TMX

TermMax · Ethereum · beta_5y

token id: #846
symbol: TMX
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0x3c2f61f2e27c865981d2e7aaf6b2cdf823030039
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-25
predictions: 150

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

of 50 predictions shown

direction hit

44.2%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.4014

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0012

actual -0.3305

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	live	0.01012	0.009913	-2.04%	–	pending	–	–	3.22
2026-10-21	oos	0.00942	0.009257	-1.73%	–	pending	–	–	3.14
2026-10-20	oos	0.00918	0.00902	-1.74%	–	pending	–	–	3.16
2026-10-19	oos	0.00918	0.008988	-2.10%	–	pending	–	–	3.15
2026-10-18	oos	0.008945	0.008762	-2.05%	–	pending	–	–	3.16
2026-10-17	oos	0.008375	0.008239	-1.62%	–	pending	–	–	3.13
2026-10-16	oos	0.007985	0.007892	-1.16%	–	pending	–	–	3.14
2026-10-15	oos	0.00795	0.007877	-0.92%	0.01012	+27.30%	0.1705	✗	3.18
2026-10-14	oos	0.00869	0.00858	-1.27%	0.00942	+8.40%	0.0495	✗	3.20
2026-10-13	oos	0.010375	0.010105	-2.60%	0.00918	-11.52%	0.0898	✓	3.13
2026-10-12	oos	0.01041	0.010135	-2.64%	0.00918	-11.82%	0.1026	✓	3.13
2026-10-11	oos	0.01259	0.01193	-5.24%	0.008945	-28.95%	0.2266	✓	3.04
2026-10-10	oos	0.011045	0.010661	-3.48%	0.008375	-24.17%	0.1860	✓	2.97
2026-10-09	oos	0.010635	0.010329	-2.88%	0.007985	-24.92%	0.2197	✓	2.95
2026-10-08	oos	0.010685	0.010368	-2.97%	0.00795	-25.60%	0.2810	✓	2.94
2026-10-07	oos	0.01237	0.011776	-4.80%	0.00869	-29.75%	0.2437	✓	2.90
2026-10-06	oos	0.012635	0.012	-5.03%	0.010375	-17.89%	0.0553	✓	3.12
2026-10-05	oos	0.014305	0.013354	-6.64%	0.01041	-27.23%	0.1005	✓	3.11
2026-10-04	oos	0.01564	0.014177	-9.35%	0.01259	-19.50%	0.0154	✓	3.11
2026-10-03	oos	0.011575	0.011111	-4.01%	0.011045	-4.58%	0.0539	✗	2.74
2026-10-02	oos	0.0112	0.010798	-3.59%	0.010635	-5.04%	0.0490	✗	2.74
2026-10-01	oos	0.01535	0.014024	-8.64%	0.010685	-30.39%	0.1718	✓	2.64
2026-09-30	oos	0.00878	0.009119	+3.86%	0.01237	+40.89%	0.3120	✓	2.12
2026-09-29	oos	0.008885	0.009324	+4.94%	0.012635	+42.21%	0.2561	✓	2.13
2026-09-28	oos	0.008805	0.009364	+6.35%	0.014305	+62.46%	0.3661	✓	2.13
2026-09-27	oos	0.01078	0.011094	+2.91%	0.01564	+45.08%	0.2946	✓	2.04
2026-09-26	oos	0.012155	0.012383	+1.88%	0.011575	-4.77%	0.0753	✗	2.04
2026-09-25	oos	0.011725	0.012133	+3.48%	0.0112	-4.48%	0.0899	✗	2.03
2026-09-24	oos	0.01571	0.015735	+0.16%	0.01535	-2.29%	0.0355	✗	1.95
2026-09-23	oos	0.01868	0.018525	-0.83%	0.00878	-53.00%	0.7369	✓	1.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.02111	0.020719	-1.85%	0.008885	-57.91%	0.8165	✓	1.00
2026-09-21	oos	0.02088	0.020623	-1.23%	0.008805	-57.83%	0.8142	✓	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.02122	0.021155	-0.31%	0.01078	-49.20%	0.7141	✓	1.00
2026-09-19	oos	0.02048	0.020602	+0.60%	0.012155	-40.65%	0.5661	✗	1.00
2026-09-18	oos	0.02102	0.021258	+1.13%	0.011725	-44.22%	0.6340	✗	1.00
2026-09-17	oos	0.022235	0.022642	+1.83%	0.01571	-29.35%	0.4656	✗	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.02379	0.024281	+2.06%	0.01868	-21.48%	0.3649	✗	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.026725	0.027189	+1.74%	0.02111	-21.01%	0.3845	✗	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.032755	0.032804	+0.15%	0.02088	-36.25%	0.5541	✗	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.02957	0.030234	+2.24%	0.02122	-28.24%	0.4092	✗	1.00
2026-09-12	oos	0.03304	0.033732	+2.09%	0.02048	-38.01%	0.5491	✗	1.00
2026-09-11	oos	0.03	0.03119	+3.97%	0.02102	-29.93%	0.4410	✗	1.00
2026-09-10	oos	0.030845	0.032383	+4.99%	0.022235	-27.91%	0.3735	✗	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.036275	0.03837	+5.77%	0.02379	-34.42%	0.4503	✗	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.04783	0.050458	+5.50%	0.026725	-44.13%	0.5984	✗	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.055525	0.058499	+5.36%	0.032755	-41.01%	0.5683	✗	1.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.078715	0.080234	+1.93%	0.02957	-62.43%	0.9531	✗	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.094865	0.095523	+0.69%	0.03304	-65.17%	1.0289	✗	1.00
2026-09-04	oos	0.0947	0.096501	+1.90%	0.03	-68.32%	1.1369	✗	1.00
2026-09-03	oos	0.11449	0.115195	+0.62%	0.030845	-73.06%	1.2577	✗	1.00