XRD

Radix · native · beta_5y

token id: #955
symbol: XRD
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2023-11-23
predictions: 3,138

Track record at +7d

assessed

393

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

67.2%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1191

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0172

actual -0.0505

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	live	0.00020255	0.000197574	-2.46%	–	pending	–	–	-0.50
2026-10-21	oos	0.00018625	0.000183342	-1.56%	–	pending	–	–	-0.66
2026-10-20	oos	0.00020335	0.000197666	-2.80%	–	pending	–	–	-0.67
2026-10-19	oos	0.0001597	0.000162578	+1.80%	–	pending	–	–	-0.76
2026-10-18	oos	0.0001555	0.000160571	+3.26%	–	pending	–	–	-0.75
2026-10-17	oos	0.000145	0.000153154	+5.62%	–	pending	–	–	-0.77
2026-10-16	oos	0.000202	0.000203433	+0.71%	–	pending	–	–	-0.80
2026-10-15	oos	0.0002698	0.000263678	-2.27%	0.00020255	-24.93%	0.2414	✓	-0.89
2026-10-14	oos	0.0003023	0.00029263	-3.20%	0.00018625	-38.39%	0.4398	✓	-0.88
2026-10-13	oos	0.000314	0.000302709	-3.60%	0.00020335	-35.24%	0.3996	✓	-0.91
2026-10-12	oos	0.0003316	0.000317853	-4.15%	0.0001597	-51.84%	0.6872	✓	-0.90
2026-10-11	oos	0.0003167	0.000303921	-4.03%	0.0001555	-50.90%	0.6866	✓	-0.82
2026-10-10	oos	0.000315	0.000302361	-4.01%	0.000145	-53.97%	0.7488	✓	-0.75
2026-10-09	oos	0.0003063	0.000294925	-3.71%	0.000202	-34.05%	0.3881	✓	-0.76
2026-10-08	oos	0.0003161	0.000303825	-3.88%	0.0002698	-14.65%	0.1148	✓	-0.75
2026-10-07	oos	0.0003327	0.00031805	-4.40%	0.0003023	-9.14%	0.0670	✓	-0.78
2026-10-06	oos	0.0003347	0.000319948	-4.41%	0.000314	-6.18%	0.0417	✓	-0.79
2026-10-05	oos	0.0003482	0.000332104	-4.62%	0.0003316	-4.77%	0.0401	✓	-0.81
2026-10-04	oos	0.00035815	0.000341789	-4.57%	0.0003167	-11.57%	0.1032	✓	-0.81
2026-10-03	oos	0.0003558	0.000338856	-4.76%	0.000315	-11.47%	0.0911	✓	-0.83
2026-10-02	oos	0.0003674	0.000349607	-4.84%	0.0003063	-16.63%	0.1515	✓	-0.82
2026-10-01	oos	0.0003791	0.000361267	-4.70%	0.0003161	-16.62%	0.1647	✓	-0.82
2026-09-30	oos	0.0003794	0.000360852	-4.89%	0.0003327	-12.31%	0.0840	✓	-0.83
2026-09-29	oos	0.0004078	0.000388717	-4.68%	0.0003347	-17.93%	0.1313	✓	-0.82
2026-09-28	oos	0.00041535	0.000395992	-4.66%	0.0003482	-16.17%	0.1075	✓	-0.78
2026-09-27	oos	0.0004422	0.000423509	-4.23%	0.00035815	-19.01%	0.1489	✓	-0.78
2026-09-26	oos	0.000458	0.000438258	-4.31%	0.0003558	-22.31%	0.2054	✓	-0.79
2026-09-25	oos	0.00043745	0.000418231	-4.39%	0.0003674	-16.01%	0.1257	✓	-0.79
2026-09-24	oos	0.0004705	0.000448885	-4.59%	0.0003791	-19.43%	0.1646	✓	-0.80
2026-09-23	oos	0.0004971	0.000471201	-5.21%	0.0003794	-23.68%	0.2246	✓	-0.80
2026-09-22	oos	0.00052705	0.000494842	-6.11%	0.0004078	-22.63%	0.2183	✓	-0.82
2026-09-21	oos	0.0004693	0.000446771	-4.80%	0.00041535	-11.50%	0.1010	✓	-0.76
2026-09-20	oos	0.0005461	0.000510276	-6.56%	0.0004422	-19.03%	0.1222	✓	-0.53
2026-09-19	oos	0.0005252	0.000491938	-6.33%	0.000458	-12.80%	0.0515	✓	-0.52
2026-09-18	oos	0.0005677	0.000526468	-7.26%	0.00043745	-22.94%	0.1659	✓	-0.49
2026-09-17	oos	0.0005761	0.00053557	-7.04%	0.0004705	-18.33%	0.0775	✓	-0.52
2026-09-16	oos	0.0005034	0.00047425	-5.79%	0.0004971	-1.25%	0.1006	✗	-0.52
2026-09-15	oos	0.00055565	0.000518433	-6.70%	0.00052705	-5.15%	0.0837	✗	-0.51
2026-09-14	oos	0.00050485	0.000473257	-6.26%	0.0004693	-7.04%	0.0333	✓	-0.41
2026-09-13	oos	0.0004931	0.00046533	-5.63%	0.0005461	+10.75%	0.1834	✗	-0.42
2026-09-12	oos	0.00051075	0.000480377	-5.95%	0.0005252	+2.83%	0.1106	✗	-0.43
2026-09-11	oos	0.0004845	0.000460151	-5.03%	0.0005677	+17.17%	0.2296	✗	-0.42
2026-09-10	oos	0.00049	0.000466528	-4.79%	0.0005761	+17.57%	0.2100	✗	-0.41
2026-09-09	oos	0.0004695	0.000450606	-4.02%	0.0005034	+7.22%	0.1004	✗	-0.38
2026-09-08	oos	0.0004796	0.000461539	-3.77%	0.00055565	+15.86%	0.1723	✗	-0.36
2026-09-07	oos	0.0004335	0.000424514	-2.07%	0.00050485	+16.46%	0.1696	✗	-0.32
2026-09-06	oos	0.0004823	0.000473236	-1.88%	0.0004931	+2.24%	0.0232	✗	-0.40
2026-09-05	oos	0.0004722	0.000470123	-0.44%	0.00051075	+8.16%	0.0695	✗	-0.41
2026-09-04	oos	0.0005019	0.000506306	+0.88%	0.0004845	-3.47%	0.0555	✗	-0.36
2026-09-03	oos	0.00048295	0.000495271	+2.55%	0.00049	+1.46%	0.0311	✗	-0.34
2026-09-02	oos	0.0005701	0.000591754	+3.80%	0.0004695	-17.65%	0.2307	✗	-0.06
2026-09-01	oos	0.0005914	0.000616571	+4.26%	0.0004796	-18.90%	0.2503	✗	-0.07
2026-08-31	oos	0.0006227	0.000649596	+4.32%	0.0004335	-30.38%	0.4035	✗	-0.14
2026-08-30	oos	0.0008295	0.000867682	+4.60%	0.0004823	-41.86%	0.5866	✗	-0.02
2026-08-29	oos	0.0008672	0.000903459	+4.18%	0.0004722	-45.55%	0.6488	✗	0.00
2026-08-28	oos	0.0008723	0.000902762	+3.49%	0.0005019	-42.46%	0.5871	✗	-0.00
2026-08-27	oos	0.0008124	0.000839659	+3.36%	0.00048295	-40.55%	0.5538	✗	0.06
2026-08-26	oos	0.0008192	0.000842538	+2.85%	0.0005701	-30.41%	0.3893	✗	0.06
2026-08-25	oos	0.0009036	0.000923442	+2.20%	0.0005914	-34.55%	0.4445	✗	0.08
2026-08-24	oos	0.0009272	0.000943534	+1.76%	0.0006227	-32.84%	0.4151	✗	0.09
2026-08-23	oos	0.0008831	0.000896668	+1.54%	0.0008295	-6.07%	0.0778	✗	0.05
2026-08-22	oos	0.0007908	0.00080513	+1.81%	0.0008672	+9.66%	0.0737	✓	0.04
2026-08-21	oos	0.0009212	0.000931207	+1.09%	0.0008723	-5.31%	0.0655	✗	-0.02
2026-08-20	oos	0.000924	0.00092442	+0.05%	0.0008124	-12.08%	0.1250	✗	-0.04
2026-08-19	oos	0.0009664	0.000956321	-1.04%	0.0008192	-15.23%	0.1584	✓	0.03
2026-08-18	oos	0.00104	0.001014	-2.44%	0.0009036	-13.07%	0.1562	✓	0.21
2026-08-17	oos	0.0008909	0.000877404	-1.51%	0.0009272	+4.07%	0.0215	✗	0.17
2026-08-16	oos	0.0009265	0.000910215	-1.76%	0.0008831	-4.68%	0.0743	✓	0.21
2026-08-15	oos	0.0009606	0.000941799	-1.96%	0.0007908	-17.68%	0.2162	✓	0.21
2026-08-14	oos	0.0009194	0.000904236	-1.65%	0.0009212	+0.20%	0.0262	✓	0.21
2026-08-13	oos	0.0009389	0.000923063	-1.69%	0.000924	-1.59%	0.0281	✓	0.21
2026-08-12	oos	0.0009805	0.000960957	-1.99%	0.0009664	-1.44%	0.0135	✓	0.22
2026-08-11	oos	0.0009268	0.000911472	-1.65%	0.00104	+12.16%	0.1278	✗	0.20
2026-08-10	oos	0.0009081	0.000894768	-1.47%	0.0008909	-1.89%	0.0062	✓	0.21
2026-08-09	oos	0.0009197	0.000906666	-1.42%	0.0009265	+0.74%	0.0282	✗	0.21
2026-08-08	oos	0.0009326	0.000919132	-1.44%	0.0009606	+3.00%	0.0503	✗	0.21
2026-08-07	oos	0.000926	0.000913087	-1.39%	0.0009194	-0.71%	0.0128	✓	0.20
2026-08-06	oos	0.0009132	0.000901696	-1.26%	0.0009389	+2.81%	0.0430	✗	0.20
2026-08-05	oos	0.0009628	0.000948737	-1.46%	0.0009805	+1.84%	0.0365	✗	0.19
2026-08-04	oos	0.0009463	0.000933563	-1.35%	0.0009268	-2.06%	0.0057	✓	0.19
2026-08-03	oos	0.0009816	0.000966075	-1.58%	0.0009081	-7.49%	0.0633	✓	0.21
2026-08-02	oos	0.0009839	0.00096779	-1.64%	0.0009197	-6.53%	0.0552	✓	0.20
2026-08-01	oos	0.0009494	0.000935746	-1.44%	0.0009326	-1.77%	0.0099	✓	0.19
2026-07-31	oos	0.0009641	0.000949821	-1.48%	0.000926	-3.95%	0.0317	✓	0.20
2026-07-30	oos	0.0009621	0.000950792	-1.18%	0.0009132	-5.08%	0.0389	✓	0.21
2026-07-29	oos	0.0009642	0.000952795	-1.18%	0.0009628	-0.15%	0.0082	✓	0.20
2026-07-28	oos	0.000978	0.000966593	-1.17%	0.0009463	-3.24%	0.0219	✓	0.20
2026-07-27	oos	0.0009945	0.000982464	-1.21%	0.0009816	-1.30%	0.0002	✓	0.20
2026-07-26	oos	0.001022	0.00101	-1.14%	0.0009839	-3.73%	0.0208	✓	0.20
2026-07-25	oos	0.0009924	0.000981264	-1.12%	0.0009494	-4.33%	0.0284	✓	0.19
2026-07-24	oos	0.001111	0.001078	-2.90%	0.0009641	-13.19%	0.1077	✓	0.22
2026-07-23	oos	0.000826	0.000822265	-0.45%	0.0009621	+16.48%	0.1588	✗	0.35
2026-07-22	oos	0.0008296	0.000827299	-0.28%	0.0009642	+16.22%	0.1648	✗	0.35
2026-07-21	oos	0.0008107	0.000810219	-0.06%	0.000978	+20.64%	0.2026	✗	0.35
2026-07-20	oos	0.0008331	0.000830389	-0.33%	0.0009945	+19.37%	0.1891	✗	0.37
2026-07-19	oos	0.0008441	0.00084065	-0.41%	0.001022	+21.08%	0.1915	✗	0.38
2026-07-18	oos	0.0008624	0.000858416	-0.46%	0.0009924	+15.07%	0.1479	✗	0.37
2026-07-17	oos	0.0008939	0.00088691	-0.78%	0.001111	+24.24%	0.2238	✗	0.37
2026-07-16	oos	0.0008759	0.00086963	-0.72%	0.000826	-5.70%	0.0589	✓	0.38
2026-07-15	oos	0.0008642	0.000859482	-0.55%	0.0008296	-4.00%	0.0445	✓	0.43
2026-07-14	oos	0.0008509	0.000847343	-0.42%	0.0008107	-4.72%	0.0543	✓	0.43
2026-07-13	oos	0.0008453	0.000840009	-0.63%	0.0008331	-1.44%	0.0291	✓	0.45
2026-07-12	oos	0.0009251	0.000916625	-0.92%	0.0008441	-8.76%	0.0882	✓	0.39
2026-07-11	oos	0.0008567	0.000852463	-0.49%	0.0008624	+0.67%	0.0047	✓	0.43
2026-07-10	oos	0.0008899	0.000884834	-0.57%	0.0008939	+0.45%	0.0117	✗	0.42
2026-07-09	oos	0.0009105	0.000903857	-0.73%	0.0008759	-3.80%	0.0354	✓	0.43
2026-07-08	oos	0.0009185	0.000910696	-0.85%	0.0008642	-5.91%	0.0686	✓	0.42
2026-07-07	oos	0.0009017	0.000895909	-0.64%	0.0008509	-5.63%	0.0625	✓	0.42
2026-07-06	oos	0.0009111	0.000905508	-0.61%	0.0008453	-7.22%	0.0571	✓	0.42
2026-07-05	oos	0.0009322	0.000924658	-0.81%	0.0009251	-0.76%	0.0004	✓	0.36
2026-07-04	oos	0.0008982	0.000891999	-0.69%	0.0008567	-4.62%	0.0441	✓	0.35
2026-07-03	oos	0.0008806	0.000874774	-0.66%	0.0008899	+1.06%	0.0080	✗	0.36
2026-07-02	oos	0.0008928	0.0008855	-0.82%	0.0009105	+1.98%	0.0178	✗	0.37
2026-07-01	oos	0.0008892	0.000880442	-0.98%	0.0009185	+3.30%	0.0284	✗	0.37
2026-06-30	oos	0.0008508	0.000843509	-0.86%	0.0009017	+5.98%	0.0398	✗	0.34
2026-06-29	oos	0.000859	0.000852792	-0.72%	0.0009111	+6.07%	0.0449	✗	0.34
2026-06-28	oos	0.0008715	0.000864644	-0.79%	0.0009322	+6.97%	0.0507	✗	0.37
2026-06-27	oos	0.0008652	0.000859636	-0.64%	0.0008982	+3.81%	0.0254	✗	0.36
2026-06-26	oos	0.0008949	0.000888652	-0.70%	0.0008806	-1.60%	0.0242	✓	0.37
2026-06-25	oos	0.0009166	0.000910109	-0.71%	0.0008928	-2.60%	0.0301	✓	0.37
2026-06-24	oos	0.000945	0.000938832	-0.65%	0.0008892	-5.90%	0.0470	✓	0.43
2026-06-23	oos	0.000973	0.00096753	-0.56%	0.0008508	-12.56%	0.0988	✓	0.44
2026-06-22	oos	0.001058	0.001049	-0.83%	0.000859	-18.81%	0.1760	✓	0.39
2026-06-21	oos	0.001066	0.001056	-0.89%	0.0008715	-18.25%	0.1681	✓	0.40
2026-06-20	oos	0.001112	0.0011	-1.08%	0.0008652	-22.19%	0.2136	✓	0.38
2026-06-19	oos	0.001094	0.001082	-1.06%	0.0008949	-18.20%	0.1683	✓	0.39
2026-06-18	oos	0.001102	0.001089	-1.17%	0.0009166	-16.82%	0.1527	✓	0.38
2026-06-17	oos	0.00109	0.001079	-1.01%	0.000945	-13.30%	0.1122	✓	0.37
2026-06-16	oos	0.001106	0.001095	-1.03%	0.000973	-12.03%	0.1008	✓	0.37
2026-06-15	oos	0.001121	0.001109	-1.11%	0.001058	-5.62%	0.0331	✓	0.38
2026-06-14	oos	0.001115	0.001103	-1.12%	0.001066	-4.39%	0.0192	✓	0.38
2026-06-13	oos	0.001128	0.001113	-1.29%	0.001112	-1.42%	0.0000	✓	0.38
2026-06-12	oos	0.001102	0.001088	-1.23%	0.001094	-0.73%	0.0055	✓	0.38
2026-06-11	oos	0.001113	0.001098	-1.37%	0.001102	-0.99%	0.0079	✓	0.38
2026-06-10	oos	0.001112	0.001095	-1.52%	0.00109	-1.98%	0.0232	✓	0.39
2026-06-09	oos	0.001126	0.001106	-1.78%	0.001106	-1.82%	0.0244	✓	0.39
2026-06-08	oos	0.001097	0.001078	-1.71%	0.001121	+2.19%	0.0183	✗	0.41
2026-06-07	oos	0.001059	0.001042	-1.56%	0.001115	+5.29%	0.0527	✗	0.39
2026-06-06	oos	0.001037	0.001021	-1.52%	0.001128	+8.78%	0.0770	✗	0.39
2026-06-05	oos	0.00103	0.001014	-1.51%	0.001102	+6.99%	0.0662	✗	0.41
2026-06-04	oos	0.001084	0.001062	-2.01%	0.001113	+2.68%	0.0482	✗	0.38
2026-06-03	oos	0.001055	0.001035	-1.90%	0.001112	+5.40%	0.0897	✗	0.43
2026-06-02	oos	0.001015	0.000998402	-1.64%	0.001126	+10.99%	0.1605	✗	0.51
2026-06-01	oos	0.00104	0.001023	-1.65%	0.001097	+5.48%	0.1412	✗	0.58
2026-05-31	oos	0.00108	0.001062	-1.70%	0.001059	-1.94%	0.0851	✗	0.58
2026-05-30	oos	0.00107	0.001053	-1.63%	0.001037	-3.08%	0.0962	✗	0.58
2026-05-29	oos	0.001088	0.001069	-1.72%	0.00103	-5.33%	0.0791	✗	0.63
2026-05-28	oos	0.001084	0.001066	-1.69%	0.001084	+0.00%	0.1082	✗	0.64
2026-05-27	oos	0.00112	0.0011	-1.82%	0.001055	-5.80%	0.0464	✗	0.59
2026-05-26	oos	0.001162	0.001137	-2.14%	0.001015	-12.65%	0.0391	✓	0.58
2026-05-25	oos	0.001116	0.001094	-2.00%	0.00104	-6.81%	0.0034	✓	0.67
2026-05-24	oos	0.001018	0.001003	-1.44%	0.00108	+6.09%	0.1049	✗	0.69
2026-05-23	oos	0.001016	0.001002	-1.38%	0.00107	+5.31%	0.0931	✗	0.72
2026-05-22	oos	0.001064	0.001047	-1.59%	0.001088	+2.26%	0.0584	✗	0.72
2026-05-21	oos	0.001073	0.001056	-1.56%	0.001084	+1.03%	0.0646	✗	0.72
2026-05-20	oos	0.001081	0.001064	-1.56%	0.00112	+3.61%	0.0818	✗	0.73
2026-05-19	oos	0.001127	0.001107	-1.77%	0.001162	+3.11%	0.0576	✗	0.74
2026-05-18	oos	0.001148	0.001127	-1.83%	0.001116	-2.79%	0.0127	✓	0.73
2026-05-17	oos	0.001148	0.001128	-1.76%	0.001018	-11.32%	0.0987	✓	0.68
2026-05-16	oos	0.001173	0.001152	-1.81%	0.001016	-13.38%	0.1128	✓	0.67
2026-05-15	oos	0.001194	0.001172	-1.83%	0.001064	-10.89%	0.0649	✓	0.68
2026-05-14	oos	0.00121	0.001189	-1.73%	0.001073	-11.32%	0.0731	✓	0.66
2026-05-13	oos	0.001223	0.001201	-1.80%	0.001081	-11.61%	0.0902	✓	0.65
2026-05-12	oos	0.001247	0.001224	-1.88%	0.001127	-9.62%	0.0516	✓	0.65
2026-05-11	oos	0.00125	0.001227	-1.81%	0.001148	-8.16%	0.0254	✓	0.69
2026-05-10	oos	0.001246	0.001225	-1.70%	0.001148	-7.87%	0.0237	✓	0.68
2026-05-09	oos	0.001259	0.001237	-1.73%	0.001173	-6.83%	0.0310	✓	0.69
2026-05-08	oos	0.001245	0.001226	-1.53%	0.001194	-4.10%	0.0167	✓	0.69
2026-05-07	oos	0.001261	0.001242	-1.49%	0.00121	-4.04%	0.0352	✓	0.67
2026-05-06	oos	0.001284	0.001265	-1.49%	0.001223	-4.75%	0.0105	✓	0.86
2026-05-05	oos	0.001274	0.001258	-1.26%	0.001247	-2.12%	0.0037	✓	0.96
2026-05-04	oos	0.001287	0.001272	-1.17%	0.00125	-2.87%	0.0408	✓	1.01
2026-05-03	oos	0.001263	0.001253	-0.79%	0.001246	-1.35%	0.0505	✓	0.99
2026-05-02	oos	0.001264	0.001257	-0.56%	0.001259	-0.40%	0.0233	✓	1.01
2026-05-01	oos	0.00126	0.001256	-0.32%	0.001245	-1.19%	0.0339	✓	1.02
2026-04-30	oos	0.001261	0.001254	-0.53%	0.001261	+0.00%	0.0486	✓	1.14
2026-04-29	oos	0.001279	0.001271	-0.62%	0.001284	+0.39%	0.0723	✓	1.14
2026-04-28	oos	0.001283	0.001277	-0.48%	0.001274	-0.70%	0.0646	✓	1.07
2026-04-27	oos	0.001329	0.001325	-0.32%	0.001287	-3.16%	0.0628	✓	1.07
2026-04-26	oos	0.001364	0.001365	+0.07%	0.001263	-7.40%	0.0760	✗	1.10
2026-04-25	oos	0.001351	0.001345	-0.41%	0.001264	-6.44%	0.0769	✓	1.10
2026-04-24	oos	0.001327	0.001321	-0.42%	0.00126	-5.05%	0.0591	✓	1.16
2026-04-23	oos	0.001293	0.001293	+0.00%	0.001261	-2.47%	0.0046	✓	1.16
2026-04-22	oos	0.00129	0.001288	-0.16%	0.001279	-0.85%	0.0300	✗	1.16
2026-04-21	oos	0.001283	0.001269	-1.09%	0.001283	+0.00%	0.0114	✗	1.18
2026-04-20	oos	0.001286	0.001269	-1.29%	0.001329	+3.34%	0.0220	✗	1.22
2026-04-19	oos	0.001294	0.001272	-1.69%	0.001364	+5.41%	0.0011	✓	1.08
2026-04-18	oos	0.001285	0.001268	-1.31%	0.001351	+5.14%	0.0363	✗	1.08
2026-04-17	oos	0.001322	0.00131	-0.93%	0.001327	+0.38%	0.0080	✓	1.07
2026-04-16	oos	0.001241	0.001223	-1.41%	0.001293	+4.19%	0.0120	✓	1.07
2026-04-15	oos	0.001251	0.001233	-1.47%	0.00129	+3.12%	0.0014	✓	1.07
2026-04-14	oos	0.001239	0.00122	-1.56%	0.001283	+3.55%	0.0202	✗	1.05
2026-04-13	oos	0.001228	0.00121	-1.49%	0.001286	+4.72%	0.0411	✗	1.06
2026-04-12	oos	0.001177	0.001156	-1.79%	0.001294	+9.94%	0.0682	✗	1.05
2026-04-11	oos	0.001182	0.001164	-1.53%	0.001285	+8.71%	0.0612	✗	1.06
2026-04-10	oos	0.001197	0.001179	-1.51%	0.001322	+10.44%	0.0566	✗	1.06
2026-04-09	oos	0.001235	0.001212	-1.83%	0.001241	+0.49%	0.0257	✓	1.07
2026-04-08	oos	0.001253	0.001228	-1.99%	0.001251	-0.16%	0.0368	✓	1.08
2026-04-07	oos	0.001268	0.001242	-2.07%	0.001239	-2.29%	0.0356	✓	1.08
2026-04-06	oos	0.001317	0.001282	-2.66%	0.001228	-6.76%	0.1306	✓	1.12
2026-04-05	oos	0.00122	0.001192	-2.28%	0.001177	-3.52%	0.0409	✓	1.12
2026-04-04	oos	0.001182	0.001159	-1.93%	0.001182	+0.00%	0.0716	✓	1.10
2026-04-03	oos	0.001184	0.001162	-1.86%	0.001197	+1.10%	0.0655	✓	1.10
2026-04-02	oos	0.001167	0.001148	-1.62%	0.001235	+5.83%	0.0049	✓	1.10
2026-04-01	oos	0.001171	0.001154	-1.47%	0.001253	+7.00%	0.0354	✗	1.10
2026-03-31	oos	0.001203	0.001186	-1.44%	0.001268	+5.40%	0.0092	✓	1.10
2026-03-30	oos	0.001169	0.001157	-1.00%	0.001317	+12.66%	0.0949	✗	1.10
2026-03-29	oos	0.001191	0.001181	-0.84%	0.00122	+2.43%	0.0170	✓	1.10
2026-03-28	oos	0.001246	0.001235	-0.86%	0.001182	-5.14%	0.0600	✓	1.10
2026-03-27	oos	0.001333	0.00132	-0.98%	0.001184	-11.18%	0.1186	✓	1.10
2026-03-26	oos	0.001458	0.001442	-1.06%	0.001167	-19.96%	0.1821	✓	1.08
2026-03-25	oos	0.001511	0.001499	-0.79%	0.001171	-22.50%	0.1976	✓	1.08
2026-03-24	oos	0.001523	0.00151	-0.82%	0.001203	-21.01%	0.1915	✓	1.08
2026-03-23	oos	0.00154	0.001528	-0.78%	0.001169	-24.09%	0.2026	✓	1.08
2026-03-22	oos	0.001521	0.001505	-1.02%	0.001191	-21.70%	0.2031	✓	1.11
2026-03-21	oos	0.001581	0.001565	-0.99%	0.001246	-21.19%	0.1859	✓	1.10
2026-03-20	oos	0.001576	0.001566	-0.65%	0.001333	-15.42%	0.0938	✓	1.11
2026-03-19	oos	0.001769	0.001748	-1.17%	0.001458	-17.58%	0.1629	✓	1.13
2026-03-18	oos	0.001782	0.001763	-1.08%	0.001511	-15.21%	0.1550	✓	1.13
2026-03-17	oos	0.001847	0.001826	-1.11%	0.001523	-17.54%	0.1282	✓	1.14
2026-03-16	oos	0.001867	0.001846	-1.15%	0.00154	-17.51%	0.1188	✓	1.13
2026-03-15	oos	0.001867	0.001842	-1.34%	0.001521	-18.53%	0.1121	✓	1.12
2026-03-14	oos	0.001847	0.00182	-1.46%	0.001581	-14.40%	0.1035	✓	1.13
2026-03-13	oos	0.001851	0.001822	-1.55%	0.001576	-14.86%	0.1381	✓	1.12
2026-03-12	oos	0.001816	0.001788	-1.53%	0.001769	-2.59%	0.0010	✓	1.12
2026-03-11	oos	0.001821	0.001792	-1.62%	0.001782	-2.14%	0.0218	✓	1.12
2026-03-10	oos	0.001806	0.001777	-1.62%	0.001847	+2.27%	0.0230	✓	1.12
2026-03-09	oos	0.00188	0.001844	-1.92%	0.001867	-0.69%	0.0903	✓	1.14
2026-03-08	oos	0.001837	0.001803	-1.85%	0.001867	+1.63%	0.0780	✓	1.14
2026-03-07	oos	0.001939	0.001901	-1.98%	0.001847	-4.74%	0.0935	✓	1.13
2026-03-06	oos	0.001938	0.001903	-1.82%	0.001851	-4.49%	0.0735	✓	1.13
2026-03-05	oos	0.002083	0.002041	-2.02%	0.001816	-12.82%	0.1112	✓	1.11
2026-03-04	oos	0.002165	0.002117	-2.22%	0.001821	-15.89%	0.1127	✓	1.09
2026-03-03	oos	0.002077	0.002035	-2.03%	0.001806	-13.05%	0.1455	✓	1.12
2026-03-02	oos	0.002231	0.002177	-2.43%	0.00188	-15.73%	0.1403	✓	1.06
2026-03-01	oos	0.002204	0.002151	-2.40%	0.001837	-16.65%	0.1612	✓	1.07
2026-02-28	oos	0.002497	0.002411	-3.45%	0.001939	-22.35%	0.2223	✓	1.04
2026-02-27	oos	0.002439	0.002354	-3.48%	0.001938	-20.54%	0.2296	✓	1.04
2026-02-26	oos	0.002328	0.002257	-3.07%	0.002083	-10.52%	0.1321	✓	1.06
2026-02-25	oos	0.002335	0.002258	-3.31%	0.002165	-7.28%	0.1126	✓	1.06
2026-02-24	oos	0.002177	0.002117	-2.77%	0.002077	-4.59%	0.0866	✓	1.05
2026-02-23	oos	0.002412	0.002324	-3.67%	0.002231	-7.50%	0.1068	✓	1.05
2026-02-22	oos	0.002574	0.002457	-4.56%	0.002204	-14.37%	0.0799	✓	1.03
2026-02-21	oos	0.002421	0.002289	-5.44%	0.002497	+3.14%	0.1020	✗	1.04
2026-02-20	oos	0.001841	0.001796	-2.47%	0.002439	+32.48%	0.3386	✗	1.02
2026-02-19	oos	0.001773	0.001733	-2.26%	0.002328	+31.30%	0.2873	✗	1.01
2026-02-18	oos	0.001751	0.001712	-2.24%	0.002335	+33.35%	0.2867	✗	1.02
2026-02-17	oos	0.00175	0.001709	-2.36%	0.002177	+24.40%	0.2933	✗	0.99
2026-02-16	oos	0.001592	0.001567	-1.57%	0.002412	+51.51%	0.4966	✗	1.03
2026-02-15	oos	0.001589	0.001567	-1.39%	0.002574	+61.99%	0.5140	✗	1.03
2026-02-14	oos	0.001649	0.001624	-1.49%	0.002421	+46.82%	0.4265	✗	1.03
2026-02-13	oos	0.001779	0.001745	-1.93%	0.001841	+3.49%	0.0664	✗	1.05
2026-02-12	oos	0.001795	0.001763	-1.78%	0.001773	-1.23%	0.0068	✓	1.08
2026-02-11	oos	0.001831	0.001798	-1.78%	0.001751	-4.37%	0.0171	✓	1.06
2026-02-10	oos	0.001973	0.001925	-2.44%	0.00175	-11.30%	0.0752	✓	1.02
2026-02-09	oos	0.001987	0.001936	-2.54%	0.001592	-19.88%	0.1776	✓	1.02
2026-02-08	oos	0.002049	0.001993	-2.75%	0.001589	-22.45%	0.2044	✓	1.03
2026-02-07	oos	0.002075	0.002017	-2.82%	0.001649	-20.53%	0.2093	✓	1.03
2026-02-06	oos	0.002049	0.001991	-2.82%	0.001779	-13.18%	0.0871	✓	1.04
2026-02-05	oos	0.001734	0.00175	+0.93%	0.001795	+3.52%	0.0253	✗	0.96
2026-02-04	oos	0.00209	0.00204	-2.37%	0.001831	-12.39%	0.0397	✓	0.80
2026-02-03	oos	0.002422	0.002324	-4.07%	0.001973	-18.54%	0.0964	✓	0.71
2026-02-02	oos	0.002443	0.00234	-4.21%	0.001987	-18.67%	0.0828	✓	0.70
2026-02-01	oos	0.002262	0.002189	-3.21%	0.002049	-9.42%	0.0051	✓	0.68
2026-01-31	oos	0.002444	0.002352	-3.78%	0.002075	-15.10%	0.0404	✓	0.67
2026-01-30	oos	0.003058	0.00289	-5.51%	0.002049	-33.00%	0.2789	✓	0.37
2026-01-29	oos	0.003029	0.002854	-5.78%	0.001734	-42.75%	0.3881	✓	0.37
2026-01-28	oos	0.002869	0.0027	-5.89%	0.00209	-27.15%	0.1615	✓	0.47
2026-01-27	oos	0.002586	0.002433	-5.93%	0.002422	-6.34%	0.0729	✗	0.47
2026-01-26	oos	0.00193	0.001872	-3.02%	0.002443	+26.58%	0.3083	✗	0.37
2026-01-25	oos	0.001933	0.00188	-2.75%	0.002262	+17.02%	0.2289	✗	0.37
2026-01-24	oos	0.002423	0.002326	-4.00%	0.002444	+0.87%	0.0766	✗	0.22
2026-01-23	oos	0.002557	0.002446	-4.36%	0.003058	+19.59%	0.2370	✗	0.22
2026-01-22	oos	0.003032	0.002785	-8.16%	0.003029	-0.10%	0.0970	✗	0.23
2026-01-21	oos	0.002176	0.002063	-5.21%	0.002869	+31.85%	0.3304	✗	0.19
2026-01-20	oos	0.001638	0.00158	-3.54%	0.002586	+57.88%	0.4917	✗	0.11
2026-01-19	oos	0.001274	0.001252	-1.69%	0.00193	+51.49%	0.4533	✗	0.44
2026-01-18	oos	0.001241	0.001223	-1.46%	0.001933	+55.76%	0.4948	✗	0.47
2026-01-17	oos	0.00121	0.001196	-1.18%	0.002423	+100.25%	0.7383	✗	0.49
2026-01-16	oos	0.00125	0.001235	-1.23%	0.002557	+104.56%	0.7615	✗	0.51
2026-01-15	oos	0.001251	0.001234	-1.35%	0.003032	+142.37%	0.9330	✗	0.52
2026-01-14	oos	0.001151	0.001141	-0.89%	0.002176	+89.05%	0.6868	✗	0.50
2026-01-13	oos	0.001087	0.001078	-0.81%	0.001638	+50.69%	0.4594	✗	0.54
2026-01-12	oos	0.001073	0.001062	-0.98%	0.001274	+18.73%	0.1733	✗	0.55
2026-01-11	oos	0.001053	0.001046	-0.71%	0.001241	+17.85%	0.1546	✗	0.56
2026-01-10	oos	0.001064	0.001059	-0.44%	0.00121	+13.72%	0.1043	✗	0.56
2026-01-09	oos	0.001297	0.00129	-0.50%	0.00125	-3.62%	0.0636	✓	0.59
2026-01-08	oos	0.001428	0.00142	-0.56%	0.001251	-12.39%	0.1576	✓	0.63
2026-01-07	oos	0.001443	0.001436	-0.48%	0.001151	-20.24%	0.2711	✓	0.83
2026-01-06	oos	0.001483	0.001479	-0.28%	0.001087	-26.70%	0.3222	✓	0.82
2026-01-05	oos	0.00148	0.001477	-0.22%	0.001073	-27.50%	0.2956	✓	0.82
2026-01-04	oos	0.001512	0.001504	-0.51%	0.001053	-30.36%	0.3509	✓	0.84
2026-01-03	oos	0.001512	0.001503	-0.59%	0.001064	-29.63%	0.3434	✓	0.85
2026-01-02	oos	0.001513	0.001503	-0.65%	0.001297	-14.28%	0.1527	✓	0.83
2026-01-01	oos	0.001499	0.001489	-0.68%	0.001428	-4.74%	0.0628	✓	0.83
2025-12-31	oos	0.001491	0.00148	-0.73%	0.001443	-3.22%	0.0599	✓	0.81
2025-12-30	oos	0.001499	0.001489	-0.64%	0.001483	-1.07%	0.0524	✓	0.82
2025-12-29	oos	0.001531	0.001519	-0.80%	0.00148	-3.33%	0.0887	✓	0.84
2025-12-28	oos	0.001553	0.00154	-0.81%	0.001512	-2.64%	0.0525	✓	0.84
2025-12-27	oos	0.001548	0.001535	-0.83%	0.001512	-2.33%	0.0413	✓	0.83
2025-12-26	oos	0.001508	0.001497	-0.73%	0.001513	+0.33%	0.0143	✓	0.83
2025-12-25	oos	0.001517	0.001506	-0.73%	0.001499	-1.19%	0.0193	✓	0.83
2025-12-24	oos	0.001545	0.001533	-0.78%	0.001491	-3.50%	0.0267	✓	0.83
2025-12-23	oos	0.001502	0.001492	-0.65%	0.001499	-0.20%	0.0047	✓	0.83
2025-12-22	oos	0.001524	0.001515	-0.58%	0.001531	+0.46%	0.0240	✗	0.83
2025-12-21	oos	0.001562	0.001551	-0.68%	0.001553	-0.58%	0.0082	✗	0.83
2025-12-20	oos	0.001551	0.001541	-0.67%	0.001548	-0.19%	0.0097	✗	0.83
2025-12-19	oos	0.001527	0.001518	-0.59%	0.001508	-1.24%	0.0009	✓	0.83
2025-12-18	oos	0.001466	0.001459	-0.47%	0.001517	+3.48%	0.0230	✗	0.80
2025-12-17	oos	0.001591	0.00158	-0.67%	0.001545	-2.89%	0.0353	✓	0.79
2025-12-16	oos	0.001571	0.001565	-0.40%	0.001502	-4.39%	0.0370	✓	0.80
2025-12-15	oos	0.001705	0.001692	-0.76%	0.001524	-10.62%	0.1250	✓	0.84
2025-12-14	oos	0.001763	0.00175	-0.76%	0.001562	-11.40%	0.1178	✓	0.82
2025-12-13	oos	0.001776	0.001764	-0.65%	0.001551	-12.67%	0.1113	✓	0.82
2025-12-12	oos	0.001747	0.001738	-0.54%	0.001527	-12.59%	0.1093	✓	0.81
2025-12-11	oos	0.001774	0.001767	-0.41%	0.001466	-17.36%	0.1215	✓	0.82
2025-12-10	oos	0.001811	0.001803	-0.46%	0.001591	-12.15%	0.0716	✓	0.82
2025-12-09	oos	0.001847	0.001838	-0.51%	0.001571	-14.94%	0.1139	✓	0.80
2025-12-08	oos	0.001859	0.001848	-0.61%	0.001705	-8.28%	0.0420	✓	0.80
2025-12-07	oos	0.001868	0.001856	-0.62%	0.001763	-5.62%	0.0317	✓	0.80
2025-12-06	oos	0.001905	0.001892	-0.69%	0.001776	-6.77%	0.0721	✓	0.82
2025-12-05	oos	0.001952	0.001937	-0.75%	0.001747	-10.50%	0.1120	✓	0.83
2025-12-04	oos	0.00194	0.001929	-0.55%	0.001774	-8.56%	0.0881	✓	0.85
2025-12-03	oos	0.001898	0.001891	-0.37%	0.001811	-4.58%	0.0300	✓	0.87
2025-12-02	oos	0.002113	0.002094	-0.91%	0.001847	-12.59%	0.1396	✓	0.94
2025-12-01	oos	0.002023	0.002006	-0.84%	0.001859	-8.11%	0.1231	✓	0.95
2025-11-30	oos	0.002087	0.00207	-0.83%	0.001868	-10.49%	0.1029	✓	0.95
2025-11-29	oos	0.002052	0.002038	-0.70%	0.001905	-7.16%	0.0510	✓	0.94
2025-11-28	oos	0.002104	0.002087	-0.79%	0.001952	-7.22%	0.0508	✓	0.94
2025-11-27	oos	0.002156	0.002137	-0.90%	0.00194	-10.02%	0.1045	✓	0.94
2025-11-26	oos	0.002243	0.002215	-1.23%	0.001898	-15.38%	0.1841	✓	0.91
2025-11-25	oos	0.002127	0.002103	-1.13%	0.002113	-0.66%	0.0337	✓	0.86
2025-11-24	oos	0.002113	0.002089	-1.12%	0.002023	-4.26%	0.0126	✓	0.87
2025-11-23	oos	0.002067	0.002045	-1.04%	0.002087	+0.97%	0.0154	✓	0.88
2025-11-22	oos	0.002052	0.002031	-1.00%	0.002052	+0.00%	0.0522	✓	0.89
2025-11-21	oos	0.002028	0.002011	-0.84%	0.002104	+3.75%	0.0141	✓	0.89
2025-11-20	oos	0.002114	0.002094	-0.95%	0.002156	+1.99%	0.0185	✓	0.89
2025-11-19	oos	0.00213	0.002113	-0.82%	0.002243	+5.31%	0.0711	✗	1.02
2025-11-18	oos	0.002379	0.002348	-1.29%	0.002127	-10.59%	0.0373	✓	0.99
2025-11-17	oos	0.002376	0.002345	-1.29%	0.002113	-11.07%	0.0621	✓	0.99
2025-11-16	oos	0.002515	0.002475	-1.59%	0.002067	-17.81%	0.0985	✓	1.00
2025-11-15	oos	0.002504	0.002465	-1.55%	0.002052	-18.05%	0.0611	✓	1.01
2025-11-14	oos	0.002495	0.002455	-1.61%	0.002028	-18.72%	0.0844	✓	1.01
2025-11-13	oos	0.002549	0.002504	-1.75%	0.002114	-17.07%	0.0185	✓	1.07
2025-11-12	oos	0.002376	0.002346	-1.27%	0.00213	-10.35%	0.0224	✗	1.13
2025-11-11	oos	0.002356	0.002328	-1.19%	0.002379	+0.98%	0.1391	✗	1.14
2025-11-10	oos	0.002432	0.002401	-1.29%	0.002376	-2.30%	0.1506	✗	1.15
2025-11-09	oos	0.002446	0.002411	-1.45%	0.002515	+2.82%	0.1642	✗	1.15
2025-11-08	oos	0.002341	0.002309	-1.35%	0.002504	+6.96%	0.1580	✗	1.13
2025-11-07	oos	0.002353	0.002319	-1.44%	0.002495	+6.03%	0.1739	✗	1.13
2025-11-06	oos	0.002295	0.002264	-1.37%	0.002549	+11.07%	0.1375	✗	1.13
2025-11-05	oos	0.002319	0.002289	-1.30%	0.002376	+2.46%	0.0623	✗	1.15
2025-11-04	oos	0.002346	0.002315	-1.32%	0.002356	+0.43%	0.0000	✓	1.16
2025-11-03	oos	0.002457	0.002423	-1.40%	0.002432	-1.02%	0.0106	✓	1.24
2025-11-02	oos	0.002561	0.002521	-1.55%	0.002446	-4.49%	0.0386	✗	1.27
2025-11-01	oos	0.002578	0.002536	-1.63%	0.002341	-9.19%	0.0130	✓	1.27
2025-10-31	oos	0.002536	0.002495	-1.60%	0.002353	-7.22%	0.0151	✓	1.25
2025-10-30	oos	0.002497	0.002458	-1.54%	0.002295	-8.09%	0.0146	✓	1.25
2025-10-29	oos	0.002563	0.002519	-1.72%	0.002319	-9.52%	0.0121	✓	1.23
2025-10-28	oos	0.002543	0.002498	-1.76%	0.002346	-7.75%	0.0789	✗	1.33
2025-10-27	oos	0.002559	0.002512	-1.85%	0.002457	-3.99%	0.0690	✗	1.33
2025-10-26	oos	0.002568	0.002519	-1.92%	0.002561	-0.27%	0.0648	✗	1.35
2025-10-25	oos	0.002539	0.002493	-1.80%	0.002578	+1.54%	0.0531	✗	1.35
2025-10-24	oos	0.002591	0.002543	-1.84%	0.002536	-2.12%	0.0156	✓	1.37
2025-10-23	oos	0.002651	0.002597	-2.03%	0.002497	-5.81%	0.0165	✓	1.38
2025-10-22	oos	0.002551	0.002508	-1.70%	0.002563	+0.47%	0.0084	✓	1.35
2025-10-21	oos	0.002615	0.002567	-1.83%	0.002543	-2.75%	0.0647	✓	1.34
2025-10-20	oos	0.00277	0.002706	-2.31%	0.002559	-7.62%	0.0978	✓	1.34
2025-10-19	oos	0.002754	0.002689	-2.36%	0.002568	-6.75%	0.1141	✓	1.29
2025-10-18	oos	0.002603	0.002554	-1.87%	0.002539	-2.46%	0.0574	✓	1.26
2025-10-17	oos	0.002569	0.002523	-1.80%	0.002591	+0.86%	0.0258	✓	1.25
2025-10-16	oos	0.002321	0.002307	-0.62%	0.002651	+14.22%	0.1159	✗	1.33
2025-10-15	oos	0.002618	0.002577	-1.56%	0.002551	-2.56%	0.0278	✗	1.29
2025-10-14	oos	0.002755	0.002703	-1.89%	0.002615	-5.08%	0.0218	✗	1.29
2025-10-13	oos	0.002869	0.002812	-1.98%	0.00277	-3.45%	0.0406	✗	1.34
2025-10-12	oos	0.002876	0.002821	-1.92%	0.002754	-4.24%	0.0514	✗	1.32
2025-10-11	oos	0.002775	0.002734	-1.49%	0.002603	-6.20%	0.0055	✓	1.33
2025-10-10	oos	0.003127	0.003066	-1.94%	0.002569	-17.84%	0.0985	✓	1.32
2025-10-09	oos	0.003705	0.003641	-1.72%	0.002321	-37.35%	0.3235	✓	1.08
2025-10-08	oos	0.003611	0.003555	-1.55%	0.002618	-27.50%	0.1798	✓	1.18
2025-10-07	oos	0.003554	0.003483	-1.99%	0.002755	-22.48%	0.1471	✓	1.23
2025-10-06	oos	0.003636	0.003579	-1.58%	0.002869	-21.09%	0.1225	✓	1.25
2025-10-05	oos	0.003542	0.003481	-1.72%	0.002876	-18.80%	0.1035	✓	1.23
2025-10-04	oos	0.003741	0.003669	-1.93%	0.002775	-25.82%	0.1550	✓	1.24
2025-10-03	oos	0.003873	0.003798	-1.95%	0.003127	-19.26%	0.0963	✓	1.24
2025-10-02	oos	0.003979	0.003888	-2.29%	0.003705	-6.89%	0.0596	✓	1.26
2025-10-01	oos	0.003908	0.003807	-2.59%	0.003611	-7.60%	0.1003	✓	1.23
2025-09-30	oos	0.003781	0.003672	-2.89%	0.003554	-6.00%	0.1088	✓	1.23
2025-09-29	oos	0.003783	0.003673	-2.92%	0.003636	-3.89%	0.1220	✓	1.29
2025-09-28	oos	0.003796	0.003685	-2.93%	0.003542	-6.69%	0.1656	✓	1.31
2025-09-27	oos	0.003756	0.003649	-2.84%	0.003741	-0.40%	0.1203	✓	1.32
2025-09-26	oos	0.003832	0.003725	-2.79%	0.003873	+1.07%	0.1040	✓	1.31
2025-09-25	oos	0.003836	0.003734	-2.66%	0.003979	+3.73%	0.0686	✓	1.31
2025-09-24	oos	0.004035	0.003923	-2.77%	0.003908	-3.15%	0.0653	✓	1.34
2025-09-23	oos	0.004111	0.003997	-2.77%	0.003781	-8.03%	0.0800	✓	1.35
2025-09-22	oos	0.004131	0.004021	-2.66%	0.003783	-8.42%	0.0804	✓	1.35
2025-09-21	oos	0.004291	0.004184	-2.49%	0.003796	-11.54%	0.0601	✓	1.38
2025-09-20	oos	0.004227	0.004128	-2.34%	0.003756	-11.14%	0.0190	✓	1.40
2025-09-19	oos	0.004577	0.004477	-2.18%	0.003832	-16.28%	0.0839	✓	1.35
2025-09-18	oos	0.004589	0.004495	-2.05%	0.003836	-16.41%	0.0599	✓	1.38

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.