SPYB
SPY (bStocks Tokenized Stock) · Binance Smart Chain · beta_5y
- token id
- #357
- symbol
- SPYB
- variant
- –
- chain
- Binance Smart Chain
- address
- 0x7138b48df7d98d7e3cc221bfe7192d0a178182d8
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-07-07
- predictions
- 297
Track record at +7d
assessed
92
of 99 predictions shown
direction hit
42.4%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0294
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0199
actual -0.0007
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | live | 771.035 | 755.4951 | -2.02% | – | pending | – | – | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 771.235 | 754.4741 | -2.17% | – | pending | – | – | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 771.485 | 754.4182 | -2.21% | – | pending | – | – | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 768.255 | 748.8786 | -2.52% | – | pending | – | – | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 767.73 | 750.3868 | -2.26% | – | pending | – | – | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 760.825 | 743.6882 | -2.25% | – | pending | – | – | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 762.325 | 744.3155 | -2.36% | – | pending | – | – | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 771.365 | 752.9436 | -2.39% | 771.035 | -0.04% | 0.0212 | ✓ | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 768.04 | 748.1454 | -2.59% | 771.235 | +0.42% | 0.0290 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 778.575 | 759.4841 | -2.45% | 771.485 | -0.91% | 0.0159 | ✓ | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 778.155 | 757.3115 | -2.68% | 768.255 | -1.27% | 0.0142 | ✓ | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 780.995 | 762.201 | -2.41% | 767.73 | -1.70% | 0.0092 | ✓ | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 779.025 | 760.1714 | -2.42% | 760.825 | -2.34% | 0.0028 | ✓ | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 779.035 | 759.9119 | -2.45% | 762.325 | -2.14% | 0.0045 | ✓ | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 774.915 | 755.1078 | -2.56% | 771.365 | -0.46% | 0.0208 | ✓ | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 777.815 | 758.3971 | -2.50% | 768.04 | -1.26% | 0.0148 | ✓ | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 779.94 | 763.2075 | -2.15% | 778.575 | -0.18% | 0.0230 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 775.085 | 757.3245 | -2.29% | 778.155 | +0.40% | 0.0322 | ✗ | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 770.915 | 754.957 | -2.07% | 780.995 | +1.31% | 0.0375 | ✗ | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 770.925 | 752.5687 | -2.38% | 779.025 | +1.05% | 0.0369 | ✗ | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 769.8 | 751.2686 | -2.41% | 779.035 | +1.20% | 0.0389 | ✗ | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 765.105 | 746.9897 | -2.37% | 774.915 | +1.28% | 0.0409 | ✗ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 765.845 | 745.1183 | -2.71% | 777.815 | +1.56% | 0.0433 | ✗ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 766.09 | 745.1357 | -2.74% | 779.94 | +1.81% | 0.0431 | ✗ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 766.2 | 744.4814 | -2.83% | 775.085 | +1.16% | 0.0373 | ✗ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 769.91 | 748.8892 | -2.73% | 770.915 | +0.13% | 0.0263 | ✓ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 770.34 | 749.1047 | -2.76% | 770.925 | +0.08% | 0.0283 | ✗ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 771.89 | 749.8685 | -2.85% | 769.8 | -0.27% | 0.0257 | ✓ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 766.21 | 744.8562 | -2.79% | 765.105 | -0.14% | 0.0262 | ✓ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 767.7 | 747.1084 | -2.68% | 765.845 | -0.24% | 0.0259 | ✓ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 773.525 | 753.5037 | -2.59% | 766.09 | -0.96% | 0.0198 | ✓ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 773.705 | 752.9693 | -2.68% | 766.2 | -0.97% | 0.0214 | ✓ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 763.305 | 740.5283 | -2.98% | 769.91 | +0.87% | 0.0351 | ✗ | 0.09 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 762.725 | 733.235 | -3.87% | 770.34 | +1.00% | 0.0457 | ✗ | 0.09 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 763.025 | 731.6621 | -4.11% | 771.89 | +1.16% | 0.0498 | ✗ | 0.09 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 762.5 | 743.7744 | -2.46% | 766.21 | +0.49% | 0.0193 | ✓ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 757.98 | 741.632 | -2.16% | 767.7 | +1.28% | 0.0238 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 758.605 | 745.3804 | -1.74% | 773.525 | +1.97% | 0.0233 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 761.035 | 747.5766 | -1.77% | 773.705 | +1.66% | 0.0236 | ✗ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 760.005 | 752.1638 | -1.03% | 763.305 | +0.43% | 0.0089 | ✓ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 765.035 | 761.2875 | -0.49% | 762.725 | -0.30% | 0.0033 | ✓ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 764.985 | 768.6139 | +0.47% | 763.025 | -0.26% | 0.0121 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 757.865 | 768.231 | +1.37% | 762.5 | +0.61% | 0.0072 | ✓ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 763.135 | 776.0659 | +1.69% | 757.98 | -0.68% | 0.0209 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 765.76 | 780.3455 | +1.90% | 758.605 | -0.93% | 0.0247 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 769.03 | 785.6314 | +2.16% | 761.035 | -1.04% | 0.0307 | ✗ | 0.09 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 769.955 | 786.8697 | +2.20% | 760.005 | -1.29% | 0.0305 | ✗ | 0.09 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 771.335 | 792.322 | +2.72% | 765.035 | -0.82% | 0.0319 | ✗ | 0.09 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 769.845 | 790.4129 | +2.67% | 764.985 | -0.63% | 0.0297 | ✗ | 0.09 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 772.18 | 791.0897 | +2.45% | 757.865 | -1.85% | 0.0373 | ✗ | 0.09 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 765.52 | 778.771 | +1.73% | 763.135 | -0.31% | 0.0214 | ✗ | 0.09 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 762.065 | 772.4697 | +1.37% | 765.76 | +0.48% | 0.0099 | ✓ | 0.09 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 767.635 | 774.0078 | +0.83% | 769.03 | +0.18% | 0.0070 | ✓ | 0.08 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 766.5 | 769.5909 | +0.40% | 769.955 | +0.45% | 0.0023 | ✓ | 0.08 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 770.89 | 775.9214 | +0.65% | 771.335 | +0.06% | 0.0075 | ✗ | 0.08 |
| 2026-08-28 | oos | 769.17 | 776.9722 | +1.01% | 769.845 | +0.09% | 0.0110 | ✗ | 0.08 |
| 2026-08-27 | oos | 769.72 | 778.1391 | +1.09% | 772.18 | +0.32% | 0.0087 | ✓ | 0.08 |
| 2026-08-26 | oos | 770.475 | 775.5988 | +0.67% | 765.52 | -0.64% | 0.0113 | ✗ | 0.08 |
| 2026-08-25 | oos | 765.15 | 769.2476 | +0.54% | 762.065 | -0.40% | 0.0082 | ✗ | 0.08 |
| 2026-08-24 | oos | 763.8 | 769.2983 | +0.72% | 767.635 | +0.50% | 0.0017 | ✓ | 0.08 |
| 2026-08-23 | oos | 766.01 | 769.7468 | +0.49% | 766.5 | +0.06% | 0.0042 | ✓ | 0.09 |
| 2026-08-22 | oos | 765.34 | 766.9815 | +0.21% | 770.89 | +0.73% | 0.0038 | ✓ | 0.09 |
| 2026-08-21 | oos | 766.75 | 769.4341 | +0.35% | 769.17 | +0.32% | 0.0002 | ✓ | 0.08 |
| 2026-08-20 | oos | 763.06 | 754.7587 | -1.09% | 769.72 | +0.87% | 0.0111 | ✗ | 0.09 |
| 2026-08-19 | oos | 770.3 | 752.528 | -2.31% | 770.475 | +0.02% | 0.0042 | ✓ | 0.15 |
| 2026-08-18 | oos | 767.375 | 742.1142 | -3.29% | 765.15 | -0.29% | 0.0094 | ✓ | 0.21 |
| 2026-08-17 | oos | 773.335 | 747.9368 | -3.28% | 763.8 | -1.23% | 0.0215 | ✓ | 0.21 |
| 2026-08-16 | oos | 777.65 | 751.2317 | -3.40% | 766.01 | -1.50% | 0.0339 | ✓ | 0.25 |
| 2026-08-15 | oos | 777.08 | 751.6166 | -3.28% | 765.34 | -1.51% | 0.0324 | ✓ | 0.25 |
| 2026-08-14 | oos | 776.58 | 751.4524 | -3.24% | 766.75 | -1.27% | 0.0346 | ✓ | 0.25 |
| 2026-08-13 | oos | 778.54 | 751.8088 | -3.43% | 763.06 | -1.99% | 0.0203 | ✓ | 0.25 |
| 2026-08-12 | oos | 772.95 | 747.4319 | -3.30% | 770.3 | -0.34% | 0.0080 | ✓ | 0.25 |
| 2026-08-11 | oos | 771.53 | 745.9104 | -3.32% | 767.375 | -0.54% | 0.0239 | ✓ | 0.25 |
| 2026-08-10 | oos | 773.14 | 746.6237 | -3.43% | 773.335 | +0.03% | 0.0330 | ✓ | 0.25 |
| 2026-08-09 | oos | 770.34 | 746.1405 | -3.14% | 777.65 | +0.95% | 0.0496 | ✗ | 0.26 |
| 2026-08-08 | oos | 773.83 | 748.2222 | -3.31% | 777.08 | +0.42% | 0.0456 | ✗ | 0.26 |
| 2026-08-07 | oos | 773.54 | 747.2647 | -3.40% | 776.58 | +0.39% | 0.0463 | ✗ | 0.26 |
| 2026-08-06 | oos | 769.85 | 742.3764 | -3.57% | 778.54 | +1.13% | 0.0510 | ✗ | 0.26 |
| 2026-08-05 | oos | 771.95 | 746.0851 | -3.35% | 772.95 | +0.13% | 0.0540 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-04 | oos | 773.64 | 744.0295 | -3.83% | 771.53 | -0.27% | 0.0444 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-03 | oos | 759.05 | 728.7304 | -3.99% | 773.14 | +1.86% | 0.0522 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-02 | oos | 750.47 | 726.1473 | -3.24% | 770.34 | +2.65% | 0.0381 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-01 | oos | 745.165 | 718.0798 | -3.63% | 773.83 | +3.85% | 0.0412 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-31 | oos | 745.49 | 717.9709 | -3.69% | 773.54 | +3.76% | 0.0422 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-30 | oos | 744.68 | 719.4286 | -3.39% | 769.85 | +3.38% | 0.0748 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-29 | oos | 733.825 | 706.2522 | -3.76% | 771.95 | +5.20% | 0.0779 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-28 | oos | 743.59 | 714.8013 | -3.87% | 773.64 | +4.04% | 0.0759 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-27 | oos | 739.94 | 712.1147 | -3.76% | 759.05 | +2.58% | 0.0674 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-26 | oos | 745.955 | 720.1654 | -3.46% | 750.47 | +0.61% | 0.0698 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-25 | oos | 742.375 | 715.6997 | -3.59% | 745.165 | +0.38% | 0.0645 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-24 | oos | 740.185 | 713.7668 | -3.57% | 745.49 | +0.72% | 0.0633 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-23 | oos | 739.95 | 715.0746 | -3.36% | 744.68 | +0.64% | 0.0456 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-22 | oos | 747.53 | 724.0917 | -3.14% | 733.825 | -1.83% | 0.0471 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-21 | oos | 749.28 | 726.1371 | -3.09% | 743.59 | -0.76% | 0.0647 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-20 | oos | 743.3 | 714.6173 | -3.86% | 739.94 | -0.45% | 0.0584 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-19 | oos | 746.62 | 718.358 | -3.79% | 745.955 | -0.09% | 0.0276 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-18 | oos | 744.91 | 717.0016 | -3.75% | 742.375 | -0.34% | 0.0425 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-17 | oos | 744.45 | 715.5855 | -3.88% | 740.185 | -0.57% | 0.0308 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-16 | oos | 750.69 | 720.9168 | -3.97% | 739.95 | -1.43% | 0.0062 | ✓ | 1.00 |