TMX
TermMax · Ethereum · beta_5y
- token id
- #846
- symbol
- TMX
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0x3c2f61f2e27c865981d2e7aaf6b2cdf823030039
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-25
- predictions
- 150
Track record at +30d
assessed
20
of 50 predictions shown
direction hit
80.0%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
1.1767
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.1066
actual -1.2833
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | oos | 0.01012 | 0.010124 | +0.04% | – | pending | – | – | 3.22 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.00992 | 0.009959 | +0.40% | – | pending | – | – | 3.21 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.00918 | 0.009214 | +0.37% | – | pending | – | – | 3.16 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.00918 | 0.009217 | +0.40% | – | pending | – | – | 3.15 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.008945 | 0.008966 | +0.23% | – | pending | – | – | 3.16 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.008375 | 0.008368 | -0.09% | – | pending | – | – | 3.13 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.007985 | 0.007957 | -0.36% | – | pending | – | – | 3.14 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.00795 | 0.007961 | +0.14% | – | pending | – | – | 3.18 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.00869 | 0.008785 | +1.09% | – | pending | – | – | 3.20 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.010375 | 0.010446 | +0.69% | – | pending | – | – | 3.13 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.01041 | 0.010488 | +0.75% | – | pending | – | – | 3.13 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.01259 | 0.012411 | -1.42% | – | pending | – | – | 3.04 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.011045 | 0.011051 | +0.06% | – | pending | – | – | 2.97 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.010635 | 0.010682 | +0.44% | – | pending | – | – | 2.95 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.010685 | 0.010759 | +0.69% | – | pending | – | – | 2.94 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.01237 | 0.012209 | -1.30% | – | pending | – | – | 2.90 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.012635 | 0.012408 | -1.80% | – | pending | – | – | 3.12 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.014305 | 0.013732 | -4.00% | – | pending | – | – | 3.11 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.01564 | 0.014666 | -6.23% | – | pending | – | – | 3.11 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.011575 | 0.011444 | -1.13% | – | pending | – | – | 2.74 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.0112 | 0.011075 | -1.11% | – | pending | – | – | 2.74 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.01535 | 0.014177 | -7.64% | – | pending | – | – | 2.64 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.00878 | 0.008385 | -4.50% | – | pending | – | – | 2.12 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.008885 | 0.00834 | -6.14% | – | pending | – | – | 2.13 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.008805 | 0.008003 | -9.11% | – | pending | – | – | 2.13 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.01078 | 0.010023 | -7.02% | – | pending | – | – | 2.04 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.012155 | 0.011132 | -8.42% | – | pending | – | – | 2.04 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.011725 | 0.01041 | -11.22% | – | pending | – | – | 2.03 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.01571 | 0.013859 | -11.78% | – | pending | – | – | 1.95 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.01868 | 0.01616 | -13.49% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.02111 | 0.018028 | -14.60% | 0.01012 | -52.06% | 0.5542 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.02088 | 0.017784 | -14.83% | 0.00992 | -52.49% | 0.5536 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.02122 | 0.018196 | -14.25% | 0.00918 | -56.74% | 0.7058 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.02048 | 0.01755 | -14.31% | 0.00918 | -55.18% | 0.6554 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.02102 | 0.018149 | -13.66% | 0.008945 | -57.45% | 0.7214 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.022235 | 0.019507 | -12.27% | 0.008375 | -62.33% | 0.9094 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.02379 | 0.020861 | -12.31% | 0.007985 | -66.44% | 1.0283 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.026725 | 0.023391 | -12.48% | 0.00795 | -70.25% | 1.1621 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.032755 | 0.028554 | -12.82% | 0.00869 | -73.47% | 1.2321 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.02957 | 0.025122 | -15.04% | 0.010375 | -64.91% | 0.9632 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.03304 | 0.028165 | -14.75% | 0.01041 | -68.49% | 1.0517 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.03 | 0.024431 | -18.56% | 0.01259 | -58.03% | 0.7434 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.030845 | 0.025031 | -18.85% | 0.011045 | -64.19% | 0.8981 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.036275 | 0.032443 | -10.56% | 0.010635 | -70.68% | 1.1683 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.04783 | 0.045797 | -4.25% | 0.010685 | -77.66% | 1.4959 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.055525 | 0.055212 | -0.56% | 0.01237 | -77.72% | 1.5474 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.078715 | 0.079407 | +0.88% | 0.012635 | -83.95% | 1.9008 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.094865 | 0.095559 | +0.73% | 0.014305 | -84.92% | 1.9706 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.0947 | 0.096953 | +2.38% | 0.01564 | -83.48% | 1.9067 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.11449 | 0.118174 | +3.22% | 0.011575 | -89.89% | 2.3652 | ✗ | 1.00 |