2022-01-03 · +30d

gru_s0 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 138 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.3519

138 of 138 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+31.46%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

83.3%

in alpha space · 96.4% on raw price

BTC over horizon

-20.53%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (138 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▴	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	3.89	3.4545	-11.20%	1.9	-51.16%	0.2938	✓	1.32	11.2M	2022-02-02
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	1.5062	1.3398	-11.05%	0.37	-75.43%	1.0885	✓	0.86	4.5M	2022-02-02
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	4.17	3.8166	-8.47%	2.18	-47.72%	0.3303	✓	1.00	3.4M	2022-02-02
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.02216	0.020299	-8.40%	0.00607	-72.61%	0.9775	✓	1.00	29.0M	2022-02-02
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	12.81	11.7716	-8.11%	5.77	-54.96%	0.5761	✓	0.60	1.3M	2022-02-02
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.64	0.588732	-8.01%	0.316	-50.63%	0.3373	✓	1.24	2.2M	2022-02-02
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.6942	0.640694	-7.71%	0.4277	-38.39%	0.1012	✓	1.32	2.9M	2022-02-02
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.19941	0.184093	-7.68%	0.19118	-4.13%	0.3927	✗	1.55	6,519	2022-02-02
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.64	0.591037	-7.65%	0.5361	-16.23%	0.2221	✗	1.39	650k	2022-02-02
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	13.72	12.6982	-7.45%	7.54	-45.04%	0.5124	✓	0.04	3.7M	2022-02-02
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	3.2506	3.0166	-7.20%	2.537	-21.95%	0.0432	✓	0.94	5.9M	2022-02-02
HIVE	Hive	native	1.6303	1.5193	-6.81%	0.9455	-42.00%	0.1625	✓	1.36	5.5M	2022-02-02
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	41.84	39.0634	-6.64%	26.55	-36.54%	0.0085	✓	1.64	2.8M	2022-02-02
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0731	0.0684	-6.43%	0.034	-53.49%	0.3778	✓	1.40	1.7M	2022-02-02
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	6.53	6.1109	-6.42%	3.11	-52.37%	0.3709	✓	1.33	29.3M	2022-02-02
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	2.0456	1.9192	-6.18%	0.8664	-57.65%	0.3692	✓	1.85	1.5M	2022-02-02
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	39.23	36.8119	-6.16%	18.01	-54.09%	0.3018	✓	1.80	5.7M	2022-02-02
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.8413	0.789628	-6.14%	0.4666	-44.54%	0.1377	✓	1.69	31.9M	2022-02-02
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.374	0.351253	-6.08%	0.278	-25.67%	0.0054	✓	0.99	293k	2022-02-02
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	108.09	101.5421	-6.06%	67.87	-37.21%	0.1608	✓	1.05	119.6M	2022-02-02
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.5394	1.4477	-5.95%	1.0423	-32.29%	0.1100	✓	0.95	3.7M	2022-02-02
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	11.29	10.628	-5.86%	5.22	-53.76%	0.5173	✓	0.84	1.2M	2022-02-02
XVG	Verge	native	0.01731	0.016324	-5.70%	0.00978	-43.50%	0.2390	✓	1.19	2.2M	2022-02-02
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	2.3545	2.2234	-5.56%	1.6005	-32.02%	0.0893	✓	1.04	100k	2022-02-02
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.467	3.2791	-5.42%	2.582	-25.53%	0.1277	✗	1.60	1.9M	2022-02-02
ZEN	Horizen	Base	63.44	60.0543	-5.34%	38.13	-39.90%	0.1291	✓	1.42	837k	2022-02-02
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	2.796	2.6481	-5.29%	1.696	-39.34%	0.2143	✓	1.01	1.9M	2022-02-02
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	191.896	181.7603	-5.28%	73.5972	-61.65%	0.6711	✓	1.01	574k	2022-02-02
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		13.612	12.8965	-5.26%	7.564	-44.43%	0.5373	✓	-0.02	98k	2022-02-02
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	11.56	10.964	-5.16%	6.53	-43.51%	0.5541	✓	-0.16	2.3M	2022-02-02
SC	Siacoin	native	0.01573	0.014925	-5.12%	0.00983	-37.51%	0.2003	✓	0.95	817k	2022-02-02
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.033837	0.032115	-5.09%	0.020246	-40.17%	0.2255	✓	1.03	7.8M	2022-02-02
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.72	1.6332	-5.04%	1.36	-20.93%	0.2043	✗	1.69	1.0M	2022-02-02
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	1.0025	0.952509	-4.99%	0.8666	-13.56%	0.1352	✗	1.00	146k	2022-02-02
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.3888	0.369412	-4.99%	0.2783	-28.42%	0.0427	✓	1.42	3.4M	2022-02-02
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.11092	0.105504	-4.88%	0.07379	-33.47%	0.2090	✓	0.65	55k	2022-02-02
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	1.14	1.0845	-4.87%	0.64	-43.86%	0.2976	✓	1.00	1.9M	2022-02-02
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	39.29	37.3801	-4.86%	26.33	-32.99%	0.1423	✓	0.91	43.4M	2022-02-02
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	1.3019	1.2388	-4.85%	0.81012	-37.77%	0.0295	✓	1.72	1.3M	2022-02-02
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	4.57	4.3498	-4.82%	3.03	-33.70%	0.1318	✓	1.00	2.5M	2022-02-02
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	1.7949	1.7085	-4.82%	0.9235	-48.55%	0.3693	✓	1.07	30.0M	2022-02-02
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.05248	0.05004	-4.65%	0.02927	-44.23%	0.3351	✓	0.88	8.2M	2022-02-02
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	1.2437	1.1863	-4.62%	0.6281	-49.50%	0.3144	✓	1.40	1.9M	2022-02-02
BAND	Band	Ethereum	5.56	5.3134	-4.44%	3.37	-39.39%	0.1908	✓	1.15	2.1M	2022-02-02
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	9.27	8.8629	-4.39%	5.49	-40.78%	0.2224	✓	1.12	3.9M	2022-02-02
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.0636	0.060816	-4.38%	0.035872	-43.60%	0.2181	✓	1.35	7.5M	2022-02-02
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.8521	1.7713	-4.36%	1.1125	-39.93%	0.2795	✓	0.81	689k	2022-02-02
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	88.92	85.0507	-4.35%	47.6	-46.47%	0.3507	✓	1.00	5.3M	2022-02-02
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	38,753.93	37,086.71	-4.30%	23,029.36	-40.58%	0.3350	✓	0.62	15.7M	2022-02-02
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	3.57	3.4178	-4.26%	2.46	-31.09%	0.0869	✓	1.05	626k	2022-02-02
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.02023	0.019368	-4.26%	0.0126	-37.72%	0.2982	✓	0.57	36k	2022-02-02
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.1352	0.129466	-4.24%	0.0794	-41.27%	0.2425	✓	1.07	310k	2022-02-02
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.94026	0.901264	-4.15%	0.5718	-39.19%	0.2092	✓	1.07	2.8M	2022-02-02
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	3.381	3.2412	-4.13%	2.235	-33.90%	0.1789	✓	0.84	41k	2022-02-02
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.197	0.188858	-4.13%	0.11	-44.16%	0.2683	✓	1.19	2.4M	2022-02-02
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.6582	0.631022	-4.13%	0.4048	-38.50%	0.1705	✓	1.19	11.4M	2022-02-02
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.1235	0.118405	-4.13%	0.0786	-36.36%	0.1800	✓	1.00	35.9M	2022-02-02
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	1.3842	1.3283	-4.04%	0.8404	-39.29%	0.2484	✓	0.91	21.2M	2022-02-02
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	40.22	38.625	-3.97%	42.9	+6.66%	0.3360	✗	1.01	19.4M	2022-02-02
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	9.436	9.0634	-3.95%	5.754	-39.02%	0.3062	✓	0.64	302k	2022-02-02
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	4.8156	4.6255	-3.95%	3.7524	-22.08%	0.0933	✗	1.32	4.9M	2022-02-02
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.3721	0.357712	-3.87%	0.2314	-37.81%	0.1431	✓	1.27	3.4M	2022-02-02
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.290288	0.279084	-3.86%	0.193151	-33.46%	0.1364	✓	1.01	24.9M	2022-02-02
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.904	0.869286	-3.84%	0.465	-48.56%	0.2966	✓	1.43	8.1M	2022-02-02
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	6.1828	5.9487	-3.79%	4.6307	-25.10%	0.0111	✓	1.14	577k	2022-02-02
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.7048	0.67858	-3.72%	0.5398	-23.41%	0.0570	✗	1.24	5.3M	2022-02-02
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.1004	0.096686	-3.70%	0.0599	-40.34%	0.1633	✓	1.37	1.6M	2022-02-02
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.2052	0.197629	-3.69%	0.1092	-46.78%	0.3166	✓	1.20	4.8M	2022-02-02
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	3.1177	3.0035	-3.66%	3.0352	-2.65%	0.2859	✗	1.20	3.1M	2022-02-02
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	289.65	279.1001	-3.64%	162.31	-43.96%	0.2925	✓	1.09	1.3M	2022-02-02
API3	Api3	Ethereum	4.13	3.9838	-3.54%	3.4	-17.68%	0.0713	✗	1.00	1.0M	2022-02-02
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.0855	0.082494	-3.52%	0.0418	-51.11%	0.4040	✓	1.20	20.9M	2022-02-02
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	1.24	1.1965	-3.51%	0.719	-42.02%	0.2974	✓	0.92	2.5M	2022-02-02
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	94.38	91.102	-3.47%	49.12	-47.96%	0.3954	✓	0.97	6.3M	2022-02-02
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.05659	0.054643	-3.44%	0.03913	-30.85%	0.0935	✓	1.05	15k	2022-02-02
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	10.51	10.156	-3.37%	9.36	-10.94%	0.0900	✗	0.75	1.3M	2022-02-02
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	4.6279	4.4734	-3.34%	3.1357	-32.24%	0.0585	✓	1.29	5.0M	2022-02-02
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	8.51	8.2261	-3.34%	4.09	-51.94%	0.4015	✓	1.29	17.7M	2022-02-02
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	9.2052	8.8998	-3.32%	6.025	-34.55%	0.0801	✓	1.35	273k	2022-02-02
KCS	KuCoin	native	22.363	21.6306	-3.27%	17.776	-20.51%	0.1740	✗	1.61	14.1M	2022-02-02
METRONOME	METRONOME		4.605	4.4589	-3.17%	3.3042	-28.25%	0.1551	✓	0.63	18k	2022-02-02
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01736	0.016823	-3.09%	0.00952	-45.16%	0.2788	✓	1.26	2.2M	2022-02-02
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	24.7	23.9448	-3.06%	13.76	-44.29%	0.3937	✓	0.70	1.3M	2022-02-02
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.3948	1.3524	-3.04%	1.8613	+33.45%	0.5681	✗	1.08	926k	2022-02-02
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	222.2	215.4934	-3.02%	121.22	-45.45%	0.3198	✓	1.11	210k	2022-02-02
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.09008	0.087381	-3.00%	0.05325	-40.89%	0.1611	✓	1.45	3.0M	2022-02-02
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.3005	0.291791	-2.90%	0.1803	-40.00%	0.1862	✓	1.29	4.6M	2022-02-02
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		122.18	118.6655	-2.88%	90	-26.34%	0.0615	✓	0.94	3.2M	2022-02-02
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	7.19	6.9907	-2.77%	5.33	-25.87%	0.0125	✓	1.13	3.3M	2022-02-02
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	3.43	3.3367	-2.72%	2.41	-29.74%	0.1016	✓	0.97	995k	2022-02-02
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	18.47	17.9736	-2.69%	10.53	-42.99%	0.2461	✓	1.26	14.1M	2022-02-02
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.682	1.6385	-2.58%	1.279	-23.96%	0.0614	✗	1.35	6.0M	2022-02-02
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	15.52	15.1259	-2.54%	7.83	-49.55%	0.3959	✓	1.14	3.5M	2022-02-02
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	15.18	14.803	-2.48%	14.09	-7.18%	0.1058	✗	0.68	1.2M	2022-02-02
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	4.777	4.6593	-2.46%	3.166	-33.72%	0.2151	✓	0.75	1.2M	2022-02-02
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.414	0.403965	-2.42%	0.25	-39.61%	0.3141	✓	0.72	41k	2022-02-02
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	8.6	8.3941	-2.39%	6.05	-29.65%	0.1599	✓	0.73	773k	2022-02-02
XEC	eCash	native	0.00011648	0.000113737	-2.36%	0.00007582	-34.91%	0.1819	✓	0.97	7.4M	2022-02-02
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	8.316	8.1224	-2.33%	5.883	-29.26%	0.0415	✓	1.22	354k	2022-02-02
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	150.55	147.1045	-2.29%	98.35	-34.67%	0.1103	✓	1.27	10.3M	2022-02-02
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	2.56	2.502	-2.27%	1.63	-36.33%	0.1951	✓	1.02	4.0M	2022-02-02
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00003307	0.000032321	-2.27%	0.00002064	-37.59%	0.1623	✓	1.25	1.7M	2022-02-02
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.022053	0.021555	-2.26%	0.014783	-32.97%	0.0970	✓	1.22	2.4M	2022-02-02
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1984	0.193957	-2.24%	0.1348	-32.06%	0.1605	✓	0.89	527k	2022-02-02
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	7.21	7.0508	-2.21%	5.04	-30.10%	0.1898	✓	0.64	861k	2022-02-02
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	30.09	29.4308	-2.19%	18.76	-37.65%	0.1609	✓	1.26	72.5M	2022-02-02
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.3186	1.2901	-2.16%	1.0268	-22.13%	0.0165	✓	1.07	98.5M	2022-02-02
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	3,766.04	3,684.94	-2.15%	2,682.66	-28.77%	0.0842	✓	1.02	654.8M	2022-02-02
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	3.25	3.1804	-2.14%	1.87	-42.46%	0.2348	✓	1.29	3.0M	2022-02-02
DASH	Dash	Dash	139.05	136.1346	-2.10%	93.05	-33.08%	0.0975	✓	1.23	1.9M	2022-02-02
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	1.616	1.5822	-2.09%	0.883	-45.36%	0.2882	✓	1.28	3.4M	2022-02-02
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	36.41	35.6505	-2.09%	20.09	-44.82%	0.2379	✓	1.46	1.1M	2022-02-02
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	5.152	5.0461	-2.06%	3.998	-22.40%	0.0974	✓	0.59	598k	2022-02-02
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	29.28	28.6855	-2.03%	21.59	-26.26%	0.0337	✗	1.38	24.2M	2022-02-02
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.086	0.084278	-2.00%	0.0643	-25.23%	0.0326	✓	1.04	20k	2022-02-02
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	31.64	31.0171	-1.97%	23.57	-25.51%	0.1262	✓	0.65	385k	2022-02-02
XEM	NEM	native	0.127	0.124577	-1.91%	0.1015	-20.08%	0.0383	✗	1.06	115k	2022-02-02
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	267.25	262.2554	-1.87%	151.26	-43.40%	0.3002	✓	1.09	12.6M	2022-02-02
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	8.89	8.7286	-1.82%	6.02	-32.28%	0.2344	✓	0.60	869k	2022-02-02
XMR	Monero	Monero	231.81	227.7807	-1.74%	145.08	-37.41%	0.2365	✓	0.93	3.2M	2022-02-02
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	34.72	34.1178	-1.73%	26.29	-24.28%	0.0316	✓	1.00	3.9M	2022-02-02
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	35.08	34.4778	-1.72%	20.19	-42.45%	0.2981	✓	1.03	22.7M	2022-02-02
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	4.152	4.0824	-1.68%	3.03	-27.02%	0.1457	✓	0.66	483k	2022-02-02
SOL	Solana	Solana	170.13	167.2943	-1.67%	101.99	-40.05%	0.2722	✓	0.97	217.0M	2022-02-02
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	46,459.56	45,692.03	-1.65%	36,923.39	-20.53%	0.0167	✗	1.00	727.0M	2022-02-02
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	178.99	176.303	-1.50%	113.54	-36.57%	0.2249	✓	0.94	8.7M	2022-02-02
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	434.61	428.6542	-1.37%	278	-36.03%	0.2050	✓	0.99	9.1M	2022-02-02
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.12106	0.119595	-1.21%	0.08941	-26.14%	0.0424	✓	1.08	26k	2022-02-02
XYM	Symbol	native	0.2058	0.203533	-1.10%	0.1756	-14.67%	0.0085	✓	0.61	428k	2022-02-02
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.4392	6.3752	-0.99%	6.8016	+5.63%	0.2447	✗	0.78	3.9M	2022-02-02
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	3.7914	3.7585	-0.87%	4.1355	+9.08%	0.0699	✗	-0.11	374k	2022-02-02
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	148.43	147.2698	-0.78%	108.36	-27.00%	0.0017	✓	1.33	38.3M	2022-02-02
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.170103	0.168828	-0.75%	0.137104	-19.40%	0.0422	✗	1.09	4.7M	2022-02-02
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	46,018.20	45,706.00	-0.68%	37,883.40	-17.68%	0.0358	✗	0.97	10k	2022-02-02
NANO	nanopay	Base	3.5792	3.5552	-0.67%	2.1064	-41.15%	0.2830	✓	1.05	754k	2022-02-02
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.076988	0.076683	-0.40%	0.058639	-23.83%	0.0556	✓	0.93	552k	2022-02-02
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	23.72	23.67	-0.21%	15.79	-33.43%	0.1178	✓	1.25	69.2M	2022-02-02
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	2.265	2.2707	+0.25%	1.589	-29.85%	0.1019	✗	1.11	2.7M	2022-02-02

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.