓	1.28	4.2M	2022-02-10
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	6.78	6.5334	-3.64%	5.75	-15.19%	0.1394	✓	0.65	645k	2022-02-10
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	4.382	4.2248	-3.59%	3.584	-18.21%	0.1784	✓	0.78	1.1M	2022-02-10
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01475	0.014221	-3.59%	0.01337	-9.36%	0.0847	✓	1.28	2.2M	2022-02-10
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.04184	0.040351	-3.56%	0.03045	-27.22%	0.2974	✓	0.88	8.4M	2022-02-10
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.718632	0.693258	-3.53%	0.677039	-5.79%	0.0433	✓	1.09	2.6M	2022-02-10
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	8.65	8.3489	-3.48%	6.28	-27.40%	0.3020	✓	0.96	4.4M	2022-02-10
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	1.045	1.0087	-3.47%	0.845	-19.14%	0.1939	✓	0.94	2.2M	2022-02-10
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	14.78	14.2748	-3.42%	18.01	+21.85%	0.2206	✗	0.66	1.1M	2022-02-10
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.07076	0.068351	-3.40%	0.0397	-43.89%	0.5650	✓	1.21	16.9M	2022-02-10
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.1102	0.106489	-3.37%	0.0919	-16.61%	0.1672	✓	1.10	304k	2022-02-10
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.07976	0.077094	-3.34%	0.05799	-27.29%	0.3103	✓	1.43	2.6M	2022-02-10
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.747	0.722207	-3.32%	0.562	-24.77%	0.2761	✓	1.41	7.7M	2022-02-10
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.04765	0.046087	-3.28%	0.04451	-6.59%	0.0541	✓	1.07	17k	2022-02-10
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	260.77	252.2435	-3.27%	179.15	-31.30%	0.3626	✓	1.14	1.3M	2022-02-10
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	188.96	182.7855	-3.27%	132.68	-29.78%	0.3407	✓	1.13	161k	2022-02-10
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	8	7.7393	-3.26%	6.86	-14.25%	0.1317	✓	0.62	714k	2022-02-10
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.2641	0.255548	-3.24%	0.2242	-15.11%	0.1543	✓	1.30	4.6M	2022-02-10
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	20.39	19.7336	-3.22%	16.26	-20.26%	0.2067	✓	0.73	1.0M	2022-02-10
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	7.094	6.8662	-3.21%	7.756	+9.33%	0.0995	✗	1.25	271k	2022-02-10
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	8.1	7.8451	-3.15%	6.84	-15.56%	0.1504	✓	0.74	741k	2022-02-10
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	15.98	15.4818	-3.12%	11.41	-28.60%	0.3280	✓	1.27	13.1M	2022-02-10
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	34.45	33.4343	-2.95%	21.59	-37.33%	0.4620	✓	1.37	29.9M	2022-02-10
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	7.521	7.3058	-2.86%	7.1425	-5.03%	0.0470	✓	1.36	273k	2022-02-10
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.398	1.3582	-2.85%	1.323	-5.36%	0.0503	✓	1.34	5.2M	2022-02-10
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.361	0.350749	-2.84%	0.281	-22.16%	0.2347	✓	0.72	39k	2022-02-10
XEC	eCash	native	0.00009356	0.000090923	-2.82%	0.0000925	-1.13%	0.0006	✓	0.99	6.7M	2022-02-10
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	13.71	13.3327	-2.75%	9.7	-29.25%	0.3384	✓	1.13	3.3M	2022-02-10
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	213.29	207.4757	-2.73%	175.4	-17.76%	0.1882	✓	1.13	17.6M	2022-02-10
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	3.2	3.1139	-2.69%	2.7	-15.62%	0.1599	✓	0.96	977k	2022-02-10
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	2.15	2.0925	-2.68%	1.8	-16.28%	0.1692	✓	1.04	3.3M	2022-02-10
KCS	KuCoin	native	19.378	18.8621	-2.66%	20.473	+5.65%	0.0533	✗	1.59	13.0M	2022-02-10
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.765	2.6915	-2.66%	2.505	-9.40%	0.0878	✓	0.89	29k	2022-02-10
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.3709	1.3345	-2.66%	1.874	+36.70%	0.3241	✗	0.86	922k	2022-02-10
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1778	0.173096	-2.65%	0.1649	-7.26%	0.0646	✓	0.89	463k	2022-02-10
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	3.818	3.7177	-2.63%	3.241	-15.11%	0.1497	✓	0.70	526k	2022-02-10
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.1879	1.157	-2.60%	1.1515	-3.06%	0.0241	✓	1.08	95.6M	2022-02-10
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	26.75	26.0703	-2.54%	18.94	-29.20%	0.3524	✓	1.83	5.0M	2022-02-10
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	72.75	70.9076	-2.53%	63.35	-12.92%	0.1315	✓	1.05	6.4M	2022-02-10
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	25.55	24.9076	-2.51%	20.51	-19.73%	0.2174	✓	1.29	70.4M	2022-02-10
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	5.08	4.9598	-2.37%	5.23	+2.95%	0.0326	✗	1.14	3.3M	2022-02-10
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	169.57	165.6624	-2.30%	140.08	-17.39%	0.1844	✓	0.93	7.5M	2022-02-10
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	141.38	138.1569	-2.28%	124.85	-11.69%	0.1237	✓	1.25	10.9M	2022-02-10
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	1.273	1.2441	-2.27%	1.029	-19.17%	0.2137	✓	1.33	2.9M	2022-02-10
DASH	Dash	Dash	141.85	138.6725	-2.24%	111.66	-21.28%	0.2380	✓	1.19	2.2M	2022-02-10
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.018697	0.018285	-2.20%	0.017169	-8.17%	0.0850	✓	1.23	2.5M	2022-02-10
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	28.42	27.794	-2.20%	28.06	-1.27%	0.0025	✓	0.67	363k	2022-02-10
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	29.43	28.7886	-2.18%	23.69	-19.50%	0.2211	✓	1.46	1.0M	2022-02-10
XMR	Monero	Monero	193.01	188.8174	-2.17%	179.36	-7.07%	0.0687	✓	0.97	3.0M	2022-02-10
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	28.89	28.2744	-2.13%	23.14	-19.90%	0.2191	✓	1.04	18.5M	2022-02-10
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.076	0.074474	-2.01%	0.076	+0.00%	0.0015	✓	1.05	19k	2022-02-10
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	29.69	29.1471	-1.83%	34.39	+15.83%	0.1473	✗	1.01	3.2M	2022-02-10
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	2.8	2.7498	-1.79%	2.16	-22.86%	0.2649	✓	1.30	3.2M	2022-02-10
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	3,240.83	3,182.96	-1.79%	3,074.85	-5.12%	0.0532	✓	1.04	591.9M	2022-02-10
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	42,753.44	42,041.56	-1.67%	43,527.71	+1.81%	0.0168	✗	1.00	754.4M	2022-02-10
XEM	NEM	native	0.1145	0.11262	-1.64%	0.1139	-0.52%	0.0068	✓	1.01	67k	2022-02-10
SOL	Solana	Solana	140.27	137.97	-1.64%	106.25	-24.25%	0.2795	✓	1.02	194.0M	2022-02-10
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00002762	0.000027187	-1.57%	0.00003081	+11.55%	0.1028	✗	1.24	1.7M	2022-02-10
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	26.6	26.1893	-1.54%	17.51	-34.17%	0.4227	✓	1.12	70.9M	2022-02-10
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	369.84	364.6461	-1.40%	341.1	-7.77%	0.0846	✓	0.99	8.5M	2022-02-10
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.153722	0.151666	-1.34%	0.151631	-1.36%	0.0199	✓	1.10	5.1M	2022-02-10
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.4129	6.3342	-1.23%	6.9043	+7.66%	0.0720	✗	0.79	3.7M	2022-02-10
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	42,770.20	42,245.65	-1.23%	43,566.60	+1.86%	0.0132	✗	0.98	14k	2022-02-10
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	3.7323	3.6885	-1.17%	6.1336	+64.34%	0.5100	✗	-0.08	371k	2022-02-10
XYM	Symbol	native	0.2062	0.203871	-1.13%	0.1806	-12.42%	0.1336	✓	0.69	428k	2022-02-10
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.10496	0.103999	-0.92%	0.10255	-2.30%	0.0340	✓	1.11	23k	2022-02-10
NANO	nanopay	Base	3.0312	3.0086	-0.75%	2.3689	-21.85%	0.2585	✓	1.08	699k	2022-02-10
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	131.67	130.7774	-0.68%	134.59	+2.22%	0.0049	✓	1.33	35.0M	2022-02-10
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.064934	0.06482	-0.18%	0.068608	+5.66%	0.0400	✗	0.93	552k	2022-02-10
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.86	1.858	-0.11%	1.719	-7.58%	0.0982	✓	1.14	2.3M	2022-02-10

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.