XRD

Radix · native · beta_5y

token id: #955
symbol: XRD
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2023-11-23
predictions: 3,138

Track record at +1d

assessed

399

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

56.1%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0391

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0036

actual -0.0068

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.00020255	0.000200514	-1.01%	–	pending	–	–	-0.50
2026-10-21	oos	0.00020935	0.000207329	-0.97%	0.00020255	-3.25%	0.0218	✓	-0.66
2026-10-20	oos	0.00020335	0.000201326	-1.00%	0.00020935	+2.95%	0.0478	✗	-0.67
2026-10-19	oos	0.0001597	0.000158778	-0.58%	0.00020335	+27.33%	0.2576	✗	-0.76
2026-10-18	oos	0.0001555	0.000153955	-0.99%	0.0001597	+2.70%	0.0351	✗	-0.75
2026-10-17	oos	0.000145	0.00014276	-1.54%	0.0001555	+7.24%	0.0913	✗	-0.77
2026-10-16	oos	0.000202	0.000201711	-0.14%	0.000145	-28.22%	0.3313	✓	-0.80
2026-10-15	oos	0.0002698	0.000268862	-0.35%	0.000202	-25.13%	0.2927	✓	-0.89
2026-10-14	oos	0.0003023	0.000300673	-0.54%	0.0002698	-10.75%	0.1024	✓	-0.88
2026-10-13	oos	0.000314	0.000312102	-0.60%	0.0003023	-3.73%	0.0489	✓	-0.91
2026-10-12	oos	0.0003316	0.000328979	-0.79%	0.000314	-5.31%	0.0318	✓	-0.90
2026-10-11	oos	0.0003167	0.000314567	-0.67%	0.0003316	+4.70%	0.0336	✗	-0.82
2026-10-10	oos	0.000315	0.000312794	-0.70%	0.0003167	+0.54%	0.0193	✗	-0.75
2026-10-09	oos	0.0003063	0.00030434	-0.64%	0.000315	+2.84%	0.0378	✗	-0.76
2026-10-08	oos	0.0003161	0.00031387	-0.71%	0.0003063	-3.10%	0.0167	✓	-0.75
2026-10-07	oos	0.0003327	0.000329992	-0.81%	0.0003161	-4.99%	0.0580	✓	-0.78
2026-10-06	oos	0.0003347	0.000332271	-0.73%	0.0003327	-0.60%	0.0200	✓	-0.79
2026-10-05	oos	0.0003482	0.000345487	-0.78%	0.0003347	-3.88%	0.0337	✓	-0.81
2026-10-04	oos	0.00035815	0.000355432	-0.76%	0.0003482	-2.78%	0.0277	✓	-0.81
2026-10-03	oos	0.0003558	0.000352665	-0.88%	0.00035815	+0.66%	0.0325	✗	-0.83
2026-10-02	oos	0.0003674	0.000363894	-0.95%	0.0003558	-3.16%	0.0202	✓	-0.82
2026-10-01	oos	0.0003791	0.000375448	-0.96%	0.0003674	-3.09%	0.0250	✓	-0.82
2026-09-30	oos	0.0003794	0.000375415	-1.05%	0.0003791	-0.08%	0.0224	✗	-0.83
2026-09-29	oos	0.0004078	0.000403229	-1.12%	0.0003794	-6.96%	0.0617	✓	-0.82
2026-09-28	oos	0.00041535	0.000410565	-1.15%	0.0004078	-1.82%	0.0051	✓	-0.78
2026-09-27	oos	0.0004422	0.000437111	-1.15%	0.00041535	-6.07%	0.0605	✓	-0.78
2026-09-26	oos	0.000458	0.000452539	-1.19%	0.0004422	-3.45%	0.0227	✓	-0.79
2026-09-25	oos	0.00043745	0.000432691	-1.09%	0.000458	+4.70%	0.0599	✗	-0.79
2026-09-24	oos	0.0004705	0.000465112	-1.15%	0.00043745	-7.02%	0.0641	✓	-0.80
2026-09-23	oos	0.0004971	0.000491027	-1.22%	0.0004705	-5.35%	0.0426	✓	-0.80
2026-09-22	oos	0.00052705	0.000520617	-1.22%	0.0004971	-5.68%	0.0638	✓	-0.82
2026-09-21	oos	0.0004693	0.000465087	-0.90%	0.00052705	+12.31%	0.1216	✗	-0.76
2026-09-20	oos	0.0005461	0.000538079	-1.47%	0.0004693	-14.06%	0.1026	✓	-0.53
2026-09-19	oos	0.0005252	0.000518467	-1.28%	0.0005461	+3.98%	0.0515	✗	-0.52
2026-09-18	oos	0.0005677	0.000559413	-1.46%	0.0005252	-7.49%	0.0609	✓	-0.49
2026-09-17	oos	0.0005761	0.000566859	-1.60%	0.0005677	-1.46%	0.0315	✗	-0.52
2026-09-16	oos	0.0005034	0.000499579	-0.76%	0.0005761	+14.44%	0.1439	✗	-0.52
2026-09-15	oos	0.00055565	0.000549246	-1.15%	0.0005034	-9.40%	0.0834	✓	-0.51
2026-09-14	oos	0.00050485	0.000501091	-0.74%	0.00055565	+10.06%	0.0896	✗	-0.41
2026-09-13	oos	0.0004931	0.000491086	-0.41%	0.00050485	+2.38%	0.0352	✗	-0.42
2026-09-12	oos	0.00051075	0.00050777	-0.58%	0.0004931	-3.46%	0.0319	✓	-0.43
2026-09-11	oos	0.0004845	0.000483137	-0.28%	0.00051075	+5.42%	0.0559	✗	-0.42
2026-09-10	oos	0.00049	0.000488493	-0.31%	0.0004845	-1.12%	0.0046	✓	-0.41
2026-09-09	oos	0.0004695	0.000468032	-0.31%	0.00049	+4.37%	0.0374	✗	-0.38
2026-09-08	oos	0.0004796	0.000477364	-0.47%	0.0004695	-2.11%	0.0174	✓	-0.36
2026-09-07	oos	0.0004335	0.000431855	-0.38%	0.0004796	+10.63%	0.1022	✗	-0.32
2026-09-06	oos	0.0004823	0.000480041	-0.47%	0.0004335	-10.12%	0.1082	✓	-0.40
2026-09-05	oos	0.0004722	0.000470225	-0.42%	0.0004823	+2.14%	0.0280	✗	-0.41
2026-09-04	oos	0.0005019	0.000500627	-0.25%	0.0004722	-5.92%	0.0577	✓	-0.36
2026-09-03	oos	0.00048295	0.00048215	-0.17%	0.0005019	+3.92%	0.0334	✗	-0.34
2026-09-02	oos	0.0005701	0.000570824	+0.13%	0.00048295	-15.29%	0.1641	✗	-0.06
2026-09-01	oos	0.0005914	0.000592557	+0.20%	0.0005701	-3.60%	0.0387	✗	-0.07
2026-08-31	oos	0.0006227	0.000624513	+0.29%	0.0005914	-5.03%	0.0566	✗	-0.14
2026-08-30	oos	0.0008295	0.000830174	+0.08%	0.0006227	-24.93%	0.2873	✗	-0.02
2026-08-29	oos	0.0008672	0.000867534	+0.04%	0.0008295	-4.35%	0.0448	✗	0.00
2026-08-28	oos	0.0008723	0.000872445	+0.02%	0.0008672	-0.58%	0.0060	✗	-0.00
2026-08-27	oos	0.0008124	0.000813613	+0.15%	0.0008723	+7.37%	0.0714	✓	0.06
2026-08-26	oos	0.0008192	0.000820314	+0.14%	0.0008124	-0.83%	0.0106	✗	0.06
2026-08-25	oos	0.0009036	0.00090399	+0.04%	0.0008192	-9.34%	0.0990	✗	0.08
2026-08-24	oos	0.0009272	0.000927436	+0.03%	0.0009036	-2.55%	0.0255	✗	0.09
2026-08-23	oos	0.0008831	0.000883668	+0.06%	0.0009272	+4.99%	0.0472	✓	0.05
2026-08-22	oos	0.0007908	0.000792114	+0.17%	0.0008831	+11.67%	0.1084	✓	0.04
2026-08-21	oos	0.0009212	0.000921968	+0.08%	0.0007908	-14.16%	0.1539	✗	-0.02
2026-08-20	oos	0.000924	0.000924044	+0.00%	0.0009212	-0.30%	0.0000	✓	-0.04
2026-08-19	oos	0.0009664	0.000964929	-0.15%	0.000924	-4.39%	0.0448	✓	0.03
2026-08-18	oos	0.00104	0.001034	-0.51%	0.0009664	-7.03%	0.0823	✓	0.21
2026-08-17	oos	0.0008909	0.000888676	-0.25%	0.00104	+16.68%	0.1562	✗	0.17
2026-08-16	oos	0.0009265	0.000923262	-0.35%	0.0008909	-3.84%	0.0410	✓	0.21
2026-08-15	oos	0.0009606	0.000956805	-0.40%	0.0009265	-3.55%	0.0316	✓	0.21
2026-08-14	oos	0.0009194	0.000916473	-0.32%	0.0009606	+4.48%	0.0469	✗	0.21
2026-08-13	oos	0.0009389	0.000935876	-0.32%	0.0009194	-2.08%	0.0163	✓	0.21
2026-08-12	oos	0.0009805	0.00097659	-0.40%	0.0009389	-4.24%	0.0394	✓	0.22
2026-08-11	oos	0.0009268	0.000923912	-0.31%	0.0009805	+5.79%	0.0598	✗	0.20
2026-08-10	oos	0.0009081	0.000905671	-0.27%	0.0009268	+2.06%	0.0243	✗	0.21
2026-08-09	oos	0.0009197	0.000917428	-0.25%	0.0009081	-1.26%	0.0072	✓	0.21
2026-08-08	oos	0.0009326	0.000930207	-0.26%	0.0009197	-1.38%	0.0112	✓	0.21
2026-08-07	oos	0.000926	0.000923688	-0.25%	0.0009326	+0.71%	0.0095	✗	0.20
2026-08-06	oos	0.0009132	0.000910949	-0.25%	0.000926	+1.40%	0.0145	✗	0.20
2026-08-05	oos	0.0009628	0.000959987	-0.29%	0.0009132	-5.15%	0.0490	✓	0.19
2026-08-04	oos	0.0009463	0.000943621	-0.28%	0.0009628	+1.74%	0.0185	✗	0.19
2026-08-03	oos	0.0009816	0.000978084	-0.36%	0.0009463	-3.60%	0.0349	✓	0.21
2026-08-02	oos	0.0009839	0.000980225	-0.37%	0.0009816	-0.23%	0.0015	✓	0.20
2026-08-01	oos	0.0009494	0.000946168	-0.34%	0.0009839	+3.63%	0.0368	✗	0.19
2026-07-31	oos	0.0009641	0.000960707	-0.35%	0.0009494	-1.52%	0.0116	✓	0.20
2026-07-30	oos	0.0009621	0.0009595	-0.27%	0.0009641	+0.21%	0.0109	✗	0.21
2026-07-29	oos	0.0009642	0.000961477	-0.28%	0.0009621	-0.22%	0.0020	✓	0.20
2026-07-28	oos	0.000978	0.000975185	-0.29%	0.0009642	-1.41%	0.0115	✓	0.20
2026-07-27	oos	0.0009945	0.000991408	-0.31%	0.000978	-1.66%	0.0141	✓	0.20
2026-07-26	oos	0.001022	0.001019	-0.31%	0.0009945	-2.69%	0.0191	✓	0.20
2026-07-25	oos	0.0009924	0.00098925	-0.32%	0.001022	+2.98%	0.0295	✗	0.19
2026-07-24	oos	0.001111	0.001103	-0.70%	0.0009924	-10.64%	0.1062	✓	0.22
2026-07-23	oos	0.000826	0.000825252	-0.09%	0.001111	+34.46%	0.3023	✗	0.35
2026-07-22	oos	0.0008296	0.000829078	-0.06%	0.000826	-0.43%	0.0017	✗	0.35
2026-07-21	oos	0.0008107	0.000810532	-0.02%	0.0008296	+2.33%	0.0255	✗	0.35
2026-07-20	oos	0.0008331	0.000832684	-0.05%	0.0008107	-2.69%	0.0341	✓	0.37
2026-07-19	oos	0.0008441	0.000843617	-0.06%	0.0008331	-1.30%	0.0156	✓	0.38
2026-07-18	oos	0.0008624	0.000861856	-0.06%	0.0008441	-2.12%	0.0202	✓	0.37
2026-07-17	oos	0.0008939	0.00089289	-0.11%	0.0008624	-3.52%	0.0399	✓	0.37
2026-07-16	oos	0.0008759	0.000875066	-0.10%	0.0008939	+2.06%	0.0206	✗	0.38
2026-07-15	oos	0.0008642	0.000863657	-0.06%	0.0008759	+1.35%	0.0205	✗	0.43
2026-07-14	oos	0.0008509	0.000850575	-0.04%	0.0008642	+1.56%	0.0177	✗	0.43
2026-07-13	oos	0.0008453	0.000844774	-0.06%	0.0008509	+0.66%	0.0121	✓	0.45
2026-07-12	oos	0.0009251	0.000923886	-0.13%	0.0008453	-8.63%	0.0797	✓	0.39
2026-07-11	oos	0.0008567	0.00085627	-0.05%	0.0009251	+7.98%	0.0775	✗	0.43
2026-07-10	oos	0.0008899	0.000889308	-0.07%	0.0008567	-3.73%	0.0350	✓	0.42
2026-07-09	oos	0.0009105	0.000909649	-0.09%	0.0008899	-2.26%	0.0284	✓	0.43
2026-07-08	oos	0.0009185	0.00091747	-0.11%	0.0009105	-0.87%	0.0138	✓	0.42
2026-07-07	oos	0.0009017	0.000901076	-0.07%	0.0009185	+1.86%	0.0265	✗	0.42
2026-07-06	oos	0.0009111	0.000910549	-0.06%	0.0009017	-1.03%	0.0052	✓	0.42
2026-07-05	oos	0.0009322	0.00093138	-0.09%	0.0009111	-2.26%	0.0244	✓	0.36
2026-07-04	oos	0.0008982	0.000897694	-0.06%	0.0009322	+3.79%	0.0350	✗	0.35
2026-07-03	oos	0.0008806	0.000880233	-0.04%	0.0008982	+2.00%	0.0169	✗	0.36
2026-07-02	oos	0.0008928	0.000892177	-0.07%	0.0008806	-1.37%	0.0192	✓	0.37
2026-07-01	oos	0.0008892	0.000888443	-0.09%	0.0008928	+0.40%	0.0045	✓	0.37
2026-06-30	oos	0.0008508	0.000850425	-0.04%	0.0008892	+4.51%	0.0363	✗	0.34
2026-06-29	oos	0.000859	0.000858729	-0.03%	0.0008508	-0.95%	0.0002	✓	0.34
2026-06-28	oos	0.0008715	0.000871172	-0.04%	0.000859	-1.43%	0.0183	✓	0.37
2026-06-27	oos	0.0008652	0.000865092	-0.01%	0.0008715	+0.73%	0.0102	✗	0.36
2026-06-26	oos	0.0008949	0.000894611	-0.03%	0.0008652	-3.32%	0.0330	✓	0.37
2026-06-25	oos	0.0009166	0.000916198	-0.04%	0.0008949	-2.37%	0.0254	✓	0.37
2026-06-24	oos	0.000945	0.000944521	-0.05%	0.0009166	-3.01%	0.0209	✓	0.43
2026-06-23	oos	0.000973	0.000972422	-0.06%	0.000945	-2.88%	0.0168	✓	0.44
2026-06-22	oos	0.001058	0.001056	-0.14%	0.000973	-8.03%	0.0742	✓	0.39
2026-06-21	oos	0.001066	0.001064	-0.16%	0.001058	-0.75%	0.0105	✓	0.40
2026-06-20	oos	0.001112	0.00111	-0.21%	0.001066	-4.14%	0.0342	✓	0.38
2026-06-19	oos	0.001094	0.001092	-0.20%	0.001112	+1.65%	0.0137	✗	0.39
2026-06-18	oos	0.001102	0.0011	-0.22%	0.001094	-0.73%	0.0087	✓	0.38
2026-06-17	oos	0.00109	0.001088	-0.20%	0.001102	+1.10%	0.0220	✗	0.37
2026-06-16	oos	0.001106	0.001104	-0.21%	0.00109	-1.45%	0.0059	✓	0.37
2026-06-15	oos	0.001121	0.001118	-0.23%	0.001106	-1.34%	0.0074	✓	0.38
2026-06-14	oos	0.001115	0.001112	-0.23%	0.001121	+0.54%	0.0044	✗	0.38
2026-06-13	oos	0.001128	0.001125	-0.26%	0.001115	-1.15%	0.0165	✓	0.38
2026-06-12	oos	0.001102	0.001099	-0.24%	0.001128	+2.36%	0.0204	✗	0.38
2026-06-11	oos	0.001113	0.00111	-0.27%	0.001102	-0.99%	0.0071	✓	0.38
2026-06-10	oos	0.001112	0.001109	-0.29%	0.001113	+0.09%	0.0094	✓	0.39
2026-06-09	oos	0.001126	0.001123	-0.35%	0.001112	-1.29%	0.0079	✓	0.39
2026-06-08	oos	0.001097	0.001093	-0.33%	0.001126	+2.69%	0.0390	✗	0.41
2026-06-07	oos	0.001059	0.001056	-0.28%	0.001097	+3.59%	0.0396	✗	0.39
2026-06-06	oos	0.001037	0.001034	-0.25%	0.001059	+2.12%	0.0080	✗	0.39
2026-06-05	oos	0.00103	0.001027	-0.25%	0.001037	+0.68%	0.0105	✗	0.41
2026-06-04	oos	0.001084	0.00108	-0.40%	0.00103	-4.98%	0.0304	✓	0.38
2026-06-03	oos	0.001055	0.001051	-0.37%	0.001084	+2.75%	0.0324	✗	0.43
2026-06-02	oos	0.001015	0.001012	-0.31%	0.001055	+3.94%	0.0624	✗	0.51
2026-06-01	oos	0.00104	0.001036	-0.36%	0.001015	-2.40%	0.0183	✗	0.58
2026-05-31	oos	0.00108	0.001076	-0.37%	0.00104	-3.70%	0.0158	✓	0.58
2026-05-30	oos	0.00107	0.001066	-0.34%	0.00108	+0.93%	0.0143	✗	0.58
2026-05-29	oos	0.001088	0.001084	-0.37%	0.00107	-1.65%	0.0165	✓	0.63
2026-05-28	oos	0.001084	0.00108	-0.36%	0.001088	+0.37%	0.0085	✗	0.64
2026-05-27	oos	0.00112	0.001116	-0.39%	0.001084	-3.21%	0.0224	✓	0.59
2026-05-26	oos	0.001162	0.001157	-0.43%	0.00112	-3.61%	0.0208	✓	0.58
2026-05-25	oos	0.001116	0.001112	-0.34%	0.001162	+4.12%	0.0563	✗	0.67
2026-05-24	oos	0.001018	0.001016	-0.21%	0.001116	+9.63%	0.0916	✗	0.69
2026-05-23	oos	0.001016	0.001014	-0.20%	0.001018	+0.20%	0.0009	✓	0.72
2026-05-22	oos	0.001064	0.001061	-0.25%	0.001016	-4.51%	0.0551	✓	0.72
2026-05-21	oos	0.001073	0.001071	-0.20%	0.001064	-0.84%	0.0134	✗	0.72
2026-05-20	oos	0.001081	0.001079	-0.19%	0.001073	-0.74%	0.0062	✓	0.73
2026-05-19	oos	0.001127	0.001124	-0.24%	0.001081	-4.08%	0.0461	✓	0.74
2026-05-18	oos	0.001148	0.001145	-0.25%	0.001127	-1.83%	0.0143	✓	0.73
2026-05-17	oos	0.001148	0.001145	-0.23%	0.001148	+0.00%	0.0063	✗	0.68
2026-05-16	oos	0.001173	0.00117	-0.22%	0.001148	-2.13%	0.0133	✓	0.67
2026-05-15	oos	0.001194	0.001192	-0.20%	0.001173	-1.76%	0.0075	✓	0.68
2026-05-14	oos	0.00121	0.001208	-0.14%	0.001194	-1.32%	0.0048	✗	0.66
2026-05-13	oos	0.001223	0.001221	-0.20%	0.00121	-1.06%	0.0232	✓	0.65
2026-05-12	oos	0.001247	0.001245	-0.18%	0.001223	-1.92%	0.0079	✓	0.65
2026-05-11	oos	0.00125	0.001248	-0.14%	0.001247	-0.24%	0.0095	✗	0.69
2026-05-10	oos	0.001246	0.001245	-0.10%	0.00125	+0.32%	0.0082	✗	0.68
2026-05-09	oos	0.001259	0.001257	-0.15%	0.001246	-1.03%	0.0220	✓	0.69
2026-05-08	oos	0.001245	0.001243	-0.14%	0.001259	+1.12%	0.0086	✗	0.69
2026-05-07	oos	0.001261	0.001259	-0.15%	0.001245	-1.27%	0.0128	✓	0.67
2026-05-06	oos	0.001284	0.001283	-0.11%	0.001261	-1.79%	0.0016	✓	0.86
2026-05-05	oos	0.001274	0.001273	-0.11%	0.001284	+0.78%	0.0026	✗	0.96
2026-05-04	oos	0.001287	0.001285	-0.15%	0.001274	-1.01%	0.0220	✓	1.01
2026-05-03	oos	0.001263	0.001261	-0.16%	0.001287	+1.90%	0.0043	✗	0.99
2026-05-02	oos	0.001264	0.001262	-0.16%	0.001263	-0.08%	0.0024	✗	1.01
2026-05-01	oos	0.00126	0.001258	-0.16%	0.001264	+0.32%	0.0011	✓	1.02
2026-04-30	oos	0.001261	0.001258	-0.24%	0.00126	-0.08%	0.0268	✓	1.14
2026-04-29	oos	0.001279	0.001275	-0.28%	0.001261	-1.41%	0.0197	✓	1.14
2026-04-28	oos	0.001283	0.00128	-0.26%	0.001279	-0.31%	0.0074	✗	1.07
2026-04-27	oos	0.001329	0.001326	-0.25%	0.001283	-3.46%	0.0182	✓	1.07
2026-04-26	oos	0.001364	0.001361	-0.21%	0.001329	-2.57%	0.0054	✓	1.10
2026-04-25	oos	0.001351	0.001348	-0.25%	0.001364	+0.96%	0.0024	✓	1.10
2026-04-24	oos	0.001327	0.001324	-0.22%	0.001351	+1.81%	0.0173	✗	1.16
2026-04-23	oos	0.001293	0.001291	-0.15%	0.001327	+2.63%	0.0397	✗	1.16
2026-04-22	oos	0.00129	0.001288	-0.15%	0.001293	+0.23%	0.0028	✗	1.16
2026-04-21	oos	0.001283	0.00128	-0.27%	0.00129	+0.55%	0.0202	✓	1.18
2026-04-20	oos	0.001286	0.001282	-0.29%	0.001283	-0.23%	0.0072	✓	1.22
2026-04-19	oos	0.001294	0.001289	-0.40%	0.001286	-0.62%	0.0316	✓	1.08
2026-04-18	oos	0.001285	0.001281	-0.28%	0.001294	+0.70%	0.0375	✗	1.08
2026-04-17	oos	0.001322	0.001319	-0.24%	0.001285	-2.80%	0.0068	✓	1.07
2026-04-16	oos	0.001241	0.001238	-0.28%	0.001322	+6.53%	0.0390	✗	1.07
2026-04-15	oos	0.001251	0.001247	-0.28%	0.001241	-0.80%	0.0099	✓	1.07
2026-04-14	oos	0.001239	0.001236	-0.28%	0.001251	+0.97%	0.0032	✗	1.05
2026-04-13	oos	0.001228	0.001225	-0.26%	0.001239	+0.90%	0.0153	✗	1.06
2026-04-12	oos	0.001177	0.001173	-0.35%	0.001228	+4.33%	0.0075	✓	1.05
2026-04-11	oos	0.001182	0.001179	-0.26%	0.001177	-0.42%	0.0327	✗	1.06
2026-04-10	oos	0.001197	0.001194	-0.24%	0.001182	-1.25%	0.0115	✓	1.06
2026-04-09	oos	0.001235	0.001231	-0.29%	0.001197	-3.08%	0.0461	✓	1.07
2026-04-08	oos	0.001253	0.001249	-0.31%	0.001235	-1.44%	0.0221	✓	1.08
2026-04-07	oos	0.001268	0.001264	-0.31%	0.001253	-1.18%	0.0036	✗	1.08
2026-04-06	oos	0.001317	0.001311	-0.48%	0.001268	-3.72%	0.0819	✓	1.12
2026-04-05	oos	0.00122	0.001216	-0.36%	0.001317	+7.95%	0.0826	✗	1.12
2026-04-04	oos	0.001182	0.001179	-0.29%	0.00122	+3.21%	0.0068	✗	1.10
2026-04-03	oos	0.001184	0.001181	-0.27%	0.001182	-0.17%	0.0045	✓	1.10
2026-04-02	oos	0.001167	0.001164	-0.22%	0.001184	+1.46%	0.0156	✗	1.10
2026-04-01	oos	0.001171	0.001168	-0.22%	0.001167	-0.34%	0.0187	✗	1.10
2026-03-31	oos	0.001203	0.001201	-0.21%	0.001171	-2.66%	0.0231	✓	1.10
2026-03-30	oos	0.001169	0.001168	-0.10%	0.001203	+2.91%	0.0055	✗	1.10
2026-03-29	oos	0.001191	0.00119	-0.07%	0.001169	-1.85%	0.0308	✓	1.10
2026-03-28	oos	0.001246	0.001245	-0.11%	0.001191	-4.41%	0.0380	✓	1.10
2026-03-27	oos	0.001333	0.001331	-0.15%	0.001246	-6.53%	0.0655	✓	1.10
2026-03-26	oos	0.001458	0.001456	-0.16%	0.001333	-8.57%	0.0495	✓	1.08
2026-03-25	oos	0.001511	0.001509	-0.10%	0.001458	-3.51%	0.0043	✗	1.08
2026-03-24	oos	0.001523	0.001522	-0.08%	0.001511	-0.79%	0.0188	✓	1.08
2026-03-23	oos	0.00154	0.001539	-0.05%	0.001523	-1.10%	0.0053	✓	1.08
2026-03-22	oos	0.001521	0.00152	-0.08%	0.00154	+1.25%	0.0351	✓	1.11
2026-03-21	oos	0.001581	0.00158	-0.08%	0.001521	-3.80%	0.0207	✓	1.10
2026-03-20	oos	0.001576	0.001576	-0.03%	0.001581	+0.32%	0.0286	✗	1.11
2026-03-19	oos	0.001769	0.001767	-0.11%	0.001576	-10.91%	0.1237	✓	1.13
2026-03-18	oos	0.001782	0.00178	-0.11%	0.001769	-0.73%	0.0150	✗	1.13
2026-03-17	oos	0.001847	0.001845	-0.12%	0.001782	-3.52%	0.0074	✗	1.14
2026-03-16	oos	0.001867	0.001865	-0.13%	0.001847	-1.07%	0.0050	✗	1.13
2026-03-15	oos	0.001867	0.001864	-0.15%	0.001867	+0.00%	0.0296	✓	1.12
2026-03-14	oos	0.001847	0.001844	-0.17%	0.001867	+1.08%	0.0125	✓	1.13
2026-03-13	oos	0.001851	0.001848	-0.18%	0.001847	-0.22%	0.0049	✓	1.12
2026-03-12	oos	0.001816	0.001813	-0.17%	0.001851	+1.93%	0.0143	✗	1.12
2026-03-11	oos	0.001821	0.001818	-0.18%	0.001816	-0.27%	0.0061	✓	1.12
2026-03-10	oos	0.001806	0.001803	-0.19%	0.001821	+0.83%	0.0062	✗	1.12
2026-03-09	oos	0.00188	0.001876	-0.23%	0.001806	-3.94%	0.0630	✓	1.14
2026-03-08	oos	0.001837	0.001833	-0.21%	0.00188	+2.34%	0.0166	✓	1.14
2026-03-07	oos	0.001939	0.001934	-0.24%	0.001837	-5.26%	0.0297	✓	1.13
2026-03-06	oos	0.001938	0.001934	-0.22%	0.001939	+0.05%	0.0169	✗	1.13
2026-03-05	oos	0.002083	0.002077	-0.27%	0.001938	-6.96%	0.0250	✓	1.11
2026-03-04	oos	0.002165	0.002158	-0.31%	0.002083	-3.79%	0.0082	✓	1.09
2026-03-03	oos	0.002077	0.002071	-0.27%	0.002165	+4.24%	0.0246	✓	1.12
2026-03-02	oos	0.002231	0.002223	-0.35%	0.002077	-6.90%	0.0604	✓	1.06
2026-03-01	oos	0.002204	0.002197	-0.34%	0.002231	+1.23%	0.0333	✓	1.07
2026-02-28	oos	0.002497	0.002483	-0.57%	0.002204	-11.73%	0.1003	✓	1.04
2026-02-27	oos	0.002439	0.002425	-0.58%	0.002497	+2.38%	0.0119	✗	1.04
2026-02-26	oos	0.002328	0.002316	-0.51%	0.002439	+4.77%	0.0776	✗	1.06
2026-02-25	oos	0.002335	0.002322	-0.57%	0.002328	-0.30%	0.0106	✗	1.06
2026-02-24	oos	0.002177	0.002167	-0.47%	0.002335	+7.26%	0.0125	✗	1.05
2026-02-23	oos	0.002412	0.002395	-0.72%	0.002177	-9.74%	0.0862	✓	1.05
2026-02-22	oos	0.002574	0.002549	-0.96%	0.002412	-6.29%	0.0086	✓	1.03
2026-02-21	oos	0.002421	0.002392	-1.21%	0.002574	+6.32%	0.0786	✗	1.04
2026-02-20	oos	0.001841	0.001833	-0.45%	0.002421	+31.50%	0.2788	✗	1.02
2026-02-19	oos	0.001773	0.001766	-0.40%	0.001841	+3.84%	0.0265	✗	1.01
2026-02-18	oos	0.001751	0.001744	-0.40%	0.001773	+1.26%	0.0080	✗	1.02
2026-02-17	oos	0.00175	0.001742	-0.45%	0.001751	+0.06%	0.0206	✗	0.99
2026-02-16	oos	0.001592	0.001586	-0.37%	0.00175	+9.92%	0.1193	✗	1.03
2026-02-15	oos	0.001589	0.001583	-0.35%	0.001592	+0.19%	0.0044	✗	1.03
2026-02-14	oos	0.001649	0.001642	-0.41%	0.001589	-3.64%	0.0181	✓	1.03
2026-02-13	oos	0.001779	0.001771	-0.47%	0.001649	-7.31%	0.0860	✓	1.05
2026-02-12	oos	0.001795	0.001788	-0.37%	0.001779	-0.89%	0.0468	✓	1.08
2026-02-11	oos	0.001831	0.001823	-0.42%	0.001795	-1.97%	0.0027	✓	1.06
2026-02-10	oos	0.001973	0.001961	-0.61%	0.001831	-7.20%	0.0418	✓	1.02
2026-02-09	oos	0.001987	0.001974	-0.67%	0.001973	-0.70%	0.0188	✗	1.02
2026-02-08	oos	0.002049	0.002034	-0.73%	0.001987	-3.03%	0.0208	✓	1.03
2026-02-07	oos	0.002075	0.002059	-0.75%	0.002049	-1.25%	0.0203	✓	1.03
2026-02-06	oos	0.002049	0.002032	-0.84%	0.002075	+1.27%	0.0401	✗	1.04
2026-02-05	oos	0.001734	0.001736	+0.13%	0.002049	+18.17%	0.0546	✓	0.96
2026-02-04	oos	0.00209	0.002074	-0.75%	0.001734	-17.03%	0.0581	✓	0.80
2026-02-03	oos	0.002422	0.002398	-0.99%	0.00209	-13.71%	0.1122	✓	0.71
2026-02-02	oos	0.002443	0.002418	-1.01%	0.002422	-0.86%	0.0288	✗	0.70
2026-02-01	oos	0.002262	0.002243	-0.85%	0.002443	+8.00%	0.0700	✗	0.68
2026-01-31	oos	0.002444	0.002422	-0.92%	0.002262	-7.45%	0.0532	✓	0.67
2026-01-30	oos	0.003058	0.003014	-1.44%	0.002444	-20.08%	0.1849	✓	0.37
2026-01-29	oos	0.003029	0.002979	-1.66%	0.003058	+0.96%	0.0280	✗	0.37
2026-01-28	oos	0.002869	0.002819	-1.74%	0.003029	+5.58%	0.0971	✗	0.47
2026-01-27	oos	0.002586	0.002543	-1.66%	0.002869	+10.94%	0.1204	✗	0.47
2026-01-26	oos	0.00193	0.001917	-0.68%	0.002586	+33.99%	0.2958	✗	0.37
2026-01-25	oos	0.001933	0.00192	-0.67%	0.00193	-0.16%	0.0020	✓	0.37
2026-01-24	oos	0.002423	0.002394	-1.19%	0.001933	-20.22%	0.2077	✓	0.22
2026-01-23	oos	0.002557	0.002519	-1.50%	0.002423	-5.24%	0.0377	✓	0.22
2026-01-22	oos	0.003032	0.002913	-3.93%	0.002557	-15.67%	0.1303	✓	0.23
2026-01-21	oos	0.002176	0.002132	-2.02%	0.003032	+39.34%	0.3519	✗	0.19
2026-01-20	oos	0.001638	0.00162	-1.10%	0.002176	+32.84%	0.2938	✗	0.11
2026-01-19	oos	0.001274	0.001268	-0.44%	0.001638	+28.57%	0.2764	✗	0.44
2026-01-18	oos	0.001241	0.001236	-0.38%	0.001274	+2.66%	0.0355	✗	0.47
2026-01-17	oos	0.00121	0.001206	-0.32%	0.001241	+2.56%	0.0361	✗	0.49
2026-01-16	oos	0.00125	0.001246	-0.33%	0.00121	-3.20%	0.0271	✓	0.51
2026-01-15	oos	0.001251	0.001247	-0.34%	0.00125	-0.08%	0.0030	✓	0.52
2026-01-14	oos	0.001151	0.001148	-0.27%	0.001251	+8.69%	0.0931	✗	0.50
2026-01-13	oos	0.001087	0.001084	-0.31%	0.001151	+5.89%	0.0516	✗	0.54
2026-01-12	oos	0.001073	0.001069	-0.39%	0.001087	+1.30%	0.0081	✓	0.55
2026-01-11	oos	0.001053	0.001049	-0.37%	0.001073	+1.90%	0.0206	✗	0.56
2026-01-10	oos	0.001064	0.001061	-0.28%	0.001053	-1.03%	0.0107	✓	0.56
2026-01-09	oos	0.001297	0.001295	-0.14%	0.001064	-17.96%	0.1957	✓	0.59
2026-01-08	oos	0.001428	0.001426	-0.14%	0.001297	-9.17%	0.0912	✓	0.63
2026-01-07	oos	0.001443	0.001441	-0.12%	0.001428	-1.04%	0.0070	✓	0.83
2026-01-06	oos	0.001483	0.001482	-0.08%	0.001443	-2.70%	0.0049	✓	0.82
2026-01-05	oos	0.00148	0.001479	-0.07%	0.001483	+0.20%	0.0040	✗	0.82
2026-01-04	oos	0.001512	0.001511	-0.10%	0.00148	-2.12%	0.0420	✓	0.84
2026-01-03	oos	0.001512	0.001511	-0.10%	0.001512	+0.00%	0.0074	✓	0.85
2026-01-02	oos	0.001513	0.001511	-0.10%	0.001512	-0.07%	0.0056	✓	0.83
2026-01-01	oos	0.001499	0.001498	-0.10%	0.001513	+0.93%	0.0011	✓	0.83
2025-12-31	oos	0.001491	0.00149	-0.09%	0.001499	+0.54%	0.0052	✓	0.81
2025-12-30	oos	0.001499	0.001498	-0.08%	0.001491	-0.53%	0.0039	✗	0.82
2025-12-29	oos	0.001531	0.001529	-0.11%	0.001499	-2.09%	0.0323	✓	0.84
2025-12-28	oos	0.001553	0.001551	-0.12%	0.001531	-1.42%	0.0057	✓	0.84
2025-12-27	oos	0.001548	0.001546	-0.12%	0.001553	+0.32%	0.0037	✗	0.83
2025-12-26	oos	0.001508	0.001507	-0.09%	0.001548	+2.65%	0.0222	✗	0.83
2025-12-25	oos	0.001517	0.001516	-0.09%	0.001508	-0.59%	0.0063	✓	0.83
2025-12-24	oos	0.001545	0.001544	-0.10%	0.001517	-1.81%	0.0132	✓	0.83
2025-12-23	oos	0.001502	0.001501	-0.06%	0.001545	+2.86%	0.0271	✗	0.83
2025-12-22	oos	0.001524	0.001523	-0.06%	0.001502	-1.44%	0.0034	✓	0.83
2025-12-21	oos	0.001562	0.001561	-0.07%	0.001524	-2.43%	0.0231	✓	0.83
2025-12-20	oos	0.001551	0.00155	-0.07%	0.001562	+0.71%	0.0048	✗	0.83
2025-12-19	oos	0.001527	0.001526	-0.05%	0.001551	+1.57%	0.0139	✗	0.83
2025-12-18	oos	0.001466	0.001466	-0.01%	0.001527	+4.16%	0.0165	✗	0.80
2025-12-17	oos	0.001591	0.00159	-0.06%	0.001466	-7.86%	0.0743	✓	0.79
2025-12-16	oos	0.001571	0.001571	-0.03%	0.001591	+1.27%	0.0280	✗	0.80
2025-12-15	oos	0.001705	0.001703	-0.10%	0.001571	-7.86%	0.0947	✓	0.84
2025-12-14	oos	0.001763	0.001761	-0.11%	0.001705	-3.29%	0.0159	✓	0.82
2025-12-13	oos	0.001776	0.001774	-0.10%	0.001763	-0.73%	0.0127	✗	0.82
2025-12-12	oos	0.001747	0.001746	-0.07%	0.001776	+1.66%	0.0174	✗	0.81
2025-12-11	oos	0.001774	0.001773	-0.06%	0.001747	-1.52%	0.0055	✗	0.82
2025-12-10	oos	0.001811	0.00181	-0.07%	0.001774	-2.04%	0.0245	✓	0.82
2025-12-09	oos	0.001847	0.001846	-0.07%	0.001811	-1.95%	0.0133	✓	0.80
2025-12-08	oos	0.001859	0.001858	-0.08%	0.001847	-0.65%	0.0235	✓	0.80
2025-12-07	oos	0.001868	0.001867	-0.07%	0.001859	-0.48%	0.0063	✓	0.80
2025-12-06	oos	0.001905	0.001903	-0.09%	0.001868	-1.94%	0.0290	✓	0.82
2025-12-05	oos	0.001952	0.00195	-0.10%	0.001905	-2.41%	0.0227	✓	0.83
2025-12-04	oos	0.00194	0.001939	-0.06%	0.001952	+0.62%	0.0326	✗	0.85
2025-12-03	oos	0.001898	0.001898	-0.01%	0.00194	+2.21%	0.0347	✗	0.87
2025-12-02	oos	0.002113	0.00211	-0.12%	0.001898	-10.18%	0.1280	✓	0.94
2025-12-01	oos	0.002023	0.002021	-0.07%	0.002113	+4.45%	0.0096	✓	0.95
2025-11-30	oos	0.002087	0.002085	-0.09%	0.002023	-3.07%	0.0138	✗	0.95
2025-11-29	oos	0.002052	0.002051	-0.05%	0.002087	+1.71%	0.0222	✗	0.94
2025-11-28	oos	0.002104	0.002102	-0.07%	0.002052	-2.47%	0.0235	✓	0.94
2025-11-27	oos	0.002156	0.002154	-0.10%	0.002104	-2.41%	0.0192	✓	0.94
2025-11-26	oos	0.002243	0.002239	-0.16%	0.002156	-3.88%	0.0464	✓	0.91
2025-11-25	oos	0.002127	0.002125	-0.11%	0.002243	+5.45%	0.0237	✗	0.86
2025-11-24	oos	0.002113	0.002111	-0.10%	0.002127	+0.66%	0.0169	✗	0.87
2025-11-23	oos	0.002067	0.002065	-0.07%	0.002113	+2.23%	0.0080	✗	0.88
2025-11-22	oos	0.002052	0.002051	-0.06%	0.002067	+0.73%	0.0142	✓	0.89
2025-11-21	oos	0.002028	0.002027	-0.03%	0.002052	+1.18%	0.0161	✗	0.89
2025-11-20	oos	0.002114	0.002112	-0.07%	0.002028	-4.07%	0.0256	✓	0.89
2025-11-19	oos	0.00213	0.002128	-0.08%	0.002114	-0.75%	0.0498	✗	1.02
2025-11-18	oos	0.002379	0.002374	-0.22%	0.00213	-10.47%	0.0927	✓	0.99
2025-11-17	oos	0.002376	0.002371	-0.22%	0.002379	+0.13%	0.0052	✓	0.99
2025-11-16	oos	0.002515	0.002507	-0.32%	0.002376	-5.53%	0.0312	✓	1.00
2025-11-15	oos	0.002504	0.002496	-0.32%	0.002515	+0.44%	0.0222	✗	1.01
2025-11-14	oos	0.002495	0.002487	-0.33%	0.002504	+0.36%	0.0042	✓	1.01
2025-11-13	oos	0.002549	0.002539	-0.38%	0.002495	-2.12%	0.0389	✗	1.07
2025-11-12	oos	0.002376	0.00237	-0.26%	0.002549	+7.28%	0.0956	✗	1.13
2025-11-11	oos	0.002356	0.00235	-0.25%	0.002376	+0.85%	0.0262	✗	1.14
2025-11-10	oos	0.002432	0.002425	-0.29%	0.002356	-3.13%	0.0038	✗	1.15
2025-11-09	oos	0.002446	0.002438	-0.32%	0.002432	-0.57%	0.0166	✓	1.15
2025-11-08	oos	0.002341	0.002335	-0.26%	0.002446	+4.49%	0.0201	✗	1.13
2025-11-07	oos	0.002353	0.002346	-0.28%	0.002341	-0.51%	0.0087	✗	1.13
2025-11-06	oos	0.002295	0.00229	-0.23%	0.002353	+2.53%	0.0054	✗	1.13
2025-11-05	oos	0.002319	0.002313	-0.27%	0.002295	-1.03%	0.0211	✗	1.15
2025-11-04	oos	0.002346	0.00234	-0.25%	0.002319	-1.15%	0.0363	✓	1.16
2025-11-03	oos	0.002457	0.002448	-0.35%	0.002346	-4.52%	0.0179	✗	1.24
2025-11-02	oos	0.002561	0.00255	-0.41%	0.002457	-4.06%	0.0092	✗	1.27
2025-11-01	oos	0.002578	0.002567	-0.44%	0.002561	-0.66%	0.0078	✓	1.27
2025-10-31	oos	0.002536	0.002525	-0.42%	0.002578	+1.66%	0.0150	✗	1.25
2025-10-30	oos	0.002497	0.002487	-0.40%	0.002536	+1.56%	0.0052	✗	1.25
2025-10-29	oos	0.002563	0.002552	-0.45%	0.002497	-2.58%	0.0023	✓	1.23
2025-10-28	oos	0.002543	0.002532	-0.45%	0.002563	+0.79%	0.0466	✗	1.33
2025-10-27	oos	0.002559	0.002547	-0.45%	0.002543	-0.63%	0.0122	✗	1.33
2025-10-26	oos	0.002568	0.002556	-0.46%	0.002559	-0.35%	0.0065	✗	1.35
2025-10-25	oos	0.002539	0.002528	-0.43%	0.002568	+1.14%	0.0188	✓	1.35
2025-10-24	oos	0.002591	0.00258	-0.43%	0.002539	-2.01%	0.0237	✓	1.37
2025-10-23	oos	0.002651	0.002639	-0.46%	0.002591	-2.26%	0.0298	✓	1.38
2025-10-22	oos	0.002551	0.002543	-0.33%	0.002651	+3.92%	0.0104	✗	1.35
2025-10-21	oos	0.002615	0.002606	-0.36%	0.002551	-2.45%	0.0115	✓	1.34
2025-10-20	oos	0.00277	0.002756	-0.49%	0.002615	-5.60%	0.0257	✓	1.34
2025-10-19	oos	0.002754	0.002741	-0.46%	0.00277	+0.58%	0.0119	✓	1.29
2025-10-18	oos	0.002603	0.002596	-0.27%	0.002754	+5.80%	0.0420	✗	1.26
2025-10-17	oos	0.002569	0.002564	-0.18%	0.002603	+1.32%	0.0063	✗	1.25
2025-10-16	oos	0.002321	0.002324	+0.11%	0.002569	+10.69%	0.1218	✓	1.33
2025-10-15	oos	0.002618	0.002612	-0.25%	0.002321	-11.34%	0.0873	✓	1.29
2025-10-14	oos	0.002755	0.002744	-0.39%	0.002618	-4.97%	0.0210	✓	1.29
2025-10-13	oos	0.002869	0.002856	-0.45%	0.002755	-3.97%	0.0102	✓	1.34
2025-10-12	oos	0.002876	0.002864	-0.43%	0.002869	-0.24%	0.0005	✓	1.32
2025-10-11	oos	0.002775	0.002767	-0.29%	0.002876	+3.64%	0.0120	✓	1.33
2025-10-10	oos	0.003127	0.003115	-0.39%	0.002775	-11.26%	0.0893	✓	1.32
2025-10-09	oos	0.003705	0.003691	-0.37%	0.003127	-15.60%	0.0857	✓	1.08
2025-10-08	oos	0.003611	0.003598	-0.35%	0.003705	+2.60%	0.0448	✗	1.18
2025-10-07	oos	0.003554	0.003539	-0.41%	0.003611	+1.60%	0.0004	✓	1.23
2025-10-06	oos	0.003636	0.003624	-0.34%	0.003554	-2.26%	0.0144	✗	1.25
2025-10-05	oos	0.003542	0.00353	-0.33%	0.003636	+2.65%	0.0176	✗	1.23
2025-10-04	oos	0.003741	0.003728	-0.34%	0.003542	-5.32%	0.0620	✓	1.24
2025-10-03	oos	0.003873	0.00386	-0.34%	0.003741	-3.41%	0.0327	✓	1.24
2025-10-02	oos	0.003979	0.003963	-0.39%	0.003873	-2.66%	0.0406	✓	1.26
2025-10-01	oos	0.003908	0.00389	-0.46%	0.003979	+1.82%	0.0025	✓	1.23
2025-09-30	oos	0.003781	0.003759	-0.58%	0.003908	+3.36%	0.0095	✓	1.23
2025-09-29	oos	0.003783	0.00376	-0.60%	0.003781	-0.05%	0.0089	✗	1.29
2025-09-28	oos	0.003796	0.003772	-0.64%	0.003783	-0.34%	0.0221	✓	1.31
2025-09-27	oos	0.003756	0.003731	-0.66%	0.003796	+1.06%	0.0127	✓	1.32
2025-09-26	oos	0.003832	0.003806	-0.67%	0.003756	-1.98%	0.0132	✓	1.31
2025-09-25	oos	0.003836	0.003811	-0.66%	0.003832	-0.10%	0.0023	✓	1.31
2025-09-24	oos	0.004035	0.004011	-0.59%	0.003836	-4.93%	0.0073	✗	1.34
2025-09-23	oos	0.004111	0.004086	-0.61%	0.004035	-1.85%	0.0284	✓	1.35
2025-09-22	oos	0.004131	0.004107	-0.57%	0.004111	-0.48%	0.0096	✗	1.35
2025-09-21	oos	0.004291	0.004272	-0.44%	0.004131	-3.73%	0.0028	✓	1.38
2025-09-20	oos	0.004227	0.00421	-0.39%	0.004291	+1.51%	0.0247	✗	1.40
2025-09-19	oos	0.004577	0.004562	-0.33%	0.004227	-7.65%	0.0769	✓	1.35
2025-09-18	oos	0.004589	0.004576	-0.28%	0.004577	-0.26%	0.0170	✗	1.38

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.