SIGN

Sign · Ethereum · beta_5y

token id: #520
symbol: SIGN
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0x868fced65edbf0056c4163515dd840e9f287a4c3
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-04-21
predictions: 528

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

169

of 176 predictions shown

direction hit

69.8%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0583

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0150

actual -0.0127

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.011185	0.011043	-1.27%	–	pending	–	–	0.96
2026-10-21	oos	0.011175	0.011014	-1.44%	–	pending	–	–	0.97
2026-10-20	oos	0.010772	0.010623	-1.38%	–	pending	–	–	0.96
2026-10-19	oos	0.011014	0.010868	-1.33%	–	pending	–	–	0.97
2026-10-18	oos	0.011069	0.010922	-1.32%	–	pending	–	–	0.97
2026-10-17	oos	0.011685	0.011505	-1.54%	–	pending	–	–	0.98
2026-10-16	oos	0.011774	0.011584	-1.61%	–	pending	–	–	0.98
2026-10-15	oos	0.012009	0.011788	-1.84%	0.011185	-6.86%	0.0768	✓	0.96
2026-10-14	oos	0.011812	0.011619	-1.64%	0.011175	-5.39%	0.0675	✓	0.96
2026-10-13	oos	0.0128	0.012524	-2.15%	0.010772	-15.84%	0.1489	✓	0.93
2026-10-12	oos	0.012991	0.012673	-2.45%	0.011014	-15.22%	0.1414	✓	0.95
2026-10-11	oos	0.012905	0.012627	-2.15%	0.011069	-14.23%	0.1128	✓	0.94
2026-10-10	oos	0.012919	0.012624	-2.29%	0.011685	-9.55%	0.0600	✓	0.93
2026-10-09	oos	0.012907	0.012579	-2.54%	0.011774	-8.78%	0.0543	✓	0.93
2026-10-08	oos	0.012345	0.012079	-2.16%	0.012009	-2.73%	0.0107	✓	0.92
2026-10-07	oos	0.01225	0.011971	-2.27%	0.011812	-3.58%	0.0060	✓	0.93
2026-10-06	oos	0.012594	0.012337	-2.04%	0.0128	+1.63%	0.0637	✗	0.93
2026-10-05	oos	0.012734	0.012463	-2.13%	0.012991	+2.01%	0.0857	✗	0.92
2026-10-04	oos	0.012807	0.012546	-2.04%	0.012905	+0.77%	0.0588	✗	0.92
2026-10-03	oos	0.012649	0.012383	-2.10%	0.012919	+2.14%	0.0626	✗	0.92
2026-10-02	oos	0.012734	0.012432	-2.37%	0.012907	+1.36%	0.0591	✗	0.92
2026-10-01	oos	0.01223	0.011965	-2.17%	0.012345	+0.94%	0.0665	✗	0.93
2026-09-30	oos	0.012499	0.012177	-2.57%	0.01225	-1.99%	0.0091	✓	0.94
2026-09-29	oos	0.012441	0.012091	-2.81%	0.012594	+1.23%	0.0196	✓	0.94
2026-09-28	oos	0.012654	0.012242	-3.25%	0.012734	+0.64%	0.0138	✓	0.94
2026-09-27	oos	0.013821	0.01326	-4.06%	0.012807	-7.34%	0.0572	✓	0.93
2026-09-26	oos	0.013853	0.013283	-4.11%	0.012649	-8.69%	0.0526	✓	0.94
2026-09-25	oos	0.013473	0.012925	-4.07%	0.012734	-5.49%	0.0195	✓	0.94
2026-09-24	oos	0.012913	0.012416	-3.85%	0.01223	-5.29%	0.0203	✓	0.95
2026-09-23	oos	0.012528	0.012049	-3.82%	0.012499	-0.24%	0.0460	✗	0.96
2026-09-22	oos	0.012568	0.012085	-3.84%	0.012441	-1.01%	0.0579	✗	0.96
2026-09-21	oos	0.012193	0.011758	-3.57%	0.012654	+3.78%	0.1096	✗	0.98
2026-09-20	oos	0.011562	0.011187	-3.24%	0.013821	+19.54%	0.1706	✗	1.03
2026-09-19	oos	0.011772	0.011371	-3.41%	0.013853	+17.67%	0.1580	✗	1.03
2026-09-18	oos	0.011794	0.011387	-3.46%	0.013473	+14.23%	0.1276	✗	1.04
2026-09-17	oos	0.010752	0.010514	-2.21%	0.012913	+20.10%	0.1066	✗	0.99
2026-09-16	oos	0.010675	0.010456	-2.06%	0.012528	+17.36%	0.0795	✗	0.99
2026-09-15	oos	0.010572	0.010348	-2.11%	0.012568	+18.88%	0.0650	✗	0.98
2026-09-14	oos	0.010665	0.010461	-1.91%	0.012193	+14.33%	0.0555	✗	0.96
2026-09-13	oos	0.009751	0.009694	-0.59%	0.011562	+18.56%	0.1254	✗	0.92
2026-09-12	oos	0.010795	0.010641	-1.42%	0.011772	+9.06%	0.0564	✗	0.89
2026-09-11	oos	0.010615	0.010536	-0.75%	0.011794	+11.11%	0.0708	✗	0.91
2026-09-10	oos	0.01031	0.010294	-0.16%	0.010752	+4.29%	0.0458	✗	0.90
2026-09-09	oos	0.010932	0.010901	-0.29%	0.010675	-2.35%	0.0031	✗	0.87
2026-09-08	oos	0.011235	0.011185	-0.45%	0.010572	-5.90%	0.0241	✓	0.87
2026-09-07	oos	0.010951	0.010972	+0.20%	0.010665	-2.61%	0.0181	✗	0.88
2026-09-06	oos	0.010757	0.010859	+0.94%	0.009751	-9.35%	0.0656	✗	0.93
2026-09-05	oos	0.010377	0.010495	+1.14%	0.010795	+4.02%	0.0582	✓	0.92
2026-09-04	oos	0.009716	0.009948	+2.39%	0.010615	+9.26%	0.0931	✓	0.89
2026-09-03	oos	0.009525	0.009819	+3.09%	0.01031	+8.24%	0.1042	✓	0.92
2026-09-02	oos	0.008784	0.008949	+1.87%	0.010932	+24.46%	0.1885	✓	0.93
2026-09-01	oos	0.008936	0.009071	+1.51%	0.011235	+25.73%	0.2012	✓	0.95
2026-08-31	oos	0.008794	0.008962	+1.91%	0.010951	+24.53%	0.1945	✓	0.89
2026-08-30	oos	0.008705	0.008821	+1.33%	0.010757	+23.57%	0.1683	✓	0.89
2026-08-29	oos	0.008386	0.008522	+1.62%	0.010377	+23.74%	0.1780	✓	0.93
2026-08-28	oos	0.008235	0.008332	+1.18%	0.009716	+17.98%	0.1320	✓	0.93
2026-08-27	oos	0.008145	0.008285	+1.71%	0.009525	+16.94%	0.1277	✓	0.96
2026-08-26	oos	0.008134	0.008193	+0.73%	0.008784	+8.00%	0.0909	✓	0.97
2026-08-25	oos	0.007845	0.007905	+0.76%	0.008936	+13.91%	0.1367	✓	0.97
2026-08-24	oos	0.0078	0.007846	+0.59%	0.008794	+12.74%	0.1192	✓	0.97
2026-08-23	oos	0.007819	0.007835	+0.21%	0.008705	+11.33%	0.1061	✓	0.99
2026-08-22	oos	0.007708	0.00769	-0.23%	0.008386	+8.80%	0.0716	✗	0.98
2026-08-21	oos	0.007736	0.007725	-0.14%	0.008235	+6.45%	0.0701	✗	0.99
2026-08-20	oos	0.007216	0.007151	-0.91%	0.008145	+12.87%	0.0368	✗	0.98
2026-08-19	oos	0.007008	0.006841	-2.39%	0.008134	+16.06%	0.0380	✗	1.03
2026-08-18	oos	0.00654	0.006409	-2.00%	0.007845	+19.96%	0.0038	✓	1.02
2026-08-17	oos	0.006674	0.006525	-2.24%	0.0078	+16.86%	0.0303	✓	1.03
2026-08-16	oos	0.006659	0.006492	-2.52%	0.007819	+17.41%	0.0370	✓	1.05
2026-08-15	oos	0.006515	0.006361	-2.37%	0.007708	+18.30%	0.0194	✓	1.05
2026-08-14	oos	0.006387	0.006238	-2.34%	0.007736	+21.11%	0.0143	✓	1.05
2026-08-13	oos	0.006477	0.006342	-2.08%	0.007216	+11.41%	0.0214	✓	1.07
2026-08-12	oos	0.006531	0.006392	-2.14%	0.007008	+7.30%	0.0060	✓	1.10
2026-08-11	oos	0.006685	0.00653	-2.32%	0.00654	-2.18%	0.0184	✓	1.11
2026-08-10	oos	0.00678	0.006642	-2.04%	0.006674	-1.56%	0.0050	✓	1.12
2026-08-09	oos	0.00686	0.006709	-2.20%	0.006659	-2.92%	0.0277	✗	1.12
2026-08-08	oos	0.00682	0.00669	-1.90%	0.006515	-4.46%	0.0064	✓	1.11
2026-08-07	oos	0.006835	0.006716	-1.75%	0.006387	-6.55%	0.0166	✓	1.12
2026-08-06	oos	0.006515	0.006443	-1.10%	0.006477	-0.58%	0.0198	✗	1.10
2026-08-05	oos	0.006635	0.006559	-1.15%	0.006531	-1.57%	0.0163	✗	1.10
2026-08-04	oos	0.00663	0.006596	-0.51%	0.006685	+0.83%	0.0223	✗	1.10
2026-08-03	oos	0.00678	0.006745	-0.52%	0.00678	+0.00%	0.0026	✓	1.11
2026-08-02	oos	0.00679	0.006759	-0.46%	0.00686	+1.03%	0.0084	✓	1.11
2026-08-01	oos	0.00675	0.006721	-0.43%	0.00682	+1.04%	0.0229	✓	1.12
2026-07-31	oos	0.00686	0.00682	-0.59%	0.006835	-0.36%	0.0339	✓	1.12
2026-07-30	oos	0.007055	0.007009	-0.66%	0.006515	-7.65%	0.0650	✓	1.13
2026-07-29	oos	0.00702	0.006954	-0.95%	0.006635	-5.48%	0.0591	✓	1.11
2026-07-28	oos	0.007615	0.007511	-1.37%	0.00663	-12.93%	0.1283	✓	1.11
2026-07-27	oos	0.00772	0.007593	-1.64%	0.00678	-12.18%	0.1093	✓	1.11
2026-07-26	oos	0.00839	0.008245	-1.73%	0.00679	-19.07%	0.1636	✓	1.07
2026-07-25	oos	0.0083	0.008154	-1.76%	0.00675	-18.67%	0.1624	✓	1.10
2026-07-24	oos	0.00824	0.008103	-1.66%	0.00686	-16.75%	0.1448	✓	1.10
2026-07-23	oos	0.008445	0.008313	-1.56%	0.007055	-16.46%	0.1586	✓	1.10
2026-07-22	oos	0.00858	0.008466	-1.33%	0.00702	-18.18%	0.1505	✓	1.09
2026-07-21	oos	0.00864	0.008538	-1.18%	0.007615	-11.86%	0.0697	✓	1.09
2026-07-20	oos	0.008565	0.008452	-1.32%	0.00772	-9.87%	0.0653	✓	1.07
2026-07-19	oos	0.008405	0.008306	-1.18%	0.00839	-0.18%	0.0007	✓	1.07
2026-07-18	oos	0.008395	0.008309	-1.03%	0.0083	-1.13%	0.0072	✓	1.07
2026-07-17	oos	0.00853	0.008427	-1.21%	0.00824	-3.40%	0.0256	✓	1.08
2026-07-16	oos	0.008395	0.00831	-1.01%	0.008445	+0.60%	0.0053	✓	1.08
2026-07-15	oos	0.00866	0.008568	-1.06%	0.00858	-0.92%	0.0211	✓	1.07
2026-07-14	oos	0.00869	0.008591	-1.14%	0.00864	-0.58%	0.0192	✓	1.07
2026-07-13	oos	0.008555	0.008445	-1.29%	0.008565	+0.12%	0.0374	✓	1.11
2026-07-12	oos	0.008585	0.008486	-1.16%	0.008405	-2.10%	0.0262	✓	1.14
2026-07-11	oos	0.008775	0.008656	-1.36%	0.008395	-4.33%	0.0487	✓	1.14
2026-07-10	oos	0.00876	0.008655	-1.20%	0.00853	-2.63%	0.0104	✓	1.14
2026-07-09	oos	0.00867	0.008572	-1.13%	0.008395	-3.17%	0.0316	✓	1.14
2026-07-08	oos	0.008595	0.008483	-1.30%	0.00866	+0.76%	0.0239	✓	1.14
2026-07-07	oos	0.00869	0.008546	-1.65%	0.00869	+0.00%	0.0132	✓	1.15
2026-07-06	oos	0.00864	0.008546	-1.08%	0.008555	-0.98%	0.0329	✗	1.16
2026-07-05	oos	0.00864	0.008553	-1.00%	0.008585	-0.64%	0.0008	✓	1.16
2026-07-04	oos	0.0087	0.008601	-1.14%	0.008775	+0.86%	0.0075	✓	1.16
2026-07-03	oos	0.00871	0.008602	-1.24%	0.00876	+0.57%	0.0113	✓	1.16
2026-07-02	oos	0.008665	0.008526	-1.60%	0.00867	+0.06%	0.0150	✓	1.17
2026-07-01	oos	0.00844	0.008308	-1.57%	0.008595	+1.84%	0.0094	✓	1.17
2026-06-30	oos	0.00814	0.008035	-1.30%	0.00869	+6.76%	0.0121	✓	1.15
2026-06-29	oos	0.00857	0.008424	-1.71%	0.00864	+0.82%	0.0448	✓	1.13
2026-06-28	oos	0.0083	0.008171	-1.55%	0.00864	+4.10%	0.0189	✓	1.12
2026-06-27	oos	0.008405	0.008299	-1.27%	0.0087	+3.51%	0.0101	✓	1.12
2026-06-26	oos	0.00864	0.008501	-1.61%	0.00871	+0.81%	0.0217	✓	1.12
2026-06-25	oos	0.00832	0.008208	-1.35%	0.008665	+4.15%	0.0218	✗	1.10
2026-06-24	oos	0.008405	0.008315	-1.07%	0.00844	+0.42%	0.0339	✗	1.12
2026-06-23	oos	0.008755	0.008657	-1.12%	0.00814	-7.02%	0.0146	✗	1.12
2026-06-22	oos	0.0093	0.009141	-1.71%	0.00857	-7.85%	0.0022	✓	1.09
2026-06-21	oos	0.009075	0.008955	-1.33%	0.0083	-8.54%	0.0096	✓	1.08
2026-06-20	oos	0.0095	0.009351	-1.56%	0.008405	-11.53%	0.0329	✓	1.07
2026-06-19	oos	0.00932	0.009175	-1.56%	0.00864	-7.30%	0.0006	✓	1.06
2026-06-18	oos	0.00928	0.009128	-1.64%	0.00832	-10.34%	0.0380	✓	1.06
2026-06-17	oos	0.00949	0.009326	-1.73%	0.008405	-11.43%	0.0449	✓	1.07
2026-06-16	oos	0.008815	0.008753	-0.71%	0.008755	-0.68%	0.0534	✗	1.15
2026-06-15	oos	0.008885	0.008819	-0.75%	0.0093	+4.67%	0.0943	✗	1.15
2026-06-14	oos	0.009	0.008911	-0.99%	0.009075	+0.83%	0.0627	✗	1.16
2026-06-13	oos	0.008615	0.008539	-0.88%	0.0095	+10.27%	0.1102	✗	1.12
2026-06-12	oos	0.00858	0.008518	-0.72%	0.00932	+8.62%	0.0911	✗	1.12
2026-06-11	oos	0.00857	0.00851	-0.70%	0.00928	+8.28%	0.0987	✗	1.12
2026-06-10	oos	0.0083	0.008265	-0.43%	0.00949	+14.34%	0.0853	✗	1.11
2026-06-09	oos	0.008605	0.00855	-0.64%	0.008815	+2.44%	0.0382	✓	1.11
2026-06-08	oos	0.00913	0.009032	-1.08%	0.008885	-2.68%	0.0704	✓	1.09
2026-06-07	oos	0.00876	0.008714	-0.53%	0.009	+2.74%	0.0082	✓	1.09
2026-06-06	oos	0.00866	0.008647	-0.15%	0.008615	-0.52%	0.0691	✓	1.15
2026-06-05	oos	0.00885	0.008843	-0.08%	0.00858	-3.05%	0.0763	✓	1.15
2026-06-04	oos	0.00966	0.009594	-0.69%	0.00857	-11.28%	0.1088	✓	1.07
2026-06-03	oos	0.01054	0.01042	-1.14%	0.0083	-21.25%	0.1833	✓	1.07
2026-06-02	oos	0.01031	0.010188	-1.18%	0.008605	-16.54%	0.0690	✓	1.29
2026-06-01	oos	0.01101	0.010834	-1.60%	0.00913	-17.08%	0.0179	✗	1.54
2026-05-31	oos	0.0119	0.011544	-3.00%	0.00876	-26.39%	0.0577	✓	1.45
2026-05-30	oos	0.011635	0.01143	-1.76%	0.00866	-25.57%	0.0036	✓	1.46
2026-05-29	oos	0.011735	0.011508	-1.94%	0.00885	-24.58%	0.0073	✓	1.47
2026-05-28	oos	0.01153	0.011338	-1.67%	0.00966	-16.22%	0.0480	✗	1.47
2026-05-27	oos	0.01209	0.011838	-2.08%	0.01054	-12.82%	0.0981	✗	1.44
2026-05-26	oos	0.01232	0.012052	-2.17%	0.01031	-16.31%	0.0372	✗	1.50
2026-05-25	oos	0.01291	0.012573	-2.61%	0.01101	-14.72%	0.0148	✓	1.48
2026-05-24	oos	0.01273	0.012433	-2.33%	0.0119	-6.52%	0.0224	✓	1.47
2026-05-23	oos	0.013085	0.012765	-2.45%	0.011635	-11.08%	0.0360	✓	1.48
2026-05-22	oos	0.01276	0.012465	-2.31%	0.011735	-8.03%	0.0199	✓	1.45
2026-05-21	oos	0.01351	0.013103	-3.01%	0.01153	-14.66%	0.0524	✓	1.41
2026-05-20	oos	0.012955	0.012646	-2.39%	0.01209	-6.68%	0.0033	✓	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	0.01279	0.012524	-2.08%	0.01232	-3.67%	0.0041	✓	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	0.012985	0.012706	-2.15%	0.01291	-0.58%	0.0120	✓	1.00
2026-05-17	oos	0.013405	0.013115	-2.16%	0.01273	-5.04%	0.0242	✓	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.0138	0.013474	-2.36%	0.013085	-5.18%	0.0105	✓	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.01476	0.01441	-2.37%	0.01276	-13.55%	0.0748	✓	1.00
2026-05-14	oos	0.01595	0.015528	-2.65%	0.01351	-15.30%	0.0947	✓	1.00
2026-05-13	oos	0.01559	0.015171	-2.69%	0.012955	-16.90%	0.1348	✓	1.00
2026-05-12	oos	0.01654	0.016045	-2.99%	0.01279	-22.67%	0.1795	✓	1.00
2026-05-11	oos	0.016455	0.01602	-2.64%	0.012985	-21.09%	0.1498	✓	1.00
2026-05-10	oos	0.016415	0.016003	-2.51%	0.013405	-18.34%	0.1171	✓	1.00
2026-05-09	oos	0.01612	0.015688	-2.68%	0.0138	-14.39%	0.0961	✓	1.00
2026-05-08	oos	0.01606	0.015623	-2.72%	0.01476	-8.09%	0.0427	✓	1.00
2026-05-07	oos	0.01576	0.015365	-2.50%	0.01595	+1.21%	0.0240	✓	1.00
2026-05-06	oos	0.01607	0.015687	-2.38%	0.01559	-2.99%	0.0206	✓	1.00
2026-05-05	oos	0.01597	0.015598	-2.33%	0.01654	+3.57%	0.0639	✗	1.00
2026-05-04	oos	0.01593	0.015542	-2.43%	0.016455	+3.30%	0.0339	✗	1.00
2026-05-03	oos	0.01549	0.015146	-2.22%	0.016415	+5.97%	0.0352	✗	1.00
2026-05-02	oos	0.01572	0.015386	-2.12%	0.01612	+2.54%	0.0218	✗	1.00
2026-05-01	oos	0.01564	0.015334	-1.95%	0.01606	+2.69%	0.0216	✗	1.00
2026-04-30	oos	0.01568	0.015331	-2.23%	0.01576	+0.51%	0.0198	✓	1.00