2022-01-03 · +30d

gru_s0 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 138 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.3026

138 of 138 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+24.14%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

70.3%

in alpha space · 73.2% on raw price

BTC over horizon

-20.53%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (138 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▴	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	3.89	3.4266	-11.91%	1.9	-51.16%	0.2857	✓	1.32	11.2M	2022-02-02
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	1.5062	1.3394	-11.08%	0.37	-75.43%	1.0987	✓	0.82	4.5M	2022-02-02
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.19941	0.179607	-9.93%	0.19118	-4.13%	0.4226	✗	1.57	6,519	2022-02-02
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.374	0.34227	-8.48%	0.278	-25.67%	0.0205	✓	0.99	293k	2022-02-02
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	41.84	38.3207	-8.41%	26.55	-36.54%	0.0119	✓	1.65	2.8M	2022-02-02
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	13.72	12.5728	-8.36%	7.54	-45.04%	0.5118	✓	-0.00	3.7M	2022-02-02
HIVE	Hive	native	1.6303	1.4982	-8.10%	0.9455	-42.00%	0.1434	✓	1.38	5.5M	2022-02-02
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	12.81	11.8004	-7.88%	5.77	-54.96%	0.5771	✓	0.60	1.3M	2022-02-02
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.8413	0.775441	-7.83%	0.4666	-44.54%	0.1141	✓	1.71	31.9M	2022-02-02
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.02216	0.020444	-7.74%	0.00607	-72.61%	0.9846	✓	1.00	29.0M	2022-02-02
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.6942	0.64345	-7.31%	0.4277	-38.39%	0.1040	✓	1.32	2.9M	2022-02-02
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		13.612	12.6413	-7.13%	7.564	-44.43%	0.5265	✓	-0.06	98k	2022-02-02
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.467	3.222	-7.07%	2.582	-25.53%	0.1453	✗	1.60	1.9M	2022-02-02
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.64	0.594851	-7.05%	0.5361	-16.23%	0.2157	✗	1.39	650k	2022-02-02
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.64	0.594967	-7.04%	0.316	-50.63%	0.3429	✓	1.26	2.2M	2022-02-02
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	3.2506	3.0248	-6.95%	2.537	-21.95%	0.0404	✓	0.94	5.9M	2022-02-02
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	4.17	3.8841	-6.86%	2.18	-47.72%	0.3478	✓	1.00	3.4M	2022-02-02
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	6.53	6.0909	-6.72%	3.11	-52.37%	0.3616	✓	1.35	29.3M	2022-02-02
SC	Siacoin	native	0.01573	0.014782	-6.03%	0.00983	-37.51%	0.1885	✓	0.96	817k	2022-02-02
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	39.23	36.9014	-5.94%	18.01	-54.09%	0.3043	✓	1.80	5.7M	2022-02-02
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.197	0.18641	-5.38%	0.11	-44.16%	0.2552	✓	1.19	2.4M	2022-02-02
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	11.29	10.691	-5.31%	5.22	-53.76%	0.5242	✓	0.84	1.2M	2022-02-02
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	2.0456	1.9398	-5.17%	0.8664	-57.65%	0.3746	✓	1.88	1.5M	2022-02-02
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.8521	1.7589	-5.03%	1.1125	-39.93%	0.2736	✓	0.80	689k	2022-02-02
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	2.3545	2.2367	-5.00%	1.6005	-32.02%	0.0765	✓	1.12	100k	2022-02-02
ZEN	Horizen	Base	63.44	60.3539	-4.86%	38.13	-39.90%	0.1128	✓	1.51	837k	2022-02-02
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	11.56	11.0115	-4.74%	6.53	-43.51%	0.5610	✓	-0.17	2.3M	2022-02-02
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.1235	0.118206	-4.29%	0.0786	-36.36%	0.1783	✓	1.00	35.9M	2022-02-02
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0731	0.070058	-4.16%	0.034	-53.49%	0.4018	✓	1.40	1.7M	2022-02-02
KCS	KuCoin	native	22.363	21.4558	-4.06%	17.776	-20.51%	0.1872	✗	1.63	14.1M	2022-02-02
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	1.14	1.0945	-3.99%	0.64	-43.86%	0.3068	✓	1.00	1.9M	2022-02-02
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	4.57	4.3927	-3.88%	3.03	-33.70%	0.1416	✓	1.00	2.5M	2022-02-02
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	39.29	37.7905	-3.82%	26.33	-32.99%	0.1528	✓	0.91	43.4M	2022-02-02
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	9.436	9.0885	-3.68%	5.754	-39.02%	0.3168	✓	0.61	302k	2022-02-02
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.05248	0.050568	-3.64%	0.02927	-44.23%	0.3409	✓	0.90	8.2M	2022-02-02
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	1.0025	0.966416	-3.60%	0.8666	-13.56%	0.1207	✗	1.00	146k	2022-02-02
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	2.796	2.6955	-3.60%	1.696	-39.34%	0.2285	✓	1.02	1.9M	2022-02-02
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	108.09	104.2214	-3.58%	67.87	-37.21%	0.1728	✓	1.11	119.6M	2022-02-02
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	3.57	3.4478	-3.42%	2.46	-31.09%	0.0889	✓	1.08	626k	2022-02-02
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	88.92	85.9042	-3.39%	47.6	-46.47%	0.3607	✓	1.00	5.3M	2022-02-02
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	1.3019	1.2586	-3.33%	0.81012	-37.77%	0.0356	✓	1.76	1.3M	2022-02-02
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	9.27	8.965	-3.29%	5.49	-40.78%	0.2342	✓	1.12	3.9M	2022-02-02
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	191.896	185.6022	-3.28%	73.5972	-61.65%	0.6581	✓	1.16	574k	2022-02-02
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	1.7949	1.7362	-3.27%	0.9235	-48.55%	0.3759	✓	1.11	30.0M	2022-02-02
METRONOME	METRONOME		4.605	4.4547	-3.26%	3.3042	-28.25%	0.1398	✓	0.69	18k	2022-02-02
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.5394	1.4903	-3.19%	1.0423	-32.29%	0.1392	✓	0.95	3.7M	2022-02-02
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.033837	0.032758	-3.19%	0.020246	-40.17%	0.2459	✓	1.02	7.8M	2022-02-02
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.94026	0.911884	-3.02%	0.5718	-39.19%	0.2098	✓	1.12	2.8M	2022-02-02
XVG	Verge	native	0.01731	0.016791	-3.00%	0.00978	-43.50%	0.2664	✓	1.19	2.2M	2022-02-02
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	1.2437	1.2067	-2.97%	0.6281	-49.50%	0.3315	✓	1.40	1.9M	2022-02-02
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.11092	0.107888	-2.73%	0.07379	-33.47%	0.2327	✓	0.64	55k	2022-02-02
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.0855	0.083171	-2.72%	0.0418	-51.11%	0.4085	✓	1.22	20.9M	2022-02-02
API3	Api3	Ethereum	4.13	4.0207	-2.65%	3.4	-17.68%	0.0620	✗	1.00	1.0M	2022-02-02
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	4.6279	4.5081	-2.59%	3.1357	-32.24%	0.0663	✓	1.29	5.0M	2022-02-02
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.3721	0.362496	-2.58%	0.2314	-37.81%	0.1562	✓	1.27	3.4M	2022-02-02
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	150.55	146.6709	-2.58%	98.35	-34.67%	0.0895	✓	1.35	10.3M	2022-02-02
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	1.3842	1.3497	-2.49%	0.8404	-39.29%	0.2586	✓	0.94	21.2M	2022-02-02
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.3888	0.379143	-2.48%	0.2783	-28.42%	0.0329	✗	1.49	3.4M	2022-02-02
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.2052	0.200185	-2.44%	0.1092	-46.78%	0.3211	✓	1.24	4.8M	2022-02-02
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	3.381	3.3003	-2.39%	2.235	-33.90%	0.1956	✓	0.85	41k	2022-02-02
BAND	Band	Ethereum	5.56	5.4276	-2.38%	3.37	-39.39%	0.2029	✓	1.19	2.1M	2022-02-02
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.0636	0.062165	-2.26%	0.035872	-43.60%	0.2304	✓	1.39	7.5M	2022-02-02
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.02023	0.019776	-2.25%	0.0126	-37.72%	0.3024	✓	0.65	36k	2022-02-02
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	38,753.93	37,892.20	-2.22%	23,029.36	-40.58%	0.3594	✓	0.60	15.7M	2022-02-02
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	6.1828	6.0503	-2.14%	4.6307	-25.10%	0.0085	✓	1.20	577k	2022-02-02
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	3.7914	3.7104	-2.14%	4.1355	+9.08%	0.0829	✗	-0.11	374k	2022-02-02
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	7.19	7.0412	-2.07%	5.33	-25.87%	0.0168	✓	1.14	3.3M	2022-02-02
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.3005	0.294785	-1.90%	0.1803	-40.00%	0.1918	✓	1.30	4.6M	2022-02-02
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.1004	0.098499	-1.89%	0.0599	-40.34%	0.1841	✓	1.36	1.6M	2022-02-02
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.7048	0.694287	-1.49%	0.5398	-23.41%	0.0399	✗	1.27	5.3M	2022-02-02
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.72	1.6957	-1.41%	1.36	-20.93%	0.1745	✗	1.72	1.0M	2022-02-02
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	8.51	8.4002	-1.29%	4.09	-51.94%	0.4191	✓	1.31	17.7M	2022-02-02
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00003307	0.000032679	-1.18%	0.00002064	-37.59%	0.1733	✓	1.25	1.7M	2022-02-02
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01736	0.017157	-1.17%	0.00952	-45.16%	0.2927	✓	1.29	2.2M	2022-02-02
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.09008	0.089045	-1.15%	0.05325	-40.89%	0.1800	✓	1.45	3.0M	2022-02-02
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.682	1.6636	-1.10%	1.279	-23.96%	0.0499	✗	1.36	6.0M	2022-02-02
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	3.1177	3.0866	-1.00%	3.0352	-2.65%	0.2586	✗	1.20	3.1M	2022-02-02
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.05659	0.056039	-0.97%	0.03913	-30.85%	0.1065	✓	1.10	15k	2022-02-02
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.086	0.085182	-0.95%	0.0643	-25.23%	0.0349	✓	1.07	20k	2022-02-02
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.1352	0.134017	-0.88%	0.0794	-41.27%	0.2771	✓	1.07	310k	2022-02-02
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	36.41	36.0943	-0.87%	20.09	-44.82%	0.2346	✓	1.53	1.1M	2022-02-02
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	24.7	24.49	-0.85%	13.76	-44.29%	0.3401	✓	1.03	1.3M	2022-02-02
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	3.25	3.2234	-0.82%	1.87	-42.46%	0.2447	✓	1.30	3.0M	2022-02-02
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.3948	1.3857	-0.65%	1.8613	+33.45%	0.5477	✗	1.10	926k	2022-02-02
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.290288	0.288464	-0.63%	0.193151	-33.46%	0.1675	✓	1.02	24.9M	2022-02-02
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	8.316	8.27	-0.55%	5.883	-29.26%	0.0502	✓	1.26	354k	2022-02-02
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	94.38	93.8666	-0.54%	49.12	-47.96%	0.4267	✓	0.96	6.3M	2022-02-02
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.6582	0.654702	-0.53%	0.4048	-38.50%	0.1835	✓	1.29	11.4M	2022-02-02
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	289.65	288.1864	-0.51%	162.31	-43.96%	0.3178	✓	1.12	1.3M	2022-02-02
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	40.22	40.0218	-0.49%	42.9	+6.66%	0.3117	✗	1.05	19.4M	2022-02-02
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.4392	6.4096	-0.46%	6.8016	+5.63%	0.2527	✗	0.84	3.9M	2022-02-02
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1984	0.197607	-0.40%	0.1348	-32.06%	0.1742	✓	0.91	527k	2022-02-02
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	34.72	34.5826	-0.40%	26.29	-24.28%	0.0353	✓	1.04	3.9M	2022-02-02
DASH	Dash	Dash	139.05	138.5619	-0.35%	93.05	-33.08%	0.1070	✓	1.27	1.9M	2022-02-02
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	4.777	4.7608	-0.34%	3.166	-33.72%	0.2334	✓	0.76	1.2M	2022-02-02
NANO	nanopay	Base	3.5792	3.5672	-0.34%	2.1064	-41.15%	0.2819	✓	1.07	754k	2022-02-02
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	15.18	15.1289	-0.34%	14.09	-7.18%	0.0864	✗	0.69	1.2M	2022-02-02
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	267.25	266.3699	-0.33%	151.26	-43.40%	0.3060	✓	1.13	12.6M	2022-02-02
SOL	Solana	Solana	170.13	169.6064	-0.31%	101.99	-40.05%	0.2636	✓	1.07	217.0M	2022-02-02
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	3,766.04	3,755.78	-0.27%	2,682.66	-28.77%	0.0979	✓	1.04	654.8M	2022-02-02
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	2.265	2.2597	-0.23%	1.589	-29.85%	0.0945	✓	1.12	2.7M	2022-02-02
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	15.52	15.496	-0.15%	7.83	-49.55%	0.4173	✓	1.15	3.5M	2022-02-02
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	8.6	8.5877	-0.14%	6.05	-29.65%	0.1750	✓	0.76	773k	2022-02-02
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	8.89	8.8839	-0.07%	6.02	-32.28%	0.2502	✓	0.60	869k	2022-02-02
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	31.64	31.6385	-0.00%	23.57	-25.51%	0.1388	✓	0.68	385k	2022-02-02
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	3.43	3.4309	+0.03%	2.41	-29.74%	0.1239	✗	1.00	995k	2022-02-02
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	1.616	1.6168	+0.05%	0.883	-45.36%	0.3081	✗	1.29	3.4M	2022-02-02
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.904	0.905153	+0.13%	0.465	-48.56%	0.3279	✗	1.47	8.1M	2022-02-02
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	46,459.56	46,548.77	+0.19%	36,923.39	-20.53%	0.0019	✓	1.00	727.0M	2022-02-02
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	4.8156	4.8265	+0.23%	3.7524	-22.08%	0.0548	✓	1.33	4.9M	2022-02-02
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	23.72	23.7747	+0.23%	15.79	-33.43%	0.1051	✗	1.32	69.2M	2022-02-02
XEM	NEM	native	0.127	0.127375	+0.30%	0.1015	-20.08%	0.0257	✓	1.10	115k	2022-02-02
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	29.28	29.3687	+0.30%	21.59	-26.26%	0.0158	✓	1.41	24.2M	2022-02-02
XYM	Symbol	native	0.2058	0.206498	+0.34%	0.1756	-14.67%	0.0250	✗	0.60	428k	2022-02-02
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	18.47	18.5416	+0.39%	10.53	-42.99%	0.2710	✗	1.28	14.1M	2022-02-02
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	222.2	223.5661	+0.61%	121.22	-45.45%	0.3489	✗	1.15	210k	2022-02-02
XMR	Monero	Monero	231.81	233.3254	+0.65%	145.08	-37.41%	0.2444	✗	1.00	3.2M	2022-02-02
XEC	eCash	native	0.00011648	0.000117257	+0.67%	0.00007582	-34.91%	0.2105	✗	0.98	7.4M	2022-02-02
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	7.21	7.2619	+0.72%	5.04	-30.10%	0.2187	✗	0.64	861k	2022-02-02
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	1.24	1.2492	+0.74%	0.719	-42.02%	0.3361	✗	0.94	2.5M	2022-02-02
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	5.152	5.191	+0.76%	3.998	-22.40%	0.1225	✗	0.60	598k	2022-02-02
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	30.09	30.3888	+0.99%	18.76	-37.65%	0.1863	✗	1.29	72.5M	2022-02-02
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.170103	0.17187	+1.04%	0.137104	-19.40%	0.0270	✓	1.10	4.7M	2022-02-02
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	10.51	10.6298	+1.14%	9.36	-10.94%	0.0444	✓	0.75	1.3M	2022-02-02
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		122.18	123.5762	+1.14%	90	-26.34%	0.0980	✗	0.95	3.2M	2022-02-02
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.022053	0.022319	+1.21%	0.014783	-32.97%	0.1351	✗	1.20	2.4M	2022-02-02
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	178.99	181.4741	+1.39%	113.54	-36.57%	0.2488	✗	0.96	8.7M	2022-02-02
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	9.2052	9.3483	+1.55%	6.025	-34.55%	0.1141	✗	1.42	273k	2022-02-02
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	35.08	35.6512	+1.63%	20.19	-42.45%	0.3295	✗	1.04	22.7M	2022-02-02
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	148.43	151.0065	+1.74%	108.36	-27.00%	0.0223	✗	1.35	38.3M	2022-02-02
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.3186	1.3416	+1.74%	1.0268	-22.13%	0.0155	✓	1.10	98.5M	2022-02-02
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.414	0.421362	+1.78%	0.25	-39.61%	0.3539	✗	0.73	41k	2022-02-02
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	434.61	442.5307	+1.82%	278	-36.03%	0.2324	✗	1.01	9.1M	2022-02-02
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	4.152	4.2388	+2.09%	3.03	-27.02%	0.1834	✗	0.66	483k	2022-02-02
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.12106	0.123912	+2.36%	0.08941	-26.14%	0.0733	✗	1.10	26k	2022-02-02
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	46,018.20	47,130.32	+2.42%	37,883.40	-17.68%	0.0063	✓	0.98	10k	2022-02-02
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.076988	0.078856	+2.43%	0.058639	-23.83%	0.0803	✗	0.94	552k	2022-02-02
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	2.56	2.6808	+4.72%	1.63	-36.33%	0.2544	✗	1.06	4.0M	2022-02-02

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.