2022-01-10 · +30d

gru_s0 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 139 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.2927

139 of 139 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+34.87%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

77.7%

in alpha space · 64.0% on raw price

BTC over horizon

+6.20%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (139 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.063485	0.063289	-0.31%	0.069943	+10.17%	0.0439	✗	0.93	552k	2022-02-09
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.785	1.7792	-0.32%	1.832	+2.63%	0.0389	✓	1.13	2.3M	2022-02-09
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	126.52	125.4887	-0.82%	140.21	+10.82%	0.0312	✗	1.33	35.1M	2022-02-09
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1815	0.179776	-0.95%	0.1868	+2.92%	0.0010	✓	0.65	410k	2022-02-09
NANO	nanopay	Base	2.8841	2.8543	-1.03%	2.4	-16.79%	0.2379	✓	1.07	665k	2022-02-09
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.09834	0.097264	-1.09%	0.10785	+9.67%	0.0371	✗	1.10	23k	2022-02-09
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	41,624.60	41,084.78	-1.30%	44,492.60	+6.89%	0.0209	✗	0.98	12k	2022-02-09
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.143133	0.141103	-1.42%	0.159048	+11.12%	0.0548	✗	1.08	4.8M	2022-02-09
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.1496	6.0605	-1.45%	7.0423	+14.52%	0.1029	✗	0.79	3.7M	2022-02-09
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	3.7419	3.6872	-1.46%	6.8052	+81.86%	0.6177	✗	-0.08	364k	2022-02-09
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	363.56	357.9172	-1.55%	346.21	-4.77%	0.0931	✓	1.00	8.5M	2022-02-09
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	3,083.51	3,033.74	-1.61%	3,246.22	+5.28%	0.0057	✓	1.03	591.9M	2022-02-09
SOL	Solana	Solana	135.89	133.5701	-1.71%	114.04	-16.08%	0.2192	✓	1.02	194.0M	2022-02-09
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	41,824.07	41,099.70	-1.73%	44,416.35	+6.20%	0.0175	✓	1.00	750.1M	2022-02-09
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.0000267	0.000026224	-1.78%	0.00003298	+23.52%	0.1549	✗	1.24	1.7M	2022-02-09
XEM	NEM	native	0.1116	0.10956	-1.83%	0.1212	+8.60%	0.0403	✗	1.01	67k	2022-02-09
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	2.73	2.68	-1.83%	2.28	-16.48%	0.2402	✓	1.31	3.2M	2022-02-09
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	28.48	27.9522	-1.85%	33.84	+18.82%	0.1311	✗	1.00	3.2M	2022-02-09
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0707	0.069315	-1.96%	0.0794	+12.31%	0.0739	✗	1.03	19k	2022-02-09
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	25.38	24.8737	-1.99%	21.27	-16.19%	0.2664	✓	1.83	5.4M	2022-02-09
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	28.14	27.5517	-2.09%	24.32	-13.57%	0.1872	✓	1.04	18.5M	2022-02-09
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.018158	0.01775	-2.24%	0.017007	-6.34%	0.1167	✓	1.23	2.5M	2022-02-09
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	28.01	27.3788	-2.25%	25.8	-7.89%	0.1468	✓	1.45	1.0M	2022-02-09
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	27.98	27.3463	-2.27%	18.7	-33.17%	0.4493	✓	1.15	69.7M	2022-02-09
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	1.188	1.1607	-2.30%	1.086	-8.59%	0.1457	✓	1.32	2.9M	2022-02-09
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	27.36	26.7229	-2.33%	28.48	+4.09%	0.0238	✗	0.66	370k	2022-02-09
XMR	Monero	Monero	182.5	178.1079	-2.41%	185.83	+1.82%	0.0150	✓	0.96	2.9M	2022-02-09
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	68.4	66.72	-2.46%	67.62	-1.14%	0.0487	✓	1.03	6.4M	2022-02-09
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	141.24	137.7523	-2.47%	126.05	-10.75%	0.1645	✓	1.26	10.9M	2022-02-09
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	166.33	162.1204	-2.53%	150.18	-9.71%	0.1323	✓	0.93	7.6M	2022-02-09
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	23.72	23.111	-2.57%	21.97	-7.38%	0.1271	✓	1.27	70.4M	2022-02-09
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	4.88	4.7543	-2.58%	5.84	+19.67%	0.1375	✗	1.13	3.3M	2022-02-09
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.1235	1.0944	-2.59%	1.1947	+6.34%	0.0237	✓	1.07	95.6M	2022-02-09
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.704	2.6307	-2.71%	3.083	+14.02%	0.0649	✗	1.56	1.2M	2022-02-09
DASH	Dash	Dash	148.17	144.1533	-2.71%	114.95	-22.42%	0.2995	✓	1.22	2.1M	2022-02-09
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.717	2.6431	-2.72%	2.609	-3.97%	0.0668	✓	0.89	31k	2022-02-09
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	3.579	3.4812	-2.73%	3.347	-6.48%	0.0800	✓	0.68	514k	2022-02-09
KCS	KuCoin	native	19.007	18.4727	-2.81%	20.705	+8.93%	0.0176	✓	1.60	13.0M	2022-02-09
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	13.18	12.8066	-2.83%	10.06	-23.67%	0.3091	✓	1.13	3.4M	2022-02-09
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	3.13	3.0413	-2.83%	2.83	-9.58%	0.1299	✓	0.96	977k	2022-02-09
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.3749	1.3355	-2.87%	1.9679	+43.13%	0.3355	✗	0.87	922k	2022-02-09
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1739	0.168906	-2.87%	0.1678	-3.51%	0.0603	✓	0.89	479k	2022-02-09
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.327	1.2888	-2.88%	1.43	+7.76%	0.0238	✓	1.33	5.2M	2022-02-09
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	2.07	2.0102	-2.89%	1.93	-6.76%	0.1029	✓	1.03	3.4M	2022-02-09
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	6.4	6.2143	-2.90%	8.263	+29.11%	0.2116	✗	1.22	271k	2022-02-09
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	7.2356	7.024	-2.92%	7.2042	-0.43%	0.0563	✓	1.36	268k	2022-02-09
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	199.9	194.0367	-2.93%	188.2	-5.85%	0.0975	✓	1.11	17.6M	2022-02-09
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.343	0.332788	-2.98%	0.288	-16.03%	0.1873	✓	0.71	38k	2022-02-09
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.8683	3.7497	-3.07%	3.8968	+0.74%	0.0374	✓	1.26	4.2M	2022-02-09
XEC	eCash	native	0.00009039	0.000087609	-3.08%	0.00009721	+7.55%	0.0447	✗	0.99	6.7M	2022-02-09
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	7.61	7.3697	-3.16%	7.18	-5.65%	0.0697	✓	0.72	705k	2022-02-09
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.513	4.3674	-3.23%	4.801	+6.38%	0.0574	✗	0.62	474k	2022-02-09
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	15.11	14.621	-3.24%	12.33	-18.40%	0.2465	✓	1.26	13.1M	2022-02-09
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	34.29	33.1708	-3.26%	23.1	-32.63%	0.4451	✓	1.38	28.0M	2022-02-09
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	182.25	176.2917	-3.27%	144.23	-20.86%	0.2686	✓	1.13	180k	2022-02-09
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	242.17	234.1303	-3.32%	192.22	-20.63%	0.2647	✓	1.12	1.3M	2022-02-09
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	7.57	7.312	-3.41%	7.14	-5.68%	0.0599	✓	0.60	714k	2022-02-09
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.108	0.104296	-3.43%	0.0943	-12.69%	0.1672	✓	1.11	296k	2022-02-09
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.704	0.679734	-3.45%	0.591	-16.05%	0.2239	✓	1.40	7.7M	2022-02-09
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.0467	0.045083	-3.46%	0.0468	+0.21%	0.0271	✓	1.07	17k	2022-02-09
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	20.09	19.3901	-3.48%	16.51	-17.82%	0.2046	✓	0.73	1.1M	2022-02-09
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.251	0.2422	-3.51%	0.2412	-3.90%	0.0821	✓	1.30	4.6M	2022-02-09
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	14.26	13.7544	-3.55%	18.16	+27.35%	0.2387	✗	0.65	1.1M	2022-02-09
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	1.031	0.993868	-3.60%	0.827	-19.79%	0.2402	✓	0.94	2.2M	2022-02-09
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	8.37	8.0653	-3.64%	6.66	-20.43%	0.2491	✓	0.96	4.4M	2022-02-09
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.06891	0.066392	-3.65%	0.041	-40.50%	0.5548	✓	1.21	16.9M	2022-02-09
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	2.8409	2.7367	-3.67%	3.885	+36.75%	0.2806	✗	1.16	2.5M	2022-02-09
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	6.41	6.1735	-3.69%	6	-6.40%	0.0665	✓	0.63	645k	2022-02-09
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	7.507	7.23	-3.69%	6.897	-8.13%	0.0873	✓	0.67	231k	2022-02-09
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	9.5	9.146	-3.73%	7.48	-21.26%	0.1974	✓	-0.06	1.8M	2022-02-09
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.04207	0.040499	-3.73%	0.0312	-25.84%	0.3146	✓	0.89	8.2M	2022-02-09
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.07934	0.076375	-3.74%	0.05941	-25.12%	0.3375	✓	1.44	2.5M	2022-02-09
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.689086	0.662752	-3.82%	0.706728	+2.56%	0.0012	✓	1.09	2.6M	2022-02-09
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	4.203	4.0417	-3.84%	3.796	-9.68%	0.1090	✓	0.77	1.1M	2022-02-09
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01401	0.013471	-3.85%	0.01509	+7.71%	0.0370	✓	1.27	2.2M	2022-02-09
METRONOME	METRONOME		3.7258	3.5807	-3.89%	3.8694	+3.85%	0.0363	✓	0.69	3,355	2022-02-09
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1582	0.152025	-3.90%	0.1429	-9.67%	0.1341	✓	1.20	4.2M	2022-02-09
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.1409	0.135364	-3.93%	0.1237	-12.21%	0.1643	✓	1.23	2.1M	2022-02-09
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.6318	0.606684	-3.98%	0.6233	-1.35%	0.0469	✓	1.23	4.4M	2022-02-09
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		105.99	101.7022	-4.05%	101.5	-4.24%	0.0579	✓	0.93	2.6M	2022-02-09
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	38.11	36.5656	-4.05%	47.97	+25.87%	0.2088	✗	1.04	20.0M	2022-02-09
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.5425	0.520471	-4.06%	0.4877	-10.10%	0.1370	✓	1.20	12.5M	2022-02-09
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.5156	1.454	-4.06%	1.3519	-10.80%	0.1242	✓	0.85	647k	2022-02-09
SC	Siacoin	native	0.01297	0.012439	-4.10%	0.01205	-7.09%	0.0899	✓	0.97	756k	2022-02-09
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.08602	0.082462	-4.14%	0.08573	-0.34%	0.0023	✓	0.68	52k	2022-02-09
API3	Api3	Ethereum	3.57	3.422	-4.15%	4.04	+13.17%	0.1241	✗	0.70	493k	2022-02-09
BAND	Band	Ethereum	5.04	4.8306	-4.16%	4.17	-17.26%	0.2118	✓	1.08	2.2M	2022-02-09
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.99938	0.95764	-4.18%	0.94117	-5.82%	0.1218	✓	1.74	1.0M	2022-02-09
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.253061	0.242428	-4.20%	0.238854	-5.61%	0.0755	✓	1.01	24.0M	2022-02-09
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	4.0324	3.8526	-4.46%	4.4429	+10.18%	0.0625	✗	1.33	4.6M	2022-02-09
ZEN	Horizen	Base	53.33	50.9392	-4.48%	47.83	-10.31%	0.1473	✓	1.40	736k	2022-02-09
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	1.468	1.4018	-4.51%	1.0976	-25.23%	0.3587	✓	1.90	1.4M	2022-02-09
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	5.1021	4.8706	-4.54%	5.3633	+5.12%	0.0282	✓	1.13	446k	2022-02-09
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	3.2	3.0541	-4.56%	2.94	-8.12%	0.0989	✓	1.01	715k	2022-02-09
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0794	0.075777	-4.56%	0.0867	+9.19%	0.0516	✗	1.38	1.2M	2022-02-09
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.0154	0.014696	-4.57%	0.01324	-14.03%	0.1410	✓	0.61	29k	2022-02-09
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.9491	0.905216	-4.62%	0.8202	-13.58%	0.1551	✓	0.94	3.2M	2022-02-09
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.299	0.285148	-4.63%	0.2963	-0.90%	0.0373	✓	1.26	2.3M	2022-02-09
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	1.1115	1.06	-4.64%	1.0216	-8.09%	0.0942	✓	0.95	22.7M	2022-02-09
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	0.8077	0.770113	-4.65%	1.3852	+71.50%	0.5269	✗	1.00	129k	2022-02-09
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.94	0.894874	-4.80%	1.09	+15.96%	0.0922	✗	1.75	1.6M	2022-02-09
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	9.84	9.3627	-4.85%	10.91	+10.87%	0.1086	✗	0.74	994k	2022-02-09
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.3128	0.297452	-4.91%	0.3185	+1.82%	0.0083	✓	1.00	397k	2022-02-09
HIVE	Hive	native	1.2679	1.2036	-5.07%	1.1728	-7.50%	0.1082	✓	1.37	4.5M	2022-02-09
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.34	1.2713	-5.13%	1.43	+6.72%	0.0184	✓	1.65	764k	2022-02-09
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	2.0021	1.8977	-5.21%	1.9982	-0.20%	0.0104	✓	1.03	83k	2022-02-09
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	1.3624	1.2904	-5.29%	1.0371	-23.88%	0.2845	✓	1.10	32.1M	2022-02-09
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0772	0.073106	-5.30%	0.086	+11.40%	0.1023	✗	1.00	33.0M	2022-02-09
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	1.0287	0.97411	-5.31%	0.7609	-26.03%	0.3314	✓	1.40	1.5M	2022-02-09
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	155.6792	147.3695	-5.34%	107.0699	-31.22%	0.3781	✓	0.97	515k	2022-02-09
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0556	0.052604	-5.39%	0.0337	-39.39%	0.5256	✓	1.34	1.5M	2022-02-09
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.1319	1.0709	-5.39%	1.2907	+14.03%	0.1265	✗	1.00	3.3M	2022-02-09
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.027645	0.026155	-5.39%	0.024233	-12.34%	0.1377	✓	1.02	6.3M	2022-02-09
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	6.56	6.2056	-5.40%	4.76	-27.44%	0.3423	✓	1.28	18.2M	2022-02-09
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.3129	0.295967	-5.41%	0.3218	+2.84%	0.0020	✓	1.42	4.1M	2022-02-09
XVG	Verge	native	0.01312	0.012401	-5.48%	0.01253	-4.50%	0.0618	✓	1.20	2.1M	2022-02-09
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	3.79	3.5807	-5.52%	2.81	-25.86%	0.3288	✓	1.44	2.4M	2022-02-09
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	3.13	2.9551	-5.59%	2.21	-29.39%	0.3674	✓	1.28	3.2M	2022-02-09
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.17081	0.161222	-5.61%	0.23058	+34.99%	0.2648	✗	1.55	4,992	2022-02-09
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	2.167	2.0431	-5.72%	2.16	-0.32%	0.0080	✓	1.06	1.9M	2022-02-09
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.55	0.518453	-5.74%	0.5406	-1.71%	0.0388	✓	1.34	2.7M	2022-02-09
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	32,010.24	30,144.86	-5.83%	26,293.98	-17.86%	0.1756	✓	0.65	26.4M	2022-02-09
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		10.645	10.0202	-5.87%	9.329	-12.36%	0.0765	✓	0.08	56k	2022-02-09
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.818	2.6516	-5.91%	3.3415	+18.58%	0.1713	✗	1.00	5.5M	2022-02-09
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	33.37	31.3465	-6.06%	33.92	+1.65%	0.0186	✓	1.62	2.8M	2022-02-09
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	7.85	7.357	-6.28%	6.08	-22.55%	0.2443	✓	0.89	1.1M	2022-02-09
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	37.83	35.4125	-6.39%	30.94	-18.21%	0.1901	✓	0.92	57.0M	2022-02-09
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	84.46	78.9888	-6.48%	90.18	+6.77%	0.0669	✓	1.09	115.7M	2022-02-09
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	69.46	64.9189	-6.54%	57.56	-17.13%	0.1804	✓	1.00	7.2M	2022-02-09
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.081082	0.075766	-6.56%	0.05819	-28.23%	0.3413	✓	1.29	7.3M	2022-02-09
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.497	0.460961	-7.25%	0.406	-18.31%	0.2031	✓	1.27	2.1M	2022-02-09
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.6249	0.57943	-7.28%	0.6017	-3.71%	0.0507	✓	1.47	650k	2022-02-09
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.01395	0.012923	-7.36%	0.00744	-46.67%	0.6949	✓	2.37	26.8M	2022-02-09
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	8.92	8.2617	-7.38%	7.06	-20.85%	0.1963	✓	0.65	1.2M	2022-02-09
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.6017	0.55594	-7.61%	0.5665	-5.85%	0.0857	✓	1.74	38.7M	2022-02-09
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	4.32	3.9898	-7.64%	3.5	-18.98%	0.2134	✓	1.37	30.4M	2022-02-09
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	10.7	9.8299	-8.13%	9.31	-12.99%	0.0630	✓	0.14	2.8M	2022-02-09
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	3.48	3.1636	-9.09%	2.28	-34.48%	0.4023	✓	1.24	9.3M	2022-02-09
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.08637	0.077937	-9.76%	0.03747	-56.62%	0.7925	✓	1.00	3.0M	2022-02-09

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.