SPYB
SPY (bStocks Tokenized Stock) · Binance Smart Chain · beta_5y
- token id
- #357
- symbol
- SPYB
- variant
- –
- chain
- Binance Smart Chain
- address
- 0x7138b48df7d98d7e3cc221bfe7192d0a178182d8
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-07-07
- predictions
- 297
Track record at +1d
assessed
98
of 99 predictions shown
direction hit
48.0%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0071
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0052
actual -0.0001
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | live | 771.035 | 767.7147 | -0.43% | – | pending | – | – | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 771.235 | 767.8211 | -0.44% | 771.035 | +0.14% | 0.0056 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 771.485 | 767.9689 | -0.46% | 771.235 | -0.03% | 0.0046 | ✓ | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 768.255 | 763.8485 | -0.57% | 771.485 | +0.42% | 0.0085 | ✗ | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 767.73 | 764.3099 | -0.45% | 768.255 | +0.07% | 0.0054 | ✗ | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 760.825 | 757.539 | -0.43% | 767.73 | +0.91% | 0.0125 | ✗ | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 762.325 | 758.6897 | -0.48% | 760.825 | -0.20% | 0.0030 | ✓ | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 771.365 | 767.6098 | -0.49% | 762.325 | -1.17% | 0.0061 | ✓ | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 768.04 | 763.7465 | -0.56% | 771.365 | +0.43% | 0.0092 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 778.575 | 774.6522 | -0.50% | 768.04 | -1.35% | 0.0067 | ✓ | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 778.155 | 773.812 | -0.56% | 778.575 | +0.05% | 0.0045 | ✓ | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 780.995 | 777.1321 | -0.49% | 778.155 | -0.36% | 0.0036 | ✓ | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 779.025 | 775.2565 | -0.48% | 780.995 | +0.25% | 0.0064 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 779.035 | 775.31 | -0.48% | 779.025 | -0.00% | 0.0043 | ✓ | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 774.915 | 771.0928 | -0.49% | 779.035 | +0.53% | 0.0092 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 777.815 | 773.6389 | -0.54% | 774.915 | -0.37% | 0.0036 | ✓ | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 779.94 | 776.1117 | -0.49% | 777.815 | -0.27% | 0.0050 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 775.085 | 770.5842 | -0.58% | 779.94 | +0.63% | 0.0123 | ✗ | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 770.915 | 767.2196 | -0.48% | 775.085 | +0.54% | 0.0112 | ✗ | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 770.925 | 766.9405 | -0.52% | 770.915 | -0.00% | 0.0029 | ✓ | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 769.8 | 765.7646 | -0.52% | 770.925 | +0.15% | 0.0064 | ✗ | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 765.105 | 761.2334 | -0.51% | 769.8 | +0.61% | 0.0116 | ✗ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 765.845 | 761.7227 | -0.54% | 765.105 | -0.10% | 0.0027 | ✓ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 766.09 | 761.9534 | -0.54% | 765.845 | -0.03% | 0.0052 | ✓ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 766.2 | 761.9371 | -0.56% | 766.09 | -0.01% | 0.0052 | ✓ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 769.91 | 765.7253 | -0.54% | 766.2 | -0.48% | 0.0019 | ✓ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 770.34 | 766.171 | -0.54% | 769.91 | -0.06% | 0.0048 | ✓ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 771.89 | 767.6497 | -0.55% | 770.34 | -0.20% | 0.0031 | ✓ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 766.21 | 762.1017 | -0.54% | 771.89 | +0.74% | 0.0132 | ✗ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 767.7 | 763.6789 | -0.52% | 766.21 | -0.19% | 0.0033 | ✓ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 773.525 | 769.3902 | -0.53% | 767.7 | -0.75% | 0.0001 | ✓ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 773.705 | 769.2796 | -0.57% | 773.525 | -0.02% | 0.0060 | ✗ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 763.305 | 759.059 | -0.56% | 773.705 | +1.36% | 0.0130 | ✗ | 0.09 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 762.725 | 754.462 | -1.08% | 763.305 | +0.08% | 0.0117 | ✗ | 0.09 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 763.025 | 754.4235 | -1.13% | 762.725 | -0.04% | 0.0105 | ✓ | 0.09 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 762.5 | 759.6525 | -0.37% | 763.025 | +0.07% | 0.0016 | ✓ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 757.98 | 755.3293 | -0.35% | 762.5 | +0.60% | 0.0092 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 758.605 | 756.3943 | -0.29% | 757.98 | -0.08% | 0.0013 | ✓ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 761.035 | 759.0538 | -0.26% | 758.605 | -0.32% | 0.0030 | ✗ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 760.005 | 758.9097 | -0.14% | 761.035 | +0.14% | 0.0009 | ✓ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 765.035 | 764.6327 | -0.05% | 760.005 | -0.66% | 0.0054 | ✓ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 764.985 | 765.5664 | +0.08% | 765.035 | +0.01% | 0.0008 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 757.865 | 759.1822 | +0.17% | 764.985 | +0.94% | 0.0067 | ✓ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 763.135 | 764.6095 | +0.19% | 757.865 | -0.69% | 0.0067 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 765.76 | 767.125 | +0.18% | 763.135 | -0.34% | 0.0050 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 769.03 | 770.4613 | +0.19% | 765.76 | -0.43% | 0.0053 | ✗ | 0.09 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 769.955 | 771.1445 | +0.15% | 769.03 | -0.12% | 0.0013 | ✓ | 0.09 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 771.335 | 772.71 | +0.18% | 769.955 | -0.18% | 0.0042 | ✗ | 0.09 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 769.845 | 770.8787 | +0.13% | 771.335 | +0.19% | 0.0004 | ✓ | 0.09 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 772.18 | 772.68 | +0.06% | 769.845 | -0.30% | 0.0018 | ✗ | 0.09 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 765.52 | 765.3125 | -0.03% | 772.18 | +0.87% | 0.0047 | ✗ | 0.09 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 762.065 | 761.3107 | -0.10% | 765.52 | +0.45% | 0.0056 | ✗ | 0.09 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 767.635 | 766.0097 | -0.21% | 762.065 | -0.73% | 0.0039 | ✓ | 0.08 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 766.5 | 764.309 | -0.29% | 767.635 | +0.15% | 0.0034 | ✗ | 0.08 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 770.89 | 768.7402 | -0.28% | 766.5 | -0.57% | 0.0023 | ✓ | 0.08 |
| 2026-08-28 | oos | 769.17 | 767.3091 | -0.24% | 770.89 | +0.22% | 0.0043 | ✗ | 0.08 |
| 2026-08-27 | oos | 769.72 | 767.5993 | -0.28% | 769.17 | -0.07% | 0.0045 | ✗ | 0.08 |
| 2026-08-26 | oos | 770.475 | 767.7023 | -0.36% | 769.72 | -0.10% | 0.0013 | ✓ | 0.08 |
| 2026-08-25 | oos | 765.15 | 762.2127 | -0.38% | 770.475 | +0.70% | 0.0103 | ✗ | 0.08 |
| 2026-08-24 | oos | 763.8 | 760.9426 | -0.37% | 765.15 | +0.18% | 0.0060 | ✗ | 0.08 |
| 2026-08-23 | oos | 766.01 | 762.7188 | -0.43% | 763.8 | -0.29% | 0.0001 | ✓ | 0.09 |
| 2026-08-22 | oos | 765.34 | 761.5807 | -0.49% | 766.01 | +0.09% | 0.0051 | ✗ | 0.09 |
| 2026-08-21 | oos | 766.75 | 763.0414 | -0.48% | 765.34 | -0.18% | 0.0044 | ✓ | 0.08 |
| 2026-08-20 | oos | 763.06 | 758.2943 | -0.62% | 766.75 | +0.48% | 0.0047 | ✓ | 0.09 |
| 2026-08-19 | oos | 770.3 | 764.958 | -0.69% | 763.06 | -0.94% | 0.0102 | ✓ | 0.15 |
| 2026-08-18 | oos | 767.375 | 761.8942 | -0.71% | 770.3 | +0.38% | 0.0032 | ✓ | 0.21 |
| 2026-08-17 | oos | 773.335 | 767.8426 | -0.71% | 767.375 | -0.77% | 0.0013 | ✓ | 0.21 |
| 2026-08-16 | oos | 777.65 | 772.2065 | -0.70% | 773.335 | -0.55% | 0.0050 | ✓ | 0.25 |
| 2026-08-15 | oos | 777.08 | 771.6987 | -0.69% | 777.65 | +0.07% | 0.0084 | ✗ | 0.25 |
| 2026-08-14 | oos | 776.58 | 770.9362 | -0.73% | 777.08 | +0.06% | 0.0078 | ✗ | 0.25 |
| 2026-08-13 | oos | 778.54 | 771.4035 | -0.92% | 776.58 | -0.25% | 0.0085 | ✓ | 0.25 |
| 2026-08-12 | oos | 772.95 | 766.3354 | -0.86% | 778.54 | +0.72% | 0.0157 | ✗ | 0.25 |
| 2026-08-11 | oos | 771.53 | 764.6043 | -0.90% | 772.95 | +0.18% | 0.0113 | ✗ | 0.25 |
| 2026-08-10 | oos | 773.14 | 765.4258 | -1.00% | 771.53 | -0.21% | 0.0094 | ✓ | 0.25 |
| 2026-08-09 | oos | 770.34 | 763.3251 | -0.91% | 773.14 | +0.36% | 0.0166 | ✗ | 0.26 |
| 2026-08-08 | oos | 773.83 | 765.9808 | -1.01% | 770.34 | -0.45% | 0.0059 | ✓ | 0.26 |
| 2026-08-07 | oos | 773.54 | 765.4753 | -1.04% | 773.83 | +0.04% | 0.0108 | ✗ | 0.26 |
| 2026-08-06 | oos | 769.85 | 761.8137 | -1.04% | 773.54 | +0.48% | 0.0128 | ✗ | 0.26 |
| 2026-08-05 | oos | 771.95 | 764.8698 | -0.92% | 769.85 | -0.27% | 0.0117 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-04 | oos | 773.64 | 765.0658 | -1.11% | 771.95 | -0.22% | 0.0004 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-03 | oos | 759.05 | 750.8464 | -1.08% | 773.64 | +1.92% | 0.0207 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-02 | oos | 750.47 | 745.9718 | -0.60% | 759.05 | +1.14% | 0.0179 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-01 | oos | 745.165 | 739.3836 | -0.78% | 750.47 | +0.71% | 0.0032 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-31 | oos | 745.49 | 739.6723 | -0.78% | 745.165 | -0.04% | 0.0084 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-30 | oos | 744.68 | 739.2636 | -0.73% | 745.49 | +0.11% | 0.0381 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-29 | oos | 733.825 | 727.8613 | -0.81% | 744.68 | +1.48% | 0.0100 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-28 | oos | 743.59 | 737.5682 | -0.81% | 733.825 | -1.31% | 0.0059 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-27 | oos | 739.94 | 734.7716 | -0.70% | 743.59 | +0.49% | 0.0095 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-26 | oos | 745.955 | 741.2182 | -0.64% | 739.94 | -0.81% | 0.0238 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-25 | oos | 742.375 | 737.6095 | -0.64% | 745.955 | +0.48% | 0.0049 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-24 | oos | 740.185 | 735.6532 | -0.61% | 742.375 | +0.30% | 0.0058 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-23 | oos | 739.95 | 735.5879 | -0.59% | 740.185 | +0.03% | 0.0212 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-22 | oos | 747.53 | 743.1385 | -0.59% | 739.95 | -1.01% | 0.0115 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-21 | oos | 749.28 | 744.7457 | -0.61% | 747.53 | -0.23% | 0.0102 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-20 | oos | 743.3 | 737.0111 | -0.85% | 749.28 | +0.80% | 0.0033 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-19 | oos | 746.62 | 741.7187 | -0.66% | 743.3 | -0.44% | 0.0061 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-18 | oos | 744.91 | 740.2322 | -0.63% | 746.62 | +0.23% | 0.0104 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-17 | oos | 744.45 | 739.7509 | -0.63% | 744.91 | +0.06% | 0.0071 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-16 | oos | 750.69 | 745.723 | -0.66% | 744.45 | -0.83% | 0.0036 | ✓ | 1.00 |