SPYB
SPY (bStocks Tokenized Stock) · Binance Smart Chain · beta_5y
- token id
- #357
- symbol
- SPYB
- variant
- –
- chain
- Binance Smart Chain
- address
- 0x7138b48df7d98d7e3cc221bfe7192d0a178182d8
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-07-07
- predictions
- 297
Track record at +30d
assessed
69
of 99 predictions shown
direction hit
60.9%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0603
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0572
actual -0.0487
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | live | 771.035 | 725.1876 | -5.95% | – | pending | – | – | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 771.235 | 721.522 | -6.45% | – | pending | – | – | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 771.485 | 723.0356 | -6.28% | – | pending | – | – | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 768.255 | 715.6997 | -6.84% | – | pending | – | – | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 767.73 | 715.4439 | -6.81% | – | pending | – | – | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 760.825 | 708.4229 | -6.89% | – | pending | – | – | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 762.325 | 709.6266 | -6.91% | – | pending | – | – | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 771.365 | 717.1604 | -7.03% | – | pending | – | – | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 768.04 | 710.7555 | -7.46% | – | pending | – | – | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 778.575 | 721.2409 | -7.36% | – | pending | – | – | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 778.155 | 716.0395 | -7.98% | – | pending | – | – | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 780.995 | 722.7873 | -7.45% | – | pending | – | – | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 779.025 | 720.5849 | -7.50% | – | pending | – | – | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 779.035 | 721.3873 | -7.40% | – | pending | – | – | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 774.915 | 715.1753 | -7.71% | – | pending | – | – | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 777.815 | 722.6601 | -7.09% | – | pending | – | – | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 779.94 | 733.2988 | -5.98% | – | pending | – | – | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 775.085 | 728.7744 | -5.97% | – | pending | – | – | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 770.915 | 726.3555 | -5.78% | – | pending | – | – | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 770.925 | 719.3373 | -6.69% | – | pending | – | – | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 769.8 | 719.6897 | -6.51% | – | pending | – | – | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 765.105 | 715.5477 | -6.48% | – | pending | – | – | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 765.845 | 707.6785 | -7.60% | – | pending | – | – | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 766.09 | 707.8149 | -7.61% | – | pending | – | – | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 766.2 | 706.1757 | -7.83% | – | pending | – | – | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 769.91 | 712.1399 | -7.50% | – | pending | – | – | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 770.34 | 712.0241 | -7.57% | – | pending | – | – | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 771.89 | 711.4557 | -7.83% | – | pending | – | – | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 766.21 | 708.136 | -7.58% | – | pending | – | – | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 767.7 | 711.4612 | -7.33% | – | pending | – | – | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 773.525 | 720.9495 | -6.80% | 771.035 | -0.32% | 0.0697 | ✓ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 773.705 | 720.3828 | -6.89% | 771.235 | -0.32% | 0.0732 | ✗ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 763.305 | 694.7362 | -8.98% | 771.485 | +1.07% | 0.1027 | ✗ | 0.09 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 762.725 | 691.2813 | -9.37% | 768.255 | +0.73% | 0.1049 | ✗ | 0.09 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 763.025 | 686.0304 | -10.09% | 767.73 | +0.62% | 0.1112 | ✗ | 0.09 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 762.5 | 689.4001 | -9.59% | 760.825 | -0.22% | 0.0919 | ✓ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 757.98 | 687.2616 | -9.33% | 762.325 | +0.57% | 0.0966 | ✓ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 758.605 | 690.6866 | -8.95% | 771.365 | +1.68% | 0.1018 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 761.035 | 688.8185 | -9.49% | 768.04 | +0.92% | 0.1044 | ✗ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 760.005 | 693.377 | -8.77% | 778.575 | +2.44% | 0.1076 | ✗ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 765.035 | 701.1401 | -8.35% | 778.155 | +1.71% | 0.0984 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 764.985 | 712.1614 | -6.91% | 780.995 | +2.09% | 0.0839 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 757.865 | 715.6426 | -5.57% | 779.025 | +2.79% | 0.0767 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 763.135 | 724.7024 | -5.04% | 779.035 | +2.08% | 0.0672 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 765.76 | 731.7587 | -4.44% | 774.915 | +1.20% | 0.0534 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 769.03 | 736.5014 | -4.23% | 777.815 | +1.14% | 0.0497 | ✗ | 0.09 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 769.955 | 738.8783 | -4.04% | 779.94 | +1.30% | 0.0482 | ✗ | 0.09 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 771.335 | 754.8855 | -2.13% | 775.085 | +0.49% | 0.0196 | ✓ | 0.09 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 769.845 | 760.0639 | -1.27% | 770.915 | +0.14% | 0.0064 | ✓ | 0.09 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 772.18 | 769.1978 | -0.39% | 770.925 | -0.16% | 0.0017 | ✓ | 0.09 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 765.52 | 762.5074 | -0.39% | 769.8 | +0.56% | 0.0019 | ✓ | 0.09 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 762.065 | 762.5357 | +0.06% | 765.105 | +0.40% | 0.0046 | ✗ | 0.09 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 767.635 | 765.4906 | -0.28% | 765.845 | -0.23% | 0.0045 | ✓ | 0.08 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 766.5 | 763.7249 | -0.36% | 766.09 | -0.05% | 0.0029 | ✓ | 0.08 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 770.89 | 781.4516 | +1.37% | 766.2 | -0.61% | 0.0248 | ✗ | 0.08 |
| 2026-08-28 | oos | 769.17 | 798.6838 | +3.84% | 769.91 | +0.10% | 0.0431 | ✗ | 0.08 |
| 2026-08-27 | oos | 769.72 | 809.0907 | +5.11% | 770.34 | +0.08% | 0.0531 | ✗ | 0.08 |
| 2026-08-26 | oos | 770.475 | 806.715 | +4.70% | 771.89 | +0.18% | 0.0492 | ✗ | 0.08 |
| 2026-08-25 | oos | 765.15 | 804.0028 | +5.08% | 766.21 | +0.14% | 0.0540 | ✗ | 0.08 |
| 2026-08-24 | oos | 763.8 | 815.3092 | +6.74% | 767.7 | +0.51% | 0.0656 | ✗ | 0.08 |
| 2026-08-23 | oos | 766.01 | 819.2777 | +6.95% | 773.525 | +0.98% | 0.0663 | ✓ | 0.09 |
| 2026-08-22 | oos | 765.34 | 815.8046 | +6.59% | 773.705 | +1.09% | 0.0629 | ✓ | 0.09 |
| 2026-08-21 | oos | 766.75 | 824.9593 | +7.59% | 763.305 | -0.45% | 0.0807 | ✗ | 0.08 |
| 2026-08-20 | oos | 763.06 | 775.3255 | +1.61% | 762.725 | -0.04% | 0.0260 | ✗ | 0.09 |
| 2026-08-19 | oos | 770.3 | 742.4795 | -3.61% | 763.025 | -0.94% | 0.0045 | ✓ | 0.15 |
| 2026-08-18 | oos | 767.375 | 707.7593 | -7.77% | 762.5 | -0.64% | 0.0403 | ✓ | 0.21 |
| 2026-08-17 | oos | 773.335 | 712.4182 | -7.88% | 757.98 | -1.99% | 0.0272 | ✓ | 0.21 |
| 2026-08-16 | oos | 777.65 | 710.2121 | -8.67% | 758.605 | -2.45% | 0.0196 | ✓ | 0.25 |
| 2026-08-15 | oos | 777.08 | 712.0712 | -8.37% | 761.035 | -2.06% | 0.0124 | ✓ | 0.25 |
| 2026-08-14 | oos | 776.58 | 713.4116 | -8.13% | 760.005 | -2.13% | 0.0134 | ✓ | 0.25 |
| 2026-08-13 | oos | 778.54 | 717.8688 | -7.79% | 765.035 | -1.73% | 0.0144 | ✓ | 0.25 |
| 2026-08-12 | oos | 772.95 | 713.3737 | -7.71% | 764.985 | -1.03% | 0.0208 | ✓ | 0.25 |
| 2026-08-11 | oos | 771.53 | 712.9367 | -7.59% | 757.865 | -1.77% | 0.0146 | ✓ | 0.25 |
| 2026-08-10 | oos | 773.14 | 715.7062 | -7.43% | 763.135 | -1.29% | 0.0138 | ✓ | 0.25 |
| 2026-08-09 | oos | 770.34 | 718.1911 | -6.77% | 765.76 | -0.59% | 0.0142 | ✓ | 0.26 |
| 2026-08-08 | oos | 773.83 | 720.8554 | -6.85% | 769.03 | -0.62% | 0.0131 | ✓ | 0.26 |
| 2026-08-07 | oos | 773.54 | 719.233 | -7.02% | 769.955 | -0.46% | 0.0124 | ✓ | 0.26 |
| 2026-08-06 | oos | 769.85 | 710.6416 | -7.69% | 771.335 | +0.19% | 0.0257 | ✓ | 0.26 |
| 2026-08-05 | oos | 771.95 | 713.3786 | -7.59% | 769.845 | -0.27% | 0.1335 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-04 | oos | 773.64 | 709.4052 | -8.30% | 772.18 | -0.19% | 0.1532 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-03 | oos | 759.05 | 691.2086 | -8.94% | 765.52 | +0.85% | 0.0952 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-02 | oos | 750.47 | 684.028 | -8.85% | 762.065 | +1.55% | 0.0899 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-01 | oos | 745.165 | 676.0231 | -9.28% | 767.635 | +3.02% | 0.0974 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-31 | oos | 745.49 | 675.2587 | -9.42% | 766.5 | +2.82% | 0.0853 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-30 | oos | 744.68 | 681.7047 | -8.46% | 770.89 | +3.52% | 0.0667 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-29 | oos | 733.825 | 666.0841 | -9.23% | 769.17 | +4.82% | 0.0535 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-28 | oos | 743.59 | 672.2653 | -9.59% | 769.72 | +3.51% | 0.0936 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-27 | oos | 739.94 | 667.4155 | -9.80% | 770.475 | +4.13% | 0.0721 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-26 | oos | 745.955 | 678.5569 | -9.04% | 765.15 | +2.57% | 0.0637 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-25 | oos | 742.375 | 672.7751 | -9.38% | 763.8 | +2.89% | 0.0788 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-24 | oos | 740.185 | 670.2065 | -9.45% | 766.01 | +3.49% | 0.0594 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-23 | oos | 739.95 | 675.4812 | -8.71% | 765.34 | +3.43% | 0.0444 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-22 | oos | 747.53 | 688.8574 | -7.85% | 766.75 | +2.57% | 0.0628 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-21 | oos | 749.28 | 693.0232 | -7.51% | 763.06 | +1.84% | 0.0031 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-20 | oos | 743.3 | 677.5565 | -8.84% | 770.3 | +3.63% | 0.0675 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-19 | oos | 746.62 | 675.7324 | -9.49% | 767.375 | +2.78% | 0.1272 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-18 | oos | 744.91 | 674.4897 | -9.45% | 773.335 | +3.82% | 0.1417 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-17 | oos | 744.45 | 670.9722 | -9.87% | 777.65 | +4.46% | 0.1642 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-16 | oos | 750.69 | 675.7781 | -9.98% | 777.08 | +3.52% | 0.1515 | ✗ | 1.00 |