XRD

Radix · native · beta_5y

token id: #955
symbol: XRD
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2023-11-23
predictions: 3,138

Track record at +30d

assessed

370

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

70.0%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.2693

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0377

actual -0.1641

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	live	0.00020255	0.000188183	-7.09%	–	pending	–	–	-0.50
2026-10-21	oos	0.00018625	0.000173292	-6.96%	–	pending	–	–	-0.66
2026-10-20	oos	0.00020335	0.000187532	-7.78%	–	pending	–	–	-0.67
2026-10-19	oos	0.0001597	0.000152021	-4.81%	–	pending	–	–	-0.76
2026-10-18	oos	0.0001555	0.000150094	-3.48%	–	pending	–	–	-0.75
2026-10-17	oos	0.000145	0.000143014	-1.37%	–	pending	–	–	-0.77
2026-10-16	oos	0.000202	0.00019804	-1.96%	–	pending	–	–	-0.80
2026-10-15	oos	0.0002698	0.000253077	-6.20%	–	pending	–	–	-0.89
2026-10-14	oos	0.0003023	0.000277239	-8.29%	–	pending	–	–	-0.88
2026-10-13	oos	0.000314	0.000285845	-8.97%	–	pending	–	–	-0.91
2026-10-12	oos	0.0003316	0.000297995	-10.13%	–	pending	–	–	-0.90
2026-10-11	oos	0.0003167	0.000285859	-9.74%	–	pending	–	–	-0.82
2026-10-10	oos	0.000315	0.000283656	-9.95%	–	pending	–	–	-0.75
2026-10-09	oos	0.0003063	0.000276629	-9.69%	–	pending	–	–	-0.76
2026-10-08	oos	0.0003161	0.000283755	-10.23%	–	pending	–	–	-0.75
2026-10-07	oos	0.0003327	0.000296642	-10.84%	–	pending	–	–	-0.78
2026-10-06	oos	0.0003347	0.000299449	-10.53%	–	pending	–	–	-0.79
2026-10-05	oos	0.0003482	0.000310539	-10.82%	–	pending	–	–	-0.81
2026-10-04	oos	0.00035815	0.000320916	-10.40%	–	pending	–	–	-0.81
2026-10-03	oos	0.0003558	0.000315872	-11.22%	–	pending	–	–	-0.83
2026-10-02	oos	0.0003674	0.000325672	-11.36%	–	pending	–	–	-0.82
2026-10-01	oos	0.0003791	0.000337535	-10.96%	–	pending	–	–	-0.82
2026-09-30	oos	0.0003794	0.000335118	-11.67%	–	pending	–	–	-0.83
2026-09-29	oos	0.0004078	0.000363105	-10.96%	–	pending	–	–	-0.82
2026-09-28	oos	0.00041535	0.000369886	-10.95%	–	pending	–	–	-0.78
2026-09-27	oos	0.0004422	0.000399409	-9.68%	–	pending	–	–	-0.78
2026-09-26	oos	0.000458	0.000412757	-9.88%	–	pending	–	–	-0.79
2026-09-25	oos	0.00043745	0.000392814	-10.20%	–	pending	–	–	-0.79
2026-09-24	oos	0.0004705	0.000420935	-10.53%	–	pending	–	–	-0.80
2026-09-23	oos	0.0004971	0.000438181	-11.85%	–	pending	–	–	-0.80
2026-09-22	oos	0.00052705	0.000456335	-13.42%	0.00020255	-61.57%	0.8314	✓	-0.82
2026-09-21	oos	0.0004693	0.000419227	-10.67%	0.00018625	-60.31%	0.8463	✓	-0.76
2026-09-20	oos	0.0005461	0.000462988	-15.22%	0.00020335	-62.76%	0.8114	✓	-0.53
2026-09-19	oos	0.0005252	0.000447074	-14.88%	0.0001597	-69.59%	1.0256	✓	-0.52
2026-09-18	oos	0.0005677	0.000472004	-16.86%	0.0001555	-72.61%	1.1035	✓	-0.49
2026-09-17	oos	0.0005761	0.000481103	-16.49%	0.000145	-74.83%	1.1661	✓	-0.52
2026-09-16	oos	0.0005034	0.000428357	-14.91%	0.000202	-59.87%	0.7162	✓	-0.52
2026-09-15	oos	0.00055565	0.00046435	-16.43%	0.0002698	-51.44%	0.5005	✓	-0.51
2026-09-14	oos	0.00050485	0.000425167	-15.78%	0.0003023	-40.12%	0.3238	✓	-0.41
2026-09-13	oos	0.0004931	0.000417518	-15.33%	0.000314	-36.32%	0.2516	✓	-0.42
2026-09-12	oos	0.00051075	0.000429145	-15.98%	0.0003316	-35.08%	0.2338	✓	-0.43
2026-09-11	oos	0.0004845	0.000411711	-15.02%	0.0003167	-34.63%	0.2284	✓	-0.42
2026-09-10	oos	0.00049	0.000416152	-15.07%	0.000315	-35.71%	0.2458	✓	-0.41
2026-09-09	oos	0.0004695	0.00040372	-14.01%	0.0003063	-34.76%	0.2562	✓	-0.38
2026-09-08	oos	0.0004796	0.000413779	-13.72%	0.0003161	-34.09%	0.2548	✓	-0.36
2026-09-07	oos	0.0004335	0.000384255	-11.36%	0.0003327	-23.25%	0.1276	✓	-0.32
2026-09-06	oos	0.0004823	0.000428888	-11.07%	0.0003347	-30.60%	0.2230	✓	-0.40
2026-09-05	oos	0.0004722	0.000432551	-8.40%	0.0003482	-26.26%	0.1876	✓	-0.41
2026-09-04	oos	0.0005019	0.000472136	-5.93%	0.00035815	-28.64%	0.2464	✓	-0.36
2026-09-03	oos	0.00048295	0.000482333	-0.13%	0.0003558	-26.33%	0.2900	✓	-0.34
2026-09-02	oos	0.0005701	0.000580972	+1.91%	0.0003674	-35.56%	0.4528	✗	-0.06
2026-09-01	oos	0.0005914	0.000618905	+4.65%	0.0003791	-35.90%	0.4837	✗	-0.07
2026-08-31	oos	0.0006227	0.000670438	+7.67%	0.0003794	-39.07%	0.5606	✗	-0.14
2026-08-30	oos	0.0008295	0.000878153	+5.87%	0.0004078	-50.84%	0.7656	✗	-0.02
2026-08-29	oos	0.0008672	0.000920073	+6.10%	0.00041535	-52.10%	0.7954	✗	0.00
2026-08-28	oos	0.0008723	0.000928715	+6.47%	0.0004422	-49.31%	0.7420	✗	-0.00
2026-08-27	oos	0.0008124	0.000884717	+8.90%	0.000458	-43.62%	0.6612	✗	0.06
2026-08-26	oos	0.0008192	0.000893697	+9.09%	0.00043745	-46.60%	0.7180	✗	0.06
2026-08-25	oos	0.0009036	0.000974815	+7.88%	0.0004705	-47.93%	0.7342	✗	0.08
2026-08-24	oos	0.0009272	0.001002	+8.05%	0.0004971	-46.39%	0.7069	✗	0.09
2026-08-23	oos	0.0008831	0.000957176	+8.39%	0.00052705	-40.32%	0.6022	✗	0.05
2026-08-22	oos	0.0007908	0.00086778	+9.73%	0.0004693	-40.66%	0.6190	✗	0.04
2026-08-21	oos	0.0009212	0.000990652	+7.54%	0.0005461	-40.72%	0.5947	✗	-0.02
2026-08-20	oos	0.000924	0.000952084	+3.04%	0.0005252	-43.16%	0.5902	✗	-0.04
2026-08-19	oos	0.0009664	0.000954833	-1.20%	0.0005677	-41.26%	0.5242	✓	0.03
2026-08-18	oos	0.00104	0.000986664	-5.08%	0.0005761	-44.58%	0.5729	✓	0.21
2026-08-17	oos	0.0008909	0.000858539	-3.63%	0.0005034	-43.50%	0.5614	✓	0.17
2026-08-16	oos	0.0009265	0.000884491	-4.53%	0.00055565	-40.03%	0.5032	✓	0.21
2026-08-15	oos	0.0009606	0.000914392	-4.81%	0.00050485	-47.44%	0.6384	✓	0.21
2026-08-14	oos	0.0009194	0.000879781	-4.31%	0.0004931	-46.37%	0.6197	✓	0.21
2026-08-13	oos	0.0009389	0.000899057	-4.24%	0.00051075	-45.60%	0.6063	✓	0.21
2026-08-12	oos	0.0009805	0.000934131	-4.73%	0.0004845	-50.59%	0.6990	✓	0.22
2026-08-11	oos	0.0009268	0.000888625	-4.12%	0.00049	-47.13%	0.6331	✓	0.20
2026-08-10	oos	0.0009081	0.000874492	-3.70%	0.0004695	-48.30%	0.6649	✓	0.21
2026-08-09	oos	0.0009197	0.000888068	-3.44%	0.0004796	-47.85%	0.6556	✓	0.21
2026-08-08	oos	0.0009326	0.000900428	-3.45%	0.0004335	-53.52%	0.7720	✓	0.21
2026-08-07	oos	0.000926	0.000895319	-3.31%	0.0004823	-47.92%	0.6609	✓	0.20
2026-08-06	oos	0.0009132	0.000882395	-3.37%	0.0004722	-48.29%	0.6677	✓	0.20
2026-08-05	oos	0.0009628	0.000927359	-3.68%	0.0005019	-47.87%	0.6536	✓	0.19
2026-08-04	oos	0.0009463	0.000912551	-3.57%	0.00048295	-48.96%	0.6812	✓	0.19
2026-08-03	oos	0.0009816	0.000941179	-4.12%	0.0005701	-41.92%	0.5419	✓	0.21
2026-08-02	oos	0.0009839	0.000942808	-4.18%	0.0005914	-39.89%	0.5060	✓	0.20
2026-08-01	oos	0.0009494	0.000911348	-4.01%	0.0006227	-34.41%	0.4246	✓	0.19
2026-07-31	oos	0.0009641	0.000925691	-3.98%	0.0008295	-13.96%	0.1511	✓	0.20
2026-07-30	oos	0.0009621	0.000932745	-3.05%	0.0008672	-9.86%	0.1120	✓	0.21
2026-07-29	oos	0.0009642	0.000933554	-3.18%	0.0008723	-9.53%	0.1082	✓	0.20
2026-07-28	oos	0.000978	0.000947767	-3.09%	0.0008124	-16.93%	0.2002	✓	0.20
2026-07-27	oos	0.0009945	0.000963375	-3.13%	0.0008192	-17.63%	0.2060	✓	0.20
2026-07-26	oos	0.001022	0.000995594	-2.58%	0.0009036	-11.59%	0.1336	✓	0.20
2026-07-25	oos	0.0009924	0.000968898	-2.37%	0.0009272	-6.57%	0.0834	✓	0.19
2026-07-24	oos	0.001111	0.00106	-4.58%	0.0008831	-20.48%	0.2243	✓	0.22
2026-07-23	oos	0.000826	0.000828148	+0.26%	0.0007908	-4.26%	0.1059	✗	0.35
2026-07-22	oos	0.0008296	0.000837535	+0.96%	0.0009212	+11.04%	0.0365	✓	0.35
2026-07-21	oos	0.0008107	0.000824062	+1.65%	0.000924	+13.98%	0.0818	✓	0.35
2026-07-20	oos	0.0008331	0.000838567	+0.66%	0.0009664	+16.00%	0.1192	✓	0.37
2026-07-19	oos	0.0008441	0.000846725	+0.31%	0.00104	+23.15%	0.2051	✓	0.38
2026-07-18	oos	0.0008624	0.000864279	+0.22%	0.0008909	+3.30%	0.0321	✓	0.37
2026-07-17	oos	0.0008939	0.000887974	-0.66%	0.0009265	+3.65%	0.0486	✗	0.37
2026-07-16	oos	0.0008759	0.000871497	-0.50%	0.0009606	+9.67%	0.1018	✗	0.38
2026-07-15	oos	0.0008642	0.000865658	+0.17%	0.0009194	+6.39%	0.0721	✓	0.43
2026-07-14	oos	0.0008509	0.000855317	+0.52%	0.0009389	+10.34%	0.1038	✓	0.43
2026-07-13	oos	0.0008453	0.000841243	-0.48%	0.0009805	+15.99%	0.1450	✗	0.45
2026-07-12	oos	0.0009251	0.000916322	-0.95%	0.0009268	+0.18%	0.0127	✗	0.39
2026-07-11	oos	0.0008567	0.000857364	+0.08%	0.0009081	+6.00%	0.0566	✓	0.43
2026-07-10	oos	0.0008899	0.000889352	-0.06%	0.0009197	+3.35%	0.0289	✗	0.42
2026-07-09	oos	0.0009105	0.000905378	-0.56%	0.0009326	+2.43%	0.0180	✗	0.43
2026-07-08	oos	0.0009185	0.000909931	-0.93%	0.000926	+0.82%	0.0002	✓	0.42
2026-07-07	oos	0.0009017	0.000899997	-0.19%	0.0009132	+1.28%	0.0083	✗	0.42
2026-07-06	oos	0.0009111	0.000911764	+0.07%	0.0009628	+5.67%	0.0505	✓	0.42
2026-07-05	oos	0.0009322	0.000929436	-0.30%	0.0009463	+1.51%	0.0153	✗	0.36
2026-07-04	oos	0.0008982	0.000897697	-0.06%	0.0009816	+9.29%	0.0873	✗	0.35
2026-07-03	oos	0.0008806	0.000880346	-0.03%	0.0009839	+11.73%	0.1056	✗	0.36
2026-07-02	oos	0.0008928	0.00088702	-0.65%	0.0009494	+6.34%	0.0603	✗	0.37
2026-07-01	oos	0.0008892	0.000877953	-1.26%	0.0009641	+8.42%	0.0762	✗	0.37
2026-06-30	oos	0.0008508	0.0008385	-1.45%	0.0009621	+13.08%	0.1032	✗	0.34
2026-06-29	oos	0.000859	0.000851032	-0.93%	0.0009642	+12.25%	0.1042	✗	0.34
2026-06-28	oos	0.0008715	0.000860606	-1.25%	0.000978	+12.22%	0.1019	✗	0.37
2026-06-27	oos	0.0008652	0.000857009	-0.95%	0.0009945	+14.94%	0.1268	✗	0.36
2026-06-26	oos	0.0008949	0.000885017	-1.10%	0.001022	+14.20%	0.1127	✗	0.37
2026-06-25	oos	0.0009166	0.000904474	-1.32%	0.0009924	+8.27%	0.0654	✗	0.37
2026-06-24	oos	0.000945	0.000935253	-1.03%	0.001111	+17.52%	0.1505	✗	0.43
2026-06-23	oos	0.000973	0.000965884	-0.73%	0.000826	-15.11%	0.1729	✓	0.44
2026-06-22	oos	0.001058	0.001043	-1.44%	0.0008296	-21.59%	0.2417	✓	0.39
2026-06-21	oos	0.001066	0.001048	-1.71%	0.0008107	-23.95%	0.2767	✓	0.40
2026-06-20	oos	0.001112	0.001088	-2.11%	0.0008331	-25.08%	0.2733	✓	0.38
2026-06-19	oos	0.001094	0.001071	-2.14%	0.0008441	-22.84%	0.2450	✓	0.39
2026-06-18	oos	0.001102	0.001075	-2.45%	0.0008624	-21.74%	0.2319	✓	0.38
2026-06-17	oos	0.00109	0.001068	-2.01%	0.0008939	-17.99%	0.1749	✓	0.37
2026-06-16	oos	0.001106	0.001084	-2.00%	0.0008759	-20.80%	0.2026	✓	0.37
2026-06-15	oos	0.001121	0.001097	-2.15%	0.0008642	-22.91%	0.2293	✓	0.38
2026-06-14	oos	0.001115	0.001091	-2.19%	0.0008509	-23.69%	0.2440	✓	0.38
2026-06-13	oos	0.001128	0.001098	-2.68%	0.0008453	-25.06%	0.2483	✓	0.38
2026-06-12	oos	0.001102	0.001073	-2.63%	0.0009251	-16.05%	0.1495	✓	0.38
2026-06-11	oos	0.001113	0.00108	-3.01%	0.0008567	-23.03%	0.2324	✓	0.38
2026-06-10	oos	0.001112	0.001072	-3.58%	0.0008899	-19.97%	0.2030	✓	0.39
2026-06-09	oos	0.001126	0.001081	-4.07%	0.0009105	-19.17%	0.1806	✓	0.39
2026-06-08	oos	0.001097	0.001055	-3.85%	0.0009185	-16.27%	0.1328	✓	0.41
2026-06-07	oos	0.001059	0.00102	-3.71%	0.0009017	-14.85%	0.1231	✓	0.39
2026-06-06	oos	0.001037	0.000995593	-3.99%	0.0009111	-12.14%	0.1085	✓	0.39
2026-06-05	oos	0.00103	0.000987154	-4.16%	0.0009322	-9.50%	0.0742	✓	0.41
2026-06-04	oos	0.001084	0.00103	-4.98%	0.0008982	-17.14%	0.1327	✓	0.38
2026-06-03	oos	0.001055	0.001002	-4.98%	0.0008806	-16.53%	0.1193	✓	0.43
2026-06-02	oos	0.001015	0.000969323	-4.50%	0.0008928	-12.04%	0.0407	✓	0.51
2026-06-01	oos	0.00104	0.000996802	-4.15%	0.0008892	-14.50%	0.0138	✓	0.58
2026-05-31	oos	0.00108	0.001036	-4.04%	0.0008508	-21.22%	0.0640	✓	0.58
2026-05-30	oos	0.00107	0.001028	-3.95%	0.000859	-19.72%	0.0617	✓	0.58
2026-05-29	oos	0.001088	0.001042	-4.23%	0.0008715	-19.90%	0.0457	✓	0.63
2026-05-28	oos	0.001084	0.001038	-4.21%	0.0008652	-20.18%	0.0510	✓	0.64
2026-05-27	oos	0.00112	0.001071	-4.41%	0.0008949	-20.10%	0.0530	✓	0.59
2026-05-26	oos	0.001162	0.001108	-4.63%	0.0009166	-21.12%	0.0516	✓	0.58
2026-05-25	oos	0.001116	0.001072	-3.94%	0.000945	-15.32%	0.0328	✓	0.67
2026-05-24	oos	0.001018	0.000985849	-3.16%	0.000973	-4.42%	0.1293	✗	0.69
2026-05-23	oos	0.001016	0.000982052	-3.34%	0.001058	+4.13%	0.2041	✗	0.72
2026-05-22	oos	0.001064	0.001019	-4.21%	0.001066	+0.19%	0.1722	✗	0.72
2026-05-21	oos	0.001073	0.001032	-3.85%	0.001112	+3.63%	0.2112	✗	0.72
2026-05-20	oos	0.001081	0.001038	-3.95%	0.001094	+1.20%	0.1985	✗	0.73
2026-05-19	oos	0.001127	0.001075	-4.60%	0.001102	-2.22%	0.1730	✗	0.74
2026-05-18	oos	0.001148	0.001093	-4.80%	0.00109	-5.05%	0.1276	✗	0.73
2026-05-17	oos	0.001148	0.001094	-4.73%	0.001106	-3.66%	0.1232	✗	0.68
2026-05-16	oos	0.001173	0.001117	-4.77%	0.001121	-4.43%	0.1143	✗	0.67
2026-05-15	oos	0.001194	0.001138	-4.71%	0.001115	-6.62%	0.1059	✗	0.68
2026-05-14	oos	0.00121	0.00116	-4.15%	0.001128	-6.78%	0.1246	✗	0.66
2026-05-13	oos	0.001223	0.001165	-4.73%	0.001102	-9.89%	0.0877	✗	0.65
2026-05-12	oos	0.001247	0.001188	-4.69%	0.001113	-10.75%	0.0874	✗	0.65
2026-05-11	oos	0.00125	0.001196	-4.33%	0.001112	-11.04%	0.1234	✗	0.69
2026-05-10	oos	0.001246	0.001196	-3.98%	0.001126	-9.59%	0.1362	✗	0.68
2026-05-09	oos	0.001259	0.001203	-4.44%	0.001097	-12.87%	0.0782	✗	0.69
2026-05-08	oos	0.001245	0.001193	-4.21%	0.001059	-14.94%	0.0437	✗	0.69
2026-05-07	oos	0.001261	0.001208	-4.20%	0.001037	-17.76%	0.0314	✓	0.67
2026-05-06	oos	0.001284	0.001235	-3.79%	0.00103	-19.78%	0.0675	✗	0.86
2026-05-05	oos	0.001274	0.001229	-3.55%	0.001084	-14.91%	0.1027	✗	0.96
2026-05-04	oos	0.001287	0.00124	-3.63%	0.001055	-18.03%	0.0613	✗	1.01
2026-05-03	oos	0.001263	0.001221	-3.35%	0.001015	-19.64%	0.0218	✓	0.99
2026-05-02	oos	0.001264	0.001226	-2.99%	0.00104	-17.72%	0.0656	✓	1.01
2026-05-01	oos	0.00126	0.001226	-2.66%	0.00108	-14.29%	0.0645	✓	1.02
2026-04-30	oos	0.001261	0.001223	-3.05%	0.00107	-15.15%	0.0948	✓	1.14
2026-04-29	oos	0.001279	0.001238	-3.18%	0.001088	-14.93%	0.0929	✓	1.14
2026-04-28	oos	0.001283	0.001246	-2.90%	0.001084	-15.51%	0.0991	✓	1.07
2026-04-27	oos	0.001329	0.001295	-2.53%	0.00112	-15.73%	0.1024	✓	1.07
2026-04-26	oos	0.001364	0.001341	-1.67%	0.001162	-14.81%	0.1027	✓	1.10
2026-04-25	oos	0.001351	0.001321	-2.20%	0.001116	-17.39%	0.1632	✓	1.10
2026-04-24	oos	0.001327	0.001304	-1.77%	0.001018	-23.29%	0.2399	✓	1.16
2026-04-23	oos	0.001293	0.001287	-0.47%	0.001016	-21.42%	0.2119	✓	1.16
2026-04-22	oos	0.00129	0.001283	-0.52%	0.001064	-17.52%	0.1457	✓	1.16
2026-04-21	oos	0.001283	0.001252	-2.40%	0.001073	-16.37%	0.1728	✓	1.18
2026-04-20	oos	0.001286	0.001249	-2.88%	0.001081	-15.94%	0.1700	✓	1.22
2026-04-19	oos	0.001294	0.001242	-4.00%	0.001127	-12.91%	0.1396	✓	1.08
2026-04-18	oos	0.001285	0.001251	-2.62%	0.001148	-10.66%	0.1033	✓	1.08
2026-04-17	oos	0.001322	0.00131	-0.90%	0.001148	-13.16%	0.1364	✓	1.07
2026-04-16	oos	0.001241	0.00121	-2.48%	0.001173	-5.48%	0.0721	✓	1.07
2026-04-15	oos	0.001251	0.00122	-2.44%	0.001194	-4.56%	0.0805	✓	1.07
2026-04-14	oos	0.001239	0.001208	-2.52%	0.00121	-2.34%	0.0920	✓	1.05
2026-04-13	oos	0.001228	0.001206	-1.82%	0.001223	-0.41%	0.0527	✓	1.06
2026-04-12	oos	0.001177	0.001135	-3.59%	0.001247	+5.95%	0.0411	✓	1.05
2026-04-11	oos	0.001182	0.001154	-2.39%	0.00125	+5.75%	0.0384	✓	1.06
2026-04-10	oos	0.001197	0.00117	-2.29%	0.001246	+4.09%	0.0625	✓	1.06
2026-04-09	oos	0.001235	0.001193	-3.38%	0.001259	+1.94%	0.0707	✓	1.07
2026-04-08	oos	0.001253	0.001203	-3.97%	0.001245	-0.64%	0.0955	✓	1.08
2026-04-07	oos	0.001268	0.001218	-3.95%	0.001261	-0.55%	0.0799	✓	1.08
2026-04-06	oos	0.001317	0.001242	-5.68%	0.001284	-2.51%	0.1553	✓	1.12
2026-04-05	oos	0.00122	0.00116	-4.93%	0.001274	+4.43%	0.0845	✓	1.12
2026-04-04	oos	0.001182	0.001128	-4.55%	0.001287	+8.88%	0.0571	✓	1.10
2026-04-03	oos	0.001184	0.001131	-4.46%	0.001263	+6.67%	0.0659	✓	1.10
2026-04-02	oos	0.001167	0.00112	-4.04%	0.001264	+8.31%	0.0575	✓	1.10
2026-04-01	oos	0.001171	0.00113	-3.53%	0.00126	+7.60%	0.0434	✓	1.10
2026-03-31	oos	0.001203	0.001163	-3.30%	0.001261	+4.82%	0.0426	✓	1.10
2026-03-30	oos	0.001169	0.001135	-2.88%	0.001279	+9.41%	0.0200	✓	1.10
2026-03-29	oos	0.001191	0.001157	-2.81%	0.001283	+7.72%	0.0570	✓	1.10
2026-03-28	oos	0.001246	0.001213	-2.65%	0.001329	+6.66%	0.0774	✓	1.10
2026-03-27	oos	0.001333	0.001297	-2.68%	0.001364	+2.33%	0.1368	✓	1.10
2026-03-26	oos	0.001458	0.001428	-2.03%	0.001351	-7.34%	0.1869	✓	1.08
2026-03-25	oos	0.001511	0.001502	-0.59%	0.001327	-12.18%	0.2134	✓	1.08
2026-03-24	oos	0.001523	0.00151	-0.88%	0.001293	-15.10%	0.2677	✓	1.08
2026-03-23	oos	0.00154	0.001528	-0.77%	0.00129	-16.23%	0.2762	✓	1.08
2026-03-22	oos	0.001521	0.001485	-2.34%	0.001283	-15.65%	0.2771	✓	1.11
2026-03-21	oos	0.001581	0.001547	-2.14%	0.001286	-18.66%	0.2908	✓	1.10
2026-03-20	oos	0.001576	0.001559	-1.08%	0.001294	-17.89%	0.2374	✓	1.11
2026-03-19	oos	0.001769	0.001726	-2.44%	0.001285	-27.36%	0.3849	✓	1.13
2026-03-18	oos	0.001782	0.001745	-2.08%	0.001322	-25.81%	0.3666	✓	1.13
2026-03-17	oos	0.001847	0.001813	-1.85%	0.001241	-32.81%	0.3977	✓	1.14
2026-03-16	oos	0.001867	0.001831	-1.94%	0.001251	-32.99%	0.3801	✓	1.13
2026-03-15	oos	0.001867	0.00182	-2.52%	0.001239	-33.64%	0.4051	✓	1.12
2026-03-14	oos	0.001847	0.001792	-3.00%	0.001228	-33.51%	0.4274	✓	1.13
2026-03-13	oos	0.001851	0.00179	-3.30%	0.001177	-36.41%	0.4162	✓	1.12
2026-03-12	oos	0.001816	0.001754	-3.39%	0.001182	-34.91%	0.4349	✓	1.12
2026-03-11	oos	0.001821	0.001754	-3.66%	0.001197	-34.27%	0.4260	✓	1.12
2026-03-10	oos	0.001806	0.001736	-3.87%	0.001235	-31.62%	0.3695	✓	1.12
2026-03-09	oos	0.00188	0.001791	-4.76%	0.001253	-33.35%	0.4004	✓	1.14
2026-03-08	oos	0.001837	0.001745	-5.01%	0.001268	-30.97%	0.4177	✓	1.14
2026-03-07	oos	0.001939	0.001838	-5.23%	0.001317	-32.08%	0.3596	✓	1.13
2026-03-06	oos	0.001938	0.001843	-4.92%	0.00122	-37.05%	0.4271	✓	1.13
2026-03-05	oos	0.002083	0.001974	-5.22%	0.001182	-43.25%	0.4551	✓	1.11
2026-03-04	oos	0.002165	0.002046	-5.51%	0.001184	-45.31%	0.4571	✓	1.09
2026-03-03	oos	0.002077	0.001962	-5.52%	0.001167	-43.81%	0.4959	✓	1.12
2026-03-02	oos	0.002231	0.002087	-6.44%	0.001171	-47.51%	0.5668	✓	1.06
2026-03-01	oos	0.002204	0.002057	-6.67%	0.001203	-45.42%	0.5757	✓	1.07
2026-02-28	oos	0.002497	0.002279	-8.71%	0.001169	-53.18%	0.6642	✓	1.04
2026-02-27	oos	0.002439	0.002225	-8.79%	0.001191	-51.17%	0.6263	✓	1.04
2026-02-26	oos	0.002328	0.002141	-8.01%	0.001246	-46.48%	0.5230	✓	1.06
2026-02-25	oos	0.002335	0.00214	-8.34%	0.001333	-42.91%	0.4476	✓	1.06
2026-02-24	oos	0.002177	0.002009	-7.70%	0.001458	-33.03%	0.3951	✓	1.05
2026-02-23	oos	0.002412	0.002178	-9.70%	0.001511	-37.35%	0.4687	✓	1.05
2026-02-22	oos	0.002574	0.00229	-11.02%	0.001523	-40.83%	0.4516	✓	1.03
2026-02-21	oos	0.002421	0.002154	-11.02%	0.00154	-36.39%	0.3792	✓	1.04
2026-02-20	oos	0.001841	0.001728	-6.16%	0.001521	-17.38%	0.1253	✓	1.02
2026-02-19	oos	0.001773	0.001668	-5.90%	0.001581	-10.83%	0.0827	✓	1.01
2026-02-18	oos	0.001751	0.001646	-6.01%	0.001576	-9.99%	0.1041	✓	1.02
2026-02-17	oos	0.00175	0.001641	-6.21%	0.001769	+1.09%	0.0396	✓	0.99
2026-02-16	oos	0.001592	0.001515	-4.85%	0.001782	+11.93%	0.1273	✗	1.03
2026-02-15	oos	0.001589	0.001514	-4.71%	0.001847	+16.24%	0.1246	✗	1.03
2026-02-14	oos	0.001649	0.001566	-5.04%	0.001867	+13.22%	0.1030	✗	1.03
2026-02-13	oos	0.001779	0.001669	-6.18%	0.001867	+4.95%	0.0524	✓	1.05
2026-02-12	oos	0.001795	0.001681	-6.35%	0.001847	+2.90%	0.0153	✓	1.08
2026-02-11	oos	0.001831	0.001709	-6.66%	0.001851	+1.09%	0.0198	✓	1.06
2026-02-10	oos	0.001973	0.001814	-8.07%	0.001816	-7.96%	0.0242	✓	1.02
2026-02-09	oos	0.001987	0.00182	-8.40%	0.001821	-8.35%	0.0010	✓	1.02
2026-02-08	oos	0.002049	0.001862	-9.13%	0.001806	-11.86%	0.0258	✓	1.03
2026-02-07	oos	0.002075	0.001876	-9.58%	0.00188	-9.40%	0.0141	✓	1.03
2026-02-06	oos	0.002049	0.001851	-9.65%	0.001837	-10.35%	0.0617	✓	1.04
2026-02-05	oos	0.001734	0.001635	-5.72%	0.001939	+11.82%	0.1050	✗	0.96
2026-02-04	oos	0.00209	0.00189	-9.59%	0.001938	-7.27%	0.0810	✓	0.80
2026-02-03	oos	0.002422	0.002138	-11.74%	0.002083	-14.00%	0.0202	✓	0.71
2026-02-02	oos	0.002443	0.002155	-11.79%	0.002165	-11.38%	0.0600	✓	0.70
2026-02-01	oos	0.002262	0.00202	-10.70%	0.002077	-8.18%	0.1081	✓	0.68
2026-01-31	oos	0.002444	0.00216	-11.62%	0.002231	-8.72%	0.1211	✓	0.67
2026-01-30	oos	0.003058	0.002625	-14.15%	0.002204	-27.93%	0.0843	✓	0.37
2026-01-29	oos	0.003029	0.002595	-14.32%	0.002497	-17.56%	0.0478	✓	0.37
2026-01-28	oos	0.002869	0.002483	-13.46%	0.002439	-14.99%	0.1253	✓	0.47
2026-01-27	oos	0.002586	0.002258	-12.69%	0.002328	-9.98%	0.1619	✗	0.47
2026-01-26	oos	0.00193	0.001758	-8.92%	0.002335	+20.98%	0.3793	✗	0.37
2026-01-25	oos	0.001933	0.001764	-8.73%	0.002177	+12.62%	0.3214	✗	0.37
2026-01-24	oos	0.002423	0.002157	-10.98%	0.002412	-0.45%	0.1818	✗	0.22
2026-01-23	oos	0.002557	0.002263	-11.49%	0.002574	+0.66%	0.1903	✗	0.22
2026-01-22	oos	0.003032	0.002572	-15.17%	0.002421	-20.15%	0.0018	✓	0.23
2026-01-21	oos	0.002176	0.001951	-10.36%	0.001841	-15.40%	0.0063	✓	0.19
2026-01-20	oos	0.001638	0.001522	-7.07%	0.001773	+8.24%	0.1823	✗	0.11
2026-01-19	oos	0.001274	0.001231	-3.35%	0.001751	+37.44%	0.4980	✗	0.44
2026-01-18	oos	0.001241	0.001209	-2.56%	0.00175	+41.02%	0.5239	✗	0.47
2026-01-17	oos	0.00121	0.001191	-1.55%	0.001592	+31.57%	0.4482	✗	0.49
2026-01-16	oos	0.00125	0.001235	-1.22%	0.001589	+27.12%	0.4201	✗	0.51
2026-01-15	oos	0.001251	0.00124	-0.91%	0.001649	+31.81%	0.4475	✗	0.52
2026-01-14	oos	0.001151	0.001159	+0.71%	0.001779	+54.56%	0.6006	✓	0.50
2026-01-13	oos	0.001087	0.001089	+0.16%	0.001795	+65.13%	0.6955	✓	0.54
2026-01-12	oos	0.001073	0.001057	-1.45%	0.001831	+70.64%	0.7198	✗	0.55
2026-01-11	oos	0.001053	0.00104	-1.19%	0.001973	+87.37%	0.7957	✗	0.56
2026-01-10	oos	0.001064	0.001058	-0.54%	0.001987	+86.75%	0.7727	✗	0.56
2026-01-09	oos	0.001297	0.001294	-0.25%	0.002049	+57.98%	0.6095	✗	0.59
2026-01-08	oos	0.001428	0.001427	-0.10%	0.002075	+45.31%	0.5473	✗	0.63
2026-01-07	oos	0.001443	0.001446	+0.24%	0.002049	+42.00%	0.5613	✓	0.83
2026-01-06	oos	0.001483	0.001503	+1.35%	0.001734	+16.93%	0.4699	✓	0.82
2026-01-05	oos	0.00148	0.001504	+1.60%	0.00209	+41.22%	0.5356	✓	0.82
2026-01-04	oos	0.001512	0.001519	+0.48%	0.002422	+60.19%	0.6262	✓	0.84
2026-01-03	oos	0.001512	0.001515	+0.22%	0.002443	+61.57%	0.5976	✓	0.85
2026-01-02	oos	0.001513	0.001513	+0.02%	0.002262	+49.50%	0.5327	✓	0.83
2026-01-01	oos	0.001499	0.001495	-0.25%	0.002444	+63.04%	0.5913	✗	0.83
2025-12-31	oos	0.001491	0.001484	-0.50%	0.003058	+105.10%	0.7555	✗	0.81
2025-12-30	oos	0.001499	0.001496	-0.17%	0.003029	+102.07%	0.7421	✗	0.82
2025-12-29	oos	0.001531	0.00152	-0.72%	0.002869	+87.39%	0.6157	✗	0.84
2025-12-28	oos	0.001553	0.001544	-0.57%	0.002586	+66.52%	0.5039	✗	0.84
2025-12-27	oos	0.001548	0.00154	-0.54%	0.00193	+24.68%	0.2218	✗	0.83
2025-12-26	oos	0.001508	0.001502	-0.41%	0.001933	+28.18%	0.2594	✗	0.83
2025-12-25	oos	0.001517	0.001511	-0.42%	0.002423	+59.72%	0.4545	✗	0.83
2025-12-24	oos	0.001545	0.001539	-0.40%	0.002557	+65.50%	0.4904	✗	0.83
2025-12-23	oos	0.001502	0.0015	-0.14%	0.003032	+101.86%	0.6847	✗	0.83
2025-12-22	oos	0.001524	0.001526	+0.16%	0.002176	+42.78%	0.3470	✓	0.83
2025-12-21	oos	0.001562	0.001562	-0.02%	0.001638	+4.87%	0.0508	✗	0.83
2025-12-20	oos	0.001551	0.00155	-0.07%	0.001274	-17.86%	0.2349	✓	0.83
2025-12-19	oos	0.001527	0.001527	+0.01%	0.001241	-18.73%	0.2579	✗	0.83
2025-12-18	oos	0.001466	0.001461	-0.36%	0.00121	-17.46%	0.2741	✓	0.80
2025-12-17	oos	0.001591	0.001581	-0.64%	0.00125	-21.43%	0.3157	✓	0.79
2025-12-16	oos	0.001571	0.001573	+0.12%	0.001251	-20.37%	0.2962	✗	0.80
2025-12-15	oos	0.001705	0.00169	-0.90%	0.001151	-32.49%	0.4802	✓	0.84
2025-12-14	oos	0.001763	0.00175	-0.71%	0.001087	-38.34%	0.5408	✓	0.82
2025-12-13	oos	0.001776	0.001772	-0.24%	0.001073	-39.58%	0.5099	✓	0.82
2025-12-12	oos	0.001747	0.001747	-0.03%	0.001053	-39.73%	0.5113	✓	0.81
2025-12-11	oos	0.001774	0.001784	+0.55%	0.001064	-40.02%	0.4973	✗	0.82
2025-12-10	oos	0.001811	0.001817	+0.33%	0.001297	-28.38%	0.3235	✗	0.82
2025-12-09	oos	0.001847	0.001851	+0.24%	0.001428	-22.69%	0.2452	✗	0.80
2025-12-08	oos	0.001859	0.001855	-0.24%	0.001443	-22.38%	0.2564	✓	0.80
2025-12-07	oos	0.001868	0.001861	-0.36%	0.001483	-20.61%	0.2559	✓	0.80
2025-12-06	oos	0.001905	0.001892	-0.67%	0.00148	-22.31%	0.2867	✓	0.82
2025-12-05	oos	0.001952	0.001937	-0.78%	0.001512	-22.54%	0.2674	✓	0.83
2025-12-04	oos	0.00194	0.001939	-0.06%	0.001512	-22.06%	0.2347	✓	0.85
2025-12-03	oos	0.001898	0.001909	+0.59%	0.001513	-20.28%	0.1995	✗	0.87
2025-12-02	oos	0.002113	0.002091	-1.06%	0.001499	-29.06%	0.3057	✓	0.94
2025-12-01	oos	0.002023	0.001996	-1.32%	0.001491	-26.30%	0.3051	✓	0.95
2025-11-30	oos	0.002087	0.002066	-1.01%	0.001499	-28.17%	0.2997	✓	0.95
2025-11-29	oos	0.002052	0.002037	-0.74%	0.001531	-25.39%	0.2462	✓	0.94
2025-11-28	oos	0.002104	0.002083	-0.97%	0.001553	-26.19%	0.2620	✓	0.94
2025-11-27	oos	0.002156	0.00213	-1.21%	0.001548	-28.20%	0.2822	✓	0.94
2025-11-26	oos	0.002243	0.002199	-1.98%	0.001508	-32.77%	0.3445	✓	0.91
2025-11-25	oos	0.002127	0.002083	-2.06%	0.001517	-28.68%	0.3157	✓	0.86
2025-11-24	oos	0.002113	0.00207	-2.05%	0.001545	-26.88%	0.2859	✓	0.87
2025-11-23	oos	0.002067	0.002023	-2.14%	0.001502	-27.33%	0.3040	✓	0.88
2025-11-22	oos	0.002052	0.002003	-2.37%	0.001524	-25.73%	0.3132	✓	0.89
2025-11-21	oos	0.002028	0.001983	-2.20%	0.001562	-22.98%	0.2756	✓	0.89
2025-11-20	oos	0.002114	0.002063	-2.43%	0.001551	-26.63%	0.3032	✓	0.89
2025-11-19	oos	0.00213	0.002092	-1.77%	0.001527	-28.31%	0.2765	✓	1.02
2025-11-18	oos	0.002379	0.00231	-2.90%	0.001466	-38.38%	0.3715	✓	0.99
2025-11-17	oos	0.002376	0.002303	-3.06%	0.001591	-33.04%	0.3043	✓	0.99
2025-11-16	oos	0.002515	0.002424	-3.63%	0.001571	-37.53%	0.3639	✓	1.00
2025-11-15	oos	0.002504	0.002414	-3.59%	0.001705	-31.91%	0.2459	✓	1.01
2025-11-14	oos	0.002495	0.002402	-3.74%	0.001763	-29.34%	0.2388	✓	1.01
2025-11-13	oos	0.002549	0.002459	-3.52%	0.001776	-30.33%	0.2197	✓	1.07
2025-11-12	oos	0.002376	0.002315	-2.56%	0.001747	-26.47%	0.1480	✓	1.13
2025-11-11	oos	0.002356	0.002301	-2.34%	0.001774	-24.70%	0.1381	✓	1.14
2025-11-10	oos	0.002432	0.002374	-2.39%	0.001811	-25.53%	0.1090	✓	1.15
2025-11-09	oos	0.002446	0.00238	-2.71%	0.001847	-24.49%	0.1133	✓	1.15
2025-11-08	oos	0.002341	0.002276	-2.77%	0.001859	-20.59%	0.0659	✓	1.13
2025-11-07	oos	0.002353	0.002283	-2.97%	0.001868	-20.61%	0.0496	✓	1.13
2025-11-06	oos	0.002295	0.002225	-3.06%	0.001905	-16.99%	0.0129	✓	1.13
2025-11-05	oos	0.002319	0.002253	-2.87%	0.001952	-15.83%	0.0296	✗	1.15
2025-11-04	oos	0.002346	0.002273	-3.11%	0.00194	-17.31%	0.0457	✓	1.16
2025-11-03	oos	0.002457	0.002381	-3.10%	0.001898	-22.75%	0.0640	✓	1.24
2025-11-02	oos	0.002561	0.002479	-3.20%	0.002113	-17.49%	0.0829	✗	1.27
2025-11-01	oos	0.002578	0.002491	-3.36%	0.002023	-21.53%	0.1009	✗	1.27
2025-10-31	oos	0.002536	0.002452	-3.32%	0.002087	-17.71%	0.0803	✗	1.25
2025-10-30	oos	0.002497	0.002413	-3.35%	0.002052	-17.82%	0.0571	✗	1.25
2025-10-29	oos	0.002563	0.002469	-3.67%	0.002104	-17.91%	0.0741	✗	1.23
2025-10-28	oos	0.002543	0.00245	-3.65%	0.002156	-15.22%	0.1537	✗	1.33
2025-10-27	oos	0.002559	0.002462	-3.80%	0.002243	-12.35%	0.2162	✗	1.33
2025-10-26	oos	0.002568	0.002467	-3.92%	0.002127	-17.17%	0.2182	✗	1.35
2025-10-25	oos	0.002539	0.002439	-3.94%	0.002113	-16.78%	0.1749	✗	1.35
2025-10-24	oos	0.002591	0.002486	-4.04%	0.002067	-20.22%	0.1527	✗	1.37
2025-10-23	oos	0.002651	0.002531	-4.51%	0.002052	-22.60%	0.1514	✗	1.38
2025-10-22	oos	0.002551	0.002443	-4.22%	0.002028	-20.50%	0.1300	✗	1.35
2025-10-21	oos	0.002615	0.002496	-4.54%	0.002114	-19.16%	0.1360	✗	1.34
2025-10-20	oos	0.00277	0.002624	-5.28%	0.00213	-23.10%	0.0456	✓	1.34
2025-10-19	oos	0.002754	0.002602	-5.50%	0.002379	-13.62%	0.1127	✗	1.29
2025-10-18	oos	0.002603	0.00247	-5.11%	0.002376	-8.72%	0.1526	✗	1.26
2025-10-17	oos	0.002569	0.002438	-5.10%	0.002515	-2.10%	0.1839	✗	1.25
2025-10-16	oos	0.002321	0.002228	-4.00%	0.002504	+7.88%	0.2819	✗	1.33
2025-10-15	oos	0.002618	0.002494	-4.74%	0.002495	-4.70%	0.2053	✗	1.29
2025-10-14	oos	0.002755	0.002618	-4.97%	0.002549	-7.48%	0.1368	✗	1.29
2025-10-13	oos	0.002869	0.002727	-4.95%	0.002376	-17.18%	0.0303	✓	1.34
2025-10-12	oos	0.002876	0.002735	-4.90%	0.002356	-18.08%	0.0030	✓	1.32
2025-10-11	oos	0.002775	0.002639	-4.89%	0.002432	-12.36%	0.0230	✓	1.33
2025-10-10	oos	0.003127	0.002964	-5.22%	0.002446	-21.78%	0.0914	✓	1.32
2025-10-09	oos	0.003705	0.003603	-2.75%	0.002341	-36.82%	0.2438	✓	1.08
2025-10-08	oos	0.003611	0.003531	-2.22%	0.002353	-34.84%	0.1969	✓	1.18
2025-10-07	oos	0.003554	0.003418	-3.83%	0.002295	-35.42%	0.1755	✓	1.23
2025-10-06	oos	0.003636	0.003559	-2.11%	0.002319	-36.22%	0.1995	✓	1.25
2025-10-05	oos	0.003542	0.003448	-2.66%	0.002346	-33.77%	0.1425	✓	1.23
2025-10-04	oos	0.003741	0.003615	-3.36%	0.002457	-34.32%	0.2141	✓	1.24
2025-10-03	oos	0.003873	0.003744	-3.33%	0.002561	-33.88%	0.2546	✓	1.24
2025-10-02	oos	0.003979	0.003814	-4.15%	0.002578	-35.21%	0.2764	✓	1.26
2025-10-01	oos	0.003908	0.003704	-5.22%	0.002536	-35.11%	0.2807	✓	1.23
2025-09-30	oos	0.003781	0.003517	-6.97%	0.002497	-33.96%	0.2792	✓	1.23
2025-09-29	oos	0.003783	0.003515	-7.08%	0.002563	-32.25%	0.2660	✓	1.29
2025-09-28	oos	0.003796	0.003509	-7.55%	0.002543	-33.01%	0.3304	✓	1.31
2025-09-27	oos	0.003756	0.003456	-7.99%	0.002559	-31.87%	0.3523	✓	1.32
2025-09-26	oos	0.003832	0.003528	-7.94%	0.002568	-32.99%	0.3743	✓	1.31
2025-09-25	oos	0.003836	0.003527	-8.07%	0.002539	-33.81%	0.3598	✓	1.31
2025-09-24	oos	0.004035	0.003741	-7.29%	0.002591	-35.79%	0.3397	✓	1.34
2025-09-23	oos	0.004111	0.003802	-7.52%	0.002651	-35.51%	0.3375	✓	1.35
2025-09-22	oos	0.004131	0.003831	-7.26%	0.002551	-38.25%	0.3434	✓	1.35
2025-09-21	oos	0.004291	0.004022	-6.26%	0.002615	-39.06%	0.3454	✓	1.38
2025-09-20	oos	0.004227	0.003976	-5.93%	0.00277	-34.47%	0.2973	✓	1.40
2025-09-19	oos	0.004577	0.004338	-5.21%	0.002754	-39.83%	0.3702	✓	1.35
2025-09-18	oos	0.004589	0.004371	-4.74%	0.002603	-43.28%	0.3966	✓	1.38

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.